Opinion polling for the 2022 Australian federal election

Last updated

In the lead-up to the 2022 Australian federal election, a number of polling companies conducted regular opinion polls for various news organisations. These polls collected data on parties' primary vote, and contained an estimation of the two-party-preferred vote. They also asked questions about the electorates' views on major party leaders. Key polling companies are YouGov, Essential Media Communications, Roy Morgan Research, and Resolve Strategic.

Contents

Ipsos polls used to be published in The Sydney Morning Herald , The Age and the Australian Financial Review ; [1] [2] however following the shock result of the 2019 Australian federal election, when the Coalition won the election against all of the opinion polls' predictions, the Nine Entertainment group decided to discontinue its relationship with that company. [3] The newspapers did not report any Ipsos political polling until 4 Apr 2022, [4] but continued to report the results of other Ipsos polls. [5]

Graphical summary

Aggregate data of voting intention from all opinion polling since the last federal election. Local regression trends for each party, weighted by sample size, are shown as solid lines.

Two party preferred

Australian federal election polling - 47th parliament - two party preferred.svg

Primary vote

Australian federal election polling - 47th parliament - primary.svg

Voting intention

Assessment of polling accuracy

Following the ‘polling failure’ of the 2019 Australian federal election, where all the major polling organisations’ final polls erroneously predicted a Labor victory, a great deal of attention was paid to changes in methodology and the accuracy of the polls at the 2022 election.

Post-election, several well-known psephologists undertook assessments of accuracy for the voting results produced by each major pollster’s final poll. These employed differing methods of assessment, but generally determined that the polling industry was more accurate overall than in 2019, though still tended to overstate Labor’s primary vote share.

William Bowe (The Poll Bludger) summed this up by saying, “The 2022 federal election was a much happier experience for the polling industry than 2019, with each of five pollster producing election eve primary vote numbers broadly suggestive of the actual result. However, there was a collective error in favour of Labor, whose actual primary vote came in 2.3% below the pollster consensus while the Coalition landed 0.4% higher”. [6]

Psephologists Dr. Adrian Beaumont of The Conversation found Resolve Strategic’s final poll for the Nine newspapers to be the most accurate. [7]

Dr. Kevin Bonham’s polling blog said YouGov (which conducts Newspoll) was the best poll in three of the five categories, and "made the most useful contributions to forecasting the result". Solely based on the final poll, he shared the honours between Resolve Strategic and Newspoll on the basis that the former performed better on three of the four measures in his analysis, but the latter performed better on the measure he considered to be more important. [8]

2022

DateBrandInterview modeSample
size		Primary vote 2pp vote
L/NP ALP GRN ONP UAP OTHUND L/NP ALP
21 May 2022 Election [9] [10] 35.7%32.6%12.2%5.0%4.1%10.4%—47.9%52.1%
23 May–5 Jun 2022 ANU [11] CATI/online355631.9%35.4%19.8%——12.9% [a] ———
21–25 May 2022Dynata (Exit Poll) [12] Online142433%41%11%4%—11%———
13–19 May 2022Newspoll-YouGov [13] Online218835%36%12%5%3%9%—47%53%
15–18 May 2022Ipsos [14] Telephone/online199635%36%13%5%3%8%—47%53%
12–17 May 2022Resolve Strategic [15] [16] Telephone/online204934.4%31.3%13.5%5.8%4.4%10.5% [b] —48.8%51.2%
14–16 May 2022Essential [17] Online160036%35%9%4%3%6% [c] 7%46%48%
9–15 May 2022Roy Morgan [18] Telephone/online136634%34%13%4%1%14%—47%53%
10–13 May 2022Newspoll-YouGov [19] Online153235%38%11%6%3%7%—46%54%
9 May 2022Early voting begins [20]
2–8 May 2022Roy Morgan [21] Telephone/online140134%35.5%13%4%1%12.5%—45.5%54.5%
4–7 May 2022Newspoll-YouGov [22] Online152335%39%11%5%4%6%—46%54%
4–7 May 2022Ipsos [23] Telephone/online231129%35%12%4%3%10%7%43%57%
25 Apr–1 May 2022Roy Morgan [24] Telephone/online148735%35%13%3%1%13%—44.5%55.5%
27–30 Apr 2022Essential [25] Online150036%35%10%3%4%5%6%45%49%
27–30 Apr 2022Newspoll-YouGov [26] Online153836%38%11%5%4%6%—47%53%
27–30 Apr 2022Resolve Strategic [27] Online140833%34%15%5%5%8%—46%54%
18–24 Apr 2022Roy Morgan [28] Telephone/online139335.5%35%12%4.5%1.5%11.5%—45.5%54.5%
20–23 Apr 2022Newspoll-YouGov [29] Online153836%37%11%3%4%9%—47%53%
20–23 Apr 2022Ipsos [30] Telephone/online230232%34%12%4%3%8%8%45%55%
19–20 Apr 2022Essential [31] Online105237%35%9%3%4%5%7%46%47%
11–17 Apr 2022Roy Morgan [32] Telephone/online138235.5%35%14%4.5%1.5%9.5%—45%55%
14–17 Apr 2022Newspoll-YouGov [33] Online151035%36%12%4%4%9%—47%53%
11–16 Apr 2022Resolve Strategic [34] Online140435%34%11%4%4%13%———
10 Apr 2022Australian federal election campaign begins with calling of 21 May election [35]
4–10 Apr 2022Roy Morgan [36] Telephone/online138432.5%36%12.5%5%1.5%12.5%—43%57%
6–9 Apr 2022Newspoll-YouGov [37] Online150636%37%10%3%4%10%—47%53%
31 Mar–3 Apr 2022Resolve Strategic [38] Online168134%38%11%2%3%12%———
28 Mar–3 Apr 2022Roy Morgan [39] Telephone/online136733%39.5%11%3.5%1%12%—43%57%
31 Mar–3 Apr 2022Newspoll-YouGov [40] Online153136%38%10%3%3%10%—46%54%
30 Mar–2 Apr 2022Essential [41] Online108637%36%10%4%3%5%5%45%50%
30 Mar–2 Apr 2022 Ipsos [42] Telephone/online256331%35%10%4%2%8%7%42%51%
21–27 Mar 2022Roy Morgan [43] Online140433%35.5%12.5%3.5%1%14.5%—44.5%55.5%
14–16 Mar 2022Essential [17] Online160036%35%9%4%3%6% [d] 7%46%48%
14–20 Mar 2022Roy Morgan [44] Telephone/online141831%37.5%12%3%1%15.5%—42%58%
3–13 Mar 2022Roy Morgan [45] Telephone/online194733.5%37%11.5%3%1%14% [e] —44%56%
9–12 Mar 2022Newspoll-YouGov [46] Online152035%41%8%3%3%10%—45%55%
2–6 Mar 2022Essential [47] Online109336%35%10%3%3%4%7%44%49%
24 Feb–3 Mar 2022Roy Morgan [48] Telephone/online114134%37.5%11.5%3.5%1%12.5% [f] —43.5%56.5%
23–26 Feb 2022Newspoll-YouGov [49] Online152535%41%9%3%4%8%—45%55%
14–23 Feb 2022Roy Morgan [50] Telephone/online226132.5%37.5%12.5%3.5%1.5%12.5% [g] —43.5%56.5%
15–20 Feb 2022Resolve Strategic [51] Online160433%35%10%3%4%15%———
17–20 Feb 2022Essential [52] Online108935%38%9%5%3%4%6%45%49%
31 Jan–13 Feb 2022Roy Morgan [53] Telephone/online279633%38.5%11.5%4%1.5%11.5%—43%57%
9–12 Feb 2022Newspoll-YouGov [54] Online152634%41%8%3%—14%—45%55%
2–6 Feb 2022Essential [55] Online106937%35%9%4%2%5%8%46%47%
27–30 Jan 2022Newspoll-YouGov [56] Online152334%41%11%3%—11%—44%56%
17–30 Jan 2022Roy Morgan [57] Telephone/online278333%37.5%11.5%3.5%2%12.5%—43.5%56.5%
20–23 Jan 2022Essential [58] Online106236%37%8%3%—9%8%43%50%
4–16 Jan 2022Roy Morgan [59] Telephone/online279134.5%37%12%3%0.5%13%—44%56%
11–15 Jan 2022Resolve Strategic [60] Online160734%35%11%3%—17%———

2019–2021

DateBrandInterview modeSample
size		Primary vote 2pp vote
L/NP ALP GRN ONP OTHUND L/NP ALP
8–13 Dec 2021Essential [61] Online109536%36%9%4%6%8%45%47%
11–12, 18–19 Dec 2021Roy Morgan [62] [63] Telephone/online—34.5%37%11.5%4%13%—44.5%55.5%
1–5 Dec 2021Essential [64] Online109438%35%10%3%7%8%45%48%
27–28 Nov, 4–5 Dec 2021Roy Morgan [65] Telephone/online280534.5%36%12.5%3.5%13.5% [h] —43.5%56.5%
1–4 Dec 2021Newspoll-YouGov [66] Online151836%38%10%3%13%—47%53%
17–21 Nov 2021Essential [67] [68] Online109536%37%10%4%7%7%45%48%
17–21 Nov 2021Resolve Strategic [69] Online178139%32%11%3%14%———
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021Roy Morgan [70] Telephone/online279535.5%35.5%12%3.5%13.5%—44.5%55.5%
10–13 Nov 2021Newspoll-YouGov [71] Online152437%38%11%2%12%—47%53%
3–7 Nov 2021Essential [67] [68] Online108935%37%9%3%6%10%44%46%
30–31 Oct, 6–7 Nov 2021Roy Morgan [72] Telephone/online272336.5%35%11.5%3%14%—46.5%53.5%
20–24 Oct 2021Essential [73] Online178137%36%10%3%8%6%44%49%
20–24 Oct 2021Resolve Strategic [74] [75] Online~160037%34%11%3%14%———
16–17, 23–24 Oct 2021Roy Morgan [76] Telephone/online277836.5%35%13.5%3.5%11.5%—46%54%
20–23 Oct 2021Newspoll-YouGov [77] Online1515 [78] 35%38%11%3%13%—46%54%
6–10 Oct 2021Essential [73] Online109736%34%9%4%8%9%45%46%
2–3, 9–10 Oct 2021Roy Morgan [79] Telephone/online279437.5%36%11.5%3%12%—47%53%
29 Sep–2 Oct 2021Newspoll-YouGov [80] Online154537%37%11%2%13%—47%53%
22–26 Sep 2021Essential [73] Online109438%36%9%3%6%6%46%48%
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021Roy Morgan [81] Telephone/online275236%36%12.5%3.5%12%—46%54%
15–19 Sep 2021Resolve Strategic [82] Online160639%31%10%4%16%———
15–18 Sep 2021Newspoll-YouGov [83] Online214437%38%10%3%12%—47%53%
8–12 Sep 2021Essential [73] Online110038%34%8%4%8%8%46%46%
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021Roy Morgan [84] Telephone/online273539.5%35%13%3%10%—47.5%52.5%
25–29 Aug 2021Essential [73] Online110038%36%10%4%6%7%45%48%
21–22, 28–29 Aug 2021Roy Morgan [85] Telephone/online273537.5%38.5%11.5%3%9.5%—45.5%54.5%
25–28 Aug 2021Newspoll-YouGov [86] Online152836%40%10%3%11%—46%54%
17–21 Aug 2021Resolve Strategic [87] Online160740%32%12%2%14%———
16 Aug 2021Essential [73] Online—37%36%9%3%6%8%45%47%
7–8, 14–15 Aug 2021Roy Morgan [88] Telephone/online274737.5%37.5%12.5%3.5%9%—46%54%
4–7 Aug 2021Newspoll-YouGov [89] Online152739%39%11%3%8%—47%53%
2 Aug 2021Essential [73] Online—38%35%9%4%6%8%45%47%
24–25, 31 Jul–1 Aug 2021Roy Morgan [90] Telephone/online270937%37%12.5%3%10.5%—46.5%53.5%
19 Jul 2021Essential [91] Online—37%36%10%4%6%8%45%47%
10–11, 17–18 Jul 2021Roy Morgan [92] Telephone/online273739%37%11.5%3%9.5%—47.5%52.5%
13–17 Jul 2021Resolve Strategic [93] Online160738%35%12%4%12%———
14–17 Jul 2021Newspoll-YouGov [94] Online150639%39%10%3%9%—47%53%
5 Jul 2021Essential [91] Online—37%36%8%4%5%8%44%48%
23–26 Jun 2021Newspoll-YouGov [95] Online151341%37%11%3%8%—49%51%
22 Jun 2021Barnaby Joyce replaces Michael McCormack as National Party leader and Deputy Prime Minister [96]
21 Jun 2021Essential [91] Online—38%36%10%4%5%7%45%47%
12–13, 19–20 Jun 2021Roy Morgan [97] Telephone/online278241.5%34.5%12%3.5%8.5%—49.5%50.5%
13 Jun 2021Resolve Strategic [98] Online160040%36%10%3%12%———
7 Jun 2021Essential [91] Online—38%35%10%4%7%7%44%48%
29–30 May, 5–6 Jun 2021Roy Morgan [99] Telephone/online281740%35.5%11.5%3%10%—49%51%
2–5 Jun 2021Newspoll-YouGov [100] Online151641%36%11%3%9%—50%50%
24 May 2021Essential [91] Online—37%35%10%3%6%8%44%48%
12–16 May 2021Resolve Strategic [101] Online162239%35%12%2%13%———
12–15 May 2021Newspoll-YouGov [102] Online150641%36%12%2%9%—49%51%
10 May 2021Essential [91] Online—38%36%9%3%6%8%44%48%
26 Apr 2021Essential [91] Online—39%34%10%4%6%7%46%46%
21–24 Apr 2021Newspoll-YouGov [103] Online151441%38%10%3%8%—49%51%
16 Apr 2021Resolve Strategic [104] CATI/online200038%33%12%6%11%———
12 Apr 2021Essential [91] Online—37%36%10%3%7%7%45%48%
29 Mar 2021Essential [91] Online—39%36%8%3%7%7%46%47%
24–27 Mar 2021Newspoll-YouGov [105] Online151740%38%11%2%9%—48%52%
15 Mar 2021Essential [91] Online—38%34%9%3%8%7%47%47%
6–7, 13–14 Mar 2021Roy Morgan [106] Telephone/online274741%34.5%12.5%2.5%9.5%—49.5%50.5%
10–13 Mar 2021Newspoll-YouGov [107] Online152139%39%10%3%9%—48%52%
1 Mar 2021Essential [91] Online—37%34%9%4%8%7%45%48%
17–20 Feb 2021Newspoll-YouGov [108] Online150442%37%10%3%8%—50%50%
15 Feb 2021Essential [91] Online—39%35%8%4%7%6%47%47%
6–7, 13–14 Feb 2021Roy Morgan [109] Telephone/online278640%34.5%13%3.5%9%—49.5%50.5%
27 Jan–1 Feb 2021Essential [110] [111] Online109237%35%10%3%7%8%44%47%
27–30 Jan 2021Newspoll-YouGov [112] Online151242%36%10%3%9%—50%50%
18 Jan 2021Essential [110] Online—40%33%10%3%7%7%48%45%
14 Dec 2020Essential [110] Online—37%35%8%4%7%9%45%46%
30 Nov 2020Essential [110] Online—41%33%8%4%6%8%49%43%
25–28 Nov 2020Newspoll-YouGov [113] Online151143%36%11%2%8%—51%49%
16 Nov 2020Essential [110] Online—38%35%9%4%6%7%45%47%
14–15, 21–22 Nov 2020Roy Morgan [114] Telephone/online282442%34%12%4%8%—50.5%49.5%
4–7 Nov 2020Newspoll-YouGov [115] Online151043%35%11%3%8%—51%49%
2 Nov 2020Essential [110] Online—39%35%9%3%5%9%44%46%
14–19 Oct 2020Essential [116] Online—39%35%9%3%7%8%48%45%
12 Oct 2020Essential [116] Online—40%33%9%3%5%9%47%44%
8–10 Oct 2020Newspoll-YouGov [117] Online152744%34%11%3%8%—52%48%
5 Oct 2020Essential [116] Online—39%34%9%5%6%7%47%46%
21 Sep 2020Essential [116] Online—41%31%10%4%5%9%49%42%
16–19 Sep 2020Newspoll-YouGov [118] Online206843%34%12%3%8%—51%49%
7 Sep 2020Essential [116] Online—38%32%10%3%9%8%45%47%
26–29 Aug 2020Newspoll-YouGov [119] Online150741%36%11%3%9%—50%50%
24 Aug 2020Essential [116] Online—39%35%9%4%6%7%47%45%
10 Aug 2020Essential [116] Online—38%34%9%4%5%10%46%44%
8–9, 15–16 Aug 2020Roy Morgan [120] Telephone/online284146%32.5%11%3%7.5%—54%46%
5–8 Aug 2020Newspoll-YouGov [121] Online150943%33%11%4%9%—52%48%
23–26 Jul 2020Essential [122] Online105838%35%9%4%6%8%45%47%
11–12, 18–19 Jul 2020Roy Morgan [123] Telephone/online258943.5%33.5%11%2.5%9.5%—51.5%48.5%
15–18 Jul 2020Newspoll-YouGov [124] Online185044%34%10%4%8%—53%47%
13 Jul 2020Essential [122] Online105437%34%10%4%6%9%45%46%
29 Jun 2020Essential [122] Online107939%33%9%4%6%8%47%45%
24–27 Jun 2020Newspoll-YouGov [125] Online152142%35%11%3%9%—51%49%
22 Jun 2020Essential [122] Online107939%33%10%5%6%7%48%46%
13–14, 20–21 Jun 2020Roy Morgan [126] Telephone/online259342.5%34.5%10.5%4%8.5%—50.5%49.5%
15 Jun 2020Essential [122] Online108738%35%9%5%7%7%47%47%
8 Jun 2020 Essential [122] Online107340%33%9%4%6%8%47%45%
3–6 Jun 2020Newspoll-YouGov [127] Online151242%34%12%4%8%—51%49%
13–16 May 2020Newspoll-YouGov [128] Online150443%35%10%3%9%—51%49%
18–19, 25–26 Apr 2020 Roy Morgan [129] Telephone/online280643.5%33%11.5%3%9%—51.5%48.5%
22–25 Apr 2020Newspoll-YouGov [130] Online151941%36%12%4%7%—50%50%
1–3 Apr 2020Newspoll-YouGov [131] Online150842%34%13%5%6%—51%49%
11–14 Mar 2020Newspoll-YouGov [132] Online150140%36%12%4%8%—49%51%
27 Feb 2020 COVID-19 pandemic declared a national emergency [133]
19–22 Feb 2020Newspoll-YouGov [134] Online151338%34%13%4%11%—49%51%
20 Jan–3 Feb 2020 ANU [135] CATI/online324934.8%33.4%14.7%—10.5%———
4 Feb 2020Adam Bandt replaces Richard Di Natale as Greens leader [136]
29 Jan–1 Feb 2020Newspoll-YouGov [137] Online151038%35%13%4%10%—48%52%
8–11 Jan 2020Newspoll-YouGov [138] Online150540%36%12%4%8%—49%51%
4–8 Dec 2019Newspoll-YouGov [139] Online150342%33%11%5%9%—52%48%
21–23 Nov 2019Newspoll-YouGov [140] Online [141] 151941%33%12%5%9%—51%49%
7–10 Nov 2019Newspoll-YouGov [142] IVR/online168240%35%12%7%6%—50%50%
17–20 Oct 2019Newspoll-YouGov [143] IVR/online163442%33%13%6%6%—51%49%
26–29 Sep 2019Newspoll-YouGov [144] IVR/online165842%33%13%6%6%—51%49%
5–7 Sep 2019Newspoll-YouGov [145] IVR/online166143%35%12%5%5%—51%49%
15–18 Aug 2019Newspoll-YouGov [146] IVR/online162342%34%11%4%9%—51%49%
25–28 Jul 2019 Newspoll-YouGov [147] IVR/online160144%33%11%3%9%—53%47%
30 May 2019Anthony Albanese replaces Bill Shorten as Labor leader [148]
18 May 2019 Election [149] 41.44%33.34%10.4%3.08%11.74%—51.53%48.47%
  1. ↑ Includes ONP, UAP and independents
  2. ↑ 6% Independents, 4% Other
  3. ↑ 6% Independents
  4. ↑ 6% Independents
  5. ↑ 10.5% Independents, 3.5% Other
  6. ↑ 9% Independents, 3.5% Other
  7. ↑ 8.5% Independents, 4% Other
  8. ↑ 1% UAP, 12.5% Independents/Other

Polling for individual seats

Australian Capital Territory
DateBrandSeatSample sizePrimary vote 2PP vote
Lib ALP GRN Pocock Rubenstein ON UAP OTH Lib ALP
6 May 2022RedBridge [150] Senate 106425%27%11%21%6%—6%4%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Bean —24%44%11%——2%2%17%37%63%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Canberra —20%46%24%——1%1%8%28%72%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Fenner —30%46%18%——2%2%2%36%64%
6 Apr 2022RedBridge [152] Senate —25%37%14%11%——————
6 Apr 2022RedBridge [152] Senate —24%35%15%13%——————
New South Wales
DateBrandSeatSample sizePrimary vote 2PP vote
L/NP ALP IND GRN ON UAP OTH L/NP ALP IND GRN
17 May 2022Laidlaw Campaigns [153] Fowler 618—42%——————45%38%—
15 May 2022Industry Association [154] Robertson 800———————42%58%——
15 May 2022Industry Association [154] Reid 800———————47%53%——
15 May 2022Industry Association [154] Parramatta 800———————46%54%——
15 May 2022Industry Association [154] Gilmore 800———————44%56%——
15 May 2022Industry Association [154] Shortland 800———————43%57%——
15 May 2022Industry Association [154] Hunter 800———————49%51%——
15 May 2022Industry Association [154] Lindsay 800———————57%43%——
3–14 May 2022RedBridge [155] North Sydney 126733.3%17.8%23.5%————————
1–7 May 2022RedBridge [156] Wentworth 111736.0%11.7%33.3%6.2%—5.3%—————
6 May 2022Compass Polling [157] North Sydney 50740.5%21.6%13.6%12.9%3.0%1.4%6.1%54%46%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Banks —45%38% [note 1] 9%2%3%3%52%48%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Barton —36%49% [note 1] 9%2%3%3%41%59%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Bennelong —44%40% [note 1] 9%2%3%2%50%50%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Blaxland —29%50% [note 1] 13%3%5%—36%64%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Berowra —50%29% [note 1] 12%3%1%5%58%42%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Bradfield —49%30% [note 1] 11%2%3%5%58%42%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Calare —43%26% [note 1] 5%9%6%11%60%40%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Chifley —28%50% [note 1] 6%4%2%10%40%60%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Cook —55%29% [note 1] 7%4%5%—62%38%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Cowper —42%21% [note 1] 7%11%2%17%68%32%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Cunningham —29%46% [note 1] 15%3%6%1%37%63%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Dobell —36%42% [note 1] 9%4%6%3%46%54%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Eden-Monaro —35%44% [note 1] 7%3%2%9%43%57%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Farrer —48%21% [note 1] 7%9%5%10%73%27%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Fowler —28%50% [note 1] 7%5%6%4%38%62%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Gilmore —39%39% [note 1] 11%5%2%4%47%53%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Grayndler —20%53% [note 1] 20%1%1%5%—69%—31%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Greenway —38%44% [note 1] 8%3%2%5%47%53%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Hughes —42%31% [note 1] 6%2%5%14%56%44%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Hume —47%32% [note 1] 6%4%5%6%59%41%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Hunter —16%42% [note 1] 10%16%6%10%40%60%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Kingsford Smith —35%44% [note 1] 15%2%4%—41%59%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Lindsay —40%40% [note 1] 8%6%3%3%50%50%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Lyne —38%28% [note 1] 6%6%3%19%56%44%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Macarthur —28%51% [note 1] 8%7%4%2%38%62%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Mackellar —45%20% [note 1] 7%3%2%23%53%—47%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Macquarie —39%40% [note 1] 10%3%2%6%47%53%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] McMahon —35%39% [note 1] 7%5%5%5%44%56%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Mitchell —50%30% [note 1] 10%5%3%2%59%41%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] New England —40%21% [note 1] 6%10%3%20%68%32%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Newcastle —27%50% [note 1] 15%3%2%3%33%67%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] North Sydney —38%30% [note 1] 10%2%2%18%53%47%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Page —37%31% [note 1] 9%6%2%15%52%48%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Parkes —35%32% [note 1] 5%7%4%17%54%46%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Parramatta —37%47% [note 1] 7%3%2%4%43%57%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Paterson —30%47% [note 1] 7%10%3%3%42%58%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Reid —37%44% [note 1] 11%2%3%3%44%56%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Richmond —25%32% [note 1] 18%3%2%20%41%59%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Riverina —41%29% [note 1] 6%6%5%13%59%41%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Robertson —39%39% [note 1] 9%5%5%3%49%51%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Shortland —28%43% [note 1] 11%3%5%10%40%60%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Sydney —23%51% [note 1] 21%1%2%2%28%72%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Warringah —32%12% [note 1] 5%4%2%45%41%—59%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Watson —29%55% [note 1] 7%5%4%11%35%65%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Wentworth —48%16% [note 1] 5%3%2%26%56%—44%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Werriwa —36%41% [note 1] 7%4%5%7%47%53%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Whitlam —23%50% [note 1] 12%6%5%4%36%64%——
28 Apr 2022RedBridge [159] Parramatta —26.4%32.4% [note 1] 10.7%—7.2%11.9%45%55%——
28 Apr 2022RedBridge [159] Wentworth —36.6%16.2%24.3%7.0%—6.3%5.3%47%—53%—
11–12 Apr 2022Community Engagement [160] North Sydney 111437.4%17.4%19.4%8.7%—5.6%—————
7 Apr 2022uComms [161] Mackellar 83335.2%18.0%23.9%————————
20–21 Mar 2022KJC Research [162] Wentworth 103642%14%27%9%—3%4%49%—51%—
28 Jan 2022uComms [163] Wentworth 85035.6%18.6%27.7%7.5%———44%—56%—
28 Jan 2022uComms [163] North Sydney 85034.1%22.9%20%11.2%———————
Queensland
DateBrandSeatSample sizePrimary vote 2PP vote
LNP ALP GRN ON UAP OTH LNP ALP OTH
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Blair —30%36%12%11%4%7%46%54%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Bonner —46%32%15%4%3%—54%46%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Bowman —44%32%12%6%5%1%55%45%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Brisbane —36%29%28%2%3%2%46%54%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Capricornia —38%27%7%16%4%8%59%41%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Dawson —33%30%7%19%3%8%56%44%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Dickson —42%30%13%4%5%6%53%47%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Fadden —44%26%8%8%7%7%61%39%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Fairfax —45%24%15%7%4%5%58%42%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Fisher —42%28%15%6%6%3%55%45%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Flynn —33%32%5%16%8%6%54%46%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Forde —38%30%10%9%5%8%55%45%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Griffith —32%36%26%3%3%—40%60%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Groom —48%24%8%12%2%6%64%36%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Herbert —38%27%7%11%4%13%56%44%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Hinkler —44%27%7%14%3%5%60%40%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Kennedy —27%17%7%—6%43%38%—62%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Leichhardt —35%32%12%10%5%6%51%49%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Lilley —38%41%13%4%1%3%46%54%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Longman —36%38%6%11%2%7%50%50%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Maranoa —52%19%4%15%5%5%73%27%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] McPherson —42%25%17%6%6%4%56%44%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Moncrieff —48%23%9%7%7%6%64%34%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Moreton —36%38%18%2%4%2%44%56%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Oxley —33%46%12%6%3%—42%58%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Petrie —44%31%10%6%7%2%56%44%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Rankin —28%40%12%9%7%4%42%58%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Ryan —40%25%24%2%3%6%50%50%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Wide Bay —45%25%8%10%2%10%59%41%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Wright —35%22%10%20%9%4%56%44%—
28 Jan 2022United Workers Union [164] Dickson 120040%34%10%5%5%4%51%49%—
South Australia
DateBrandSeatSample sizePrimary vote 2PP vote
Lib ALP GRN IND ON UAP OTH Lib ALP OTH
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Adelaide —34%43%15% [note 1] 3%3%2%40%60%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Barker —48%26%6% [note 1] 8%6%6%62%38%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Boothby —37%38%11% [note 1] 2%1%11%47%53%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Grey —41%29%5% [note 1] 12%3%10%57%43%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Hindmarsh —34%43%13% [note 1] 3%3%4%42%58%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Kingston —28%52%9% [note 1] 3%3%5%36%64%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Makin —31%50%9% [note 1] 3%5%2%39%61%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Mayo —34%20%8% [note 1] 8%2%28%48%—52%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Spence —28%48%9% [note 1] 8%4%3%38%62%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Sturt —42%36%15% [note 1] 2%2%3%50%50%—
5 Apr 2022uComms [165] Senate 105232.2%36.1%11.6%8.2% [a] 3.9%2.7%3.2%———
30 Mar 2022uComms [166] Boothby 80133.9%36.3%11.4%8.6%4.8%3%—43%57%—
30 Mar 2022uComms [166] Sturt 80938.4%33%11.3%—5%4.1%—48%52%—
Western Australia
DateBrandSeatSample sizePrimary vote 2PP vote
Lib ALP GRN IND ON UAP OTH Lib ALP IND
16 May 2022Utting Research [167] Curtin 51438%13%9%32%3%4%48%—52%
15–16 May 2022YouGov [168] Pearce 41140%43%4%—1%2%9% [note 2] 47%53%—
12–13 May 2022Utting Research [169] Swan —39%38%10%—4%3%—47%53%—
12–13 May 2022Utting Research [169] Pearce —32%30%12%—7%6%—48%52%—
12–13 May 2022Utting Research [169] Hasluck —39%31%10%—9%6%—55%45%—
12–13 May 2022Utting Research [169] Tangney —47%35%8%—2%2%—54%46%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Brand —27%46%12% [note 1] 7%3%5%40%60%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [158] Curtin —41%24%15% [note 1] 3%3%14%56%44%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Burt —28%46%13% [note 1] 5%2%6%38%62%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Canning —39%33%8% [note 1] 6%1%13%53%47%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Cowan —31%46%13% [note 1] 5%2%3%41%59%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Durack —46%26%10% [note 1] 13%2%3%61%39%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Forrest —47%26%13% [note 1] 9%1%4%60%40%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Fremantle —33%43%15% [note 1] 3%2%4%41%59%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Hasluck —39%32%13% [note 1] 5%5%6%52%48%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Moore —45%32%11% [note 1] 3%3%6%55%45%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] O'Connor —50%26%10% [note 1] 9%1%4%61%39%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Pearce —39%37%12% [note 1] 5%2%5%48%52%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Perth —28%42%21% [note 1] 3%2%4%37%63%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Swan —34%42%13% [note 1] 4%3%4%43%57%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [151] Tangney —46%33%11% [note 1] 3%2%5%55%45%—
11–14 Mar 2022Utting Research [170] Curtin 71842%20%9%24%—2%—51%—49%
11–14 Mar 2022Utting Research [171] Tangney 75041%41%7%—2%2%8%50%50%—
11–14 Mar 2022Utting Research [171] Hasluck 75037%39%7%—4%3%10%48%52%—
11–14 Mar 2022Utting Research [171] Pearce 75034%44%5%—5%5%7%45%55%—
11–14 Mar 2022Utting Research [171] Swan 75032%46%7%—3%5%7%41%59%—

Preferred prime minister

Australian federal election polling - 47th parliament - preferred prime minister.svg
Preferred prime minister.
Australian federal election polling - 47th parliament - Scott Morrison satisfaction rating.svg
Satisfaction rating for prime minister Scott Morrison
Australian federal election polling - 47th parliament - Anthony Albanese satisfaction rating.svg
Satisfaction rating for opposition leader Anthony Albanese
Aggregate data of voting intention from all opinion polling since the last election. Local regression trends for each rating are shown as solid lines.
DateFirmInterview modeSample sizePreferred Prime Minister Morrison Albanese
MorrisonAlbaneseDon't KnowSatisfiedDissatisfiedDon't KnowSatisfiedDissatisfiedDon't Know
13–19 May 2022Newspoll-YouGov [13] Online218842%42%16%41%54%5%41%46%13%
15–18 May 2022 [14] Ipsos [14] Telephone/online199639%42%19%34%51%15%33%37%30%
12–17 May 2022Resolve Strategic [15] Telephone/online204940%36%24%——————
10–13 May 2022Newspoll-YouGov [19] Online153243%42%15%42%53%5%38%49%13%
4–7 May 2022Newspoll-YouGov [22] Telephone/online153844%42%14%41%55%4%41%47%12%
4–7 May 2022Ipsos [23] Telephone/Online231136%41%24%32%51%18%30%36%34%
27–30 Apr 2022Newspoll-YouGov [26] Telephone/online153845%39%17%44%51%5%40%49%12%
20–23 Apr 2022Newspoll-YouGov [29] Telephone/Online153846%37%17%42%54%4%38%50%12%
20–23 Apr 2022Ipsos [30] Telephone/Online230238%40%22%34%48%18%31%35%34%
17–20 Apr 2022Essential [31] Online105240%36%24%44%48%8%41%41%17%
11–16 Apr 2022Resolve Political Monitor [34] Online140438%30%32%44%47%9%35%44%21%
6–9 Apr 2022Newspoll-YouGov [37] Online150644%39%17%42%54%4%42%45%13%
31 Mar–3 Apr 2022Resolve Political MonitorOnline168136%37%15%39%53%8%38%42%20%
31 Mar–3 Apr 2022NewspollOnline153143%42%15%42%54%4%43%44%13%
31 Mar–2 Apr 2022IpsosTelephone/Online256337%38%25%33%48%19%30%32%38%
9–12 Mar 2022Newspoll-YouGov [46] Online152042%42%16%41%55%4%44%42%14%
23–26 Feb 2022Newspoll-YouGov [49] Online152542%40%18%43%55%2%44%43%13%
17–20 Feb 2022Essential [52] Online108940%35%25%44%49%7%43%40%17%
9–12 Feb 2022Newspoll-YouGov [54] Online152643%38%19%40%56%4%40%46%14%
27–30 Jan 2022Newspoll-YouGov [56] Online152343%41%16%39%58%3%43%43%14%
20–23 Jan 2022Essential [52] Online100142%35%23%46%46%8%39%39%22%
11–15 Jan 2022Resolve Political Monitor [172] Online160738%31%31%41%50%9%34%41%28%
1–4 Dec 2021Newspoll-YouGov [66] Online—45%36%19%44%52%4%39%45%16%
10–13 Nov 2021Newspoll-YouGov [71] Online—46%38%16%44%52%4%37%48%15%
20–23 Oct 2021Newspoll-YouGov [77] Online—48%34%18%46%50%4%37%46%17%
29 Sep–2 Oct 2021Newspoll-YouGov [80] Online154547%34%19%48%49%3%37%47%16%
15–18 Sep 2021Newspoll-YouGov [83] Online—47%35%18%46%50%4%37%48%15%
25–28 Aug 2021Newspoll-YouGov [86] Online152850%34%16%49%47%4%40%47%13%
4–7 Aug 2021Newspoll-YouGov [89] Online152749%36%15%47%49%4%38%46%16%
13–17 Jul 2021Resolve Political Monitor [93] CATI/online160045%24%31%45%46%9%30%46%24%
14–17 Jul 2021Newspoll-YouGov [94] Online150651%33%16%51%45%4%38%46%16%
6 Jul 2021Essential [173] Online109946%28%26%51%40%9%41%35%24%
23–26 Jun 2021Newspoll-YouGov [95] Online151353%33%14%55%41%4%40%45%15%
13 Jun 2021Resolve Political Monitor [98] CATI/online160046%23%31%48%41%11%31%44%25%
8 Jun 2021Essential [174] Online110448%28%24%57%36%8%39%36%24%
2–5 Jun 2021Newspoll-YouGov [100] Online151653%32%15%54%43%3%38%47%15%
12–16 May 2021Resolve Political Monitor [101] CATI/online162248%25%27%——————
12–15 May 2021Newspoll-YouGov [102] Online150655%30%15%58%38%4%39%46%15%
21–24 Apr 2021Newspoll-YouGov [103] Online151456%30%14%59%37%4%40%43%17%
16 Apr 2021Resolve Political Monitor [175] CATI/online200047%25%28%——————
12 Apr 2021Essential [176] Online136847%28%25%54%37%9%39%34%27%
24–27 Mar 2021Newspoll-YouGov [105] Online151752%32%16%55%40%5%42%40%18%
16, 30 Mar 2021Essential [177] [178] Online110052%26%22%57%35%8%41%32%27%
10–13 Mar 2021Newspoll-YouGov [107] Online152156%30%14%62%34%4%42%41%17%
17–20 Feb 2021Newspoll-YouGov [108] Online150461%26%13%64%32%4%38%45%17%
27–30 Jan 2021Newspoll-YouGov [112] Online151257%29%14%63%33%4%41%43%16%
15 Dec 2020Essential [179] Online107150%24%26%62%28%10%43%29%28%
25–28 Nov 2020Newspoll-YouGov [113] Online151160%28%12%66%30%4%44%41%15%
4–6 Nov 2020Newspoll-YouGov [115] Online151058%29%13%64%31%5%43%39%18%
8–10 Oct 2020Newspoll-YouGov [117] Online152757%28%15%65%31%4%39%43%18%
16–19 Sep 2020Newspoll-YouGov [118] Online206859%27%14%65%31%4%39%40%21%
26–29 Aug 2020Newspoll-YouGov [119] Online150758%29%13%64%32%4%43%41%16%
6–9 Aug 2020Essential [180] Online101052%22%26%66%23%11%44%30%26%
5–8 Aug 2020Newspoll-YouGov [121] Online150960%25%15%68%29%3%41%38%15%
15–18 Jul 2020Newspoll-YouGov [124] Online185059%26%15%68%27%5%41%40%19%
9–12 Jul 2020Essential [181] Online105450%27%23%63%27%10%44%28%28%
24–27 Jun 2020Newspoll-YouGov [125] Online152158%26%16%68%27%5%42%40%18%
3–6 Jun 2020Newspoll-YouGov [127] Online151256%26%18%66%29%5%41%38%21%
2 Jun 2020Essential [182] Online105953%23%24%65%26%9%43%30%27%
13–16 May 2020Newspoll-YouGov [128] Online150456%29%15%66%30%4%44%37%19%
5 May 2020Essential [183] Online109350%25%25%64%27%9%42%27%31%
22–25 Apr 2020Newspoll-YouGov [184] Online150856%28%16%68%28%4%45%34%21%

Sub-national polling

Some pollsters provided breakdowns of their polls by state, whilst others only poll a specific state. These results are listed by state below.

New South Wales

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
L/NP ALP GRN UAP ONP IND OTH L/NP ALP
12–17 May 2022Resolve Strategic [15] —39%28%14%3%6%8%2%52.2%47.8%
17 May 2022 Roy Morgan [18] ————————48%52%
10 May 2022Roy Morgan [185] ————————48.5%51.5%
3 May 2022Roy Morgan [186] ————————44%56%
30 Apr 2022Resolve Strategic [187] —30%41%12%3%6%4%3%41.6%58.4%
27 Apr 2022Roy Morgan [28] ————————45%55%
20 Apr 2022Roy Morgan [32] ————————46.5%53.5%
16 Apr 2022Resolve Strategic [187] —36%35%10%3%3%11%3%48%52%
11 Apr 2022Roy Morgan [188] ————————45%55%
4 Apr 2022Roy Morgan [189] ————————45%55%
3 Apr 2022Resolve Strategic [187] —36%36%11%5%1%8%3%47.2%52.8%
29 Mar 2022Roy Morgan [190] ————————47%53%
14-20 Mar 2022Roy Morgan [191] ————————42.5%57.5%
14-23 Feb 2022Roy Morgan [192] ————————43.5%56.5%
20 Feb 2022Resolve Strategic [187] —34%35%8%3%3%11%7%47.6%52.4%
18 Feb 2022Roy Morgan [193] ————————41%59%
12 Feb 2022NSW by-elections in Monaro, Bega, Strathfield & Willoughby [194]
4–16 Jan 2022Roy Morgan [59] ————————42%58%
15 Jan 2022Resolve Strategic [187] —38%36%10%2%0%11%4%47.9%52.1%
27–28 Nov, 4–5 Dec 2021Roy Morgan [65] ————————44.5%55.5%
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021Roy Morgan [70] ————————44.5%55.5%
20 Nov 2021Resolve Strategic [187] —41%29%11%3%2%12%2%53%47%
24 Oct 2021Resolve Strategic [187] —40%34%11%2%0%10%5%49.6%50.4%
5 Oct 2021 Gladys Berejiklian resigns as Premier of New South Wales [195]
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021Roy Morgan [81] ————————46.5%53.5%
19 Sep 2021Resolve Strategic [187] —43%31%10%3%2%6%5%46.6%53.4%
14 Jul – 18 Sep 2021 Newspoll [ citation needed ]205739%38%11%—1%—11%48%52%
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021Roy Morgan [84] ————————46%54%
21–22, 28–29 Aug 2021Roy Morgan [85] ————————47%53%
22 Aug 2021Resolve Strategic [187] —40%31%14%—3%9%3%50.8%49.2%
7–8, 14–15 Aug 2021Roy Morgan [196] ————————48%52%
24–25, 31 Jul – 1 Aug 2021Roy Morgan [90] ————————49%51%
10–11, 17–18 Jul 2021Resolve Strategic [93] —38%33%12%—1%—16%49.3%50.7%
10–11, 17–18 Jun 2021Roy Morgan[ citation needed ]————————49.5%50.5%
21 Apr – 26 Jun 2021Newspoll[ citation needed ]186142%37%11%—1%—9%50%50%
13 Jun 2021Resolve Strategic [197] —46%32%10%—1%—11%54.3%45.7%
29–30 May, 5–6 Jun 2021Roy Morgan[ citation needed ]————————49.5%50.5%
12–16 May 2021Resolve Strategic [101] —39%36%12%—1%—12%48.2%51.8%
16 Apr 2021Resolve Strategic [175] —41%29%12%—7%—11%53.5%46.5%
27 Jan – 27 Mar 2021Newspoll [198] 177942%36%11%—7%—10%50%50%
6–7, 13–14 Feb 2021Roy Morgan [199] 2786———————54%46%
26 Aug – 28 Nov 2020Newspoll [200] 230444%36%11%—1%—8%51%49%
14–15, 21–22 Nov 2020Roy Morgan [114] 2824———————53.5%46.5%
8–9, 15–16 Aug 2020Roy Morgan [120] 2841———————56.5%43.5%
3 Jun – 8 Aug 2020Newspoll [201] 457–203442%37%11%—1%—9%49%51%
11–12, 18–19 Jul 2020Roy Morgan [123] 2589———————52.5%47.5%
11 Mar – 16 May 2020Newspoll [202] 472–190542%36%11%—2%—9%50%50%
7–8 Dec 2019Newspoll [203] 930–147242%35%10%—2%—12%51%45%
Election: 18 May 2019 [204] 42.54%34.56%8.71%3.38%1.31%4.62%4.88%51.78%48.22%

Victoria

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
L/NP ALP GRN ONP UAP IND OTH ALP L/NP
12–17 May 2022Resolve Strategic [15] —35%32%14%3%4%6%6%52.1%47.9%
17 May 2022Roy Morgan [18] ————————57%43%
10 May 2022Roy Morgan [185] ————————61%39%
3 May 2022Roy Morgan [186] ————————63.5%36.5%
30 Apr 2022Resolve Strategic [187] —30%35%16%5%7%4%3%56%44%
27 Apr 2022Roy Morgan [28] ————————60%40%
20 Apr 2022Roy Morgan [32] ————————58%42%
16 Apr 2022Resolve Strategic [187] —35%32%12%1%7%7%6%51.3%48.7%
11 Apr 2022Roy Morgan [188] ————————58%42%
4 Apr 2022Roy Morgan [189] ————————60.5%39.5%
3 Apr 2022Resolve Strategic [187] —34%36%11%1%5%9%3%51.8%48.2%
29 Apr 2022Roy Morgan [190] ————————60%40%
14-20 Mar 2022Roy Morgan [191] ————————64%36%
14-23 Feb 2022Roy Morgan [192] ————————60%40%
20 Feb 2022Resolve Strategic [187] —31%31%11%0%7%13%6%52.7%47.3%
18 Feb 2022Roy Morgan [193] ————————57.5%42.5%
4–16 Jan 2022Roy Morgan [59] ————————59%41%
15 Jan 2022Resolve Strategic [187] —29%40%11%1%4%10%4%58.6%41.4%
27–28 Nov, 4–5 Dec 2021Roy Morgan [65] ————————58.5%41.5%
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021Roy Morgan [72] ————————58%42%
20 Nov 2021Resolve Strategic [187] —37%35%12%0%5%8%5%52.3%47.7%
30–31 Oct, 6–7 Nov 2021Roy Morgan [72] ————————55%45%
24 Oct 2021Resolve Strategic [187] —36%33%13%1%4%12%5%52.1%47.9%
19 Sep 2021Resolve Strategic [187] —38%33%11%2%2%10%5%50.6%49.4%
Jul – Sep 2021Resolve Strategic [205] —37%35%11%1%——15%51.9%48.1%
22 Aug 2021Resolve Strategic [187] —39%33%13%0%—11%5%50.7%49.3%
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021Roy Morgan [81] ————————56%44%
14 Jul – 18 Sep 2021Newspoll[ citation needed ]173135%42%12%0%——11%58%42%
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021Roy Morgan [84] ————————57%43%
21–22, 28–29 Aug 2021Roy Morgan [85] ————————59.5%40.5%
7–8, 14–15 Aug 2021Roy Morgan [185] ————————60%40%
24–25, 31 Jul – 1 Aug 2021Roy Morgan [90] ————————59.5%40.5%
10–11, 17–18 Jul 2021Resolve Strategic [93] —34%40%11%0%——13%56.3%43.7%
10–11, 17–18 Jun 2021Roy Morgan[ citation needed ]————————56.5%43.5%
21 Apr – 26 Jun 2021Newspoll[ citation needed ]153640%37%13%1%——9%53%47%
13 Jun 2021Resolve Strategic [197] —37%37%10%1%——15%52.6%47.6%
29–30 May, 5–6 Jun 2021Roy Morgan[ citation needed ]————————53.5%46.5%
12–16 May 2021Resolve Strategic [101] —41%34%12%0%——13%50%50%
16 Apr 2021Resolve Strategic [175] —33%34%12%6%——14%52%48%
27 Jan – 27 Mar 2021Newspoll [206] 150640%39%10%1%——10%53%47%
6–7, 13–14 Feb 2021Roy Morgan [199] 2786———————55%45%
26 Aug – 28 Nov 2020Newspoll [200] 216039%39%14%0%——8%55%45%
14–15, 21–22 Nov 2020Roy Morgan [114] 2824———————53.5%46.5%
8–9, 15–16 Aug 2020Roy Morgan [120] 2841———————52%48%
3 Jun – 8 Aug 2020Newspoll [201] 457–203437%40%14%1%——8%56%44%
11–12, 18–19 Jul 2020Roy Morgan [123] 2589———————53.5%46.5%
11 Mar – 16 May 2020Newspoll [202] 472–190539%40%13%1%——7%55%45%
7–8 Dec 2019Newspoll [203] 930–147240%38%12%1%——11%53%47%
Election: 18 May 2019 [204] 38.58%36.86%11.89%0.95%3.64%3.90%4.%53.14%46.86%

Queensland

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP UAP IND OTH L/NP ALP
12–17 May 2022Resolve Strategic [15] —31%28%17%11%6%4%3%48.5%51.5%
17 May 2022Roy Morgan [18] ————————53%47%
10 May 2022Roy Morgan [185] ————————53.5%46.5%
3 May 2022Roy Morgan [186] ————————56.5%43.5%
30 Apr 2022Resolve Strategic [187] —41%27%18%5%6%2%2%52.7%47.3%
27 Apr 2022Roy Morgan [28] ————————54.5%45.5%
20 Apr 2022Roy Morgan [32] ————————48.5%51.5%
16 Apr 2022Resolve Strategic [187] —34%31%13%10%2%10%1%49%51%
11 Apr 2022Roy Morgan [188] ————————49.5%50.5%
4 Apr 2022Roy Morgan [189] ————————49.5%50.5%
3 Apr 2022Resolve Strategic [187] —33%33%14%5%2%11%2%46.4%53.6%
29 Mar 2022Roy Morgan [190] ————————51%49%
14-20 Mar 2022Roy Morgan[ citation needed ]————————54.5%45.5%
14-23 Feb 2022Roy Morgan[ citation needed ]————————50%50%
20 Feb 2022Resolve Strategic [187] —33%33%13%9%3%7%2%46.4%53.6%
18 Feb 2022Roy Morgan [193] ————————48.5%51.5%
4–16 Jan 2022Roy Morgan [59] ————————51.5%48.5%
15 Jan 2022Resolve Strategic [187] —34%26%15%13%3%7%2%51.4%48.6%
27–28 Nov, 4–5 Dec 2021Roy Morgan [65] ————————45.5%54.5%
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021Roy Morgan [72] ————————48.5%51.5%
20 Nov 2021Resolve Strategic [187] —42%30%10%8%2%6%1%54.2%45.8%
30–31 Oct, 6–7 Nov 2021Roy Morgan [72] ————————53%47%
24 Oct 2021Resolve Strategic [187] —36%33%11%11%3%4%5%49.9%50.1%
19 Sep 2021Resolve Strategic [187] —38%32%10%10%4%5%1%51.8%48.2%
Jul – Sep 2021Resolve Strategic [205] —42%28%10%11%——9%55.7%44.3%
22 Aug 2021Resolve Strategic [187] —45%26%12%7%—8%3%57%43%
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021Roy Morgan [81] ————————52.5%47.5%
14 Jul – 18 Sep 2021Newspoll[ citation needed ]153642%33%9%8%——8%55%45%
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021Roy Morgan [84] ————————54%46%
21–22, 28–29 Aug 2021Roy Morgan [85] ————————53.5%46.5%
7–8, 14–15 Aug 2021Roy Morgan [196] ————————52%48%
24–25, 31 Jul – 1 Aug 2021Roy Morgan [90] ————————52%48%
10–11, 17–18 Jul 2021Resolve Strategic [93] —43%26%9%15%——6%58.1%41.9%
10–11, 17–18 Jun 2021Roy Morgan[ citation needed ]————————51.5%48.5%
21 Apr – 26 Jun 2021Newspoll[ citation needed ]124942%33%11%7%——7%53%47%
13 Jun 2021Resolve Strategic [197] —38%35%10%7%——10%49.6%50.4%
29–30 May, 5–6 Jun 2021Roy Morgan[ citation needed ]————————53%47%
12–16 May 2021Resolve Strategic [101] —41%30%12%7%——11%53%47%
16 Apr 2021Resolve Strategic [175] —38%30%11%8%——11%52%48%
27 Jan – 27 Mar 2021Newspoll [206] 127642%35%10%8%——5%53%47%
6–7, 13–14 Feb 2021Roy Morgan [199] 2786———————52%48%
26 Aug – 28 Nov 2020Newspoll [200] 187945%29%12%9%——5%57%43%
14–15, 21–22 Nov 2020Roy Morgan [114] 2824———————54.5%48.5%
31 Oct 2020 Annastacia Palaszczuk (Labor) wins the 2020 Queensland state election [207]
8–9, 15–16 Aug 2020Roy Morgan [120] 2841———————60%40%
3 Jun – 8 Aug 2020Newspoll [201] 457–203446%27%10%11%——6%59%41%
11–12, 18–19 Jul 2020Roy Morgan [123] 2589———————58%42%
11 Mar – 16 May 2020Newspoll [202] 472–190542%28%13%11%——6%56%44%
7–8 Dec 2019Newspoll [203] 930–147240%29%12%13%——6%55%45%
1 Sep 2019 YouGov Galaxy [ citation needed ]40%29%12%13%——6%55%45%
Election: 18 May 2019 [204] 43.70%26.68%10.32%8.86%3.51%1.27%5.66%58.44%41.56%

Western Australia

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP OTH L/NP ALP
17 May 2022Roy Morgan [18] ——————45.5%54.5%
10 May 2022Roy Morgan [185] ——————42.5%57.5%
3 May 2022Roy Morgan [186] ——————51%49%
27 Apr 2022Roy Morgan [28] ——————54.5%45.5%
20 Apr 2022Roy Morgan [32] ——————51%49%
11 Apr 2022Roy Morgan [188] ——————36.5%63.5%
4 Apr 2022Roy Morgan [189] ——————41%59%
29 Mar 2022Roy Morgan [190] ——————43%57%
14-20 Mar 2022Roy Morgan [191] ——————41%59%
14-23 Feb 2022Roy Morgan [192] ——————48%52%
18 Feb 2022Roy Morgan [193] ——————46.5%53.5%
4–16 Jan 2022Roy Morgan [59] ——————49%51%
27–28 Nov, 4–5 Dec 2021Roy Morgan [65] ——————49.5%50.5%
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021Roy Morgan [70] ——————46.5%53.5%
30–31 Oct, 6–7 Nov 2021Roy Morgan [72] ——————46.5%53.5%
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021Roy Morgan [81] ——————45.5%54.5%
14 Jul – 18 Sep 2021Newspoll[ citation needed ]60237%42%10%5%6%46%54%
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021Roy Morgan [84] ——————53%47%
21–22, 28–29 Aug 2021Roy Morgan [85] ——————49%51%
7–8, 14–15 Aug 2021Roy Morgan [196] ——————45.5%54.5%
24–25, 31 July–1 Aug 2021Roy Morgan [90] ——————51.5%48.5%
10–11, 17–18 Jul 2021Resolve Strategic [93] —33%39%21%2%6%40.8%59.2%
10–11, 17–18 Jun 2021Roy Morgan[ citation needed ]——————47.5%52.5%
21 Apr – 26 Jun 2021Newspoll[ citation needed ]62539%41%10%5%5%47%53%
13 Jun 2021Resolve Strategic [197] —33%40%15%4%8%42.5%57.5%
29–30 May, 5–6 Jun 2021Roy Morgan[ citation needed ]——————51%49%
12–16 May 2021Resolve Strategic [101] —44%38%11%3%3%49.9%50.1%
16 Apr 2021Resolve Strategic [175] —42%40%13%5%1%47.5%52.5%
27 Jan – 27 Mar 2021Newspoll [206] 62840%42%10%4%4%47%53%
Mark McGowan wins the 2021 Western Australian state election in a landslide [208]
6–7, 13–14 Feb 2021Roy Morgan [199] 2786—————49.5%50.5%
26 Aug – 28 Nov 2020Newspoll [200] 77943%32%13%7%5%53%47%
14–15, 21–22 Nov 2020Roy Morgan [114] 2824—————51%49%
8–9, 15–16 Aug 2020Roy Morgan [120] 2841—————53.5%46.5%
3 Jun – 8 Aug 2020Newspoll [201] 457–203445%31%13%8%3%54%46%
11–12, 18–19 Jul 2020Roy Morgan [123] 2589—————53.5%46.5%
11 Mar – 16 May 2020Newspoll [202] 472–190544%31%12%9%4%55%45%
Election: 18 May 2019 [204] 43.79%29.80%11.62%5.31%9.48%55.55%44.45%

South Australia

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP OTH ALP L/NP
17 May 2022Roy Morgan [18] ——————49%51%
10 May 2022Roy Morgan [185] ——————62.5%37.5%
3 May 2022Roy Morgan [186] ——————62.5%37.5%
27 Apr 2022Roy Morgan [28] ——————61.5%38.5%
20 Apr 2022Roy Morgan [32] ——————58%42%
11 Apr 2022Roy Morgan [188] ——————53%47%
4 Apr 2022Roy Morgan [189] ——————56%44%
29 Mar 2022Roy Morgan [190] ——————63.5%36.5%
14-20 Mar 2022Roy Morgan [191] ——————60.5%39.5%
Peter Malinauskas wins the 2022 South Australia State Election [209]
14-23 Feb 2022Roy Morgan [192] ——————59.5%41.5%
18 Feb 2022Roy Morgan [193] ——————59.5%40.5%
4–16 Jan 2022Roy Morgan [59] ——————60.5%39.5%
27–28 Nov, 4–5 Dec 2021Roy Morgan [65] ——————64.5%35.5%
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021Roy Morgan [70] ——————55.5%44.5%
30–31 Oct, 6–7 Nov 2021Roy Morgan [72] ——————57.5%42.5%
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021Roy Morgan [81] ——————58.5%41.5%
14 Jul – 18 Sep 2021Newspoll[ citation needed ]47240%38%11%1%10%53%47%
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021Roy Morgan [84] ——————51.5%48.5%
21–22, 28–29 Aug 2021Roy Morgan [85] ——————57.5%42.5%
7–8, 14–15 Aug 2021Roy Morgan [185] ——————54.5%45.5%
24–25, 31 Jul – 1 Aug 2021Roy Morgan [90] ——————55.5%44.5%
10–11, 17–18 Jun 2021Roy Morgan[ citation needed ]——————51%49%
29–30 May, 5–6 Jun 2021Roy Morgan[ citation needed ]——————49.5%50.5%
21 Apr – 26 Jun 2021Newspoll[ citation needed ]47337%39%10%2%12%54%46%
27 Jan – 27 Mar 2021Newspoll [206] 51738%41%10%0%11%55%45%
6–7, 13–14 Feb 2021Roy Morgan [199] 2786—————49.5%50.5%
26 Aug – 28 Nov 2020Newspoll [200] 60044%36%10%1%9%49%51%
14–15, 21–22 Nov 2020Roy Morgan [114] 2824—————52%48%
8–9, 15–16 Aug 2020Roy Morgan [120] 2841—————42.5%57.5%
3 Jun – 8 Aug 2020Newspoll [201] 457–203443%36%10%0%11%50%50%
11–12, 8–19 Jul 2020Roy Morgan [123] 2589—————47%53%
11 Mar – 16 May 2020Newspoll [202] 472–190540%37%12%0%11%53%47%
Election: 18 May 2019 [204] 40.57%35.38%9.61%0.84%13.60%50.71%49.29%

Tasmania

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote 2PP vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP OTH ALP L/NP
17 May 2022Roy Morgan [18] ——————58%42%
10 May 2022Roy Morgan [185] ——————40%60%
3 May 2022Roy Morgan [186] ——————57.5%42.5%
27 Apr 2022Roy Morgan [28] ——————64.5%35.5%
20 Apr 2022Roy Morgan [32] ——————61%39%
11 Apr 2022Roy Morgan [188] ——————69%31%
4 Apr 2022Roy Morgan [189] ——————74%26%
29 Mar 2022Roy Morgan [190] ——————53%47%
14-20 Mar 2022Roy Morgan [191] ——————60%40%
14-23 Feb 2022Roy Morgan [192] ——————75%25%
18 Feb 2022Roy Morgan [193] ——————65%35%
4–16 Jan 2022Roy Morgan [59] ——————60.5%39.5%
27–28 Dec, 4–5 Dec 2021Roy Morgan [65] ——————51.5%48.5%
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021Roy Morgan [70] ——————53%47%
30–31 Oct, 6–7 Nov 2021Roy Morgan [72] ——————57.5%42.5%
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021Roy Morgan [81] ——————52%48%
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021Roy Morgan [84] ——————55.5%44.5%
21–22, 28–29 Aug 2021Roy Morgan [85] ——————63.5%36.5%
7–8, 14–15 Aug 2021Roy Morgan [185] ——————57%43%
24–25, 31 July − 1 Aug 2021Roy Morgan [90] ——————54%46%
10–11, 17–18 Jun 2021Roy Morgan[ citation needed ]——————58%42%
14–15, 21–22 Nov 2020[ citation needed ]2824—————48%52%
11–12, 18–19 Jul 2020Roy Morgan [123] 2589—————58%42%
Election: 18 May 2019 [204] 34.60%33.61%10.12%2.79%18.88%55.96%44.04%

Government approval rating

Individual polls

DateFirmRight
direction		Wrong
direction		Can't
say		GCR [210] Lead
14-20 Mar 2022Roy Morgan [191] 33.5%50.5%16%83-17%
14-23 Feb 2022Roy Morgan [192] 35%47%18%88-12%
18 Feb 2022Roy Morgan [193] 35%48.5%16.5%86.5-13.5%
4–16 Jan 2022Roy Morgan [59] 34%51%15%83-17%
27–28 Nov, 4–5 Dec 2021Roy Morgan [65] 38%46.5%15.5%91.5-8.5%
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021Roy Morgan [79] 39.5%46%14.5%93.5-6.5%
2–3, 9–10 Oct 2021Roy Morgan [79] 40%45%15%95-5%
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021Roy Morgan [81] 40%44%16%96-4%
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021Roy Morgan [84] 40%45.5%14.5%94.5-5.5%
6–7, 13–14 Feb 2021Roy Morgan53.5%30%16.5%123.5+23.5%
8–9, 15–16 Aug 2020Roy Morgan48%34%18%114+14%
11–12, 18–19 Jul 2020Roy Morgan [123] 49%34.5%16.5%114.5+14.5%
13–14, 23–24 Jun 2020Roy Morgan [123] 53.5%29.5%17%124+24%
16–17, 23–24 May 2020Roy Morgan54.5%29.5%16%125+25%
18–19, 25–26 Apr 2020Roy Morgan [129] 51.5%27.5%21%124+24%
29 Feb – 1 Mar, 7–8 Mar 2020Roy Morgan [129] 37%47%16%90–10%
22–23, 29–30 Jun 2019Roy Morgan [211] 43.5%39%17.5%104.5+4.5%

National direction polling

Individual polls

DateFirmRight
direction		Wrong
direction		Can't
say		Lead
07 Dec 2021

Morning Consult [212]

53%47%0%+6%
05 Nov 2021

Morning Consult [212]

54%46%0%+8%
07 Oct 2021

Morning Consult [212]

51%49%0%+2%
21 Sep 2021

Morning Consult [212]

53%47%0%+6%
01 Sep 2021

Morning Consult [212]

49%51%0%-2%
16 Aug 2021

Morning Consult [212]

51%49%0%+2%
24 Jul 2021

Morning Consult [212]

52%48%0%+4%
01 Jul 2021

Morning Consult [212]

56%44%0%+12%
18 Jun 2021

Morning Consult [212]

60%40%0%+20%
10 Mar 2021

Morning Consult [212]

63%37%0%+26%
18 Feb 2021

Morning Consult [212]

61%39%0%+22%
30 Jan 2021

Morning Consult [212]

65%35%0%+30%
07 Jan 2021

Morning Consult [212]

61%39%0%+22%
08 Dec 2020

Morning Consult [212]

68%32%0%+36%
03 Nov 2020

Morning Consult [212]

61%39%0%+22%
04 Oct 2020

Morning Consult [212]

59%41%0%+18%
05 Sep 2020

Morning Consult [212]

53%47%0%+6%
26 Aug 2020

Morning Consult [212]

59%41%0%+18%
10 Aug 2020

Morning Consult [212]

51%49%0%+2%
12 Jul 2020

Morning Consult [212]

56%44%0%+12%
13 Jun 2020

Morning Consult [212]

60%40%0%+20%
06 Jun 2020

Morning Consult [212]

57%42%1%+15%
31 May 2020

Morning Consult [212]

63%37%0%+26%
21 May 2020

Morning Consult [212]

62%38%0%+24%
14 May 2020

Morning Consult [212]

60%40%0%+20%
5 May 2020

Morning Consult [213]

62%38%0%+24%
25 Apr 2020

Morning Consult [213]

57%42%1%+15%
18 Apr 2020

Morning Consult [213]

56%43%1%+13%
09 Apr 2020

Morning Consult [213]

51%49%0%+2%
02 Apr 2020

Morning Consult [213]

46%54%0%-8%
27 Mar 2020

Morning Consult [213]

42%57%1%-15%
20 Mar 2020

Morning Consult [213]

39%61%0%-22%
14 Mar 2020

Morning Consult [213]

38%62%0%-24%
07 Mar 2020

Morning Consult [213]

39%61%0%-22%
01 Mar 2020

Morning Consult [213]

41%59%0%-18%
20 Feb 2020

Morning Consult [213]

39%61%0%-22%
13 Feb 2020

Morning Consult [213]

40%60%0%-20%
07 Feb 2020

Morning Consult [213]

38%62%0%-24%
31 Jan 2020

Morning Consult [213]

40%60%0%-20%
22 Jan 2020

Morning Consult [213]

39%61%0%-22%
15 Jan 2020

Morning Consult [213]

37%63%0%-26%
06 Jan 2020

Morning Consult [213]

37%63%0%-26%

See also

Notes

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The 2022 Victorian state election was held on Saturday, 26 November 2022 to elect the 60th Parliament of Victoria. All 88 seats in the Legislative Assembly and all 40 seats in the Legislative Council were up for election at the time the writs were issued, however the election in the district of Narracan was deferred due to the death of a candidate.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2023 New South Wales state election</span>

The 2023 New South Wales state election was held on 25 March 2023 to elect the 58th Parliament of New South Wales, including all 93 seats in the Legislative Assembly and 21 of the 42 seats in the Legislative Council. The election was conducted by the New South Wales Electoral Commission (NSWEC).

In the lead-up to the next Australian federal election, a number of polling companies are conducting opinion polls for various news organisations. These polls collect data on parties' primary vote, and contain an estimation of the two-party-preferred lead.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2026 Victorian state election</span> Election for the 61st Parliament of Victoria

The 2026 Victorian state election is expected to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect the 61st Parliament of Victoria. All 88 seats in the Legislative Assembly and all 40 seats in the Legislative Council will be up for election, presuming there are no new electorates added in a redistribution.

Opinion polling on whether to change the Australian Constitution to establish an Indigenous Voice has been conducted since 2017, when Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander leaders petitioned for such an amendment as part of the Uluru Statement from the Heart. The number of these polls conducted grew substantially following Labor's victory in the 2022 federal election; the party had committed to holding the referendum required for this constitutional change in its first term of government.

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