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All 101 seats in Parliament 51 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Administrative divisions |
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Parliamentary elections will be held in Moldova on 28 September 2025. [1]
The last parliamentary election in Moldova was held on 11 July 2021, resulting in a landslide victory for the pro-European Party of Action and Solidarity (PAS), led by President Maia Sandu. PAS secured 63 out of 101 seats, allowing it to form a single-party majority government. The election marked a significant shift towards European integration, as PAS defeated the Bloc of Communists and Socialists, a pro-Russian electoral alliance. [2]
Since coming to power, the PAS-led government has pursued anti-corruption measures, judicial reforms, and European Union integration. [3] Pro-Russian opposition forces have organized protests against the government's economic policies. [4]
In the 2024 presidential election, incumbent Maia Sandu was re-elected with 55.3% of the vote, defeating pro-Russian candidate Alexandr Stoianoglo. [5] The election was overshadowed by Russian interference, with authorities seizing illegal propaganda materials. [6] Alongside the election, Moldova held a referendum on EU integration, which narrowly passed with 50.4% support. [7]
Moldova is grappling with major security and economic challenges, notably including energy security issues due to disrupted gas supplies from Russia. [8] The 2022 Russian invasion of neighboring Ukraine has triggered a massive influx of refugees into Moldova. [9] These difficulties have amplified the significance of the 2025 parliamentary elections; for President Sandu, according to Euronews, the election would be "a final battle" on Moldova's road to EU membership. [10]
The 101 members of Parliament are elected by party-list proportional representation in a single nationwide constituency. The electoral threshold at the national level varies according to the type of list; for parties or individual organizations it is 5%; for an electoral bloc it is 7%. For independent candidates, the threshold is 2%. [11]
According to Moldova's intelligence chief, Alexandru Musteață, the election is expected to face significant interference from Russia. He warned that Moscow is likely to employ the tactics used during the 2024 presidential election and the EU referendum, including disinformation campaigns, financial support for pro-Russian parties, and other covert efforts to destabilize Moldova's democratic process. The Moldovan government has expressed its determination to counter these threats. [12]
On 31 January, Moldovan opposition leader Alexandr Stoianoglo, who lost the 2024 presidential election to President Maia Sandu, announced the formation of a new coalition to challenge the pro-Western ruling majority. The coalition, called Alternative, unites three political parties led by Chișinău Mayor Ion Ceban, former Prime Minister Ion Chicu, and former lawmaker Mark Tkachuk. [13] While Stoianoglo campaigns on a foreign policy that includes both Russia and the West, he has leaned toward Russia, with his past presidential candidacy backed by the pro-Moscow PSRM. [14] Meanwhile, tensions between Moldova and Russia remain high, with accusations of Russia attempting to interfere in past elections and of worsening Moldova's energy crisis. [13]
In 2023, the National Alternative Movement (MAN) and the European Social Democratic Party (PSDE) started talks for a merger which fell apart in the prelude of the 2024 presidential election. [15] Tudor Ulianovschi claimed that PSDE was not invited into the MAN's Alternative coalition. [16] In May, former PDM leader Dumitru Diacov called for a merger of PSDE and Marian Lupu's Respect Moldova Movement (MRM). [17] In July, PSDE proposed a "European Moldova Alliance" with the Coalition for Unity and Welfare (CUB) and the League of Cities and Communes (LOC), both former members of the Together bloc. [18] In August, Boris Foca announced that the Modern Democratic Party (PDMM) will compete and called former PDM members to join. Diacov also reiterated his call for a merger of PSDE, MRM, and PDMM. [19]
On 4 June 2025, the For Moldova Platform was formed aiming to unite the opposition parties and later received support from the Party of Socialists, the Party of Communists and Future of Moldova Party. [20] On 4 July 2025, Igor Dodon announced negotiations for a left-wing bloc. [21] Vladimir Voronin later confirmed that the bloc would include the PSRM, PCRM, Heart of Moldova Party and the Future of Moldova Party. [22] Patriotic Electoral Bloc was registered on 3 August without PCRM [23] who joined five days later. [24]
In a 6 July 2025 congress of the Victory bloc held in Moscow in Russia, the bloc's leader, Moldovan fugitive oligarch Ilan Shor, stated that he wanted Evghenia Guțul, Governor of Gagauzia, to head Victory's electoral list for the 2025 parliamentary election. At the moment, Guțul was being investigated for two criminal cases and was under house arrest. Shor also stated at the same congress that he believed "the only salvation" for Moldova was "union with the Russian Federation" [25] and that "it makes no sense to talk about the country's independence", adding the comment "one currency, one parliament". [26]
On 5 August 2025, just weeks before the election, Guțul was sentenced to seven years in prison for using undeclared Russian funds to finance political activities. [27] In July, the Central Electoral Commission (CEC) cancelled Victory's registration. [28] After its cancellation, the members decided to register separately [29] but on the next day (3 August), Chance, FASM and Victory (as well as non-member Agrarian Party of Moldova) were barred too. [30] The Ministry of Justice announced that it sought to dissolve said parties alongside also Victory bloc member Revival Party. [31] On 15 August, Revival was barred from running too. [32]
On 20 August, PCRM leader Voronin commented on the so-called "kuliok" (black bag) case, stating that his coalition partner PSRM leader Dodon received 860,000 euros from Vladimir Plahotniuc and that he had already testified before the Anti-Corruption Prosecutor's Office. In the case, Dodon was accused of passive corruption and of organizing and accepting funding for a political party from a criminal organization. According to the charges, Dodon accepted money from then PDM leader and later fugitive oligarch Plahotniuc in 2019 to fund the PSRM. [33] [34]
On 23 August, the registration of the Greater Moldova Party (PMM) was rejected by the CEC, the stated reason being that, following the exclusion from its electoral list of a person convicted of domestic violence, which made the person ineligible for being included as a candidate, the party's list failed to meet the minimum quota of candidates from each gender required by the legislation in effect. [35] Party president Victoria Furtună, who has ties to Shor, claimed that the decision was politically motivated and that she would appeal it. [36] The Party for People, Nature, and Animals (PONA), led by Ion Dron, was also excluded for the same reason and also because of incomplete documentation as the CEC stated. [35]
On 3 September, after an interview to Moldova's Minister of Energy Dorin Junghietu, Euronews reported that Moldovan officials were anticipating an intensification of disinformation campaigns and even attacks on the Moldovan energy system by Russia to increase tensions before the parliamentary election. [37]
Party | Parliamentary faction | Main ideology | Leader(s) | Faction leader | Last election | Government | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PAS | Liberalism | Igor Grosu | Doina Gherman | 63 | Majority government | |||
PSRM | Patriotic Bloc | Socialism | Igor Dodon | Vlad Batrîncea | 32 | Opposition | ||
PCRM | Communism | Vladimir Voronin | Opposition | |||||
Independents (formerly Șor) | Russophilia | 6 | Opposition | |||||
The following table shows opinion polls on the 2025 parliamentary election taken since the 2021 election, as well as relevant developments involving the listed parties in the context of the election that took place meanwhile. A number in bold shows that the party surpassed the 5% threshold (7% for coalitions) to enter parliament. A smaller number shown below shows how many of the 101 seats in parliament the party would have taken. Explanatory notes are provided for extra necessary information.
Pollster | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PAS | BEP | Alternative | PN | Victory [b] | Together | PPDA [c] | LOC | CUB | PSDE | DA | PMM [b] | MRM | PNM | PLDM [b] | Others | Lead | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BCS | PRIM | PVM | ȘOR | PR [b] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
PSRM | PCRM | MAN | PDCM | CC | Șansă [b] | ȘOR [d] | PVE | PS | ||||||||||||||||||||||
iData [41] | 7–16 August 2025 | 1,071 | 33.8 41 | 30.1 36 | 10.9 13 | 9.3 11 | – [b] | 1.0 0 | 0.1 [c] 0 | 1.2 0 | 0.7 0 | 1.9 0 | 2.3 0 | 3.2 0 | 1.3 0 | 0.6 0 | – | 3.6 [e] 0 | 3.7 | |||||||||||
3 and 8 Aug 2025 | The Patriotic Electoral Bloc, formed by PSRM, PRIM and PVM, is registered; [23] PCRM officially joins the bloc five days later. [24] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
19 Jul 2025 | Central Electoral Commission of Moldova rejects the registration of the "Victory" political bloc; [28] all its members were later individually rejected too. [30] [32] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 and 18 Jul 2025 | League of Cities and Communes (7 Jul) [42] and Dignity and Truth Platform (18 Jul) leave "Together" political bloc; the latter announces it will run on PAS' list. [39] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
ATES Research Group [43] | 28 Jun–7 Jul 2025 | 1,032 | 39.1 50 | 14.9 19 | 4.0 0 | 3.6 0 | 1.6 0 | 9.4 12 | 7.7 10 | 8.9 11 | 3.1 0 | 0.1 0 | 2.3 0 | 2.0 0 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 0 | – | 1.0 [f] 0 | 24.2 | ||||||||||
IMAS [44] | 17–28 June 2025 | 1,116 | 31.5 | 17.4 | 3.2 | 5.8 | 2.3 | 11.7 | 9.4 | 10.4 | – | – | – | 1.2 | 2.7 | 0.8 | – | – | 2.9 | 14.1 | ||||||||||
30.0 | 34.8 | 11.4 | 8.9 | 9.5 | – | – | – | – | 2.1 | 0.8 | – | – | 2.5 | 4.8 | ||||||||||||||||
iData [45] | 14–23 Jun 2025 | 1,015 | 40.4 49 | 16.4 20 | 3.5 0 | 0.9 0 | 0.5 0 | 10.3 13 | 4.3 0 | 15.5 19 | 0.9 0 | 0.2 0 | 2.1 0 | 0.8 0 | 0.9 | 2.3 | – | – | 0.3 0 [g] | 24.0 | ||||||||||
iData [46] | 17–24 May 2025 | 1,006 | 39.2 46 | 16.5 19 | 3.4 0 | 2.0 0 | 1.3 0 | 9.3 12 | 5.4 6 | 16.0 18 | 0.9 0 | 0.2 0 | 2.6 0 | 0.4 0 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 0.1 0 | – | – | 22.7 | ||||||||||
Magenta Consulting–IRI [47] | 3–18 May 2025 | 1,206 | 43.9 | 20.7 | – | – | 14.6 | 4.8 | 3.7 | 2.4 | <1.2 | <1.2 | 2.4 | – | – | – | – | 2 | 23.2 | |||||||||||
iData [48] | 16–28 Apr 2025 | 1,026 | 38.7 45 | 17.0 20 | 2.9 0 | 1.6 0 | 1.0 0 | 9.9 11 | 6.2 7 | 15.8 18 | 1.3 0 | 0.3 0 | 3.3 0 | 0.3 0 | – | – | 0.1 0 | – | 4.8 0 | 22.9 | ||||||||||
ATES Research Group [49] [50] | 5–13 Apr 2025 | 1,130 | 41.7 | 15.4 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 10.3 | 7.9 | 9.2 | 2.4 | – | 2.3 | 2.3 | – | – | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 26.3 | ||||||||||
IMAS [51] | 26 Mar – 8 Apr 2025 | 1,113 | 33.1 | 17.7 | 3.5 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 12.0 | 8.8 | 11.6 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 | – | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 15.4 | ||||||||||
iData [52] | 14–25 Mar 2025 | 1,007 | 35.0 45 | 16.0 21 | 3.2 0 | 2.7 0 | 0.8 0 | 7.8 10 | 5.0 6 | 15.0 19 | 1.3 0 | 0.9 0 | 4.5 0 | 0.5 0 | – | – | 0.1 0 | 0.3 0 | – 0 | 19.0 | ||||||||||
1 Mar 2025 | Ecologist Green Party joins "Together" political bloc. [53] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
iData [54] | 13–24 Feb 2025 | 1,005 | 37.3 45 | 18.2 22 | 5.9 7 | 3.4 0 | – | 5.3 0 | 7.0 8 | 16.2 19 | – | 1.8 0 | 1.4 0 | 2.1 0 | 0.4 0 | – | – | 1.0 0 | – | – | 19.1 | |||||||||
Intellect Group [55] | 13–21 Feb 2025 | 1,179 | 43.6 | 20.5 | 2.1 | 4.2 | – | 11.6 | 9.2 | 6.6 | – | – | 1.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.3 | 23.1 | ||||||||
IMAS [56] | 15 Jan – 1 Feb 2025 | 1,130 | 33.6 | 28.2 | 5.3 | – | 2.8 | 2.4 | – | 10.0 | 11.8 | – | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.2 | – | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 5.4 | ||||||||
31 Jan 2025 | National Alternative Movement, Party of Development and Consolidation of Moldova, Civil Congress and Alexandr Stoianoglo form the Alternative political bloc. [57] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
iData-IPP [58] | 2–8 Dec 2024 | 1,006 | 44.0 49 | 20.4 23 | 2.4 0 | 1.3 0 | – | 5.3 6 | 1.9 0 | – | 6.9 8 | 13.9 15 | – | 1.6 0 | 1.2 0 | 0.8 0 | 0.1 0 | – | 0.1 0 | 0.1 0 | – | – | 23.6 | |||||||
IMAS [59] | 15 Nov – 01 Dec 2024 | 1,030 | 37.0 | 30.2 | 4.1 | – | 1.9 | 2.7 | – | 9.8 | 8.7 | – | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | – | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 6.8 | ||||||||
CBS Research–Watchdog [60] | 11–16 Oct 2024 | 1,034 | 58.3 | 15.9 | 2.9 | – | 2.7 | 0.5 | 1.1 | – | 7.7 | 7.7 | – | 0.9 | – | 0.9 | – | – | – | – | – | 1.6 | 42.4 | |||||||
Intellect Group [61] | 13–15 Oct 2024 | 985 | 40.2 | 16.6 | 4.4 | – | – | 4.7 | – | – | 14.8 | 12.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6.5 | 23.6 | ||||||
iData-IPP [62] [63] | 19 Sep–10 Oct 2024 | 1,100 | 36.0 | 15.8 | 3.3 | – | 0.9 | 1.6 | 3.2 | – | 13.6 | 17.6 | – | 2.3 | 1.9 | 2.4 | – | – | 0.1 | – | 1.2 | 0.1 | 20.2 | |||||||
CBS Research–Watchdog [64] | 17–22 Sep 2024 | 1,021 | 51.9 | 12.5 | 6.3 | – | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.6 | – | 6.1 | 12.0 | – | 2.1 | – | 2.8 | – | – | – | – | – | 1.7 | 39.4 | |||||||
iData [65] | 13–18 Sep 2024 | 1,021 | 37.6 46 | 15.4 18 | 1.8 0 | – | – | 4.1 0 | 4.6 0 | – | 13.4 16 | 17.5 21 | – | 1.3 0 | 1.5 0 | 1.6 0 | – | – | – | 0.1 0 | 0.3 0 | 0.8 [h] 0 | 20.1 | |||||||
iData [66] [67] | 19–25 Aug 2024 | 1,004 | 37.0 46 | 16.1 20 | 4.1 0 | – | – | 2.2 0 | 3.5 0 | – | 11.2 14 | 17.1 21 | – | 1.6 0 | 2.5 0 | – | – | – | – | – | 4.3 0 | 19.9 | ||||||||
CBS Research–Watchdog [68] | 20–23 Aug 2024 | 1,011 | 44.8 | 15.9 | 6.8 | – | 2.7 | 1.3 | 2.7 | – | 5.5 | 12.7 | – | 2.1 | 4.4 | – | – | – | – | – | 1.1 | 28.9 | ||||||||
9 Aug 2024 | Coalition for Unity and Welfare leaves "Together" political bloc. [69] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
IMAS [70] | 8–21 Jul 2024 | 1,093 | 41.1 | 25.4 | – | – | 1.9 | 3.8 | – | 7.1 | 13.7 | – | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.5 | – | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 15.7 | |||||||||
CBS-AXA [71] | 28 Jun–18 Jul 2024 | 1,119 | 40.8 | 22.1 | – | 1.5 | 3.8 | 3.2 | – | 8.1 | 12.8 | – | 1.4 | 1.4 | – | – | – | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2.6 [i] | 18.7 | |||||||||
IRI [72] [73] | 23 May–13 Jun 2024 | 1,225 | 44.0 | 20.0 | 4.0 | – | – | 4.0 | 6.7 | – | 5.3 | 12.0 | – | – | – | 1.3 | – | <1.3 | – | 1.3 | – | – | – | 1.3 | 2.7 | 24.0 | ||||
iData [74] | 22–27 May 2024 | 1,022 | 38.2 49 | 19.5 25 | 3.7 0 | – | – | 1.8 0 | 4.2 0 | – | 3.4 0 | 20.4 27 | – | 4.9 0 | 2.8 0 | – | – | – | – | – | 1.0 0 | 17.8 | ||||||||
IMAS [75] | 2–19 May 2024 | 1,088 | 42.5 | 28.2 | – | – | 1.9 | 3.2 | – | 4.4 | 14.7 | – | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | – | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 14.3 | |||||||||
iData [76] | 22–26 Apr 2024 | 1,006 | 37.8 50 | 19.7 26 | 4.5 0 | – | – | 1.6 0 | 4.7 0 | – | 4.5 0 | 19.1 25 | – | – | – | 3.6 0 | 2.8 0 | – | – | – | – | – | 1.6 0 | 18.7 | ||||||
21 Apr 2024 | Chance, Revival, Alternative and Salvation Force of Moldova and Victory form "Victory" political bloc. [77] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
14 Apr 2024 | Dignity and Truth Platform, Party of Change, Coalition for Unity and Welfare and League of Cities and Communes form "Together" political bloc. [78] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CBS-AXA–WatchDog [79] | 6–13 Apr 2024 | 1,008 | 41.6 | 22.6 | 6.8 | – | – | 2.5 | 2.0 | – | 4.2 | 8.5 | – | 3.2 | – | 3.5 | 3.2 | – | – | – | – | – | 2.0 | 19.0 | ||||||
iData [80] | 18–24 Mar 2024 | 1,131 | 36.3 45 | 20.0 24 | 7.6 9 | – | – | 1.6 0 | 3.3 0 | – | 4.7 0 | 18.8 23 | – | 2.7 0 | – | – | 1.9 0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3.1 0 | 16.3 | |||
IMAS [81] | 9–27 Feb 2024 | 1,091 | 38.4 | 28.7 | – | – | 2.2 | 4.0 | – | 4.6 | 14.5 | – | 1.0 | – | – | 1.6 | – | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.5 | – | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 9.7 | ||||
IRI [82] | 27 Jan–22 Feb 2024 | 1,247 | 37.0 | 23.3 | 5.5 | – | – | 5.5 | 4.1 | – | 4.1 | 13.7 | – | – | – | – | 1.4 | – | 1.4 | – | 1.4 | – | – | – | 1.4 | 1.8 | 13.7 | |||
CBS Research [83] | 7–12 Feb 2024 | 1,104 | 34.3 | 29.3 | – | – | 1.5 | 3.8 | 0.3 | 4.7 | 10.1 | – | 2.1 | – | 0.9 | 1.5 | – | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2.6 | – | – | 0.5 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 5.0 | ||||
iData [84] | 26–30 Jan 2024 | 1,011 | 37.2 49 | 20.3 27 | 3.2 0 | – | – | 4.7 0 | 2.9 0 | – | 3.1 0 | 19.2 25 | – | 3.6 0 | – | – | 1.2 0 | – | 0.9 0 | 2.8 0 | – | – | – | – | – | 0.9 0 | 16.9 | |||
IMAS [85] | 29 Nov–16 Dec 2023 | 954 | 34.7 | 30.4 | – | – | 4.8 | 3.8 | – | 5.7 | 13.5 | – | 0.7 | – | – | 2.0 | – | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.6 | – | 0.3 | – | 0.7 | 1.1 | 4.3 | ||||
iData [86] | 2–15 Dec 2023 | 997 | 35.5 45 | 19.0 24 | 2.7 0 | – | – | 7.2 9 | 3.7 0 | – | 4.0 0 | 17.8 23 | – | 2.1 0 | – | 0.1 0 | 2.4 0 | – | 1.3 0 | 2.5 0 | 1.2 0 | – | – | – | 0.4 0 | 0.1 [j] 0 | 16.5 | |||
2023 local elections [ citation needed ] | 5 Nov 2023 | 1,147,317 | 32.9 | 23.6 | 4.3 | – | – | 1.8 | 5.3 | – | 4.1 | – | – | 3.2 | – | – | 3.6 | – | – | 8.1 | 0.5 | – | – | – | – | 12.6 | 9.3 | |||
iData [87] | 22–29 Oct 2023 | 1,322 | 35.6 44 | 19.3 23 | 2.8 0 | – | – | 5.2 6 | 5.1 6 | – | 4.6 0 | 18.3 22 | – | 1.0 0 | – | – | 2.1 0 | – | 0.9 0 | 3.3 0 | – | – | – | – | 0.6 0 | 1.0 0 | 16.3 | |||
iData [88] | 24–30 Sep 2023 | 1,002 | 45.4 56 | 31.6 39 | – | – | 4.2 0 | 5.0 6 | – | 3.8 0 | 3.8 0 | – | 0.6 0 | – | 0.2 0 | 1.6 0 | – | 0.8 0 | 1.8 0 | – | – | – | – | 0.2 0 | 1.0 0 | 13.8 | ||||
IMAS [89] | 2–24 Sep 2023 | 822 | 39.1 | 30.1 | – | – | 2.3 | 4.4 | – | 9.5 | – | – | 5.3 | – | – | 1.1 | – | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.7 | – | – | 0.2 | 0.3 | 5.2 [k] | 9.0 | ||||
iData [90] | 31 Aug–7 Sep 2023 | 1,021 | 49.4 59 | 29.6 35 | – | – | 3.0 0 | 5.6 7 | – | 3.4 0 | 2.2 0 | – | 0.6 0 | 0.8 0 | – | 1.8 0 | – | 0.6 0 | 1.0 0 | – | – | – | 0.6 | – | 1.6 0 | 19.8 | ||||
CBS-AXA–IPP [91] | 9–23 Aug 2023 | 1,215 | 42.6 | 23.6 | 6.4 | – | – | 1.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 1.9 | – | 15.2 | – | 0.5 | 2.7 | – | 0.5 | 2.1 | – | – | – | – | 0.5 | 0.6 | 12.6 | ||||
IRI [92] | 11 Jul–1 Aug 2023 | 1,199 | 41.2 | 16.2 | 4.4 | – | – | 4.4 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 14.7 | 2.9 | – | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1.5 | 4.4 | 25.0 | |||
CBS-AXA–IPRE [93] | 13–28 Jun 2023 | 1,120 | 44.0 | 25.7 | – | – | 1.3 | 1.1 | – | 4.5 | – | 15.5 | – | – | 0.2 | 1.7 | – | 0.3 | 1.6 | – | – | – | 0.5 | 1.3 | 2.4 [l] | 18.3 | ||||
19 Jun 2023 | The Șor Party was outlawed by the Constitutional Court. [40] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Intellect Group [94] | 15–19 Jun 2023 | 1,056 | 38.1 | 16.0 | 9.6 | – | – | 4.8 | 3.4 | – | 4.7 | – | 22.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.8 | 15.5 | |||
CBS-AXA–WatchDog [95] | 10–19 Jun 2023 | 1,121 | 44.3 | 21.5 | – | – | 3.7 | 4.0 | – | 4.1 | – | 13.6 | – | – | 1.3 | 1.9 | – | 0.7 | 1.5 | – | – | – | 0.3 | – | 3.1 [m] | 22.8 | ||||
iData [96] [97] | 23–30 May 2023 | 1,032 | 38.5 44 | 24.2 28 | – | – | 2.1 0 | 2.7 0 | – | 1.9 0 | – | 25.1 29 | – | – | – | 1.4 0 | – | 1.1 0 | 0.8 0 | – | – | – | – | – | 2.2 [n] 0 | 13.4 | ||||
iData [98] | 27 Apr–8 May 2023 | 1,049 | 36.8 43 | 25.9 31 | – | – | 1.8 0 | 3.8 0 | – | 3.5 0 | – | 22.8 27 | – | – | – | 1.3 0 | – | 1.3 0 | 1.2 0 | – | – | – | – | – | 1.6 0 | 10.9 | ||||
CBS-AXA–WatchDog [99] | 4–13 Apr 2023 | 1,015 | 47.1 | 26.6 | – | – | 2.4 | 3.5 | – | 2.6 | – | 10.1 | – | – | 0.6 | 1.5 | – | 0.8 | 1.8 | – | – | – | 0.5 | – | 2.4 [o] | 20.5 | ||||
iData [100] | 15–26 Mar 2023 | 1,065 | 38.4 45 | 27.1 32 | – | – | 5.4 6 | 2.7 0 | – | 1.9 0 | – | 16.1 18 | – | – | – | 2.8 0 | – | 1.1 0 | 1.3 0 | – | – | – | – | – | 3.3 0 | 11.3 | ||||
CBS-AXA–WatchDog [101] | 24 Feb–3 Mar 2023 | 1,000 | 46.5 | 31.7 | – | – | 2.0 | 2.3 | – | 2.8 | – | 10.4 | – | – | 0.6 | 1.1 | – | 0.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.0 | 14.8 | ||||
iData [102] [103] | 15–24 Feb 2023 | 1,040 | 34.5 42 | 29.4 35 | – | – | 4.8 0 | 2.1 0 | – | 2.3 0 | – | 20.6 24 | – | – | – | 1.8 0 | – | – | 1.4 0 | – | – | – | – | – | 3.1 0 | 5.1 | ||||
IMAS [104] | 6–23 Feb 2023 | 1,100 | 32.3 | 34.4 | – | – | 4.6 | 3.1 | – | 5.4 | – | 14.6 | – | – | – | 1.6 | – | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.8 | – | – | – | – | 1.5 [p] | 2.1 | ||||
Intellect Group [105] [106] | 12–22 Feb 2023 | 1,198 | 38.3 44 | 18.4 21 | 10.4 12 | – | – | 4.3 0 | – | – | 4.9 0 | – | 20.7 24 | – | – | – | – | – | 1.5 0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1.5 [q] 0 | 17.6 | |||
Magenta Consulting–FNF [107] [108] | 11 Jan–6 Feb 2023 | 1,421 | 40.9 | 21.6 | 4.5 | – | – | 4.5 | 1.1 | – | 2.3 | – | 17.0 | – | – | – | 1.1 | – | 1.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3.4 | 19.3 | |||
CBS-AXA–WatchDog [109] | 17–26 Jan 2023 | 1,001 | 33.1 | 31.1 | – | – | 4.1 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 3.1 | – | 16.0 | – | – | 1.8 | 2.6 | – | 1.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4.4 [r] | 2.0 | ||||
iData [110] | 15–26 Dec 2022 | 1,006 | 34.7 39 | 34.0 38 | – | – | 5.6 6 | 1.7 0 | 0.1 0 | 0.6 0 | – | 16.5 18 | – | 0.3 0 | 0.1 0 | 3.2 0 | – | – | 0.7 0 | 0.4 0 | – | – | – | 0.1 0 | 0.4 [s] 0 | 0.7 | ||||
Intellect Group [111] | 1–20 Dec 2022 | 1,209 | 41.55 46 | 18.73 21 | 6.90 8 | – | – | 4.37 0 | – | – | 3.94 0 | – | 24.08 26 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.43 0 | 17.47 | |||
IMAS [112] | 10–29 Nov 2022 | 1,100 | 34.8 | 33.7 | – | – | 3.1 | 2.6 | – | 3.1 | – | 16.9 | – | – | – | 1.4 | – | 0.3 | 1.1 | 1.5 | – | – | – | – | 1.5 [t] | 1.1 | ||||
IDIS–CBS Research–ISPRI [113] | 16–23 Nov 2022 | 1,015 | 36.5 | 28.9 | 6.8 | – | – | 2.2 | – | – | 3.3 | – | 13.3 | – | – | 1.3 | 3.3 | – | – | 2.2 | – | – | – | – | – | 0.9 [u] | 7.6 | |||
IRI [114] | 1 Oct–15 Nov 2022 | 1,233 | 36.4 | 22.7 | 7.6 | – | – | 4.5 | – | – | 3.0 | – | 15.2 | – | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 1.5 | – | – | – | – | 6.1 | 13.7 | |||
CBS Research/IPP [115] | 29 Oct–10 Nov 2022 | 1,134 | 40.6 | 27.4 | 6.4 | – | – | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | – | – | 16.7 | – | – | 0.5 | 1.8 | – | – | 1.8 | – | – | – | – | – | 2.2 [v] | 13.2 | |||
IDIS–CBS Research–ISPRI [116] | 29 Sep–11 Oct 2022 | 1,066 | 38.7 | 30.8 | 6.1 | – | – | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.3 | – | 12.8 | – | – | – | 2.8 | – | – | 1.4 | – | – | – | – | 0.4 | 2.3 | 7.9 | |||
iData [117] [118] | 4–10 Oct 2022 | 1,020 | 31.4 34 | 22.8 25 | 6.1 7 | – | – | 2.1 0 | 1.1 0 | – | 1.1 0 | – | 27.2 30 | – | – | – | 5.1 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3.2 [w] 0 | 4.3 | |||
Intellect Group [119] | 16 Apr–25 Sep 2022 | 1,087 | 33.4 | 29.8 | 14.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 16.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6.4 | 3.6 | |||
iData [120] | 3–12 Sep 2022 | 1,012 | 29.7 34 | 31.9 37 | – | – | 3.5 0 | 1.8 0 | – | 1.2 0 | – | 25.6 30 | – | – | – | 4.4 0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1.8 0 | 2.2 | ||||
IMAS [121] | 6–18 Jul 2022 | 1,007 | 30.7 | 42.5 | – | – | – | 1.1 | – | 3.4 | – | 15.5 | – | – | – | 1.6 | – | – | 1.4 | 2.0 | – | – | – | – | 1.8 [x] | 11.8 | ||||
iData [122] | 15–23 June 2022 | 1,095 | 33.1 37 | 38.5 43 | – | – | – | 2.0 0 | – | 2.6 0 | – | 18.7 21 | – | – | – | 2.9 0 | – | – | – | 0.9 0 | – | – | – | – | 1.2 0 | 5.4 | ||||
iData [123] | 13–28 May 2022 | 1,012 | 35.9 40 | 36.9 41 | – | – | – | 2.3 0 | – | 1.1 0 | – | 17.9 20 | – | – | – | 4.9 0 | – | – | 0.4 0 | – | – | – | – | – | 0.6 0 | 1.0 | ||||
CBS Research [124] | 27 Apr–6 May 2022 | 1,111 | 39.7 | 30.7 | 7.1 | – | – | 2.9 | – | – | 1.5 | – | 10.6 | – | – | 0.5 | 2.2 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | – | – | – | 2.7 [y] | 7.0 | |||
iData [125] | 7–18 Apr 2022 | 1,053 | 38.4 41 | 37.7 40 | – | – | – | 0.4 0 | – | 1.6 0 | – | 18.2 20 | – | – | – | 2.5 0 | – | – | 0.4 0 | 0.1 0 | – | – | – | – | 0.4 [z] 0 | 0.7 | ||||
IMAS [126] | 4–18 Apr 2022 | 1,109 | 38.7 | 36.5 | – | – | – | 0.8 | – | 4.4 | – | 14.7 | – | – | – | 0.9 | – | – | 0.4 | 2.3 | – | – | – | – | 1.3 [aa] | 2.2 | ||||
Intellect Group [127] | 7–10 Apr 2022 | 1,089 | 34.4 38 | 44.9 49 | – | – | 3.8 0 | – | – | c. 2.0 0 | – | 12.5 14 | – | – | – | c. 1.0 0 | – | – | c. 1.0 0 | – | – | – | – | – | c. 0.5 0 | 10.6 | ||||
IRI [128] | 9 Feb–30 Mar 2022 | 1,306 | 46.7 | 28.9 | 6.7 | – | – | – | – | <2.2 | – | – | 8.9 | – | – | – | <2.2 | – | – | <2.2 | – | – | – | – | – | 4.5 | 17.8 | |||
iData [129] | 28 Mar 2022 | 1,084 | 40.0 44 | 33.7 37 | – | – | – | 0.7 0 | 0.3 0 | 1.4 0 | – | 18.9 20 | – | – | – | 1.4 0 | – | – | 0.7 0 | 1.0 0 | – | – | – | – | 1.8 [ab] 0 | 6.3 | ||||
iData [130] | 15–24 Feb 2022 | 1,007 | 32.6 37 | 29.4 43 | 8.9 | – | – | 2.3 0 | – | – | – | – | 18.9 21 | – | – | – | 4.7 0 | – | – | – | 1.1 0 | – | – | – | – | 2.3 0 | 3.3 | |||
IMAS [131] | 24 Jan–14 Feb 2022 | 1,123 | 35.2 | 36.1 | – | – | – | 0.7 | – | 5.8 | – | 15.7 | – | – | – | 1.2 | – | – | 1.2 | 1.8 | – | – | – | – | 2.3 [ac] | 0.9 | ||||
IDIS–CBS Research–ISPRI [132] | 25 Jan–5 Feb 2022 | 1,134 | 36.0 | 40.0 | – | – | 2.0 | – | – | 3.2 | – | 12.9 | – | – | 0.5 | 2.3 | – | – | 1.1 | – | – | – | – | – | 1.8 [ad] | 4.0 | ||||
iData [133] | 11–23 Jan 2022 | 999 | 39.2 43 | 25.8 33 | 4.5 0 | – | – | 1.4 0 | – | – | 1.5 0 | – | 16.8 19 | – | – | – | 5.4 6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5.4 0 | 8.9 | |||
iData [134] | 12–19 Dec 2021 | 1,021 | 43.8 | 22.7 | 5.8 | – | – | – | – | – | 3.8 | – | 16.5 | – | – | – | 5.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1.5 | 15.3 | |||
TSZSZSPP [135] | 14–18 Dec 2021 | 355 | 53.79 64 | 27.02 31 | – | – | – | 0.38 0 | 0.73 0 | 4.06 0 | – | 5.58 6 | – | 0.02 0 | 0.13 0 | 2.28 0 | – | – | 1.76 0 | 1.41 0 | – | – | – | – | 2.84 [ae] 0 | 26.77 | ||||
IDIS–CBS Research–ISPRI [136] | 4–15 Dec 2021 | 1,055 | 37.7 | 37.8 | – | – | – | – | – | 3.7 | – | 12.6 | – | – | – | 3.8 | – | – | 0.6 | – | – | – | – | – | 3.8 [af] | 0.1 | ||||
iData [137] | 15–25 Nov 2021 | 1,047 | 45.5 | 31.5 | – | – | – | – | – | 4.1 | – | 9.8 | – | – | – | 4.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4.5 | 14.0 | ||||
TSZSZSPP [138] | 16–20 Nov 2021 | 350 | 53.69 64 | 27.03 31 | – | – | – | 0.39 0 | 0.74 0 | 4.07 0 | – | 5.59 6 | – | 0.03 0 | 0.14 0 | 2.29 0 | – | – | 1.77 0 | 1.42 0 | – | – | – | – | 2.84 [ag] 0 | 26.66 | ||||
IMAS [139] | 23 Oct–15 Nov 2021 | 834 | 38.6 | 36.9 | – | – | – | – | 0.7 | 6.1 | – | 10.8 | – | – | – | 1.7 | – | – | 1.6 | 2.2 | – | – | – | – | 1.3 [ah] | 1.7 | ||||
IRI [140] | 16 Sep–1 Nov 2021 | 1,619 | 56.3 | 21.9 | 7.8 | – | – | – | – | – | 3.1 | – | 4.7 | – | – | – | 1.6 | – | – | 1.6 | 1.6 | – | – | – | – | 1.6 | 26.4 | |||
iData [141] | 3–18 Oct 2021 | 834 | 51.5 | 27.5 | – | – | – | – | – | 5.7 | – | 6.7 | – | – | – | 4.2 | – | – | – | 0.7 | – | – | – | – | 3.8 | 23.9 | ||||
iData [142] | 12–24 Sep 2021 | 1,086 | 50.5 | 29.3 | – | – | – | – | – | 3.0 | – | 10.3 | – | – | 0.4 | 4.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.3 [ai] | 21.2 | ||||
2021 parliamentary election | 11 Jul 2021 | 1,467,205 | 52.80 63 | 27.17 32 | – | – | – | 0.43 0 | 0.77 0 | 4.10 0 | – | 5.74 6 | – | 0.08 0 | 0.17 0 | 2.33 0 | – | – | 1.81 0 | 1.45 0 | – | – | – | – [aj] | 3.15 0 | 25.63 | ||||