Opinion polling for the 2024 Polish local elections

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In the run up to the 2024 Polish local elections, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Poland. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2023 Polish parliamentary election, held on 15 October, to the day of the next local election.

Contents

Voivodeship Sejmiks

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

2024

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork
date
Sample
size
United Right Civic Coalition Third Way The Left Nonpartisan Local Government Activists Confederation OthersDon't knowLead
Polish Coalition Poland 2050
IPSOS 7 Apr33.731.913.56.82.77.53.91.8
ewybory.eu 15 Mar – 4 Apr9,60629.131.116.68.34.17.53.32.0
IBSP / Stan Polityki 3–5 Apr100029.7530.9814.915.146.658.823.751.23
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 3–4 Apr1,00026.326.29.99.34.48.44.710.80.1
IPSOS / OKO.press, TOK FM 2–4 Apr1,0002925117710294
Opinia24 / TVN 2-3 Apr1,001282911748941
United Surveys / WP.pl 22–23 Mar1,00029.427.410.58.44.57.52.89.52.0
CBOS 18–22 Mar1,0001922968113223
United Surveys / WP.pl 18 Mar1,00029.828.17.97.83.78.53.211.01.7
United Surveys / WP.pl 8–10 Mar1,00029.028.013.57.68.64.98.41.0
IBRiS / "RZ" 23–25 Feb1,00030.230.617.28.57.61.74.20.4
Local elections [1] 21 Oct 201816,534,085 [2] [lower-alpha 1] 34.1328.12 [lower-alpha 2] 12.078.19 [lower-alpha 3] 5.282.85 [lower-alpha 4] 9.3611.64

Gmina Councils

Kraków

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork
date
Sample
size
Civic Kraków Together for Kraków United Right Kraków for Citizens Confederation OthersDon't knowLead
Majchrowski's Committee Civic Coalition Poland 2050 Polish Coalition New Left
IBR & IBRiS 16 June 2023 [lower-alpha 5] 66052267232331.58Tie
IBRiS / Alpaka Innovations 21 Oct 2022 [lower-alpha 5] 66410211118191762.162
Dobra Opinia / LoveKraków.pl 7-10 Sep 202250015.611.08.83.222.834.42.61.611.6
Local elections [3] 21 Oct 2018329,661 [3] [lower-alpha 6] 43.653.1129.8212.733.047.669.82

Wrocław

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork
date
Sample
size
Civic Coalition Law and Justice The Left Third Way Confederation Nonpartisan Local Government Activists OthersDon't knowLead
Opinia24 8–12 Dec 2023500312115984210
Local elections [4] 21 Oct 2018255,133 [4] [lower-alpha 7] 37.62 [lower-alpha 2] 26.5542.137.43

Mayors

Kraków

First round

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork
date
Sample
size
Andrzej Kulig  [ pl ]
Friendly Kraków
Łukasz Kmita  [ pl ]
PiS
Małgorzata Wassermann
PiS
Łukasz Gibała  [ pl ]
Kraków for Citizens
Konrad Berkowicz
Confederation
Aleksander Miszalski  [ pl ]
KO
Rafał Komarewicz  [ pl ]
PL2050
Stanisław Mazur  [ pl ]
Better Kraków
OthersDon't knowLead
ewybory.eu 23 Mar - 3 Apr 20248009.121.330.05.427.95.41.02.1
Opinia24 11–15 Jan 2024520717335264177
Opinia24 8–12 Jan 20241,00051835619852216
Local elections [5] 21 Oct 2018337,781 [5] [lower-alpha 8] 45.8431.8817.142.502.6313.96

Second round

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork
date
Sample
size
Łukasz Gibała  [ pl ]
Kraków for Citizens
Aleksander Miszalski  [ pl ]
KO
Don't knowLead
Opinia24 8–12 Jan 20241,0005837521

Poznań

First round

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork
date
Sample
size
Jacek Jaśkowiak
KO
Bartłomiej Wróblewski
PiS
Beata Urbańska
Lewica
Dorota Bonk-Hammermeister
Common Poznań
Ewa Schädler  [ pl ]
PL2050
Piotr Tuczyński
Confederation
OthersDon't knowLead
IBRiS / "Rz" 29 Nov–1 Dec 20231,00043.115.08.67.29.52.214.328.1
Local elections [6] 21 Oct 2018227,036 [6] [lower-alpha 9] 55.9921.317.663.5111.5336.68

Second round

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork
date
Sample
size
Jacek Jaśkowiak
KO
Bartłomiej Wróblewski
PiS
Wouldn't voteDon't knowLead
IBRiS / "Rz" 29 Nov–1 Dec 20231,00070.420.63.65.449.8

Wrocław

First round

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork
date
Sample
size
Jacek Sutryk
Independent
Mirosława Stachowiak-Różecka
PiS
Robert Suligowski
The Greens
Michał Jaros
KO
Krzysztof Maj  [ pl ]
BS
Robert Grzechnik  [ pl ]
Confederation
Others/don't knowRefused to answerLead
SW Research 28 Dec 2023–4 Jan 20241,000341621541181018
Opinia24 / "Rz" 27 Nov–1 Dec 20231,010392016412119
Local elections [7] 21 Oct 2018258,297 [7] [lower-alpha 10] 50.2027.501.3520.9522.70
Polling firm/LinkFieldwork
date
Sample
size
Jacek Sutryk
Independent
Paweł Hreniak
PiS
Michał Jaros
KO
Krzysztof Śmiszek
Lewica
Izabela Bodnar
PL2050
Krzysztof Tuduj
Confederation
Krzysztof Maj  [ pl ]
BS
OthersDon't knowLead
Opinia24 8–12 Dec 20235002617181477488
Local elections [7] 21 Oct 2018258,297 [7] [lower-alpha 11] 50.2027.5022.3022.70

Second round

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork
date
Sample
size
Jacek Sutryk
Independent
Michał Jaros
KO
Don't knowLead
Opinia24 8–12 Dec 2023500494475
Polling firm/LinkFieldwork
date
Sample
size
Jacek Sutryk
Independent
Agnieszka Dziemianowicz-Bąk
Lewica
Don't knowLead
Opinia24 8–12 Dec 20235005437917
Polling firm/LinkFieldwork
date
Sample
size
Jacek Sutryk
Independent
Michał Kobosko
PL2050
Don't knowLead
Opinia24 8–12 Dec 20235005735822

Notes

  1. Turnout: 54.90%
  2. 1 2 Combined results of Platform.Modern Civic Coalition and The Greens
  3. Combined results of SLD Left Together and Together
  4. Combined results of Liberty in Local Governments and National Movement
  5. 1 2 Publication date
  6. Turnout: 56.79%
  7. Turnout: 52.83%
  8. Turnout: 58.19%
  9. Turnout: 56.63%
  10. Turnout: 53.48%
  11. Turnout: 53.48%

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References

  1. "Wybory samorządowe 2018 – Voting results & statistics". wybory.gov.pl. Retrieved 29 November 2023.
  2. "Wybory samorządowe 2018 – Attendance". wybory.gov.pl. Retrieved 29 November 2023.
  3. 1 2 "Wybory samorządowe 2018 – Miasto Kraków – Wyniki wyborów do rady miasta". wybory.gov.pl. Retrieved 29 November 2023.
  4. 1 2 "Wybory samorządowe 2018 – Miasto Wrocław – Wyniki wyborów do rady miasta". wybory.gov.pl. Retrieved 28 December 2023.
  5. 1 2 "Wybory samorządowe 2018 – Miasto Kraków – Wyniki wyborów na prezydenta". wybory.gov.pl. Retrieved 11 February 2024.
  6. 1 2 "Wybory samorządowe 2018 – Miasto Poznań – Wyniki wyborów na prezydenta". wybory.gov.pl. Retrieved 16 December 2023.
  7. 1 2 3 4 "Wybory samorządowe 2018 – Miasto Wrocław – Wyniki wyborów na prezydenta". wybory.gov.pl. Retrieved 16 December 2023.