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All 240 seats in the National Assembly 121 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria by 11 January 2029 following a succession of snap elections beginning amidst a political crisis that began in 2021. [1] [2]
The opinion poll results below were recalculated from the original data by excluding undecided and non-voters.
121 seats are needed for a parliamentary majority and all parties need to pass a 4% threshold (calculated excluding 'none of the above' votes) to win seats in the National Assembly.
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample | GERB–SDS | PP–DB | Vaz | DPS–NN | BSP–OL | APS | ITN | MECh | Others | NOTA | Lead | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Myara | 6–16 Feb 2025 | 803 | 28.2 68 | 14.8 36 | 14.4 34 | 10.8 26 | 7.2 17 | 7.4 18 | 6.8 16 | 6.3 15 | 9.9 [a] | – [b] | 13.4 | ||||
Market Links | 25 Jan–3 Feb 2025 | 1008 | 27.5 73 | 15.5 41 | 13.1 35 | 11 29 | 6.6 17 | 8.4 22 | 4.9 13 | 4.1 10 | 8.9 | 2.7 [b] | 12.3 | ||||
Trend | 24–30 Jan 2025 | 1003 | 26.6 73 | 13.2 36 | 13.0 35 | 10.3 28 | 6.9 18 | 7.1 19 | 5.9 16 | 5.6 15 | 11.4 [c] | – [b] | 13.4 | ||||
Alpha Research | 15–20 Jan 2025 | 1000 | 27.3 71 | 14.1 36 | 13.8 36 | 11.4 29 | 8.4 21 | 7.9 20 | 6.5 17 | 4.2 10 | 4.9 | – [b] | 13.2 | ||||
16 January 2025 | The Zhelyazkov Government is sworn in | ||||||||||||||||
Gallup International | 8–12 Jan 2025 | 800 | 26.6 69 | 13.6 35 | 14.2 36 | 14.1 36 | 8.4 22 | 6.8 17 | 5.3 13 | 4.9 12 | 6.1 [d] | – [b] | 12.4 | ||||
Market Links | 12–20 Dec 2024 | 1,007 | 27.5 74 | 15.4 42 | 14.1 38 | 12.5 34 | 7.7 21 | 6.8 18 | 4.8 13 | 3.6 0 | 7.6 | 2.4 [b] | 12.1 | ||||
October 2024 election results | 27 Oct 2024 | — | 26.4 69 | 14.2 37 | 13.35 35 | 11.55 30 | 7.56 20 | 7.48 19 | 6.78 18 | 4.6 12 | 8.06 | – [e] | 12.2 | ||||