Next Bulgarian parliamentary election

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Next Bulgarian parliamentary election
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←  Oct 2024
2026 (expected)
All 240 seats in the National Assembly
121 seats needed for a majority
PartyLeaderCurrent seats
GERB–SDS Boyko Borisov 66
PP–DB Assen Vassilev 36
Revival Kostadin Kostadinov 33
DPS–NN Delyan Peevski 29
BSP–OL Atanas Zafirov 19
APS Hayri Sadakov 17
ITN Slavi Trifonov 17
MECh Radostin Vasilev 11
Velichie Ivelin Mihaylov 10
Incumbent Prime Minister
Rosen Zhelyazkov
GERB

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria in 2026 following the resignation of the Zhelyazkov government on 11 December 2025 caused by a series of protests. [1] If triggered, this will be the country's seventh snap election since 2021, as a result of the political crisis affecting the country.

Contents

Background

The October 2024 elections produced a minority government headed by Prime Minister Rosen Zhelyazkov, comprising GERB–SDS, BSP–OL, and ITN, with APS supporting the government in confidence votes. [2] However, as a result of a ruling by the Bulgarian Supreme Court in March 2025, the Veliche party also gained seats, bringing down the coalition to exactly the minimum 121 seats compared to the 119 seats held by the opposition. [3]

Following DPS–NN leader Delyan Peevski's commitment to support the government in case the recalculation resulted in the loss of the government's majority, APS withdrew from the government in April 2025 because they refused to support a government with Peevski. [4] [5] The government survived a no-confidence vote days later due to Peevski's support, effectively creating a de facto confidence and supply agreement.

In December 2025, the Zhelyazkov Government resigned after weeks of protests against the 2026 budget and corruption within the government. [6] [7]

Opinion polls

Next-bg-election-polls-2025-10-21.png
Local regression of polls conducted, excluding "none of the above"

The opinion poll results below were recalculated from the original data by excluding undecided and non-voters.

121 seats are needed for a parliamentary majority and all parties need to pass a 4% threshold (calculated excluding 'none of the above' votes) to win seats in the National Assembly.

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample GERB–SDS PP–DB Vaz. DPS–NN BSP–OL APS ITN MECh Veli. Others NOTA Lead
Alpha Research 5 – 12 Dec 2025100924.7
70		20.5
58		13.4
38		10.8
31		5.7
16		1.9
0		4.4
12		4.8
14		2.4
0		11.4– [a] 3.2
11 Dec 2025The Zhelyazkov Government resigns
MarketLinks 3 – 7 Dec 2025100924.1
68		20.9
59		13.2
37		12.9
36		6.7
19		1.7
0		3.1
0		7.5
21		3.7
0		6.2– [a] 3.2
Gallup 29 Sep – 12 Oct 202590428.3
70		14.4
35		13.8
34		18.1
44		7.9
19		1.2
0		6.0
14		5.9
14		4.4
10		3.2– [a] 10.2
Trend 13–20 Sep 2025100428.4
70		14.3
35		14.9
37		14.5
36		7.7
19		2.7
0		6.1
15		7.0
17		4.4
11		6.9– [a] 13.5
Myara 04–12 Sep 202580228.7
71		14.8
37		14.6
36		14.5
36		7.1
17		2.8
0		5.7
14		7.0
17		4.8
12		6.2– [a] 13.9
Gallup 11–23 Jul 202580027.5
68		13.5
33		14.1
34		18.6
46		8.4
20		1.5
0		5.6
13		6.5
16		4.4
10		6.1 [b] – [a] 8.9
Alpha Research 07–14 Jul 20251,00028.3
71		15.4
38		12.8
32		14.6
36		9.0
22		3.1
0		5.2
13		7.0
17		4.6
11		10.0 [c] – [a] 12.9
Sova Harris 09–11 Jun 20251,00025.0
67		13.9
37		14.4
39		8.7
23		7.0
18		5.9
15		4.5
12		5.7
15		5.2
14		9.7– [a] 10.6
Gallup 28 May – 4 Jun 20251,20425.1
69		14.5
40		13.7
38		16.1
44		7.2
20		4.0
0		5.2
14		5.6
15		3.8
0		4.82.3 [a] 9.0
Trend 12–18 May 20251,00126.2
71		13.8
37		13.5
36		11.6
31		6.8
18		5.8
15		6
16		5.9
16		3.9
0		6.5 [d] – [a] 12.4
MarketLinks 18–30 Apr 20251,01025.4
64		17.2
44		13
33		12.9
33		6.8
17		6.2
15		4.3
10		5.2
13		4.6
11		4.52.9 [a] 7.0
17 Apr 2025The DPS–NN supports the government [8]
16 Apr 2025The APS withdraws its support from the government
Myara 3–13 Apr 202580727.9
67		15.0
36		14.0
34		10.9
26		7.1
17		7.5
18		6.7
16		6.5
15		4.5
11		5.2– [a] 12.9
MarketLinks 22–30 Mar 20251,00426.3
65		16.9
42		12.5
31		12.8
32		6.8
16		7.4
18		5.1
12		5.0
12		5.0
12		2.12.5 [a] 9.4
Gallup [ dead link ]19–30 Mar 202584625.8
68		15.4
41		12.3
32		16.0
42		6.6
17		5.3
14		5.1
13		4.8
13		3.9
0		5.1– [a] 9.6
Trend 10–16 Mar 20251,02026.7
73		13.6
37		12.5
34		10.9
29		6.9
18		6.7
18		5.9
16		5.7
15		3.9
0		7.2 [e] – [a] 13.1
13 Mar 2025 The Constitutional Court orders a seat re-calculation and Velichie re-enters the National Assembly [9] [10]
MarketLinks 22 Feb–2 Mar 20251,02525.7
68		16.0
42		13.0
34		13.4
35		6.8
18		7.5
19		4.3
11		4.9
13		–8.32.7 [a] 9.7
Gallup 13–20 Feb 202584126.5
74		11.8
32		12.6
35		12.5
34		8.2
22		5.9
16		5.2
14		4.7
13		3.8
0		5.0– [a] 13.9
Myara 6–16 Feb 202580328.2
68		14.8
36		14.4
34		10.8
26		7.2
17		7.4
18		6.8
16		6.3
15		4.0
10		5.9– [a] 13.4
Market Links 25 Jan–3 Feb 20251,00827.5
73		15.5
41		13.1
35		11
29		6.6
17		8.4
22		4.9
13		4.1
10		–8.92.7 [a] 12.3
Trend 24–30 Jan 20251,00326.6
73		13.2
36		13.0
35		10.3
28		6.9
18		7.1
19		5.9
16		5.6
15		3.8
0		7.6 [f] – [a] 13.4
Alpha Research 15–20 Jan 20251,00027.3
71		14.1
36		13.8
36		11.4
29		8.4
21		7.9
20		6.5
17		4.2
10		–4.9– [a] 13.2
16 Jan 2025The Zhelyazkov Government is sworn in
Gallup Archived 24 June 2025 at the Wayback Machine 8–12 Jan 202580026.6
69		13.6
35		14.2
36		14.1
36		8.4
22		6.8
17		5.3
13		4.9
12		3.6
0		2.5– [a] 12.4
Market Links 12–20 Dec 20241,00727.5
74		15.4
42		14.1
38		12.5
34		7.7
21		6.8
18		4.8
13		3.6
0		–7.62.4 [a] 12.1
October 2024 election 27 Oct 2024N/a26.4
69/66		14.2
37/36		13.4
35/33		11.5
30/29		7.6
20/19		7.5
19/19		6.8
18/17		4.6
12/11		4.0
0/10		4.1– [g] 12.2
  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 This poll reported the percentage respondents that do not support any party, or are undecided however the data was recalculated to exclude these percentages.
  2. ↑ including 1.9% undecided
  3. ↑ including 6.4% undecided
  4. ↑ Blue Bulgaria included, receiving 1.1%.
  5. ↑ Blue Bulgaria included, receiving 1.1%.
  6. ↑ Including Blue Bulgaria with 1.2%.
  7. ↑ The electoral commission excludes none of the above votes when calculating the percentages received by parties for the purpose of seat allocation.

References

  1. ↑ https://dariknews.bg/novini/bylgariia/kabinetyt-zheliazkov-podade-ostavka-video-2439765
  2. ↑ "Bulgaria's parliament approves new coalition government led by centre-right's Rosen Zhelyazkov". AP News. 16 January 2025. Retrieved 16 January 2025.
  3. ↑ Kilova, Milena (19 March 2025). "Ще остане ли стабилно управлението след влизането на "Величие" в парламента?". БНТ Новини (in Bulgarian).
  4. ↑ "ДПС-Доган реши: Напуска управляващото мнозинство". Mediapool.bg (in Bulgarian). 15 April 2025. Retrieved 16 April 2025.
  5. ↑ "Това правителство ще оцелее, според лидера на "Величие" Ивелин Михайлов". www.bta.bg (in Bulgarian). Retrieved 16 April 2025.
  6. ↑ "Bulgarian government collapses after weeks of mass protests". POLITICO. 11 December 2025. Retrieved 11 December 2025.
  7. ↑ Henley, Jon; Henley, Jon (11 December 2025). "Bulgarian government resigns after mass anti-corruption protests". The Guardian. ISSN   0261-3077 . Retrieved 11 December 2025.
  8. ↑ "Пеевски не вижда проблем със стабилността на кабинета, той ще го крепи". 16 April 2025.
  9. ↑ "Конституционният съд обяви за незаконен избора на 16 депутати, "Величие" влиза в НС". Mediapool.bg (in Bulgarian). 13 March 2025. Retrieved 13 March 2025.
  10. ↑ BNT (13 March 2025). "КС обяви за незаконен избора на 16 народни представители, "Величие" влиза в парламента". Bulgarian National Television .
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