In the lead-up to the next Australian federal election, a number of polling companies have conducted opinion polls, often for various news organisations. These polls collect data on parties' primary vote, leaders' favourability, and contained an estimation of the two-party-preferred lead.
Date | Brand | Interview mode | Sample size | Primary vote | 2PP vote [a] | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALP | L/NP | GRN | ONP | IND | OTH | UND | ALP | L/NP | ||||
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 | Roy Morgan [1] | Online | 5,001 | 34% | 30% | 12% | 9% | — | 15% | — | 56.5% | 43.5% |
11–15 Aug 2025 | Resolve [2] | Telephone/Online | 1,800 | 37% | 29% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 6% | — | 59% | 41% |
18–30 Jul 2025 | Wolf & Smith [3] [4] | — | 5,000 | 36% | 30% | — | — | — | — | — | 57% | 43% |
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 | Roy Morgan [5] | Online | 5,159 | 36.5% | 31% | 12% | 7% | — | 13.5% | — | 57% | 43% |
13–18 Jul 2025 | Resolve [6] | Telephone/Online | 2,311 | 35% | 29% | 12% | 8% | 8% | 8% | — | 56% | 44% |
14–17 Jul 2025 | Newspoll [7] [8] | Online | 1,264 | 36% | 29% | 12% | 8% | — | 15% | — | 57% | 43% |
5–6 Jul 2025 | DemosAU [9] | Online | 1,199 | 36% | 26% | 14% | 9% | — | 15% | — | 59% | 41% |
27 Jun – 1 Jul 2025 | Spectre Strategy [10] | Online | 1,001 | 35.9% | 31% | 12.8% | 7.9% | — | 12.3% | — | 56.5% | 43.5% |
Late June 2025 [b] | Redbridge [11] | Online | 4,036 | 37% | 31% | 11% | — | — | — | — | 55.5% | 44.5% |
23–29 Jun 2025 | Roy Morgan [12] | Online | 1,522 | 36.5% | 30.5% | 12% | 8.5% | — | 12.5% | — | 57.5% | 42.5% |
2–22 Jun 2025 | Roy Morgan [13] | Online | 3,957 | 37.5% | 31% | 12% | 6% | — | 13.5% | — | 58% | 42% |
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 | Roy Morgan [14] | Online | 5,128 | 37% | 31% | 11.5% | 6% | — | 14.5% | — | 58.5% | 41.5% |
20–28 May 2025 | The Liberal–National Coalition is temporarily dissolved | |||||||||||
13 May 2025 | Sussan Ley elected as Leader of the Liberal Party and the Opposition, replacing Peter Dutton | |||||||||||
3 May 2025 | Election [15] | 34.6% | 31.8% | 12.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | — | 55.2% | 44.8% |
Date | Firm | Interview mode | Sample | Preferred prime minister | Albanese | Ley | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Albanese | Ley | Don't know | Net | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't know | Net | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't know | Net | ||||
18–30 Jul 2025 | Wolf & Smith [3] [4] | — | 5,000 | 45% | 35% | 20% | +10% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
24 – 29 July 2025 | Essential [16] | Online | 1,012 | — | — | — | — | 50% | 41% | 9% | +9% | 33% | 35% | 33% | -2% |
13 – 18 Jul 2025 | Resolve [6] | Telephone/Online | 2,311 | 40% | 25% | 35% | +15% | 45% | 42% | 13% | +3% | 38% | 29% | 33% | +7% |
14 – 17 Jul 2025 | Newspoll [7] [8] | Online | 1,264 | 52% | 32% | 16% | +20% | 47% | 47% | 6% | 0% | 35% | 42% | 23% | –7% |
4 – 10 Jul 2025 | Morning Consult [17] | Online | 3,770 | — | — | — | — | 54% | 35% | 11% | +19% | — | — | — | — |
27 Jun – 1 Jul 2025 | Spectre Strategy [10] | Online | 1,001 | 46% | 27% | 27% | +19% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
3 – 9 Jun 2025 | Morning Consult [17] | Online | 3,770 | — | — | — | — | 53% | 36% | 11% | +17% | — | — | — | — |
7 – 11 May 2025 | Essential [18] | Online | 1,137 | — | — | — | — | 50% | 39% | 11% | +11% | — | — | — | — |
2 – 8 May 2025 | Morning Consult [17] | Online | 3,770 | — | — | — | — | 57% | 33% | 9% | +24% | — | — | — | — |
Date | Firm | Right direction | Wrong direction | Can't say | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 – 29 July 2025 | Essential [16] | 38% | 45% | 17% | –7% |
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 | Roy Morgan [14] | 37% | 46.5% | 16.5% | –9.5% |
23 Jun – 29 Jun 2025 | Roy Morgan [12] | 38.5% | 46% | 15.5% | –7.5% |
2 Jun – 22 Jun 2025 | Roy Morgan [13] | 43% | 41.5% | 15.5% | +1.5% |
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 | Roy Morgan [19] | 41% | 44% | 15% | –3% |
7 – 11 May 2025 | Essential [20] | 37% | 42% | 21% | –5% |
Date | Firm | Sample size | Primary vote | 2PP vote [c] | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALP | L/NP | GRN | ONP | IND | OTH | ALP | L/NP | |||
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 | Roy Morgan [21] | 5,001 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 55% | 45% |
11 Aug – 15 Aug 2025 | Resolve [2] | 1,800 | 37% | 29% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 3% | — | — |
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 | Roy Morgan [14] | 5,159 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 56.5% | 43.5% |
13 – 18 Jul 2025 | Resolve [6] [d] | 2,311 | 36% | 31% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 55% | 44% |
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 | Roy Morgan [14] | 5,128 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 59% | 41% |
3 May 2025 | Election [15] | 35.2% | 31.5% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 55.3% | 44.7% |
Date | Firm | Sample size | Primary vote | 2PP vote [e] | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALP | L/NP | GRN | ONP | IND | OTH | ALP | L/NP | |||
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 | Roy Morgan [22] | 5,001 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 58% | 42% |
11 Aug – 15 Aug 2025 | Resolve [2] | 1,800 | 36% | 30% | 12% | 6% | 7% | 8% | — | — |
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 | Roy Morgan [14] | 5,159 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 57.5% | 42.5% |
13 – 18 Jul 2025 | Resolve [6] [f] | 2,311 | 38% | 28% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 8% | 60% | 41% |
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 | Roy Morgan [14] | 5,128 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 59.5% | 40.5% |
3 May 2025 | Election [15] | 34.0% | 32.2% | 13.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 56.3% | 43.7% |
Date | Firm | Sample size | Primary vote | 2PP vote [g] | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LNP | ALP | GRN | ONP | IND | OTH | LNP | ALP | |||
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 | Roy Morgan [23] | 5,001 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 48% | 52% |
11 Aug – 15 Aug 2025 | Resolve [2] | 1,800 | 29% | 39% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 5% | — | — |
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 | Roy Morgan [14] | 5,159 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 46.5% | 53.5% |
13 – 18 July 2025 | Resolve [6] [h] | 2,311 | 31% | 31% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 48% | 51% |
4 July – 9 July 2025 | DemosAU [24] [25] | 1,027 | 35% | 31% | 12% | 13% | — | 9% | 47% | 53% |
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 | Roy Morgan [14] | 5,128 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 47.5% | 52.5% |
3 May 2025 | Election [15] | 34.9% | 31.0% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 10.7% | 50.6% | 49.4% |
Date | Firm | Sample size | Primary vote | 2PP vote | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALP | L/NP | GRN | ONP | IND | OTH | ALP | L/NP | |||
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 | Roy Morgan [26] | 5,001 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 56.5% | 43.5% |
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 | Roy Morgan [14] | 5,159 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 54.5% | 45.5% |
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 | Roy Morgan [14] | 5,128 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 58.5% | 41.5% |
3 May 2025 | Election [15] | 35.6% | 31.5% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 55.8% | 44.2% |
Date | Firm | Sample size | Primary vote | 2PP vote | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALP | LIB | GRN | ONP | IND | OTH | ALP | LIB | |||
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 | Roy Morgan [27] | 5,001 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 59% | 41% |
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 | Roy Morgan [14] | 5,159 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 62% | 38% |
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 | Roy Morgan [14] | 5,128 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 58.5% | 41.5% |
3 May 2025 | Election [15] | 38.3% | 28.0% | 13.4% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 10.7% | 59.2% | 40.8% |
Date | Firm | Sample size | Primary vote | 2PP vote | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALP | LIB | GRN | ONP | IND | OTH | ALP | LIB | |||
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 | Roy Morgan [28] | 5,001 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 63.5% | 36.5% |
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 | Roy Morgan [14] | 5,159 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 61% | 39% |
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 | Roy Morgan [14] | 5,128 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 70.5% | 29.5% |
3 May 2025 | Election [15] | 36.6% | 24.5% | 11.1% | 6.1% | 18.1% | 3.6% | 63.3% | 36.7% |
Date | Firm | Sample size | Primary vote | 2PP vote | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALP | LIB | GRN | IND | OTH | ALP | LIB | |||
3 May 2025 | Election [15] | 47.5% | 21.2% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 3.4% | 72.5% | 27.5% |
Date | Firm | Sample size | Primary vote | 2PP vote | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALP | CLP | GRN | ONP | IND | OTH | ALP | CLP | |||
3 May 2025 | Election [15] | 37.9% | 33.8% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 54.3% | 45.7% |
Date | Firm | Sample size | Margin of error | Primary vote | 2CP vote | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LIB | IND | ALP | GRN | ONP | OTH | LIB | IND | ||||
Jun 2025 | uComms [i] [29] | 1,147 | — | 37.3% | 33.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
3 May 2025 | 2025 federal election | 38.0% | 27.0% | 20.3% | 6.7% | 1.6% | 6.4% | 49.99% | 50.01% |
Date | Firm | Sample size | Primary vote | 2pp vote [j] | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALP | L/NP | GRN | ONP | IND | OTH | ALP | L/NP | |||
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 | Roy Morgan [30] | 5,001 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 60.5% | 39.5% |
11 Aug – 15 Aug 2025 | Resolve [2] | 1,800 | 38% | 25% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 6% | — | — |
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 | Roy Morgan [14] | 5,159 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 59.5% | 40.5% |
13 – 18 Jul 2025 | Resolve [6] [f] | 2,311 | 36% | 27% | 14% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 59.5% | 41.5% |
5 – 6 Jul 2025 | DemosAU [9] | 1,199 | 36% | 25% | 15% | 15% | — | 10% | 60% | 40% |
Late June 2025 | Redbridge [31] | 4,036 | 36% | 30% | 13% | — | — | — | 56% | 44% |
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 | Roy Morgan [14] | 5,128 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 61% | 39% |
Date | Firm | Sample size | Primary vote | 2pp vote [j] | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALP | L/NP | GRN | ONP | IND | OTH | ALP | L/NP | |||
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 | Roy Morgan [32] | 5,001 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 52% | 48% |
11 Aug – 15 Aug 2025 | Resolve [2] | 1,800 | 36% | 32% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 5% | — | — |
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 | Roy Morgan [14] | 5,159 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 54.5% | 45.5% |
13 – 18 Jul 2025 | Resolve [6] [f] | 2,311 | 34% | 31% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 55% | 46% |
5 – 6 Jul 2025 | DemosAU [9] | 1,199 | 36% | 28% | 12% | 9% | — | 15% | 57% | 43% |
Late June 2025 | Redbridge [33] | 4,036 | 39% | 32% | 8% | — | — | — | 54% | 46% |
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 | Roy Morgan [14] | 5,128 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 55.5% | 44.5% |
Date | Firm | Sample size | Primary vote | 2PP vote | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALP | L/NP | GRN | ONP | IND | OTH | ALP | L/NP | |||
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 | Roy Morgan [34] | 5,001 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 71% | 29% |
11 Aug – 15 Aug 2025 | Resolve [2] | 1,800 | 39% | 24% | 22% | 6% | 8% | 2% | — | — |
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 | Roy Morgan [5] | 5,159 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 69% | 31% |
13 – 18 Jul 2025 | Resolve [6] | 2,311 | 37% | 18% | 28% | 5% | 6% | 6% | — | — |
5 – 6 Jul 2025 | DemosAU [9] | 1,199 | 39% | 16% | 31% | 4% | — | 10% | 73% | 27% |
Late June 2025 | Redbridge [35] | 4,036 | 40% | 19% | 24% | — | — | — | 68% | 32% |
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 | Roy Morgan [14] | 5,128 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 70% | 30% |
Date | Firm | Sample size | Primary vote | 2pp vote | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALP | L/NP | GRN | ONP | IND | OTH | ALP | L/NP | |||
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 | Roy Morgan [36] | 5,001 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 61% | 39% |
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 | Roy Morgan [14] | 5,159 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 58% | 42% |
Late June 2025 | Redbridge [37] | 4,036 | 37% | 25% | 11% | — | — | — | 57% | 43% |
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 | Roy Morgan [14] | 5,128 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 62.5% | 37.5% |
Date | Firm | Sample size | Primary vote | 2pp vote | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALP | L/NP | GRN | ONP | IND | OTH | ALP | L/NP | |||
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 | Roy Morgan [38] | 5,001 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 49.5% | 50.5% |
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 | Roy Morgan [14] | 5,159 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 53% | 47% |
Late June 2025 | Redbridge [39] | 4,036 | 37% | 34% | 5% | — | — | — | 50% | 50% |
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 | Roy Morgan [14] | 5,128 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 53% | 47% |
Date | Firm | Sample size | Primary vote | 2pp vote | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALP | L/NP | GRN | ONP | IND | OTH | ALP | L/NP | |||
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 | Roy Morgan [40] | 5,001 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 43.5% | 56.5% |
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 | Roy Morgan [14] | 5,128 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 48% | 52% |
Late June 2025 | Redbridge [41] | 4,036 | 36% | 44% | 2% | — | — | — | 45% | 55% |
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 | Roy Morgan [14] | 5,128 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 48.5% | 51.5% |