2027 Valencia City Council election

Last updated

2027 Valencia City Council election
Flag of the Valencian Community (2x3).svg
  2023 23 May 2027

All 33 seats in the City Council of Valencia
17 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
  Maria Jose Catala 2023 (cropped).jpg Portrait placeholder.svg Portrait placeholder.svg
Leader María José Catalá Papi Robles Borja Sanjuán
Party PP Compromís PSPV–PSOE
Leader since12 January 201914 November 202312 July 2024
Last election13 seats, 36.6%9 seats, 24.0%7 seats, 19.0%
Current seats1397
Seats needed Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 4 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 8 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 10

  Juan Manuel Badenas 2023 (cropped).jpg
Leader Juan Manuel Badenas
Party Vox
Leader since10 February 2023
Last election4 seats, 12.7%
Current seats4
Seats needed Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 13

Incumbent Mayor

María José Catalá
PP



The 2027 Valencia City Council election, also the 2027 Valencia municipal election, will be held on Sunday, 23 May 2027, to elect the 13th City Council of the municipality of Valencia. All 33 seats in the City Council will be up for election. The election will be held simultaneously with regional elections in at least eight autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

Contents

Electoral system

The City Council of Valencia (Valencian : Ajuntament de València, Spanish : Ayuntamiento de Valencia) is the top-tier administrative and governing body of the municipality of Valencia, composed of the mayor, the government council and the elected plenary assembly. [1] Elections to the local councils in Spain are fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. [2] Voting for the local assembly is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over 18 years of age, registered and residing in the municipality of Valencia and in full enjoyment of their political rights, as well as resident non-national European citizens and those whose country of origin allowed Spanish nationals to vote in their own elections by virtue of a treaty.

Local councillors are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied in each local council. [1] [2] Councillors are allocated to municipal councils based on the following scale:

PopulationCouncillors
<1003
101–2505
251–1,0007
1,001–2,0009
2,001–5,00011
5,001–10,00013
10,001–20,00017
20,001–50,00021
50,001–100,00025
>100,001+1 per each 100,000 inhabitants or fraction
+1 if total is an even number

The mayor is indirectly elected by the plenary assembly. A legal clause requires that mayoral candidates earn the vote of an absolute majority of councillors, or else the candidate of the most-voted party in the assembly is to be automatically appointed to the post. In the event of a tie, the appointee will be determined by lot. [1]

Council composition

The table below shows the composition of the political groups in the City Council at the present time.

Current council composition
GroupsPartiesCouncillors
SeatsTotal
People's Municipal Group PP 1313
Commitment Municipal Group Compromís 99
Socialist Municipal Group PSPV–PSOE 77
Vox Municipal Group Vox 44

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allows parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called, whereas groupings of electors need to secure the signature of a determined amount of the electors registered in the municipality for which they seek election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates. In the case of Valencia, as its population is between 300,001 and 1,000,000, at least 5,000 signatures are required. [2]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which will likely contest the election:

CandidacyParties and
alliances
Leading candidateIdeologyPrevious resultGov.Ref.
Votes (%)Seats
PP
List
Maria Jose Catala 2023 (cropped).jpg María José Catalá Conservatism
Christian democracy
36.62%13Yes check.svg
Compromís Portrait placeholder.svg Papi Robles Valencian nationalism
Eco-socialism
Green politics
23.98%9X mark.svg [3]
[4]
PSPV–PSOE Portrait placeholder.svg Borja Sanjuán Social democracy 18.98%7X mark.svg [5]
Vox
List
Juan Manuel Badenas 2023 (cropped).jpg Juan Manuel Badenas Right-wing populism
Ultranationalism
National conservatism
12.73%4Yes check.svg

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 17 seats are required for an absolute majority in the City Council of Valencia.

Polling firm/CommissionerFieldwork dateSample sizeTurnout Logo PP Comunidad Valenciana 2022.svg Compromis (isotip).svg PSPV-PSOE.svg VOX logo.svg Isotipo de Unidas Podemos (2023).svg Logo de Ciudadanos reducido (2023).svg Sumar icon.svg SALF Lead
SyM Consulting/EPDA [p 1] 1–7 Nov 202493871.137.3
13/14
23.7
8/9
17.5
6
14.0
5
2.4
0
2.2
0
13.6
Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario [p 2] 3–5 Oct 202480067.038.6
14
20.3
7
20.8
8
12.0
4
3.5
0
17.8
SyM Consulting [p 3] 17–20 Sep 202490866.439.0
14
23.7
8
18.8
6/7
13.6
4/5
1.9
0
0.5
0
15.3
2024 EP election 9 Jun 202460.336.9
(13)
[a] 29.2
(11)
10.7
(4)
4.3
(0)
1.0
(0)
8.8
(3)
5.3
(2)
7.7
SyM Consulting/EPDA [p 4] 10–13 May 202493271.938.6
14
24.6
8/9
18.7
6
13.3
4/5
2.0
0
0.5
0
14.0
2023 general election 23 Jul 202376.136.5
(12)
[a] 29.5
(10)
14.1
(5)
[a] 17.7
(6)
7.0
2023 municipal election 28 May 202372.036.6
13
24.0
9
19.0
7
12.7
4
2.3
0
2.3
0
12.6

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 Within Sumar.

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References

Opinion poll sources
  1. "La derecha se afianza en el Ayuntamiento de Valencia con mejoría de Vox, que alcanza al PSOE, según la encuesta de noviembre de SyM Consulting para El Periódico de Aquí". El Periódico de Aquí (in Spanish). 1 December 2024.
  2. "El PP de Catalá se afianza en la alcaldía de Valencia y Compromís sin Ribó cae a tercera fuerza política". ESdiario (in Spanish). 9 October 2024.
  3. "Estimación resultados electorales Septiembre 2024. Mayo 2027". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 24 September 2024.
  4. "La derecha confirma su hegemonía en la ciudad de Valencia en el sondeo de El Periódico de Aquí". El Periódico de Aquí (in Spanish). 2 June 2024.
Other
  1. 1 2 3 Ley 7/1985, de 2 de abril, Reguladora de las Bases del Régimen Local (Law 7) (in Spanish). 2 April 1985. Retrieved 15 May 2024.
  2. 1 2 3 Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General (Organic Law 5) (in Spanish). 19 June 1985. Retrieved 15 May 2024.
  3. Vázquez, Cristina (14 November 2023). "El exalcalde de Valencia Joan Ribó cede el testigo en Compromís". El País (in Spanish). Valencia. Retrieved 12 October 2024.
  4. "El exalcalde de Valencia Joan Ribó deja el Ayuntamiento". El País (in Spanish). Valencia. 29 February 2024. Retrieved 16 September 2024.
  5. Vázquez, Cristina (10 July 2024). "Borja Sanjuán asume la portavocía de los socialistas en el Ayuntamiento de Valencia". El País (in Spanish). Valencia. Retrieved 12 October 2024.