2009 Queensland state election

Last updated

2009 Queensland state election
Flag of Queensland.svg
←  2006 21 March 2009 (2009-03-21) 2012  →
All 89 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Queensland
45 Assembly seats were needed for a majority
Turnout90.93 (Increase2.svg 0.46 pp)
 First partySecond partyThird party
  Anna Bligh crop.jpg LawSpr b.jpg
ON
Leader Anna Bligh Lawrence Springborg Rosa Lee Long
Party Labor Liberal National One Nation
Leader since13 September 2007 (2007-09-13)21 January 2008 (2008-01-21)7 February 2004 (2004-02-07)
Leader's seat South Brisbane Southern Downs Tablelands
(lost seat)
Last election59 seats, 46.92%25 seats, 37.92% [a] 1 seat, 0.60%
Seats won51 seats34 seats0
Seat changeDecrease2.svg8Increase2.svg9Decrease2.svg1
Popular vote1,002,415987,0189,038
Percentage42.25%41.60%0.38%
SwingDecrease2.svg4.67Increase2.svg3.68 [a] Decrease2.svg0.22
TPP 50.9%49.1%
TPP swingDecrease2.svg4.1Increase2.svg4.1
2009 Queensland state election.svg
Winning margin by electorate.
Premier before election

Anna Bligh
Labor

Elected Premier

Anna Bligh
Labor

The 2009 Queensland state election was held on 21 March 2009 to elect all 89 members of the Legislative Assembly, a unicameral parliament.

Contents

The election saw the incumbent Labor government led by Premier Anna Bligh defeat the Liberal National Party of Queensland led by Opposition Leader Lawrence Springborg, and gain a fifth consecutive term in office for her party. Bligh thus became the first female Premier of any Australian State elected in her own right. [1]

This was the first election contested by the LNP following its creation with the merger of the National and Liberal parties.

The 2009 election marked the eighth consecutive victory of Labor in a general election since 1989, although it was out of office between 1996 and 1998 as a direct result of the 1996 Mundingburra by-election.

Background

The Labor Party, led by Premier Anna Bligh, and the LNP, led by Opposition Leader Lawrence Springborg, were the two main parties in Queensland at the election. It was the first election contested by the LNP following its creation with the merger of the National and Liberal parties. At the previous election, Labor won 59 seats, the Nationals won 17 seats, the Liberals won eight seats, One Nation won one seat, and independents won four seats. Former Labor MP Ronan Lee joined the Greens in 2008, thus becoming their parliamentary leader. Lee lost his seat at the election. [2]

A redistribution saw Labor notionally pick up three seats. Therefore, the LNP notionally needed to pick up 22 seats rather than 20 seats to form a majority government, which equated to an unchanged uniform 8.3 percent two party preferred swing. [3]

Former Premier Peter Beattie resigned in September 2007, which triggered the October 2007 Brisbane Central by-election.

Key dates

DateEvent
23 February 2009Writs were issued by the Governor to proceed with an election. [4]
28 February 2009Close of electoral rolls
3 March 2009Close of nominations
21 March 2009Polling day, between the hours of 8am and 6pm
26 March 2009The Bligh Ministry was reconstituted [5]
7 April 2009The writ was returned and the results formally declared
12 April 200953rd Parliament convened

Electoral redistribution

A redistribution of electoral boundaries occurred in 2008.

The electorates of Charters Towers, Cunningham, Darling Downs, Fitzroy, Kurwongbah, Mount Gravatt, Robina, and Tablelands were abolished.

The electorates of Buderim, Condamine, Coomera, Dalrymple, Mermaid Beach, Morayfield, Pine Rivers, and Sunnybank were created.

The redistribution merged Charters Towers with Tablelands to create the notionally National-held Dalrymple, Fitzroy into Mirani, and Cunningham with Darling Downs to create the notionally National-held Condamine, all in regional Queensland. Notionally Liberal-held Buderim was created on the Sunshine Coast, notionally Labor-held Morayfield in the corridor north of Brisbane, and notionally Labor-held Coomera was created on the Gold Coast. Kurwongbah was renamed Pine Rivers, Mount Gravatt was renamed Sunnybank, and Robina was renamed Mermaid Beach. Burdekin, Clayfield, and Mirani became notionally Labor-held, while Glass House became notionally National-held.

The changes resulted in 62 notionally Labor-held seats, 8 notionally Liberal-held seats, 15 notionally National-held seats, and 4 notionally Independent-held seats. All Liberal-held and National-held seats became Liberal National-held seats.


Retiring members

Labor

Liberal National

Results

Winning party by electorate. 2009 Queensland state election - Simple Results.svg
Winning party by electorate.
The Gallagher Index result: 12.47 2009 Election Queensland Gallagher Index.png
The Gallagher Index result: 12.47

Queensland state election, 21 March 2009 [6]
Legislative Assembly
<< 2006–2012 >>

Enrolled voters2,660,940
Votes cast2,419,559 Turnout 90.93+0.46
Informal votes46,908Informal1.94–0.14
Summary of votes by party
PartyPrimary votes %SwingSeatsChange
  Labor 1,002,41542.25–4.6751–8
  Liberal National 987,01841.60+3.6834+9
  Greens 198,4758.37+0.380±0
  DS4SEQ 22,1700.93+0.930±0
  Family First 19,3790.82–1.070±0
  One Nation 9,0380.38–0.220–1
  Independent 134,1565.65+0.974±0
Total2,372,651  89 
Two-party-preferred
  Labor 50.9−4.1
  Liberal National 49.1+4.1
* The two-party preferred summary is an estimate by Antony Green using a methodology by Malcolm Mackerras.
Popular vote
Labor
 
42.45%
LNP
 
41.60%
Greens
 
8.37%
DS4SEQ
 
0.93%
Family First
 
0.82%
One Nation
 
0.38%
Independents
 
5.65%
Two-party preferred vote
Labor
 
50.9%
LNP
 
49.1%
Seats
Labor
 
57.30%
LNP
 
38.20%
Independents
 
4.49%

Seats changing hands

Seat2008 RedistributionSwing2009 Election
PartyMemberMarginMarginMemberParty
Aspley  Labor Bonny Barry 3.0-7.464.46 Tracy Davis Liberal National 
Burdekin Labornotional0.9-4.053.15 Rosemary Menkens Liberal National
Clayfield Labornotional0.3-6.145.84 Tim Nicholls Liberal National
Cleveland Labor Phil Weightman 1.2-1.480.28 Mark Robinson Liberal National
Coomera Labornotional8.3-10.211.91 Michael Crandon Liberal National
Gaven Labor Phil Gray 3.2-3.920.72 Alex Douglas Liberal National
Hervey Bay Labor Andrew McNamara 2.1-8.606.50 Ted Sorensen Liberal National
Indooroopilly Labor Ronan Lee¹2.7-8.575.87 Scott Emerson Liberal National
Mirani Labor Jim Pearce 1.2-1.790.59 Ted Malone Liberal National
Mudgeeraba Labor Dianne Reilly 2.7-6.623.92 Ros Bates Liberal National
Redlands Labor John English 6.7-6.770.07 Peter Dowling Liberal National

Post-election pendulum

Government seats
Marginal
Chatsworth Steve Kilburn ALP0.14%
Everton Murray Watt ALP1.39%
Broadwater Peta-Kaye Croft ALP2.03%
Cook Jason O'Brien ALP2.24%
Barron River Steve Wettenhall ALP2.32%
Toowoomba North Kerry Shine ALP3.22%
Whitsunday Jan Jarratt ALP3.24%
Southport Peter Lawlor ALP3.48%
Townsville Mandy Johnstone ALP4.02%
Springwood Barbara Stone ALP4.08%
Cairns Desley Boyle ALP4.15%
Mansfield Phil Reeves ALP4.39%
Ferny Grove Geoff Wilson ALP4.49%
Pine Rivers Carolyn Male ALP4.61%
Kallangur Mary-Anne O'Neill ALP4.63%
Mount Ommaney Julie Attwood ALP4.79%
Burleigh Christine Smith ALP4.90%
Pumicestone Carryn Sullivan ALP4.99%
Mount Coot-tha Andrew Fraser ALP5.25%
Redcliffe Lillian van Litsenburg ALP5.57%
Mount Isa Betty Kiernan ALP5.72%
Brisbane Central Grace Grace ALP5.97%
Fairly Safe
Albert Margaret Keech ALP6.47%
Mundingburra Lindy Nelson-Carr ALP6.59%
Greenslopes Cameron Dick ALP6.94%
Ashgrove Kate Jones ALP7.10%
Murrumba Dean Wells ALP7.21%
Stafford Stirling Hinchliffe ALP7.29%
Keppel Paul Hoolihan ALP7.62%
Bulimba Di Farmer ALP7.77%
Mulgrave Curtis Pitt ALP8.08%
Thuringowa Craig Wallace ALP8.47%
Yeerongpilly Simon Finn ALP8.73%
Morayfield Mark Ryan ALP9.13%
Algester Karen Struthers ALP9.21%
Stretton Stephen Robertson ALP9.48%
Ipswich West Wayne Wendt ALP9.55%
Capalaba Michael Choi ALP9.67%
Safe
Sunnybank Judy Spence ALP10.79%
Lytton Paul Lucas ALP12.21%
Sandgate Vicky Darling ALP12.37%
Logan John Mickel ALP13.93%
Nudgee Neil Roberts ALP14.26%
South Brisbane Anna Bligh ALP15.01%
Waterford Evan Moorhead ALP16.46%
Ipswich Rachel Nolan ALP16.71%
Mackay Tim Mulherin ALP16.72%
Rockhampton Robert Schwarten ALP17.92%
Very Safe
Bundamba Jo-Ann Miller ALP21.23%
Inala Annastacia Palaszczuk ALP21.53%
Woodridge Desley Scott ALP25.37%
Non-government seats
Marginal
Redlands Peter Dowling LNP0.07%
Cleveland Mark Robinson LNP0.28%
Mirani Ted Malone LNP0.59%
Gaven Alex Douglas LNP0.72%
Coomera Michael Crandon LNP1.91%
Burdekin Rosemary Menkens LNP3.15%
Mudgeeraba Ros Bates LNP3.92%
Aspley Tracy Davis LNP4.46%
Dalrymple Shane Knuth LNP5.18% v ONP
Glass House Andrew Powell LNP5.81%
Clayfield Tim Nicholls LNP5.84%
Indooroopilly Scott Emerson LNP5.87%
Fairly Safe
Bundaberg Jack Dempsey LNP6.02%
Caloundra Mark McArdle LNP6.20%
Hervey Bay Ted Sorensen LNP6.50%
Currumbin Jann Stuckey LNP6.89%
Kawana Jarrod Bleijie LNP6.93%
Lockyer Ian Rickuss LNP7.61%
Toowoomba South Mike Horan LNP8.22%
Beaudesert Aidan McLindon LNP8.31%
Safe
Mermaid Beach Ray Stevens LNP10.81%
Burnett Rob Messenger LNP11.10%
Moggill Bruce Flegg LNP11.28%
Condamine Ray Hopper LNP11.56% v IND
Maroochydore Fiona Simpson LNP12.80%
Gregory Vaughan Johnson LNP14.26%
Buderim Steve Dickson LNP14.28%
Hinchinbrook Andrew Cripps LNP14.69%
Surfers Paradise John-Paul Langbroek LNP16.52%
Callide Jeff Seeney LNP19.36%
Noosa Glen Elmes LNP19.85%
Very Safe
Southern Downs Lawrence Springborg LNP21.08%
Warrego Howard Hobbs LNP24.38%
Gympie David Gibson LNP27.21%
Crossbench seats
Nanango Dorothy Pratt IND2.90% v LNP
Gladstone Liz Cunningham IND6.13% v ALP
Nicklin Peter Wellington IND16.31% v LNP
Maryborough Chris Foley IND16.83% v LNP

Subsequent changes

Polling

Newspoll polling was conducted via random telephone number selection in city and country areas. Sampling sizes usually consist of around 1000 electors, with the declared margin of error at around ±3 percent.

Better Premier ratings^
DateLabor
Bligh		Coalition/LNP
Springborg
18 – 19 Mar 200953%33%
27 Feb – 8 Mar 200948%34%
Jan – Feb 200948%31%
Oct – Dec 200849%30%
Jul – Sep 200853%27%
Apr – Jun 200860%24%
Jan – Mar 200864%18%
Oct – Dec 200766%11%2
Jul – Sep 200754%125%2
Apr – Jun 200754%119%2
Pre 2006 election58%128%
Pre 2004 election62%122%
Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian .
^ Remainder were "uncommitted" to either leader.
1 Peter Beattie, 2 Jeff Seeney
Legislative Assembly opinion polling
Political partiesTwo party preferred
DatesALPLibNatLNPGrnFFPOthALPLNP
18 – 19 Mar 200942%42%7%0.5%8%49.9%50.1%
27 Feb – 8 Mar 200941%43%8%<0.5%8%49%51%
Jan – Feb 200942%41%7%<0.5%10%53%47%
Oct – Dec 200845%37%8%<0.5%10%57%43%
Jul – Sep 200838%41%9%1%11%51%49%
Apr – Jun 200843%26%12%38%10%<0.5%9%55%45%
Jan – Mar 200850%22%10%32%8%<0.5%10%60%40%
Oct – Dec 200750%26%9%35%6%1%8%59%41%
Jul – Sep 200750%21%12%33%5%2%10%59%41%
Apr – Jun 200751%20%11%31%6%1%11%61%39%
2006 election 46.9%20.1%17.8%37.9%8.0%1.9%5.3%55.0%45.0%
6 – 7 Sep 200648%21%17%38%4%1%9%55%45%
2004 election 47%18.5%17%35.5%6.7%4.9%5.9%55.5%44.5%
Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian .

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 Of the combined totals of the National and Liberal parties.

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References

  1. ↑ "Queensland elects female premier". BBC News Online. 21 March 2009.
  2. ↑ "Qld Labor MP jumps ship to Greens". ABC News. 5 October 2008. Retrieved 9 August 2018.
  3. ↑ "2008 QLD redistribution". ABC. 21 March 2009. Retrieved 25 January 2012.
  4. ↑ "Election Timetable: 2009 State General Election". Electoral Commission of Queensland. Archived from the original on 17 March 2012.
  5. ↑ Queensland, Gazette: Extraordinary Archived March 17, 2012, at the Wayback Machine , No 71, 26 March 2009, 1307
  6. ↑ ECQ. "Parliament of Queensland, Assembly election, 21 March 2009". Archived from the original on 26 February 2011.
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