Division of Robertson

Last updated

Robertson
Australian House of Representatives Division
Division of ROBERTSON 2016.png
Division of Robertson in New South Wales, as of the 2016 federal election
Created1901
MP Gordon Reid
Party Labor
Namesake Sir John Robertson
Electors 112,688 (2022)
Area980 km2 (378.4 sq mi)
DemographicProvincial

The Division of Robertson is an Australian electoral division in the state of New South Wales.

Contents

Geography

Federal electoral division boundaries in Australia have been determined since 1984, at redistributions by a redistribution committee appointed by the Australian Electoral Commission. Redistributions occur for the boundaries of divisions in a particular state, and they occur every seven years, or sooner if a state's representation entitlement changes or when divisions of a state are malapportioned. [1]

History

Sir John Robertson, the division's namesake Sir John Robertson.jpg
Sir John Robertson, the division's namesake

The division was proclaimed at Federation in 1900, and was one of the original 65 divisions to be contested at the first federal election in 1901. The division was named for the fifth Premier of New South Wales, Sir John Robertson.

The Division of Robertson was originally anchored in rural central NSW, encompassing the area around Dubbo, Mudgee and Wellington.

It moved eastward to take in Gosford in 1913, and since then it has been moved further eastward in successive redistributions. By 1969, it had moved to approximately its current position on the Central Coast, immediately north of the Hawkesbury River, and now includes none of its original territory. Nonetheless, it has retained the name of Robertson, in part because the Australian Electoral Commission is required to preserve the names of original electorates where possible. [2]

Robertson encompasses the towns of Woy Woy, Gosford and Terrigal.

Two of its members have served as Senators prior or subsequent to their tenures on Robertson. Former Senator Belinda Neal was elected in Robertson in 2007 and Deborah O'Neill became a Senator shortly after losing Robertson in 2013.

In recent years, Robertson has been a bellwether electorate in federal elections, taking on a character similar to mortgage belt seats on Sydney's outer fringe. It has been held by a member of the party of government since the 1983 federal election. In addition, after Mike Kelly became the first opposition MP elected to represent Eden-Monaro (in 2016) since 1975, Robertson currently holds the record for the longest-running bellwether seat in Australia.

The current Member for Robertson, since the 2022 federal election, is Gordon Reid, a member of the Australian Labor Party.

The new bellwether

Ahead of the 2016 election, ABC psephologist Antony Green listed Robertson in his election guide as one of eleven which he classed as "bellwether" electorates. Prior to the 2016 election, the seat of Eden-Monaro was long regarded as Australia's most famous bellwether. From the 1972 election until the 2013 election – over 40 years – Eden-Monaro was won by the party that also won government. No longer the nation's famous bellwether seat after the Labor opposition won it at the 2016 election, the nation's new longest-running bellwether is Robertson – continually won by the party that won government since the 1983 election. [3] This trend in Robertson would continue in the 2022 election, with Labor winning the seat and Government.

Members

ImageMemberPartyTermNotes
  Henry Willis.jpg Henry Willis
(1860–1950)		 Free Trade 29 March 1901 –
1906		Lost seat. Later elected to the New South Wales Legislative Assembly seat of Upper Hunter in 1910
  Anti-Socialist 1906 –
26 May 1909
  Commonwealth Liberal 26 May 1909 –
13 April 1910
  William Johnson.jpg William Johnson
(1871–1916)		 Labor 13 April 1910 –
31 May 1913 		Lost seat
  William Fleming.jpg William Fleming
(1874–1961)		 Commonwealth Liberal 31 May 1913 –
17 February 1917		Previously held the New South Wales Legislative Assembly seat of Upper Hunter. Lost seat
  Nationalist 17 February 1917 –
March 1921
  Country March 1921 –
16 December 1922
  Sydney Gardner.jpg Sydney Gardner
(1884–1965)		 Nationalist 16 December 1922 –
7 May 1931		Served as Chief Government Whip in the House under Lyons. Lost seat
  United Australia 7 May 1931 –
21 September 1940
  Eric Sydney Spooner (cropped).jpg Eric Spooner
(1891–1952)		 United Australia 21 September 1940 –
21 August 1943 		Previously held the New South Wales Legislative Assembly seat of Ryde and served as Deputy Leader of the United Australia Party in NSW. Served as minister under Menzies and Fadden. Lost seat
  Thomas Williams.jpg Thomas Williams
(1897–1992)		 Labor 21 August 1943 –
10 December 1949 		Lost seat
  Roger Levinge Dean.jpg Roger Dean
(1913–1998)		 Liberal 10 December 1949 –
30 September 1964		Resigned to become Administrator of the Northern Territory
  WilliamBridges-Maxwell1965.jpg William Bridges-Maxwell
(1929–1992)		 Liberal 5 December 1964 –
25 October 1969 		Lost seat
  Barry Cohen 1970.png Barry Cohen
(1935–2017)		 Labor 25 October 1969 –
19 February 1990 		Served as minister under Hawke. Retired
  Second Keating Cabinet 1994 (cropped Walker).png Frank Walker
(1942–2012)		 Labor 24 March 1990 –
2 March 1996 		Previously held the New South Wales Legislative Assembly seat of Georges River. Served as minister under Keating. Lost seat
  No image.svg Jim Lloyd
(1954–)		 Liberal 2 March 1996 –
24 November 2007 		Served as Chief Government Whip in the House under Howard. Served as minister under Howard. Lost seat
  No image.svg Belinda Neal
(1963–)		 Labor 24 November 2007 –
19 July 2010 		Previously a member of the Senate. Lost preselection and retired
  Deborah O'Neill - Portrait.jpg Deborah O'Neill
(1961–)		 Labor 21 August 2010 –
7 September 2013 		Lost seat. Later appointed to the Senate in 2013
  No image.svg Lucy Wicks
(1973–)		 Liberal 7 September 2013 –
21 May 2022 		Lost seat
  No image.svg Gordon Reid
(1992–)		 Labor 21 May 2022 –
present		Incumbent

Election results

Graphical summary

Two-party-preferred vote results in Robertson
This section is an excerpt from Results of the 2022 Australian federal election in New South Wales § Robertson.[ edit ]
2022 Australian federal election: Robertson [4]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Liberal Lucy Wicks 38,44839.96−6.90
Labor Gordon Reid 36,23137.66+3.56
Greens Shelly McGrath9,64210.02+2.11
One Nation Billy O'Grady3,6793.82+3.82
United Australia Barbara-Jane Murray2,7922.90+0.09
Animal Justice Patrick Murphy1,9492.03−0.05
Indigenous-Aboriginal Jeffrey Lawson1,1271.17+1.17
Informed Medical Options Kate Mason1,1141.16+1.16
Liberal Democrats Bentley Logan7360.76+0.76
Australian Citizens Paul Borthwick2720.28+0.28
Australian Federation Alexandra Hafner2200.23+0.23
Total formal votes96,21093.88+1.12
Informal votes6,2746.12−1.12
Turnout 102,48491.07−2.10
Two-party-preferred result
Labor Gordon Reid 50,27752.26+6.50
Liberal Lucy Wicks 45,93347.74−6.50
Labor gain from Liberal Swing +6.50

Referendum and plebiscite results

Same-sex marriage survey, 2017 [5]
ChoiceVotes %
Check-71-128-204-brightblue.svg Yes58,68965.72
No30,61434.28
Valid votes89,30399.74
Invalid or blank votes2310.26
Total votes89,534100.00
Registered voters/turnout109,96581.42
Australian republic referendum, 1999 [6]
ChoiceVotes %
Light brown x.svg No43,99156.02
Yes34,53343.98
Valid votes78,52499.24
Invalid or blank votes6020.76
Total votes79,126100.00
Registered voters/turnout82,61895.77
Preamble to the Constitution referendum, 1999 [7]
ChoiceVotes %
Light brown x.svg No46,45459.22
Yes31,99140.78
Valid votes78,44599.12
Invalid or blank votes6960.8
Total votes79,141100.00
Registered voters/turnout82,61895.79
1988 Australian referendum (Rights and Freedoms) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Light brown x.svg No47,90870.32
Yes20,21629.68
Valid votes68,12498.74
Invalid or blank votes8681.26
Total votes68,992100.00
Registered voters/turnout73,67693.64
1988 Australian referendum (Local Government) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Light brown x.svg No46,58768.23
Yes21,69031.77
Valid votes68,27798.96
Invalid or blank votes7151.04
Total votes68,992100.00
Registered voters/turnout73,67693.64
1988 Australian referendum (Fair Elections) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Light brown x.svg No43,48763.69
Yes24,79336.31
Valid votes68,28098.97
Invalid or blank votes7121.03
Total votes68,992100.00
Registered voters/turnout73,67693.64
1988 Australian referendum (Parliamentary Terms) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Light brown x.svg No46,07867.47
Yes22,21432.53
Valid votes68,29298.99
Invalid or blank votes7001.01
Total votes68,992100.00
Registered voters/turnout73,67693.64
1984 Australian referendum (Interchange of Powers) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Check-71-128-204-brightblue.svg Yes29,69151.62
No27,82948.38
Valid votes57,52093.85
Invalid or blank votes3,7716.15
Total votes61,291100.00
Registered voters/turnout64,36795.22
1984 Australian referendum (Terms of Senators) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Check-71-128-204-brightblue.svg Yes32,48855.33
No26,22444.67
Valid votes58,71295.79
Invalid or blank votes2,5794.21
Total votes61,291100.00
Registered voters/turnout64,36795.22
1977 Australian referendum (Retirement of Judges) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Check-71-128-204-brightblue.svg Yes74,65486.84
No11,31213.16
Valid votes85,96698.73
Invalid or blank votes1,1041.27
Total votes87,070100.00
Registered voters/turnout92,28794.35
1977 Australian referendum (Referendums) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Check-71-128-204-brightblue.svg Yes73,70585.73
No12,27114.27
Valid votes85,97698.74
Invalid or blank votes1,0941.26
Total votes87,070100.00
Registered voters/turnout92,28794.35
1977 Australian referendum (Senate Casual Vacancies) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Check-71-128-204-brightblue.svg Yes71,95283.66
No14,05616.34
Valid votes86,00898.78
Invalid or blank votes1,0621.22
Total votes87,070100.00
Registered voters/turnout92,28794.35
1977 Australian referendum (Simultaneous Elections) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Check-71-128-204-brightblue.svg Yes63,71974.13
No22,23525.87
Valid votes85,95498.72
Invalid or blank votes1,1161.28
Total votes87,070100.00
Registered voters/turnout92,28794.35
1974 Australian referendum (Local Government Bodies) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Check-71-128-204-brightblue.svg Yes40,39554.41
No33,85245.59
Valid votes74,24798.25
Invalid or blank votes1,3221.75
Total votes75,569100.00
Registered voters/turnout78,32696.48
1974 Australian referendum (Democratic Elections) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Check-71-128-204-brightblue.svg Yes40,63854.59
No33,80645.41
Valid votes74,44498.51
Invalid or blank votes1,1251.49
Total votes75,569100.00
Registered voters/turnout78,32696.48
1974 Australian referendum (Mode of Altering the Constitution) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Check-71-128-204-brightblue.svg Yes40,73954.72
No33,70645.28
Valid votes74,44598.51
Invalid or blank votes1,1241.49
Total votes75,569100.00
Registered voters/turnout78,32696.48
1974 Australian referendum (Simultaneous Elections) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Check-71-128-204-brightblue.svg Yes40,67554.65
No33,75845.35
Valid votes74,43398.50
Invalid or blank votes1,1361.50
Total votes75,569100.00
Registered voters/turnout78,32696.48
1973 Australian referendum (Incomes) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Light brown x.svg No37,03853.00
Yes32,84347.00
Valid votes69,88198.78
Invalid or blank votes8621.22
Total votes70,743100.00
Registered voters/turnout76,09792.96
1973 Australian referendum (Prices) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Check-71-128-204-brightblue.svg Yes37,80253.96
No32,24846.04
Valid votes70,05099.02
Invalid or blank votes6930.98
Total votes70,743100.00
Registered voters/turnout76,09792.96
1967 Australian referendum (Aboriginals) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Check-71-128-204-brightblue.svg Yes56,08892.31
No4,6737.69
Valid votes60,76198.67
Invalid or blank votes8191.33
Total votes61,580100.00
Registered voters/turnout65,47094.06
1967 Australian referendum (Parliament) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Check-71-128-204-brightblue.svg Yes31,06251.11
No29,71448.89
Valid votes60,77698.69
Invalid or blank votes8041.31
Total votes61,580100.00
Registered voters/turnout65,47094.06
1951 Australian Communist Party ban referendum [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Light brown x.svg No22,71352.88
Yes20,24147.12
Valid votes42,95498.57
Invalid or blank votes6211.43
Total votes43,575100.00
Registered voters/turnout45,41795.94
1948 Australian rents and prices referendum [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Light brown x.svg No43,56861.98
Yes26,72738.02
Valid votes70,29598.21
Invalid or blank votes1,2841.79
Total votes71,579100.00
Registered voters/turnout75,81694.41
1946 Australian referendum (Industrial Employment) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Check-71-128-204-brightblue.svg Yes31,83551.90
No29,50848.10
Valid votes61,34391.49
Invalid or blank votes5,7078.51
Total votes67,050100.00
Registered voters/turnout71,47793.81
1946 Australian referendum (Marketing) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Check-71-128-204-brightblue.svg Yes32,59651.82
No30,30648.18
Valid votes62,90293.81
Invalid or blank votes4,1486.19
Total votes67,050100.00
Registered voters/turnout71,47793.81
1946 Australian referendum (Social Services) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Check-71-128-204-brightblue.svg Yes34,08553.76
No29,31846.24
Valid votes63,40394.56
Invalid or blank votes3,6475.44
Total votes67,050100.00
Registered voters/turnout71,47793.81
1944 Australian Post-War Reconstruction and Democratic Rights referendum [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Light brown x.svg No34,13856.90
Yes25,85443.10
Valid votes59,99298.78
Invalid or blank votes7391.22
Total votes60,731100.00
Registered voters/turnout63,80695.18
1937 Australian referendum (Marketing) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Light brown x.svg No30,17863.74
Yes17,17136.26
Valid votes47,34992.54
Invalid or blank votes3,8187.46
Total votes51,167100.00
Registered voters/turnout54,15794.48
1937 Australian referendum (Aviation) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Light brown x.svg No25,82252.47
Yes23,39047.53
Valid votes49,21296.18
Invalid or blank votes1,9553.82
Total votes51,167100.00
Registered voters/turnout54,15794.48
1928 Australian referendum (State Debts) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Check-71-128-204-brightblue.svg Yes26,51271.50
No10,56828.50
Valid votes37,08095.00
Invalid or blank votes1,9535.00
Total votes39,033100.00
Registered voters/turnout41,57193.89
1926 Australian referendum (Essential Services) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Check-71-128-204-brightblue.svg Yes21,22160.70
No13,73939.30
Valid votes34,96095.18
Invalid or blank votes1,7724.82
Total votes36,732100.00
Registered voters/turnout40,03091.76
1926 Australian referendum (Industry and Commerce) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Check-71-128-204-brightblue.svg Yes22,24962.33
No13,44737.67
Valid votes35,69697.1
Invalid or blank votes1,0362.82
Total votes36,732100.00
Registered voters/turnout40,03091.76
1919 Australian referendum (Monopolies) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Light brown x.svg No12,48869.01
Yes5,60830.99
Valid votes18,09682.96
Invalid or blank votes3,71717.04
Total votes21,813100.00
Registered voters/turnout33,20665.72
1919 Australian referendum (Legislative Powers) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Light brown x.svg No13,41266.98
Yes6,61333.02
Valid votes20,02591.80
Invalid or blank votes1,7888.20
Total votes21,813100.00
Registered voters/turnout33,20665.72
1917 Australian conscription referendum [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Light brown x.svg No15,79266.14
Yes8,08433.86
Valid votes23,87697.61
Invalid or blank votes5852.39
Total votes24,461100.00
Registered voters/turnout32,40175.49
1916 Australian conscription referendum [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Light brown x.svg No16,97863.62
Yes9,70736.38
Valid votes26,68597.29
Invalid or blank votes7442.71
Total votes27,429100.00
Registered voters/turnout33,25482.48
1913 Australian referendum (Monopolies) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Light brown x.svg No11,57755.15
Yes9,41644.85
Valid votes20,99389.91
Invalid or blank votes2,35710.09
Total votes23,350100.00
Registered voters/turnout33,19970.37
1913 Australian referendum (Trusts) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Light brown x.svg No12,24855.01
Yes10,01644.99
Valid votes22,26495.35
Invalid or blank votes1,0864.65
Total votes23,350100.00
Registered voters/turnout33,19970.37
1913 Australian referendum (Railway Disputes) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Light brown x.svg No12,28255.09
Yes10,01144.91
Valid votes22,29395.47
Invalid or blank votes1,0574.53
Total votes23,350100.00
Registered voters/turnout33,19970.37
1913 Australian referendum (Industrial Matters) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Light brown x.svg No12,29555.00
Yes10,05945.00
Valid votes22,35495.73
Invalid or blank votes9964.27
Total votes23,350100.00
Registered voters/turnout33,19970.37
1913 Australian referendum (Corporations) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Light brown x.svg No12,31755.22
Yes9,98844.78
Valid votes22,30595.52
Invalid or blank votes1,0454.48
Total votes23,350100.00
Registered voters/turnout33,19970.37
1913 Australian referendum (Trade and Commerce) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Light brown x.svg No12,24755.01
Yes10,01844.99
Valid votes22,26595.35
Invalid or blank votes1,0854.65
Total votes23,350100.00
Registered voters/turnout33,19970.37
1911 Australian referendum (Monopolies) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Light brown x.svg No8,26764.95
Yes4,46135.05
Valid votes12,72897.85
Invalid or blank votes2802.15
Total votes13,008100.00
Registered voters/turnout28,33945.90
1911 Australian referendum (Trade and Commerce) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Light brown x.svg No8,31465.25
Yes4,42734.75
Valid votes12,74197.95
Invalid or blank votes2672.05
Total votes13,008100.00
Registered voters/turnout28,33945.90
1910 Australian referendum (State Debts) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Light brown x.svg No10,76072.35
Yes4,11227.65
Valid votes14,87293.1
Invalid or blank votes1,0876.81
Total votes15,959100.00
Registered voters/turnout27,58757.85
1910 Australian referendum (Surplus Revenue) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Light brown x.svg No8,04953.79
Yes6,91446.21
Valid votes14,96393.76
Invalid or blank votes9966.24
Total votes15,959100.00
Registered voters/turnout27,58757.85
1906 Australian referendum (Senate elections) [8]
ChoiceVotes %
Check-71-128-204-brightblue.svg Yes9,97683.00
No2,04417.00
Valid votes12,02092.33
Invalid or blank votes9987.67
Total votes13,018100.00
Registered voters/turnout26,29249.59

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References

  1. ↑ Muller, Damon (14 November 2017). "The process of federal redistributions: a quick guide". Parliament of Australia. Retrieved 19 April 2022.
  2. ↑ "Guidelines for naming divisions". Australian Electoral Commission. 20 July 2011. Retrieved 30 March 2013.
  3. ↑ The Bellwether Contests: Antony Green ABC
  4. ↑ Robertson, NSW, 2022 Tally Room, Australian Electoral Commission.
  5. ↑ "Results and Publications". marriagesurvey.abs.gov.au. Retrieved 6 September 2023. For breakdown of results by electorate download the Response.xls file and refer to table 2
  6. ↑ "1999 Referendum Report and Statistics; Summary of Results – Republic Question". Australian Electoral Commission . Retrieved 6 September 2023.
  7. ↑ "1999 Referendum Report and Statistics; Summary of Results – Preamble Question". Australian Electoral Commission . Retrieved 6 September 2023.
  8. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 "Data repository". Tally Room. Australian Electoral Commission . Retrieved 6 September 2023– via Ben Raue. To access divisional results, access the 'Australian Referendums 1906-2017' google drive link and then refer to 'Aus-Referendums-Division'

33°22′55″S151°12′47″E / 33.382°S 151.213°E / -33.382; 151.213

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