Opinion polling for the 2025 Australian federal election

Last updated

In the lead-up to the 2025 Australian federal election, a number of polling companies are conducting opinion polls for various news organisations. These polls collect data on parties' primary vote, and contain an estimation of the two-party-preferred lead.

Contents

Graphical summary

Primary vote

Australian federal election polling - 48th parliament - primary.svg

Two-party preferred

Australian federal election polling - 48th parliament - two party preferred.svg


Voting intention

2025

DateBrandInterview
mode		Sample
size		Primary vote 2pp vote [a]
L/NP ALP GRN ONP TOP [b] OTHUND ALP L/NP
28 Feb – 6 Mar 2025 YouGov Online1,50436%31%13%7%1%12%—51%49%
26 Feb – 2 Mar 2025Essential [5] Online1,15035%29%13%8%1% [c] 10%5%47%48%
24 Feb – 2 Mar 2025Roy Morgan [7] Online1,67340%28.5%13.5%4%—14%—49.5%50.5%
21–27 Feb 2025 YouGov Online1,50137%28%14%8%1%12%—49%51%
20–25 Feb 2025RedBridge/Accent [8] [d] Online1,00241%34%12%——13%—49.5%50.5%
21–23 Feb 2025Freshwater Strategy [9] Online1,03841%31%13%——15%—48%52%
18–23 Feb 2025Resolve Strategic [10] Online1,50639%25%13%9%—13%—45%55%
17–23 Feb 2025Roy Morgan [11] Online1,66636.5%31.5%13.5%5%—13.5%—51%49%
12–16 Feb 2025Essential [5] Online1,14635%30%12%9%1% [c] 9%4%48%48%
10–16 Feb 2025Roy Morgan [3] Online1,66639.5%28%12.5%5.5%—14.5%—48.5%51.5%
10–14 Feb 2025Newspoll [13] Online1,24438%31%12%7%—12%—49%51%
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025 YouGov MRP [14] Online40,68937.4%29.1%12.7%9.1%—11.7% [e] —48.9%51.1%
4–11 Feb 2025RedBridge/Accent [15] [f] Online1,00243%33%12%——12%—48%52%
3–9 Feb 2025Roy Morgan [16] Online1,68840.5%29%11%4%—15.5%—48.5%51.5%
3–7 Feb 2025RedBridge Group [17] Online1,01340%31%11%——18%—48.5%51.5%
29 Jan – 3 Feb 2025Essential [5] Online1,15036%30%12%8%1% [c] 9%4%47%49%
27 Jan – 2 Feb 2025Roy Morgan [18] Online1,69438.5%30%11.5%5.5%—14.5%—50%50%
28 Jan – 1 Feb 2025DemosAU [19] Online1,23838%33%12%7%—10%5%50%50%
20–26 Jan 2025Roy Morgan [20] Online1,56740.5%29.5%11.5%6%—12.5%—48%52%
20–24 Jan 2025Newspoll [21] Online1,25939%31%12%7%—11%—49%51%
15–21 Jan 2025Resolve Strategic [22] Online1,61638%27%13%7%—16%—48%52%
17–19 Jan 2025Freshwater Strategy [23] Online1,06340%32%13%——15%—49%51%
15–19 Jan 2025Essential [5] Online1,13237%30%12%7%2% [c] 7%5%47%48%
13–19 Jan 2025Roy Morgan [24] Online1,56442%28.5%13%4%—12.5%—48%52%
9–15 Jan 2025YouGov [25] Online1,50439%32%12%7%—10%—49%51%
6–12 Jan 2025Roy Morgan [26] Online1,72140.5%30%12.5%4.5%—12.5%—48.5%51.5%
30 Dec – 5 Jan 2025Roy Morgan [27] Online1,44640.5%31%12%3.5%—13%—47%53%

2024

DateBrandInterview
mode		Sample
size		Primary vote 2pp vote [a]
L/NP ALP GRN ONP UAP OTHUND ALP L/NP
13–15 Dec 2024Freshwater Strategy [28] Online1,05140%30%14%——16%—49%51%
12–15 Dec 2024Essential [5] Online1,15135%30%13%6%1%11%5%47%48%
9–15 Dec 2024Roy Morgan [29] Online1,67241%27.5%12.5%5%—14%—48%52%
4–8 Dec 2024Resolve Strategic [30] Online1,60438%27%12%7%—16%—49%51%
2–8 Dec 2024Roy Morgan [31] Online1,65338%28%13%6.5%—14.5%—48%52%
2–6 Dec 2024Newspoll [32] Online1,25839%33%11%7%—10%—50%50%
27 Nov – 1 Dec 2024Essential [5] Online1,12335%32%11%8%1%9%5%47%48%
25 Nov – 1 Dec 2024Roy Morgan [33] Online1,66638.5%30%12.5%6.5%—12.5%—49%51%
18–24 Nov 2024Roy Morgan [34] Online1,66337%31.5%12.5%6.5%—12.5%—51%49%
19–21 Nov 2024DemosAU [35] Online1,03838%32%12%7%—11%—50%50%
15–21 Nov 2024YouGov [36] Online1,51538%30%13%9%—10%—50%50%
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024Accent Research/
RedBridge Group [37] 		Online4,90939%31%11%——19%—49%51%
13–18 Nov 2024Essential [5] Online1,20635%30%13%7%2%8%5%48%47%
15–17 Nov 2024Freshwater Strategy [38] Online1,04640%30%14%——16%—49%51%
11–17 Nov 2024Roy Morgan [39] Online1,67539%29%13.5%6.5%—12%—49%51%
6–13 Nov 2024RedBridge Group [40] Online2,01139%34%11%——16%—50%50%
5–10 Nov 2024Resolve Strategic [41] [42] Online1,62139%30%11%5%—15%—49%51%
4–10 Nov 2024Roy Morgan [43] Online1,66537.5%30.5%12.5%6.5%—13%—49.5%50.5%
4–8 Nov 2024Newspoll [44] Online1,26140%33%11%5%—11%—49%51%
30 Oct – 3 Nov 2024Essential [5] Online1,13134%31%12%9%2%8%5%47%49%
28 Oct – 3 Nov 2024Roy Morgan [45] Online1,65138%30.5%14%6%—11.5%—49%51%
21–27 Oct 2024Roy Morgan [46] Online1,68737.5%30%14%5.5%—13%—50.5%49.5%
14–25 Oct 2024ANU [47] Online3,62238.2%31.8%11.8%———9.5%50%50%
18–20 Oct 2024Freshwater Strategy [48] Online1,03441%30%13%——16%—49%51%
16–20 Oct 2024Essential [5] Online1,14035%28%12%7%2%9%6%46%48%
14–20 Oct 2024Roy Morgan [49] Online1,68736.5%32%13.5%5.5%—12.5%—52%48%
7–13 Oct 2024Roy Morgan [50] Online1,69737.5%30%14%6%—12.5%—50%50%
7–11 Oct 2024Newspoll [51] Online1,25838%31%12%7%—12%—49%51%
2–6 Oct 2024Essential [5] Online1,13934%32%12%8%1%9%5%49%47%
30 Sep – 6 Oct 2024Roy Morgan [52] Online1,69737.5%31.5%12.5%5.5%—13%—50%50%
1–5 Oct 2024Resolve Strategic [53] Online1,60638%30%12%5%—15%—50%50%
23–29 Sep 2024Roy Morgan [54] Online1,66838%30%13.5%4.5%—14%—49%51%
18–22 Sep 2024Essential [5] Online1,11735%29%12%8%2%9%5%47%48%
16–22 Sep 2024Roy Morgan [55] Online1,66237.5%32%12.5%5%—13%—50.5%49.5%
16–20 Sep 2024Newspoll [56] Online1,24938%31%13%6%—12%—50%50%
13–19 Sep 2024YouGov [57] Online1,61939%30%14%7%—10%—50%50%
13–15 Sep 2024Freshwater Strategy [58] Online1,05742%30%13%——15%—48%52%
9–15 Sep 2024Roy Morgan [59] Online1,63437.5%30.5%12.5%5.5%—14%—50.5%49.5%
2–8 Sep 2024Roy Morgan [60] Online1,70336.5%30%14.5%6%—13%—51%49%
3–7 Sep 2024Essential [5] Online1,13235%30%13%8%1%8%5%48%48%
3–7 Sep 2024Resolve Strategic [61] Online1,61437%28%13%6%1%15%—50%50%
26 Aug – 1 Sep 2024Roy Morgan [62] Online1,69736%30.5%13%6%—14.5%—50.5%49.5%
26–30 Aug 2024Newspoll [63] Online1,26338%32%12%7%—11%—50%50%
6–29 Aug 2024Wolf & Smith [64] [65] [66] Online10,23936%29%13%6%—15%—51%49%
23–28 Aug 2024YouGov [67] Online1,54337%32%13%8%—10%—50%50%
20–27 Aug 2024RedBridge Group [68] Online2,01738%33%12%——17%—50.5%49.5%
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024Accent Research/
RedBridge Group [69] [70] [71] 		Online5,97638%32%12%——18%—50%50%
19–25 Aug 2024Roy Morgan [72] Online1,70139.5%29.5%13%4%—14%—49.5%50.5%
20–24 Aug 2024Essential [5] Online1,12933%29%13%7%1%11%6%48%46%
16–18 Aug 2024Freshwater Strategy [73] Online1,06141%32%12%——15%—49%51%
12–18 Aug 2024Roy Morgan [74] Online1,69838.5%30.5%13.5%4%—13.5%—50.5%49.5%
8–11 Aug 2024Essential [5] Online1,13234%28%14%7%1%9%6%47%47%
7–11 Aug 2024Resolve Strategic [75] Online1,60737%29%13%6%2%13%—50%50%
5–11 Aug 2024Roy Morgan [76] Online1,67138%29.5%14%5%—13.5%—50%50%
5–9 Aug 2024Newspoll [77] Online1,26639%32%12%6%—11%—50%50%
29 Jul – 4 Aug 2024Roy Morgan [78] Online1,65537%30.5%12%5.5%—15%—51.5%48.5%
24–28 Jul 2024Essential [5] Online1,13734%32%11%7%2%9%6%47%46%
22–28 Jul 2024Roy Morgan [79] Online1,65237.5%30.5%13%6.5%—12.5%—50.5%49.5%
19–21 Jul 2024Freshwater Strategy [80] Online1,06040%31%13%——16%—49%51%
15–21 Jul 2024Roy Morgan [81] Online1,75239.5%31.5%13%5%—11%—49%51%
15–19 Jul 2024Newspoll [82] Online1,25838%33%13%6%—10%—51%49%
10–19 Jul 2024RedBridge Group [83] Online1,50541%32%11%——16%—48.5%51.5%
12–17 Jul 2024YouGov [84] Online1,52838%31%13%7%—11%—51%49%
10–14 Jul 2024Essential [5] Online1,12233%29%13%8%3%9%6%46%48%
8–14 Jul 2024Roy Morgan [85] Online1,75837.5%31%12.5%5%—14%—49.5%50.5%
10–13 Jul 2024Resolve Strategic [86] Online1,60338%28%13%6%1%13%—50%50%
1–7 Jul 2024Roy Morgan [87] Online1,72339.5%28.5%13.5%5%—13.5%—48%52%
26–30 Jun 2024Essential [5] Online1,14133%30%12%7%1%10%7%46%47%
24–30 Jun 2024Roy Morgan [88] Online1,70836.5%31.5%13%4.5%—14.5%—51%49%
24–28 Jun 2024Newspoll [89] Online1,26036%32%13%7%—12%—51%49%
17–23 Jun 2024Roy Morgan [90] Online1,69637%31.5%13%6%—12.5%—51%49%
14–16 Jun 2024Freshwater Strategy [91] Online1,06040%32%13%——15%—50%50%
12–16 Jun 2024Essential [5] Online1,18132%31%13%8%1%9%6%48%46%
10–16 Jun 2024Roy Morgan [92] Online1,72438%29.5%13.5%5%—14%—50%50%
11–15 Jun 2024Resolve Strategic [93] Online1,60736%28%14%6%1%15%—51%49%
3–9 Jun 2024Roy Morgan [94] Online1,68735%30.5%15.5%5.5%—13.5%—53.5%46.5%
3–7 Jun 2024Newspoll [95] Online1,23239%33%11%7%—10%—50%50%
31 May – 4 Jun 2024YouGov [96] Online1,50038%30%14%8%—10%—50%50%
29 May – 2 Jun 2024Essential [5] Online1,16036%32%13%5%3%8%4%48%48%
27 May – 2 Jun 2024Roy Morgan [97] Online1,57936%31%14%4.5%—14.5%—52%48%
20–26 May 2024Roy Morgan [98] Online1,48837%28.5%15%6%—13.5%—48.5%51.5%
17–19 May 2024Freshwater Strategy [99] Online1,05640%32%14%——14%—50%50%
16–19 May 2024Essential [5] Online1,14934%31%10%8%1%8%6%46%47%
15–19 May 2024Resolve Strategic [100] Online1,60236%29%12%7%2%14%—50%50%
13–19 May 2024Roy Morgan [101] Online1,67437%30.5%14.5%5.5%—12.5%—50.5%49.5%
16–18 May 2024Newspoll [102] Online1,28037%34%13%7%—9%—52%48%
10–14 May 2024YouGov [103] Online1,50638%30%13%8%—11%—50%50%
6–12 May 2024Roy Morgan [104] Online1,65437%32%13.5%5.5%—12%—52%48%
1–5 May 2024Essential [5] Online1,15034%31%13%7%1%7%7%46%47%
29 Apr – 5 May 2024Roy Morgan [105] Online1,66637%30%13%6%—14%—52%48%
22–28 Apr 2024Roy Morgan [106] Online1,71936.5%31.5%14%5.5%—12.5%—52%48%
19–23 Apr 2024YouGov [107] Online1,51436%33%13%8%—10%—52%48%
17–21 Apr 2024Essential [5] Online1,14535%31%11%9%1%9%4%47%49%
17–21 Apr 2024Resolve Strategic [108] Online1,61036%30%13%5%2%14%—50%50%
15–21 Apr 2024Roy Morgan [109] Online1,61735.5%30.5%16%5.5%—12.5%—52%48%
12–21 Apr 2024RedBridge Group [110] Online1,52937%33%12%7%—11%—52%48%
15–18 Apr 2024Newspoll [111] Online1,23638%33%12%7%—10%—51%49%
12–14 Apr 2024Freshwater Strategy [112] Online1,05540%31%13%——16%—50%50%
8–14 Apr 2024Roy Morgan [113] Online1,70638.5%30%13.5%5.5%—12.5%—49%51%
13 Apr 2024The Liberals are re-elected in the 2024 Cook by-election
3–7 Apr 2024Essential [5] Online1,16534%29%14%6%2%8%6%48%46%
1–7 Apr 2024Roy Morgan [114] Online1,73138%29.5%13.5%6%—13%—49.5%50.5%
25–31 Mar 2024Roy Morgan [115] Online1,67737.5%30%15.5%3.5%—13.5%—51%49%
22–27 Mar 2024YouGov [116] Online1,51338%32%13%7%—10%—51%49%
21–24 Mar 2024Resolve Strategic [117] Online1,61035%32%13%5%2%13%—53%47%
20–24 Mar 2024Essential [5] Online1,15036%29%11%7%3%7%6%44%50%
18–24 Mar 2024Roy Morgan [118] Online1,63338%31.5%14%4.5%—12%—50%50%
18–22 Mar 2024Newspoll [119] Online1,22337%32%13%7%—11%—51%49%
11–17 Mar 2024Roy Morgan [120] Online1,71037%31.5%12.5%5.5%—13.5%—51.5%48.5%
8–10 Mar 2024Freshwater Strategy [121] Online1,05139%31%14%——16%—51%49%
4–10 Mar 2024Roy Morgan [122] Online1,71438%32%13%4%—13%—51.5%48.5%
5–9 Mar 2024Essential [5] Online1,12635%32%11%8%2%8%5%48%47%
24 Feb  –5 Mar 2024YouGov [123] Online1,53937%32%15%6%—10%—52%48%
26 Feb  –3 Mar 2024Roy Morgan [124] Online1,67936.5%34%13.5%3.5%—12.5%—53.5%46.5%
2 Mar 2024Labor is re-elected in the 2024 Dunkley by-election
21–25 Feb 2024Essential [5] Online1,14535%30%13%7%2%8%4%47%48%
19–25 Feb 2024Roy Morgan [125] Online1,68238%31.5%12%5%—13.5%—50%50%
21–24 Feb 2024Resolve Strategic [126] Online1,60337%34%11%6%1%13%—52%48%
19–23 Feb 2024Newspoll [127] Online1,24536%33%12%6%—13%—52%48%
16–18 Feb 2024Freshwater Strategy [128] Online1,04938%31%14%——17%—51%49%
12–18 Feb 2024Roy Morgan [129] Online1,70637%34%13%4%—12%—52.5%47.5%
7–11 Feb 2024Essential [5] Online1,14834%31%14%7%1%9%5%50%46%
5–11 Feb 2024Roy Morgan [130] Online1,69937%34.5%12%4.5%—12%—52%48%
2–7 Feb 2024YouGov [131] Online1,50236%32%14%8%—10%—52%48%
30 Jan – 7 Feb 2024RedBridge Group [132] Online2,04038%33%13%——16%—51.2%48.8%
29 Jan – 4 Feb 2024Roy Morgan [133] Online1,70937%33%12%5%—13%—53%47%
31 Jan – 3 Feb 2024Newspoll [134] Online1,24536%34%12%7%—11%—52%48%
24–28 Jan 2024Essential [5] Online1,20134%32%13%7%2%7%5%48%46%
22–28 Jan 2024Roy Morgan [135] Online1,68837.5%31%13%5.5%—13%—50.5%49.5%
15–21 Jan 2024Roy Morgan [136] Online1,67536%32.5%12.5%5%—14%—52.5%47.5%
12–17 Jan 2024YouGov [137] Online1,53237%32%13%7%—11%—52%48%
8–14 Jan 2024Roy Morgan [138] Online1,72737%31.5%12%4.5%—15%—51.5%48.5%
10–11 Jan 2024Freshwater

Strategy [139] [140] [141]

Online1,00739%31%13%——16%—50%50%
2–7 Jan 2024Roy Morgan [142] Online1,71639%29%13%5%—14%—49%51%

2023

DateBrandInterview
mode		Sample
size		Primary vote 2pp vote [a]
L/NP ALP GRN ONP UAP OTHUND ALP L/NP
15–17 Dec 2023Freshwater Strategy [143] Online1,10939%31%13%——16%—50%50%
11–17 Dec 2023Roy Morgan [144] Online1,10938%32%11.5%4.5%—14%—50%50%
11–15 Dec 2023Newspoll [145] Online1,21936%33%13%7%—11%—52%48%
6–11 Dec 2023Essential [5] Online1,10234%31%13%6%2%9%5%49%46%
6–11 Dec 2023RedBridge Group [146] Online2,01035%33%13%——19%—52.8%47.2%
1–5 Dec 2023YouGov [147] [148] Online1,55536%29%15%7%—13%—51%49%
29 Nov – 3 Dec 2023Resolve Strategic [149] [150] Online1,60534%35%12%5%1%12%—55%45%
27 Nov – 3 Dec 2023Roy Morgan [151] —1,73037.5%32.5%12.5%5%—12.5%—51%49%
22–26 Nov 2023Essential [5] Online1,15134%31%13%7%1%8%6%48%47%
20–26 Nov 2023Roy Morgan [152] —1,37935%32%13.5%5%—14.5%—52.5%47.5%
20–24 Nov 2023Newspoll [153] Online1,21638%31%13%6%—12%—50%50%
13–19 Nov 2023Roy Morgan [154] —1,40137.5%29.5%13.5%6.5%—13%—49.5%50.5%
10–14 Nov 2023YouGov [155] Online1,58236%31%13%7%—13%—51%49%
8–12 Nov 2023Essential [5] Online1,15034%32%12%7%2%8%5%49%47%
6–12 Nov 2023Roy Morgan [156] —1,39736.5%30%13%6%—14.5%—50%50%
1–5 Nov 2023Resolve Strategic [157] Online1,60230%35%13%7%2%13%—57%43%
30 Oct – 3 Nov 2023Newspoll [158] Online1,22037%35%12%6%—10%—52%48%
27 Oct – 2 Nov 2023RedBridge Group [159] Online1,20535%34%14%——17%—53.5%46.5%
25–29 Oct 2023Essential [5] Online1,14934%32%10%7%3%9%6%48%46%
23–29 Oct 2023Roy Morgan [160] —1,37535%32.5%15%——17.5%—53%47%
16–22 Oct 2023Roy Morgan [161] —1,38336%32%14%4.5%—13.5%—49.5%50.5%
14 Oct 2023The 2023 Australian Indigenous Voice referendum is defeated
4–12 Oct 2023Newspoll [162] Online2,63835%36%12%6%—11%—54%46%
6–10 Oct 2023YouGov [163] Online1,51936%33%14%6%—11%—53%47%
3–6 Oct 2023Newspoll [164] [165] Online1,22536%34%12%5%—13%—53%47%
22 Sep – 4 Oct 2023Resolve Strategic [166] [167] Online4,72831%37%12%7%2%11%—57%43%
27 Sept – 1 Oct 2023Essential [5] Online1,12532%33%14%6%2%7%5%50%45%
25–29 Sep 2023YouGov [168] [169] Online1,56335%33%13%——19%—53%47%
22–24 Sep 2023Freshwater Strategy [170] Online1,00337%33%13%——17%—51%49%
18–22 Sep 2023Newspoll [171] [172] Online1,23936%36%11%6%—11%—54%46%
13–17 Sep 2023Essential [5] Online1,13532%31%13%8%2%8%6%49%45%
4–10 Sep 2023Roy Morgan [173] —1,38237%32%13.5%——17.5%—52.5%47.5%
6–9 Sep 2023Resolve Strategic [174] [175] Online1,60434%36%12%5%2%11%—55.5%44.5%
30 Aug – 4 Sep 2023RedBridge Group [176] Online1,00136%37%13%——14%—54.1%45.9%
30 Aug – 3 Sep 2023Essential [5] Online1,15132%31%15%7%2%7%6%51%43%
28 Aug – 3 Sep 2023Roy Morgan [177] —1,40437.5%33.5%13%——16%—53%47%
28 Aug– 1 Sep 2023Newspoll [178] Online1,20037%35%13%7%—8%—53%47%
16–20 Aug 2023Essential [5] [179] Online1,15133%33%14%5%3%7%6%51%43%
10–14 Aug 2023RedBridge Group [180] Online1,01032%38%10%——21%—55.6%44.4%
9–13 Aug 2023Resolve Strategic [181] [182] Online1,60333%37%11%5%2%12%—56%44%
2–6 Aug 2023Essential [5] [183] Online1,15030%33%12%8%2%8%6%52%42%
19–23 Jul 2023Essential [5] [184] Online1,15032%31%14%7%1%9%6%50%45%
15 Jul 2023LNP is re-elected in the 2023 Fadden by-election
12–15 Jul 2023Resolve Strategic [185] [186] Online1,61030%39%11%6%1%11%—59%41%
12–15 Jul 2023Newspoll [187] [188] Online1,57034%36%12%7%—11%—55%45%
5–9 Jul 2023Essential [5] [189] Online2,24832%32%14%8%1%8%5%51%44%
21–25 Jun 2023Essential [5] Online1,14830%32%14%7%2%11%6%52%42%
16–24 Jun 2023Newspoll [190] [191] Online2,30335%38%11%6%—10%—54%46%
7–11 Jun 2023Essential [5] Online1,12332%32%16%5%1%9%5%52%42%
6–11 Jun 2023Resolve Strategic [192] [193] Online1,60630%40%12%6%2%10%—60%40%
31 May – 3 Jun 2023Newspoll [194] [195] Online1,54934%38%12%6%—10%—55%45%
24–28 May 2023Essential [5] Online1,13831%34%15%6%2%7%5%52%43%
15–17 May 2023Freshwater Strategy [196] [197] Online1,00537%34%12%——17%—52%48%
10–14 May 2023Essential [5] [198] Online1,08031%35%14%5%1%8%5%53%42%
11–13 May 2023Newspoll [199] [200] Online1,51634%38%11%7%—10%—55%45%
10–13 May 2023Resolve Strategic [201] [202] Online1,61030%42%12%5%2%8%2%61%39%
26–30 Apr 2023Essential [5] [203] Online1,13032%33%14%5%2%8%5%53%41%
19–22 Apr 2023Newspoll [204] [205] Online1,51433%38%11%7%—11%—56%44%
12–16 Apr 2023Essential [5] [206] Online1,13631%34%14%6%3%9%4%52%43%
12–16 Apr 2023Resolve Strategic [207] [208] Online1,60928%42%12%6%1%11%—61.5%38.5%
29 Mar – 2 Apr 2023Essential [5] [209] Online1,13330%33%14%6%2%10%5%53%42%
29 Mar – 1 Apr 2023Newspoll [210] Online1,50033%38%10%8%—11%—55%45%
1 Apr 2023Labor wins the 2023 Aston by-election
15–20 Mar 2023Essential [5] [211] Online1,12431%34%14%5%2%9%5%52%43%
12–16 Mar 2023Resolve Strategic [212] [211] Online1,60030%39%13%5%1%11%—60%40%
1–5 Mar 2023Essential [5] Online1,14132%32%12%7%2%10%7%49%44%
27 Feb – 5 Mar 2023Roy Morgan——33.5%38%11.5%——17%—54.5%45.5%
1–4 Mar 2023Newspoll [213] Online1,53035%37%10%7%—11%—54%46%
20–26 Feb 2023Roy Morgan——34.5%37%13.5%——15%—56.5%43.5%
15–19 Feb 2023Essential [5] Online1,04430%33%14%6%3%8%8%51%42%
15–19 Feb 2023Resolve Strategic [214] [215] Online1,60431%40%10%5%1%11%—58%42%
13–19 Feb 2023Roy MorganOnline/
Telephone		—33%37%13%——17%—58.5%41.5%
1–6 Feb 2023Essential [5] Online1,00030%33%17%6%1%15%5%55%40%
1–4 Feb 2023Newspoll [216] [217] Online1,51234%38%11%6%1%10%—55%45%
23–29 Jan 2023Roy Morgan——33.5%37.5%11.5%——17.5%—57%43%
18–22 Jan 2023Essential [5] [218] Online1,05031%34%14%8%1%7%5%53%42%
17–22 Jan 2023Resolve Strategic [219] [218] Online1,60629%42%11%6%2%11%—60%40%

2022

DateBrandInterview
mode		Sample
size		Primary vote 2pp vote [a]
L/NP ALP GRN ONP UAP OTHUND ALP L/NP
23 Dec 2022 Andrew Gee leaves the Nationals to become an Independent
16–18 Dec 2022Freshwater Strategy [220] [221] [222] Online1,20937%37%12%4%1%9%—54%46%
7–11 Dec 2022Essential [5] Online1,04230%35%13%6%3%8%5%51%44%
30 Nov – 4 Dec 2022Resolve Strategic [223] [224] Online1,61130%42%11%4%2%8%—60%40%
30 Nov – 3 Dec 2022Newspoll [225] Online1,50835%39%11%6%1%9%—55%45%
23–27 Nov 2022 Essential [225] [226] Online1,04231%33%13%——17%6%51%43%
27–30 Oct 2022Newspoll-YouGov [227] Online1,50035%38%11%6%1%9%—55%45%
26–30 Oct 2022Resolve Strategic [228] [227] Online1,61132%39%13%4%1%11%—58%42%
5–9 Oct 2022Resolve Strategic [229] [230] Online1,60430%39%12%5%3%11%—58.5%41.5%
14–18 Sep 2022Resolve Strategic [231] [232] Online1,60732%39%10%6%2%11%—56.5%43.5%
31 Aug – 3 Sep 2022Newspoll-YouGov [233] [234] Online1,50531%37%13.5%7%2%10%—57%43%
17–21 Aug 2022Resolve Strategic [235] [236] Online2,01128%42%12%5%2%11%—61%39%
27–30 Jul 2022 Newspoll-YouGov [237] [238] Online1,50833%37%12%6%2%10%—56%44%
14–17 Jun 2022Dynata [239] Online1,00131%34%12%4%4%7%9%52.2%47.8%
13–19 Jun 2022 Roy Morgan [240] Online/
telephone		1,40137%36%11%4%0.5%11.5%—53%47%
29 May 2022 Peter Dutton elected unopposed as Leader of the Liberal Party [241]
21 May 2022 Election [242] [243] 35.7%32.6%12.2%5.0%4.1%10.4%—52.1%47.9%
  1. 1 2 3 4 Resolve Strategic Poll 2PP calculated based on preference flows at the 2022 Australian federal election by the Poll Bludger and Kevin Bonham.
  2. ↑ In February 2025, the High Court ruled that the United Australia Party (UAP) could not be re-registered for the 2025 federal election. [1] UAP founder Clive Palmer subsequently joined another political party, Trumpet of Patriots (TOP). [2] The final poll to feature the UAP was from Roy Morgan and released on 17 February 2025, with the first poll to feature TOP from YouGov on 28 February 2025. [3] [4]
  3. 1 2 3 4 Poll shows the United Australia Party (UAP) prior to Clive Palmer joining Trumpet of Patriots (TOP). [6]
  4. ↑ Polling of 20 marginal seats
  5. ↑ Including projected vote patterns from independent voters and voters for other parties. Independents under this projection would receive 8.9% of the first-preference vote while other parties would receive 2.8% of the first-preference vote.
  6. ↑ Polling of 20 marginal seats

Preferred prime minister and leadership polling

Graphical summary

The following graphical summaries illustrate results from opinion polling for preferred Prime Minister and their respective approval ratings based on data below that is documented in the tables.

Preferred prime minister

Australian Federal Election Polling - 48th Parliament - PPM.svg

Leadership approval ratings

Albanese

Australian Federal Election Polling - 48th Parliament - Albanese Approval.svg

Dutton

Australian Federal Election - 48th Parliament - Dutton Approval.svg

Preferred prime minister and leadership polling table

2025
DateFirmInterview modeSamplePreferred prime minister Albanese Dutton
AlbaneseDuttonDon't KnowNetSatisfiedDissatisfiedDon't KnowNetSatisfiedDissatisfiedDon't KnowNet
28 Feb – 6 Mar 2025 YouGov Online1,50445%39%16%6%42%51%7%−9%43%47%10%−4%
26 Feb – 2 Mar 2025Essential [244] Online1,150————41%49%10%−8%41%44%15%−3%
21–27 Feb 2025YouGov [245] Online1,50142%40%18%2%40%52%8%−12%44%46%10%−2%
20–25 Feb 2025RedBridge/Accent [246] Online1,002————30%43%27%−13%39%43%18%−4%
21–23 Feb 2025Freshwater Strategy [9] Online1,03845%43%12%2%35%46%19%−11%36%44%20%−8%
18–23 Feb 2025Resolve Strategic [10] Online1,50635%39%26%4%34%56%10%−22%45%40%15%+5%
12–16 Feb 2025Essential [247] Online1,146————42%48%10%−6%41%45%14%−4%
10–14 Feb 2025Newspoll [13] Online1,24445%40%15%5%37%58%5%−21%41%51%8%−10%
4–11 Feb 2025RedBridge/Accent [15] Online1,002————29%45%26%−16%31%42%27%−11%
20–24 Jan 2025Newspoll [21] Online1,25944%41%15%3%37%57%6%−20%40%51%9%−11%
15–21 Jan 2025Resolve Strategic [22] Online1,61634%39%27%5%33%55%12%−22%44%38%18%+6%
17–19 Jan 2025Freshwater Strategy [23] Online1,06343%43%14%0%32%50%18%−18%36%40%24%−4%
15–19 Jan 2025Essential [248] Online1,132————45%45%10%0%42%43%15%−1%
9–15 Jan 2025YouGov [25] Online1,50444%40%16%4%40%55%5%−15%43%49%8%−6%
2024
DateFirmInterview modeSamplePreferred prime minister Albanese Dutton
AlbaneseDuttonDon't KnowNetSatisfiedDissatisfiedDon't KnowNetSatisfiedDissatisfiedDon't KnowNet
13–15 Dec 2024Freshwater Strategy [28] Online1,05146%43%11%3%34%51%15%−17%37%40%23%−3%
11–15 Dec 2024Essential [249] Online1,151————39%50%11%−11%44%41%15%+3%
4–8 Dec 2024Resolve Strategic [30] Online1,60435%35%30%0%31%57%12%−26%40%42%18%−2%
2–6 Dec 2024Newspoll [32] Online1,25845%38%17%7%40%54%6%−14%39%51%10%−12%
15–21 Nov 2024YouGov [36] Online1,51542%39%19%3%36%56%8%−20%40%48%12%−8%
13–18 Nov 2024Essential [250] Online1,206————43%48%10%−5%42%41%16%+1%
15–17 Nov 2024Freshwater Strategy [38] Online1,04643%42%15%1%33%50%17%−17%37%41%22%−4%
5–10 Nov 2024Resolve Strategic [41] [42] Online1,62137%37%26%0%37%51%12%−14%45%40%15%+5%
4–8 Nov 2024Newspoll [44] Online1,26145%41%14%4%40%55%5%−15%40%51%9%−11%
18–20 Oct 2024Freshwater Strategy [48] Online1,03444%43%13%1%35%49%16%−14%37%39%24%−2%
16–20 Oct 2024Essential [251] Online1,140————44%48%8%−4%45%39%16%+6%
4–16 Oct 2024RedBridge Group [252] Online2,315————34%53%13%−19%39%42%19%−3%
7–11 Oct 2024Newspoll [51] Online1,25845%37%18%8%40%54%6%−14%38%52%10%−14%
1–5 Oct 2024Resolve Strategic [53] Online1,60638%35%27%3%35%52%13%−17%41%41%18%0%
18–22 Sep 2024Essential [253] Online1,117————42%47%11%−5%42%42%16%0%
16–20 Sep 2024Newspoll [56] Online1,24946%37%17%9%43%51%6%−8%37%52%11%−15%
13–19 Sep 2024YouGov [57] Online1,61942%39%19%3%36%58%6%−22%40%50%10%−10%
13–15 Sep 2024Freshwater Strategy [58] Online1,05745%41%14% [a] 4%34%49%17%−15%34%38%28%−4%
3–7 Sep 2024Resolve Strategic [61] Online1,61435%34%31%1%35%53%12%−18%41%42%17%−1%
26–30 Aug 2024Newspoll [63] Online1,26345%37%18%8%41%54%5%−13%39%52%9%−13%
23–28 Aug 2024YouGov [67] Online1,54343%38%19%5%41%52%7%−11%42%47%11%−5%
20–24 Aug 2024Essential [254] Online1,129————40%50%10%−10%42%41%16%+1%
16–18 Aug 2024Freshwater Strategy [73] Online1,06145%41%14% [b] 4%35%45%20%−10%37%40%23%−3%
7–11 Aug 2024Resolve Strategic [75] Online1,60735%36%29%1%34%51%15%−17%41%38%21%+3%
5–9 Aug 2024Newspoll [77] Online1,26646%39%15%7%43%51%6%−8%40%50%10%−10%
24–28 Jul 2024Essential [255] Online1,137————43%46%11%−3%42%41%17%+1%
19–21 Jul 2024Freshwater Strategy [256] Online1,06045%39%16% [c] 6%34%48%18%−14%36%39%25%−3%
15–19 Jul 2024Newspoll [256] Online1,25846%39%15%6%44%51%5%−7%41%49%10%−8%
12–17 Jul 2024YouGov [84] Online1,52845%37%18%8%42%52%6%−10%42%46%12%−4%
10–13 Jul 2024Resolve Strategic [86] Online1,60334%35%31%1%32%54%14%−22%39%40%21%−1%
26–30 Jun 2024Essential [257] Online1,141————40%49%11%−9%41%42%17%−1%
24–28 Jun 2024Newspoll [89] Online1,26046%38%16%8%42%53%5%−11%38%54%8%−16%
14–16 Jun 2024Freshwater Strategy [91] Online1,06043%41%16% [d] 2%34%46%20%−12%35%40%25%−5%
11–15 Jun 2024Resolve Strategic [93] Online1,60735%36%29%1%36%50%14%−14%42%40%19%+2%
3–7 Jun 2024Newspoll [95] Online1,23246%38%16%8%43%50%7%−7%39%49%12%−10%
31 May – 4 Jun 2024YouGov [96] Online1,50047%36%17%9%41%53%6%–12%38%51%11%−13%
29 May – 2 Jun 2024Essential [258] Online1,160————43%47%11%−4%41%42%17%−1%
17–19 May 2024Freshwater Strategy [99] Online1,05646%37%16% [e] 9%37%46%18%−9%31%40%29%−9%
15–19 May 2024Resolve Strategic [100] Online1,60240%32%28%8%39%49%12%−10%39%42%19%−3%
16–18 May 2024Newspoll [102] Online1,28052%33%15%19%47%47%6%0%38%50%12%−12%
10–14 May 2024YouGov [103] Online1,50644%37%19%7%41%53%6%−12%42%48%10%−6%
17–21 Apr 2024Essential [259] Online1,145————43%48%9%−5%44%41%15%+3%
17–21 Apr 2024YouGov [f] [260] Online1,09237%45%18%8%————————
17–21 Apr 2024Resolve Strategic [108] Online1,61041%32%27%9%43%45%12%−2%40%42%17%−2%
15–18 Apr 2024Newspoll [111] Online1,23648%35%17%13%44%50%6%−6%36%51%13%−15%
12–14 Apr 2024Freshwater Strategy [112] Online1,05545%39%16% [g] 6%38%45%17%−7%32%41%27%−9%
22–27 Mar 2024YouGov [116] Online1,51346%34%20%12%41%52%7%−11%38%49%13%−11%
21–24 Mar 2024Resolve Strategic [117] Online1,61040%30%30%10%38%49%13%−11%36%44%20%−8%
18–22 Mar 2024Newspoll [119] Online1,22348%34%18%14%44%51%5%−7%37%52%11%−15%
8–10 Mar 2024Freshwater Strategy [121] Online1,05147%38%15% [h] 9%37%45%18%−8%30%43%27%−13%
24 Feb – 5 Mar 2024YouGov [123] Online1,53948%34%18%14%44%50%6%−6%39%49%12%−10%
21–25 Feb 2024Essential [261] Online1,145————42%47%10%−5%40%44%16%−4%
21–24 Feb 2024Resolve Strategic [126] Online1,60339%32%29%7%41%47%12%−6%35%45%20%−10%
19–23 Feb 2024Newspoll [127] Online1,24547%35%18%12%43%51%6%−8%37%51%12%−14%
16–18 Feb 2024Freshwater Strategy [262] Online1,04942%38%19% [i] 4%38%45%18%−7%32%41%28%−9%
2–7 Feb 2024YouGov [131] Online1,50245%38%17%7%———−16%———−8%
31 Jan – 3 Feb 2024Newspoll [134] [263] Online1,24546%35%19%11%42%51%7%−9%37%50%13%−13%
24–28 Jan 2024Essential [264] Online1,201————41%47%12%−6%38%43%19%−5%
12–17 Jan 2024YouGov [137] Online1,53245%35%20%10%———−13%———−11%
10–11 Jan 2024Freshwater Strategy [139] [140] [141] Online1,00747%38%15% [j] 9%38%43%19%−5%31%40%30%−9%
2023
DateFirmInterview modeSamplePreferred prime minister Albanese Dutton
AlbaneseDuttonDon't KnowSatisfiedDissatisfiedDon't KnowNetSatisfiedDissatisfiedDon't KnowNet
15–17 Dec 2023Freshwater Strategy [143] Online1,10943%39%18% [k] 37%42%20%−5%34%36%30%−2%
11–15 Dec 2023Newspoll [145] Online1,21946%35%19%42%50%8%−8%39%48%13%−9%
1–5 Dec 2023YouGov [147] [148] Online1,55546%36%18%39%55%6%−16%39%48%13%−9%
29 Nov – 3 Dec 2023Resolve Strategic [149] Online1,60542%28%30%37%48%15%−11%34%42%24%−8%
22–26 Nov 2023Essential [265] Online1,151———42%47%12%−5%39%42%19%−3%
20–24 Nov 2023Newspoll [153] Online1,21646%35%19%40%53%7%−13%37%50%13%−13%
10–14 Nov 2023YouGov [155] [266] Online1,58248%34%18%43%50%7%−7%40%47%13%−7%
1–5 Nov 2023Resolve Strategic [157] Online1,60240%27%33%39%46%15%−7%36%40%25%−4%
30 Oct – 3 Nov 2023Newspoll [158] Online1,22046%36%18%42%52%6%−10%37%50%13%−13%
11–14 Oct 2023Essential [267] Online1,125———46%43%11%+3%36%43%21%−7%
4–12 Oct 2023Newspoll [162] Online2,63851%31%18%46%46%8%0%35%53%12%−18%
6–10 Oct 2023YouGov [163] [266] Online1,51950%34%16%45%48%7%−3%38%50%12%−12%
3–6 Oct 2023Newspoll [164] [165] Online1,22550%33%17%45%46%9%−1%37%50%13%−13%
22 Sep – 4 Oct 2023Resolve Strategic [166] [167] Online1,60447%25%28%43%43%14%0%30%45%25%−15%
25–29 Sep 2023YouGov [168] [266] Online1,56350%33%17%————————
22–24 Sep 2023Freshwater Strategy [170] Online1,00346%37%17% [l] 38%41%21%−3%30%40%30%−10%
18–22 Sep 2023Newspoll [171] [172] Online1,23950%30%20%47%44%9%+3%32%52%16%−20%
6–9 Sep 2023Resolve Strategic [174] [175] Online1,60443%28%29%40%47%13%−7%35%43%22%−8%
30 Aug – 3 Sep 2023Essential [268] Online1,151———46%43%10%+3%38%43%19%−5%
28 Aug – 1 Sep 2023Newspoll [178] Online1,20050%31%19%46%47%7%−1%38%49%13%−11%
9–13 Aug 2023Resolve Strategic [181] [182] Online1,60346%25%29%44%42%14%+2%31%44%24%−13%
19–23 Jul 2023Essential [184] [269] Online1,150———48%41%11%+7%37%43%20%−6%
12–15 Jul 2023Resolve Strategic [185] [186] Online1,61051%21%28%51%34%15%+17%31%47%23%−16%
12–15 Jul 2023Newspoll [187] Online1,57054%29%17%52%41%7%+11%36%49%15%−13%
16–24 Jun 2023Newspoll [190] Online2,30352%32%16%52%42%6%+10%38%49%13%−11%
29 May – 12 Jun 2023CT Group [270] Online3,000———42%36%22%+6%————
6–11 Jun 2023Resolve Strategic [192] [193] Online1,60653%22%25%53%35%13%+18%28%48%24%−20%
31 May – 3 Jun 2023Newspoll [194] Online1,54955%28%17%55%37%8%+18%36%50%14%−14%
15–17 May 2023Freshwater Strategy [196] [197] Online1,00551%33%16% [m] 42%37%21%+5%30%42%28%−12%
10–14 May 2023Essential [271] Online1,125———54%35%11%+19%36%45%19%−9%
11–13 May 2023Newspoll [199] [200] Online1,51656%29%15%57%38%5%+19%36%51%13%−15%
10–13 May 2023Resolve Strategic [201] [202] Online1,61053%20%27%56%29%14%+27%28%49%23%−21%
19–22 Apr 2023Newspoll [204] [205] Online1,51454%28%18%53%37%10%+16%33%52%15%−19%
12–16 Apr 2023Essential [272] Online1,136———51%36%12%+15%36%44%20%−8%
12–16 Apr 2023Resolve Strategic [207] [208] Online1,60955%21%24%56%29%14%+27%26%54%19%−28%
29 Mar – 2 Apr 2023Essential [273] Online1,133———52%35%13%+17%————
29 Mar – 1 Apr 2023NewspollOnline1,50058%26%16%56%35%9%+21%35%48%21%−13%
12–16 Mar 2023Resolve Strategic [212] [211] Online1,60051%22%27%55%31%13%+24%32%44%25%−12%
1–4 Mar 2023NewspollOnline1,53054%28%18%55%38%7%+17%37%48%15%−11%
15–21 Feb 2023Morning Consult—————57%31%12%+26%————
15–19 Feb 2023Essential [274] Online1,044———53%34%13%+19%————
15–19 Feb 2023Resolve Strategic [214] [215] Online1,60455%23%22%56%30%13%+26%29%45%26%−16%
1–4 Feb 2023Newspoll [216] [217] Online1,51256%26%18%57%33%10%+24%36%46%18%−10%
18–22 Jan 2023Essential [275] Online1,050———55%31%13%+24%————
17–22 Jan 2023Resolve Strategic [219] [218] Online1,60655%20%25%60%25%15%+35%28%46%26%−18%
2022
DateFirmInterview modeSamplePreferred prime minister Albanese Dutton
AlbaneseDuttonDon't KnowSatisfiedDissatisfiedDon't KnowNetSatisfiedDissatisfiedDon't KnowNet
16–18 Dec 2022Freshwater Strategy [220] [221] [222] Online1,20955%29%16% [n] ––––––––
7–11 Dec 2022Essential [276] Online1,042–––60%27%13%+33%––––
30 Nov – 4 Dec 2022Resolve Strategic [223] [224] Online1,61154%19%27%60%24%16%+36%28%43%29%–15%
30 Nov – 3 Dec 2022Newspoll [225] Online1,50859%24%17%62%29%9%+33%36%45%19%–9%
16–22 Nov 2022Morning Consult [277] Online—–––56%31%25%+25%––––
9–14 Nov 2022Essential [278] Online1,035–––60%27%13%+33%––––
27–30 Oct 2022Newspoll [227] Online1,50054%27%19%59%33%8%+26%39%46%15%–7%
26–30 Oct 2022Resolve Strategic [228] [227] [279] Online1,61153%19%28%57%28%16%+29%29%41%30%–12%
13–16 Oct 2022Freshwater Strategic [o] [280] Online1,042–––50%26%24%+24%33%34%33%–1%
11–16 Oct 2022Essential [281] Online1,122–––58%26%15%+32%––––
5–9 Oct 2022Resolve Strategic [229] [230] Online1,60453%18%29%60%25%15%+35%30%41%28%–11%
14–18 Sep 2022Resolve Strategic [231] [232] Online1,60753%19%28%60%24%16%+36%28%40%32%–12%
31 Aug – 4 Sep 2022Essential [282] Online1,070———59%25%15%+34%————
31 Aug – 3 Sep 2022Newspoll [233] Online1,50561%22%17%61%29%10%+32%35%43%22%–8%
17–21 Aug 2022Resolve Strategic [235] [236] Online2,01155%17%28%61%22%17%+39%30%37%32%–7%
3–7 Aug 2022Essential [283] Online1,075———55%28%18%+27%————
27–30 Jul 2022[Newspoll] [237] Online1,50859%25%16%61%26%13%+35%37%41%22%–4%
7–11 Jul 2022Essential [284] Online1,097———56%24%20%+32%————
8–12 Jun 2022 Essential [285] Online1,087———59%18%23%+41%————
23–31 May 2022 Morning Consult [286] Online3,770———51%24%25%+27%————
  1. ↑ Total of 3% "Unsure" + 11% "Neither"
  2. ↑ Total of 3% "Unsure" + 11% "Neither"
  3. ↑ Total of 4% "Unsure" + 12% "Neither"
  4. ↑ Total of 4% "Unsure" + 12% "Neither"
  5. ↑ Total of 4% "Unsure" + 12% "Neither"
  6. ↑ Polling conducted in Queensland.
  7. ↑ Total of 4% "Unsure" + 12% "Neither"
  8. ↑ Total of 4% "Unsure" + 11% "Neither"
  9. ↑ Total of 3% "Unsure" + 16% "Neither"
  10. ↑ Total of 3% "Unsure" + 12% "Neither"
  11. ↑ Total of 5% "Unsure" + 13% "Neither"
  12. ↑ Total of 3% "Unsure" + 14% "Neither"
  13. ↑ Total of 5% "Unsure" + 11% "Neither"
  14. ↑ Total of 4% "Unsure" + 12% "Neither"
  15. ↑ Polling conducted in NSW.

Sub-national polling

New South Wales

Graphical summary

Graphical summary of opinion polls for primary votes.
Graphical summary of opinion polls for two-party preferred.
Polling
DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2pp vote [a]
L/NP ALP GRN ONP UAP IND OTH ALP L/NP
28 Feb – 6 Mar 2025YouGov [287] 47535%29%15%7%——14%50%50%
21–27 Feb 2025YouGov [287] 50635%26%15%12%——12%48.5%51.5%
18–23 Feb 2025Resolve Strategic [287] 47838%24%13%11%—10%3%45.5%54.5%
4–11 Feb 2025RedBridge/Accent [15] 30543%33%10%———14%47%53%
15–21 Jan 2025Resolve Strategic [287] 51339%27%13%5%—10%5%47.5%52.5%
4–8 Dec 2024Resolve Strategic [287] 50938%27%13%9%—11%2%47.5%52.5%
7 Oct – 6 Dec 2024Newspoll [287] 1,19340%32%10%7%——11%50%50%
5–10 Nov 2024Resolve Strategic [287] 51538%30%10%6%—13%3%50.5%49.5%
1–5 Oct 2024Resolve Strategic [287] 51039%31%10%5%—11%4%49.5%50.5%
15 Jul – 20 Sep 2024Newspoll [287] 1,59238%30%12%7%——13%49%51%
3–7 Sep 2024Resolve Strategic [287] 51337%30%12%6%1%12%3%50.5%49.5%
7–11 Aug 2024Resolve Strategic [287] 51039%29%12%4%2%9%4%49%51%
10–13 Jul 2024Resolve Strategic [287] 50939%27%13%6%1%12%2%48.5%51.5%
15 Apr – 26 Jun 2024Newspoll [287] 1,56740%33%11%6%——10%49%51%
11–16 Jun 2024Resolve Strategic [287] 51037%29%12%5%2%12%3%50%50%
15–19 May 2024Resolve Strategic [287] 51135%31%10%7%1%13%2%51%49%
17–21 Apr 2024Resolve Strategic [287] 51135%31%11%6%1%12%4%51.5%48.5%
21–24 Mar 2024Resolve Strategic [287] 51135%33%11%6%2%12%2%52.5%47.5%
31 Jan – 22 Mar 2024Newspoll [287] 1,15238%32%12%7%——11%50%50%
21–24 Feb 2024Resolve Strategic [287] 50937%34%10%4%1%10%4%52%48%
31 Oct – 15 Dec 2023Newspoll [287] 1,13937%32%13%7%——11%51%49%
29 Nov – 3 Dec 2023Resolve Strategic [287] 51035%35%12%5%1%10%2%54.5%45.5%
1–5 Nov 2023Resolve Strategic [287] 50931%37%14%6%1%8%4%58%42%
28 Aug – 12 Oct 2023Newspoll [287] 1,56534%38%13%5%——10%56%44%
22 Sep – 4 Oct 2023Resolve Strategic [166] 1,50232%34%13%8%2%10%2%55%45%
6–9 Sep 2023Resolve Strategic [174] 50936%39%8%6%2%7%3%54%46%
9–12 Aug 2023Resolve Strategic [181] 50934%42%11%4%1%8%1%58%42%
12–15 Jul 2023Resolve Strategic [185] 51132%39%10%9%0%8%2%56.5%43.5%
6–11 Jun 2023Resolve Strategic [192] 51033%39%10%6%1%9%2%56.5%43.5%
14–16 May 2023Resolve Strategic [201] 51130%46%9%5%1%7%2%61%39%
21 Apr 2023 Mark Speakman is elected leader of the NSW Liberal Party
12–16 Apr 2023Resolve Strategic [287] 51130%43%9%6%1%8%2%59.5%40.5%
1 Feb – 3 Apr 2023Newspoll [287] 1,41435%38%10%7%——10%55%45%
25 Mar 2023Labor wins a minority government at the state election
12–16 Mar 2023Resolve Strategic [287] 50835%39%11%5%1%7%2%55.5%44.5%
15–19 Feb 2023Resolve Strategic [287] 50931%41%10%6%1%9%2%58.5%41.5%
17–22 Jan 2023Resolve Strategic [287] 51231%40%10%8%2%7%2%57.5%42.5%
30 Nov – 4 Dec 2022Resolve Strategic [287] 51233%38%12%5%3%8%2%56.5%43.5%
27 Jul – 3 Dec 2022Newspoll [287] 1,81735%38%11%6%——10%55%45%
26–30 Oct 2022Resolve Strategic [228] 51232%41%10%6%1%8%2%57.9%42.1%
5–9 Oct 2022Resolve Strategic [229] 50932%39%12%6%3%7%2%57%43%
14–18 Sep 2022Resolve Strategic [231] 51029%41%9%7%3%9%3%58.5%41.5%
17–21 Aug 2022Resolve Strategic [235] 63929%42%11%5%2%8%3%60.5%39.5%
21 Jun 2022Roy Morgan [240] ————————46.5%53.5%
21 May 2022 Election 36.5%33.4%10%4.8%4%7.6%3.7%51.4%48.6%
  1. ↑ Resolve Strategic 2PP calculated based on preference flows at the 2022 Australian federal election in New South Wales.

Victoria

Graphical summary

Graphical summary of opinion polls for primary votes.
Graphical summary of opinion polls for two-party preferred.
Polling
DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2pp vote [a]
L/NP ALP GRN UAP ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
28 Feb – 6 Mar 2025YouGov [287] 37939%30%9%—6%—16%48%52%
21–27 Feb 2025YouGov [287] 35237%31%14%—5%—13%50%50%
20–25 Feb 2025RedBridge/Accent [8] ————————43%57%
18–23 Feb 2025Resolve Strategic [287] 38038%24%15%—6%11%6%48%52%
4–11 Feb 2025RedBridge/Accent [15] 26151%31%8%———10%42%58%
15–21 Jan 2025Resolve Strategic [287] 40738%25%13%—6%12%6%47.5%52.5%
4–8 Dec 2024Resolve Strategic [287] 40438%26%12%—5%12%7%48%52%
7 Oct – 6 Dec 2024Newspoll [287] 94739%30%14%—5%—12%50%50%
5–10 Nov 2024Resolve Strategic [287] 40938%31%14%—4%10%2%52.5%47.5%
1–5 Oct 2024Resolve Strategic [287] 40537%29%14%—5%9%5%50.5%49.5%
15 Jul – 20 Sep 2024Newspoll [287] 1,26338%31%13%—6%—12%52%48%
3–7 Sep 2024Resolve Strategic [287] 40736%29%13%2%4%12%4%51.5%48.5%
7–11 Aug 2024Resolve Strategic [287] 40533%30%13%1%6%13%3%53.5%46.5%
10–13 Jul 2024Resolve Strategic [287] 40436%30%15%2%5%11%2%52.5%47.5%
15 Apr – 26 Jun 2024Newspoll [287] 39336%33%15%—6%—10%54%46%
11–16 Jun 2024Resolve Strategic [287] 40532%29%15%1%7%11%4%54%46%
15–19 May 2024Resolve Strategic [287] 40634%29%14%2%6%12%2%52.5%47.5%
17–21 Apr 2024Resolve Strategic [287] 40634%32%11%4%5%12%2%52.5%47.5%
21–24 Mar 2024Resolve Strategic [287] 40635%35%13%2%5%9%2%54.5%45.5%
31 Jan – 22 Mar 2024Newspoll [287] 92634%33%16%—5%—12%55%45%
21–24 Feb 2024Resolve Strategic [287] 40434%32%13%2%4%8%7%54%46%
31 Oct – 15 Dec 2023Newspoll [287] 91734%34%15%—5%—12%55%45%
29 Nov – 3 Dec 2023Resolve Strategic [287] 40534%37%11%1%4%9%4%55.5%44.5%
1–5 Nov 2023Resolve Strategic [287] 40425%37%14%3%8%9%4%60.5%39.5%
28 Aug – 12 Oct 2023Newspoll [287] 88735%36%13%—4%—12%54%46%
Daniel Andrews resigns as Premier of Victoria, replaced by Jacinta Allan
22 Sep – 4 Oct 2023Resolve Strategic [166] 1,19230%39%11%2%6%8%2%58%42%
6–9 Sep 2023Resolve Strategic [174] 40432%40%13%2%3%8%2%58.5%41.5%
9–12 Aug 2023Resolve Strategic [181] 40430%38%14%1%3%10%4%59.5%40.5%
12–15 Jul 2023Resolve Strategic [185] 40626%42%13%2%5%9%3%58%42%
6–11 Jun 2023Resolve Strategic [192] 40525%40%15%3%6%7%4%62.5%37.5%
14–16 May 2023Resolve Strategic [201] 40625%48%12%1%4%7%2%66%34%
12–16 Apr 2023Resolve Strategic [287] 40632%39%11%2%3%11%3%57.5%42.5%
1 Feb – 3 Apr 2023Newspoll [287] 1,19333%41%11%—4%—11%58%42%
12–16 Mar 2023Resolve Strategic [287] 40329%43%9%1%6%8%4%60%40%
15–19 Feb 2023Resolve Strategic [287] 40427%40%14%2%3%11%2%62%38%
17–22 Jan 2023Resolve Strategic [287] 40631%41%13%2%3%7%4%59.5%40.5%
30 Nov – 4 Dec 2022Resolve Strategic [287] 40627%46%11%2%2%7%5%63.5%36.5%
26 Nov 2022Labor wins a third term at the state election
27 Jul – 3 Dec 2022Newspoll [287] 1,44833%37%13%—5%—12%57%43%
26–30 Oct 2022Resolve Strategic [228] 40632%39%12%2%2%11%3%58%42%
5–9 Oct 2022Resolve Strategic [229] 40430%40%10%5%4%9%3%58%42%
14–18 Sep 2022Resolve Strategic [231] 40530%38%14%2%3%8%5%59.5%40.5%
17–21 Aug 2022Resolve Strategic [235] 50724%42%11%3%5%10%5%63%37%
21 Jun 2022Roy Morgan [240] ————————60.5%39.5%
21 May 2022 Election 33.1%32.9%13.7%4.7%3.8%6.5%5.3%54.8%45.2%
  1. ↑ Resolve Strategic 2PP calculated based on preference flows at the 2022 Australian federal election in Victoria.

Queensland

Graphical summary

Graphical summary of opinion polls for primary votes.
Graphical summary of opinion polls for two-party preferred.
Polling
DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2pp vote [a]
LNP ALP GRN ONP UAP IND OTH LNP ALP
21–27 Feb 2025YouGov [287] 30247%23%8%10%——12%62%38%
18–23 Feb 2025Resolve Strategic [287] 30641%25%12%8%—9%4%56.5%43.5%
10–14 Feb 2025DemosAU [288] 1,00439%31%12%10%——8%53%47%
4–11 Feb 2025RedBridge/Accent [15] 19042%29%16%———13%51%49%
15–21 Jan 2025Resolve Strategic [287] 32942%26%11%7%—7%6%56.5%43.5%
4–8 Dec 2024Resolve Strategic [287] 32638%25%13%9%—8%7%55%45%
7 Oct – 6 Dec 2024Newspoll [287] 79041%29%12%8%——10%53%47%
5–10 Nov 2024Resolve Strategic [287] 33043%29%8%6%—8%6%56%44%
26 Oct 2024 State Election 41.5%32.6%9.9%8.0%—1.7%6.3%53.8%46.2%
26 Oct 2024LNP wins a majority government at the state election
4–16 Oct 2024RedBridge Group [252] 2,31541%28%13%10%——8%54.5%45.5%
1–5 Oct 2024Resolve Strategic [287] 32742%25%12%6%—13%2%55.5%44.5%
15 Jul – 20 Sep 2024Newspoll [287] 1,05343%30%12%8%——7%54%46%
3–7 Sep 2024Resolve Strategic [287] 32840%27%13%9%2%9%1%53.5%46.5%
7–11 Aug 2024Resolve Strategic [287] 32741%24%11%10%2%8%4%56%44%
10–13 Jul 2024Resolve Strategic [287] 32644%23%10%7%0%14%1%57.5%42.5%
15 Apr – 26 Jun 2024Newspoll [287] 32840%27%13%10%——10%54%46%
11–16 Jun 2024Resolve Strategic [287] 32740%24%13%8%1%11%3%54.5%45.5%
15–19 May 2024Resolve Strategic [287] 32743%26%12%8%3%8%1%55.5%44.5%
17–21 Apr 2024Resolve Strategic [287] 32740%25%14%9%2%8%2%54%46%
21–24 Mar 2024Resolve Strategic [287] 32736%30%14%7%1%9%2%49%51%
31 Jan – 22 Mar 2024Newspoll [287] 77241%29%12%7%——11%53%47%
21–24 Feb 2024Resolve Strategic [287] 32644%32%9%9%2%3%1%54.5%45.5%
Annastacia Palaszczuk resigns as Premier of Queensland, replaced by Steven Miles
31 Oct – 15 Dec 2023Newspoll [287] 76441%27%12%8%——12%54%46%
29 Nov – 3 Dec 2023Resolve Strategic [287] 32638%33%12%8%2%8%0%49.5%50.5%
1–5 Nov 2023Resolve Strategic [287] 32636%31%12%11%1%6%3%50%50%
28 Aug – 12 Oct 2023Newspoll [287] 88739%30%11%9%——11%52%48%
22 Sep – 4 Oct 2023Resolve Strategic [166] 96134%33%11%9%1%10%1%48%52%
6–9 Sep 2023Resolve Strategic [174] 32635%29%16%9%2%7%2%49%51%
9–12 Aug 2023Resolve Strategic [181] 32640%28%9%8%2%10%3%54%46%
12–15 Jul 2023Resolve Strategic [185] 32736%33%12%6%2%10%1%48%52%
6–11 Jun 2023Resolve Strategic [192] 32731%38%10%11%2%7%1%45%55%
14–16 May 2023Resolve Strategic [201] 32739%27%17%7%3%6%2%51.5%48.5%
12–16 Apr 2023Resolve Strategic [287] 32729%37%15%8%2%7%2%42.5%57.5%
1 Feb – 3 Apr 2023Newspoll [287] 99539%33%10%8%——10%50%50%
12–16 Mar 2023Resolve Strategic [287] 32524%39%14%6%1%14%2%38.5%61.5%
15–19 Feb 2023Resolve Strategic [287] 32635%39%10%9%1%0%5%46%54%
17–22 Jan 2023Resolve Strategic [287] 32830%38%11%9%1%8%2%43.5%56.5%
30 Nov – 4 Dec 2022Resolve Strategic [287] 32834%43%7%6%1%6%2%44%56%
27 Jul – 3 Dec 2022Newspoll [287] 1,20740%33%12%6%——9%51%49%
26–30 Oct 2022Resolve Strategic [228] 32832%36%16%4%2%6%4%43%57%
5–9 Oct 2022Resolve Strategic [229] 32638%31%14%6%2%7%2%50%50%
14–18 Sep 2022Resolve Strategic [231] 32731%42%7%10%2%7%2%44%56%
17–21 Aug 2022Resolve Strategic [235] 40931%37%16%6%2%6%3%42.5%57.5%
21 Jun 2022Roy Morgan [240] ————————50%50%
21 May 2022 Election 39.6%27.4%12.9%7.5%5.1%2.1%5.4%54%46%
  1. ↑ Resolve Strategic 2PP calculated based on preference flows at the 2022 Australian federal election in Queensland.

Western Australia

Graphical summary

Graphical summary of opinion polls for primary voting.
Graphical summary of opinion polls for two-party preferred.
Polling
DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2pp vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP UAP OTHUND ALP L/NP
1 Oct – 8 Dec 2024Resolve Strategic [287] 46030%37%12%5%—16%—50%50%
7 Oct – 6 Dec 2024Newspoll [287] 37638%37%11%5%—9%—54%46%
30 Oct – 4 Nov 2024DemosAU [289] 94834%38%14%6%—8%—52%48%
1–10 Oct 2024Redbridge [290] 1,51435%34%—————54.5%45.5%
15 Jul – 20 Sep 2024Newspoll [287] 56236%39%11%4%—10%—52%48%
15 Apr – 26 Jun 2024Newspoll [287] 15634%37%11%5%—13%—52%48%
31 Jan – 22 Mar 2024Newspoll [287] 36834%39%8%6%—13%—49%51%
31 Oct – 15 Dec 2023Newspoll [287] 36437%37%11%5%—10%—54%46%
6–13 Dec 2023RedBridge [291] 1,20339%37%12%5%—7%—55.2%44.8%
28 Aug – 12 Oct 2023Newspoll [287] 62038%38%10%6%—8%—53%47%
Mark McGowan resigns as Premier of Western Australia, replaced by Roger Cook
1 Feb – 3 Apr 2023Newspoll [287] 47440%33%11%6%—10%—57%43%
Libby Mettam replaces David Honey as the WA Liberal leader
27 Jul – 3 Dec 2022Newspoll [287] 57539%34%9%7%—11%—55%45%
21 Jun 2022Roy Morgan [240] 144———————50.5%49.5%
21 May 2022 Election 36.8%34.8%12.5%4%2.3%9.6%—55%45%

South Australia

Graphical summary

Graphical summary of opinion polls for primary voting.
Graphical summary of opinion polls for two-party preferred.
Polling
DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2pp vote
L/NP ALP GRN ONP UAP OTHUND ALP L/NP
18–23 Feb 2025DemosAU [292] 44035%34%11%6%—14%—53%47%
1 Oct – 8 Dec 2024Resolve Strategic [287] 35934%27%12%8%—19%—49.5%50.5%
7 Oct – 6 Dec 2024Newspoll [287] 28037%35%9%7%—12%—53%47%
15 Jul – 20 Sep 2024Newspoll [287] 37435%36%9%10%—10%—54%46%
15 Apr – 26 Jun 2024Newspoll [287] 36834%34%11%12%—9%—53%47%
31 Jan – 22 Mar 2024Newspoll [287] 27833%35%11%10%—11%—54%46%
31 Oct – 15 Dec 2023Newspoll [287] 27735%38%10%6%—11%—55%45%
28 Aug – 12 Oct 2023Newspoll [287] 36230%40%10%11%—9%—57%43%
1 Feb – 3 Apr 2023Newspoll [287] 36235%38%12%5%—10%—56%44%
27 Jul – 3 Dec 2022Newspoll [287] 44935%40%12%6%—7%—57%43%
21 Jun 2022Roy Morgan [240] 103———————60.5%39.5%
21 May 2022 Election 35.54%34.46%12.77%4.83%3.89%8.51%—53.97%46.03%

Tasmania

Graphical summary

Graphical summary of opinion polls for two-party preferred.
Polling
DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2pp vote
L/NP ALP GRN JLN UAP IND OTH ALP L/NP
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024Accent/RedBridge [287] 10735%25%12%———28%48%52%
1 Feb – 26 May 2024Accent/RedBridge [287] 10730%29%15%———26%54%46%
23 Mar 2024 State Election 36.7%29%13.9%6.7%—8%5.7%
28 Aug – 12 Oct 2023Newspoll [287] 36625%30%13%——27%57%43%
21 Jun 2022Roy Morgan [240] ————————63%37%
21 May 2022 Election 32.9%27.3%12%6.8%-11.2%10.8%54.3%45.7%

Northern Territory

Graphical summary

Polling

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2pp vote [a]
CLP ALP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP CLP
24 Aug 2024 Territory Election 48.9%28.8%8.1%—14.2%—42.6%57.4%
16–18 Nov 2023Redbridge Group [294] 60140.4%22.2%11.1%11.7%7.2%7.4%43.9%56.1%
21 May 2022 Election 29.4%38.2%13.1%5.4%1.3%12.7%55.5%44.5%

Individual seat polling

Occasionally, opinion polling is conducted in individual electoral divisions.

Electorate projections

DateBrandSample SizeSeat TallyMost Likely Outcome
L/NP ALP GRN OTH
22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025YouGov MRP [14] [b] 40,6897366110Coalition Minority
29 Oct – 20 Nov 2024Accent Research/RedBridge Group [295] 4,9097165410Coalition Minority
10 Jul – 27 Aug 2024Accent Research/RedBridge Group [296] 5,9766869310Labor Minority
Feb – May 2024Accent Research/RedBridge Group [297] 4,0406077311Labor Majority
21 May 2022 2022 Federal Election 5877412Labor Majority

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Some polling forms do not release two-party-preferred results. Results shown for polls conducted by these firms are manually calculated using preference flows in 2022. [293]
  2. ↑ Multiple projections were calculated. Displayed here is the central result. On the low end was a Coalition result of 65 seats, the Labor Party would get 59, the Greens would get 1 seat, Independents would get 7 seats and all others would get 2 seats. On the high end was a scenario in which the Coalition would win 80 seats, the Labor Party would get 72 seats, the Greens would get 3 seats, Independents would get 10 seats and all other parties would get 2 seats. In all of these predictions One Nation would not win any seats.

References

  1. ↑ "'Make Australia great again': Palmer returns, with Trumpist pledge". The New Daily. 19 February 2025. Archived from the original on 19 February 2025. Retrieved 19 February 2025.
  2. ↑ "Clive Palmer announces 'Trumpet of Patriots' political party". Sky News Australia. 19 February 2025. Archived from the original on 19 February 2025. Retrieved 19 February 2025.
  3. 1 2 "Federal vote unchanged: Coalition 51.5% cf. ALP 48.5%". Roy Morgan Research. 17 February 2025. Archived from the original on 17 February 2025. Retrieved 27 February 2025.
  4. ↑ Brown, Andrew (27 February 2025). "Industry bailout steels Labor but poll pain persists". Yahoo! News. Australian Associated Press. Archived from the original on 27 February 2025. Retrieved 27 February 2025.
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 "The Essential Report: Political Insights". Essential Research . Retrieved 4 March 2025.
  6. ↑ Johnson, Chris (20 February 2025). "Palmer to parrot Trump in federal election". The Riot ACT. Archived from the original on 20 February 2025. Retrieved 20 February 2025.
  7. ↑ "Coalition regains narrow lead after 'Reserve Bank boost' proves short-lived: L-NP 50.5% cf. ALP 49.5%%". Roy Morgan . 3 March 2025.
  8. 1 2 "RedBridge-Accent rolling tracking poll shows Labor claws back ground, as eight seats under threat from Coalition". The Courier-Mail. 2 March 2025. Retrieved 3 March 2025.
  9. 1 2 "Coalition stretches poll lead to 52-48 but green shoots for Labor". Australian Financial Review. 23 February 2025. Retrieved 24 February 2025.
  10. 1 2 Crowe, David (23 February 2025). "Dutton leads, Labor on course for election defeat according to shock poll". The Sydney Morning Herald.
  11. ↑ "ALP takes lead on two-party preferred after Reserve Bank cuts interest rates: ALP 51% cf. L-NP 49%". Roy Morgan . 24 February 2025.
  12. Johnson, Chris (20 February 2025). "Palmer to parrot Trump in federal election". The Riot ACT. Archived from the original on 20 February 2025. Retrieved 20 February 2025.
  13. 1 2 "Newspoll: Majority in mood for change after just one term of Labor". The Australian. 16 February 2025. Retrieved 16 February 2025.
  14. 1 2 "Coalition best-placed to form a government, but is currently falling two seats short of a majority". YouGov . 14 February 2025. Archived from the original on 16 February 2025. Retrieved 16 February 2025.
  15. 1 2 3 4 5 "Coalition within striking distance of Labor in 20 key marginal seats as RedBridge poll defines voter issues". The Courier-Mail. 16 February 2025. Retrieved 16 February 2025.
  16. ↑ "Coalition takes the lead over the ALP nationally as Victorian Liberals gain big swings in Prahran and Werribee by-elections". Roy Morgan . 10 February 2025.
  17. ↑ "Support plummeting in Labor's heartland as the Coalition gains ground in the suburbs". The Daily Telegraph. 10 February 2025. Retrieved 10 February 2025.
  18. ↑ "ALP and Coalition level on two-party preferred after latest ABS Inflation estimates increase the chances of a rate cut". Roy Morgan . 3 February 2025.
  19. ↑ "New Poll: Labor/Coalition locked in 50-50 contest - DemosAU". demosau.com. 4 February 2025. Retrieved 6 February 2025.
  20. ↑ "Coalition maintains a narrow lead over ALP on the Australia Day long weekend: L-NP 52% cf. ALP 48%". Roy Morgan . 28 January 2025.
  21. 1 2 Benson, Simon (26 January 2025). "Majority of voters tip Coalition victory at next election" . The Australian . Sydney: News Corp Australia. Archived from the original on 26 January 2025. Retrieved 26 January 2025.
  22. 1 2 Crowe, David (22 January 2025). "Voters swing to Dutton as Australians expect to be worse off in 2025". The Sydney Morning Herald.
  23. 1 2 "Dutton catches Albanese as preferred PM as law and order worries grow". Australian Financial Review. 19 January 2025. Retrieved 19 January 2025.
  24. ↑ "Coalition lead over ALP strengthens in mid-January: L-NP 52% cf. ALP 48%". Roy Morgan . 20 January 2025.
  25. 1 2 Brown, Andrew (17 January 2025). "Support for Labor slides in first major poll of year". The West Australian . AAP. Archived from the original on 18 January 2025. Retrieved 17 January 2025.
  26. ↑ "Coalition lead over ALP tightens in mid-January: L-NP 51.5% cf. ALP 48.5%". Roy Morgan . 13 January 2025.
  27. ↑ "Coalition strengthens two-party lead L-NP 53% cf. ALP 47%". Roy Morgan . 6 January 2025. Archived from the original on 6 January 2025.
  28. 1 2 "Voters bracing for minority government – Australian Financial Review". www.afr.com. 15 December 2024.
  29. ↑ "Coalition boosts primary support and retains clear two-party preferred lead for Christmas: L-NP 52% cf. ALP 48%". Roy Morgan . 16 December 2024.
  30. 1 2 Crowe, David (8 December 2024). "The PM says Labor has your back. Most voters don't believe him". The Sydney Morning Herald.
  31. ↑ "Coalition increases lead: L-NP 52% cf. ALP 48% – now largest for five months". Roy Morgan . 9 December 2024.
  32. 1 2 "Newspoll: Voters rate Anthony Albanese as weakest leader in decades". The Australian . 8 December 2024.
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