Electorate opinion polling for the 2022 Australian federal election

Last updated

Various research and polling firms conducted opinion polling before the 2022 federal election in individual electorates across Australia, in relation to voting intentions in the Australian House of Representatives.

Contents

Australian Capital Territory

DateBrandSeatSample sizePrimary vote 2PP vote
Lib ALP GRN Pocock Rubenstein ON UAP OTH Lib ALP
6 May 2022RedBridge [1] Senate 106425%27%11%21%6%—6%4%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Bean —24%44%11%——2%2%17%37%63%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Canberra —20%46%24%——1%1%8%28%72%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Fenner —30%46%18%——2%2%2%36%64%
6 Apr 2022RedBridge [3] Senate —25%37%14%11%——————
6 Apr 2022RedBridge [3] Senate —24%35%15%13%——————

New South Wales

DateBrandSeatSample sizePrimary vote 2PP vote
L/NP ALP IND GRN ON UAP OTH L/NP ALP IND GRN
17 May 2022Laidlaw Campaigns [4] Fowler 618—42%——————45%38%—
15 May 2022Industry Association [5] Robertson 800———————42%58%——
15 May 2022Industry Association [5] Reid 800———————47%53%——
15 May 2022Industry Association [5] Parramatta 800———————46%54%——
15 May 2022Industry Association [5] Gilmore 800———————44%56%——
15 May 2022Industry Association [5] Shortland 800———————43%57%——
15 May 2022Industry Association [5] Hunter 800———————49%51%——
15 May 2022Industry Association [5] Lindsay 800———————57%43%——
3–14 May 2022RedBridge [6] North Sydney 126733.3%17.8%23.5%————————
1–7 May 2022RedBridge [7] Wentworth 111736.0%11.7%33.3%6.2%—5.3%—————
6 May 2022Compass Polling [8] North Sydney 50740.5%21.6%13.6%12.9%3.0%1.4%6.1%54%46%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Banks —45%38% [note 1] 9%2%3%3%52%48%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Barton —36%49% [note 1] 9%2%3%3%41%59%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Bennelong —44%40% [note 1] 9%2%3%2%50%50%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Blaxland —29%50% [note 1] 13%3%5%—36%64%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Berowra —50%29% [note 1] 12%3%1%5%58%42%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Bradfield —49%30% [note 1] 11%2%3%5%58%42%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Calare —43%26% [note 1] 5%9%6%11%60%40%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Chifley —28%50% [note 1] 6%4%2%10%40%60%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Cook —55%29% [note 1] 7%4%5%—62%38%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Cowper —42%21% [note 1] 7%11%2%17%68%32%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Cunningham —29%46% [note 1] 15%3%6%1%37%63%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Dobell —36%42% [note 1] 9%4%6%3%46%54%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Eden-Monaro —35%44% [note 1] 7%3%2%9%43%57%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Farrer —48%21% [note 1] 7%9%5%10%73%27%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Fowler —28%50% [note 1] 7%5%6%4%38%62%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Gilmore —39%39% [note 1] 11%5%2%4%47%53%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Grayndler —20%53% [note 1] 20%1%1%5%—69%—31%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Greenway —38%44% [note 1] 8%3%2%5%47%53%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Hughes —42%31% [note 1] 6%2%5%14%56%44%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Hume —47%32% [note 1] 6%4%5%6%59%41%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Hunter —16%42% [note 1] 10%16%6%10%40%60%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Kingsford Smith —35%44% [note 1] 15%2%4%—41%59%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Lindsay —40%40% [note 1] 8%6%3%3%50%50%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Lyne —38%28% [note 1] 6%6%3%19%56%44%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Macarthur —28%51% [note 1] 8%7%4%2%38%62%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Mackellar —45%20% [note 1] 7%3%2%23%53%—47%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Macquarie —39%40% [note 1] 10%3%2%6%47%53%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] McMahon —35%39% [note 1] 7%5%5%5%44%56%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Mitchell —50%30% [note 1] 10%5%3%2%59%41%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] New England —40%21% [note 1] 6%10%3%20%68%32%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Newcastle —27%50% [note 1] 15%3%2%3%33%67%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] North Sydney —38%30% [note 1] 10%2%2%18%53%47%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Page —37%31% [note 1] 9%6%2%15%52%48%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Parkes —35%32% [note 1] 5%7%4%17%54%46%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Parramatta —37%47% [note 1] 7%3%2%4%43%57%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Paterson —30%47% [note 1] 7%10%3%3%42%58%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Reid —37%44% [note 1] 11%2%3%3%44%56%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Richmond —25%32% [note 1] 18%3%2%20%41%59%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Riverina —41%29% [note 1] 6%6%5%13%59%41%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Robertson —39%39% [note 1] 9%5%5%3%49%51%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Shortland —28%43% [note 1] 11%3%5%10%40%60%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Sydney —23%51% [note 1] 21%1%2%2%28%72%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Warringah —32%12% [note 1] 5%4%2%45%41%—59%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Watson —29%55% [note 1] 7%5%4%11%35%65%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Wentworth —48%16% [note 1] 5%3%2%26%56%—44%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Werriwa —36%41% [note 1] 7%4%5%7%47%53%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Whitlam —23%50% [note 1] 12%6%5%4%36%64%——
28 Apr 2022RedBridge [10] Parramatta —26.4%32.4% [note 1] 10.7%—7.2%11.9%45%55%——
28 Apr 2022RedBridge [10] Wentworth —36.6%16.2%24.3%7.0%—6.3%5.3%47%—53%—
11–12 Apr 2022Community Engagement [11] North Sydney 111437.4%17.4%19.4%8.7%—5.6%—————
7 Apr 2022uComms [12] Mackellar 83335.2%18.0%23.9%————————
20–21 Mar 2022KJC Research [13] Wentworth 103642%14%27%9%—3%4%49%—51%—
28 Jan 2022uComms [14] Wentworth 85035.6%18.6%27.7%7.5%———44%—56%—
28 Jan 2022uComms [14] North Sydney 85034.1%22.9%20%11.2%———————

Northern Territory

DateBrandSeatSample sizePrimary vote 2PP vote
CLP ALP GRN ON UAP OTHCLP ALP
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Lingiari —32%43%12%7%1%5%43%57%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Solomon —33%40%15%5%4%3%44%56%

Queensland

DateBrandSeatSample sizePrimary vote 2PP vote
LNP ALP GRN ON UAP OTH LNP ALP OTH
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Blair —30%36%12%11%4%7%46%54%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Bonner —46%32%15%4%3%—54%46%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Bowman —44%32%12%6%5%1%55%45%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Brisbane —36%29%28%2%3%2%46%54%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Capricornia —38%27%7%16%4%8%59%41%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Dawson —33%30%7%19%3%8%56%44%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Dickson —42%30%13%4%5%6%53%47%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Fadden —44%26%8%8%7%7%61%39%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Fairfax —45%24%15%7%4%5%58%42%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Fisher —42%28%15%6%6%3%55%45%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Flynn —33%32%5%16%8%6%54%46%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Forde —38%30%10%9%5%8%55%45%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Griffith —32%36%26%3%3%—40%60%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Groom —48%24%8%12%2%6%64%36%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Herbert —38%27%7%11%4%13%56%44%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Hinkler —44%27%7%14%3%5%60%40%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Kennedy —27%17%7%—6%43%38%—62%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Leichhardt —35%32%12%10%5%6%51%49%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Lilley —38%41%13%4%1%3%46%54%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Longman —36%38%6%11%2%7%50%50%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Maranoa —52%19%4%15%5%5%73%27%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] McPherson —42%25%17%6%6%4%56%44%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Moncrieff —48%23%9%7%7%6%64%34%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Moreton —36%38%18%2%4%2%44%56%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Oxley —33%46%12%6%3%—42%58%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Petrie —44%31%10%6%7%2%56%44%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Rankin —28%40%12%9%7%4%42%58%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Ryan —40%25%24%2%3%6%50%50%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Wide Bay —45%25%8%10%2%10%59%41%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Wright —35%22%10%20%9%4%56%44%—
28 Jan 2022United Workers Union [15] Dickson 120040%34%10%5%5%4%51%49%—

South Australia

DateBrandSeatSample sizePrimary vote 2PP vote
Lib ALP GRN IND ON UAP OTH Lib ALP OTH
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Adelaide —34%43%15% [note 1] 3%3%2%40%60%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Barker —48%26%6% [note 1] 8%6%6%62%38%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Boothby —37%38%11% [note 1] 2%1%11%47%53%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Grey —41%29%5% [note 1] 12%3%10%57%43%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Hindmarsh —34%43%13% [note 1] 3%3%4%42%58%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Kingston —28%52%9% [note 1] 3%3%5%36%64%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Makin —31%50%9% [note 1] 3%5%2%39%61%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Mayo —34%20%8% [note 1] 8%2%28%48%—52%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Spence —28%48%9% [note 1] 8%4%3%38%62%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Sturt —42%36%15% [note 1] 2%2%3%50%50%—
5 Apr 2022uComms [16] Senate 105232.2%36.1%11.6%8.2% [lower-alpha 1] 3.9%2.7%3.2%———
30 Mar 2022uComms [17] Boothby 80133.9%36.3%11.4%8.6%4.8%3%—43%57%—
30 Mar 2022uComms [17] Sturt 80938.4%33%11.3%—5%4.1%—48%52%—

Tasmania

DateBrandSeatSample sizePrimary vote 2PP vote
Lib ALP GRN ON UAP OTH L/NP ALP IND
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Bass —39%36%11%3%1%10%49%51%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Braddon —37%31%5%7%2%18%52%48%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Clark —15%21%9%5%2%48%—39%61%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Franklin —28%39%17%2%3%11%37%63%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Lyons —34%35%9%4%3%15%46%54%—
17, 21 March 2022uComms [18] Braddon 82934.7%33.7%5.4%7.2%2.2%12.9%47%53%—
17, 21 March 2022uComms [18] Senate 82935.0%31.6%8.7%4.9%3.0%14.3%———
4–6 Apr 2022Redbridge [19] Bass 91536%36%11%6%3%9%———

Victoria

DateBrandSeatSample sizePrimary vote 2PP vote
Lib Nat ALP IND GRN ON UAP OTH L/NP ALP IND GRN
16 May 2022uComms [20] Goldstein 83134.0%—12.5%35.3%8.9%1.4%1.8%1.4%41%—59%—
13 May 2022uComms [20] Higgins 83636.9%—29.8%—19.9%———46%54%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Aston —52%—29% [note 1] 9%3%5%2%60%40%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Ballarat —38%—41% [note 1] 10%4%2%5%46%54%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Bendigo —31%—41% [note 1] 15%5%4%4%40%60%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Bruce —32%—47% [note 1] 8%4%6%3%42%58%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Calwell —26%—50% [note 1] 7%4%10%3%35%65%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Casey —39%—29% [note 1] 10%3%5%14%52%48%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Chisholm —38%—39% [note 1] 11%2%4%6%47%53%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Cooper —22%—45% [note 1] 23%2%4%4%—66%—34%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Corangamite —43%—36% [note 1] 10%3%4%4%50%50%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Corio —29%—43% [note 1] 17%3%5%3%39%61%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Deakin —43%—33% [note 1] 10%2%3%9%53%47%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Dunkley —33%—37% [note 1] 10%4%8%8%46%54%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Flinders —36%—27% [note 1] 6%5%4%22%52%48%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Fraser —27%—48% [note 1] 13%3%7%2%35%65%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Gellibrand —29%—46% [note 1] 13%2%7%3%37%63%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Gippsland ——50%27% [note 1] 7%5%3%8%61%39%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Goldstein —40%—23% [note 1] 10%1%2%24%48%—52%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Gorton —29%—46% [note 1] 9%3%7%6%37%63%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Hawke —32%—42% [note 1] 8%5%4%9%40%60%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Higgins —40%—33% [note 1] 21%—1%5%47%53%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Holt —33%—45% [note 1] 8%2%3%9%43%57%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Hotham —32%—50% [note 1] 9%2%3%4%43%57%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Indi —34%—16% [note 1] 3%9%4%34%47%—53%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Isaacs —36%—39% [note 1] 13%2%4%6%46%54%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Jagajaga —37%—40% [note 1] 14%2%2%5%43%57%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Kooyong —38%—20% [note 1] 11%2%1%28%47%—53%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] La Trobe —41%—33% [note 1] 11%5%7%3%53%47%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Lalor —31%—46% [note 1] 8%3%6%6%40%60%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Macnamara —31%—32% [note 1] 24%2%1%10%41%59%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Mallee ——37%25% [note 1] 7%9%5%17%56%44%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Maribyrnong —28%—47% [note 1] 16%1%5%3%34%66%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] McEwen —35%—39% [note 1] 12%6%4%4%45%55%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Melbourne —17%—26% [note 1] 43%3%3%8%—36%—64%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Menzies —45%—31% [note 1] 9%3%7%5%59%41%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Monash —40%—29% [note 1] 8%8%2%13%55%45%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Nicholls —41%19% [note 1] 4%13%4%19%61%39%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Scullin —24%—55% [note 1] 7%3%9%2%32%68%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Wannon —46%—27% [note 1] 7%5%4%11%58%42%——
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Wills —18%—41% [note 1] 29%2%6%4%—58%—42%
2 May 2022uComms [21] Goldstein 85533%—12.6%33.1%7.7%1.8%3.2%1.9%38%—62%—
2 May 2022uComms [22] Higgins 83634.428.7%20.3%2.0%—9.2%46%54%
12 Apr 2022uComms [23] Kooyong 84735.5%—12.8% [24] 31.8%11.7% [24] ———41%—59%—
13 Mar 2022 [25] Nicholls —20.2%17%15.2%16.3%5.4%5.9%4.1%3.6%————
28 Oct 2021RedBridge [26] Kooyong —25.9%——26.3%————————
28 Oct 2021RedBridge [26] Goldstein —28.5%——28.5%————————
28 Oct 2021RedBridge [26] Flinders —28.0%——24.3%————————

Western Australia

DateBrandSeatSample sizePrimary vote 2PP vote
Lib ALP GRN IND ON UAP OTH Lib ALP IND
16 May 2022Utting Research [27] Curtin 51438%13%9%32%3%4%48%—52%
15–16 May 2022YouGov [28] Pearce 41140%43%4%—1%2%9% [note 2] 47%53%—
12–13 May 2022Utting Research [29] Swan —39%38%10%—4%3%—47%53%—
12–13 May 2022Utting Research [29] Pearce —32%30%12%—7%6%—48%52%—
12–13 May 2022Utting Research [29] Hasluck —39%31%10%—9%6%—55%45%—
12–13 May 2022Utting Research [29] Tangney —47%35%8%—2%2%—54%46%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Brand —27%46%12% [note 1] 7%3%5%40%60%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [9] Curtin —41%24%15% [note 1] 3%3%14%56%44%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Burt —28%46%13% [note 1] 5%2%6%38%62%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Canning —39%33%8% [note 1] 6%1%13%53%47%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Cowan —31%46%13% [note 1] 5%2%3%41%59%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Durack —46%26%10% [note 1] 13%2%3%61%39%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Forrest —47%26%13% [note 1] 9%1%4%60%40%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Fremantle —33%43%15% [note 1] 3%2%4%41%59%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Hasluck —39%32%13% [note 1] 5%5%6%52%48%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Moore —45%32%11% [note 1] 3%3%6%55%45%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] O'Connor —50%26%10% [note 1] 9%1%4%61%39%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Pearce —39%37%12% [note 1] 5%2%5%48%52%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Perth —28%42%21% [note 1] 3%2%4%37%63%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Swan —34%42%13% [note 1] 4%3%4%43%57%—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022YouGov [2] Tangney —46%33%11% [note 1] 3%2%5%55%45%—
11–14 Mar 2022Utting Research [30] Curtin 71842%20%9%24%—2%—51%—49%
11–14 Mar 2022Utting Research [31] Tangney 75041%41%7%—2%2%8%50%50%—
11–14 Mar 2022Utting Research [31] Hasluck 75037%39%7%—4%3%10%48%52%—
11–14 Mar 2022Utting Research [31] Pearce 75034%44%5%—5%5%7%45%55%—
11–14 Mar 2022Utting Research [31] Swan 75032%46%7%—3%5%7%41%59%—

See also

Notes

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The Division of Barker is an Australian electoral division in the south-east of South Australia. The division was established on 2 October 1903, when South Australia's original single multi-member division was split into seven single-member divisions. It is named for Collet Barker, an early explorer of the region at the mouth of the Murray River. The 63,886 km² seat currently stretches from Morgan in the north to Port MacDonnell in the south, taking in the Murray Mallee, the Riverland, the Murraylands and most of the Barossa Valley, and includes the towns of Barmera, Berri, Bordertown, Coonawarra, Keith, Kingston SE, Loxton, Lucindale, Mannum, Millicent, Mount Gambier, Murray Bridge, Naracoorte, Penola, Renmark, Robe, Tailem Bend, Waikerie, and parts of Nuriootpa and Tanunda.

The Division of Grey is an Australian electoral division in South Australia. The division was one of the seven established when the former Division of South Australia was redistributed on 2 October 1903 and is named for Sir George Grey, who was Governor of South Australia from 1841 to 1845.

The Division of Mayo is an Australian electoral division located to the east and south of Adelaide, South Australia. Created in the state redistribution of 3 September 1984, the division is named after Helen Mayo, a social activist and the first woman elected to an Australian University Council. The 9,315 km² rural seat covers an area from the Barossa Valley in the north to Cape Jervis in the south. Taking in the Adelaide Hills, Fleurieu Peninsula and Kangaroo Island regions, its largest population centre is Mount Barker. Its other population centres are Aldgate, Bridgewater, Littlehampton, McLaren Vale, Nairne, Stirling, Strathalbyn and Victor Harbor, and its smaller localities include American River, Ashbourne, Balhannah, Brukunga, Carrickalinga, Charleston, Cherry Gardens, Clarendon, Crafers, Cudlee Creek, Currency Creek, Delamere, Echunga, Forreston, Goolwa, Gumeracha, Hahndorf, Houghton, Inglewood, Kersbrook, Kingscote, Langhorne Creek, Lobethal, Macclesfield, McLaren Flat, Meadows, Middleton, Milang, Mount Compass, Mount Pleasant, Mount Torrens, Mylor, Myponga, Normanville, Norton Summit, Oakbank, Penneshaw, Piccadilly, Port Elliot, Second Valley, Springton, Summertown, Uraidla, Willunga, Woodchester, Woodside, Yankalilla, and parts of Birdwood, Old Noarlunga and Upper Sturt.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2006 South Australian state election</span>

The state election for the 51st Parliament of South Australia was held in the Australian state of South Australia on 18 March 2006 to elect all members of the South Australian House of Assembly and 11 members of the South Australian Legislative Council. The election was conducted by the independent State Electoral Office.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Nick Xenophon</span> Australian politician (born 1959)

Nick Xenophon is an Australian politician and lawyer who was a Senator for South Australia from 2008 to 2017. He was the leader of two political parties: Nick Xenophon Team federally, and Nick Xenophon's SA-BEST in South Australia.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Two-party-preferred vote</span> Result of election after distribution of preferences

In Australian politics, the two-party-preferred vote is the result of an election or opinion poll after preferences have been distributed to the highest two candidates, who in some cases can be independents. For the purposes of TPP, the Liberal/National Coalition is usually considered a single party, with Labor being the other major party. Typically the TPP is expressed as the percentages of votes attracted by each of the two major parties, e.g. "Coalition 50%, Labor 50%", where the values include both primary votes and preferences. The TPP is an indicator of how much swing has been attained/is required to change the result, taking into consideration preferences, which may have a significant effect on the result.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2010 Australian federal election</span> Election for the 43rd Parliament of Australia

The 2010 Australian federal election was held on Saturday, 21 August 2010 to elect members of the 43rd Parliament of Australia. The incumbent centre-left Australian Labor Party led by Prime Minister Julia Gillard won a second term against the opposition centre-right Liberal Party of Australia led by Opposition Leader Tony Abbott and Coalition partner the National Party of Australia, led by Warren Truss, after Labor formed a minority government with the support of three independent MPs and one Australian Greens MP.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2009 Frome state by-election</span>

A by-election was held for the South Australian House of Assembly seat of Frome on 17 January 2009. This was triggered by the resignation of former Premier and state Liberal MHA Rob Kerin. The seat had been retained by the Liberals at the 2006 state election on a 3.4 per cent margin, and at the 2002 state election on an 11.5 per cent margin.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2013 Australian federal election</span> Election for the 44th Parliament of Australia

The 2013 Australian federal election to elect the members of the 44th Parliament of Australia took place on 7 September 2013. The centre-right Liberal/National Coalition opposition led by Opposition leader Tony Abbott of the Liberal Party of Australia and Coalition partner the National Party of Australia, led by Warren Truss, defeated the incumbent centre-left Labor Party government of Prime Minister Kevin Rudd in a landslide. It was also the third time in history that a party won 90 or more seats at an Australian election. Labor had been in government for six years since being elected in the 2007 election. This election marked the end of the Rudd-Gillard-Rudd Labor government and the start of the 9 year long Abbott-Turnbull-Morrison Liberal-National Coalition government. Abbott was sworn in by the Governor-General, Quentin Bryce, as Australia's new Prime Minister on 18 September 2013, along with the Abbott Ministry. The 44th Parliament of Australia opened on 12 November 2013, with the members of the House of Representatives and territory senators sworn in. The state senators were sworn in by the next Governor-General Peter Cosgrove on 7 July 2014, with their six-year terms commencing on 1 July.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Australian federal election</span> Election for the 45th Parliament of Australia

The 2016 Australian federal election was a double dissolution election held on Saturday 2 July to elect all 226 members of the 45th Parliament of Australia, after an extended eight-week official campaign period. It was the first double dissolution election since the 1987 election and the first under a new voting system for the Senate that replaced group voting tickets with optional preferential voting.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 South Australian state election</span>

The 2018 South Australian state election to elect members to the 54th Parliament of South Australia was held on 17 March 2018. All 47 seats in the House of Assembly or lower house, whose members were elected at the 2014 election, and 11 of 22 seats in the Legislative Council or upper house, last filled at the 2010 election, were contested. The record-16-year-incumbent Australian Labor Party (SA) government led by Premier Jay Weatherill was seeking a fifth four-year term, but was defeated by the opposition Liberal Party of Australia (SA), led by Opposition Leader Steven Marshall. Nick Xenophon's new SA Best party unsuccessfully sought to obtain the balance of power.

Centre Alliance, formerly known as the Nick Xenophon Team (NXT), is a centrist political party in Australia based in the state of South Australia. It currently has one representative in the Parliament, Rebekha Sharkie in the House of Representatives.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2019 Australian federal election</span> Election for the 46th Parliament of Australia

The 2019 Australian federal election was held on Saturday 18 May 2019 to elect members of the 46th Parliament of Australia. The election had been called following the dissolution of the 45th Parliament as elected at the 2016 double dissolution federal election. All 151 seats in the House of Representatives and 40 of the 76 seats in the Senate were up for election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Rebekha Sharkie</span> Australian politician

Rebekha Carina Sharkie is an Australian politician and member of the Centre Alliance party. She is a member of the Australian House of Representatives, representing the Division of Mayo in South Australia. At the 2016 federal election she defeated Liberal Jamie Briggs, and was the first Nick Xenophon Team member to be elected to the Australian House of Representatives. On 11 May 2018, Sharkie resigned from the House of Representatives as a part of the 2017–18 Australian parliamentary eligibility crisis. She contested the 2018 Mayo by-election on 28 July, and was returned to parliament.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 Australian federal election</span> Election for the 47th Parliament of Australia

The 2022 Australian federal election was held on Saturday 21 May 2022 to elect members of the 47th Parliament of Australia. The incumbent Liberal/National Coalition government, led by Prime Minister Scott Morrison, sought to win a fourth consecutive term in office but was defeated by the opposition Labor Party, led by Anthony Albanese. Up for election were all 151 seats in the lower house, the House of Representatives, as well as 40 of the 76 seats in the upper house, the Senate.

In the lead-up to the 2022 Australian federal election, a number of polling companies conducted regular opinion polls for various news organisations. These polls collected data on parties' primary vote, and contained an estimation of the two-party-preferred vote. They also asked questions about the electorates' views on major party leaders. Key polling companies are YouGov, Essential Media Communications, Roy Morgan Research, and Resolve Strategic.

In the run-up to the next Australian federal election, a number of polling companies are conducting opinion polls for various news organisations. These polls collect data on parties' primary vote, and contain an estimation of the two-party-preferred vote.

References

  1. ↑ "Katy Gallagher set to need preferences for re-election amid David Pocock's support in 2022 ACT Senate race". The Canberra Times. 17 May 2022. Archived from the original on 17 May 2022. Retrieved 17 May 2022.
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 "Federal Election Results: Called Seats- Polling". The Australian. Archived from the original on 20 May 2022. Retrieved 14 May 2022.
  3. 1 2 "New polls show re-election trouble for Seselja". The Canberra Times. 5 April 2022. Archived from the original on 5 April 2022. Retrieved 5 April 2022.
  4. ↑ Davis, Miriah (17 May 2022). "Keneally vote collapses in Labor safe seat of Fowler". skynews. Archived from the original on 18 May 2022. Retrieved 17 May 2022.
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Clenell, Andrew (15 May 2022). "New polling suggests election loss for government". Archived from the original on 14 May 2022. Retrieved 15 May 2022.
  6. ↑ "North Sydney poll shows teal preference fight looms". Australian Financial Review. 16 May 2022. Archived from the original on 16 May 2022. Retrieved 16 May 2022.
  7. ↑ "New poll predicts Allegra Spender will win Wentworth from Liberal MP Dave Sharma". the Guardian. 16 May 2022. Archived from the original on 20 May 2022. Retrieved 17 May 2022.
  8. ↑ Lynch, Grahame (May 2022). "Exclusive Poll: ALP emerges as biggest threat to Trent Zimmerman". North Sydney Sun. No. 13. pp. 1, 5. Archived from the original on 14 May 2022. Retrieved 14 May 2022.
  9. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 Minear, Tom (11 May 2022). "Election 2022: YouGov data shows independents on track to beat Liberals in key seats". Herald Sun. Archived from the original on 21 May 2022. Retrieved 11 May 2022.
  10. 1 2 "Morrison's support of Deves could lose him seats as poll reveals voters turned off by trans fight". Archived from the original on 27 April 2022. Retrieved 28 April 2022.
  11. ↑ "Voters in hotly contested Liberal-held seat rank climate and environment over economy, poll finds". the Guardian. 17 April 2022. Archived from the original on 2 May 2022. Retrieved 2 May 2022.
  12. ↑ "Independent Sophie Scamps to force Liberal MP to preferences: poll". Australian Financial Review. 7 April 2022. Archived from the original on 7 April 2022. Retrieved 7 April 2022.
  13. ↑ Halupka, Max; Grattan, Michelle (23 March 2022). "The Wentworth Project: polling shows voters prefer Albanese for PM, and put climate issue first in 'teal' battle". The Conversation. Archived from the original on 18 May 2022. Retrieved 18 May 2022.
  14. 1 2 "Independents threaten upheaval in key Lib seats: poll". Australian Financial Review. 28 January 2022. Archived from the original on 28 January 2022. Retrieved 30 January 2022.
  15. ↑ "Dutton facing nail-biting contest in own seat of Dickson". 16 February 2022. Archived from the original on 28 February 2022. Retrieved 28 February 2022.
  16. ↑ "Labor leading in SA, Xenophon faces challenge in new poll". InDaily. 7 April 2022. Archived from the original on 6 May 2022. Retrieved 17 May 2022.
  17. 1 2 "Budget polling: day three". Poll Bludger. 6 April 2022. Archived from the original on 21 May 2022. Retrieved 6 April 2022.
  18. 1 2 (PDF). 22 March 2022 https://australiainstitute.org.au/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/22-Polling-NW-Tasmania-WEB.pdf. Archived (PDF) from the original on 6 April 2022. Retrieved 17 May 2022.{{cite web}}: Missing or empty |title= (help)
  19. ↑ Redbridge. "Redbridge Bass Poll" (PDF). Redbridge. Archived (PDF) from the original on 9 April 2022. Retrieved 21 May 2022.
  20. 1 2 "Higgins Polling Research Shows Landslide Support for Truth in Political Advertising Laws". Mirage News. 12 May 2022. Archived from the original on 21 May 2022. Retrieved 13 May 2022.
  21. ↑ "Poll points to tight contest in Goldstein between Wilson and Daniel". Australian Financial Review. 2 May 2022. Archived from the original on 4 May 2022. Retrieved 4 May 2022.
  22. ↑ uComms. "Higgins Final Results" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on 16 May 2022. Retrieved 21 May 2022.
  23. ↑ Osborne, Paul (17 April 2022). "Kooyong poll points to loss for Frydenberg". The Canberra Times. Archived from the original on 18 April 2022. Retrieved 18 April 2022.
  24. 1 2 Minear, Tom. "Poll peril: So is Josh a buried Treasurer". Herald Sun.
  25. ↑ Millar, Royce (12 March 2022). "Coalition challenged in 'safe' rural seat". The Sydney Morning Herald. Archived from the original on 3 April 2022. Retrieved 3 April 2022.
  26. 1 2 3 Savva, Niki (27 October 2021). "PM's net zero plan driven by slogans and seats, not conversion or conviction". The Sydney Morning Herald. Archived from the original on 30 January 2022. Retrieved 30 January 2022.
  27. ↑ Scarr, Lanai (17 May 2022). "Federal election 2022: Independent Kate Chaney on track for narrow victory in blue-ribbon seat of Curtin". The West Australian. Archived from the original on 17 May 2022. Retrieved 17 May 2022.
  28. ↑ Law, Peter (20 May 2022). "Federal election 2022: Poll has Labor on track to win in Pearce". The West Australian. Archived from the original on 19 May 2022. Retrieved 20 May 2022.
  29. 1 2 3 4 "Federal election 2022 poll: ALP on track to win Swan and Pearce but hope remains for Liberals". 14 May 2022. Archived from the original on 15 May 2022. Retrieved 21 May 2022.
  30. ↑ "Federal Election 2022: Celia Hammond, Kate Chaney neck and neck in fight for seat of Curtin, polling reveals". 7 April 2022. Archived from the original on 7 April 2022. Retrieved 7 April 2022.
  31. 1 2 3 4 "Federal election 2022: Polls show Labor surge ahead in three key WA seats". 15 March 2022. Archived from the original on 17 March 2022. Retrieved 17 March 2022.
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