Opinion polling for the 2018 Brazilian general election

Last updated

Since the previous elections, various polling companies have published surveys tracking voting intention for the 2018 Brazilian general election. The results of these surveys are listed below in reverse chronological order and include parties whose candidates frequently poll above 3% of the vote as well as the incumbent President of Brazil Michel Temer.

Contents

Presidential election

First round

Graphical summary

Graph showing 5 poll average trend lines of Brazilian opinion polls from June 2015 to the most recent one. Each line corresponds to a political party. The markers for PT on 18-21 December 2017 and 29-30 January 2018 correspond to the potential candidate Jaques Wagner instead of Fernando Haddad. The markers for MDB on 28 February-3 March 2018 and 27 April-2 May 2018 correspond to the potential candidate Michel Temer instead of Henrique Meirelles. The marker for PSDB on 25-29 May 2017 corresponds to the potential candidate Joao Doria instead of Geraldo Alckmin. Brazilian Opinion Polling 2017-2018 -Lula.png
Graph showing 5 poll average trend lines of Brazilian opinion polls from June 2015 to the most recent one. Each line corresponds to a political party. The markers for PT on 18–21 December 2017 and 29–30 January 2018 correspond to the potential candidate Jaques Wagner instead of Fernando Haddad. The markers for MDB on 28 February–3 March 2018 and 27 April–2 May 2018 correspond to the potential candidate Michel Temer instead of Henrique Meirelles. The marker for PSDB on 25–29 May 2017 corresponds to the potential candidate João Doria instead of Geraldo Alckmin.

2018

July–Oct
Polling firm/linkDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Fernando Haddad posse min. da Fazenda.jpg
Haddad
PT
Ciro Gomes (cropped).jpg
Gomes
PDT
Marina Silva 2024 (cropped).jpg
Silva
REDE
Foto oficial de Henrique Meirelles, secretario de Fazenda, Planejamento e Gestao do estado de Sao Paulo (cropped2).jpg
Meirelles
MDB
Foto oficial de Alvaro Dias.jpg
Dias
PODE
Alckmin 2024.jpg
Alckmin
PSDB
Joao Amoedo no Canal do Otario (cropped).jpg
Amoêdo
NOVO
Jair Bolsonaro em 24 de abril de 2019 (1) (cropped).jpg
Bolsonaro
PSL
Not
affiliated
OthersAbst.
Undec.
7 October Results
of the first round
29.3%12.5%1.0%1.2%0.8%4.8%2.5%46.0%1.9%1.9%
Instituto Veritá 2–5 October 20185,20818.8%8.4%1.4%0.8%1.0%4.2%2.9%41.5%_2.0%19.0%
CNT/MDA 4–5 October 20182,00224.0%9.9%2.2%1.6%1.7%5.8%2.3%36.7%_1.9%13.8%
DataPoder360 3–4 October 20184,00025%15%2%3%4%7%2%30%5%7%
Datafolha 3–4 October 201819,55222%13%3%2%2%7%3%36%_2%10%
XP/Ipespe 3–4 October 20182,00022%11%4%2%2%7%3%36%1%12%
Datafolha 3–4 October 201810,93022%11%4%2%2%8%3%35%2%11%
RealTime Big Data 3–4 October 201810,00024%12%4%1%1%6%2%34%1%15%
Paraná Pesquisas/Crusoé Archived 2018-10-06 at the Wayback Machine 2–4 October 20182,08021.8%9.4%3.5%1.7%1.4%7.4%3.1%34.9%2.1%14.7%
Ibope 1–2 October 20183,01022%11%3%2%1%7%2%36%4%12%
Ibope 1–2 October 20183,01023%10%4%2%1%7%2%32%2%17%
Datafolha 29–30 September 20183,24021%11%4%2%2%9%3%32%2%13%
Ibope 29–30 September 20183,01021%11%4%2%2%8%3%31%1%17%
FSB Pesquisa 29–30 September 20182,00024%9%4%2%2%11%5%31%1%12%
CNT/MDA Archived 2018-09-30 at the Wayback Machine 27–28 September 20182,00025.2%9.4%2.6%2.0%1.7%7.3%2.0%28.2%1.6%20.0%
Datafolha 26–28 September 20189,00022%11%5%2%2%10%3%28%3%15%
XP/Ipespe 24–26 September 20182,00021%11%5%2%2%8%3%28%3%17%
Paraná Pesquisas/Crusoé 23–25 September 20182,02020.2%10.1%4.3%1.3%1.9%7.6%3.8%31.2%1.4%18.2%
Ibope 22–24 September 20182,00021%12%6%2%2%8%3%27%1%18%
IstoÉ/Sensus 21–24 September 20182,00024.5%7.7%2.7%1.6%1.7%5.6%1.9%30.6%1.3%22.4%
FSB Pesquisa 22–23 September 20182,00023%10%5%3%2%8%3%33%1%13%
Ibope 22–23 September 20182,50622%11%5%2%2%8%3%28%1%18%
DataPoder360 19–20 September 20184,00022%14%4%3%3%6%1%26%5%15%
Datafolha 18–19 September 20188,60116%13%7%2%3%9%3%28%2%17%
Genial Investimentos/Brasilis 17–19 September 20181,00017%7%6%3%4%7%5%30%4%18%
XP/Ipespe 17–19 September 20182,00016%11%6%2%3%7%3%28%1%23%
Ibope 16–18 September 20182,50619%11%6%2%2%7%2%28%1%21%
FSB Pesquisa 15–16 September 20182,00016%14%5%2%2%6%4%33%2%16%
CNT/MDA 12–15 September 20182,00217.6%10.8%4.1%1.7%1.9%6.1%2.8%28.2%1.1%25.7%
Datafolha 13–14 September 20182,82013%13%8%3%3%9%3%26%3%19%
XP/Ipespe 10–12 September 20182,00010%12%8%2%4%9%4%26%2%23%
Paraná Pesquisas/Crusoé 7–11 September 20182,0108.3%11.9%10.6%2.4%3.7%8.7%3.3%26.6%2.7%21.8%
Datafolha 10 September 20182,8049%13%11%3%3%10%3%24%3%22%
Ibope 8–10 September 20182,0028%11%9%3%3%9%3%26%2%26%
FSB Pesquisa 8–9 September 20182,0008%12%8%3%3%8%3%30%2%24%
RealTime Big Data 7–9 September 20183,2007%11%11%2%4%9%3%25%2%26%
On 6 September 2018, Jair Bolsonaro was stabbed while he was campaigning in Juiz de Fora, Minas Gerais.
XP/Ipespe 3–5 September 20182,0008%11%11%1%4%9%4%23%2%27%
Ibope 1–3 September 20182,0026%12%12%2%3%9%3%22%3%28%
FSB Pesquisa 1–2 September 20182,0006%12%11%1%3%8%4%26%2%28%
Apr–Aug
Polling firm/linkDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
PT PDT PSB REDE MDB PODE PSDB NOVO PSL Not
affiliated
OthersAbst.
Undec.
On 31 August 2018, the Superior Electoral Court votes to officially reject Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's candidacy. [1]
XP/Ipespe 27–29 August 20181,0006%
(Haddad)
10%
(Gomes)
13%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
4%
(Dias)
9%
(Alckmin)
4%
(Amoedo)
23%
(Bolsonaro)
6%27%
13%
(Haddad, supported by Lula)
10%
(Gomes)
10%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
4%
(Dias)
8%
(Alckmin)
4%
(Amoedo)
21%
(Bolsonaro)
6%28%
33%
(Lula)

cannot run in election
8%
(Gomes)
7%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
3%
(Dias)
7%
(Alckmin)
4%
(Amoedo)
21%
(Bolsonaro)
5%15%
DataPoder360 24–27 August 20185,50030%
(Lula)

cannot run in election
7%
(Gomes)
6%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
3%
(Dias)
7%
(Alckmin)
1%
(Amoedo)
21%
(Bolsonaro)
7%18%
FSB Pesquisa 25–26 August 20182,0005%
(Haddad)
8%
(Gomes)
15%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
3%
(Dias)
9%
(Alckmin)
4%
(Amoedo)
24%
(Bolsonaro)
4%28%
35%
(Lula)
cannot run in election
5%
(Gomes)
9%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
2%
(Dias)
6%
(Alckmin)
4%
(Amoedo)
22%
(Bolsonaro)
2%15%
XP/Ipespe 20–22 August 20181,0006%
(Haddad)
8%
(Gomes)
12%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
8%
(Alckmin)
2%
(Amoedo)
23%
(Bolsonaro)
5%30%
13%
(Haddad, supported by Lula)
8%
(Gomes)
9%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
8%
(Alckmin)
1%
(Amoedo)
20%
(Bolsonaro)
4%31%
32%
(Lula)

cannot run in election
7%
(Gomes)
7%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
4%
(Dias)
7%
(Alckmin)
2%
(Amoedo)
20%
(Bolsonaro)
3%18%
Datafolha 20–21 August 20188,4334%
(Haddad)
10%
(Gomes)
16%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
4%
(Dias)
9%
(Alckmin)
2%
(Amoedo)
22%
(Bolsonaro)
4%28%
39%
(Lula)
cannot run in election
5%
(Gomes)
8%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
3%
(Dias)
6%
(Alckmin)
2%
(Amoedo)
19%
(Bolsonaro)
3%14%
Ibope 17–19 August 20182,0024%
(Haddad)
9%
(Gomes)
12%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
3%
(Dias)
7%
(Alckmin)
1%
(Amoedo)
20%
(Bolsonaro)
6%38%
37%
(Lula)
cannot run in election
5%
(Gomes)
6%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
3%
(Dias)
5%
(Alckmin)
1%
(Amoedo)
18%
(Bolsonaro)
3%22%
CNT/MDA 15–18 August 20182,00237.7%
(Lula)
cannot run in election
4.1%
(Gomes)
5.6%
(Silva)
0.8%
(Meirelles)
2.7%
(Dias)
4.9%
(Alckmin)
18.8%
(Bolsonaro)
2.2%23.1%
Ipespe 13–15 August 20181,0007%
(Haddad)
8%
(Gomes)
11%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
9%
(Alckmin)
23%
(Bolsonaro)
4%31%
15%
(Haddad, supported by Lula)
7%
(Gomes)
9%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
6%
(Dias)
9%
(Alckmin)
21%
(Bolsonaro)
4%28%
31%
(Lula)
cannot run in election
7%
(Gomes)
8%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
9%
(Alckmin)
20%
(Bolsonaro)
3%16%
Paraná Pesquisas 9–13 August 20182,0023.8%
(Haddad)
10.2%
(Gomes)
13.2%
(Silva)
0.9%
(Meirelles)
4.9%
(Dias)
8.5%
(Alckmin)
23.9%
(Bolsonaro)
4.9%29.9%
30.8%
(Lula)
cannot run in election
5.9%
(Gomes)
8.1%
(Silva)
0.7%
(Meirelles)
4.0%
(Dias)
6.6%
(Alckmin)
22.0%
(Bolsonaro)
3.2%18.9%
Ipespe 6–8 August 20181,0003%
(Haddad)
8%
(Gomes)
12%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
4%
(Dias)
10%
(Alckmin)
23%
(Bolsonaro)
3%34%
13%
(Haddad, supported by Lula)
7%
(Gomes)
10%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
9%
(Alckmin)
21%
(Bolsonaro)
3%30%
31%
(Lula)
cannot run in election
6%
(Gomes)
8%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
9%
(Alckmin)
19%
(Bolsonaro)
3%17%
9%
(Gomes)
12%
(Silva)
3%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
10%
(Alckmin)
23%
(Bolsonaro)
4%34%
Ipespe 30 July–1 August 20181,0002%
(Haddad)
10%
(Gomes)
11%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
10%
(Alckmin)
22%
(Bolsonaro)
3%34%
13%
(Haddad, supported by Lula)
8%
(Gomes)
9%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
4%
(Dias)
9%
(Alckmin)
20%
(Bolsonaro)
3%31%
31%
(Lula)
cannot run in election
7%
(Gomes)
8%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
4%
(Dias)
9%
(Alckmin)
19%
(Bolsonaro)
3%18%
10%
(Gomes)
11%
(Silva)
3%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
10%
(Alckmin)
22%
(Bolsonaro)
3%35%
Paraná Pesquisas 25–30 July 20182,2402.8%
(Haddad)
10.7%
(Gomes)
14.4%
(Silva)
1.1%
(Meirelles)
5.0%
(Dias)
7.8%
(Alckmin)
23.6%
(Bolsonaro)
5.3%29.4%
29.0%
(Lula)
cannot run in election
6.0%
(Gomes)
9.2%
(Silva)
0.8%
(Meirelles)
4.2%
(Dias)
6.2%
(Alckmin)
21.8%
(Bolsonaro)
3.6%19.2%
2.8%
(Wagner)
10.8%
(Gomes)
14.3%
(Silva)
1.2%
(Meirelles)
4.9%
(Dias)
7.9%
(Alckmin)
23.5%
(Bolsonaro)
5.9%28.9%
DataPoder360 25–28 July 20183,0005%
(Haddad)
13%
(Gomes)
6%
(Silva)
4%
(Dias)
9%
(Alckmin)
20%
(Bolsonaro)
43%
Ipespe Archived 2018-07-27 at the Wayback Machine 23–25 July 20181,0002%
(Haddad)
10%
(Gomes)
13%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
10%
(Alckmin)
23%
(Bolsonaro)
2%30%
12%
(Haddad, supported by Lula)
9%
(Gomes)
10%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
9%
(Alckmin)
22%
(Bolsonaro)
3%29%
30%
(Lula)
cannot run in election
8%
(Gomes)
8%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
9%
(Alckmin)
20%
(Bolsonaro)
2%17%
10%
(Gomes)
12%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
10%
(Alckmin)
23%
(Bolsonaro)
3%34%
Ideia Big Data 20–23 July 20182,0363%
(Haddad)
8%
(Gomes)
13%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
7%
(Alckmin)
19%
(Bolsonaro)
3%39%
29%
(Lula)
cannot run in election
7%
(Gomes)
10%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
4%
(Dias)
7%
(Alckmin)
17%
(Bolsonaro)
4%20%
3%
(Wagner)
8%
(Gomes)
14%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
4%
(Dias)
7%
(Alckmin)
19%
(Bolsonaro)
3%37%
9%
(some candidate supported by Lula)
7%
(Gomes)
11%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
4%
(Dias)
6%
(Alckmin)
19%
(Bolsonaro)
5%37%
Vox Populi 18–20 July 20182,00041%
(Lula)
cannot run in election
5%
(Gomes)
4%
(Silva)
0%
(Meirelles)
1%
(Dias)
4%
(Alckmin)
12%
(Bolsonaro)
3%30%
44%
(Lula)
cannot run in election
4%
(Gomes)
5%
(Silva)
4%
(Alckmin)
14%
(Bolsonaro)
28%
Ipespe Archived 2018-07-21 at the Wayback Machine 16–18 July 20181,0002%
(Haddad)
10%
(Gomes)
12%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
8%
(Alckmin)
23%
(Bolsonaro)
3%33%
13%
(Haddad, supported by Lula)
8%
(Gomes)
10%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
7%
(Alckmin)
21%
(Bolsonaro)
3%31%
29%
(Lula)
cannot run in election
7%
(Gomes)
8%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
7%
(Alckmin)
20%
(Bolsonaro)
3%19%
10%
(Gomes)
12%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
9%
(Alckmin)
23%
(Bolsonaro)
3%36%
Ipespe Archived 2018-07-13 at the Wayback Machine 9–11 July 20181,0002%
(Haddad)
9%
(Gomes)
14%
(Silva)
3%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
8%
(Alckmin)
24%
(Bolsonaro)
4%31%
12%
(Haddad, supported by Lula)
8%
(Gomes)
11%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
4%
(Dias)
7%
(Alckmin)
21%
(Bolsonaro)
4%31%
30%
(Lula)
cannot run in election
7%
(Gomes)
10%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
7%
(Alckmin)
20%
(Bolsonaro)
3%15%
9%
(Gomes)
13%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
8%
(Alckmin)
23%
(Bolsonaro)
5%35%
Ipespe 2–4 July 20181,0002%
(Haddad)
10%
(Gomes)
13%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
8%
(Alckmin)
23%
(Bolsonaro)
4%33%
11%
(Haddad, supported by Lula)
8%
(Gomes)
11%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
7%
(Alckmin)
21%
(Bolsonaro)
4%29%
28%
(Lula)
cannot run in election
7%
(Gomes)
9%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
7%
(Alckmin)
20%
(Bolsonaro)
3%19%
10%
(Gomes)
12%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
8%
(Alckmin)
23%
(Bolsonaro)
4%35%
DataPoder360 25–29 June 20185,5005%
(Haddad)
12%
(Gomes)
7%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
4%
(Dias)
7%
(Alckmin)
18%
(Bolsonaro)
5%42%
6%
(Haddad)
13%
(Gomes)
7%
(Silva)
5%
(Dias)
8%
(Alckmin)
21%
(Bolsonaro)
40%
Ipespe 25–27 June 20181,0002%
(Haddad)
11%
(Gomes)
12%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
8%
(Alckmin)
22%
(Bolsonaro)
4%34%
11%
(Haddad, supported by Lula)
8%
(Gomes)
10%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
7%
(Alckmin)
20%
(Bolsonaro)
4%33%
29%
(Lula)
cannot run in election
6%
(Gomes)
9%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
7%
(Alckmin)
19%
(Bolsonaro)
3%21%
10%
(Gomes)
12%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
7%
(Alckmin)
22%
(Bolsonaro)
4%39%
IBOPE 21–24 June 20182,0002%
(Haddad)
8%
(Gomes)
13%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
3%
(Dias)
6%
(Alckmin)
17%
(Bolsonaro)
10%41%
33%
(Lula)
cannot run in election
4%
(Gomes)
7%
(Silva)
0%
(Meirelles)
2%
(Dias)
4%
(Alckmin)
15%
(Bolsonaro)
7%28%
Ipespe 18–20 June 20181,0003%
(Haddad)
10%
(Gomes)
14%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
8%
(Alckmin)
21%
(Bolsonaro)
4%33%
12%
(Haddad, supported by Lula)
8%
(Gomes)
11%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
8%
(Alckmin)
19%
(Bolsonaro)
4%31%
28%
(Lula)
cannot run in election
5%
(Gomes)
10%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
4%
(Dias)
7%
(Alckmin)
19%
(Bolsonaro)
3%23%
10%
(Gomes)
13%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
8%
(Alckmin)
22%
(Bolsonaro)
4%36%
Ipespe 11–13 June 20181,0002%
(Haddad)
10%
(Gomes)
13%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
6%
(Dias)
8%
(Alckmin)
22%
(Bolsonaro)
4%33%
11%
(Haddad, supported by Lula)
9%
(Gomes)
10%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
6%
(Dias)
8%
(Alckmin)
20%
(Bolsonaro)
2%31%
29%
(Lula)
cannot run in election
6%
(Gomes)
10%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
6%
(Dias)
7%
(Alckmin)
19%
(Bolsonaro)
2%18%
11%
(Gomes)
13%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
6%
(Dias)
8%
(Alckmin)
22%
(Bolsonaro)
4%34%
Datafolha 6–7 June 20182,8241%
(Haddad)
10%
(Gomes)
15%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
4%
(Dias)
7%
(Alckmin)
19%
(Bolsonaro)
10%33%
30%
(Lula)
cannot run in election
6%
(Gomes)
10%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
4%
(Dias)
6%
(Alckmin)
17%
(Bolsonaro)
5%21%
1%
(Wagner)
10%
(Gomes)
14%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
4%
(Dias)
7%
(Alckmin)
19%
(Bolsonaro)
10%33%
11%
(Gomes)
15%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
4%
(Dias)
7%
(Alckmin)
19%
(Bolsonaro)
9%34%
Ipespe 4–6 June 20181,0003%
(Haddad)
11%
(Gomes)
13%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
6%
(Dias)
8%
(Alckmin)
22%
(Bolsonaro)
3%32%
11%
(Haddad, supported by Lula)
9%
(Gomes)
11%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
6%
(Dias)
8%
(Alckmin)
21%
(Bolsonaro)
4%27%
30%
(Lula)
cannot run in election
6%
(Gomes)
10%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
7%
(Alckmin)
20%
(Bolsonaro)
4%16%
11%
(Gomes)
13%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
7%
(Dias)
9%
(Alckmin)
23%
(Bolsonaro)
3%32%
DataPoder360 25–31 May 201810,5006%
(Haddad)
11%
(Gomes)
7%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
6%
(Alckmin)
21%
(Bolsonaro)
5.8%39%
8%
(Haddad)
12%
(Gomes)
6%
(Silva)
6%
(Dias)
7%
(Alckmin)
25%
(Bolsonaro)
36%
8%
(Haddad)
12%
(Gomes)
7%
(Silva)
6%
(Dias)
6%
(Doria)
22%
(Bolsonaro)
40%
Vox Populi 19–23 May 20182,00039%
(Lula)
cannot run in election
4%
(Gomes)
6%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
2%
(Dias)
3%
(Alckmin)
12%
(Bolsonaro)
2%30%
Ipespe 15–18 and 21–23 May 20182,0003%
(Haddad)
10%
(Gomes)
14%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
4%
(Dias)
9%
(Alckmin)
24%
(Bolsonaro)
2%32%
29%
(Lula)
cannot run in election
6%
(Gomes)
9%
(Silva)
1%
(Temer)
4%
(Dias)
9%
(Alckmin)
24%
(Bolsonaro)
3%17%
10%
(Gomes)
13%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
9%
(Alckmin)
24%
(Bolsonaro)
3%36%
MDA Archived 2018-08-16 at the Wayback Machine 9–12 May 20182,0022.3%
(Haddad)
9.0%
(Gomes)
11.2%
(Silva)
0.5%
(Meirelles)
3.0%
(Dias)
5.3%
(Alckmin)
18.3%
(Bolsonaro)
4.4%45.7%
4.4%
(Haddad)
12.0%
(Gomes)
16.4%
(Silva)
1.4%
(Meirelles)
20.7%
(Bolsonaro)
45.1%
3.8%
(Haddad)
11.1%
(Gomes)
15.1%
(Silva)
8.1%
(Alckmin)
19.7%
(Bolsonaro)
42.2%
32.4%
(Lula)
cannot run in election
5.4%
(Gomes)
7.6%
(Silva)
0.3%
(Meirelles)
2.5%
(Dias)
4.0%
(Alckmin)
16.7%
(Bolsonaro)
3.0%26.7%
0.9%
(Temer)
Paraná Pesquisas 27 April–2 May 20182,0022.7%
(Haddad)
9.7%
(Gomes)
11.0%
(Barbosa)
12.0%
(Silva)
1.7%
(Temer)
5.9%
(Dias)
8.1%
(Alckmin)
20.5%
(Bolsonaro)
6.0%22.2%
27.6%
(Lula)
cannot run in election
5.5%
(Gomes)
9.2%
(Barbosa)
7.7%
(Silva)
1.1%
(Temer)
5.4%
(Dias)
6.9%
(Alckmin)
19.5%
(Bolsonaro)
4.2%12.8%
10.1%
(Gomes)
11.2%
(Barbosa)
13.3%
(Silva)
1.7%
(Temer)
6.1%
(Dias)
8.4%
(Alckmin)
20.7%
(Bolsonaro)
6.4%22.0%
DataPoder360 16–19 April 20182,0003.9%
(Haddad)
9.0%
(Gomes)
12.9%
(Barbosa)
10.0%
(Silva)
6.0%
(Dias)
8.0%
(Alckmin)
20.0%
(Bolsonaro)
5.5%24.7%
7.4%
(Haddad)
8.4%
(Gomes)
16.3%
(Barbosa)
8.2%
(Silva)
6.3%
(Dias)
5.5%
(Alckmin)
22.4%
(Bolsonaro)
25;5%
Vox Populi Archived 2018-04-17 at the Wayback Machine 13–15 April 20182,00047%
(Lula)
cannot run in election
2%
(Gomes)
9%
(Barbosa)
7%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
2%
(Dias)
3%
(Alckmin)
11%
(Bolsonaro)
0%18%
47%
(Lula)
cannot run in election
2%
(Gomes)
9%
(Barbosa)
7%
(Silva)
1%
(Temer)
2%
(Dias)
3%
(Alckmin)
12%
(Bolsonaro)
0%18%
Datafolha 9–13 April 20184,2602%
(Haddad)
9%
(Gomes)
9%
(Barbosa)
15%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
7%
(Alckmin)
17%
(Bolsonaro)
7%26%
2%
(Haddad)
9%
(Gomes)
9%
(Barbosa)
15%
(Silva)
2%
(Temer)
4%
(Dias)
7%
(Alckmin)
17%
(Bolsonaro)
8%28%
2%
(Haddad)
9%
(Gomes)
10%
(Barbosa)
15%
(Silva)
5%
(Dias)
8%
(Alckmin)
17%
(Bolsonaro)
8%27%
31%
(Lula)
cannot run in election
5%
(Gomes)
8%
(Barbosa)
10%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
3%
(Dias)
6%
(Alckmin)
15%
(Bolsonaro)
5%16%
30%
(Lula)
cannot run in election
5%
(Gomes)
8%
(Barbosa)
10%
(Silva)
1%
(Temer)
3%
(Dias)
6%
(Alckmin)
15%
(Bolsonaro)
5%16%
31%
(Lula)
cannot run in election
5%
(Gomes)
8%
(Barbosa)
10%
(Silva)
4%
(Dias)
6%
(Alckmin)
16%
(Bolsonaro)
4%15%
1%
(Wagner)
9%
(Gomes)
9%
(Barbosa)
15%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
4%
(Dias)
8%
(Alckmin)
17%
(Bolsonaro)
9%27%
1%
(Wagner)
9%
(Gomes)
9%
(Barbosa)
15%
(Silva)
1%
(Temer)
4%
(Dias)
7%
(Alckmin)
17%
(Bolsonaro)
7%26%
9%
(Gomes)
9%
(Barbosa)
16%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
4%
(Dias)
8%
(Alckmin)
17%
(Bolsonaro)
8%26%
After Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is sentenced to 12 years in prison by the Regional Federal Court of the 4th Region, the Supreme Federal Court rules to reject Lula's plea and an arrest warrant is given on 6 April 2018. The ruling of the TRF-4 bars Lula from running in the election
Jan–Mar
Polling firm/linkDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
PT PDT PSB REDE MDB PODE PSDB NOVO PSL Not
affiliated
OthersAbst.
Undec.
MDA Archived 2018-08-03 at the Wayback Machine 28 February–3 March 20182,0022.3%
(Haddad)
8.1%
(Gomes)
12.8%
(Silva)
1.3%
(Temer)
4.0%
(Dias)
8.6%
(Alckmin)
20.0%
(Bolsonaro)
4.2%38.7%
2.9%
(Haddad)
9.0%
(Gomes)
13.9%
(Silva)
1.3%
(Temer)
4.7%
(Dias)
20.9%
(Bolsonaro)
5.2%42.1%
2.4%
(Haddad)
8.1%
(Gomes)
13.4%
(Silva)
4.1%
(Dias)
8.7%
(Alckmin)
20.2%
(Bolsonaro)
4.6%38.5%
33.4%
(Lula)
4.3%
(Gomes)
7.8%
(Silva)
0.9%
(Temer)
3.3%
(Dias)
6.4%
(Alckmin)
16.8%
(Bolsonaro)
2.5%24.6%
#PESQUISA365 2–7 February 20182,0002.5%
(Haddad)
9.6%
(Gomes)
5.6%
(Barbosa)
9.7%
(Silva)
3.0%
(Dias)
4.4%
(Alckmin)
15.9%
(Bolsonaro)
5.3%44.5%
2.2%
(Wagner)
10.1%
(Gomes)
10.4%
(Silva)
0.6%
(Meirelles)
3.4%
(Dias)
1.1%
(Virgílio)
17.0%
(Bolsonaro)
5.1%50.7%
Datafolha 29–30 January 20182,82634%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
3%
(Barbosa)
7%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
3%
(Dias)
6%
(Alckmin)
15%
(Bolsonaro)
5%
(Huck)
3%15%
1%
(Temer)
34%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
8%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
3%
(Dias)
6%
(Alckmin)
16%
(Bolsonaro)
6%
(Huck)
4%16%
35%
(Lula)
7%
(Gomes)
10%
(Silva)
4%
(Dias)
4%
(Doria)
17%
(Bolsonaro)
5%18%
37%
(Lula)
7%
(Gomes)
5%
(Barbosa)
4%
(Dias)
7%
(Alckmin)
16%
(Bolsonaro)
5%20%
36%
(Lula)
7%
(Gomes)
1%
(Meirelles)
4%
(Dias)
7%
(Alckmin)
18%
(Bolsonaro)
6%22%
2%
(Wagner)
10%
(Gomes)
13%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
8%
(Alckmin)
18%
(Bolsonaro)
8%
(Huck)
6%28%
2%
(Wagner)
12%
(Gomes)
16%
(Silva)
6%
(Dias)
5%
(Doria)
20%
(Bolsonaro)
7%32%
2%
(Wagner)
12%
(Gomes)
5%
(Barbosa)
6%
(Dias)
11%
(Alckmin)
19%
(Bolsonaro)
9%35%
2%
(Wagner)
13%
(Gomes)
2%
(Meirelles)
6%
(Dias)
11%
(Alckmin)
20%
(Bolsonaro)
9%36%

2017

Polling firm/linkDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
PT PDT PSB REDE MDB PODE PSDB NOVO PSL Not
affiliated
OthersAbst.
Undec.
Paraná Pesquisas 18–21 December 20172,02029.2%
(Lula)
5.2%
(Gomes)
6.8%
(Barbosa)
8.6%
(Silva)
0.9%
(Meirelles)
3.5%
(Dias)
7.9%
(Alckmin)
21.1%
(Bolsonaro)
0.9%15.9%
13.4%
(Rousseff)
7.7%
(Gomes)
7.6%
(Barbosa)
12.2%
(Silva)
1.1%
(Meirelles)
4.0%
(Dias)
8.7%
(Alckmin)
22.8%
(Bolsonaro)
1.1%21.4%
3.9%
(Wagner)
8.2%
(Gomes)
9.6%
(Barbosa)
14.8%
(Silva)
1.3%
(Meirelles)
4.3%
(Dias)
9.5%
(Alckmin)
23.2%
(Bolsonaro)
1.5%23.7%
Vox Populi 9–12 December 20172,00043%
(Lula)
2%
(Gomes)
7%
(Barbosa)
5%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
1%
(Dias)
4%
(Alckmin)
13%
(Bolsonaro)
0%24%
45%
(Lula)
3%
(Gomes)
7%
(Silva)
6%
(Alckmin)
15%
(Bolsonaro)
25%
DataPoder360 8–11 December 20172,2105%
(Haddad)
10%
(Gomes)
10%
(Silva)
7%
(Alckmin)
23%
(Bolsonaro)
46%
26%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
7%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
2%
(Dias)
4%
(Alckmin)
21%
(Bolsonaro)
14%21%
30%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
10%
(Silva)
8%
(Alckmin)
22%
(Bolsonaro)
26%
Datafolha 29–30 November 20172,7653%
(Haddad)
12%
(Gomes)
16%
(Silva)
5%
(Dias)
9%
(Alckmin)
21%
(Bolsonaro)
5%28%
3%
(Haddad)
13%
(Gomes)
17%
(Silva)
6%
(Dias)
6%
(Doria)
21%
(Bolsonaro)
5%30%
3%
(Haddad)
12%
(Gomes)
8%
(Barbosa)
6%
(Dias)
11%
(Alckmin)
21%
(Bolsonaro)
5%32%
3%
(Haddad)
13%
(Gomes)
2%
(Meirelles)
6%
(Dias)
12%
(Alckmin)
22%
(Bolsonaro)
7%35%
34%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
5%
(Barbosa)
9%
(Silva)
1%
(Temer)
3%
(Dias)
6%
(Alckmin)
17%
(Bolsonaro)
2%14%
1%
(Meirelles)
36%
(Lula)
7%
(Gomes)
10%
(Silva)
4%
(Dias)
7%
(Alckmin)
18%
(Bolsonaro)
3%15%
36%
(Lula)
7%
(Gomes)
11%
(Silva)
4%
(Dias)
5%
(Doria)
18%
(Bolsonaro)
4%16%
37%
(Lula)
7%
(Gomes)
6%
(Barbosa)
4%
(Dias)
8%
(Alckmin)
18%
(Bolsonaro)
3%17%
37%
(Lula)
7%
(Gomes)
1%
(Meirelles)
4%
(Dias)
9%
(Alckmin)
19%
(Bolsonaro)
4%17%
DataPoder360 16–18 November 20172,1714%
(Haddad)
12%
(Gomes)
12%
(Silva)
9%
(Alckmin)
22%
(Bolsonaro)
42%
5%
(Haddad)
14%
(Gomes)
14%
(Silva)
3%
(Doria)
22%
(Bolsonaro)
43%
26%
(Lula)
4%
(Gomes)
8%
(Silva)
7%
(Alckmin)
25%
(Bolsonaro)
29%
26%
(Lula)
8%
(Gomes)
8%
(Silva)
9%
(Doria)
18%
(Bolsonaro)
32%
Vox Populi 27–30 October 20172,00042%
(Lula)
4%
(Gomes)
7%
(Silva)
0%
(Temer)
1%
(Dias)
5%
(Alckmin)
16%
(Bolsonaro)
1%23%
41%
(Lula)
4%
(Gomes)
7%
(Silva)
1%
(Dias)
5%
(Alckmin)
16%
(Bolsonaro)
2%
(Huck)
2%22%
42%
(Lula)
4%
(Gomes)
8%
(Silva)
5%
(Alckmin)
17%
(Bolsonaro)
24%
43%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
8%
(Silva)
3%
(Doria)
16%
(Bolsonaro)
24%
DataPoder360 26–29 October 20172,0164%
(Haddad)
14%
(Gomes)
9%
(Silva)
10%
(Alckmin)
23%
(Bolsonaro)
40%
7%
(Haddad)
11%
(Gomes)
13%
(Silva)
8%
(Doria)
24%
(Bolsonaro)
37%
28%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
6%
(Silva)
7%
(Alckmin)
25%
(Bolsonaro)
29%
32%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
5%
(Silva)
9%
(Doria)
20%
(Bolsonaro)
28%
IBOPE 18–22 October 20172,0021%
(Haddad)
7%
(Gomes)
15%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
3%
(Dias)
7%
(Alckmin)
15%
(Bolsonaro)
8%
(Huck)
3%34%
5%
(Doria)
2%
(Haddad)
9%
(Gomes)
18%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
4%
(Dias)
8%
(Alckmin)
18%
(Bolsonaro)
4%36%
2%
(Haddad)
11%
(Gomes)
19%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
4%
(Dias)
6%
(Doria)
17%
(Bolsonaro)
3%37%
35%
(Lula)
3%
(Gomes)
8%
(Silva)
0%
(Meirelles)
2%
(Dias)
5%
(Alckmin)
13%
(Bolsonaro)
5%
(Huck)
2%23%
4%
(Doria)
35%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
11%
(Silva)
0%
(Meirelles)
3%
(Dias)
7%
(Alckmin)
15%
(Bolsonaro)
3%23%
36%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
11%
(Silva)
1%
(Meirelles)
3%
(Dias)
5%
(Doria)
15%
(Bolsonaro)
2%22%
Datafolha 27–28 September 20172,7723%
(Haddad)
9%
(Gomes)
22%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
9%
(Alckmin)
19%
(Bolsonaro)
3%28%
2%
(Haddad)
7%
(Gomes)
5%
(Barbosa)
17%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
3%
(Dias)
8%
(Alckmin)
15%
(Bolsonaro)
9%
(Moro)
3%23%
6%
(Doria)
2%
(Haddad)
9%
(Gomes)
20%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
9%
(Alckmin)
17%
(Bolsonaro)
2%27%
7%
(Doria)
35%
(Lula)
4%
(Gomes)
13%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
4%
(Dias)
8%
(Alckmin)
17%
(Bolsonaro)
1%17%
35%
(Lula)
13%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
4%
(Dias)
8%
(Alckmin)
17%
(Bolsonaro)
2%18%
36%
(Lula)
14%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
4%
(Dias)
8%
(Doria)
16%
(Bolsonaro)
2%18%
10%
(Gomes)
22%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
10%
(Alckmin)
19%
(Bolsonaro)
3%29%
10%
(Gomes)
23%
(Silva)
2%
(Meirelles)
5%
(Dias)
10%
(Doria)
18%
(Bolsonaro)
3%29%
Paraná Pesquisas 18–22 September 20172,0404.0%
(Haddad)
7.5%
(Gomes)
9.7%
(Barbosa)
15.3%
(Silva)
2.2%
(Meirelles)
4.6%
(Dias)
9.7%
(Alckmin)
20.9%
(Bolsonaro)
26.2%
3.4%
(Haddad)
7.4%
(Gomes)
8.9%
(Barbosa)
15.4%
(Silva)
2.3%
(Meirelles)
4.4%
(Dias)
13.5%
(Doria)
19.6%
(Bolsonaro)
25.3%
26.5%
(Lula)
4.5%
(Gomes)
8.3%
(Barbosa)
9.8%
(Silva)
1.6%
(Meirelles)
3.9%
(Dias)
8.4%
(Alckmin)
20.0%
(Bolsonaro)
17.0%
26.6%
(Lula)
4.3%
(Gomes)
7.5%
(Barbosa)
9.7%
(Silva)
1.5%
(Meirelles)
3.8%
(Dias)
11.5%
(Doria)
18.5%
(Bolsonaro)
16.5%
DataPoder360 15–17 September 20172,2804%
(Haddad)
11%
(Gomes)
12%
(Silva)
7%
(Alckmin)
26%
(Bolsonaro)
41%
3%
(Haddad)
11%
(Gomes)
13%
(Silva)
8%
(Doria)
26%
(Bolsonaro)
40%
27%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
6%
(Silva)
5%
(Alckmin)
24%
(Bolsonaro)
32%
28%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
7%
(Silva)
10%
(Doria)
20%
(Bolsonaro)
28%
MDA 13–16 September 20172,00232.0%
(Lula)
4.6%
(Gomes)
11.4%
(Silva)
8.7%
(Alckmin)
19.4%
(Bolsonaro)
23.9%
32.7%
(Lula)
5.2%
(Gomes)
12.0%
(Silva)
9.4%
(Doria)
18.4%
(Bolsonaro)
22;3%
32.4%
(Lula)
5.3%
(Gomes)
12.1%
(Silva)
3.2%
(Neves)
19.8%
(Bolsonaro)
27.2%
DataPoder360 12–14 August 20172,0883%
(Haddad)
8%
(Gomes)
8%
(Silva)
9%
(Alckmin)
27%
(Bolsonaro)
45%
5%
(Haddad)
9%
(Gomes)
6%
(Silva)
12%
(Doria)
25%
(Bolsonaro)
44%
32%
(Lula)
4%
(Gomes)
3%
(Silva)
4%
(Alckmin)
25%
(Bolsonaro)
33%
31%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
3%
(Silva)
12%
(Doria)
18%
(Bolsonaro)
30%
Vox Populi 29–31 July 20171,99947%
(Lula)
3%
(Gomes)
6%
(Silva)
1%
(Temer)
5%
(Alckmin)
13%
(Bolsonaro)
2%22%
47%
(Lula)
3%
(Gomes)
7%
(Silva)
6%
(Alckmin)
13%
(Bolsonaro)
23%
48%
(Lula)
4%
(Gomes)
8%
(Silva)
4%
(Doria)
13%
(Bolsonaro)
24%
Paraná Pesquisas 24–27 July 20172,02026.1%
(Lula)
4.5%
(Gomes)
9.8%
(Barbosa)
7.0%
(Silva)
4.1%
(Dias)
7.3%
(Alckmin)
20.8%
(Bolsonaro)
20.5%
25.8%
(Lula)
4.5%
(Gomes)
8.7%
(Barbosa)
7.1%
(Silva)
3.5%
(Dias)
12.3%
(Doria)
18.7%
(Bolsonaro)
19.6%
DataPoder360 9–10 July 20172,17826%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
6%
(Silva)
10%
(Alckmin)
21%
(Bolsonaro)
34%
23%
(Lula)
4%
(Gomes)
12%
(Silva)
13%
(Doria)
21%
(Bolsonaro)
27%
Datafolha 21–23 June 20172,7713%
(Haddad)
13%
(Barbosa)
22%
(Silva)
10%
(Alckmin)
16%
(Bolsonaro)
8%28%
30%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
15%
(Silva)
8%
(Alckmin)
16%
(Bolsonaro)
6%20%
30%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
15%
(Silva)
10%
(Doria)
15%
(Bolsonaro)
6%18%
30%
(Lula)
11%
(Barbosa)
15%
(Silva)
8%
(Alckmin)
15%
(Bolsonaro)
6%16%
29%
(Lula)
10%
(Barbosa)
15%
(Silva)
9%
(Doria)
13%
(Bolsonaro)
5%17%
29%
(Lula)
14%
(Silva)
6%
(Alckmin)
13%
(Bolsonaro)
14%
(Moro)
5%17%
9%
(Gomes)
12%
(Barbosa)
22%
(Silva)
9%
(Alckmin)
16%
(Bolsonaro)
7%26%
12%
(Gomes)
27%
(Silva)
14%
(Doria)
18%
(Bolsonaro)
29%
DataPoder360 17–19 June 20172,09627%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
5%
(Silva)
7%
(Alckmin)
14%
(Bolsonaro)
43%
27%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
6%
(Silva)
11%
(Doria)
15%
(Bolsonaro)
35%
Vox Populi 2–4 June 20172,00045%
(Lula)
4%
(Gomes)
8%
(Silva)
4%
(Alckmin)
13%
(Bolsonaro)
25%
45%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
9%
(Silva)
4%
(Doria)
12%
(Bolsonaro)
25%
46%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
9%
(Silva)
1%
(Neves)
13%
(Bolsonaro)
26%
Paraná Pesquisas 25–29 May 20172,0223.1%
(Haddad)
6.7%
(Gomes)
8.7%
(Barbosa)
14.9%
(Silva)
13.6%
(Doria)
17.2%
(Bolsonaro)
7.4%28.3%
25.4%
(Lula)
4.2%
(Gomes)
8.1%
(Barbosa)
10.4%
(Silva)
6.4%
(Alckmin)
16.8%
(Bolsonaro)
7.3%
(Huck)
2.9%18.5%
25.8%
(Lula)
4.3%
(Gomes)
8.1%
(Barbosa)
11.1%
(Silva)
12.1%
(Doria)
16.1%
(Bolsonaro)
3.1%19.4%
DataPoder360 7–8 May 20172,15725%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
7%
(Silva)
4%
(Alckmin)
21%
(Bolsonaro)
38%
27%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
6%
(Silva)
13%
(Doria)
17%
(Bolsonaro)
32%
Datafolha 26–27 April 20172,78130%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
16%
(Silva)
2%
(Temer)
6%
(Alckmin)
14%
(Bolsonaro)
5%26%
31%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
16%
(Silva)
2%
(Temer)
9%
(Doria)
13%
(Bolsonaro)
4%26%
30%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
14%
(Silva)
2%
(Temer)
8%
(Neves)
15%
(Bolsonaro)
4%21%
11%
(Gomes)
25%
(Silva)
8%
(Alckmin)
16%
(Bolsonaro)
8%33%
12%
(Gomes)
25%
(Silva)
11%
(Doria)
14%
(Bolsonaro)
7%31%
DataPoder360 16–17 April 20172,05824%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
11%
(Silva)
8%
(Alckmin)
18%
(Bolsonaro)
34%
25%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
9%
(Silva)
13%
(Doria)
14%
(Bolsonaro)
33%
25%
(Lula)
4%
(Gomes)
11%
(Silva)
7%
(Neves)
19%
(Bolsonaro)
35%
Vox Populi 6–10 April 20172,00045%
(Lula)
4%
(Gomes)
11%
(Silva)
6%
(Alckmin)
12%
(Bolsonaro)
23%
45%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
11%
(Silva)
6%
(Doria)
11%
(Bolsonaro)
23%
44%
(Lula)
4%
(Gomes)
10%
(Silva)
9%
(Neves)
11%
(Bolsonaro)
22%
Paraná Pesquisas 12–15 February 20172,02022.9%
(Lula)
4.7%
(Gomes)
11.5%
(Barbosa)
12.8%
(Silva)
3.8%
(Temer)
11.9%
(Alckmin)
12.2%
(Bolsonaro)
1.9%18.1%
23.3%
(Lula)
5.6%
(Gomes)
11.3%
(Barbosa)
13.7%
(Silva)
4.3%
(Temer)
9.1%
(Doria)
11.9%
(Bolsonaro)
1.6%19.1%
22.6%
(Lula)
4.9%
(Gomes)
11.7%
(Barbosa)
12.6%
(Silva)
3.8%
(Temer)
12.9%
(Neves)
12.0%
(Bolsonaro)
2.0%17.6%
MDA Archived 2019-01-09 at the Wayback Machine 8–11 February 20172,00231.8%
(Lula)
5.3%
(Gomes)
12.1%
(Silva)
9.1%
(Alckmin)
11.7%
(Bolsonaro)
29%
30.5%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
11.8%
(Silva)
3.7%
(Temer)
10.1%
(Neves)
11.3%
(Bolsonaro)
26.6%
32.8%
(Lula)
13.9%
(Silva)
12.1%
(Neves)
12%
(Bolsonaro)
29.2%

2016

Polling firm/linkDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
PT PDT PSB REDE MDB PODE PSDB NOVO PSL Not
affiliated
OthersAbst.
Undec.
Vox Populi 10–14 December 2016 2,500 38%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
12%
(Silva)
10%
(Alckmin)
7%
(Bolsonaro)
28%
37%
(Lula)
4%
(Gomes)
10%
(Silva)
13%
(Neves)
7%
(Bolsonaro)
29%
Datafolha 7–8 December 20162,82826%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
17%
(Silva)
4%
(Temer)
8%
(Alckmin)
8%
(Bolsonaro)
5%26%
25%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
15%
(Silva)
4%
(Temer)
11%
(Neves)
9%
(Bolsonaro)
5%26%
25%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
16%
(Silva)
4%
(Temer)
9%
(Serra)
9%
(Bolsonaro)
5%26%
MDA Archived 2017-03-14 at the Wayback Machine 13–16 October 20162,00225.3%
(Lula)
8.4%
(Gomes)
14.0%
(Silva)
6.1%
(Temer)
13.4%
(Alckmin)
6.9%
(Bolsonaro)
25.9%
24.8%
(Lula)
7.4%
(Gomes)
13.3%
(Silva)
6.2%
(Temer)
15.7%
(Neves)
6.5%
(Bolsonaro)
26.1%
27.6%
(Lula)
16.5%
(Silva)
18.9%
(Neves)
7.9%
(Bolsonaro)
29.1%
Vox Populi 9–13 October 20162,00035%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
13%
(Silva)
12%
(Alckmin)
7%
(Bolsonaro)
28%
34%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
11%
(Silva)
15%
(Neves)
7%
(Bolsonaro)
27%
Vox Populi 29 July–1 August 20161,50029%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
18%
(Silva)
11%
(Alckmin)
7%
(Bolsonaro)
29%
28%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
15%
(Silva)
18%
(Neves)
7%
(Bolsonaro)
27%
29%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
19%
(Silva)
13%
(Serra)
7%
(Bolsonaro)
27%
Datafolha 14–15 July 20162,79223%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
18%
(Silva)
6%
(Temer)
8%
(Alckmin)
8%
(Bolsonaro)
5%27%
22%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
17%
(Silva)
5%
(Temer)
14%
(Neves)
7%
(Bolsonaro)
4%25%
23%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
17%
(Silva)
6%
(Temer)
11%
(Serra)
7%
(Bolsonaro)
5%26%
Vox Populi June 201629%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
18%
(Silva)
16%
(Neves)
6%
(Bolsonaro)
25%
MDA 2–5 June 20162,00222.3%
(Lula)
6.3%
(Gomes)
16.6%
(Silva)
6.2%
(Temer)
9.6%
(Alckmin)
6.2%
(Bolsonaro)
32.8%
22%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
14.8%
(Silva)
5.4%
(Temer)
15.9%
(Neves)
5.8%
(Bolsonaro)
30.1%
Vox Populi 9–12 April 201629%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
18%
(Silva)
17%
(Neves)
7%
(Bolsonaro)
23%
31%
(Lula)
23%
(Silva)
20%
(Neves)
26%
Datafolha 7–8 April 20162,77922%
(Lula)
8%
(Gomes)
23%
(Silva)
2%
(Temer)
9%
(Alckmin)
8%
(Bolsonaro)
4%24%
21%
(Lula)
7%
(Gomes)
19%
(Silva)
2%
(Temer)
17%
(Neves)
8%
(Bolsonaro)
4%22%
22%
(Lula)
7%
(Gomes)
22%
(Silva)
2%
(Temer)
11%
(Serra)
7%
(Bolsonaro)
4%24%
Paraná Pesquisas 3–6 April 20162,04415.4%
(Lula)
6.7%
(Gomes)
24.7%
(Silva)
1.9%
(Temer)
3.2%
(Dias)
18.3%
(Alckmin)
8.3%
(Bolsonaro)
2.9%18.6%
15.7%
(Lula)
6.4%
(Gomes)
21.0%
(Silva)
1.9%
(Temer)
2.7%
(Dias)
23.5%
(Neves)
8.4%
(Bolsonaro)
2.9%17.6%
15.4%
(Lula)
6.9%
(Gomes)
24.8%
(Silva)
1.9%
(Temer)
2.9%
(Dias)
18.0%
(Serra)
8.5%
(Bolsonaro)
2.9%18.7%
Datafolha 17–18 March 201617%
(Lula)
7%
(Gomes)
23%
(Silva)
2%
(Temer)
11%
(Alckmin)
6%
(Bolsonaro)
6%27%
17%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
21%
(Silva)
1%
(Temer)
19%
(Neves)
6%
(Bolsonaro)
7%24%
17%
(Lula)
7%
(Gomes)
24%
(Silva)
1%
(Temer)
13%
(Serra)
7%
(Bolsonaro)
7%25%
Paraná Pesquisas 28 February–2 March 20162,02216.9%
(Lula)
6.5%
(Gomes)
22.3%
(Silva)
3.1%
(Dias)
16.6%
(Alckmin)
8.7%
(Bolsonaro)
6.0%19.9%
16.8%
(Lula)
4.7%
(Gomes)
18.2%
(Silva)
2.7%
(Dias)
27.6%
(Neves)
8.4%
(Bolsonaro)
4.9%16.7%
Datafolha 24–25 February 201620%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
23%
(Silva)
2%
(Temer)
12%
(Alckmin)
7%
(Bolsonaro)
5%25%
20%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
19%
(Silva)
1%
(Temer)
24%
(Neves)
6%
(Bolsonaro)
4%21%
21%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
23%
(Silva)
2%
(Temer)
15%
(Serra)
6%
(Bolsonaro)
5%24%
MDA Archived 2017-03-02 at the Wayback Machine 18–21 February 20162,00219.7%
(Lula)
7.4%
(Gomes)
18.0%
(Silva)
13.8%
(Alckmin)
6.3%
(Bolsonaro)
34.8%
19.1%
(Lula)
5.8%
(Gomes)
14.7%
(Silva)
24.6%
(Neves)
6.1%
(Bolsonaro)
29.7%
19.7%
(Lula)
7.2%
(Gomes)
17.8%
(Silva)
14.5%
(Serra)
6.4%
(Bolsonaro)
34.4%

2015

Polling firm/linkDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
PT PDT PSB REDE MDB PODE PSDB NOVO PSL Not
affiliated
OthersAbst.
Undec.
Datafolha 16–17 December 201522%
(Lula)
7%
(Gomes)
24%
(Silva)
1%
(Temer)
14%
(Alckmin)
5%
(Bolsonaro)
4%23%
20%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
19%
(Silva)
2%
(Temer)
27%
(Neves)
4%
(Bolsonaro)
3%19%
Datafolha 25–26 November 20153,54122%
(Lula)
28%
(Silva)
18%
(Alckmin)
8%23%
22%
(Lula)
21%
(Silva)
31%
(Neves)
7%19%
22%
(Lula)
28%
(Silva)
2%
(Temer)
18%
(Alckmin)
7%24%
22%
(Lula)
21%
(Silva)
2%
(Temer)
31%
(Neves)
5%19%
Paraná Pesquisas 28 October–2 November 20152,08518.2%
(Lula)
6.1%
(Gomes)
24.3%
(Silva)
1.6%
(Temer)
22.6%
(Alckmin)
5.7%
(Bolsonaro)
1.4%20.1%
17.1%
(Lula)
5.2%
(Gomes)
19.7%
(Silva)
1.5%
(Temer)
34.2%
(Neves)
5.3%
(Bolsonaro)
1.0%16.0%
17.7%
(Lula)
6.0%
(Gomes)
23.8%
(Silva)
2.0%
(Temer)
25.5%
(Serra)
5.8%
(Bolsonaro)
1.4%17.8%
MDA Archived 2017-04-24 at the Wayback Machine 20–24 October 20152,00223.1%
(Lula)
27.8%
(Silva)
19.9%
(Alckmin)
29.2%
21.6%
(Lula)
21.3%
(Silva)
32.0%
(Neves)
25.1%
23.5%
(Lula)
27.9%
(Silva)
19.6%
(Serra)
29.0%
MDA Archived 2017-04-25 at the Wayback Machine 12–16 July 20152,00224.9%
(Lula)
23.1%
(Silva)
21.5%
(Alckmin)
5.1%
(Bolsonaro)
25.4%
22.8%
(Lula)
15.6%
(Silva)
35.1%
(Neves)
4.6%
(Bolsonaro)
21.9%
25.0%
(Lula)
23.3%
(Silva)
21.2%
(Serra)
5.5%
(Bolsonaro)
25.0%
Datafolha 17–18 June 20152,84026%
(Lula)
25%
(Silva)
20%
(Alckmin)
8%21%
25%
(Lula)
18%
(Silva)
35%
(Neves)
6%16%
Datafolha 9–10 April 20152,83429%
(Lula)
13%
(Barbosa)
14%
(Silva)
33%
(Neves)
3%9%
Paraná Pesquisas 26–31 March 20152,02217.9%
(Lula)
24.3%
(Silva)
37.1%
(Neves)
20.6%
16.4%
(Rousseff)
27.6%
(Silva)
39.2%
(Neves)
16.8%
2014 election 5 October 2014115,122,61141.6%
(Rousseff)
21.3%
(Silva)
33.6%
(Neves)
24.8%19.4%
  • 1.Blank or null votes counted apart

Second round

Polling

Graphical summary

Graph showing 5 poll average trend lines of Brazilian opinion polls for the second round Fernando Haddad (PT) and Bolsonaro (PSL) from April 2018 to the most recent one. BolsoHaddad 2018.png
Graph showing 5 poll average trend lines of Brazilian opinion polls for the second round Fernando Haddad (PT) and Bolsonaro (PSL) from April 2018 to the most recent one.
After the first round
Polling firm/linkDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Haddad Bolsonaro Abst.
Undec.
Results of the
second round
44,87%55,13%
Datafolha 26–27 October 201818,73139%47%13%
Ibope 26–27 October 20183,01041%47%12%
CNT/MDA 26–27 October 20182,00237%49%14%
Datafolha 24–25 October 20189,17338%48%14%
Paraná Pesquisas 23–25 October 20182,12035%53%12%
RealTime Big Data 24 October 20185,00038%49%13%
Ipespe 23–24 October 20182,00037%51%12%
Ibope 21–23 October 20183,01037%50%13%
FSB Pesquisa 20–21 October 20182,00035%52%13%
CNT/MDA 20–21 October 20182,00237%49%14%
RealTime Big Data 19–20 October 20185,00037%52%11%
DataPoder360 17–18 October 20184,00031%57%12%
Datafolha 17–18 October 20189,13735%50%15%
RealTime Big Data 16–17 October 20185,00035%52%13%
Ipespe 15–17 October 20182,00037%51%13%
Paraná Pesquisas 14–17 October 20182,08034%53%13%
Ibope 13–14 October 20182,50637%52%12%
FSB Pesquisa 13–14 October 20182,00035%51%14%
RealTime Big Data 12–13 October 20185,00033%48%19%
Datafolha 10 October 20183,23536%49%15%
Idea Big Data 8–10 October 20182,03641%48%11%
Ipespe 8–9 October 20182,00036%51%13%
Before the first round
Polling firm/linkDate(s)
administered
Sample
Size
PT PDT PSB REDE MDB PODE PSDB PSL Not
affiliated
Abst.
Undec.
Ibope 5–6 October 20183,01041%
(Haddad)
45%
(Bolsonaro)
15%
45%
(Gomes)
41%
(Bolsonaro)
13%
36%
(Silva)
46%
(Bolsonaro)
18%
40%
(Alckmin)
43%
(Bolsonaro)
17%
Datafolha 5–6 October 201819,55238%
(Haddad)
41%
(Alckmin)
20%
43%
(Haddad)
45%
(Bolsonaro)
12%
47%
(Gomes)
43%
(Bolsonaro)
10%
41%
(Alckmin)
43%
(Bolsonaro)
15%
CNT/MDA Archived 2018-10-06 at the Wayback Machine 4–5 October 20182,00231.1%
(Haddad)
40.9%
(Gomes)
28.0%
37.0%
(Haddad)
34.3%
(Alckmin)
31.7%
38.7%
(Haddad)
45.2%
(Bolsonaro)
16.1%
46.1%
(Gomes)
24.4%
(Alckmin)
29.5%
41.2%
(Gomes)
41.9%
(Bolsonaro)
16.9%
33.5%
(Alckmin)
43.3%
(Bolsonaro)
23.2%
XP/Ipespe 3–4 October 20182,00036%
(Haddad)
40%
(Alckmin)
24%
42%
(Haddad)
43%
(Bolsonaro)
15%
36%
(Gomes)
33%
(Alckmin)
31%
44%
(Gomes)
39%
(Bolsonaro)
18%
44%
(Alckmin)
42%
(Bolsonaro)
15%
RealTime Big Data 3–4 October 201810,00040%
(Haddad)
43%
(Bolsonaro)
17%
48%
(Gomes)
38%
(Bolsonaro)
14%
37%
(Silva)
40%
(Bolsonaro)
23%
41%
(Alckmin)
42%
(Bolsonaro)
17%
DataPoder360 3–4 October 20184,00028%
(Haddad)
41%
(Gomes)
30%
42%
(Haddad)
45%
(Bolsonaro)
13%
46%
(Gomes)
41%
(Bolsonaro)
13%
42%
(Alckmin)
42%
(Bolsonaro)
16%
Datafolha 3–4 October 201810,93038%
(Haddad)
42%
(Alckmin)
20%
43%
(Haddad)
44%
(Bolsonaro)
12%
48%
(Gomes)
42%
(Bolsonaro)
11%
43%
(Alckmin)
42%
(Bolsonaro)
15%
Paraná Pesquisas 2–4 October 20182,08031.8%
(Haddad)
40.7%
(Gomes)
27.5%
35.2%
(Haddad)
37.5%
(Alckmin)
27.2%
38.1%
(Haddad)
47.1%
(Bolsonaro)
14.8%
42.5%
(Gomes)
44.2%
(Bolsonaro)
13.3%
35.9%
(Alckmin)
44.5%
(Bolsonaro)
19.5%
Movimento Parlamentarista Brasileiro 28 September –3 October 20182,50041%
(Haddad)
37%
(Bolsonaro)
22%
41%
(Gomes)
35%
(Bolsonaro)
24%
35%
(Silva)
37%
(Bolsonaro)
28%
36%
(Alckmin)
36%
(Bolsonaro)
28%
Datafolha 2 October 20183,24032%
(Haddad)
46%
(Gomes)
22%
36%
(Haddad)
43%
(Alckmin)
21%
42%
(Haddad)
44%
(Bolsonaro)
14%
42%
(Gomes)
37%
(Alckmin)
21%
46%
(Gomes)
42%
(Bolsonaro)
12%
43%
(Alckmin)
41%
(Bolsonaro)
16%
Ibope 1–2 October 20183,01043%
(Haddad)
41%
(Bolsonaro)
15%
46%
(Gomes)
39%
(Bolsonaro)
16%
39%
(Silva)
43%
(Bolsonaro)
18%
41%
(Alckmin)
40%
(Bolsonaro)
19%
FSB Pesquisa 29–30 September 20182,00042%
(Haddad)
43%
(Bolsonaro)
15%
45%
(Gomes)
41%
(Bolsonaro)
14%
39%
(Silva)
44%
(Bolsonaro)
18%
42%
(Alckmin)
41%
(Bolsonaro)
17%
Ibope 29–30 September 20183,01042%
(Haddad)
42%
(Bolsonaro)
17%
45%
(Gomes)
39%
(Bolsonaro)
16%
38%
(Silva)
43%
(Bolsonaro)
19%
42%
(Alckmin)
39%
(Bolsonaro)
20%
RealTime Big Data 28–29 September 20183,20031%
(Haddad)
40%
(Gomes)
29%
35%
(Haddad)
28%
(Silva)
37%
37%
(Haddad)
35%
(Alckmin)
28%
45%
(Haddad)
41%
(Bolsonaro)
14%
40%
(Gomes)
23%
(Silva)
37%
47%
(Gomes)
39%
(Bolsonaro)
14%
28%
(Silva)
29%
(Alckmin)
43%
36%
(Silva)
37%
(Bolsonaro)
27%
39%
(Alckmin)
40%
(Bolsonaro)
21%
CNT/MDA Archived 2018-09-30 at the Wayback Machine 27–28 September 20182,00033.9%
(Haddad)
34.0%
(Gomes)
32.1%
39.8%
(Haddad)
28.5%
(Alckmin)
31.7%
42.7%
(Haddad)
37.3%
(Bolsonaro)
20.0%
41.5%
(Gomes)
23.8%
(Alckmin)
34.7%
42.7%
(Gomes)
35.3%
(Bolsonaro)
22.0%
37.0%
(Alckmin)
33.6%
(Bolsonaro)
29.4%
Datafolha 26–28 September 20189,00035%
(Haddad)
41%
(Gomes)
24%
39%
(Haddad)
39%
(Alckmin)
22%
45%
(Haddad)
39%
(Bolsonaro)
15%
42%
(Gomes)
36%
(Alckmin)
22%
48%
(Gomes)
38%
(Bolsonaro)
14%
45%
(Alckmin)
38%
(Bolsonaro)
18%
Genial Investimentos 25–26 September 20181,00044%
(Haddad)
36%
(Bolsonaro)
19%
XP/Ipespe 24–26 de setembro de 20182,00035%
(Haddad)
38%
(Alckmin)
27%
43%
(Haddad)
39%
(Bolsonaro)
18%
39%
(Gomes)
35%
(Alckmin)
26%
43%
(Gomes)
35%
(Bolsonaro)
21%
35%
(Silva)
39%
(Bolsonaro)
25%
41%
(Alckmin)
38%
(Bolsonaro)
22%
Paraná Pesquisas 23–25 September 20182,02032.4%
(Haddad)
38.2%
(Gomes)
29.5%
36.3%
(Haddad)
35.8%
(Alckmin)
27.9%
39.4%
(Haddad)
44.3%
(Bolsonaro)
16.4%
43.2%
(Gomes)
41.6%
(Bolsonaro)
15.2%
38.2%
(Alckmin)
42.1%
(Bolsonaro)
19.7%
Ibope 22–24 September 20182,00042%
(Haddad)
38%
(Bolsonaro)
20%
44%
(Gomes)
35%
(Bolsonaro)
20%
38%
(Silva)
40%
(Bolsonaro)
22%
40%
(Alckmin)
36%
(Bolsonaro)
23%
Sensus 21–24 September 20182,00029.8%
(Haddad)
25.6%
(Gomes)
44.5%
37.3%
(Haddad)
17.5%
(Silva)
45.1%
35.1%
(Haddad)
22.3%
(Alckmin)
42.5%
36.3%
(Haddad)
37.2%
(Bolsonaro)
26.6%
33.5%
(Gomes)
35.1%
(Bolsonaro)
31.3%
26.5%
(Silva)
37.4%
(Bolsonaro)
36.1%
26.4%
(Alckmin)
38.0%
(Bolsonaro)
35.6%
Ibope 22–23 September 20182,50643%
(Haddad)
37%
(Bolsonaro)
19%
46%
(Gomes)
35%
(Bolsonaro)
19%
39%
(Silva)
39%
(Bolsonaro)
23%
41%
(Alckmin)
36%
(Bolsonaro)
24%
FSB Pesquisa 22–23 de setembro de 20182,00040%
(Haddad)
44%
(Bolsonaro)
15%
43%
(Gomes)
41%
(Bolsonaro)
16%
34%
(Silva)
46%
(Bolsonaro)
20%
40%
(Alckmin)
41%
(Bolsonaro)
18%
DataPoder360 19–20 September 20184,00043%
(Haddad)
40%
(Bolsonaro)
17%
42%
(Gomes)
36%
(Bolsonaro)
22%
37%
(Silva)
39%
(Bolsonaro)
24%
36%
(Alckmin)
37%
(Bolsonaro)
27%
Datafolha 18–19 September 20188,60131%
(Haddad)
42%
(Gomes)
28%
37%
(Haddad)
37%
(Silva)
26%
35%
(Haddad)
39%
(Alckmin)
27%
41%
(Haddad)
41%
(Bolsonaro)
17%
45%
(Gomes)
31%
(Silva)
24%
41%
(Gomes)
34%
(Alckmin)
24%
45%
(Gomes)
39%
(Bolsonaro)
16%
36%
(Silva)
39%
(Alckmin)
25%
41%
(Silva)
42%
(Bolsonaro)
18%
40%
(Alckmin)
39%
(Bolsonaro)
21%
Genial Investimentos 17–19 September 20181,00033%
(Haddad)
32%
(Gomes)
35%
34%
(Haddad)
36%
(Alckmin)
31%
40%
(Haddad)
42%
(Bolsonaro)
18%
34%
(Gomes)
32%
(Alckmin)
34%
38%
(Gomes)
40%
(Bolsonaro)
22%
35%
(Alckmin)
38%
(Bolsonaro)
27%
XP/Ipespe 17–19 September 2012,00031%
(Haddad)
38%
(Alckmin)
31%
38%
(Haddad)
41%
(Bolsonaro)
21%
37%
(Gomes)
35%
(Alckmin)
29%
40%
(Gomes)
35%
(Bolsonaro)
26%
35%
(Silva)
40%
(Bolsonaro)
25%
39%
(Alckmin)
39%
(Bolsonaro)
22%
Ibope 16–18 September 20182,50640%
(Haddad)
40%
(Bolsonaro)
20%
40%
(Gomes)
39%
(Bolsonaro)
21%
36%
(Silva)
41%
(Bolsonaro)
23%
38%
(Alckmin)
38%
(Bolsonaro)
24%
FSB Pesquisa 15–16 September 20182,00038%
(Haddad)
46%
(Bolsonaro)
16%
42%
(Gomes)
42%
(Bolsonaro)
16%
33%
(Silva)
48%
(Bolsonaro)
20%
36%
(Alckmin)
43%
(Bolsonaro)
21%
CNT/MDA Archived 2018-09-17 at the Wayback Machine 12–15 September 20182,00226.1%
(Haddad)
38.1%
(Gomes)
35.8%
35.7%
(Haddad)
23.3%
(Silva)
41.0%
35.5%
(Haddad)
21.4%
(Meirelles)
43.1%
33.1%
(Haddad)
26.8%
(Alckmin)
40.1%
35.7%
(Haddad)
39.0%
(Bolsonaro)
25.3%
43.8%
(Gomes)
17.1%
(Silva)
39.1%
43.5%
(Gomes)
14.8%
(Meirelles)
41.7%
39.6%
(Gomes)
20.3%
(Alckmin)
40.1%
37.8%
(Gomes)
36.1%
(Bolsonaro)
26.1%
27.9%
(Silva)
23.2%
(Meirelles)
48.9%
25.3%
(Silva)
28.4%
(Alckmin)
46.3%
28.2%
(Silva)
39.4%
(Bolsonaro)
32.4%
19.1%
(Meirelles)
28.9%
(Alckmin)
52.0%
25.7%
(Meirelles)
38.6%
(Bolsonaro)
35.7%
27.7%
(Alckmin)
38.2%
(Bolsonaro)
34.1%
Datafolha 13–14 September 20182,82027%
(Haddad)
45%
(Gomes)
28%
34%
(Haddad)
39%
(Silva)
27%
32%
(Haddad)
40%
(Alckmin)
28%
40%
(Haddad)
41%
(Bolsonaro)
19%
44%
(Gomes)
32%
(Silva)
24%
40%
(Gomes)
34%
(Alckmin)
26%
45%
(Gomes)
38%
(Bolsonaro)
17%
36%
(Silva)
39%
(Alckmin)
25%
43%
(Silva)
39%
(Bolsonaro)
18%
41%
(Alckmin)
37%
(Bolsonaro)
21%
XP/Ipespe 10–12 September 20182,00028%
(Haddad)
38%
(Alckmin)
35%
38%
(Haddad)
40%
(Bolsonaro)
22%
35%
(Gomes)
35%
(Alckmin)
31%
40%
(Gomes)
35%
(Bolsonaro)
26%
37%
(Silva)
36%
(Bolsonaro)
27%
37%
(Alckmin)
36%
(Bolsonaro)
26%
Vox Populi 7–11 September 20182,00032%
(Haddad)
16%
(Silva)
51%
33%
(Haddad)
15%
(Alckmin)
52%
37%
(Haddad, supported by Lula)
13%
(Alckmin)
50%
34%
(Haddad)
24%
(Bolsonaro)
42%
36%
(Haddad, supported by Lula)
24%
(Bolsonaro)
40%
33%
(Gomes)
15%
(Silva)
52%
34%
(Gomes)
11%
(Alckmin)
55%
32%
(Gomes)
22%
(Bolsonaro)
46%
24%
(Silva)
16%
(Alckmin)
61%
26%
(Silva)
24%
(Bolsonaro)
49%
18%
(Alckmin)
25%
(Bolsonaro)
56%
Datafolha 10 September 20182,80429%
(Haddad)
43%
(Alckmin)
28%
39%
(Haddad)
38%
(Bolsonaro)
23%
39%
(Gomes)
35%
(Alckmin)
26%
45%
(Gomes)
35%
(Bolsonaro)
20%
38%
(Silva)
37%
(Alckmin)
25%
43%
(Silva)
37%
(Bolsonaro)
20%
43%
(Alckmin)
34%
(Bolsonaro)
23%
41%
(Gomes)
35%
(Silva)
24%
31%
(Haddad)
42%
(Silva)
28%
Ibope 8-10 September 20182,00236%
(Haddad)
40%
(Bolsonaro)
24%
40%
(Gomes)
37%
(Bolsonaro)
22%
38%
(Silva)
38%
(Bolsonaro)
24%
38%
(Alckmin)
37%
(Bolsonaro)
25%
RealTime Big Data 7-9 September 20183,20033%
(Haddad)
36%
(Bolsonaro)
37%
(Gomes)
34%
(Bolsonaro)
46%
(Silva)
34%
(Bolsonaro)
38%
(Alckmin)
35%
(Bolsonaro)
On 6 September 2018, Jair Bolsonaro was stabbed while he was campaigning in Juiz de Fora, Minas Gerais.
Ibope 1–3 September 20182,00244%
(Gomes)
33%
(Bolsonaro)
23%
41%
(Alckmin)
32%
(Bolsonaro)
27%
43%
(Silva)
33%
(Bolsonaro)
23%
36%
(Haddad)
37%
(Bolsonaro)
27%
On 31 August 2018, the Superior Electoral Court votes to officially reject Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's candidacy. [1]
XP/Ipespe 27–29 August 20181,00024%
(Haddad)
36%
(Alckmin)
40%
34%
(Haddad)
37%
(Bolsonaro)
29%
45%
(Lula)
34%
(Bolsonaro)
21%
29%
(Gomes)
34%
(Alckmin)
37%
34%
(Gomes)
32%
(Bolsonaro)
34%
37%
(Silva)
34%
(Bolsonaro)
29%
35%
(Alckmin)
35%
(Bolsonaro)
30%
XP/Ipespe 20–22 August 20181,00025%
(Haddad)
36%
(Alckmin)
41%
32%
(Haddad)
38%
(Bolsonaro)
30%
45%
(Lula)
33%
(Bolsonaro)
22%
28%
(Gomes)
33%
(Alckmin)
39%
32%
(Gomes)
32%
(Bolsonaro)
36%
37%
(Silva)
33%
(Bolsonaro)
30%
33%
(Alckmin)
34%
(Bolsonaro)
33%
Globo/Datafolha 20–21 August 20188,43325%
(Haddad)
36%
(Alckmin)
41%
29%
(Haddad)
38%
(Bolsonaro)
33%
51%
(Lula)
29%
(Silva)
20%
53%
(Lula)
29%
(Alckmin)
18%
52%
(Lula)
32%
(Bolsonaro)
16%
31%
(Gomes)
37%
(Alckmin)
32%
38%
(Gomes)
35%
(Bolsonaro)
27%
41%
(Silva)
33%
(Alckmin)
26%
45%
(Silva)
34%
(Bolsonaro)
21%
38%
(Alckmin)
33%
(Bolsonaro)
29%
CNT/MDA 15–18 August 20182,00249.4%
(Lula)
18.5%
(Gomes)
32.1%
49.8%
(Lula)
18.8%
(Silva)
31.4%
49.5%
(Lula)
20.4%
(Alckmin)
30.1%
50.1%
(Lula)
26.4%
(Bolsonaro)
23.5%
26.1%
(Gomes)
25.2%
(Silva)
48.7%
25.3%
(Gomes)
22.0%
(Alckmin)
52.7%
28.2%
(Gomes)
29.4%
(Bolsonaro)
42.4%
26.7%
(Silva)
23.9%
(Alckmin)
49.4%
29.1%
(Silva)
29.3%
(Bolsonaro)
41.6%
26.4%
(Alckmin)
29.4%
(Bolsonaro)
44.2%
Ipespe 13–15 August 20181,00025%
(Haddad)
35%
(Alckmin)
41%
32%
(Haddad)
37%
(Bolsonaro)
31%
43%
(Lula)
34%
(Bolsonaro)
24%
27%
(Gomes)
32%
(Alckmin)
42%
30%
(Gomes)
33%
(Bolsonaro)
36%
36%
(Silva)
34%
(Bolsonaro)
29%
32%
(Alckmin)
34%
(Bolsonaro)
29%
Ipespe 6–8 August 20181,00025%
(Haddad)
36%
(Alckmin)
41%
29%
(Haddad)
37%
(Bolsonaro)
34%
41%
(Lula)
32%
(Bolsonaro)
26%
28%
(Gomes)
33%
(Alckmin)
40%
30%
(Gomes)
32%
(Bolsonaro)
37%
38%
(Silva)
32%
(Bolsonaro)
30%
33%
(Alckmin)
33%
(Bolsonaro)
33%
Ipespe 30 July–1 August 20181,00023%
(Haddad)
34%
(Alckmin)
43%
28%
(Haddad)
37%
(Bolsonaro)
35%
41%
(Lula)
33%
(Bolsonaro)
26%
29%
(Gomes)
32%
(Alckmin)
39%
32%
(Gomes)
33%
(Bolsonaro)
35%
37%
(Silva)
32%
(Bolsonaro)
31%
33%
(Alckmin)
34%
(Bolsonaro)
33%
Ipespe 23–25 July 20181,00022%
(Haddad)
36%
(Alckmin)
43%
27%
(Haddad)
38%
(Bolsonaro)
36%
40%
(Lula)
34%
(Bolsonaro)
26%
29%
(Gomes)
34%
(Alckmin)
37%
32%
(Gomes)
34%
(Bolsonaro)
34%
36%
(Silva)
34%
(Bolsonaro)
30%
34%
(Alckmin)
35%
(Bolsonaro)
32%
Ideia Big Data 20–23 July 20182,03610%
(Haddad)
32%
(Silva)
58%
16%
(Haddad)
20%
(Alckmin)
64%
15%
(Haddad)
31%
(Bolsonaro)
54%
31%
(Lula)
24%
(Silva)
45%
33%
(Lula)
18%
(Alckmin)
49%
37%
(Lula)
30%
(Bolsonaro)
33%
22%
(Gomes)
16%
(Dias)
61%
25%
(Gomes)
25%
(Alckmin)
50%
25%
(Gomes)
27%
(Bolsonaro)
48%
33%
(Silva)
20%
(Alckmin)
47%
30%
(Silva)
28%
(Bolsonaro)
42%
14%
(Dias)
31%
(Bolsonaro)
55%
26%
(Alckmin)
25%
(Bolsonaro)
49%
Vox Populi 18–20 July 20182,00050%
(Lula)
11%
(Gomes)
40%
50%
(Lula)
12%
(Silva)
38%
52%
(Lula)
10%
(Alckmin)
38%
50%
(Lula)
16%
(Bolsonaro)
33%
Ipespe 16–18 July 20181,00020%
(Haddad)
29%
(Alckmin)
42%
28%
(Haddad)
38%
(Bolsonaro)
35%
41%
(Lula)
34%
(Bolsonaro)
25%
31%
(Gomes)
32%
(Alckmin)
37%
33%
(Gomes)
34%
(Bolsonaro)
33%
37%
(Silva)
34%
(Bolsonaro)
29%
33%
(Alckmin)
35%
(Bolsonaro)
32%
Ipespe Archived 2018-07-13 at the Wayback Machine 9–11 July 20181,00020%
(Haddad)
30%
(Alckmin)
44%
40%
(Lula)
33%
(Bolsonaro)
27%
30%
(Gomes)
32%
(Alckmin)
38%
31%
(Gomes)
33%
(Bolsonaro)
36%
37%
(Silva)
33%
(Bolsonaro)
29%
32%
(Alckmin)
34%
(Bolsonaro)
35%
Ipespe 2–4 July 20181,00020%
(Haddad)
28%
(Alckmin)
45%
39%
(Lula)
33%
(Bolsonaro)
29%
31%
(Gomes)
33%
(Alckmin)
37%
31%
(Gomes)
34%
(Bolsonaro)
34%
36%
(Silva)
33%
(Bolsonaro)
31%
32%
(Alckmin)
34%
(Bolsonaro)
35%
DataPoder360 25–29 June 20185,50023%
(Haddad)
36%
(Bolsonaro)
41%
26%
(Gomes)
36%
(Bolsonaro)
38%
31%
(Silva)
36%
(Bolsonaro)
34%
25%
(Alckmin)
35%
(Bolsonaro)
40%
Ipespe 25–27 June 20181,00019%
(Haddad)
29%
(Alckmin)
45%
40%
(Lula)
33%
(Bolsonaro)
27%
32%
(Gomes)
32%
(Alckmin)
35%
32%
(Gomes)
33%
(Bolsonaro)
35%
35%
(Silva)
32%
(Bolsonaro)
33%
32%
(Alckmin)
33%
(Bolsonaro)
36%
Ipespe 18–20 June 20181,00019%
(Haddad)
28%
(Alckmin)
48%
41%
(Lula)
33%
(Bolsonaro)
26%
30%
(Gomes)
32%
(Alckmin)
38%
32%
(Gomes)
33%
(Bolsonaro)
35%
36%
(Silva)
32%
(Bolsonaro)
31%
31%
(Alckmin)
32%
(Bolsonaro)
37%
Ipespe 11–13 June 20181,00019%
(Haddad)
29%
(Alckmin)
48%
42%
(Lula)
34%
(Bolsonaro)
24%
30%
(Gomes)
31%
(Alckmin)
39%
33%
(Gomes)
34%
(Bolsonaro)
34%
38%
(Silva)
34%
(Bolsonaro)
28%
31%
(Alckmin)
33%
(Bolsonaro)
35%
Datafolha 6–7 June 20182,82419%
(Haddad)
38%
(Gomes)
42%
20%
(Haddad)
36%
(Alckmin)
44%
27%
(Haddad)
36%
(Bolsonaro)
37%
46%
(Lula)
31%
(Silva)
22%
49%
(Lula)
27%
(Alckmin)
23%
49%
(Lula)
32%
(Bolsonaro)
18%
29%
(Gomes)
41%
(Silva)
30%
32%
(Gomes)
31%
(Alckmin)
37%
36%
(Gomes)
34%
(Bolsonaro)
31%
42%
(Silva)
27%
(Alckmin)
31%
42%
(Silva)
32%
(Bolsonaro)
26%
33%
(Alckmin)
33%
(Bolsonaro)
35%
Ipespe 4–6 June 20181,00020%
(Haddad)
30%
(Alckmin)
48%
40%
(Lula)
35%
(Bolsonaro)
26%
32%
(Gomes)
29%
(Alckmin)
40%
33%
(Gomes)
35%
(Bolsonaro)
31%
36%
(Silva)
35%
(Bolsonaro)
29%
29%
(Alckmin)
34%
(Bolsonaro)
37%
DataPoder360 25–31 May 201810,50020%
(Haddad)
35%
(Bolsonaro)
45%
21%
(Gomes)
34%
(Bolsonaro)
45%
25%
(Silva)
35%
(Bolsonaro)
41%
20%
(Alckmin)
31%
(Bolsonaro)
48%
Ipespe 21–23 May 20181,00025%
(Haddad)
28%
(Alckmin)
55%
36%
(Lula)
38%
(Bolsonaro)
26%
27%
(Gomes)
30%
(Alckmin)
43%
29%
(Gomes)
38%
(Bolsonaro)
32%
31%
(Silva)
37%
(Bolsonaro)
32%
28%
(Alckmin)
35%
(Bolsonaro)
37%
Vox Populi 19–23 May 20182,00045%
(Lula)
14%
(Silva)
40%
47%
(Lula)
11%
(Alckmin)
42%
47%
(Lula)
16%
(Bolsonaro)
37%
Ipespe 15–18 May 20181,00015%
(Haddad)
31%
(Alckmin)
53%
35%
(Lula)
37%
(Bolsonaro)
28%
27%
(Gomes)
32%
(Alckmin)
41%
29%
(Gomes)
36%
(Bolsonaro)
36%
31%
(Silva)
35%
(Bolsonaro)
34%
29%
(Alckmin)
33%
(Bolsonaro)
38%
MDA Archived 2018-08-16 at the Wayback Machine 9–12 May 20182,00210.0%
(Haddad)
25.0%
(Alckmin)
65.0%
14.0%
(Haddad)
31.5%
(Bolsonaro)
54.5%
44.4%
(Lula)
21.0%
(Silva)
34.6%
47.1%
(Lula)
13.3%
(Meirelles)
39.6%
49.0%
(Lula)
8.3%
(Temer)
42.7%
44.9%
(Lula)
19.6%
(Alckmin)
35.5%
45.7%
(Lula)
25.9%
(Bolsonaro)
28.4%
25.7%
(Gomes)
9.0%
(Meirelles)
65.3%
30.4%
(Gomes)
5.6%
(Temer)
64.0%
20.9%
(Gomes)
20.4%
(Alckmin)
58.7%
24.2%
(Gomes)
28.2%
(Bolsonaro)
47.6%
26.6%
(Silva)
18.9%
(Alckmin)
54.5%
27.2%
(Silva)
27.2%
(Bolsonaro)
45.6%
11.7%
(Meirelles)
30.8%
(Bolsonaro)
57.5%
5.3%
(Temer)
34.7%
(Bolsonaro)
60.0%
20.2%
(Alckmin)
27.8%
(Bolsonaro)
52.0%
DataPoder360 16–19 April 20182,00037%
(Barbosa)
32%
(Bolsonaro)
31%
18%
(Alckmin)
41%
(Bolsonaro)
41%
Vox Populi 13–15 April 20182,00054%
(Lula)
20%
(Barbosa)
26%
54%
(Lula)
16%
(Silva)
30%
56%
(Lula)
12%
(Alckmin)
32%
55%
(Lula)
17%
(Bolsonaro)
28%
Datafolha 9–13 April 20184,26021%
(Haddad)
37%
(Alckmin)
41%
26%
(Haddad)
37%
(Bolsonaro)
37%
46%
(Lula)
32%
(Silva)
21%
48%
(Lula)
27%
(Alckmin)
24%
48%
(Lula)
31%
(Bolsonaro)
20%
17%
(Wagner)
41%
(Alckmin)
43%
23%
(Wagner)
39%
(Bolsonaro)
38%
32%
(Gomes)
32%
(Alckmin)
36%
35%
(Gomes)
35%
(Bolsonaro)
31%
44%
(Silva)
27%
(Alckmin)
29%
44%
(Silva)
31%
(Bolsonaro)
25%
33%
(Alckmin)
32%
(Bolsonaro)
34%
After Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is sentenced to 12 years in prison by the Regional Federal Court of the 4th Region, the Supreme Federal Court rules to reject Lula's plea and an arrest warrant is given. The ruling of the TRF-4 bars Lula from running in the election
MDA Archived 2018-08-03 at the Wayback Machine 28 February–3 March 20182,00243.8%
(Lula)
20.3%
(Silva)
35.9%
47.5%
(Lula)
6.8%
(Temer)
45.7%
44.5%
(Lula)
22.5%
(Alckmin)
33.0%
44.1%
(Lula)
25.8%
(Bolsonaro)
30.1%
36.8%
(Silva)
5.3%
(Temer)
57.9%
26.3%
(Silva)
24.6%
(Alckmin)
49.1%
26.6%
(Silva)
27.7%
(Bolsonaro)
45.7%
3.8%
(Temer)
36.6%
(Alckmin)
59.6%
5.7%
(Temer)
36.0%
(Bolsonaro)
58.3%
24.3%
(Alckmin)
26.7%
(Bolsonaro)
49.0%
#PESQUISA365 2–7 February 20182,0008.8%
(Haddad)
28.3%
(Barbosa)
63.0%
11.7%
(Haddad)
11.5%
(Meirelles)
76.9%
8.8%
(Wagner)
30.5%
(Silva)
60.8%
9.1%
(Wagner)
17.3%
(Dias)
73.6%
10.9%
(Wagner)
23.8%
(Alckmin)
65.4%
25.6%
(Gomes)
8.4%
(Meirelles)
66.1%
25.5%
(Gomes)
6.9%
(Virgílio)
67.6%
22.0%
(Gomes)
17.9%
(Alckmin)
60.2%
23.2%
(Gomes)
25.8%
(Bolsonaro)
51.1%
27.8%
(Silva)
17.6%
(Alckmin)
54.7%
31.2%
(Silva)
6.8%
(Virgílio)
62.1%
25.9%
(Silva)
25.6%
(Bolsonaro)
48.6%
17.6%
(Alckmin)
25.3%
(Bolsonaro)
57.2%
Datafolha 29–30 January 20182,82647%
(Lula)
32%
(Silva)
21%
49%
(Lula)
30%
(Alckmin)
22%
49%
(Lula)
32%
(Bolsonaro)
20%
32%
(Gomes)
34%
(Alckmin)
34%
42%
(Silva)
32%
(Bolsonaro)
27%
35%
(Alckmin)
33%
(Bolsonaro)
32%
Vox Populi 9–12 December 20172,00050%
(Lula)
13%
(Silva)
37%
50%
(Lula)
14%
(Alckmin)
35%
49%
(Lula)
18%
(Bolsonaro)
33%
DataPoder360 8–11 December 20172,21041%
(Lula)
28%
(Alckmin)
31%
41%
(Lula)
30%
(Bolsonaro)
29%
Datafolha 29–30 November 20172,76548%
(Lula)
35%
(Silva)
17%
52%
(Lula)
30%
(Alckmin)
18%
51%
(Lula)
33%
(Bolsonaro)
16%
33%
(Gomes)
35%
(Alckmin)
32%
46%
(Silva)
32%
(Bolsonaro)
22%
Vox Populi 27–30 October 20172,00048%
(Lula)
16%
(Silva)
35%
50%
(Lula)
14%
(Alckmin)
36%
51%
(Lula)
14%
(Doria)
35%
49%
(Lula)
21%
(Bolsonaro)
31%
50%
(Lula)
14%
(Huck)
36%
Datafolha 27–28 September 201717%
(Haddad)
44%
(Alckmin)
39%
44%
(Lula)
36%
(Silva)
20%
46%
(Lula)
32%
(Alckmin)
21%
48%
(Lula)
32%
(Doria)
20%
47%
(Lula)
33%
(Bolsonaro)
21%
44%
(Lula)
42%
(Moro)
14%
29%
(Gomes)
37%
(Alckmin)
33%
32%
(Gomes)
34%
(Doria)
35%
47%
(Silva)
29%
(Bolsonaro)
24%
MDA 13–16 September 20172,00239.8%
(Lula)
25.8%
(Silva)
34.4%
40.6%
(Lula)
23.2%
(Alckmin)
36.2%
41.6%
(Lula)
25.2%
(Doria)
33.2%
41.8%
(Lula)
14.8%
(Neves)
43.4%
40.5%
(Lula)
28.5%
(Bolsonaro)
31.0%
28.4%
(Silva)
23.6%
(Alckmin)
48.0%
30.5%
(Silva)
22.7%
(Doria)
46.8%
33.6%
(Silva)
13.0%
(Neves)
53.4%
29.2%
(Silva)
27.9%
(Bolsonaro)
42.9%
23.8%
(Alckmin)
28.0%
(Bolsonaro)
48.2%
23.9%
(Doria)
28.5%
(Bolsonaro)
47.6%
13.9%
(Neves)
32.0%
(Bolsonaro)
54.1%
Vox Populi 29–31 July 20171,99952%
(Lula)
15%
(Silva)
33%
52%
(Lula)
15%
(Alckmin)
34%
53%
(Lula)
15%
(Doria)
33%
53%
(Lula)
17%
(Bolsonaro)
30%
Paraná Pesquisas 24–27 July 20172,02036.3%
(Lula)
29.0%
(Silva)
34.7%
39.0%
(Lula)
26.9%
(Alckmin)
34.1%
38.5%
(Lula)
32.2%
(Doria)
29.3%
38.7%
(Lula)
32.3%
(Bolsonaro)
29.1%
37.1%
(Lula)
31.1%
(Barbosa)
31.8%
Datafolha 21–23 June 20172,77140%
(Lula)
40%
(Silva)
20%
45%
(Lula)
32%
(Alckmin)
24%
45%
(Lula)
34%
(Doria)
20%
45%
(Lula)
32%
(Bolsonaro)
22%
42%
(Lula)
44%
(Moro)
14%
31%
(Gomes)
34%
(Alckmin)
36%
34%
(Gomes)
32%
(Doria)
34%
49%
(Silva)
27%
(Bolsonaro)
25%
Vox Populi 2–4 June 20172,00050%
(Lula)
15%
(Silva)
36%
52%
(Lula)
11%
(Alckmin)
37%
51%
(Lula)
13%
(Doria)
36%
53%
(Lula)
5%
(Neves)
43%
Datafolha 26–27 April 20172,78138%
(Lula)
41%
(Silva)
31%
43%
(Lula)
29%
(Alckmin)
28%
43%
(Lula)
32%
(Doria)
25%
43%
(Lula)
27%
(Neves)
30%
43%
(Lula)
31%
(Bolsonaro)
26%
40%
(Lula)
42%
(Moro)
18%
24%
(Gomes)
50%
(Silva)
26%
34%
(Gomes)
28%
(Alckmin)
37%
36%
(Gomes)
29%
(Doria)
35%
36%
(Gomes)
26%
(Neves)
38%
50%
(Silva)
22%
(Alckmin)
28%
50%
(Silva)
24%
(Doria)
26%
49%
(Silva)
21%
(Neves)
29%
Vox Populi 6–10 April 20172,00049%
(Lula)
19%
(Silva)
32%
51%
(Lula)
17%
(Alckmin)
32%
53%
(Lula)
16%
(Doria)
31%
50%
(Lula)
17%
(Neves)
33%
MDA Archived 2019-01-09 at the Wayback Machine 8–11 February 20172,00238.9%
(Lula)
27.4%
(Silva)
28%
42.9%
(Lula)
19.0%
(Temer)
38.1%
39.7%
(Lula)
26.5%
(Neves)
33.8%
34.4%
(Silva)
16.8%
(Temer)
48.8%
28.3%
(Silva)
28.6%
(Neves)
43.1%
13.1%
(Temer)
34.1%
(Neves)
52.8%
Vox Populi 10–14 December 20162,50042%
(Lula)
21%
(Silva)
37%
45%
(Lula)
20%
(Alckmin)
35%
43%
(Lula)
20%
(Neves)
37%
Datafolha 7–8 December 20162,82834%
(Lula)
43%
(Silva)
23%
38%
(Lula)
34%
(Alckmin)
28%
38%
(Lula)
34%
(Neves)
28%
37%
(Lula)
35%
(Serra)
27%
48%
(Silva)
25%
(Alckmin)
27%
47%
(Silva)
25%
(Neves)
28%
47%
(Silva)
27%
(Serra)
26%
MDA Archived 2017-03-14 at the Wayback Machine 13–16 October 20162,00233.2%
(Lula)
35.8%
(Silva)
31.0%
37.3%
(Lula)
28.5%
(Temer)
34.2%
33.8%
(Lula)
37.1%
(Neves)
29.1%
38.1%
(Silva)
23.7%
(Temer)
38.2%
29.5%
(Silva)
35.4%
(Neves)
35.1%
16.4%
(Temer)
38.2%
(Neves)
45.4%
Datafolha 14–15 July 20162,79232%
(Lula)
44%
(Silva)
24%
36%
(Lula)
38%
(Alckmin)
26%
36%
(Lula)
38%
(Neves)
26%
35%
(Lula)
40%
(Serra)
26%
47%
(Silva)
27%
(Alckmin)
25%
46%
(Silva)
28%
(Neves)
26%
46%
(Silva)
30%
(Serra)
25%
MDA 2–5 June 20162,00228.9%
(Lula)
35%
(Silva)
36.1%
31.7%
(Lula)
27.3%
(Temer)
41%
29.9%
(Lula)
34.3%
(Neves)
35.8%
33.7%
(Silva)
20.9%
(Temer)
45.4%
28%
(Silva)
29.7%
(Neves)
42.3%
15.8%
(Temer)
32.3%
(Neves)
51.9%
Paraná Pesquisas 28 February–2 March 20162,02222.6%
(Lula)
53.5%
(Neves)
24.0%
36.1%
(Silva)
41.7%
(Neves)
22.2%
MDA Archived 2017-03-02 at the Wayback Machine 18–21 February 20162,00228.2%
(Lula)
29.1%
(Gomes)
42.7%
26.3%
(Lula)
36.6%
(Silva)
37.1%
27.5%
(Lula)
40.6%
(Neves)
31.9%
16.7%
(Gomes)
43.1%
(Neves)
40.2%
26.6%
(Silva)
38.4%
(Neves)
35.0%
24.0%
(Gomes)
33.0%
(Silva)
43.0%
Datafolha 25–26 November 20153,54131%
(Lula)
52%
(Silva)
16%
34%
(Lula)
45%
(Alckmin)
21%
32%
(Lula)
51%
(Neves)
17%
49%
(Silva)
33%
(Alckmin)
18%
41%
(Silva)
42%
(Neves)
16%
Paraná Pesquisas October 201524.3%
(Lula)
56.7%
(Neves)
19.0%
34.1%
(Silva)
47.7%
(Neves)
18.2%
MDA Archived 2017-04-24 at the Wayback Machine 20–24 October 20152,00230.2%
(Lula)
36.4%
(Alckmin)
33.4%
28.3%
(Lula)
45.9%
(Neves)
25.8%
30.9%
(Lula)
35.2%
(Serra)
33.9%
39.7%
(Silva)
25.9%
(Alckmin)
34.4%
32.9%
(Silva)
37.7%
(Neves)
29.4%
39.6%
(Silva)
26.8%
(Serra)
33.6%
Paraná Pesquisas August 201528.3%
(Lula)
54.7%
(Neves)
17.0%
35.2%
(Silva)
49.2%
(Neves)
15.7%
IBOPE Archived 2017-11-07 at the Wayback Machine 15–19 August 20152,00237%
(Lula)
41%
(Alckmin)
23%
31%
(Lula)
50%
(Neves)
19%
36%
(Lula)
43%
(Serra)
21%
MDA Archived 2017-04-25 at the Wayback Machine 12–16 July 20152,00232.3%
(Lula)
39.9%
(Alckmin)
27.8%
28.5%
(Lula)
49.6%
(Neves)
21.9%
31.8%
(Lula)
40.3%
(Serra)
27.9%
IBOPE Archived 2017-11-07 at the Wayback Machine 13–17 June 20152,00239%
(Lula)
40%
(Alckmin)
21%
33%
(Lula)
48%
(Neves)
18%
Paraná Pesquisas 26–31 March 20152,02227.2%
(Lula)
51.5%
(Neves)
21.4%
19.4%
(Rousseff)
57.2%
(Neves)
23.4%
2014 election 26 October 2014112,683,87951.6%
(Rousseff)
48.4%
(Neves)
21.1%

See also

Graphical summaries

Graph showing 5 poll average trend lines of Brazilian opinion polls for the second round Fernando Haddad (PT) and Bolsonaro (PSL) from April 2018 to the most recent one. BolsoHaddad 2018.png
Graph showing 5 poll average trend lines of Brazilian opinion polls for the second round Fernando Haddad (PT) and Bolsonaro (PSL) from April 2018 to the most recent one.
Graph showing 5 poll average trend lines of Brazilian opinion polls for the second round Ciro Gomes (PDT) and Bolsonaro (PSL) from June 2017 to the most recent one. BolsoCiro 2018.png
Graph showing 5 poll average trend lines of Brazilian opinion polls for the second round Ciro Gomes (PDT) and Bolsonaro (PSL) from June 2017 to the most recent one.
Graph showing 5 poll average trend lines of Brazilian opinion polls for the second round Marina Silva (REDE) and Bolsonaro (PSL) from June 2017 to the most recent one. Bolsorina 2018.png
Graph showing 5 poll average trend lines of Brazilian opinion polls for the second round Marina Silva (REDE) and Bolsonaro (PSL) from June 2017 to the most recent one.

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Workers' Party (Brazil)</span> Political party in Brazil

The Workers' Party is a centre-left political party in Brazil that is currently the country's ruling party. Some scholars classify its ideology in the 21st century as social democracy, with the party shifting from a broadly socialist ideology in the 1990s, although the party retains a left-wing and marginal far-left faction to this day. Founded in 1980, PT governed at the federal level in a coalition government with several other parties from 1 January 2003 to 31 August 2016. After the 2002 parliamentary election, PT became the largest party in the Chamber of Deputies and the largest in the Federal Senate for the first time. With the highest approval rating in the history of the country at one time, President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva was PT's most prominent member. Dilma Rousseff, also a member of PT, was elected twice but did not finish her second term due to her impeachment in 2016. The party came back to power with Lula's victory in the 2022 presidential election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Green Party (Brazil)</span> Political party in Brazil

The Green Party is a political party in Brazil. It was constituted after the military dictatorship period when limitations on party development were lifted, and, like other green parties around the world, is committed to establishing a set of policies on ensuring social equity and sustainable development. One of the party's founding members was the journalist and former anti-dictatorship revolutionary Fernando Gabeira, Alfredo Sirkis and Carlos Minc. The founding of the Rio de Janeiro section of the Brazilian Green Party was led by a delegation from the southern Brazilian state of Santa Catarina, composed among others by Olga Maria Carvalho Luz, Luiz Henrique Gevaerd Odebrecht, Marcos Bayer, and Consuelo Luz Lins.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">National Congress of Brazil</span> National legislature of Brazil

The National Congress is the legislative body of Brazil's federal government. Unlike the state legislative assemblies and municipal chambers, the Congress is bicameral, composed of the Federal Senate and the Chamber of Deputies. The Congress meets annually in Brasília from 2 February to 22 December, with a mid-term break taking place between 17 July and 1 August.

A precinct or voting district, polling district or polling division, is a subdivision of an electoral district, typically a contiguous area within which all electors go to a single polling place to cast their ballots.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Democratic Labour Party (Brazil)</span> Brazilian political party

The Democratic Labour Party is a political party in Brazil.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Elections in Brazil</span>

Brazil elects on the national level a head of state—the president—and a legislature. The president is elected to a four-year term by absolute majority vote through a two-round system. The National Congress has two chambers. The Chamber of Deputies has 513 members, elected to a four-year term by proportional representation. The Federal Senate has 81 members, elected to an eight-year term, with elections every four years for alternatively one-third and two-thirds of the seats. Brazil has a multi-party system, with such numerous parties that often no one party has a chance of gaining power alone, and so they must work with each other to form coalition governments.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">History of Brazil (1985–present)</span> Contemporary epoch in the history of Brazil

Brazilian history from 1985 to the present, also known as the Sixth Brazilian Republic or New Republic, is the contemporary epoch in the history of Brazil, beginning when civilian government was restored after a 21-year-long military dictatorship established after the 1964 coup d'état. The negotiated transition to democracy reached its climax with the indirect election of Tancredo Neves by Congress. Neves belonged to the Brazilian Democratic Movement Party (MDB), the former controlled opposition to the military regime. He was the first civilian president to be elected since 1964.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Bids for the 2004 Summer Olympics</span>

Five cities made the shortlist with their bids to host the 2004 Summer Olympics, which were awarded to Athens, on September 5, 1997. The other shortlisted cities were Rome, Cape Town, Stockholm and Buenos Aires.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Federal Senate (Brazil)</span> Upper house of the National Congress of Brazil

The Federal Senate is the upper house of the National Congress of Brazil. When created under the Imperial Constitution in 1824, it was based on the House of Lords of the British Parliament, but since the Proclamation of the Republic in 1889 and under the first republican Constitution the Federal Senate has resembled the United States Senate.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Avante (political party)</span> Brazilian political party

Avante is a centrist Brazilian political party. It was founded in 1989 by dissidents of the Brazilian Labour Party (PTB) as the Labour Party of Brazil and is a minor force in Brazilian politics.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2019 Indian general election</span>

General elections were held in India in seven phases from 11 April to 19 May 2019 to elect the members of the 17th Lok Sabha. Votes were counted and the result was declared on 23 May. Around 912 million people were eligible to vote, and voter turnout was over 67 per cent – the highest ever, as well as the highest ever participation by women voters until 2024 Indian general election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 Brazilian general election</span>

General elections were held in Brazil on 7 October 2018 to elect the president, National Congress and state governors. As no candidate in the presidential election received more than 50% of the vote in the first round, a runoff round was held on 28 October.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Electronic voting in Brazil</span> Use of electronic voting machines in elections in Brazil

Electronic voting was first introduced to Brazil in 1996, with the first tests carried out in the state of Santa Catarina. The primary design goal of the voting machine is extreme simplicity, the model being a public phone booth. The voting machines perform three steps – voter identification, secure voting and tallying - in a single process, aiming to eliminate fraud based on forged or falsified public documents. Political parties have access to the voting machine's programs before the election for auditing.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Simone Tebet</span> Brazilian lawyer, professor, writer, and politician

Simone Nassar Tebet is a Brazilian academic, lawyer, and politician who has served as the Brazilian Minister of Planning and Budget since 5 January 2023. She previously was Senator for Mato Grosso do Sul from 2015 to 2023, Vice-Governor of Mato Grosso do Sul from 2011 to 2014, and mayor of Três Lagoas from 2005 to 2010. A member of the Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB), of which she was the leader in the Senate from 2018 to 2019, Tebet was the MDB candidate for president in the 2022 Brazilian general election, placing third with 4.16% of the vote. After endorsing Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, in the second round, Tebet was appointed Minister of Planning.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Reinaldo Azambuja</span> Brazilian politician

Reinaldo Azambuja Silva is a Brazilian agriculturalist and politician, affiliated with the Brazilian Social Democracy Party, was Governor of Mato Grosso do Sul from January 1, 2015 to January 1, 2023. Azambuja replaced André Puccinelli in 2014, and was replaced by Eduardo Riedel in 2023. In elections in Mato Grosso do Sul in 2014 he ran for governor. Azambuja came in second place in the first round and won the election in the second round against the candidate Delcídio Amaral.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 Brazilian general election</span>

General elections were held in Brazil on 2 October 2022 to elect the president, vice president, the National Congress, the governors, vice governors, and legislative assemblies of all federative units, and the district council of Fernando de Noronha. As no candidate for president—or for governor in some states—received more than half of the valid votes in the first round, a runoff election for these offices was held on 30 October. Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva received the majority of the votes in the second round and became president-elect of Brazil.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">1976 Indiana gubernatorial election</span>

The 1976 Indiana gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 1976. Incumbent Republican Governor Otis Bowen defeated Democratic nominee Larry A. Conrad with 56.85% of the vote.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Electoral system of Brazil</span>

The electoral system of Brazil is the set of means used to choose representatives and government members of the Federative Republic of Brazil. The current system is defined by the 1988 Constitution and the Electoral Code, in addition to being regulated by the Superior Electoral Court as delegated by law. The Constitution itself already defines three distinct electoral systems, which are detailed in the Electoral Code: proportional elections for the Chamber of Deputies, mirrored in the legislative powers at the state and municipal levels, majority elections with one or two elected representatives to the Federal Senate and majority elections in two rounds for president and other executive heads in other spheres.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 Indian general election in West Bengal</span> Indian political election in West Bengal

The 2024 Indian general election was held in West Bengal in seven phases between 19 April and 1 June 2024 to elect 42 members of the 18th Lok Sabha. The result of the election was announced on 4 June 2024.

General elections will be held in Brazil on 4 October 2026 to elect the president, vice president, members of the National Congress, the governors, vice governors, and legislative assemblies of all federative units, and the district council of Fernando de Noronha. If no candidate for president—or for governor in some states—received more than half of the valid votes in the first round, a runoff election for these offices will be held on 25 October.

References