Opinion polling for the 2022 Brazilian presidential election

Last updated

A Brazilian direct-recording electronic voting machine Brazilian DRE voting machine for 2022 elections.jpg
A Brazilian direct-recording electronic voting machine

Since the 2018 Brazilian general election, polling companies have published surveys tracking voting intention for the next election. The results of these surveys are listed below in reverse chronological order and include candidates who frequently polled above 3%.

Contents

The first round of the 2022 Brazilian general election took place on 2 October. [1] As no candidate reached a majority of the votes, [2] a second round was held on 30 October. [1]

First round

The first round took place on 2 October 2022. [1]

Chart

Local regression of polls conducted Opinion polling for the 2022 Brazilian presidential election (First round).svg
Local regression of polls conducted

Polling aggregation

AggregatorLast update Jair Bolsonaro em 24 de abril de 2019 (1) (cropped).jpg
Bolsonaro
PL 		Foto oficial de Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (ombros).jpg
Lula
PT 		Ciro Gomes (cropped).jpg
Gomes
PDT 		Lancamento do Programa de Integridade - MPO, IBGE e Ipea (cropped).jpg
Tebet
MDB 		Others
[a] 		Blank/Null/
Undec.		Lead
The Economist [3] 1 Oct 202238%51%5%6%(N/A)(N/A)Lula +13
Veja [4] 1 Oct 202233.7%44.7%6.8%4.7%(N/A)(N/A)Lula +11.0
Estadão [5] 1 Oct 202233%47%5%6%2%7%Lula +14
CNN Brasil [6] 1 Oct 202234%48%5%6%2%6%Lula +14
PollingData [7] 1 Oct 202237.5%43.7%5.1%5.3%1.9%6.5%Lula +6.2
El País [8] 1 Oct 202235.3%46.7%6.0%4.9%(N/A)(N/A)Lula +11.4
El Electoral [9] 1 Oct 202238.5%48.5%5.5%5.0%(N/A)(N/A)Lula +10.0
Pollstergraph [10] 1 Oct 202237.1%44.8%5.6%4.7%(N/A)(N/A)Lula +7.7

2022

Jul–Oct

Publisher/PollsterPolling
period		Sample
size		 Jair Bolsonaro em 24 de abril de 2019 (1) (cropped).jpg
Bolsonaro
PL 		Foto oficial de Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (ombros).jpg
Lula
PT 		Ciro Gomes (cropped).jpg
Gomes
PDT 		Lancamento do Programa de Integridade - MPO, IBGE e Ipea (cropped).jpg
Tebet
MDB 		Others
[a] 		Blank/Null/
Undec.		Lead
Results2 OctValid votes43.2%48.4%3.0%4.2%1.2%(N/A)5.2%
Total votes41.3%46.3%2.9%3.9%1.1%4.4%5.0%
Datafolha [11] 30 Sep – 1 Oct12,80034%48%5%6%2%5%14%
IPEC [12] 29 Sep – 1 Oct3,00834%47%5%5%2%7%13%
Abrapel/Ipespe [13] 30 Sep1,10033%46%7%6%1%4%13%
Atlas [14] 28–30 Sep4,50040.7%49.8%3.9%2.6%1.8%1%9.1%
CNT/MDA [15] 28–30 Sep2,00236.3%44.2%4.5%4.3%2.2%8.5%7.9%
29 SepThird presidential debate.
Datafolha [16] 27–29 Sep6,80034%48%6%5%1.2%4%14%
Atlas [17] 24–28 Sep4,50039.9%49.3%3.5%2.5%1.9%2.7%9.4%
Exame/Ideia [18] 23–28 Sep1,50037%47%6%5%1.2%4%10%
Genial/Quaest [19] 24–27 Sep2,00033%46%6%5%1%9%13%
Atlas [20] 22–26 Sep4,50041%48.3%3.5%2.1%2.7%2.3%7.3%
Ipec [21] 25–26 Sep3,00831%48%6%5%2%8%17%
BTG Pactual/FSB [22] 23–25 Sep2,00035%45%7%4%2%6%10%
24 SepSecond presidential debate. Lula did not attend. [23]
Abrapel/Ipespe [24] 21–23 Sep1,10035%46%6%4%0%9%11%
Datafolha [25] 20–22 Sep6,75433%47%7%5%1%6%14%
XP/Ipespe [26] 19–21 Sep2,00035%46%7%4%1%7%11%
PoderData [27] 18–20 Sep3,50037%44%7%4%2%5%7%
Genial/Quaest [28] 17–20 Sep2,00034%44%6%5%1%10%10%
Arko/Atlas [29] 16–20 Sep7,51438.6%48.4%6.3%4.0%1.8%1%9.8%
Ipec [30] 17–18 Sep3,00831%47%7%5%1%9%16%
BTG/FSB [31] 16–18 Sep2,00035%44%7%5%1%7%9%
Abrapel/Ipespe [32] 14–16 Sep1,10035%45%7%5%2%5%10%
Datafolha [33] 13–15 Sep5,92633%45%8%5%2%6%12%
PoderData [34] 11–13 Sep3,50037%43%8%5%1%5%6%
Genial/Quaest [35] 10–13 Sep2,00034%42%7%4%2%11%8%
Globo/Ipec [36] 9–11 Sep2,51231%46%7%4%2%10%15%
BTG/FSB [37] 9–11 Sep2,00035%41%9%7%2%6%6%
Datafolha [38] 8–9 Sep2,67634%45%7%5%1%7%11%
Abrapel/Ipespe [39] 7–9 Sep1,10036%44%8%5%2%5%8%
BTG/FSB [40] 2–4 Sep2,00034%42%8%6%3%7%8%
Globo/Ipec [41] 2–4 Sep2,51231%44%8%4%2%11%13%
Genial/Quaest [42] 1–4 Sep2,00034%44%7%4%2%9%10%
Abrapel/Ipespe [43] 30 Aug – 1 Sep1,10035%44%9%5%2%5%9%
Datafolha [44] 30 Aug – 1 Sep5,73432%45%9%5%3%6%13%
PoderData [45] 28–30 Aug3,50036%44%8%4%1%5%8%
Paraná Pesquisas [46] 26–30 Aug2,02037.1%41.3%7.7%2.4%1.6%9.9%4.2%
XP/Ipespe [47] 26–29 Aug2,00035%43%9%5%1%6%8%
28 AugFirst presidential debate. [48]
BTG/FSB [49] 26–28 Aug2,00036%43%9%4%2%7%7%
Ipec [50] 26–28 Aug2,00032%44%7%3%1%13%12%
Quaest [51] 25–28 Aug2,00032%44%8%3%2%11%12%
CNT/MDA [52] 25–28 Aug2,00234.1%42.3%7.3%2.1%1.1%12.8%8.2%
26 AugBeginning of the period allowed for political advertisement on television and radio.
Atlas [53] 20–25 Aug7,47538.3%46.7%6.4%3.6%3.1%1.9%8.4%
Exame/Ideia [54] 19–24 Aug1,50036%44%9%4%3.6%5%8%
Paraná Pesquisas [55] 19–23 Aug2,02037%41.7%7.3%2.7%1%10.1%4.7%
BTG/FSB [56] 19–21 Aug2,00036%45%6%3%2%9%9%
Datafolha [57] 16–18 Aug5,74432%47%7%2%1%8%15%
16 AugOfficial beginning of the election campaign.
PoderData [58] 14–16 Aug3,50037%44%6%4%1%7%7%
IPEC [59] 12–14 Aug2,00032%44%6%2%1%15%12%
FSB Comunicação [60] 12–14 Aug2,00034%45%8%2%3%8%11%
Quaest/Genial [61] 11–14 Aug2,00033%45%6%3%1%12%12%
FSB Comunicação [62] 5–7 Aug2,00034%41%7%3%4%11%7%
5 AugBrazil Union formally launches the candidacy of senator Soraya Thronicke. [63]
4 Aug André Janones (Avante) withdraws his candidacy; endorses Lula. [64]
PoderData [65] 31 Jul – 2 Aug3,50035%43%7%4%4%6%8%
Paraná Pesquisas [66] 28 Jul – 1 Aug2,02035.6%41.1%7.9%1.8%3.3%10.3%5.5%
31 JulCongressman Luciano Bivar (Brazil Union) withdraws his candidacy. [67]
Quaest/Genial [68] 28–31 Jul2,00032%44%5%2%5%12%12%
Datafolha [69] 27–28 Jul2,56629%47%8%2%5%9%18%
BTG/FSB [70] 22–24 Jul2,00031%44%9%2%4%10%13%
XP/Ipespe [71] 20–22 Jul2,00035%44%9%4%2%6%9%
20 JulBeginning of the period for the realization of party conventions. [72]
Exame/Ideia [73] 15–20 Jul1,50033%44%8%4%4%7%11%
PoderData [74] 17–19 Jul3,00037%43%6%3%3%8%6%
BTG/FSB [75] 8–10 Jul2,00032%41%9%4%6%8%9%
32%42%9%4%4%9%10%
PoderData [76] 3–5 Jul3,00036%44%5%3%3%9%8%
Quaest/Genial [77] 29 Jun – 2 Jul2,00031%45%6%2%4%12%14%
31%45%7%3%3%11%14%
31%47%8%3%0%12%16%

Apr–Jun

Publisher/PollsterPolling
period		Sample
size		 Jair Bolsonaro em 24 de abril de 2019 (1) (cropped).jpg
Bolsonaro
PL 		Foto oficial de Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (ombros).jpg
Lula
PT 		Ciro Gomes (cropped).jpg
Gomes
PDT 		Foto oficial de Joao Doria como Governador de Sao Paulo (cropped 2).jpg
Doria
PSDB 		Others
[a] 		Blank/Null/
Undec.		Lead
BTG/FSB [78] 24–26 Jun2,00033%43%8%—7%9%10%
Modalmais/Futura [79] 20–24 Jun2,00037.6%38.9%7.3%—5.1%11%1.3%
Datafolha [80] 22–23 Jun2,55628%47%8%—5%11%19%
Exame/Ideia [81] 17–22 Jun1,50036%45%7%—6%7%9%
PoderData [82] 19–21 Jun3,00034%44%6%—5%9%10%
BTG/FSB [83] 10–12 Jun2,00032%44%9%—4%8%12%
PoderData [84] 5–7 Jun3,00035%43%6%—5%10%8%
Quaest/Genial [85] 2–5 Jun2,00030%46%7%—4%13%16%
29%47%9%—3%12%18%
30%48%9%—3%11%18%
Instituto GERP [86] 30 May – 3 Jun2,09537%39%8%—6%10%2%
37%39%7%—8%9%2%
XP/Ipespe [87] 30 May – 1 Jun1,00034%45%9%—6%7%11%
Paraná Pesquisas [88] 26–30 May2,02035.3%41.4%7.7%—5.4%10.1%6.1%
BTG/FSB [89] 27–29 May2,00032%46%9%—3%8%14%
Datafolha [90] 25–26 May2,55627%48%7%—6%11%21%
XP/Ipespe [91] 23–25 May1,00034%45%8%—7%5%11%
CNN Brasil/Real Time Big Data [92] 23–24 May3,00032%40%9%—5%13%8%
PoderData [93] 22–24 May3,00035%43%5%1%7%10%8%
23 MayFacing pressure from within his own party, João Doria, former governor of São Paulo, withdraws his candidacy. [94] [95]
Modalmais/Futura [96] 16–19 May2,00036%41%5.6%2.5%4.1%10.8%5%
Exame/Ideia [97] 14–19 May1,50032%41%9%2%5.2%12%9%
33%40%8%—6.9%14%7%
XP/Ipespe [98] 16–18 May1,00032%44%8%4%4%8%12%
XP/Ipespe [99] 9–11 May1,00032%44%8%3%3%10%12%
PoderData [100] 8–10 May3,00035%42%5%4%5%9%7%
35%42%7%5%5%7%7%
Quaest/Genial [101] 5–8 May2,00029%46%7%3%5%9%17%
31%46%9%4%—10%15%
33%50%—5%—12%17%
33%48%10%——10%15%
7 MayFormer President Lula formally launches his candidacy. [102] [103]
CNT/MDA [104] 4–7 May2,00232%40.6%7.1%3.1%5.1%12.1%8.6%
XP/Ipespe [105] 2–4 May1,00031%44%8%3%4%10%13%
Paraná Pesquisas [106] 28 Apr – 3 May2,02035.2%40%7.4%3.2%3.4%10.7%4.8%
35.7%42.6%—4.9%4%12.8%6.9%
PoderData [107] 24–26 Apr3,00036%41%6%4%5%7%5%
BTG/FSB [108] 22–24 Apr2,00032%41%9%3%5%9%9%
XP/Ipespe [109] 18–20 Apr1,00031%45%8%3%4%10%14%
Exame/Ideia [110] 15–20 Apr1,50033%42%10%3%5%7%9%
14 Apr Brazil Union announces the candidacy of congressman Luciano Bivar. [111]
13 Apr Workers' Party national committee formally approves Geraldo Alckmin as Lula's running mate. [112]
PoderData [113] 10–12 Apr3,00035%40%5%3%6%11%5%
XP/Ipespe [114] 2–5 Apr1,00030%44%9%3%3%12%14%
Paraná Pesquisas [115] 31 Mar – 5 Apr2,02035.3%41.5%5.8%3.1%1.2%13.1%6.2%
Quaest/Genial [116] 1–3 Apr2,00031%45%6%2%4%12%14%

Jan–Mar

Publisher/PollsterPolling
period		Sample
size		 Jair Bolsonaro em 24 de abril de 2019 (1) (cropped).jpg
Bolsonaro
PL 		Foto oficial de Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (ombros).jpg
Lula
PT 		Senador da Republica Sergio Moro.jpg
Moro
PODE 		Ciro Gomes (cropped).jpg
Gomes
PDT 		Foto oficial de Joao Doria como Governador de Sao Paulo (cropped 2).jpg
Doria
PSDB 		Others
[a] 		Blank/Null/
Undec.		Lead
Instituto GERP [117] 31 Mar – 5 Apr2,09535%37%6%5%1%2%7%2%
31 MarFormer Minister Moro leaves Podemos and joins Brazil Union, suspending his candidacy. [118]
PoderData [119] 27–29 Mar3,00032%41%6%7%3%4%7%9%
Modalmais/Futura [120] 21–25 Mar2,00035.5%38.5%5.3%5.1%1.3%4.8%9.4%3%
Datafolha [121] 22–23 Mar2,55626%43%8%6%2%5%8%17%
26%43%8%7%—6%10%17%
26%44%8%7%2%5%8%18%
26%43%8%8%—5%9%17%
XP/Ipespe [122] 21–23 Mar1,00026%44%9%7%2%4%9%18%
Exame/Ideia [123] 18–23 Mar1,50029%40%9%9%1%5%6%11%
FSB [124] 18–20 Mar2,00029%43%8%9%2%5%5%14%
PoderData [125] 13–15 Mar3,00030%40%7%7%2%6%8%10%
Quaest/Genial [126] 10–13 Mar2,00026%44%7%7%2%3%13%18%
25%45%6%7%2%4%10%20%
28%48%—8%—3%12%20%
Ranking Brasil [127] 7–12 Mar3,00032.4%39%7.2%6.5%2.4%—10.5%6.6%
Instituto GERP [126] 7–10 Mar2,09531%38%7%5%2%1%8%7%
9 MarSenator Rodrigo Pacheco (PSD) announces he will not run for president. [128]
XP/Ipespe [129] 7–9 Mar1,00028%43%8%8%3%3%9%15%
Paraná Pesquisas [130] 3–8 Mar2,02030.9%38.9%7.4%6.8%2.2%2.5%11.2%8%
PoderData [131] 27 Feb – 1 Mar3,00032%40%6%7%2%6%8%8%
Ipespe [132] 21–23 Feb1,00026%43%8%7%3%4%9%17%
Exame/Ideia [133] 18–22 Feb1,50027%42%10%8%3%3.7%6%15%
CNT/MDA [134] 16–19 Feb2,00228%42.2%6.4%6.7%1.8%2.7%12.2%14.2%
Modalmais/Futura [120] 14–17 Feb2,00034.7%35%7.5%5.8%1.8%4.5%10.5%0.3%
PoderData [135] 13–15 Feb3,00031%40%9%4%3%4%8%9%
XP/Ipespe [136] 7–9 Feb1,00025%43%8%8%3%2%12%18%
Quaest/Genial [137] 3–6 Feb2,00023%45%7%7%2%3%13%22%
Paraná Pesquisas [138] 27 Jan – 1 Feb2,02029.1%40.1%10.1%5.6%2.4%2.4%10.3%11%
PoderData [139] 31 Jan – 1 Feb3,00030%41%7%7%2%5%8%11%
XP/Ipespe [140] 24–25 Jan1,00024%44%8%8%2%3%12%20%
Modalmais/Futura [141] 17–21 Jan2,00033.2%39.5%8.4%7.5%3.2%—8.2%6.3%
PoderData [142] 16–18 Jan3,00028%42%8%3%2%4%12%14%
Exame/Ideia [143] 9–13 Jan1,50024%41%11%7%4%1%11%17%
XP/Ipespe [144] 10–12 Jan1,00024%44%9%7%2%3%13%20%
Quaest/Genial [145] 6–9 Jan2,00023%45%9%5%3%1%12%22%

2021

Publisher/PollsterPolling
period		Sample
size		 Jair Bolsonaro em 24 de abril de 2019 (1) (cropped).jpg
Bolsonaro
PL 		Foto oficial de Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (ombros).jpg
Lula
PT 		Senador da Republica Sergio Moro.jpg
Moro
PODE 		Ciro Gomes (cropped).jpg
Gomes
PDT 		Foto oficial de Joao Doria como Governador de Sao Paulo (cropped 2).jpg
Doria
PSDB 		Presidencia do Senado (49669140056) (cropped).jpg
Mandetta
UNION 		Senador Rodrigo Pacheco.jpg
Pacheco
PSD 		Lancamento do Programa de Integridade - MPO, IBGE e Ipea (cropped).jpg
Tebet
MDB 		OthersBlank/Null/
Undec.		Lead
PoderData [146] 19–21 Dec3,00030%40%7%4%4%——1%3%11%10%
Ipespe [147] 14–16 Dec1,00024%44%9%7%3%—1%—1%12%20%
23%43%9%7%3%——1%2%9%20%
Datafolha [148] 13–16 Dec3,66622%48%9%7%4%————10%26%
Ipec [149] 9–13 Dec2,00222%49%8%5%3%————13%27%
21%48%6%5%2%——1%3%14%27%
Exame/Ideia [150] 6–9 Dec1,20027%37%10%6%4%—1%—2%10%10%
Publisher/PollsterPolling
period		Sample
size		 Jair Bolsonaro em 24 de abril de 2019 (1) (cropped).jpg
Bolsonaro
PL 		Foto oficial de Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (ombros).jpg
Lula
PT 		Senador da Republica Sergio Moro.jpg
Moro
PODE 		Ciro Gomes (cropped).jpg
Gomes
PDT 		Foto oficial de Joao Doria como Governador de Sao Paulo (cropped 2).jpg
Doria
PSDB 		Eduardo Leite no Palacio Piratini em marco de 2019.jpg
Leite
PSDB 		Presidencia do Senado (49669140056) (cropped).jpg
Mandetta
UNION 		Senador Rodrigo Pacheco.jpg
Pacheco
PSD 		Others
[b] 		Blank/Null/
Undec.		Lead
8 Dec MDB confirms the candidacy of senator Simone Tebet. [152]
Quaest/Genial [153] 2–5 Dec2,03723%46%10%5%2%——1%1%11%23%
30 NovPresident Bolsonaro joins the Liberal Party. [154]
Atlas Político [155] 27–29 Nov4,40131.5%42.8%13.7%6.1%1.7%——0.9%0.1%3.2%11.3%
27 NovGovernor of São Paulo João Doria wins the PSDB presidential primary. [156]
Ipespe [157] 22–24 Nov1,00025%42%11%9%2%—1%1%1%3%17%
24%42%11%9%—2%—2%1%8%18%
PoderData [158] 22–24 Nov2,50029%34%8%7%5%—3%—4%9%5%
27%36%8%9%—5%2%—3%8%9%
Futura/ModalMais [159] 16–20 Nov2,00030.8%37%13.6%7.5%1.9%———2.1%7.1%6.2%
Paraná Pesquisas [160] 16–19 Nov2,02029.2%34.9%10.7%6.1%3.1%—1.2%0.4%1.6%13.4%5.7%
29.8%35.1%11%6.1%—1.6%—0.6%1.2%13.6%5.3%
Ponteio Política [161] 16–18 Nov1,000—37%18%11%3%————31%19%
24%37%11%8%3%————17%13%
Exame/Ideia [162] 9–11 Nov1,20025%35%5%7%2%2%1%1%2%20%10%
Quaest/Genial [163] 3–6 Nov2,06321%48%8%6%2%——1%—14%27%
21%47%8%7%—1%—1%—14%26%
Vox Populi [164] 30 Oct – 4 Nov2,00021%44%3%4%1%—1%—3%22%23%
21%45%3%5%—1%1%—3%21%24%
XP/Ipespe [165] 25–28 Oct1,00028%42%—11%4%—3%2%—10%14%
25%41%8%9%—3%3%2%4%5%16%
PoderData [166] 25–27 Oct2,50028%35%8%5%4%—4%1%6%9%7%
30%34%7%7%—3%4%1%7%7%4%
23 Oct PSD confirms the candidacy of senator Rodrigo Pacheco. [167]
22 OctFormer Judge and Justice Minister Moro confirms candidacy. [168]
Quaest/Genial [169] 30 Sep – 3 Oct2,04824%43%—10%————11%12%19%
24%44%10%9%—————12%20%
26%45%—10%6%————13%19%
PoderData [170] 27–29 Sep2,50030%40%—5%3%—3%2%6%11%10%
28%43%—5%—4%3%1%4%11%15%
Ipespe [171] 22–24 Sep1,00028%43%—11%5%—4%2%—7%15%
25%42%7%9%5%3%3%1%4%6%17%
Ipec [172] 16–20 Sep2,00223%48%—8%3%—3%——14%25%
22%45%5%6%2%—3%1%3%14%23%
Datatempo [173] 9–15 Sep2,02522%36%5.6%7.8%2%———13.4%14.2%14%
Datafolha [174] 13–15 Sep3,66726%44%—9%4%—3%——12%18%
25%42%—12%—4%2%——13%17%
25%44%—11%6%————12%19%
24%42%—10%5%——1%7%12%18%
Paraná Pesquisas [175] 1–5 Sep2,01230.9%35.5%—9.7%7.4%————16.5%4.6%
PoderData [176] 30 Aug – 1 Sep2,50028%37%—8%4%—5%4%3%11%9%
Quaest/Genial [177] 26–29 Aug2,00026%47%—8%6%————13%21%
XP/Ipespe [178] 11–14 Aug1,00024%40%9%10%5%4%4%——9%16%
28%37%—11%5%——1%5%13%9%
PoderData [179] 2–4 Aug2,50025%39%—8%6%—4%—7%11%14%
Quaest/Genial [180] 29 Jul – 1 Aug1,50029%46%—12%—————13%17%
27%44%—10%————10%10%17%
Paraná Pesquisas [181] 24–28 Jul2,01032.7%33.7%—6.8%3.9%—1.8%0.8%7.7%12.7%1%
Datafolha [182] 7–8 Jul2,07425%46%—8%5%—4%——12%21%
XP/Ipespe [183] 5–7 Jul1,00026%38%9%10%2%—3%—3%13%12%
27%35%—11%—4%5%—6%13%8%
Publisher/PollsterPolling
period		Sample
size		 Jair Bolsonaro em 24 de abril de 2019 (1) (cropped).jpg
Bolsonaro
Indep. 		Foto oficial de Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (ombros).jpg
Lula
PT 		Fernando Haddad posse min. da Fazenda.jpg
Haddad
PT 		Flavio Dino, ministro do STF.png
Dino
PCdoB 		Ciro Gomes (cropped).jpg
Gomes
PDT 		Audiencia Publica - Guilherme Boulos (cropped).jpg
Boulos
PSOL 		Foto oficial de Joao Doria como Governador de Sao Paulo (cropped 2).jpg
Doria
PSDB 		Joao Amoedo no Canal do Otario (cropped).jpg
Amoêdo
NOVO 		Senador da Republica Sergio Moro.jpg
Moro
PODE 		Luciano Huck in April 2019.jpg
Huck
Indep.		OthersBlank/Null/
Undec.		Lead
Exame/Ideia [184] 22–24 Jun1,20031%39%——14%—8%————8%8%
Instituto Ipec [185] 17–21 Jun2,00223%49%——7%—5%———3%13%26%
16 Jun Huck withdraws candidacy. [186]
Instituto Mapa [187] 18–20 May2,00026.8%36.8%——5.0%—3.3%2.6%5.1%4.5%2.7%13.5%10%
Vox Populi [188] 12–16 May2,00024%43%——5%—2%2%—8%—14%19%
Datafolha [189] 11–12 May2,07123%41%——6%—3%2%7%4%2% [c] 13%18%
Exame/Ideia [190] 19–22 Apr1,20032%33%——9%—4%3%—6%5% [d] 9%1%
PoderData [191] 12–14 Apr3,50031%34%——6%—4%5%3%6%2% [e] 9%3%
XP/Ipespe [192] 29–31 Mar1,00028%29%——9%3%3%—9%5%3% [f] 12%1%
PoderData [193] 15–17 Mar3,50030%34%——5%—3%3%6%4%2% [g] 13%4%
Revista Fórum/Offerwise [194] 11–15 Mar1,00030.7%31.2%——7.4%—6.4%————24.3%0.5%
29.2%27.1%—0.2%6.1%1.5%4.9%1.6%7.8%6.8%—14.6%2.1%
31.2%—13.3%—7.7%3.2%7.0%2.0%—6.8%—28.8%17.9%
XP/Ipespe [195] 9–11 Mar1,00027%25%——9%3%3%3%10%6%2% [h] 13%2%
28%—11%—11%6%4%3%11%7%3% [i] 17%17%
Exame/Ideia [196] 10–11 Mar1,00033%18%——9%5%7%3%11%6%2%7%15%
Atlas [197] 8–10 Mar3,72132.7%27.4%—0.7%7.5%0.9%4.3%2.0%9.7%2.5%5.0%6.1%5.3%
32.3%—15.7%1.3%11.6%2.3%5.3%2.5%10.4%4.4%6.0%7.1%16.6%
CNN Brasil/Real Time Big Data [198] 8–9 Mar1,20031%21%——9%—4%2%10%7%—15%10%
8 Mar Lula's corruption charges annulled; political rights restored. [199]
Paraná Pesquisas [200] 28 Feb − 1 Mar2,08037.6%—14.3%—13%—6.9%3.9%——2.7%21.5%23.3%
32.2%18%——8.7%3.5%5.3%3%11.6%—1.4%16.3%14.2%
32.9%—10.8%—10.3%3.2%—3%12%8.7%2.3%17.2%20.4%
33.9%—11.8%—10.7%3.2%6.3%3.2%12.3%——18.6%21.6%
31.9%—10.5%—10%3.2%5.3%2.8%11.5%8%—16.8%20.5%
Exame/ideia [201] 24−28 Jan1,20036%17%——11%8%6%————22%19%
33%15%——10%5%———10%—26%18%
32%17%—3%10%5%3%—7%8%1%15%15%
Paraná Pesquisas [202] 22−26 Jan2,00230.5%—9.5%—10.6%3.5%5.4%2.9%12%8.1%—17.4%18.5%
31%17.3%——9.2%3.6%5.3%3.3%12.1%——15.8%13.7%
33.7%—11.7%1%12.1%—6.7%3.1%—9.4%3.8%19.1%21.6%
Atlas [203] 20−24 Jan3,07334.4%—13.4%—11.6%—4.3%—11.6%—4.8%19.9%21%
34.5%22.3%—1.4%8.8%—3.6%—11.3%1.9%3.4%12.8%12.2%
XP/Ipespe [204] 11−14 Jan1,00028%—11%—11%5%4%3%12%7%—18%16%
2018 general election 7 Oct—46.03%—29.28%—12.47%0.58%4.76%2.50%——3.38%—16.75%

2020

Publisher/PollsterPolling
period		Sample
size		 Jair Bolsonaro em 24 de abril de 2019 (1) (cropped).jpg
Bolsonaro
Indep. 		Foto oficial de Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (ombros).jpg
Lula
PT 		Fernando Haddad posse min. da Fazenda.jpg
Haddad
PT 		Flavio Dino, ministro do STF.png
Dino
PCdoB 		Ciro Gomes (cropped).jpg
Gomes
PDT 		Audiencia Publica - Guilherme Boulos (cropped).jpg
Boulos
PSOL 		Foto oficial de Joao Doria como Governador de Sao Paulo (cropped 2).jpg
Doria
PSDB 		Joao Amoedo no Canal do Otario (cropped).jpg
Amoêdo
NOVO 		Senador da Republica Sergio Moro.jpg
Moro
PODE 		Luciano Huck in April 2019.jpg
Huck
Indep.		OthersBlank/Null/
Undec.		Lead
PoderData [205] 21−23 Dec2,50036%—13%1%10%5%3%3%7%9%1%12%23%
XP/Ipespe [206] 7−9 Dec1,00029%—12%—9%5%4%3%11%7%2%19%17%
Exame/Ideia [207] 30 Nov − 3 Dec1,20028%16%—1%7%—4%1%10%4%4%24%12%
Paraná Pesquisas [208] 28 Nov − 1 Dec2,03633.3%—8.8%—10%5.7%3.7%2.8%11.8%7.8%—16%21.5%
32.9%17.8%——7.7%4.9%3.8%2.8%11.9%——15.2%15.1%
35.8%—11.5%1.2%12.1%—4.8%3.5%—9.5%2.7%19.1%23.7%
XP/Ipespe [206] 18−20 Nov1.00029%—13%—8%5%3%4%13%7%3%19%16%
XP/Ipespe [209] 8−11 Oct1,00031%—14%—10%—3%3%11%5%3%20%17%
Exame/Ideia [210] 5−8 Oct1,20030%18%—1%9%—4%1%10%5%3%19%12%
PoderData [211] 14−16 Sep2,50035%—10%4%7%—5%—13%—7%19%22%
35%21%—3%3%—4%—11%—5%18%14%
Exame/Ideia [212] 24−31 Aug1,23531%17%—1%6%—3%3%13%5%5%14%14%
Revista Fórum/Offerwise [213] 21−24 Aug1,00041.7%—14.8%1.2%7.7%—3.7%2.3%13.3%9.7%1.6%—26.9%
PoderData [214] 3−5 Aug2,50038%—14%3%6%—4%—10%—5%20%24%
Paraná Pesquisas [215] 18−21 Jul2,03029%—13.4%—9.9%—4.0%3.4%17.1%6.5%1.7%14.9%11.9%
27.5%21.9%——8.3%—3.8%3.4%16.8%—1.6%14.1%5.6%
30.7%—14.5%1.6%10.7%—4.6%4%—8.3%6.6%18.9%16.2%
Quaest [216] 14−17 Jun1,00022%—13%—12%—2%—19%5%3%23%3%
Paraná Pesquisas [217] 27–29 Apr2,00627%—14.1%—10.3%—3.7%4%18.1%6%2.2%14.6%8.9%
26.3%23.1%——8.1%—3.8%4%17.5%—1.9%13%3.2%
29.1%—15.4%1.4%11.1%—4.4%4.5%—8.1%7.9%18.1%13.7%
Veja/FSB [218] 7–10 Feb2,00037%—13%—11%—3%5%—12%—21%24%
31%28%——8%—4%5%—11%—12%3%
28%—15%—9%—3%4%17%13%—12%11%
——14%—12%—4%5%31%16%—19%5%
—28%——9%—3%5%33%10%—13%5%
Atlas Político [219] 7–9 Feb2,00041%——13%——2.5%——14%—27%27%
32%28%—3%——0.6%—20%14%—9%4%
CNT/MDA [220] 15–18 Jan2,00229.1%17%2.3%—3.5%—0.3%1.1%2.4%0.5%2.7%30.2%12.2%
2018 general election 7 Oct—46.03%—29.28%—12.47%0.58%4.76%2.50%——3.38%—16.75%

2019

Publisher/PollsterPolling
period		Sample
size		 Jair Bolsonaro em 24 de abril de 2019 (1) (cropped).jpg
Bolsonaro
Indep. 		Foto oficial de Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (ombros).jpg
Lula
PT 		Fernando Haddad posse min. da Fazenda.jpg
Haddad
PT 		Ciro Gomes (cropped).jpg
Gomes
PDT 		Foto oficial de Joao Doria como Governador de Sao Paulo (cropped 2).jpg
Doria
PSDB 		Joao Amoedo no Canal do Otario (cropped).jpg
Amoêdo
NOVO 		Senador da Republica Sergio Moro.jpg
Moro
PODE 		Luciano Huck in April 2019.jpg
Huck
Indep.		OthersBlank/Null/
Undec.		Lead
Veja/FSB [221] 11 Nov – 2 Dec2,00033%—15%11%3%5%—12%—22%18%
32%29%—9%4%5%—9%—12%3%
28%—16%11%2%4%15%13%—12%12%
——16%12%4%4%32%15%—17%16%
—29%—9%4%5%32%10%—11%3%
Veja/FSB [222] 11–14 Oct2,00034%—17%9%3%5%—11%—21%18%
24%—14%10%3%4%17%15%—13%7%
——16%11%5%5%30%16%—17%14%
Veja/FSB [223] 16–18 Aug2,00035%—17%11%3%5%—11%—18%18%
——18%13%5%5%27%13%—19%9%
2018 general election 7 Oct—46.03%—29.28%12.47%4.76%2.50%——4.96%—16.75%

Second round

The second round took place on 30 October 2022. [1]

Bolsonaro vs. Lula

Local regression of polls conducted Opinion polling for the 2022 Brazilian presidential election (Second round).svg
Local regression of polls conducted

Polling aggregation

AggregatorLast update Jair Bolsonaro em 24 de abril de 2019 (1) (cropped).jpg
Bolsonaro
PL 		Foto oficial de Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (ombros).jpg
Lula
PT 		Blank/Null/
Undec.		Lead
The Economist [3] 29 Oct 202248%52%—Lula +4
Veja [4] 29 Oct 202243.5%48.4%8.1%Lula +4.9
Estadão [5] 29 Oct 202244%49%7%Lula +5
CNN Brasil [224] 29 Oct 202243.6%49.6%6.7%Lula +6.0
PollingData [7] 29 Oct 202245.3%46.1%9%Lula +0.8
El Electoral [225] 26 Oct 202245%49%6%Lula +4
Pollstergraph [10] 29 Oct 202245.3%47.6%7.1%Lula +2.3

After 2 October 2022

Publisher/PollsterPolling
period		Sample
size		 Jair Bolsonaro em 24 de abril de 2019 (1) (cropped).jpg
Bolsonaro
PL 		Foto oficial de Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (ombros).jpg
Lula
PT 		Blank/Null/
Undec.		Lead
Results30 Oct 2022Valid votes49.1%50.9%(N/A)1.8%
Total votes46.8%48.6%4.6%1.7% [j]
Datafolha [226] 28–29 Oct 20228,30845%49%7%4%
Genial/Quaest [227] 27–29 Oct 20222,00042%45%13%3%
Ipec [228] 27–29 Oct 20224,27243%50%7%7%
Atlas [229] 26–29 Oct 20227,50045.7%52.4%1.9%6.7%
CNT/MDA [230] 26–28 Oct 20222,00244.9%46.9%8.2%2%
Paraná Pesquisas [231] 26–28 Oct 20222,40046.3%47.1%6.6%0.8%
28 Oct 2022Fourth presidential debate.
Datafolha [232] 25–27 Oct 20224,58044%49%7%5%
ModalMais/Futura [233] 24–26 Oct 20222,00047.2%46.6%6.1%0.6%
Gerp [234] 21–26 Oct 20222,09547%43%9%4%
PoderData [235] 23–25 Oct 20225,00044%49%7%5%
Genial/Quaest [236] 23–25 Oct 20222,00042%48%10%6%
Abrapel/Ipespe [237] 22–24 Oct 20221,10044%50%6%6%
Ipec [238] 22–24 Oct 20223,00843%50%7%7%
Paraná Pesquisas [239] 20–24 Oct 20222,02045.9%46.3%7.8%0.4%
23 Oct 2022Third presidential debate. Lula did not attend.
Atlas [240] 18–22 Oct 20224,50046.2%52.0%1.8%5.8%
21 Oct 2022Second presidential debate. Lula did not attend.
ModalMais/Futura [241] 17–19 Oct 20222,00046.9%45.9%7.1%1.0%
Datafolha [242] 17–19 Oct 20222,91245%49%5%4%
Paraná Pesquisas [243] 15–19 Oct 20222,02044.5%46.9%8.6%2.4%
Ideia [244] 14–19 Oct 20221,50046%50%4%4%
Abrapel/Ipespe [245] 17–18 Oct 20221,10043%49%8%6%
PoderData [246] 16–18 Oct 20225,00044%48%8%4%
Genial/Quaest [247] 16–18 Oct 20222,00042%47%11%5%
Ipec [248] 11–17 Oct 20223,00843%50%7%7%
16 Oct 2022First presidential debate for second round.
CNT/MDA [249] 14–16 Oct 20222,00241.8%48.1%10.1%6.3%
Datafolha [250] 13–14 Oct 20222,89845%49%6%5%
ModalMais/Futura [251] 10–12 Oct 20222,00046.5%46.9%6.6%0.4%
Abrapel/Ipespe [252] 10–12 Oct 20222,00043%49%8%6%
Atlas [253] 8–12 Oct 20224,50046.5%51.1%3.3%4.6%
Paraná Pesquisas [254] 8–12 Oct 20222,02044.1%47.6%8.4%3.5%
PoderData [255] 9–11 Oct 20225,00044%48%8%4%
Gerp [256] 6–11 Oct 20222,09546%48%6%2%
Abrapel/Ipespe [257] 8–10 Oct 20221,10043%50%7%7%
IPEC [258] 8–10 Oct 20222,00042%51%7%9%
Datafolha [259] 5–7 Oct 20222,88444%49%7%5%
Genial/Quaest [260] 3–5 Oct 20222,00041%48%11%7%
PoderData [261] 3–5 Oct 20223,50044%48%8%4%
IPEC [262] 3–5 Oct 20222,00043%51%6%8%
ModalMais/Futura [263] 3–4 Oct 20222,00046.0%49.3%4.7%3.3%

2021 to 2 October 2022

Publisher/PollsterPolling
period		Sample
size		 Jair Bolsonaro em 24 de abril de 2019 (1) (cropped).jpg
Bolsonaro
PL 		Foto oficial de Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (ombros).jpg
Lula
PT 		Blank/Null/
Undec.		Lead
Datafolha [264] 30 Sep – 1 Oct 202212,80038%54%8%16%
IPEC [12] 29 Sep – 1 Oct 20223,00837%52%11%15%
Abrapel/Ipespe [13] 30 Sep 20221,10038%55%7%17%
Atlas [14] 28–30 Sep 20224,50042.8%53.1%4.1%10.3%
CNT/MDA [15] 28–30 Sep 20222,00241.2%50.4%8.4%9.2%
Atlas [17] 24–28 Sep 20224,50042.4%51.8%5.8%9.4%
Exame/Ideia [18] 23–28 Sep 20221,50041%52%7%11%
Genial/Quaest [19] 24–27 Sep 20222,00038%52%10%14%
Atlas [20] 22–26 Sep 20224,50043.7%51.3%5%7.6%
Ipec [21] 25–26 Sep 20223,00835%54%14%19%
BTG Pactual/FSB [22] 23–25 Sep 20222,00040%52%8%12%
Abrapel/Ipespe [24] 21–23 Sep 20221,10038%54%8%16%
Datafolha [25] 20–22 Sep 20226,75438%54%9%16%
XP/Ipespe [26] 19–21 Sep 20222,00037%54%9%17%
PoderData [265] 18–20 Sep 20223,50042%50%8%8%
Genial/Quaest [28] 17–20 Sep 20222,00040%50%10%10%
Arko/Atlas [29] 16–20 Sep 20227,51441.4%53.1%5.5%11.7%
Ipec [266] 17–18 Sep 20223,00835%54%11%19%
BTG/FSB [31] 16–18 Sep 20222,00039%52%9%13%
Aprapel/Ipespe [32] 14–16 Sep 20221,10038%53%9%15%
Datafolha [33] 13–15 Sep 20225,92638%54%8%16%
PoderData [267] 11–13 Sep 20223,50042%51%6%9%
Genial/Quaest [35] 10–13 Sep 20222,00040%48%12%8%
Globo/Ipec [36] 9–11 Sep 20222,51236%53%12%17%
BTG/FSB [37] 9–11 Sep 20222,00038%51%11%13%
Datafolha [38] 8–9 Sep 20222,67639%53%9%14%
Abrapel/Ipespe [39] 7–9 Sep 20221,10039%52%9%13%
BTG/FSB [40] 2–4 Sep 20222,00040%53%8%13%
Globo/Ipec [41] 2–4 Sep 20222,51236%52%12%16%
Genial/Quaest [42] 1–4 Sep 20222,00039%51%10%12%
Abrapel/Ipespe [43] 30 Aug – 1 Sep 20221,10038%53%9%15%
PoderData [45] 28–30 Aug 20223,50041%50%9%9%
Paraná Pesquisas [46] 26–30 Aug 20222,02040.8%47.8%11.4%7%
XP/Ipespe [47] 26–29 Aug 20222,00038%53%9%15%
BTG/FSB [49] 26–28 Aug 20222,00039%52%9%13%
Ipec [50] 26–28 Aug 20222,00037%50%13%13%
Quaest [51] 25–28 Aug 20222,00037%51%13%14%
CNT/MDA [52] 25–28 Aug 20222,00238.8%50.1%11.1%11.3%
Modalmais/Futura [268] 24−25 Aug 20222,00043.8%45.3%10.9%1.5%
Atlas [53] 20–25 Aug 20227,47540.8%51.8%7.4%11%
Exame/Ideia [54] 19–24 Aug 20221,50040%49%11%9%
BTG/FSB [269] 19–21 Aug 20222,00039%52%9%13%
Datafolha [270] 16–18 Aug 20225,74437%54%10%17%
PoderData [58] 14–16 Aug 20223,50038%52%10%14%
Ipec [59] 12–14 Aug 20222,00035%51%14%16%
FSB Comunicação [60] 12–14 Aug 20222,00038%53%10%15%
Quaest/Genial [61] 11–14 Aug 20222,00038%51%11%13%
FSB Comunicação [62] 5–7 Aug 20223,50039%51%10%12%
PoderData [271] 31 Jul – 2 Aug 20223,50040%50%9%10%
Datafolha [69] 22–24 Jul 20222,56635%55%9%20%
BTG/FSB [70] 22–24 Jul 20222,00036%54%9%18%
Exame/Ideia [73] 15–20 Jul 20221,50037%47%11%10%
PoderData [272] 17–19 Jul 20223,00038%51%12%13%
BTG/FSB [75] 8–10 Jul 20222,00037%53%10%16%
PoderData [273] 3–5 Jul 20223,00038%50%12%12%
Quaest/Genial [77] 29 Jun – 2 Jul 20222,00034%53%13%19%
BTG/FSB [78] 24–26 Jun 20222,00037%52%10%15%
Datafolha [80] 22–23 Jun 20222,55634%57%9%23%
Exame/Ideia [81] 17–22 Jun 20221,50041%48%10%7%
PoderData [82] 19–21 Jun 20223,00035%52%13%17%
BTG/FSB [83] 10–12 Jun 20222,00036%54%8%18%
PoderData [274] 05–07 Jun 20223,00040%50%10%10%
Quaest/Genial [85] 02–05 Jun 20222,00032%54%12%22%
XP/Ipespe [87] 30 May – 1 Jun 20221,00035%53%12%18%
Paraná Pesquisas [88] 26–30 May 20222,02039.2%47.3%13.5%8.1%
BTG/FSB [89] 27–29 May 20222,00035%54%11%19%
Datafolha [90] 25–26 May 20222,55633%58%9%25%
XP/Ipespe [91] 23–25 May 20221,00035%53%12%18%
PoderData [93] 22–24 May 20223,00039%50%11%11%
Modalmais/Futura [96] 16–19 May 20222,00040.1%49%10.9%8.9%
Exame/Ideia14–19 May 20221,50039%46%15%7%
XP/Ipespe [98] 17–18 May 20221,00034%53%13%19%
XP/Ipespe [99] 9–11 May 20221,00035%54%10%19%
PoderData [100] 8–10 May 20223,00038%49%13%11%
Quaest/Genial [101] 5–8 May 20222,00034%54%11%20%
CNT/MDA [104] 4–7 May 20222,00236.8%50.8%12.4%14%
XP/Ipespe [105] 2–4 May 20221,00034%54%12%20%
Paraná Pesquisas [106] 28–3 May 20222,02038.7%46.4%15%7.7%
PoderData [275] 24–26 Apr 20223,00039%48%13%9%
BTG/FSB [108] 22–24 Apr 20222,00037%52%10%15%
XP/Ipespe [109] 18–20 Apr 20221,00034%54%12%20%
Exame/Ideia [110] 15–20 Apr 20221,50039%48%13%9%
PoderData [276] 10–12 Apr 20223,00038%47%15%9%
XP/Ipespe [114] 2–5 Apr 20221,00033%53%14%20%
Paraná Pesquisas [115] 31–5 Apr 20222,02038.5%47.1%14.4%8.6%
Quaest/Genial [116] 1–3 Apr 20222,00034%55%11%21%
PoderData [119] 27–29 Mar 20223,00038%50%12%12%
Futura/Modalmais [120] 21–25 Mar 20222,00041.6%48.6%9.8%7%
Datafolha [277] 22–23 Mar 20222,55634%55%11%21%
Exame/Ideia [123] 18–23 Mar 20221,50037%50%13%13%
FSB [124] 18–20 Mar 20222,00035%54%11%19%
PoderData [125] 13–15 Mar 20223,00036%50%14%14%
Quaest/Genial [126] 10–13 Mar 20222,00032%54%13%22%
Ranking Brasil [127] 7–12 Mar 20223,00038.3%45%16.7%6.7%
XP/Ipespe [136] 7–9 Mar 20221,00033%53%14%20%
Paraná Pesquisas [130] 3–8 Mar 20222,02037.3%46%16.7%8.7%
PoderData [278] 27–1 Mar 20223,00037%51%11%14%
Ipespe [132] 21–23 Feb 20221,00032%54%14%22%
Exame/Ideia [133] 18–22 Feb 20221,50035%49%16%14%
CNT/MDA [134] 16–19 Feb 20222,00235.3%53.2%17.9%17.9%
Futura/Modalmais [120] 14–17 Feb 20222,00040.1%48%11.9%7.9%
PoderData [135] 13–15 Feb 20223,00035%50%15%15%
XP/Ipespe [136] 7–9 Feb 20221,00031%54%15%23%
Quaest/Genial [137] 3–6 Feb 20222,00030%54%16%24%
Paraná Pesquisas [138] 27–1 Feb 20222,02034.4%48.8%16.8%14.4%
PoderData [139] 31–1 Feb 20223,00037%54%9%17%
XP/Ipespe [140] 24–25 Jan 20221,00030%54%16%24%
Futura/Modalmais [141] 17–21 Jan 20222,00037.8%50.4%11.8%12.6%
PoderData [142] 16–18 Jan 20223,00032%54%14%22%
Exame/Ideia [143] 9–13 Jan 20221,50033%49%18%16%
XP/Ipespe [144] 10–12 Jan 20221,00031%56%13%25%
Quaest/Genial [145] 6–9 Jan 20222,00030%54%16%24%
PoderData [146] 19–21 Dec 20213,00034%54%12%20%
Ipespe [147] 14–16 Dec 20211,00031%53%16%22%
Ipespe [157] 22–24 Nov 20211,00032%52%16%20%
PoderData [158] 22–24 Nov 20212,50031%54%15%23%
Paraná Pesquisas [160] 16–19 Nov 20212,02035.6%42.5%21.9%6.9%
Ponteio Política [161] 16–18 Nov 20211,00032%50%18%18%
Exame/Ideia [162] 9–11 Nov 20211,20031%48%21%17%
Quaest/Genial [163] 3–6 Nov 20212,06327%57%13%30%
XP/Ipespe [279] 25–28 Oct 20211,00032%50%18%18%
PoderData [166] 25–27 Oct 20212,50037%52%11%15%
PoderData [170] 27–29 Sep 20212,50033%56%11%23%
Datatempo [173] 9–15 Sep 20212,02530.1%53.1%16.8%23%
Datafolha [174] 13–15 Sep 20213,66731%56%14%25%
PoderData [176] 30–1 Sep 20212,50030%55%15%25%
Quaest/Genial [177] 26–29 Aug 20212,00030%55%15%25%
XP/Ipespe [178] 11–14 Aug 20211,00032%51%17%19%
PoderData [179] 2–4 Aug 20212,50032%52%16%20%
XP/Ipespe [183] 5–7 Jul 20211,00035%49%17%14%

Other

2021

Publisher/PollsterPolling
period		Sample
size		 Jair Bolsonaro em 24 de abril de 2019 (1) (cropped).jpg
Bolsonaro
Indep. 		Foto oficial de Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (ombros).jpg
Lula
PT 		Fernando Haddad posse min. da Fazenda.jpg
Haddad
PT 		Ciro Gomes (cropped).jpg
Gomes
PDT 		Audiencia Publica - Guilherme Boulos (cropped).jpg
Boulos
PSOL 		Foto oficial de Joao Doria como Governador de Sao Paulo (cropped 2).jpg
Doria
PSDB 		Senador da Republica Sergio Moro.jpg
Moro
PODE 		Luciano Huck in April 2019.jpg
Huck
Indep.		OthersBlank/Null/
Undec.		Lead
Datafolha [182] 7–8 Jul2,07431%58%———————11%27%
—56%———22%———21%34%
Vox Populi [188] 12–16 May2,00028%55%———————17%27%
—52%—19%—————29%33%
—56%———14%———30%42%
Datafolha [189] 11–12 May2,07132%55%———————13%23%
—53%————33%——14%20%
—57%—————21%—22%36%
36%——48%—————17%12%
39%————40%———22%1%
Exame/Ideia [190] 19–22 Apr1,20038%40%———————23%2%
PoderData [191] 12–14 Apr3,500
34%52%———————14%18%
35%——————48%—17%13%
38%————37%———25%1%
38%—————37%——25%1%
38%——38%—————24%Tie
XP/Ipespe [192] 29–31 Mar1,000
38%41%———————20%4%
30%—————30%——40%Tie
38%——38%—————33%Tie
35%——————32%—33%3%
38%———30%————32%8%
37%————30%———33%7%
—41%————36%——23%5%
PoderData [193] 15–17 Mar3,50036%41%———————23%5%
34%——39%—————27%5%
37%——————40%—23%3%
41%————31%———28%10%
38%—————31%——31%7%
Revista Fórum/Offerwise [194] 11–15 Mar1,00033.8%38.0%———————28.3%4.2%
—33.6%—16.7%—————49.6%16.9%
—36.9%———13.4%———49.8%23.5%
—35.4%—————17.4%—47.2%18.0%
—35.7%————24.5%——39.8%11.2%
XP/Ipespe [195] 9–11 Mar1,00041%40%———————19%1%
40%—36%——————24%4%
31%—————34%——35%3%
37%——————32%—30%5%
39%——37%—————25%2%
40%———30%————30%10%
39%————29%———32%10%
——30%———40%——30%10%
Exame/Ideia [196] 10–11 Mar1,00044%37%———————19%7%
45%——34%—————21%11%
47%————26%———26%21%
46%——————37%—17%9%
Atlas [197] —3,72136.9%———————46.6% [k] 16.5%9.7%
37.5%——44.7%—————17.8%7.2%
38.8%44.9%———————16.3%6.1%
39.4%—43.0%——————17.6%3.6%
39.8%————39.3%———20.9%0.5%
37.1%————————26.8%1.0%
34.3%—————33.1%——32.6%1.2%
37.3%——————32.5%—30.2%4.8%
CNN Brasil/Real Time Big Data [198] 8–9 Mar1,20043%39%———————18%4%
43%——36%—————21%7%
41%—————38%——21%3%
46%——————31%—23%15%
Exame/Ideia [201] 24−28 Jan1,20045%28%———————26%17%
41%——34%—————26%7%
45%————30%———24%15%
41%——————38%—21%3%
Paraná Pesquisas [202] 22−26 Jan2,00242.4%35.7%———————21.9%6.7%
39.1%—————37.6%——23.3%1.5%
43.7%——34.3%—————22.1%9.4%
44.9%————29.4%———25.8%15.5%
42.7%——————33.2%—24.1%9.5%
XP/Ipespe [204] 11−14 Jan1,00038%——————34%—28%4%
33%—————36%——31%3%
40%——37%—————23%3%
44%———31%————25%13%
42%—37%——————22%5%
——30%———43%——28%13%

2020

Publisher/PollsterPolling
period		Sample
size		 Jair Bolsonaro em 24 de abril de 2019 (1) (cropped).jpg
Bolsonaro
Indep. 		Foto oficial de Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (ombros).jpg
Lula
PT 		Fernando Haddad posse min. da Fazenda.jpg
Haddad
PT 		Ciro Gomes (cropped).jpg
Gomes
PDT 		Audiencia Publica - Guilherme Boulos (cropped).jpg
Boulos
PSOL 		Foto oficial de Joao Doria como Governador de Sao Paulo (cropped 2).jpg
Doria
PSDB 		Senador da Republica Sergio Moro.jpg
Moro
PODE 		Luciano Huck in April 2019.jpg
Huck
Indep.		OthersBlank/Null/
Undec.		Lead
PoderData [205] 21−23 Dec2,50044%——————38%—18%6%
43%—————36%——21%7%
44%——35%—————21%9%
46%———34%————20%12%
48%—35%——————17%13%
46%————31%———23%15%
XP/Ipespe [206] 7−9 Dec1,00036%—————34%——30%2%
45%—35%——————21%10%
40%——————33%—27%7%
43%——36%—————22%7%
47%———31%————22%16%
——27%———46%——28%19%
Exame/Ideia [207] 30 Nov − 3 Dec1,20037%32%———————31%5%
44%—————29%——27%15%
38%————22%———40%16%
37%——36%—————27%1%
36%——————32%—32%4%
Paraná Pesquisas [208] 28 Nov − 1 Dec2,03647%33.4%———————19.7%13.6%
44.9%—————34.7%——20.5%10.2%
48.5%——31%—————20.6%17.5%
51.1%————23.8%———25.1%27.3%
48.6%——————29.7%—21.7%18.9%
XP/Ipespe [206] 18−20 Nov1.00033%—————38%——28%5%
43%—37%——————20%6%
——25%———46%——29%21%
40%——————33%—27%7%
42%——39%—————19%3%
45%———31%————24%14%
XP/Ipespe [209] 8−11 Oct1,00042%———————30% [l] 28%12%
43%——35%—————22%8%
42%——————28%—30%14%
43%—35%——————22%8%
35%—————36%——29%1%
——26%———43%——31%17%
Exame/Ideia [210] 5−8 Oct1,20043%33%———————25%10%
42%————21%———38%21%
41%—————35%——25%6%
PoderData [211] 14−16 Sep2,50045%————32%———23%13%
48%——33%—————19%15%
40%—————37%——23%3%
45%—38%——————17%7%
41%41%———————18%Tie
Exame/Ideia [212] 24−31 Aug1,23542%31%———————27%11%
41%————17%———42%24%
38%—————31%——31%7%
PoderData [280] 3–5 Aug2,50044%————30%———26%14%
42%—34%——————24%8%
41%—————41%——18%Tie
Paraná Pesquisas [215] 18–21 Jul2,03046.6%—32%——————21.4%14.6%
44.7%—————35%——20.2%9.7%
45.6%36.4%———————18%9.2%
48.1%——31.1%—————20.9%17%
51.7%————23%———25.4%28.7%
50.8%——————27.6%—21.6%23.2%
Veja/FSB [218] 7–10 Feb2,00051%—33%——————16%18%
50%————25%———26%25%
45%——————37%—17%8%
48%40%———————11%8%
37%—————39%——25%2%
——30%———53%——17%23%
—40%————49%——12%9%
——30%————37%—34%7%
——————51%32%—16%19%
2018 general election 28 Oct—55.13%—44.87%——————10.26%

2019

Publisher/PollsterPolling
period		Sample
size		 Jair Bolsonaro em 24 de abril de 2019 (1) (cropped).jpg
Bolsonaro
Indep. 		Foto oficial de Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (ombros).jpg
Lula
PT 		Fernando Haddad posse min. da Fazenda.jpg
Haddad
PT 		Foto oficial de Joao Doria como Governador de Sao Paulo (cropped 2).jpg
Doria
PSDB 		Senador da Republica Sergio Moro.jpg
Moro
PODE 		Luciano Huck in April 2019.jpg
Huck
Indep.		OthersBlank/Null/
Undec.		Lead
Quaest [281] 26–27 Dec1,00046%32%—————22%14%
Veja/FSB [221] 11 Nov – 2 Dec2,00045%40%—————16%5%
47%—32%————21%15%
45%——26%———28%19%
44%————36%—19%8%
36%———36%——28%Tie
——29%—52%——18%23%
—39%——48%——12%9%
————50%31%—18%19%
——29%——39%—33%10%
Veja/FSB [222] 11–14 Oct2,00047%—34%————20%13%
46%——26%———29%20%
46%38%—————17%8%
43%————39%—19%7%
Veja/FSB [223] 16–18 Aug2,00048%—35%————18%13%
45%——29%———23%16%
——37%33%———31%4%
2018 general election 28 Oct—55.13%—44.87%—————10.26%

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 This column presents the sum of candidates who do not reach 3% frequently.
  2. ↑ TV presenter José Luiz Datena withdrew candidacy in November 2021, to run for a Senate seat. [151] Polls with his name are now added to the column "Others".
  3. ↑ Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 2%
  4. ↑ Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 3%; Danilo Gentili with 2%
  5. ↑ Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 2%
  6. ↑ Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 3%
  7. ↑ Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 2%
  8. ↑ Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 2%
  9. ↑ Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 3%
  10. ↑ The lead is smaller than the difference between the displayed values of 48.6% and 46.8%, which is 1.8%, due to rounding.
  11. ↑ Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 46.6%
  12. ↑ Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 30%

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References

  1. 1 2 3 4 "Datas das eleições". Tribunal Regional Eleitoral de Santa Catarina. Retrieved 3 October 2022.
  2. ↑ "Resultados – TSE". Tribunal Superior Eleitoral. Archived from the original on 2 November 2022. Retrieved 3 October 2022.
  3. 1 2 "How close is the race between Jair Bolsonaro and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva?". The Economist. Retrieved 1 October 2022.
  4. 1 2 "ÍNDICE 2022: AGREGADOR DE PESQUISAS". Veja (in Portuguese). Retrieved 1 October 2022.
  5. 1 2 "Agregador de Pesquisas - Eleições 2022 - Estadão". Estadão. Retrieved 19 September 2022.
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  7. 1 2 "Polling Data". pollingdata.com.br. Retrieved 1 October 2022.
  8. ↑ "Lula crece en las encuestas y se acerca a la mayoría absoluta en la primera vuelta de las eleccciones en Brasil". elpais.com. Retrieved 1 October 2022.
  9. ↑ "BRASIL". elelectoral.com/. Retrieved 1 October 2022.
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  12. 1 2 "Ipec, votos válidos: Lula, 51%; Bolsonaro, 37%". G1 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 1 October 2022.
  13. 1 2 Povo, Gazeta do. "Ipespe: confira nova pesquisa de intenção de voto para presidente". Gazeta do Povo (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 1 October 2022.
  14. 1 2 "Atlas Intelligence". atlasintel.org. Retrieved 2 October 2022.
  15. 1 2 Povo, Gazeta do. "CNT/MDA: pesquisa mostra novos números da corrida presidencial". Gazeta do Povo (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 1 October 2022.
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  20. 1 2 "Pesquisa Atlas para presidente: Lula tem 48,3%; e Bolsonaro, 41%". CNN Brasil (in Portuguese). 27 September 2022. Retrieved 27 September 2022.
  21. 1 2 "Ipec: Lula, 48%; Bolsonaro, 31%". G1 (in Portuguese). 26 September 2022. Retrieved 26 September 2022.
  22. 1 2 "Pesquisa FSB para presidente: Lula tem 45%; Bolsonaro, 35%". CNN Brasil (in Portuguese). 26 September 2022. Retrieved 26 September 2022.
  23. ↑ AO VIVO: Debate VEJA reúne candidatos a presidente - Eleições 2022 , retrieved 24 September 2022
  24. 1 2 ligiatuon. "Pesquisa Ipespe para presidente: Lula tem 46%; Bolsonaro, 35%". CNN Brasil (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 25 September 2022.
  25. 1 2 "Pesquisa Datafolha para presidente: Lula tem 47%; e Bolsonaro, 33%". CNN Brasil (in Portuguese). 22 September 2022. Retrieved 23 September 2022.
  26. 1 2 "Pesquisa Ipespe para presidente: Lula tem 46%; Bolsonaro, 35%". CNN Brasil (in Portuguese). 23 September 2022. Retrieved 23 September 2022.
  27. ↑ "Lula 44% X 37% Bolsonaro no 1º turno, mostra PoderData". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 21 September 2022.
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  29. 1 2 "Brazil: National | Atlas Intelligence". atlasintel.org. Retrieved 20 September 2022.
  30. ↑ "Ipec: Lula passa de 46% para 47%, e Bolsonaro se mantém com 31%". G1 (in Portuguese). 19 September 2022. Retrieved 20 September 2022.
  31. 1 2 "BTG/FSB: Lula cresce três pontos e amplia vantagem; Bolsonaro segue com 35%". noticias.uol.com.br (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 20 September 2022.
  32. 1 2 Toledo, Marina. "Pesquisa Ipespe para presidente: Lula tem 45%; Bolsonaro, 35%". CNN Brasil (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 17 September 2022.
  33. 1 2 "Datafolha: Lula mantém 45%, e Bolsonaro oscila de 34% para 33%". G1 (in Portuguese). 15 September 2022. Retrieved 16 September 2022.
  34. ↑ "Lula 43% X 37% Bolsonaro no 1º turno, diz PoderData". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 21 September 2022.
  35. 1 2 "Pesquisa Quaest para presidente: Lula tem 42%; e Bolsonaro, 34%". CNN Brasil (in Portuguese). 14 September 2022. Retrieved 14 September 2022.
  36. 1 2 "Ipec: Lula passa de 44% para 46%, e Bolsonaro se mantém com 31%". G1 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 13 September 2022.
  37. 1 2 "BTG/FSB: Lula tem 41%, e vantagem para Bolsonaro oscila 2 pontos para baixo". noticias.uol.com.br (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 12 September 2022.
  38. 1 2 carolinacerqueira. "Pesquisa Datafolha para presidente: Lula tem 45%; e Bolsonaro, 34%". CNN Brasil (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 11 September 2022.
  39. 1 2 "Ipespe/Abrapel: Lula tem 44%, Bolsonaro, 36%, Ciro, 8%, e Tebet, 5%". noticias.uol.com.br (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 11 September 2022.
  40. 1 2 danilomoliterno. "Pesquisa FSB para presidente: Lula tem 42%; Bolsonaro, 34%". CNN Brasil (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 11 September 2022.
  41. 1 2 "Pesquisa Ipec para presidente: Lula tem 44%; Bolsonaro, 31%". CNN Brasil (in Portuguese). 5 September 2022. Retrieved 6 September 2022.
  42. 1 2 wellingtonramalhoso. "Pesquisa Quaest para presidente: Lula tem 44%; e Bolsonaro, 34%". CNN Brasil (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 11 September 2022.
  43. 1 2 "Pesquisa Ipespe mostra Lula com 44% e Bolsonaro com 35%". VEJA (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 3 September 2022.
  44. ↑ "Datafolha: Lula oscila de 47% para 45%, Bolsonaro mantém 32%, Ciro vai a 9% e Tebet sobe para 5%". G1 (in Portuguese). 1 September 2022. Retrieved 1 September 2022.
  45. 1 2 "Lula e Bolsonaro ficam estáveis pós-JN, debate e propaganda". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 1 September 2022.
  46. 1 2 "Lula tem 41,3% ante 37,1% de Bolsonaro, diz Paraná Pesquisas". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 1 September 2022.
  47. 1 2 "Ipespe: Lula oscila um ponto e lidera com 43%; Bolsonaro e Ciro estabilizam". noticias.uol.com.br (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 1 September 2022.
  48. ↑ DEBATE NA BAND: PRESIDENCIAL 2022 , retrieved 29 August 2022
  49. 1 2 marcelofreire. "Pesquisa FSB para presidente: Lula tem 43%; Bolsonaro, 36%". CNN Brasil (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 1 September 2022.
  50. 1 2 Durães, Mariana (29 August 2022). "Ipec: Lula lidera e diferença para Bolsonaro é de 12 pontos percentuais". UOL Eleições (in Portuguese). Retrieved 29 August 2022.
  51. 1 2 wellingtonramalhoso. "Pesquisa Quaest para presidente: Lula tem 44%; e Bolsonaro, 32%". CNN Brasil (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 1 September 2022.
  52. 1 2 "Pesquisa CNT de Opinião - 153ª Rodada/Agosto 2022" (PDF). Revista Fórum (in Portuguese). Confederação Nacional do Transporte. 30 August 2022. Retrieved 30 August 2022.
  53. 1 2 "Lula lidera por 8 pontos no 1º turno e venceria Bolsonaro por 11 no 2º, diz pesquisa Atlas". CartaCapital (in Portuguese). 25 August 2022. Retrieved 25 August 2022.
  54. 1 2 "Pesquisa Exame/Ideia: Lula lidera com 44%; Bolsonaro fica em 2º com 36%". noticias.uol.com.br (in Portuguese). Retrieved 25 August 2022.
  55. ↑ Mendes, Sandy (24 August 2022). "Lula tem 41,7% e Bolsonaro, 37%, aponta Paraná Pesquisas". Correio Braziliense (in Portuguese). Retrieved 25 August 2022.
  56. ↑ "BTG/FSB: Lula fica estável com 45%; Bolsonaro oscila dois pontos para cima". noticias.uol.com.br (in Portuguese). Retrieved 22 August 2022.
  57. ↑ "Datafolha: Lula tem 47%; Bolsonaro, 32%; Ciro, 7%; Tebet, 2%". G1 (in Portuguese). 18 August 2022. Retrieved 18 August 2022.
  58. 1 2 "PoderData no 1º turno: Lula tem 44% contra 37% de Bolsonaro". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 17 August 2022.
  59. 1 2 "Ipec: Lula tem 44% e Bolsonaro 32% no 1° turno de 2022". G1 (in Portuguese). 15 August 2022. Retrieved 15 August 2022.
  60. 1 2 Galvani, Giovanna (15 August 2022). "BTG/FSB: sem Janones, Lula vai a 45%, Bolsonaro fica com 34%, e Ciro tem 8%". UOL Eleições (in Portuguese). Retrieved 15 August 2022.
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  62. 1 2 "Lula tem 41% e Bolsonaro 34%, diz pesquisa FSB para o banco BTG". Poder360 (in Portuguese). 8 August 2022. Retrieved 8 August 2022.
  63. ↑ "Em convenção, União Brasil lança candidatura de Soraya Thronicke à Presidência". G1 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 6 August 2022.
  64. ↑ "Janones desiste de candidatura e decide apoiar Lula". G1 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 4 August 2022.
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  72. ↑ "Eleições: convenções partidárias começam nesta quarta-feira (20)". G1 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 20 July 2022. Retrieved 20 July 2022.
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  74. ↑ "Vantagem de Lula sobre Bolsonaro é de 6 pontos, diz PoderData". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 20 July 2022. Retrieved 21 July 2022.
  75. 1 2 "Lula tem 41% dos votos no 1º turno; Bolsonaro, 32%, diz BTG/FSB". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 13 July 2022. Retrieved 13 July 2022.
  76. ↑ "Lula tem 44% contra 36% de Bolsonaro no 1º turno, diz PoderData". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 6 July 2022. Retrieved 6 July 2022.
  77. 1 2 "Genial/Quaest: Lula segue na liderança, com 45%; Bolsonaro tem 31%". UOL (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 6 July 2022. Retrieved 6 July 2022.
  78. 1 2 "Pesquisa BTG/FSB mostra Lula com 43% e Bolsonaro com 33%". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 27 June 2022. Retrieved 28 June 2022.
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  81. 1 2 "Exame/Ideia: Lula lidera com 45%; Bolsonaro tem 36%; Ciro, 7%, e Tebet, 3%". UOL (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 23 June 2022. Retrieved 22 June 2022.
  82. 1 2 "Lula abre 17 pontos sobre Bolsonaro no 2º turno, diz PoderData". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 22 June 2022. Retrieved 22 June 2022.
  83. 1 2 "Pesquisa BTG/FSB: Lula lidera com 44%; Bolsonaro tem 32%, e Ciro, 9%". UOL (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 13 June 2022. Retrieved 13 June 2022.
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  85. 1 2 "Genial/Quaest: Lula tem 52,87% dos votos válidos e venceria no 1º turno". www.uol.com.br (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 3 August 2022. Retrieved 8 June 2022.
  86. ↑ "Nova pesquisa mostra Lula e Bolsonaro colados na disputa ao planalto". Veja (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 6 June 2022. Retrieved 6 June 2022.
  87. 1 2 "Ipespe: Lula tem 45%, Bolsonaro, 34%, e Ciro, 9%, em 1ª pesquisa sem Doria". www.uol.com.br (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 3 June 2022. Retrieved 3 June 2022.
  88. 1 2 "Paraná Pesquisas: Lula lidera com 41,4%; Bolsonaro tem 35,3%, e Ciro, 7,7%". www.uol.com.br (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 1 June 2022. Retrieved 1 June 2022.
  89. 1 2 "Pesquisa BTG/FSB: sem Doria, Lula vai a 46%; Bolsonaro tem 32%, e Ciro, 9%". UOL (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 30 May 2022. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  90. 1 2 "Datafolha: Lula tem 48% no primeiro turno, contra 27% de Bolsonaro". G1 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 26 May 2022. Retrieved 26 May 2022.
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  93. 1 2 "PoderData: Lula e Bolsonaro mantêm distância em 2º turno". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 26 May 2022. Retrieved 26 May 2022.
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  104. 1 2 "CNT divulga os resultados da nova edição da Pesquisa de Opinião". www.cnt.org.br (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 14 May 2022. Retrieved 10 May 2022.
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  110. 1 2 "Diferença entre Lula e Bolsonaro no segundo turno cai de 13% para 9%". Exame (in Brazilian Portuguese). 21 April 2022. Archived from the original on 22 April 2022. Retrieved 22 April 2022.
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  125. 1 2 "Recuperação de Bolsonaro perde ímpeto, diz PoderData". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 22 March 2022. Retrieved 24 March 2022.
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  127. 1 2 "Instituto Ranking divulga pesquisa nacional para presidente: confira os números" (in Brazilian Portuguese). 14 March 2022. Archived from the original on 4 May 2022. Retrieved 24 March 2022.
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  134. 1 2 "Pesquisa CNT/MDA: Lula lidera, Bolsonaro cresce e Moro cai". UOL (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 21 February 2022. Retrieved 21 February 2022.
  135. 1 2 "PoderData: Lula tem 40% contra 31% de Bolsonaro no 1º turno". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 17 February 2022. Retrieved 17 February 2022.
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  147. 1 2 "Ipespe: Lula lidera com 43% a 44% no 1º turno". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 20 December 2021. Retrieved 20 December 2021.
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  162. 1 2 "Ciro e Moro são os nomes mais fortes para a terceira via, diz EXAME/IDEIA". Exame (in Brazilian Portuguese). 12 November 2021. Archived from the original on 12 November 2021. Retrieved 12 November 2021.
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  166. 1 2 "PoderData: Moro volta, pontua de 7% a 8% e desidrata nomes da 3ª via". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 28 October 2021. Retrieved 28 October 2021.
  167. ↑ Fernandes, Augusto (23 October 2021). "Kassab confirma Pacheco candidato do PSD à Presidência em 2022". R7 (in Portuguese). Archived from the original on 23 October 2021. Retrieved 23 October 2021.
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  169. ↑ "Quaest/Genial: 55% dos eleitores não sabem em quem votar para presidente". O Antagonista (in Brazilian Portuguese). 5 October 2021. Archived from the original on 2 May 2022. Retrieved 4 May 2022.
  170. 1 2 "PoderData: Lula segue à frente e tem 40% no 1º turno; Bolsonaro vai a 30%". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 29 September 2021. Retrieved 29 September 2021.
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  172. ↑ "Lula lidera corrida presidencial com 48% das intenções de votos, diz Ipec". CNN Brazil (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 23 September 2021. Retrieved 23 September 2021.
  173. 1 2 TEMPO, O. (18 September 2021). "Pesquisa DATATEMPO: Lula tem 36% e Bolsonaro soma 22%". O Tempo (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 21 September 2021. Retrieved 21 September 2021.
  174. 1 2 "Datafolha: Lula segue à frente de Bolsonaro e, no 2º turno, tem 56% contra 31%". G1 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 17 September 2021. Retrieved 17 September 2021.
  175. ↑ "Pesquisa para o PSDB: vacina ajuda e Doria empata tecnicamente com Ciro | Maquiavel". Veja (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 4 May 2022. Retrieved 4 May 2022.
  176. 1 2 "Lula tem 37% contra 28% de Bolsonaro no 1º turno, diz PoderData". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 2 September 2021. Retrieved 2 September 2021.
  177. 1 2 Minas, Estado de (1 September 2021). "Lula amplia vantagem e venceria Bolsonaro no 2º turno, diz pesquisa Genial/Quaest - Politica - Estado de Minas". Estado de Minas (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 2 September 2021. Retrieved 2 September 2021.
  178. 1 2 "XP/Ipespe: Avaliação negativa de Bolsonaro bate novo recorde e registra 54%". O Povo (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 17 August 2021. Retrieved 4 May 2022.
  179. 1 2 "PoderData: Lula lidera corrida para 2022 com 39%; Bolsonaro tem 25%". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 5 August 2021. Retrieved 6 August 2021.
  180. ↑ "Lula tem 46% contra 29% para Bolsonaro e 12% para Ciro, mostra pesquisa Genial/Quaest". Valor Econômico (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 6 August 2021. Retrieved 6 August 2021.
  181. ↑ National public opinion poll (PDF) (Report) (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived (PDF) from the original on 29 July 2021. Retrieved 21 August 2021.
  182. 1 2 "Lula amplia vantagem sobre Bolsonaro e, no 2º turno, tem 58% contra 31%, aponta Datafolha". G1 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 29 July 2021. Retrieved 5 August 2021.
  183. 1 2 "Pesquisa eleitoral XP/Ipespe julho/21 mostra Lula na frente de Bolsonaro". [[Gazeta do Povo|]] (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 5 October 2021. Retrieved 4 May 2022.
  184. ↑ "Bolsonaro e Lula empatam na pesquisa Exame/Ideia para eleições 2022". Tribuna do Paraná (in Brazilian Portuguese). 25 June 2021. Archived from the original on 25 June 2021. Retrieved 27 June 2021.
  185. ↑ "IPEC - Inteligência em Pesquisa e Consultoria" (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 25 June 2021. Retrieved 26 June 2021.
  186. ↑ "Huck descarta candidatura à Presidência em 2022 e confirma ida para o lugar de Faustão na Globo". Folha de São Paulo (in Brazilian Portuguese). 8 March 2021. Archived from the original on 16 June 2021. Retrieved 16 June 2021.
  187. ↑ "Eleições 2022: pesquisa dos Grupos ND e RIC aponta Lula à frente de Bolsonaro | ND Mais". ndmais.com.br (in Brazilian Portuguese). 24 May 2021. Archived from the original on 24 May 2021. Retrieved 24 May 2021.
  188. 1 2 "Pesquisa Vox Populi: Lula vence Bolsonaro no primeiro turno da eleição". Metrópoles (in Brazilian Portuguese). 21 May 2021. Archived from the original on 21 May 2021. Retrieved 21 May 2021.
  189. 1 2 "Datafolha: Lula lidera corrida eleitoral de 2022 e marca 55% contra 32% de Bolsonaro no 2º turno". Folha de S.Paulo (in Brazilian Portuguese). 12 May 2021. Archived from the original on 12 May 2021. Retrieved 12 May 2021.
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  192. 1 2 XP/Ipespe poll (PDF) (Report) (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived (PDF) from the original on 5 April 2021. Retrieved 5 April 2021.
  193. 1 2 "Lula e Ciro venceriam Bolsonaro no 2º turno, diz PoderData". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 17 March 2021. Retrieved 17 March 2021.
  194. 1 2 "Bolsonaro avança e Haddad passa Moro em Pesquisa Fórum". Revista Fórum (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 9 October 2021. Retrieved 17 March 2021.
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  197. 1 2 Marreiro, Flávia (11 March 2021). "Lula, Ciro e Mandetta bateriam Bolsonaro no segundo turno em 2022, mostra pesquisa Atlas". El País Brasil (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 11 March 2021. Retrieved 11 March 2021.
  198. 1 2 "Pesquisa exclusiva CNN mostra Bolsonaro em 1º, dez pontos à frente de Lula". CNN Brazil (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 21 April 2022. Retrieved 4 May 2022.
  199. ↑ "Judge opens door for Lula da Silva to run in Brazil in 2022". Al Jazeera English . 8 March 2021. Archived from the original on 9 March 2021. Retrieved 9 March 2021.
  200. ↑ National public opinion poll (PDF) (Report) (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived (PDF) from the original on 12 March 2021. Retrieved 5 March 2021.
  201. 1 2 Evaluation and approval of the federal government and 2022 elections (PDF) (Report) (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived (PDF) from the original on 3 February 2021. Retrieved 29 January 2021.
  202. 1 2 National public opinion poll (PDF) (Report) (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived (PDF) from the original on 29 January 2021. Retrieved 29 January 2021.
  203. ↑ "Bolsonaro lidera disputa eleitoral mesmo com popularidade em queda, diz Atlas". Valor Econômico (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 27 January 2021. Retrieved 27 January 2021.
  204. 1 2 "Pesquisa XP para 2022 traz Bolsonaro com 28%, Moro 12%, Haddad 11% e Ciro 11%" (in Brazilian Portuguese). 18 January 2021. Archived from the original on 19 January 2021. Retrieved 19 January 2021.
  205. 1 2 "Bolsonaro lidera com folga no 1º turno de 2022 e ganharia de todos no 2º turno". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 25 December 2020. Retrieved 25 December 2020.
  206. 1 2 3 4 "Bolsonaro é favorito para 2022, mostra nova pesquisa XP/Ipespe". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 15 December 2020. Retrieved 15 December 2020.
  207. 1 2 "Bolsonaro segue favorito em 2022, mas Ciro e Huck encostam no 2° turno". Exame (in Brazilian Portuguese). 4 December 2020. Archived from the original on 4 December 2020. Retrieved 5 December 2020.
  208. 1 2 National public opinion poll (PDF) (Report) (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived (PDF) from the original on 4 December 2020. Retrieved 4 December 2020.
  209. 1 2 "Pesquisa XP Outubro 2020: Reprovação ao governo Bolsonaro tem queda de 5 pontos - Análises e Recomendações - XP Investimentos" (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 27 October 2020. Retrieved 15 October 2020.
  210. 1 2 "EXAME/IDEIA: Bolsonaro vence Lula, Moro e Doria nas eleições de 2022". Exame (in Brazilian Portuguese). 9 October 2020. Archived from the original on 16 October 2020. Retrieved 9 October 2020.
  211. 1 2 "Bolsonaro lidera corrida eleitoral para 2022 com 35%; Lula tem 21%". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 2 October 2020. Retrieved 18 September 2020.
  212. 1 2 "Exame/IDEIA: Bolsonaro é reeleito em 2022 em todos os cenários eleitorais". Exame (in Brazilian Portuguese). 4 September 2020. Archived from the original on 5 September 2020. Retrieved 4 September 2020.
  213. ↑ "Bolsonaro avança e Haddad passa Moro em Pesquisa Fórum". Archived from the original on 27 July 2021. Retrieved 30 August 2020.
  214. ↑ "Hoje, eleição presidencial teria Bolsonaro à frente de todos no 1º turno". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 12 August 2020. Retrieved 8 August 2020.
  215. 1 2 National public opinion poll (PDF) (Report) (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived (PDF) from the original on 24 July 2020. Retrieved 24 July 2020.
  216. ↑ "Sergio Moro desponta como principal adversário de Bolsonaro em 2022". Veja (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 24 September 2020. Retrieved 14 September 2020.
  217. ↑ "Band › Portal de Notícias, Esporte e Entretenimento". Band News (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 6 August 2021. Retrieved 6 August 2021.
  218. 1 2 "Eleições 2022: Bolsonaro amplia vantagem sobre rivais, mostra pesquisa VEJA/FSB". Veja (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 5 October 2021. Retrieved 4 May 2022.
  219. ↑ Rossi, Marina (12 February 2020). "Bolsonaro lidera pesquisa para reeleição em todos os cenários, inclusive contra Lula". El País Brasil (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 13 February 2020. Retrieved 13 February 2020.
  220. ↑ "Bolsonaro lidera intenção de voto para 2022 seguido por Lula, diz CNT/MDA [22/01/2020]". UOL (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 23 January 2020. Retrieved 22 January 2020.
  221. 1 2 FSB/Veja poll (PDF) (Report) (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived (PDF) from the original on 18 October 2020. Retrieved 7 December 2019.
  222. 1 2 "Lula é o principal nome da esquerda contra Bolsonaro em 2022". Veja (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 5 October 2021. Retrieved 4 May 2022.
  223. 1 2 "Pesquisa: numa disputa com a esquerda, Bolsonaro é mais forte que Moro". Veja (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 5 October 2021. Retrieved 4 May 2022.
  224. ↑ "Agregador de Pesquisas" (in Portuguese). CNN Brasil.
  225. ↑ "BRASIL: Lula da Silva se mantiene en cabeza, pero su ventaja sobre Bolsonaro se reduce a sólo 4 puntos" (in Spanish). El Electoral. 26 October 2022.
  226. ↑ "Datafolha: Lula tem 52% dos votos válidos no 2º turno, e Bolsonaro, 48%" (in Portuguese). G1. 29 October 2022.
  227. ↑ "Ipec: Lula tem 54% dos votos válidos no 2º turno, e Bolsonaro, 46%" (in Portuguese). G1. 29 October 2022.
  228. ↑ "Ipec: Lula tem 54% dos votos válidos no 2º turno, e Bolsonaro, 46%" (in Portuguese). G1. 29 October 2022.
  229. ↑ "Atlas para presidente: Lula tem 53,4% dos votos válidos; Bolsonaro, 46,6%" (in Portuguese). CNN Brasil. 29 October 2022.
  230. ↑ "Pesquisa MDA para presidente: Lula tem 51,1% dos votos válidos; Bolsonaro, 48,9%" (in Portuguese). CNN Brasil. 29 October 2022.
  231. ↑ "Paraná Pesquisas: Lula tem 50,4% dos votos válidos; Bolsonaro, 49,6%" (in Portuguese). CNN Brasil. 29 October 2022.
  232. ↑ "Datafolha para presidente: Lula tem 53% dos votos válidos; Bolsonaro, 47%" (in Portuguese). CNN Brasil. 27 October 2022.
  233. ↑ "Pesquisa presidente ModalMais/Futura: Bolsonaro tem 50,3% dos votos válidos e Lula tem 49,7%" (in Portuguese). Exame. 28 October 2022.
  234. ↑ "Pesquisa Gerp: Bolsonaro tem 52% dos votos válidos contra 48% de Lula" (in Portuguese). Correio Braziliense. 27 October 2022.
  235. ↑ "Pesquisa PoderData: Lula tem 53% dos votos válidos no 2º turno; Bolsonaro, 47%" (in Portuguese). CNN Brasil. 26 October 2022.
  236. ↑ "Pesquisa Quaest para presidente: Lula tem 53% dos votos válidos; Bolsonaro, 47%" (in Portuguese). CNN Brasil. 26 October 2022.
  237. ↑ "Pesquisa Ipespe para presidente: Lula tem 53% dos votos válidos; Bolsonaro, 47%" (in Portuguese). CNN Brasil. 25 October 2022.
  238. ↑ "Ipec no 2º turno: Estáveis, Lula tem 54% dos votos válidos; Bolsonaro, 46%" (in Portuguese). UOL. 24 October 2022.
  239. ↑ "Paraná Pesquisas: Lula tem 50,2% dos votos válidos; Bolsonaro, 49,8%" (in Portuguese). UOL. 25 October 2022.
  240. ↑ "Pesquisa eleitoral Atlas Intel: Lula tem 53% dos votos válidos, e Bolsonaro, 47%" (in Portuguese). Exame. 24 October 2022.
  241. ↑ "Pesquisa presidente ModalMais/Futura: Bolsonaro tem 50,5% dos votos válidos e Lula tem 49,5%" (in Portuguese). Exame. 21 October 2022.
  242. ↑ "Pesquisa presidente Datafolha: Lula tem 52% dos votos válidos, e Bolsonaro, 48%" (in Portuguese). Exame. 19 October 2022.
  243. ↑ "Paraná Pesquisas: Lula tem 51,3% dos votos válidos; Bolsonaro, 48,7%" (in Portuguese). CNN Brasil. 20 October 2022.
  244. ↑ "Pesquisa Ideia: Lula tem 50%, e Bolsonaro, 46%; há empate na margem de erro" (in Portuguese). UOL. 20 October 2022.
  245. ↑ "Pesquisa Abrapel/Ipespe: Lula tem 53% dos votos válidos; Bolsonaro tem 47%" (in Portuguese). UOL. 18 October 2022.
  246. ↑ "Lula 52% X 48% Bolsonaro, diz PoderData; taxas ficam estáveis" (in Portuguese). Poder360. 19 October 2022.
  247. ↑ "Pesquisa Quaest para presidente: Lula tem 53% dos votos válidos; Bolsonaro, 47%" (in Portuguese). CNN Brasil. 19 October 2022.
  248. ↑ "Pesquisa presidente: Lula tem 54% dos votos válidos, e Bolsonaro, 46%, diz Ipec" (in Portuguese). Exame. 17 October 2022.
  249. ↑ "Pesquisa MDA para presidente: Lula tem 53,5% dos votos válidos; Bolsonaro, 46,5%" (in Portuguese). CNN Brasil. 17 October 2022.
  250. ↑ "Datafolha: Lula tem 49% no 2º turno, e Bolsonaro, 45%".
  251. ↑ "Banco Modal divulga 2ª pesquisa presidencial do Instituto Futura sobre 2º turno". 14 October 2022.
  252. ↑ "Ipespe: Lula tem 49% em votos totais, e Bolsonaro aparece com 43%". 14 October 2022.
  253. ↑ "Lula lead narrows to less than 5 points in Brazil election - AtlasIntel survey". 13 October 2022.
  254. ↑ "Paraná Pesquisas: Lula tem 51,9% dos votos válidos; Bolsonaro, 48,1%". 13 October 2022.
  255. ↑ "Lula tem 52% e Bolsonaro 48% dos votos válidos, diz PoderData". 12 October 2022.
  256. ↑ "Lula e Bolsonaro empatam tecnicamente na corrida ao 2º turno, diz pesquisa". 12 October 2022.
  257. ↑ "Pesquisa Ipespe: Lula tem 50%; Bolsonaro, 43%". 11 October 2022.
  258. ↑ "Ipec: Lula tem 51% no 2º turno, e Bolsonaro, 42%". 10 October 2022.
  259. ↑ "Datafolha: Lula tem 49% no 2º turno, e Bolsonaro, 44%".
  260. ↑ "Quaest: No 2º turno, Lula tem 48%; Bolsonaro fica com 41%" (in Portuguese). UOL. 6 October 2022.
  261. ↑ "PoderData: Lula 52% X 48% Bolsonaro". 6 October 2022.
  262. ↑ Paraguassu, Lisandra; Frontini, Peter (6 October 2022). "Brazil election: Lula has 51% of voter support versus 43% for Bolsonaro, poll finds". Reuters.
  263. ↑ "Modalmais/Futura: Lula tem 49,3% dos votos e Bolsonaro 46% no 2º turno" (in Portuguese). Correio Braziliense. 7 October 2022.
  264. ↑ "Datafolha, votos válidos: Lula 50%; Bolsonaro 36%". G1 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 1 October 2022.
  265. ↑ "PoderData: Lula tem 8 pontos sobre Bolsonaro no 2º turno". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). 21 September 2022. Retrieved 21 September 2022.
  266. ↑ "Ipec: Lula tem 54%, e Bolsonaro, 35% no 2° turno". G1 (in Portuguese). 19 September 2022. Retrieved 20 September 2022.
  267. ↑ "No 2º turno, Lula vence Bolsonaro por 51% a 42%". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). 14 September 2022. Retrieved 21 September 2022.
  268. ↑ "Modalmais/Futura: confira nova pesquisa para corrida presidencial". Gazeta do Povo. 1 September 2022. Retrieved 1 September 2022.
  269. ↑ "BTG/FSB: Lula fica estável com 45%; Bolsonaro oscila dois pontos para cima". noticias.uol.com.br (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 22 August 2022.
  270. ↑ "Datafolha: Lula tem 54% e Bolsonaro 37% no segundo turno de 2022". G1 (in Portuguese). 18 August 2022. Retrieved 18 August 2022.
  271. ↑ Lins, Carlos (4 August 2022). "Lula tem 10 pontos sobre Bolsonaro no 2° turno, diz PoderData". Poder360 (in Portuguese). Retrieved 4 August 2022.
  272. ↑ "Lula tem 51% contra 38% de Bolsonaro no 2º turno, diz PoderData". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). 20 July 2022. Archived from the original on 21 July 2022. Retrieved 21 July 2022.
  273. ↑ "No 2º turno, vantagem de Lula sobre Bolsonaro cai para 12 pontos". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). 6 July 2022. Archived from the original on 6 July 2022. Retrieved 6 July 2022.
  274. ↑ "PoderData: Lula tem 50% contra 40% de Bolsonaro no 2º turno". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). 8 June 2022. Archived from the original on 8 June 2022. Retrieved 8 June 2022.
  275. ↑ "Lula tem 48% no 2º turno, contra 39% de Bolsonaro, diz PoderData". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 1 May 2022. Retrieved 2 May 2022.
  276. ↑ "No 2º turno, placar PoderData é Lula 47% X 38% Bolsonaro". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 13 April 2022. Retrieved 13 April 2022.
  277. ↑ "Datafolha: Bolsonaro reduz distância para Lula no 2º turno". G1 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 26 March 2022. Retrieved 26 March 2022.
  278. ↑ "No 2º turno, Lula derrotaria Bolsonaro por 51% a 37%". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 9 March 2022. Retrieved 10 March 2022.
  279. ↑ "Nova pesquisa mostra goleada de Lula na terceira via | Matheus Leitão". Veja (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 4 May 2022. Retrieved 4 May 2022.
  280. ↑ "Jair Bolsonaro e Sergio Moro empatam no 2º turno, diz PoderData". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 6 August 2020. Retrieved 8 August 2020.
  281. ↑ Public opinion poll (PDF) (Report) (in Portuguese). Archived (PDF) from the original on 30 December 2019. Retrieved 30 December 2019.
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