| 2019 Australian federal election |
|---|
|
| National results |
| State and territory results |
In the leadup to the 2019 federal election, a number of polling companies conducted regular opinion polls for various news organisations. These polls collected data on party's primary vote, and contained an estimation of the two-party-preferred vote. They also asked questions about views of the electorate about the major party leaders.
| Date | Firm | Primary vote | TPP vote | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L/NP | ALP | GRN | ONP | OTH | L/NP | ALP | ||
| 18 May 2019 election | 41.44% | 33.34% | 10.4% | 3.08% | 11.74% | 51.53% | 48.47% | |
| 18 May 2019 | YouGov-Galaxy (Exit Poll) [1] | 39% | 38% | 10% | n/a | 10% | 48% | 52% |
| 15–16 May 2019 | Newspoll [2] | 38% | 37% | 9% | 3% | 13% [a] | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| 13–15 May 2019 | YouGov-Galaxy [3] | 39% | 37% | 9% | 3% | 12% [b] | 49% | 51% |
| 12–15 May 2019 | Ipsos [4] | 39% | 33% | 13% | 4% | 11% [c] | 49% | 51% |
| 10–14 May 2019 | Essential [5] | 38.5% | 36.2% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| 10–12 May 2019 | Roy Morgan [6] | 38.5% | 35.5% | 10% | 4% | 12% [d] | 48% | 52% |
| 9–11 May 2019 | Newspoll [7] | 39% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 11% [e] | 49% | 51% |
| 8 May 2019 | Third leaders' debate | |||||||
| 2–6 May 2019 | Essential [8] | 38% | 34% | 12% | 7% | 9% | 48% | 52% |
| 4–5 May 2019 | Roy Morgan [9] | 38.5% | 34% | 11% | 4% | 12.5% [f] | 49% | 51% |
| 2–5 May 2019 | Newspoll [10] | 38% | 36% | 9% | 5% | 12% [g] | 49% | 51% |
| 1–4 May 2019 | Ipsos [11] | 36% | 33% | 14% | 5% | 12% [h] | 48% | 52% |
| 3 May 2019 | Second leaders' debate | |||||||
| 29 Apr 2019 | First leaders' debate | |||||||
| 25–29 Apr 2019 | Essential [12] | 39% | 37% | 9% | 6% | 9% | 49% | 51% |
| 27–28 Apr 2019 | Roy Morgan [13] | 39.5% | 36% | 9.5% | 2.5% | 12.5% [i] | 49% | 51% |
| 26–28 Apr 2019 | Newspoll [14] | 38% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 12% [j] | 49% | 51% |
| 23–25 Apr 2019 | Galaxy [15] | 37% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 13% [k] | 48% | 52% |
| 20–21 Apr 2019 | Roy Morgan [16] | 39% | 35.5% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 11.5% [l] | 49% | 51% |
| 11–14 Apr 2019 | Newspoll [17] | 39% | 39% | 9% | 4% | 9% | 48% | 52% |
| 11 Apr 2019 | 2019 federal election campaign begins | |||||||
| 4–8 Apr 2019 | Essential [18] | 38% | 35% | 11% | 5% | 10% | 48% | 52% |
| 6–7 Apr 2019 | Roy Morgan [19] | 37% | 35% | 13.5% | 4% | 10.5% [m] | 47.5% | 52.5% |
| 4–7 Apr 2019 | Newspoll [20] | 38% | 37% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 48% | 52% |
| 3–6 Apr 2019 | Ipsos [21] | 37% | 34% | 13% | 5% | 11% | 47% | 53% |
| 25–28 Mar 2019 | Galaxy [22] | 35% | 37% | 10% | 8% | 10% [n] | 47% | 53% |
| 20–25 Mar 2019 | Essential [23] | 39% | 36% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 48% | 52% |
| 6–11 Mar 2019 | Essential [24] | 37% | 38% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 47% | 53% |
| 7–10 Mar 2019 | Newspoll [25] | 36% | 39% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 46% | 54% |
| 20–25 Feb 2019 | Essential [26] | 38% | 37% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 48% | 52% |
| 21–24 Feb 2019 | Newspoll [27] | 37% | 39% | 9% | 5% | 10% | 47% | 53% |
| 12–15 Feb 2019 | Ipsos [28] | 38% | 33% | 13% | 5% | 11% | 49% | 51% |
| 6–11 Feb 2019 | Essential [29] | 34% | 38% | 10% | 7% | 11% | 45% | 55% |
| 7–10 Feb 2019 | Newspoll [30] | 37% | 39% | 9% | 5% | 10% | 47% | 53% |
| 23–31 Jan 2019 | Essential [31] | 38% | 36% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 48% | 52% |
| 24–27 Jan 2019 | Newspoll [32] | 37% | 38% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 47% | 53% |
| 9–13 Jan 2019 | Essential [33] | 38% | 38% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 47% | 53% |
| 13–16 Dec 2018 | Essential [34] | 37% | 36% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
| 12–15 Dec 2018 | Ipsos [35] | 36% | 37% | 13% | 6% | 9% | 46% | 54% |
| 6–9 Dec 2018 | Newspoll [32] | 35% | 41% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 45% | 55% |
| 29 Nov – 2 Dec 2018 | Essential [36] | 38% | 39% | 10% | 6% | 7% | 46% | 54% |
| 22–25 Nov 2018 | Newspoll [37] | 34% | 40% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 45% | 55% |
| 15–18 Nov 2018 | Essential [38] | 37% | 35% | 11% | 7% | 10% | 48% | 52% |
| 15–17 Nov 2018 | Ipsos [39] | 37% | 34% | 13% | 5% | 11% | 48% | 52% |
| 8–11 Nov 2018 | Newspoll [40] | 35% | 40% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 45% | 55% |
| 1–4 Nov 2018 | Essential [41] | 36% | 39% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 46% | 54% |
| 25–28 Oct 2018 | Newspoll [42] | 36% | 39% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 46% | 54% |
| 18–21 Oct 2018 | Essential [43] | 38% | 37% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 47% | 53% |
| 11–13 Oct 2018 | Newspoll [44] | 37% | 38% | 11% | 6% | 8% | 47% | 53% |
| 10–13 Oct 2018 | Ipsos [45] | 35% | 35% | 15% | 5% | 10% | 45% | 55% |
| 5–7 Oct 2018 | Essential [46] | 37% | 36% | 12% | 5% | 10% | 47% | 53% |
| 20–23 Sep 2018 | Essential [47] | 37% | 36% | 12% | 5% | 10% | 47% | 53% |
| 20–23 Sep 2018 | Newspoll [48] | 36% | 39% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 46% | 54% |
| 12–15 Sep 2018 | Ipsos [49] | 34% | 31% | 15% | 7% | 13% | 47% | 53% |
| 6–9 Sep 2018 | Essential [50] | 36% | 37% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 46% | 54% |
| 6–9 Sep 2018 | Newspoll [51] | 34% | 42% | 10% | 6% | 8% | 44% | 56% |
| 25–26 Aug 2018 | Roy Morgan [52] | 36.5% | 36% | 13% | 2.5% | 12% | 46% | 54% |
| 24–26 Aug 2018 | Essential [53] | 35% | 39% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 45% | 55% |
| 24–25 Aug 2018 | Newspoll [54] | 33% | 41% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 44% | 56% |
| 24 Aug 2018 | Scott Morrison elected Prime Minister in leadership spill against Malcolm Turnbull | |||||||
| 15–18 Aug 2018 | Ipsos [55] | 33% | 35% | 13% | 8% | 11% | 45% | 55% |
| 9-12 Aug 2018 | Newspoll [56] | 37% | 35% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 49% | 51% |
| 2-2 Aug 2018 | ReachTEL [57] | 37% | 34% | 12% | 8% | 8% | 48% | 52% |
| 26-29 Jul 2018 | Newspoll [58] | 39% | 36% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 49% | 51% |
| 12-15 Jul 2018 | Essential [59] | 40% | 36% | 10% | 6% | 8% | 49% | 51% |
| 12-15 Jul 2018 | Newspoll [60] | 38% | 36% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 49% | 51% |
| 28 Jun - 1 Jul 2018 | Essential [61] | 40% | 37% | 11% | 6% | 6% | 48% | 52% |
| 28 Jun - 1 Jul 2018 | Newspoll [62] | 39% | 37% | 9% | 6% | 9% | 49% | 51% |
| 21–24 Jun 2018 | Ipsos [63] | 35% | 35% | 12% | 6% | 12% | 47% | 53% |
| 14–17 Jun 2018 | Newspoll [64] | 38% | 38% | 10% | 6% | 8% | 48% | 52% |
| 14–17 Jun 2018 | Essential [65] | 38% | 35% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 48% | 52% |
| 2 Jun 2018 | ReachTEL [66] | 35% | 34% | 11% | 9% | 11% | 48% | 52% |
| 31 May – 3 Jun 2018 | Essential [67] | 36% | 37% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 46% | 54% |
| 24–27 May 2018 | Newspoll [68] | 38% | 38% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 48% | 52% |
| 17–20 May 2018 | Essential [69] | 40% | 36% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 49% | 51% |
| 10–13 May 2018 | Essential [70] | 38% | 36% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 48% | 52% |
| 10–13 May 2018 | Newspoll [71] | 39% | 38% | 9% | 6% | 8% | 49% | 51% |
| 10–12 May 2018 | Ipsos [72] | 36% | 37% | 11% | 5% | 11% | 46% | 54% |
| 3–6 May 2018 | Essential [73] | 38% | 37% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
| 30 Apr 2018 | ReachTEL [74] | 36% | 35% | 11% | 6% | 12% | 48% | 52% |
| 19–22 Apr 2018 | Essential [75] | 37% | 36% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 47% | 53% |
| 19-22 Apr 2018 | Newspoll [76] | 38% | 37% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 49% | 51% |
| 5–8 Apr 2018 | Essential [77] | 38% | 37% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 47% | 53% |
| 5–8 Apr 2018 | Newspoll [78] | 38% | 37% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 48% | 52% |
| 3–5 Apr 2018 | Ipsos [79] [80] | 36% | 34% | 12% | 8% | 10% | 48% | 52% |
| 24 Mar – 1 Apr 2018 | Roy Morgan [81] | 38.5% | 37.5% | 11% | 3% | 10% | 49% | 51% |
| 28 Mar 2018 | ReachTEL [82] | 34% | 36% | 10% | 7% | 13% | 46% | 54% |
| 22–25 Mar 2018 | Essential [83] | 38% | 36% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 48% | 52% |
| 22–25 Mar 2018 | Newspoll [84] | 37% | 39% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 47% | 53% |
| 17–25 Mar 2018 | Roy Morgan [85] | 40% | 35% | 12% | 3.5% | 9.5% | 49% | 51% |
| 8–11 Mar 2018 | Essential [86] | 36% | 38% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 46% | 54% |
| 3–11 Mar 2018 | Roy Morgan [87] | 36% | 36% | 13.5% | 3% | 11.5% | 46% | 54% |
| 1–4 Mar 2018 | Newspoll [88] | 37% | 38% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
| 22–25 Feb 2018 | Essential [89] | 35% | 35% | 10% | 8% | 12% | 47% | 53% |
| 24 Feb 2018 | ReachTEL [90] | 33% | 37% | 11% | 7% | 12% | 46% | 54% |
| 15–18 Feb 2018 | Newspoll [91] | 36% | 37% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
| 8–11 Feb 2018 | Essential [92] | 36% | 37% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 46% | 54% |
| 1–3 Feb 2018 | Newspoll [93] | 38% | 37% | 10% | 5% | 10% | 48% | 52% |
| 26–28 Jan 2018 | Essential [94] | 35% | 36% | 10% | 8% | 11% | 46% | 54% |
| 25 Jan 2018 | ReachTEL [95] | 34% | 36% | 10% | 8% | 12% | 48% | 52% |
| 11–15 Jan 2018 | Essential [96] | 37% | 38% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 47% | 53% |
| 19 Dec 2017 | Essential [97] | 37% | 38% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
| 14–17 Dec 2017 | Newspoll [98] | 36% | 37% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 47% | 53% |
| 12 Dec 2017 | Essential [99] | 35% | 38% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 46% | 54% |
| 7–10 Dec 2017 | YouGov [100] | 34% | 35% | 11% | 8% | 13% | 50% | 50% |
| 5 Dec 2017 | Essential [101] | 35% | 38% | 9% | 8% | 10% | 45% | 55% |
| 30 Nov − 3 Dec 2017 | Newspoll [102] | 36% | 37% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
| 29 Nov 2017 | ReachTEL [103] | 33% | 36% | 10% | 9% | 12% | 47% | 53% |
| 28 Nov 2017 | Essential [104] | 36% | 38% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 46% | 54% |
| 23–27 Nov 2017 | YouGov [105] | 32% | 32% | 10% | 11% | 16% | 47% | 53% |
| 21 Nov 2017 | Essential [106] | 35% | 38% | 9% | 8% | 10% | 46% | 54% |
| 14 Nov 2017 | YouGov [107] | 31% | 34% | 11% | 11% | 14% | 48% | 52% |
| 14 Nov 2017 | Essential [108] | 36% | 38% | 9% | 8% | 10% | 46% | 54% |
| 13 Nov 2017 | Newspoll [109] | 34% | 38% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 45% | 55% |
| 30 Oct 2017 | Essential [110] | 36% | 37% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 46% | 54% |
| 26–29 Oct 2017 | Newspoll | 35% | 37% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 46% | 54% |
| 24 Oct 2017 | Essential [111] | 37% | 36% | 9% | 8% | 10% | 48% | 52% |
| 12–15 Oct 2017 | Newspoll | 36% | 37% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 46% | 54% |
| 4 Oct 2017 | Essential [112] | 36% | 38% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 46% | 54% |
| 1 Oct 2017 | ReachTEL [113] | 36% | 38% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
| 26 Sep 2017 | Essential [114] | 37% | 37% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
| 21–24 Sep 2017 | Newspoll [115] | 36% | 38% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 46% | 54% |
| 19 Sep 2017 | Essential [116] | 38% | 36% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 48% | 52% |
| 14–18 Sep 2017 | YouGov [117] | 34% | 35% | 11% | 9% | 11% | 50% | 50% |
| 12 Sep 2017 | Essential [118] | 36% | 37% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 46% | 54% |
| 6–9 Sep 2017 | Ipsos [119] [120] | 35% | 34% | 14% | 1% | 15% | 47% | 53% |
| 5 Sep 2017 | Essential [118] | 36% | 37% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
| 31 Aug – 4 Sep 2017 | YouGov [121] | 34% | 32% | 12% | 9% | 13% | 50% | 50% |
| 28 Aug – 2 Sep 2017 | Newspoll [122] | 37% | 38% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 47% | 53% |
| 29 Aug 2017 | Essential [123] | 37% | 36% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
| 23 Aug 2017 | ReachTEL [124] | 34.5% | 36.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 48% | 52% |
| 22 Aug 2017 | Essential [125] | 37% | 37% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
| 17–21 Aug 2017 | YouGov [126] | 34% | 33% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 51% | 49% |
| 17–20 Aug 2017 | Newspoll [127] | 35% | 38% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 46% | 54% |
| 15 Aug 2017 | Essential [128] | 37% | 39% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 46% | 54% |
| 8 Aug 2017 | Essential [129] | 37% | 39% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 46% | 54% |
| 3–6 Aug 2017 | Newspoll [130] | 36% | 36% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
| 1 Aug 2017 | Essential [131] | 38% | 36% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 48% | 52% |
| 25 Jul 2017 | Essential [132] | 38% | 37% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 47% | 53% |
| 20–24 Jul 2017 | YouGov [133] | 36% | 33% | 10% | 8% | 13% | 50% | 50% |
| 20–23 Jul 2017 | Newspoll [134] | 36% | 37% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
| 19 Jul 2017 | ReachTEL [135] | 37.2% | 35.1% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 7.2% | 49% | 51% |
| 18 Jul 2017 | Essential [136] | 36% | 38% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 46% | 54% |
| 6–11 Jul 2017 | YouGov [137] | 36% | 33% | 12% | 7% | 12% | 52% | 48% |
| 6–9 Jul 2017 | Newspoll [138] | 35% | 36% | 10% | 11% | 8% | 47% | 53% |
| 29 June 2017 | ReachTEL [139] | 36.4% | 35.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 48% | 52% |
| 22–27 Jun 2017 | YouGov [140] | 33% | 34% | 12% | 7% | 14% | 49% | 51% |
| 15–18 Jun 2017 | Newspoll [141] | 36% | 37% | 9% | 11% | 7% | 47% | 53% |
| 14 June 2017 | Essential [142] | 38% | 36% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 48% | 52% |
| 26–29 May 2017 | Newspoll [143] | 36% | 36% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
| 23 May 2017 | Essential [144] | 37% | 38% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 46% | 54% |
| 12–15 May 2017 | Newspoll [145] | 36% | 36% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
| 11 May 2017 | ReachTEL [146] | 38% | 34.1% | 10.9% | 11% | 6% | 47% | 53% |
| 10–11 May 2017 | Ipsos [147] | 37% | 35% | 13% | 2% | 13% | 47% | 53% |
| 26–30 Apr 2017 | Essential [148] | 38% | 37% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
| 20–23 Apr 2017 | Newspoll [149] | 36% | 35% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 48% | 52% |
| 13–16 Apr 2017 | Essential [150] | 36% | 37% | 10% | 8% | 10% | 46% | 54% |
| 6–9 Apr 2017 | Essential [151] | 37% | 36% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
| 1–4 Apr 2017 | Essential [152] | 37% | 36% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
| 30 Mar – 2 Apr 2017 | Newspoll [153] | 36% | 36% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 47% | 53% |
| 24–27 Mar 2017 | Essential [154] | 35% | 37% | 10% | 8% | 11% | 46% | 54% |
| 22–25 Mar 2017 | Ipsos [155] [156] | 33% | 34% | 16% | 2% | 15% | 45% | 55% |
| 17–20 Mar 2017 | Essential [157] | 34% | 37% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 45% | 55% |
| 16–19 Mar 2017 | Newspoll [158] | 37% | 35% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 48% | 52% |
| 10–13 Mar 2017 | Essential [159] | 35% | 36% | 9% | 11% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
| 3–6 Mar 2017 | Essential [160] | 37% | 37% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 47% | 53% |
| 23–26 Feb 2017 | Newspoll [161] | 34% | 37% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 45% | 55% |
| 16–19 Feb 2017 | Essential [162] | 36% | 34% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 48% | 52% |
| 9–12 Feb 2017 | Essential [163] | 36% | 35% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 48% | 52% |
| 2–5 Feb 2017 | Newspoll [164] | 35% | 36% | 10% | 8% | 11% | 46% | 54% |
| 20–23 Jan 2017 | Essential [165] | 35% | 37% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 46% | 54% |
| 13–16 Jan 2017 | Essential [166] | 38% | 37% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 47% | 53% |
| 12 Jan 2017 | ReachTEL [167] | 37.1% | 35.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 46% | 54% |
| 9–12 Dec 2016 | Essential [168] | 37% | 37% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
| 1–4 Dec 2016 | Newspoll [169] | 39% | 36% | 10% | 5% | 10% | 48% | 52% |
| 25–28 Nov 2016 | Essential [170] | 39% | 36% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 49% | 51% |
| 24–26 Nov 2016 | Ipsos [171] | 36% | 30% | 16% | 7% | 9% | 49% | 51% |
| 17–20 Nov 2016 | Newspoll [172] | 38% | 38% | 10% | 4% | 10% | 47% | 53% |
| 11–14 Nov 2016 | Essential [173] | 37% | 37% | 11% | 6% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
| 3–6 Nov 2016 | Newspoll [174] | 39% | 38% | 10% | – | 13% | 47% | 53% |
| 20–23 Oct 2016 | Newspoll [175] | 39% | 37% | 10% | 5% | 9% | 48% | 52% |
| 14–17 Oct 2016 | Essential [176] | 37% | 37% | 11% | 5% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
| 7–10 Oct 2016 | Essential [177] | 38% | 36% | 10% | 6% | 10% | 48% | 52% |
| 6–9 Oct 2016 | Newspoll [178] | 39% | 36% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 48% | 52% |
| 22–25 Sep 2016 | Newspoll [179] | 38% | 37% | 10% | – | 15% | 48% | 52% |
| 9–12 Sep 2016 | Essential [180] | 38% | 37% | 10% | 5% | 11% | 48% | 52% |
| 8–11 Sep 2016 | Newspoll [181] | 41% | 36% | 9% | – | 14% | 50% | 50% |
| 26–29 Aug 2016 | Essential [182] | 40% | 37% | 10% | – | 13% | 49% | 51% |
| 25–28 Aug 2016 | Newspoll [183] | 41% | 36% | 9% | – | 14% | 50% | 50% |
| 19–22 Aug 2016 | Essential [184] | 39% | 36% | 10% | – | 15% | 49% | 51% |
| 12–15 Aug 2016 | Essential [185] | 39% | 37% | 10% | – | 14% | 48% | 52% |
| 5–8 Aug 2016 | Essential [186] | 40% | 37% | 10% | – | 13% | 48% | 52% |
| 27 Jul – 1 Aug 2016 | Essential [187] | 39% | 37% | 10% | – | 14% | 48% | 52% |
| 20–24 Jul 2016 | Essential [188] | 39% | 37% | 10% | – | 14% | 48% | 52% |
| 13–17 Jul 2016 | Essential [189] | 39% | 36% | 10% | – | 15% | 49% | 51% |
| 6–10 Jul 2016 | Essential [190] | 41% | 36% | 10% | – | 13% | 49% | 51% |
| 30 Jun – 3 Jul 2016 | Essential [191] | 41% | 37% | 10% | – | 12% | 50% | 50% |
| 2 July 2016 election | 42.0% | 34.7% | 10.2% | 1.3% | 11.8% | 50.4% | 49.6% | |
| 28 Jun – 1 Jul 2016 | Newspoll [192] | 42% | 35% | 10% | – | 13% | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| 30 Jun 2016 | ReachTEL [193] | 42.8% | 34.6% | 10.7% | – | 12% | 51% | 49% |
| 27–30 Jun 2016 | Essential [194] | 42.5% | 34.5% | 11.5% | – | 12% | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| 28–29 Jun 2016 | Galaxy [195] | 43% | 36% | 10% | – | 11% | 51% | 49% |
| 26–29 Jun 2016 | Ipsos [196] | 40% | 33% | 13% | – | 14% | 50% | 50% |
| Date | Firm | Preferred prime minister | Morrison | Shorten | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morrison | Shorten | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | ||||||
| 15–16 May 2019 | Newspoll [2] | 45% | 38% | 46% | 45% | 41% | 49% | ||||
| 12–15 May 2019 | Ipsos [4] | 47% | 40% | 48% | 43% | 43% | 48% | ||||
| 1–4 Apr 2019 | Ipsos [11] | 46% | 35% | 47% | 44% | 40% | 51% | ||||
| 3–6 Apr 2019 | Ipsos [197] | 46% | 35% | 48% | 39% | 36% | 51% | ||||
| 17 Feb 2019 | Ipsos [28] | 48% | 38% | 49% | 40% | 40% | 52% | ||||
| 7–10 Feb 2019 | Newspoll [30] | 44% | 35% | 43% | 45% | 36% | 51% | ||||
| 13–15 Dec 2018 | Ipsos [35] | 46% | 37% | 47% | 39% | 41% | 50% | ||||
| 8–11 Nov 2018 | Newspoll [40] | 42% | 36% | 39% | 47% | 35% | 50% | ||||
| 25–28 Oct 2018 | Newspoll [42] | 43% | 35% | 41% | 44% | 37% | 50% | ||||
| 19–21 Oct 2018 | Essential [43] | 42% | 27% | 43% | 28% | 33% | 28% | ||||
| 22–24 Sep 2018 | Essential [47] | 39% | 27% | 37% | 31% | 35% | 31% | ||||
| 20–23 Sep 2018 | Newspoll [48] | 45% | 32% | 44% | 39% | 32% | 54% | ||||
| 8–10 Sep 2018 | Essential [50] | 39% | 27% | 37% | 31% | 35% | 43% | ||||
| 6–9 Sep 2018 | Newspoll [51] | 42% | 36% | 41% | 39% | 37% | 51% | ||||
| 24–25 Aug 2018 | Newspoll [54] | 33% | 39% | – | – | – | – | ||||
| 24 Aug 2018 | Scott Morrison replaces Malcolm Turnbull as Liberal leader | ||||||||||
| Turnbull | Shorten | Turnbull | Shorten | ||||||||
| 9–12 Aug 2018 | Newspoll [56] | 44% | 32% | 36% | 55% | 32% | 56% | ||||
| 26–29 Jul 2018 | Newspoll [58] | 48% | 29% | 42% | 48% | 32% | 57% | ||||
| 18–21 Jul 2018 | Ipsos [198] | 57% | 30% | 55% | 38% | 38% | 54% | ||||
| 16 July 2018 | Newspoll [199] | 48% | 29% | 39% | 50% | 33% | 55% | ||||
| 10–13 May 2018 | Newspoll [71] | 46% | 32% | 41% | 49% | 32% | 56% | ||||
| 3–6 May 2018 | Essential [200] | 40% | 26% | 40% | 42% | 37% | 41% | ||||
| 4–6 Mar 2018 | Essential [148] | 37% | 35% | - | - | - | - | ||||
| 26–30 Apr 2017 | Essential [148] | 45% | 31% | 35% | 47% | 33% | 47% | ||||
| 20–23 Apr 2017 | Newspoll [149] | 42% | 33% | 32% | 57% | 33% | 53% | ||||
| 30 Mar – 2 April 2017 | Newspoll [153] | 41% | 32% | 30% | 59% | 32% | 54% | ||||
| 22–25 Mar 2017 | Ipsos [155] | 45% | 33% | - | - | - | - | ||||
| 17–20 Mar 2017 | Essential [157] | 43% | 29% | - | - | - | - | ||||
| 16–19 Mar 2017 | Newspoll [158] | 43% | 29% | 30% | 57% | 29% | 57% | ||||
| 10–13 Mar 2017 | Essential [159] | 38% | 26% | 33% | 50% | 30% | 49% | ||||
| 23–26 Feb 2017 | Newspoll [201] | 40% | 33% | 29% | 59% | 30% | 56% | ||||
| 2–5 Feb 2017 | Newspoll [164] | 42% | 30% | 35% | 54% | 32% | 54% | ||||
| 1–4 Dec 2016 | Newspoll [169] | 41% | 32% | 32% | 55% | 34% | 51% | ||||
| 24–26 Nov 2016 | Ipsos [171] | 51% | 30% | 45% | 45% | 37% | 53% | ||||
| 17–20 Nov 2016 | Newspoll [172] | 43% | 33% | 34% | 54% | 36% | 51% | ||||
| 3–6 Nov 2016 | Newspoll [174] | 42% | 32% | 30% | 58% | 36% | 51% | ||||
| 20–23 Oct 2016 | Newspoll [175] | 42% | 32% | 29% | 57% | 36% | 51% | ||||
| 6–9 Oct 2016 | Newspoll [178] | 45% | 30% | 31% | 56% | 35% | 51% | ||||
| 9–12 Sep 2016 | Essential [180] | 41% | 26% | 35% | 43% | 36% | 41% | ||||
| 8–11 Sep 2016 | Newspoll [181] | 43% | 31% | 34% | 53% | 35% | 52% | ||||
| 25–28 Aug 2016 | Newspoll [183] | 43% | 32% | 34% | 52% | 36% | 50% | ||||
| 5–8 Aug 2016 | Essential [186] | 40% | 30% | 38% | 43% | 37% | 41% | ||||
| 6–10 Jul 2016 | Essential [190] | 39% | 31% | 37% | 48% | 39% | 41% | ||||
| 2 July 2016 election | |||||||||||
| 28 Jun – 1 July 2016 | Newspoll [192] | 48% | 31% | 40% | 47% | 36% | 51% | ||||
| 30 June 2016 | ReachTEL [193] | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | - | - | - | ||||
| 26–29 Jun 2016 | Ipsos [196] | 49% | 35% | 49% | 41% | 42% | 50% | ||||
| 23–26 Jun 2016 | Essential [202] | 40% | 29% | 40% | 40% | 37% | 39% | ||||
| ^ Remainder were "uncommitted" to either leader. | |||||||||||