Opinion polling for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election

Since the 2022 Brazilian general election, polling companies have published surveys tracking national voting intention for the 2026 Brazilian general election. The results of these surveys are listed below in reverse chronological order and include candidates who frequently polled above 3% and are registered in a party as well eligible by the Superior Electoral Court of Brazil.

Pre-campaign period

2026

First round

Polling firm	Polling period	Lula	F. Bolsonaro	Freitas	Gomes	Ratinho	Zema	Caiado	Others [a]	Blank Null Undec. [b]	Margin of error [c]	Sample size	Lead	Link
Ideia	8–12 Jan 2026	39.7	26.5	—N/a	—N/a	7	3.6	4.2	0.6	18.5	±2.2 pp	2,000	13.2	[1]
		40.2	—N/a	32.7	—N/a	—N/a	5.5	5.5	0.9	15.4			7.5
Quaest	8–11 Jan 2026	36	23	9	—N/a	7	2	3	2	18	±2 pp	2,004	13	[2]
		35	26	—N/a	—N/a	9	3	4	3	20			9
		39	—N/a	27	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	5	7	22			12
		40	23	14	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	4	19			17
		37	28	—N/a	—N/a	11	—N/a	—N/a	4	20			9

Second round

Polling firm	Polling period	Lula	F. Bolsonaro	Freitas	Ratinho	Zema	Caiado	Blank Null Undec. [b]	Margin of error [c]	Sample size	Lead	Link
Ideia	8–12 Jan 2026	46.2	36	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	17.8	±2.2 pp	2,000	10.2	[3]
		44.4	—N/a	42.1	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	13.6			2.3
		46	—N/a	—N/a	37	—N/a	—N/a	17.1			9
		46.3	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	36.1	—N/a	17.7			10.2
		46.3	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	36.5	17.3			9.8
Quaest	8–11 Jan 2026	45	38	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	17	±2 pp	2,004	7	[4]
		44	—N/a	39	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	17			5
		43	—N/a	—N/a	36	—N/a	—N/a	21			7
		46	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	31	—N/a	23			15
		44	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	33	23			11

2025

First round

Polling firm	Polling period	Lula	F. Bolsonaro	Freitas	Gomes	Ratinho	Zema	Caiado	Others [a]	Blank Null Undec. [b]	Margin of error [c]	Sample size	Lead	Link
Paraná Pesquisas	18–22 Dec 2025	37.6	27.8	—N/a	7.9	9	3.1	—N/a	2.7	12	±2.2 pp	2,038	9.8	[5]
		37.8	—N/a	26.2	8.7	—N/a	3.9	5	3.3	15			11.6
AtlasIntel	10–15 Dec 2025	47.9	21.3	15	—N/a	4.1	3	4.4	2.4	2	±1 pp	18,154	26.6	[6]
		48.1	29.3	—N/a	—N/a	3.9	3.8	7.2	4.4	3.3			18.8
		48.8	—N/a	28.3	—N/a	3.4	3.8	5.5	3	7.3			20.5
		48.8	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	9	11.7	16.3	3.6	10.5			32.5
Quaest	11–14 Dec 2025	41	23	10	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	3	23	±2 pp	2,004	18	[7]
		39	23	—N/a	—N/a	13	—N/a	—N/a	4	21			16
		34	21	—N/a	8	12	4	2	2	17			13
Gerp	6–10 Dec 2025	34	25	—N/a	7	8	4	6	4	12	±2.2 pp	2,000	9	[8]
Ipec	4–8 Dec 2025	38	—N/a	17	—N/a	9	3	5	—N/a	27	±2 pp	2,000	21	[9]
			19	—N/a	—N/a		5	7	—N/a	23			19
Datafolha	2–4 Dec 2025	41	—N/a	23	—N/a	11	3	6	—N/a	16	±2 pp	2,002	18	[10]
			18	—N/a	—N/a	12	6	7	—N/a				23
AtlasIntel	22–27 Nov 2025	48.4	—N/a	32.5	—N/a	4.1	2.3	5.7	1.9	5	±1 pp	5,510	15.9	[11]
		47.3	23.1	—N/a	—N/a	7.1	5	10.2	2.4	4.8			24.2
CNT	19–23 Nov 2025	42	—N/a	21.7	—N/a	11.8	5.7	—N/a	—N/a	18.8	±2.2 pp	2,002	20.3	[12]
		38	—N/a	—N/a	9.6	6.4	2.7	4	27	11.5			11
Paraná Pesquisas	6–10 Nov 2025	36	—N/a	23.2	9.7	9	3.3	4.5	—N/a	14.3	±2.2 pp	2,020	12.8	[13]
		36.3	19.7	—N/a	9.9	10.5	4.8	5.2	—N/a	13.6			16.6
Quaest	6–9 Nov 2025	35	—N/a	16	12	—N/a	5	4	—N/a	28	±2 pp	2,004	20	[14]
Paraná Pesquisas	21–24 Oct 2025	37.4	—N/a	22.3	9	8.1	5.7	4.1	—N/a	13.4	±2.2 pp	2,020	15.1	[15]
		37.6	19.2	—N/a	8.9	9.6	6.2	4.8	—N/a	13.6			18.4
AtlasIntel	15–19 Oct 2025	51.3	—N/a	30.4	—N/a	3	2.5	6	—N/a	6.9	±1 pp	14,063	20.9	[16]
Quaest	2–5 Oct 2025	39	—N/a	18	12	—N/a	4	4	—N/a	23	±2 pp	2,004	21	[17]
Gerp	29 Sep – 6 Oct 2025	27	—N/a	23	7	5	3	3	8	24	±2 pp	2,000	4	[18]
Quaest	12–14 Sep 2025	35	—N/a	17	13	—N/a	5	6	—N/a	24	±2 pp	2,004	18	[19]
AtlasIntel	10–14 Sep 2025	48.2	—N/a	30.4	4.3	2.6	3	3.7	2	5.7	±1 pp	7,291	17.8	[20]
CNT	3–6 Sep 2025	35.8	—N/a	17.1	11.6	10	3.6	4.2	—N/a	17.7	±2 pp	2,002	18.7	[21]
Real Time	28–30 Aug 2025	42	—N/a	40	—N/a	—N/a	4	—N/a	2	9	±3 pp	2,500	2	[22]
AtlasIntel	20–25 Aug 2025	44.1	—N/a	31.8	3.4	4	4.4	3.2	5	4.2	±1 pp	6,238	12.3	[23]
Paraná Pesquisas	17–21 Aug 2025	35.1	—N/a	24.5	9.9	8.8	—N/a	4.6	1.2	15.9	±2.2 pp	2,020	10.6	[24]
Quaest	13–17 Aug 2025	35	—N/a	17	11	—N/a	4	6	—N/a	27	±2 pp	12,150	18	[25]
			14	—N/a	10	9	6	5	—N/a	21			21
Datafolha	29–30 Jul 2025	38	—N/a	21	—N/a	12	6	7	—N/a	17	±2 pp	2,004	17	[26]
		40	18	—N/a	—N/a	11	7	8	—N/a	16			22
AtlasIntel	25–28 Jul 2025	48.5	—N/a	33	2.9	3.6	3.6	3	2.6	2.8	±1 pp	7,334	15.5	[27]
Quaest	10–14 Jul 2025	32	—N/a	15	12	—N/a	4	5	—N/a	32	±2 pp	2,004	17	[28]
AtlasIntel	27–30 Jun 2025	44.6	—N/a	34	3.5	2.5	4.4	1.7	4.7	4.6	±2 pp	2,621	10.6	[29]
Neokemp	25–27 Jun 2025	35	—N/a	37.5	10.2	—N/a	—N/a	4.9	—N/a	12.5	±2.2 pp	2,020	2.5	[30]
Futura	12–23 Jun 2025	28.2	—N/a	26.3	14.4	—N/a	—N/a	6	—N/a	25.1	±2.2 pp	2,000	1.9	[31]
Paraná Pesquisas	18–22 Jun 2025	34	—N/a	24.3	13.5	6.9	—N/a	4.3	—N/a	16.1	±2.2 pp	2,020	9.7	[32]
		33.8	20.4	—N/a	13.8	9	—N/a	5.8	1.1				13.4
CNT	11–15 Jun 2025	30.5	—N/a	18.3	14.6	8.1	4	4.1	—N/a	20.4	±2 pp	2,002	12.2	[33]
Datafolha	10–11 Jun 2025	37	—N/a	21	—N/a	11	6	6	—N/a	19	±2 pp	2,004	16	[34]
		38	20	—N/a	—N/a	12	—N/a	11	—N/a				18

Polling firm	Polling period	Lula	Freitas	Gomes	Ratinho	Zema	Caiado	Others [a]	Blank Null Undec. [b]	Margin of error [c]	Sample size	Lead	Link
Gerp	28–31 May 2025	24	18	9	7	3	5	9	25	±2.2 pp	2,000	6	[35]
AtlasIntel	19–23 May 2025	44.1	33.1	3	—N/a	1.4	4.7	8.3	5.4	±1 pp	4,399	11	[36]
Gerp	21–25 Apr 2025	30	19	9	—N/a	4	4	7	18	±2.2 pp	2,000	11	[37]
AtlasIntel	20–24 Apr 2025	42.8	34.3	2.7	—N/a	1.6	4.3	6.4	8	±1 pp	5,419	8.5	[38]
Paraná Pesquisas	16–19 Apr 2025	34	27.3	12.6	—N/a	—N/a	4.8	5.5	15.7	±2.2 pp	2,020	6.7	[39]
Datafolha	1–3 Apr 2025	35	15	11	—N/a	3	2	18	14	±2 pp	3,054	20	[39]
AtlasIntel	24–27 Feb 2025	41.6	32.3	—N/a	—N/a	4.5	4.5	4.5	12.6	±1 pp	5,710	9.3	[40]
CNT	19–23 Feb 2025	30.4	14	14.3	—N/a	3.9	3.9	13.2	20.2	±2.2 pp	2,002	16.1	[41]
Quaest	23–26 Jan 2025	30	13	9	—N/a	3	3	23	19	±1 pp	4,500	17	[42]

Second round

Polling firm	Polling period	Lula	F. Bolsonaro	Freitas	Ratinho	Zema	Caiado	Blank Null Undec. [b]	Margin of error [c]	Sample size	Lead	Link
Paraná Pesquisas	18–22 Dec 2025	44.1	41	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	14.9	±2.2 pp	2,038	3.1	[5]
		44	—N/a	42.5	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	13.5			1.5
		43.8	—N/a	—N/a	40.2	—N/a	—N/a	16			3.6
AtlasIntel	10–15 Dec 2025	53	41	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	4	±1 pp	18,154	12	[43]
		49	—N/a	45	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	5			4
		49	—N/a	—N/a	39	—N/a	—N/a	12			10
		49	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	39	—N/a	12			10
		49	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	39	12			10
Quaest	11–14 Dec 2025	46	36	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	18	±2 pp	2,004	10	[7]
		45	—N/a	35	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	20			10
		45	—N/a	—N/a	35	—N/a	—N/a	20			10
		45	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	33	—N/a	22			12
		44	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	33	23			11
Gerp	6–10 Dec 2025	41	42	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	17	±2.2 pp	2,000	1	[8]
		41	—N/a	—N/a	39	—N/a	—N/a	20			2
		40	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	34	—N/a	26			6
		40	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	34	26			6
Veritá	6–7 Dec 2025	40.3	—N/a	44.9	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	14.8	±2 pp	2,519	4.6	[44]
		39.8	39.2	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	21			0.6
Datafolha	2–4 Dec 2025	47	—N/a	42	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	11	±2 pp	2,002	5	[10]
		47	—N/a	—N/a	41	—N/a	—N/a	12			6
		51	36	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	13			15
AtlasIntel	22–27 Nov 2025	49	—N/a	47	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	4	±1 pp	5,510	2	[11]
		49	—N/a	—N/a	40	—N/a	—N/a	11			9
		49	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	41	—N/a	10			8
		49	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	41	10			8
CNT	19–23 Nov 2025	45.7	—N/a	39.1	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	15.1	±2.2 pp	2,002	6.6	[12]
		45.8	—N/a	—N/a	38.7	—N/a	—N/a	15.5			7.1
		47.9	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	33.5	—N/a	18.6			14.4
		46.9	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	33.7	19.4			13.2
Paraná Pesquisas	6–10 Nov 2025	43	—N/a	41.8	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	15.2	±2.2 pp	2,020	1.2	[13]
		45.4	38.6	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	16			6.8
Quaest	6–9 Nov 2025	41	—N/a	36	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	23	±2 pp	2,004	5	[14]
Paraná Pesquisas	21–24 Oct 2025	44.9	—N/a	40.9	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	14.2	±2.2 pp	2,020	4	[15]
		46.7	37	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	16.3			9.7
AtlasIntel	15–19 Oct 2025	52	—N/a	44	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	5	±1 pp	14,063	8	[16]
Quaest	2–5 Oct 2025	45	—N/a	33	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	22	±2 pp	2,004	12	[17]
Gerp	29 Sep – 6 Oct 2025	36	—N/a	45	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	19	±2.2 pp	2,000	9	[18]
Quaest	12–14 Sep 2025	43	—N/a	35	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	22	±2 pp	2,004	8	[19]
AtlasIntel	10–14 Sep 2025	50.6	—N/a	45.2	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	4.2	±1 pp	7,291	5.4	[45]
CNT	3–6 Sep 2025	43.9	—N/a	37.6	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	18.5	±2 pp	2,002	6.3	[46]
AtlasIntel	20–25 Aug 2025	46.6	—N/a	48.4	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	5	±1 pp	6,238	1.8	[23]
Paraná Pesquisas	17–21 Aug 2025	41.9	—N/a	41.9	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	16.1	±2.2 pp	2,020	Tie	[24]
Quaest	13–17 Aug 2025	43	—N/a	35	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	22	±2 pp	12,150	8	[25]
		48	32	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	20			16
Datafolha	29–30 Jul 2025	45	—N/a	41	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	14	±2 pp	2,004	4	[26]
		48	37	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a				11
AtlasIntel	25–28 Jul 2025	50.4	—N/a	46.6	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	3	±1 pp	7,334	3.8	[47]
Quaest	10–14 Jul 2025	41	—N/a	37	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	23	±2 pp	2,004	4	[28]
AtlasIntel	27–30 Jun 2025	47.6	—N/a	46.9	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	5.5	±2 pp	2,621	0.7	[29]
Neokemp	25–27 Jun 2025	41.7	—N/a	46.5	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	11.9	±2.2 pp	2,020	4.8	[30]
Futura	12–23 Jun 2025	34.9	—N/a	46.5	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	18.6	±2.2 pp	2,000	11.6	[31]
Paraná Pesquisas	18–22 Jun 2025	40.1	—N/a	43.6	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	16.2	±2.2 pp	2,020	3.5	[48]
		42.1	38.4	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	19.4			3.7
Datafolha	10–11 Jun 2025	43	—N/a	42	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	15	±2 pp	2,004	1	[34]
		47	38	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a				9
Futura	2–4 Jun 2025	41.1	—N/a	41	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	17.9	±3.1 pp	1,001	0.1	[35]
Quaest	29 May – 1 Jun 2025	41	—N/a	40	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	19	±2 pp	2,004	1	[49]
		40	—N/a	—N/a	38	—N/a	—N/a	22			2
AtlasIntel	19–23 May 2025	45.3	—N/a	48.9	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	4.9	±1 pp	4,399	3.6	[50]
AtlasIntel	20–24 Apr 2025	46.7	—N/a	46.7	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	6.6	±1 pp	5,419	Tie	[51]
Paraná Pesquisas	16–19 Apr 2025	40.6	—N/a	43.4	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	16	±2.2 pp	2,020	2.8	[39]
Datafolha	1–3 Apr 2025	48	—N/a	39	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	14	±2 pp	3,054	9	[52]
Quaest	27–31 Mar 2025	43	—N/a	37	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	20	±2 pp	2,004	6	[53]
AtlasIntel	20–24 Mar 2025	46	—N/a	47	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	7	±1 pp	4,659	1	[54]
Futura	19–22 Mar 2025	37.6	—N/a	42.3	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	20.1	±3.1 pp	1,000	4.7	[55]
AtlasIntel	24–27 Feb 2025	47	—N/a	49	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	4	±1 pp	5,710	2	[40]
AtlasIntel	27–31 Jan 2025	45.7	—N/a	44.7	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	9.6	±2 pp	3,125	1	[56]
		47.4	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	36.5	16.1			10.9
Quaest	23–26 Jan 2025	43	—N/a	34	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	23	±1 pp	4,500	9	[57]
		45	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	28	—N/a	27			17
		45	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	26	29			19

2024

First round

Polling firm	Polling period	Lula	Haddad	Freitas	J. Bolsonaro [d]	Marçal [d]	M. Bolsonaro	Gomes	Zema	Ratinho	Moro	Caiado	Leite	Barbalho	Tebet	Cristina	Blank Null Undec. [b]	Margin of error [c]	Sample size	Lead	Link
Paraná Pesquisas	21–25 Nov 2024	33.6	—N/a	—N/a	37.6	—N/a	—N/a	7.9	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	3.7	—N/a	—N/a	7.7	—N/a	9.6	—	2,014	4	[58]
		34.2	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	27.5	10.2	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	6.4	—N/a	—N/a	8.2	—N/a	13.5			6.7
		34.7	—N/a	24.1	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	11.5	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	5.3	—N/a	—N/a	8.4	—N/a	16.1			10.6
		34.4	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	12.8	—N/a	15.3	—N/a	8.9	—N/a	—N/a	8.7	—N/a	19.9			19.1
		34.7	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	13.4	12.2	—N/a	—N/a	8	—N/a	—N/a	9.5	—N/a	22.2			21.3
		—N/a	14.5	—N/a	38.3	—N/a	—N/a	14.2	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	4.4	—N/a	—N/a	13	—N/a	15.6			23.8
		—N/a	14.9	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	27.6	17	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	7.1	—N/a	—N/a	13.5	—N/a	19.9			10.6
CNT	7–10 Nov 2024	35.2	—N/a	—N/a	32.2	8.4	—N/a	6.2	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	8	—N/a	10	±2.2 pp	2,002	3	[59]
		34.1	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	14.1	20.5	9.3	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	9.2	—N/a	12.8			13.6
		35.2	—N/a	15	—N/a	16.9	—N/a	9.4	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	9.5	—N/a	14			18.3
Paraná Pesquisas	18–22 Jul 2024	38.3	—N/a	—N/a	36.9	—N/a	—N/a	7.9	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	3	1.9	0.5	—N/a	—N/a	11.6	±2.2 pp	2,026	1.4	[60]
		38.7	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	30.3	9.1	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	4.5	2.3	0.6	—N/a	—N/a	14.5			8.4
		38.9	—N/a	24.4	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	11.8	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	4	2.7	0.6	—N/a	—N/a	17.6			14.5
		39	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	12.4	—N/a	14.2	—N/a	7.5	3.3	0.7	—N/a	—N/a	22.8			24.8
		38.8	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	13.3	13.1	—N/a	—N/a	6.7	3.5	0.8	—N/a	—N/a	23.9			25.5
Quaest	2–6 May 2024	46	—N/a	40	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	14	±2.2 pp	2,045	6	[61]
Paraná Pesquisas	27 Apr – 1 May 2024	36	—N/a	—N/a	38.8	—N/a	—N/a	8.4	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	3.4	1.0	—N/a	—N/a	12.3	±2.2 pp	2,020	2.8	[62]
		36.6	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	33	10.1	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	3.8	1.4	—N/a	—N/a	15.0			3.6
		36.9	—N/a	25.6	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	11.8	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	3.8	1.3	—N/a	—N/a	20.7			11.3
		37.2	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	14.7	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	10.9	5.6	1.7	—N/a	—N/a	29.8			22.5
		36.9	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	15.2	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	6.5	1.9	—N/a	15.2	31.0			21.7
		36.3	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	13.8	—N/a	17.6	—N/a	—N/a	4.9	1.6	—N/a	—N/a	25.9			18.7
		37.2	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	14.8	14.9	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	5.1	1.8	—N/a	—N/a	26.3			22.3
Paraná Pesquisas	24–28 Jan 2024	37.6	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	23	9.3	6.5	5.1	—N/a	1.9	—N/a	0.9	—N/a	—N/a	15.6	±3.4 pp	2,026	14.6	[63]
		37.4	—N/a	17.4	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	10.3	5.8	6.2	—N/a	2.1	—N/a	1.1	—N/a	—N/a	19.6			20
		36.9	—N/a	—N/a	33.8	—N/a	—N/a	7.8	3.9	3.9	—N/a	1.2	—N/a	0.8	—N/a	—N/a	11.7			3.1
Paraná Pesquisas	29 Sep – 3 Oct 2023	36.6	—N/a	12.7	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	6.3	5.7	4.6	6.7	1.2	2.1	—N/a	7.4	1.9	14.9	±2.2 pp	2,020	23.9	[64]
		37.6	—N/a	18.9	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	8.7	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	3.7	—N/a	9.0	—N/a	22.2			18.7
		37.6	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	8.8	15.3	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	4.0	—N/a	8.8	—N/a	25.5			22.3
		37.7	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	—N/a	9.2	—N/a	12.8	—N/a	—N/a	4.1	—N/a	8.7	—N/a	27.4			24.9

See also

• President of Brazil
• Opinion polling for the 2022 Brazilian general election

Notes

1. Refers to the total for other eligible and ineligible candidates, not registered in a party and that did not frequently polled above 3%.
2. Refers to the total, "raw" sample size, including undecided and non-voters.
3. In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the former is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls (because of their opt-in method of recruiting panelists which results in a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.
4. Ineligible.

References

1. PODER360 (13 January 2026). "Lula lidera em todos os cenários de 1º turno, diz pesquisa Meio/Ideia". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 14 January 2026.
2. "Quaest: Lula à frente no 1º turno, e Flávio consolidado na oposição". G1 (in Brazilian Portuguese). 14 January 2026. Retrieved 14 January 2026.
3. PODER360 (13 January 2026). "Lula lidera em todos os cenários de 1º turno, diz pesquisa Meio/Ideia". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 14 January 2026.
4. "Quaest 2026: Lula lidera em todos os cenários de 2º turno". G1 (in Brazilian Portuguese). 14 January 2026. Retrieved 14 January 2026.
5. PODER360 (26 December 2025). "Paraná Pesquisas: Lula lidera no 1º turno contra Bolsonaros e Tarcísio". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 3 January 2026.
6. "Lula lidera com folga as disputas contra Flávio, Tarcísio e Michelle; veja a nova pesquisa sobre 2026". CartaCapital (in Brazilian Portuguese). 18 December 2025. Retrieved 18 December 2025.
7. "Quaest: Lula Lidera, e Flávio fica em 2º em todos os cenários". G1 (in Brazilian Portuguese). 16 December 2025. Retrieved 17 December 2025.
8. "Gerp: Lula lidera no 1º turno, mas empata com Flávio no 2º – Jovem Pan". Gerp: Lula lidera no 1º turno, mas empata com Flávio no 2º – Jovem Pan (in Brazilian Portuguese). 11 December 2025. Retrieved 12 December 2025.
9. "Ipsos-Ipec: Lula lidera, e Michelle pontua mais que Flávio e Tarcísio | Blogs". CNN Brasil (in Brazilian Portuguese). 9 December 2025. Retrieved 11 December 2025.
10. "Datafolha: Lula bate Flávio Bolsonaro por 15 pontos e Tarcísio por 5 no 2º turno". Folha de S.Paulo (in Brazilian Portuguese). 6 December 2025. Retrieved 7 December 2025.
11. PODER360 (2 December 2025). "AtlasIntel: Lula lidera em todos os cenários de 1º turno". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 2 December 2025.
12. "Nova pesquisa testa Lula contra Tarcísio, Michelle e Eduardo em 2026; veja os resultados". CartaCapital (in Brazilian Portuguese). 25 November 2025. Retrieved 28 November 2025.
13. "Paraná Pesquisas divulga pesquisa Nacional – Situação eleitoral para o Executivo Federal em 2026 – Novembro/2025 | Paraná Pesquisas" (in Brazilian Portuguese). 11 November 2025. Retrieved 7 December 2025.
14. "Vantagem de Lula sobre adversários no 2º turno cai, e presidente volta a empatar tecnicamente com Bolsonaro, diz Quaest". G1 (in Portuguese). 13 November 2025.
15. "Lula amplia vantagem contra candidatos da direita em pesquisa eleitoral sobre 2026; veja os resultados". Carta Capital (in Portuguese). 27 October 2025.
16. "Lula ganha em todos os cenários de 1º e 2º turnos, diz AtlasIntel". Poder360 (in Portuguese). 24 October 2025.
17. "Quaest mostra Lula 9 pontos à frente de Ciro; 10, de Bolsonaro; 12, de Tarcísio e Michelle; 13, de Ratinho Jr., 15, de Zema, Caiado e Eduardo; e 23 de Leite no 2º turno de 2026". G1 (in Portuguese). 9 October 2025.
18. "Pesquisa Gerp aponta disputa aberta para 2026 e leve recuperação de Lula". Jovem Pan (in Portuguese). 8 October 2025.
19. "Quaest: Lula venceria Ciro, Tarcísio, Ratinho Jr., Bolsonaro, Zema, Michelle, Caiado, Eduardo Bolsonaro e Leite no 2º turno de 2026". G1 (in Portuguese). 18 September 2025.
20. "Atlas: Lula teria 48,2% em 1º turno presidencial; Tarcísio, 30,4%". CNN Brasil (in Portuguese). 17 September 2025.
21. "CNT: Lula venceria Bolsonaro, Eduardo e Tarcísio em eleições de 2026". Istoé (in Portuguese). 8 September 2025.
22. "Real Time: Lula tem 42% e Tarcísio, 40% em cenário de 1º turno". CNN Brasil (in Portuguese). 2 September 2025.
23. "AtlasIntel testa Tarcísio e Michelle contra Lula na disputa pela Presidência em 2026; veja os resultados". Carta Capital (in Portuguese). 28 August 2025.
24. "Lula empata com Bolsonaro, Michelle e Tarcísio no 2° turno". Poder360 (in Portuguese). 25 August 2025.
25. "Eleição 2026: Lula volta a ficar à frente de Tarcísio no 2º turno, diz Quaest; presidente também venceria os outros 8 potenciais adversários". G1 (in Portuguese). 21 August 2025.
26. "Datafolha: Lula ganha vantagem sobre bolsonarismo em 1º e 2º turnos". Folha de S.Paulo (in Portuguese). 2 August 2025.
27. "Lula lidera com folga para 2026 e vence todos os adversários no 2º turno, diz AtlasIntel". Piaui Hoje (in Portuguese). 31 July 2025.
28. "Eleição 2026: Lula lidera em todos os cenários de 1º turno e empataria só com Tarcísio em eventual 2º turno, diz Quaest". G1 (in Portuguese). 17 July 2025.
29. "Latam Pulse Brazil" (PDF). AtlasIntel (in Portuguese). 8 July 2025.
30. "Lula perderia para Tarcísio com apoio de Bolsonaro em segundo turno, aponta pesquisa". Gazeta do Povo (in Portuguese). 24 June 2025.
31. "Lula perde para Bolsonaro, Michelle e Tarcísio por mais de 10 pontos no 2º turno em 2026, diz Futura". Exame (in Portuguese). 24 June 2025.
32. "Lula tem empate técnico com Bolsonaro e Michelle no 1º turno, diz pesquisa". CNN Brasil (in Portuguese). 24 June 2025.
33. "Pesquisa MDA testa Lula, Haddad, Bolsonaro e Tarcísio para 2026; veja os números". Carta Capital (in Portuguese). 14 June 2025.
34. "Datafolha: Lula lidera maioria dos cenários de 1° turno, mas empata com Bolsonaro e Tarcísio no 2°". G1 (in Portuguese). 14 June 2025.
35. "Lula, Bolsonaro, Tarcísio: o que as novas pesquisas mostram sobre as eleições de 2026". Exame (in Portuguese). 30 June 2025.
36. "Pesquisa testa cenários eleitorais com Lula, Tarcísio e Michelle para 2026; veja os resultados". Carta Capital (in Portuguese). 30 May 2025.
37. "Bolsonaro segue à frente de Lula em pesquisa do instituto Gerp sobre 2026". Gazeta do Povo (in Portuguese). 29 April 2025.
38. "Bolsonaro e Lula têm empate técnico em disputa para 2026, diz AtlasIntel". UOL (in Portuguese). 28 April 2025.
39. "Datafolha: Lula venceria Bolsonaro e demais nomes da direita se eleição fosse hoje". Folha de S.Paulo (in Portuguese). 5 April 2025.
40. "Atlas: Lula lidera no 1º turno, mas empata tecnicamente com Tarcísio no 2º turno". UOL (in Portuguese). 7 March 2025.
41. "Lula tem 30,3% e Bolsonaro, 30,1% em simulação eleitoral, diz CNT/MD". CNN Brazil (in Portuguese). 18 February 2025.
42. "Quaest para presidente: Lula tem 30%; Tarcísio, 13%; e Gusttavo Lima, 12%". CNN (in Portuguese). 3 January 2025. Retrieved 3 January 2025.
43. "Lula lidera com folga as disputas contra Flávio, Tarcísio e Michelle; veja a nova pesquisa sobre 2026". CartaCapital (in Brazilian Portuguese). 18 December 2025. Retrieved 18 December 2025.
44. Lima, Wilson (8 December 2025). "Instituto Veritá: Flávio empata em disputa direta contra Lula em 2026". O Antagonista (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 11 December 2025.
45. "Atlas: em 2º turno, Lula teria 50,6% dos votos; Tarcísio acumularia 45,2%". CNN Brasil (in Portuguese). 17 September 2025.
46. "Em 2º turno, Lula teria 43,9% e Tarcísio, 37,6%, diz pesquisa CNT/MDA". CNN Brasil (in Portuguese). 8 September 2025.
47. "Lula vence Bolsonaro, Tarcísio e Michelle e outros 4 nomes da direita em 2026, diz AtlasIntel". Exame (in Portuguese). 31 July 2025.
48. "Paraná Pesquisas: Lula empata com Michelle, Eduardo e Tarcísio em 2º turno". CNN Brasil (in Portuguese). 24 June 2025.
49. "Lula e Bolsonaro empatariam com 41% no 2º turno em 2026, diz Quaest". CNN Brasil (in Portuguese). 5 June 2025.
50. "Lula perde para Bolsonaro, Tarcísio e Michelle em segundo turno, diz Atlas". CNN Brasil (in Portuguese). 30 May 2025.
51. "Lula está à frente de Tarcísio e Michelle em intenções de voto para 2026, diz pesquisa AtlasIntel". Estadão (in Portuguese). 28 April 2025.
52. "Datafolha: Lula teria 48%, contra 39% de Tarcísio em cenário de 2º turno". Folha de S.Paulo (in Portuguese). Retrieved 5 April 2025.
53. "Lula e Bolsonaro empatam, e presidente vence outros 7 candidatos em cenários de 2º turno em 2026, aponta Quaest". G1 (in Portuguese). Retrieved 3 April 2025.
54. Salles Barros, Henrique. "Lula, Tarcísio, Bolsonaro, Marçal: pesquisa Atlas simula 2° turno para 2026". CNN Brasil (in Portuguese). Retrieved 1 April 2025.
55. Porto, Douglas. "Pesquisa Futura: Tarcísio tem 42,3% e Lula, 37,6% em simulação de 2º turno". CNN Brasil (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 27 March 2025.
56. "Tarcísio vai melhor que Bolsonaro contra Lula no 2º turno, diz AtlasIntel". CNN Brazil (in Portuguese). 3 January 2025. Retrieved 11 February 2025.
57. "Lula é favorito em cenários para 2026 sem Bolsonaro, Gusttavo Lima é quem mais se aproxima em 2º turno, diz Genial/Quaest". Terra (in Portuguese). 3 January 2025. Retrieved 3 January 2025.
58. "O desempenho de Bolsonaro, Michelle, Tarcísio, Ratinho e Zema em eventuais disputas contra Lula em 2026". CartaCapital (in Brazilian Portuguese). 27 November 2024. Retrieved 4 December 2024.
59. "Pesquisa testa cenários com Lula, Marçal, Tarcísio, Bolsonaro e Michelle para 2026; veja os números". CartaCapital (in Brazilian Portuguese). 12 November 2024. Retrieved 14 November 2024.
60. Aguiar, Victor. "Pesquisa simula eleição com Lula contra Bolsonaro, Michelle e Tarcísio; veja cenários". CNN Brasil (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 30 July 2024.
61. "Poll 02–06 May 2024" (PDF).
62. "Lula venceria Tarcísio, mas casal Bolsonaro mantém força para 2026". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). 24 May 2024. Retrieved 24 May 2024.
63. "Pesquisa de Opinião Pública Nacional - Janeiro de 2024" (PDF). Paraná Pesquisas (in Brazilian Portuguese). 9 February 2024. Retrieved 15 February 2024.
64. "Pesquisa: Lula lidera com folga, e Tarcísio é nome mais forte da oposição". Veja (in Brazilian Portuguese). 13 October 2023. Retrieved 14 October 2023.