Division of Forde

Last updated

Forde
Australian House of Representatives Division
Division of Forde 2019.png
Division of Forde
Interactive map of boundaries since the 2019 federal election
Created1984
MP Rowan Holzberger
Party Labor
Namesake Frank Forde
Electors 134,066 (2025)
Area418 km2 (161.4 sq mi)
DemographicOuter Metropolitan

The Division of Forde is an Australian Electoral Division in Queensland. The current MP is Rowan Holzberger of the Labor Party.

Contents

Geography

Since 1984, federal electoral division boundaries in Australia have been determined at redistributions by a redistribution committee appointed by the Australian Electoral Commission. Redistributions occur for the boundaries of divisions in a particular state, and they occur every seven years, or sooner if a state's representation entitlement changes or when divisions of a state are malapportioned. [1]

History

Frank Forde, the division's namesake Frank Forde 1945.jpg
Frank Forde, the division's namesake

The division was created in 1984 and is named after Frank Forde, who was Prime Minister of Australia for seven days in 1945 following the death of John Curtin. When it was created it was a marginal seat in the southern suburbs of Brisbane, but it now has no territory in common with the original seat and is located in exurban and semi-rural areas south of the city, including Beenleigh and Loganlea.

It was a fairly safe seat for the Liberal Party after the 2004 election. Kay Elson announced that she would not re-contest her seat in the 2007 election. Wendy Creighton, a Boonah resident and editor of the local newspaper, the Fassifern Guardian, contested Forde as the Liberal candidate instead. She was defeated at the Federal election by Brett Raguse, the opposing Labor Party candidate, making Forde the safest Liberal Party seat to be claimed by the Labor Party at the 2007 election. The seat returned to the LNP with Bert van Manen in 2010. Incumbent van Manen then held on to the seat during the 2013, 2016, 2019 and 2022 elections.

Ahead of the 2016 federal election, ABC psephologist Antony Green listed the seat in his election guide as one of eleven which he classed as bellwether electorates. [2] Roy Morgan Research found the Division of Forde to be the least politically involved electorate in Australia, with only 7% of voters interested in political analysis as a type of media content. [3]

Bert van Manen was defeated by Labor candidate Rowan Holzberger at the 2025 federal election. [4] This was the second federal election contested by Holzberger, the first being in 2022, which he lost by approximately 8,500 votes.

Members

ImageMemberPartyTermNotes
  Liberal Placeholder.png David Watson
(1945–)
Liberal 1 December 1984
11 July 1987
Lost seat. Later elected to the Legislative Assembly of Queensland seat of Moggill in 1989
  Second Keating Cabinet 1994 (cropped Crawford).png Mary Crawford
(1947–)
Labor 11 July 1987
2 March 1996
Lost seat
  Liberal Placeholder.png Kay Elson
(1947–)
Liberal 2 March 1996
17 October 2007
Retired
  Labor Placeholder.png Brett Raguse
(1960–)
Labor 24 November 2007
21 August 2010
Lost seat
  Bert van Manen MP (cropped).jpg Bert van Manen
(1965–)
Liberal [a] 21 August 2010
3 May 2025
Served as Chief Government Whip in the House under Morrison. Served as the Chief Opposition Whip in the House. Lost seat.
  Labor Placeholder.png Rowan Holzberger
(1973–)
Labor 3 May 2025
present
Incumbent

Election results

2025 Australian federal election: Forde [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labor Rowan Holzberger 36,82134.24+6.23
Liberal National Bert van Manen 33,02330.71−6.20
Greens Kirsty Petersen12,28011.42+1.57
One Nation Matthew Lambert11,04910.28+2.27
Family First Corneliu Pop5,4595.08+5.08
Trumpet of Patriots Jacob Hiscock5,0414.69+4.69
Independent Chris Greaves3,1862.96−0.18
Citizens Alf de Hombre6690.62+0.62
Total formal votes107,52893.53+0.31
Informal votes7,4406.47−0.31
Turnout 114,96885.75+0.52
Two-party-preferred result
Labor Rowan Holzberger 55,66251.77+6.00
Liberal National Bert van Manen 51,86648.23−6.00
Labor gain from Liberal National Swing +6.00
Results are not final. Last updated on 28 May 2025 at 10:00 PM AEST.
2022 Australian federal election: Forde [6]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Liberal National Bert van Manen 34,92036.91−6.59
Labor Rowan Holzberger 26,49728.01−1.50
Greens Jordan Hall9,3199.85+1.12
One Nation Seschelle Matterson7,5788.01−3.80
United Australia Roxanne O'Halloran7,4857.91+3.87
Independent Christopher Greaves2,9733.14+3.14
Liberal Democrats Tobby Sutherland2,6682.82+2.82
Animal Justice Linda McCarthy2,4442.58+2.58
TNL Samuel Holland7280.77+0.77
Total formal votes94,61293.22−2.14
Informal votes6,8846.78+2.14
Turnout 101,49685.23−4.26
Two-party-preferred result
Liberal National Bert van Manen 51,31154.23−4.37
Labor Rowan Holzberger 43,30145.77+4.37
Liberal National hold Swing −4.37
Alluvial diagram for preference flows in the seat of Forde in the 2022 federal election. Y indicates at what stage the winning candidate had over 50% of the votes and was declared the winner. 2022 Australian federal election Forde alluvial diagram.svg
Alluvial diagram for preference flows in the seat of Forde in the 2022 federal election. Light green check.svgY indicates at what stage the winning candidate had over 50% of the votes and was declared the winner.

Notes

  1. Member of the Liberal National Party of Queensland sitting with the federal parliamentary Liberal Party.

References

  1. Muller, Damon (14 November 2017). "The process of federal redistributions: a quick guide". Parliament of Australia. Retrieved 19 April 2022.
  2. The Bellwether Contests: Antony Green ABC
  3. "The 10 most (and least) politically engaged electorates". Roy Morgan. Archived from the original on 28 August 2017. Retrieved 4 July 2017.
  4. Green, Antony (3 May 2025). "Forde Federal Election 2025 Results". Australian Broadcasting Corporation. Archived from the original on 3 May 2025. Retrieved 4 May 2025.
  5. Forde, Qld, 2025 Tally Room, Australian Electoral Commission.
  6. Forde, QLD, 2022 Tally Room, Australian Electoral Commission.

27°45′43″S153°10′52″E / 27.762°S 153.181°E / -27.762; 153.181