Results of the 2022 Australian federal election in Tasmania

Last updated

2022 Australian federal election
(Tasmania)
Flag of Tasmania.svg
  2019 21 May 2022

All 5 Tasmanian seats in the Australian House of Representatives
and 6 seats in the Australian Senate
 First partySecond party
  Anthony Albanese portrait (cropped).jpg Prime Minister of Australia Scott Morrison.jpg
Leader Anthony Albanese Scott Morrison
Party Labor Liberal
Last election2 seats2 seats
Seats won22
Seat changeSteady2.svgSteady2.svg
Popular vote95,322115,184
Percentage27.26%32.94%
SwingDecrease2.svg 6.35Increase2.svg 2.31
TPP 54.33%45.67%
TPP swingDecrease2.svg 1.63Increase2.svg 1.63

2022 Australian federal election in Tasmania.svg
Results by division for the House of Representatives, shaded by winning party's margin of victory.

This is a list of electoral division results for the 2022 Australian federal election in the state of Tasmania.

Contents

This election was held using instant-runoff voting. In Tasmania in this election, there was one "turn-over". In Lyons, a Labor candidate who did not lead in the first count took the seat in the end, albeit very marginally. The Liberal candidate finished first before the distribution of preferences.

Tasmania was unique at this election in that the Liberal Party, led by previous Prime Minister Scott Morrison, had an increased vote share, while the Labor Party, led by subsequent Prime Minister Anthony Albanese, had a decreased vote share.

Overall results

House of Representatives (IRV) – Turnout 92.43% (CV)
PartyVotes %Swing (pp)SeatsChange (seats)
  Liberal Party of Australia 115,18432.94+2.312Steady2.svg
  Australian Labor Party 95,32227.26−6.352Steady2.svg
  Australian Greens 41,97212.00+1.880Steady2.svg
  Jacqui Lambie Network 23,7306.79+6.790Steady2.svg
  Pauline Hanson's One Nation 13,9703.99+1.200Steady2.svg
  United Australia Party 6,4371.84−3.010Steady2.svg
  Liberal Democratic Party 5,0641.45+1.450Steady2.svg
  Animal Justice Party 4,7721.36+0.880Steady2.svg
  Local Party 4,2541.22+1.220Steady2.svg
  Independent 38,99311.50−1.841Steady2.svg
Total349,6985Steady2.svg
Invalid/blank votes21,7345.85+1.46
Turnout371,43292.43–1.91
Registered voters401,852
Two-party-preferred vote
  Labor 189,99354.33−1.63
  Liberal 159,70545.67+1.63
Source: AEC for both votes and seats

Results by division

Bass

2022 Australian federal election: Bass [1]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Liberal Bridget Archer 27,25739.73−2.60
Labor Ross Hart 19,63028.61−6.13
Greens Cecily Rosol 7,61411.10+0.62
Lambie Bob Salt4,5876.69+6.69
Independent George Razay3,4505.03+5.03
One Nation Melanie Davy3,2304.71+4.71
United Australia Kyle Squibb1,1401.66−3.20
Animal Justice Alison Baker9691.41−1.02
Liberal Democrats Stephen Humble7321.07+1.07
Total formal votes68,60994.07−1.43
Informal votes4,3245.93+1.43
Turnout 72,93391.95−2.09
Two-party-preferred result
Liberal Bridget Archer 35,28851.43+1.02
Labor Ross Hart 33,32148.57−1.02
Liberal hold Swing +1.02

Braddon

2022 Australian federal election: Braddon [2]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Liberal Gavin Pearce 31,14244.11+6.22
Labor Chris Lynch15,88622.50−9.56
Lambie Sophie Lehmann6,9669.87+9.87
Independent Craig Garland5,5387.84+7.84
Greens Darren Briggs4,7456.72+1.88
One Nation Ludo Mineur3,0654.34−1.20
United Australia Darren Bobbermien1,0001.42−2.26
Liberal Democrats Duncan White9711.38+1.38
Local Scott Rankin 7191.02+1.02
Animal Justice Keone Martin5660.80+0.80
Total formal votes70,59892.76−2.33
Informal votes5,8587.66+0.58
Turnout 76,45692.64−2.45
Two-party-preferred result
Liberal Gavin Pearce 40,96858.03+4.94
Labor Chris Lynch29,63041.97−4.94
Liberal hold Swing +4.94

Clark

2022 Australian federal election: Clark [3]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Independent Andrew Wilkie 30,00545.54−4.51
Labor Simon Davis12,36418.76−1.46
Liberal Will Coats10,44115.85−1.52
Greens Janet Shelley8,86113.45+3.88
One Nation Michelle Cameron1,7152.60+2.60
United Australia Sandra Galloway9411.43−1.36
Animal Justice Casey Davies8281.26+1.26
Liberal Democrats Ian Ramsden7391.12+1.12
Total formal votes65,89495.75−1.81
Informal votes2,9244.25+1.81
Turnout 68,81892.13−1.51
Notional two-party-preferred count
Labor Simon Davis44,30967.24+1.07
Liberal Will Coats21,58532.76−1.07
Two-candidate-preferred result
Independent Andrew Wilkie 46,66870.82−1.30
Labor Simon Davis19,22629.18+1.30
Independent hold Swing −1.30

Franklin

2022 Australian federal election: Franklin [4]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labor Julie Collins 26,14736.69−7.30
Liberal Kristy Johnson19,04826.73−4.54
Greens Jade Darko12,37017.36+1.11
Lambie Chris Hannan4,2155.92+5.92
Local Anna Bateman3,5354.96+4.96
One Nation Steve Hindley2,0332.85+2.85
Liberal Democrats Duane Pitt1,4342.01+2.01
United Australia Lisa Matthews1,3801.94−4.76
Animal Justice Katrina Love1,0971.54+1.54
Total formal votes71,25995.07−1.78
Informal votes3,6964.93+1.78
Turnout 74,95593.41−1.27
Two-party-preferred result
Labor Julie Collins 45,39263.70+1.49
Liberal Kristy Johnson25,86736.30−1.49
Labor hold Swing +1.49

Lyons

2022 Australian federal election: Lyons [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Liberal Susie Bower27,29637.22+13.04
Labor Brian Mitchell 21,29529.04−7.42
Greens Liz Johnstone8,38211.43+1.98
Lambie Troy Pfitzner7,96210.86+10.86
One Nation Emma Goyne3,9275.35−2.78
United Australia Jason Evans1,9762.69−3.41
Animal Justice Anna Gralton1,3121.79+1.79
Liberal Democrats Rhys Griffiths1,1881.62+1.62
Total formal votes73,33893.70−1.73
Informal votes4,9326.30+1.73
Turnout 78,27091.90−2.28
Two-party-preferred result
Labor Brian Mitchell 37,34150.92−4.26
Liberal Susie Bower35,99749.08+4.26
Labor hold Swing −4.26

Analysis

Unlike mainland Australia, Tasmania saw the Liberal Party perform better than they did at the last election (where they gained two seats from Labor).

Some have suggested that the Coalition's performance in Tasmania improved due to the state's own Liberal government, which has been in power since 2014 under Will Hodgman, Peter Gutwein and Jeremy Rockliff, with the latter being the incumbent. At the time of the election, there were only two states with Liberal or Coalition governments: New South Wales and Tasmania. Following the defeat of New South Wales' three-term-incumbent Coalition government in 2023 under Dominic Perrottet (which saw Labor returning to power in a minority government for the first time in 12 years), Tasmania is currently the only state or territory in Australia to have a Liberal government.

In the primary vote, Labor had a swing against them of 6.35%, receiving less than 100,000 first preference votes. This was also the biggest swing to or against a major party in any state or territory except Western Australia. The Coalition technically had a swing against them of 1.66% given the fact that both the Liberals and the Nationals fielded candidates in Tasmania at the last election, but the Liberal Party saw a swing to them of 2.31% due to the absence of the Nationals. Labor had swings against them in the primary vote in every Tasmanian seat. While the Liberals did have relatively small swings against them in the primary vote in the seats of Bass, Clark and Franklin, they had a swing of over 8% to them in Braddon and a swing of over 12% to them in Lyons.

The Liberal Party won the seats of Bass and Braddon with increased majorities. In the highly marginal seat of Bass, Liberal MP Bridget Archer broke its trend of flipping at each election and won a second term. Braddon, which was traditionally a marginal seat, returned incumbent MP Gavin Pearce with a greatly increased majority. Labor retained the seat of Franklin with an increased majority, but almost lost Lyons, where the Liberal Party had a higher first-preference vote than Labor. Independent Andrew Wilkie, who was first elected to Clark in 2010, retained the seat with an increased majority.

Tasmania was the only state where the Coalition had a swing to them in the two-party-preferred vote, while Labor had a swing against them.

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References

  1. Bass, TAS, 2022 Tally Room, Australian Electoral Commission.
  2. Braddon, TAS, 2022 Tally Room, Australian Electoral Commission.
  3. Clark, TAS, 2022 Tally Room, Australian Electoral Commission.
  4. Franklin, TAS, 2022 Tally Room, Australian Electoral Commission.
  5. Lyons, TAS, 2022 Tally Room, Australian Electoral Commission.