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All 400 seats to the National Assembly 201 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The next South African general election will be held by 2029 to elect a new National Assembly as well as the provincial legislature in each province of South Africa. They will be the eighth elections held under the conditions of universal adult suffrage since the end of the apartheid era in 1994.
The South African Constitution mandates that national and provincial general elections must be held at least once every five years. Specifically, the elections must take place within 90 days of the date the National Assembly's five-year term expires or is dissolved. The most recent general election was held on 29 May 2024. This means the next general election for the National Assembly and provincial legislatures is constitutionally due to occur by 26 August 2029. [1]
The electoral system used in the 2029 election is expected to change based on the recommendations of the Electoral Reform Consultation Panel. [2] The Electoral Reform Consultation Panel established by Parliament recommended reducing the size of the current provincial constituencies into smaller multi-member, or single-member constituencies to bring representatives closer to voters while maintaining a compensatory list to ensure overall proportionality of results. [3]
| Polling organisation | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Margin of error | ANC | DA | MK | EFF | IFP | PA | ASA | Others | Don't know [a] | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SABI Strategy Group/News24 [4] | Aug – Sep 2026 | 1,000 | 3.2% | 31.6% | 25.2% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 7.2% | - | 6.4 |
| SRF/The Common Sense [5] | Jul 2026 | 2,144 | - | 34% | 27% | 15% | 7% | 5% | - | - | - | - | 7 |
| IPSOS [6] | Jun – Jul 2026 | 3,600 | 1.8% | 31% | 25% | 14% | 11% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 6 |
| SRF/The Common Sense [7] | Mar 2026 | 2,222 | 2.1% | 39% | 28% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 4% | - | 11 |
| Ipsos [8] | Dec 2025 – Jan 2026 | 3,600 | 1.9% | 33% | 22% | 10% | 11% | 2% | 2% | N/a | 10% | 12% | 11 |
| SRF [9] | Jun 2025 | 1,004 | 4% | 40% | 26% | 18% | 3% | 3% | 3% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 14 |
| IRR [10] | Mar – Apr 2025 | 807 | ~4% | 29.7% | 30.3% | 15.9% | 10.2% | 1.7% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 0.6 |
| SRF [9] | Feb 2025 | 1,004 | 4% | 32% | 25% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 3% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 7 |
| Brenthurst Foundation [11] | Feb – Mar 2025 | 3,837 | 2% | 43% | 27% | 11% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 5% | N/a | 16 |
| IRR [10] | Sep – Oct 2024 | N/a | N/a | 41.3% | 22.3% | 11.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 19 |
| SRF [9] | Sep 2024 | 1,204 | 3% | 45% | 24% | 12% | 6% | 5% | 5% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 21 |
| 2024 election | 29 May 2024 | 40.1% | 21.8% | 14.5% | 9.5% | 3.8% | 2% | 1.2% | 7.1% | 18.3 |
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