Next Bulgarian parliamentary election

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Next Bulgarian parliamentary election
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  October 2024 By 11 January 2029

All 240 seats in the National Assembly
121 seats needed for a majority
PartyLeaderCurrent seats
GERB–SDS Boyko Borisov 69
PP–DB Kiril Petkov 37
Revival Kostadin Kostadinov 35
DPS–NN Delyan Peevski 30
BSP–OL Atanas Zafirov 20
APS Dzhevdet Chakarov 19
ITN Slavi Trifonov 18
MECh Radostin Vasilev 12

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria by 11 January 2029 following a succession of snap elections beginning amidst a political crisis that began in 2021. [1] [2]

Opinion polls

The opinion poll results below were recalculated from the original data by excluding undecided and non-voters.

121 seats are needed for a parliamentary majority and all parties need to pass a 4% threshold (calculated excluding 'none of the above' votes) to win seats in the National Assembly.

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample GERB–SDS PP–DB Vaz DPS–NN BSP–OL APS ITN MECh Others NOTA Lead
Myara 6–16 Feb 202580328.2
68
14.8
36
14.4
34
10.8
26
7.2
17
7.4
18
6.8
16
6.3
15
9.9 [a] [b] 13.4
Market Links 25 Jan–3 Feb 2025100827.5
73
15.5
41
13.1
35
11
29
6.6
17
8.4
22
4.9
13
4.1
10
8.92.7 [b] 12.3
Trend 24–30 Jan 2025100326.6
73
13.2
36
13.0
35
10.3
28
6.9
18
7.1
19
5.9
16
5.6
15
11.4 [c] [b] 13.4
Alpha Research 15–20 Jan 2025100027.3
71
14.1
36
13.8
36
11.4
29
8.4
21
7.9
20
6.5
17
4.2
10
4.9 [b] 13.2
16 January 2025The Zhelyazkov Government is sworn in
Gallup International 8–12 Jan 202580026.6
69
13.6
35
14.2
36
14.1
36
8.4
22
6.8
17
5.3
13
4.9
12
6.1 [d] [b] 12.4
Market Links 12–20 Dec 20241,00727.5
74
15.4
42
14.1
38
12.5
34
7.7
21
6.8
18
4.8
13
3.6
0
7.62.4 [b] 12.1
October 2024 election results 27 Oct 202426.4
69
14.2
37
13.35
35
11.55
30
7.56
20
7.48
19
6.78
18
4.6
12
8.06 [e] 12.2
  1. Including Velichie with 4% securing 10 seats.
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 This poll reported the percentage respondents that do not support any party, or are undecided however the data was recalculated to exclude these percentages.
  3. Including Velichie with 3.8% and Blue Bulgaria with 1.2%.
  4. Including Velichie with 3.6%.
  5. The electoral commission excludes none of the above votes when calculating the percentages received by parties for the purpose of seat allocation.

References

  1. "Bulgaria elections postponed as political crisis deepens". Politico. 19 August 2024. Retrieved 11 December 2024.
  2. "Bulgarian parliament paralysed as political crisis drags on". Euractiv. 18 November 2024. Retrieved 11 December 2024.