Opinion polling for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election

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Since the 2022 Brazilian general election, polling companies have published surveys tracking voting intention for the next election. The results of these surveys are listed below in reverse chronological order and include candidates who frequently polled above 3%.

Contents

2024

Publisher/PollsterPolling
period		Sample
size		 Lula
PT 		Tarcísio
Republicanos 		J. Bolsonaro [a]
PL 		Marçal
PRTB 		M. Bolsonaro
PL 		Ciro
PDT 		Zema
NOVO 		Ratinho
PSD 		Moro
UNIÃO 		Caiado
UNIÃO 		Leite
PSDB 		Barbalho
MDB 		Tebet
MDB 		Cristina
PP 		Blank/Null/
Undec.		Lead
CNT/MDA [1] 7–10 November 20242,00235.2%—32.2%8.4%—6.2%——————8%—10%3%
34.1%——14.1%20.5%9.3%——————9.2%—12.8%13.6%
35.2%15%—16.9%—9.4%——————9.5%—14%18.3%
Paraná Pesquisas [2] 18–22 July 20242,02638.3%—36.9%——7.9%———3%1.9%0.5%——11.6%1.4%
38.7%———30.3%9.1%———4.5%2.3%0.6%——14.5%8.4%
38.9%24.4%———11.8%———4%2.7%0.6%——17.6%14.5%
39%————12.4%—14.2%7.5%3.3%0.7%——22.8%24.8%
38.8%————13.3%13.1%—6.7%3.5%0.8%——23.9%25.5%
Genial/Quaest [3] 02–06 May 20242,04546%40%————————————14%6%
Paraná Pesquisas [4] 27 April–1 May 20242,02036.0%—38.8%——8.4%————3.4%1.0%——12.3%2.8%
36.6%———33%10.1%————3.8%1.4%——15.0%3.6%
36.9%25.6%———11.8%————3.8%1.3%——20.7%11.3%
37.2%————14.7%———10.9%5.6%1.7%——29.8%22.5%
36.9%————15.2%————6.5%1.9%—15.2%31.0%21.7%
36.3%————13.8%—17.6%——4.9%1.6%——25.9%18.7%
37.2%————14.8%14.9%———5.1%1.8%——26.3%22.3%
Paraná Pesquisas [5] 24–28 January 20242,02637.6%———23%9.3%6.5%5.1%—1.9%—0.9%——15.6%14.6%
37.4%17.4%———10.3%5.8%6.2%—2.1%—1.1%——19.6%20%
36.9%—33.8%——7.8%3.9%3.9%—1.2%—0.8%——11.7%3.1%
Paraná Pesquisas [6] 29 September – 3 October 20232,02036.6%12.7%———6.3%5.7%4.6%6.7%1.2%2.1%—7.4%1.9%14.9%23.9%
37.6%18.9%———8.7%————3.7%—9.0%—22.2%18.7%
37.6%————8.8%15.3%———4.0%—8.8%—25.5%22.3%
37.7%————9.2%—12.8%——4.1%—8.7%—27.4%24.9%

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Ineligible.

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References

  1. ↑ "Pesquisa testa cenários com Lula, Marçal, Tarcísio, Bolsonaro e Michelle para 2026; veja os números". CartaCapital (in Brazilian Portuguese). 12 November 2024. Retrieved 14 November 2024.
  2. ↑ Aguiar, Victor. "Pesquisa simula eleição com Lula contra Bolsonaro, Michelle e Tarcísio; veja cenários". CNN Brasil (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 30 July 2024.
  3. ↑ "Poll 02–06 May 2024" (PDF).
  4. ↑ "Lula venceria Tarcísio, mas casal Bolsonaro mantém força para 2026". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). 24 May 2024. Retrieved 24 May 2024.
  5. ↑ "Pesquisa de Opinião Pública Nacional - Janeiro de 2024" (PDF). Paraná Pesquisas (in Brazilian Portuguese). 9 February 2024. Retrieved 15 February 2024.
  6. ↑ "Pesquisa: Lula lidera com folga, e Tarcísio é nome mais forte da oposição". Veja (in Brazilian Portuguese). 13 October 2023. Retrieved 14 October 2023.
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