Opinion polling for the 2025 German federal election

Last updated

In the run-up to the 2025 German federal election, which as a snap election will take place on 23 February 2025 instead of 28 September 2025, various organisations are carrying out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Germany. Results of such polls are displayed in this list.

Contents

Electoral threshold of 5%

In the runup to the 2025 snap election, four of the eight main parties represented in the Bundestag were at risk of failing to pass the 5% electoral threshold, thus placing the actual outcome in significant uncertainty. The Social Democratic Party (SPD) led by Chancellor Olaf Scholz, the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) led by challenger Friedrich Merz, the Alternative for Germany (AfD) led by challenger Alice Weidel, and the Alliance 90/The Greens led by candidate Robert Habeck are all expected to obtain a voting volume that is significantly higher than the qualifying 5% threshold.

Seats in the Bundestag are allocated to party lists that either pass the "five percent hurdle" of federally valid second votes, or win at least three constituencies. In the 2021 German federal election, this granted Die Linke (The Left) full proportional representation as it won three constituencies despite receiving 4.9% of second-ballot votes. In 2022, this three-constituency rule was abolished, but was reinstated by the Federal Constitutional Court. In addition to Die Linke, this also benefits the Christian Social Union (CSU) which competes only in Bavaria and, in the 2021 German federal elections, only passed the threshold with 5.2% of second-ballot votes nationwide but won 45 out of 46 constituencies in Bavaria. As the CDU/CSU "Union" forms one faction in the parliament, both "sister parties" are combined in most polls, but some show separate numbers.

Polling around 5% are the Free Democratic Party (FDP) that was part of the "Traffic Light Coalition" whose collapse led to the snap election, Die Linke, and the new Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW) which split off from The Left in 2023.

Also shown in the polls are the Free Voters (FW) which are present in three state parliaments (Bavaria, Rhineland-Palatinate and Saxony) and one state government coalition (Bavaria). Only three other parties have managed to get approved in all states, and several others run in selected states. They are all summed up as "others".

Reliability of pollsters

The poll aggregator Europe Elects provides a list of past pollster accuracy and conflict of interest on its website. The organization includes Allensbach, Forsa, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, GMS, Infratest dimap, INSA, Ipsos, Verian, YouGov, pollytix, Trend research, and pmg - policy matters in its databases and highlights their reliability and transparency. All of them are part of professional pollster associations. Civey is excluded and their lack of methodological rigour referenced. Below-listed Wahlkreisprognose and American-based Democracy Institute are excluded from Europe Elects's coverage. The poll aggregator points out that they have no membership in a professional association. [1]

Poll results

Graphical summary

Opinion polls Germany 2025.svg
Opinion polling for the 2025 German federal election using Local regression (LOESS) of polls conducted. Data up to 19 February 2025

2025

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		Abs. SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW BSW OthersLead
Ipsos [2] 19–21 Feb 20251,000–1630124.5217–4.559
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [3] 19–20 Feb 20251,349–1628144218–4.547
Forsa [4] 17–20 Feb 20252,002–1529135218–368
YouGov [5] 17–20 Feb 20251,681–1629134208–559
Allensbach [6] 9–20 Feb 20251,064–14.532124.5207.5–4.5612
INSA [7] 18–19 Feb 20252,086–1530134217–559
GMS [8] 16–19 Feb 20251,016–153113420624511
Ipsos [2] 12–19 Feb 20252,000–1531134.5207–4.5511
YouGov (MRP) [9] 7–19 Feb 20259,281–15.629.912.74.519.77.5–4.65.610.2
Wahlkreisprognose [10] 17–18 Feb 20251,000–14.530124207255.510
Forsa [4] 11–17 Feb 20252,501–1630135207–4510
YouGov [5] 14–17 Feb 20252,131–1727124209–557
INSA [7] 14–17 Feb 20252,010–1530134.5226.5–548
INSA [7] 10–14 Feb 20251,205–1530134216–569
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [3] 11–13 Feb 20251,348141630144207–4510
Wahlkreisprognose [11] 11–13 Feb 20251,700–12.53212.542061.54.5712
Infratest dimap [12] 10–12 Feb 20251,579–1432144216–4.54.511
Allensbach [13] 31 Jan – 12 Feb 20251,021–1532135206–4612
Pollytix [14] 11–12 Feb 20251,501–1729144196–5610
YouGov [5] 7–10 Feb 20252,083–1629124216–568
INSA [7] 7–10 Feb 20252,006–15.530134226–5.548
Forsa [4] 4–10 Feb 20252,502231629144206–479
GMS [8] 4–7 Feb 20251,011–15301442152459
INSA [7] 3–7 Feb 20251,204–1629124215–678
Pollytix [14] 5–6 Feb 20251,529–1730124206–5610
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [3] 4–6 Feb 20251,341201530154206–4610
Infratest dimap [12] 3–5 Feb 20251,302–1531144215–4610
YouGov (MRP) [15] 17 Jan – 5 Feb 20259,322–15.329.013.34.119.95.2–5.47.99.1
YouGov [5] 31 Jan – 4 Feb 20252,181–1829124226–647
Wahlkreisprognose [16] 1–3 Feb 20251,900–16.528124.519.552.55.56.58.5
INSA [7] 31 Jan – 3 Feb 20252,004–1630134.5225–5.548
INSA [7] 30–31 Jan 20251,203–1730124224–658
Ipsos [2] 30–31 Jan 20251,000–1629134214–588
INSA [17] 30 Jan 20251,001–1729134224–657
Forsa [4] 28 Jan – 3 Feb 20252,503–1628154205–488
Democracy Institute [18] 28–30 Jan 20252,430–1527135255–642
Infratest dimap [12] 27–29 Jan 20251,336–1530154205–4710
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [3] 27–29 Jan 20251,428171529144215–488
Verian [19] 22–28 Jan 20251,461–1530144204–5810
YouGov [5] 24–27 Jan 20251,781–1529133235–656
INSA [7] 24–27 Jan 20252,006–15.53012.54.5224.5–658
Forsa [4] 21–27 Jan 20252,504–1630144204–3910
INSA [7] 20–24 Jan 20251,203–1630124214–769
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [3] 21–23 Jan 20251,345181530144215–389
Wahlkreisprognose [20] 21–23 Jan 20251,500–1728.5143.521.53.51.54.567
YouGov [5] 17–20 Jan 20251,858–1928154194–669
INSA [7] 17–20 Jan 20252,008–162913521.54–74.57.5
Forsa [4] 14–20 Jan 20252,502–1631134193–41012
Allensbach [21] 7–19 Jan 20251,015–173413.5420––56.514
Ipsos [2] 16–18 Jan 20251,000–163014419326611
INSA [7] 13–17 Jan 20251,206–1629135214–758
Wahlkreisprognose [22] 13–16 Jan 20252,000–16.529154212.52468
YouGov (MRP) [23] 3 Dec – 15 Jan 202510,411–15.629.813.64.519.72.9–6.07.810.1
YouGov [5] 10–14 Jan 20251,771–1830144214–659
INSA [7] 10–13 Jan 20252,005–1531134223.5–6.559
Forsa [4] 7–13 Jan 20252,504281631134203–4911
INSA [7] 6–10 Jan 20251,205–1630134223–668
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [3] 7–9 Jan 20251,433181430154214–489
Infratest dimap [12] 6–8 Jan 20251,323–1531144204–5711
YouGov [5] 3–6 Jan 20251,908–1629145213–668
INSA [7] 3–6 Jan 20252,001–15.53113.5421.53–6.559.5
Forsa [4] 2–6 Jan 20251,501271732123193–41013
Ipsos [24] 2–4 Jan 20251,000–163013419327611
INSA [7] 30 Dec – 3 Jan 20251,201–1631134203–7611
GMS [8] 27 Dec – 2 Jan 20251,010–163313418324715
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021–23.425.724.214.711.410.44.92.4–6.31.5

2024

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		Abs. SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW BSW OthersLead
INSA [7] 27–30 Dec 20242,004–16.531123.520.54–75.510.5
Wahlkreisprognose 21–28 Dec 20242,000–182815.54182.526610
INSA [7] 23–27 Dec 20241,002–1731124203–7611
INSA [7] 20–23 Dec 20242,010–163112.5519.53–8511.5
Forsa [4] 17–20 Dec 20242,008251631133194–41012
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 17–19 Dec 20241,362161531143194–5912
INSA [7] 16–19 Dec 20241,205–1632125203–8412
Infratest dimap [12] 16–18 Dec 20241,336–1433143193–5914
Verian [19] 11–17 Dec 20241,452–1731144183–5813
Wahlkreisprognose [26] 14–16 Dec 20241,500–2029154.5172.53549
INSA [7] 13–16 Dec 20242,002–16.531.511.5519.52.5–85.512
Forsa [4] 10–16 Dec 20242,501231730134193–41011
INSA [7] 9–13 Dec 20241,203–1731115203–8511
Allensbach [27] 30 Nov – 12 Dec 20241,006–163612418––6818
INSA [7] 6–9 Dec 20242,004–1731.511.54.519.53–8512
Forsa [4] 3–9 Dec 20242,501221731134183–41013
INSA [7] 2–6 Dec 20241,202–1632124194–8513
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 3–5 Dec 20241,433171533144173–5916
Wahlkreisprognose 2–5 Dec 20242,000–18.53111.5320.5333.5610.5
Infratest dimap [12] 2–4 Dec 20241,307–1632144183–5814
YouGov [28] 29 Nov – 3 Dec 20241,879–183013419317611
INSA [7] 29 Nov – 2 Dec 20242,003–1631.5134.518.53.5–7.55.513
GMS 27 Nov – 2 Dec 20241,005–153413417326617
Forsa [4] 26 Nov – 2 Dec 20242,502–1632123184–41114
Ipsos 29 Nov – 1 Dec 20241,000–163213318337514
INSA [7] 25–29 Nov 20241,201–1532135183–8614
Verian [19] 20–26 Nov 20241,432–1532134183–6914
INSA [7] 22–25 Nov 20242,003–1532.5114.519.53.5–7.56.513
Forsa [4] 19–25 Nov 20242,500–1532124184–41114
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 19–21 Nov 20241,399151632123184–51014
INSA [7] 18–21 Nov 20241,203–1432115194–7813
Infratest dimap [12] 18–20 Nov 20241,318–1433144193–6714
Wahlkreisprognose 14–20 Nov 20242,000–153411418.52.52.557.515.5
INSA [7] 15–18 Nov 20242,008–1632114.5193.5–7.56.513
Forsa [4] 12–18 Nov 20242,500–1533114184–41115
INSA [7] 11–15 Nov 20241,204–1632104194–8713
Allensbach [27] 2–14 Nov 20241,049–153710417––7.59.520
YouGov [28] 8–12 Nov 20241,805–153312519317614
INSA [7] 8–11 Nov 20243,009–15.532.511.5519.53.5–75.513
Forsa [4] 5–11 Nov 20242,501–1633114173–51116
INSA [7] 7–8 Nov 20241,065–1532104194–7913
Infratest dimap [12] 7 Nov 20241,065–163412518––6916
Forsa [4] 7 Nov 20241,181–1732113173–61115
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 5–7 Nov 20241,231151633123184–6815
INSA [7] 1–4 Nov 20242,005–15.53210.54.5183.5–8814
Forsa [4] 29 Oct – 4 Nov 20242,500–1633103163–61317
Ipsos 1–2 Nov 20241,000–153211518338514
INSA [7] 28 Oct – 1 Nov 20241,202–1632104184–8814
Infratest dimap [12] 28–30 Oct 20241,333–163411417––61217
Verian [19] 23–29 Oct 20241,443–1632113173–81015
INSA [7] 25–28 Oct 20242,008–1531114192.5–98.512
Forsa [4] 22–28 Oct 20242,50323163294173–71215
INSA [7] 21–25 Oct 20241,204–1530114193–9911
INSA [7] 18–21 Oct 20242,006–16.530.5104192.5–98.511.5
Forsa [4] 15–21 Oct 20242,500–1631113173–71214
INSA [7] 14–18 Oct 20241,201–1631104193–9812
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 15–17 Oct 20241,249121631113184–8913
INSA [7] 11–14 Oct 20242,002–1631.510418.53.5–97.513
Forsa [4] 8–14 Oct 20242,501–1631104173–71214
INSA [7] 7–11 Oct 20241,202–1631114193–9712
Allensbach [27] 28 Sep – 11 Oct 20241,041–163610.54.516––9920
Infratest dimap [12] 7–9 Oct 20241,321–163113317338614
YouGov [28] 4–8 Oct 20241,773–163211518318614
INSA [7] 4–7 Oct 20242,010–1631.510.54202.5–87.511.5
Forsa [4] 1–7 Oct 20242,001–1731113173–61214
Ipsos 2–4 Oct 20241,000–153111418338713
INSA [7] 30 Sep – 4 Oct 20241,237–1631114203–8711
Verian [19] 25 Sep – 1 Oct 20241,452–163111417337814
INSA [7] 27–30 Sep 20242,002–1531.5114192.5–9.57.512.5
Forsa [4] 24–30 Sep 20242,501–1731104173–61214
INSA [7] 23–27 Sep 20241,203–1532114193–10613
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 24–26 Sep 20241,348161631124174–8814
INSA [7] 20–23 Sep 20242,002–15.5329.53.5202.5–10712
Forsa [4] 17–23 Sep 20242,50021153211417––71415
INSA [7] 16–19 Sep 20241,202–1532104202–10712
INSA [7] 13–16 Sep 20242,008–1433104.519.52.5–106.513.5
GMS 11–16 Sep 20241,006–143411418237716
Forsa [4] 10–16 Sep 20242,501–1531114173–61314
INSA [7] 9–13 Sep 20241,206–1433104193–10714
Allensbach [27] 29 Aug – 11 Sep 20241,017–1635.510417––98.518.5
YouGov [28] 6–10 Sep 20241,752–143213418418614
INSA [7] 6–9 Sep 20242,010–1432.510419.52.5–107.513
Forsa [4] 3–9 Sep 20242,500–1433113173–71216
Ipsos 6–7 Sep 20241,000–133211418329814
INSA [7] 2–6 Sep 20241,202–1531104193–10812
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 3–5 Sep 20241,328141533114174–7916
Infratest dimap [12] 3–4 Sep 20241,309–1533114173–8916
Verian [19] 28 Aug – 3 Sep 20241,427–1531124173–81014
INSA [7] 30 Aug – 2 Sep 20242,002–1531.510.54.5192.5–9.57.512.5
Forsa [4] 27 Aug – 2 Sep 20242,508–1432115173–71115
INSA [7] 26–30 Aug 20241,202–1631114193–9712
INSA [7] 23–26 Aug 20242,004–1531.511.55.518.53–9613
Forsa [4] 20–26 Aug 20242,501–1531115173–71114
INSA [7] 19–23 Aug 20241,202–1631115183–9713
INSA [7] 16–19 Aug 20242,006–15.530.510.55193–9.5711.5
Forsa [4] 13–19 Aug 20242,503–1531115173–71114
INSA [7] 12–16 Aug 20241,203–1630115193–9711
Allensbach [27] 3–15 Aug 20241,051–163411.55163–77.518
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 12–14 Aug 20241,334141432134163–81016
YouGov [28] 9–13 Aug 20241,998–153112519318612
INSA [7] 9–12 Aug 20242,008–1530.510.55183–9.58.512.5
Forsa [4] 6–12 Aug 20242,502221530115173–71213
GMS 6–12 Aug 20241,006–143212517328715
INSA [7] 5–9 Aug 20241,203–1631105183–9813
Infratest dimap [12] 5–7 Aug 20241,311–153212516––91116
Verian [19] 31 Jul – 6 Aug 20241,449–1631135163–7915
INSA [7] 2–5 Aug 20242,002–1530.510.55173–9.59.513.5
Forsa [4] 30 Jul – 5 Aug 20242,50020153011517337913
Ipsos 2–4 Aug 20241,000–143013516328914
INSA [7] 29 Jul – 2 Aug 20241,199–1531105183–9913
INSA [7] 26–29 Jul 20242,006–1530105183.5–9.5912
Forsa [4] 23–29 Jul 20242,501211530114173–71313
INSA [7] 22–26 Jul 20241,203–1530115183–10812
INSA [7] 19–22 Jul 20242,010–153110.55173.5–9914
Forsa [4] 16–22 Jul 20242,504181431115174–71114
INSA [7] 15–19 Jul 20241,207–1530115173–91013
Allensbach [27] 5–19 Jul 20241,003–16.53211.5617––8915
INSA [7] 12–15 Jul 20242,500–153111.55183–8.5813
Forsa [4] 9–15 Jul 20242,503181432115163–71216
INSA [7] 8–12 Jul 20241,449–1530125182–9912
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 9–11 Jul 20241,341151432134173–71015
Verian [19] 3–9 Jul 20241,486–1531135163–71015
INSA [7] 5–8 Jul 20242,007–1530.5115.517.531.58.57.513
Forsa [4] 2–8 Jul 20242,50419143011517––81513
Ipsos 5–7 Jul 20241,000–1430125163281014
INSA [7] 1–5 Jul 20241,204–1530115182–91012
Infratest dimap [12] 1–3 Jul 20241,294–1431135173–8914
YouGov [28] 28 Jun – 3 Jul 20241,711–143012619329611
INSA [7] 28 Jun – 1 Jul 20242,006–1529.5125.517.52.528.57.512
Forsa [4] 25 Jun – 1 Jul 20242,50618153111616––71415
INSA [7] 24–28 Jun 20241,203–153012617229713
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 25–27 Jun 20241,186111431134173–71114
INSA [7] 21–24 Jun 20242,008–14.530.511.5517.5328.57.513
Forsa [4] 18–24 Jun 20242,50519153111516–371215
INSA [7] 17–21 Jun 20241,204–153012517328813
INSA [7] 14–17 Jun 20242,010–153111517328814
Forsa [4] 11–17 Jun 20242,504–153012516–271214
GMS 11–17 Jun 20241,007–143114518326713
INSA [7] 10–15 Jun 20241,205–163111517327814
Allensbach [27] 1–13 Jun 20241,084–1632136153–7816
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 10–12 Jun 20241,33415143014516––71414
Verian [19] 5–11 Jun 20241,425–163013517336713
INSA [7] 7–10 Jun 20242,008–15.5301251632.57.58.514
Forsa [4] 4–10 Jun 20242,50522163013616––61314
2024 EU Parliament Election 9 Jun 2024––13.930.011.95.215.92.72.76.211.514.1
INSA [7] 3–7 Jun 20241,203–163012516338714
YouGov [28] 31 May – 5 Jun 20241,894–142912418429811
Ipsos 29 May – 5 Jun 2024957–152913517338712
INSA [7] 31 May – 3 Jun 20242,002–1630.512515.53.52.57.57.514.5
Forsa [4] 28 May – 3 Jun 20242,50622173013615––61313
INSA [7] 27–31 May 20241,205–163112516337715
Infratest dimap [12] 27–29 May 20241,479–153114418335713
INSA [7] 24–27 May 20242,004–1530.51251732.57813.5
Forsa [4] 21–27 May 20242,50322163013615––61414
INSA [7] 21–24 May 20241,202–153013517337713
INSA [7] 17–21 May 20242,010–163012.55173376.513
Wahlkreisprognose 13–19 May 20242,5002416.53113.56153–6914.5
Forsa [4] 14–17 May 20242,001–163214515––51316
INSA [7] 13–17 May 20241,206–163012517337713
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 14–16 May 20241,247181531135164–51115
Allensbach [27] 4–16 May 20241,093–17.532.5136143–8615
Verian [19] 7–14 May 20241,506–163014516435714
INSA [7] 10–13 May 20242,087–15.530.5135173.52.57613.5
Forsa [4] 7–13 May 20242,006231632135153–51116
INSA [7] 6–10 May 20241,247–153013517427713
YouGov [28] 3–8 May 20241,749–163014419417511
INSA [7] 3–6 May 20242,006–15.530.5125183.52.57.55.512.5
Forsa [4] 30 Apr – 6 May 20242,000–1631126153–41315
GMS 30 Apr – 6 May 20241,005–153114418236713
Ipsos 2–5 May 20242,000–162813518437610
INSA [7] 29 Apr – 3 May 20241.203–153012518427712
Infratest dimap [12] 29–30 Apr 20241,280–153115518––51113
INSA [7] 26–29 Apr 20242.004–16.529.512.5518.53.52.57511
Forsa [4] 23–29 Apr 20242,505231730125163–41313
INSA [7] 22–26 Apr 20241,203–162913518427611
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 23–25 Apr 20241,228181530154174–51013
INSA [7] 19–22 Apr 20242,008–1530.512.5518.542.57512
Forsa [4] 16–22 Apr 20242,50125163112516––51515
INSA [7] 15–19 Apr 20241,204–153013518427612
Allensbach [27] 5–18 Apr 20241,041–1632.5156163–74.516.5
Verian [19] 10–16 Apr 20241,445–163014518335612
INSA [7] 12–15 Apr 20242,006–1629.513618.532.56.5511
Forsa [4] 9–15 Apr 20242,50523163112517––51414
INSA [7] 8–12 Apr 20241,203–163013518326712
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 9–11 Apr 20241,254201631124183–61013
YouGov [28] 5–10 Apr 20241,588–142915519417610
INSA [7] 5–8 Apr 20242,084–1530.513518.53.52.56.55.512
Forsa [4] 2–8 Apr 20242,50624163013517––51413
Ipsos 5–7 Apr 20242,000–152913518437611
INSA [7] 2–5 Apr 20241,243–153113519326612
Infratest dimap [12] 2–3 Apr 20241,304–153015418335712
INSA [7] 28 Mar – 2 Apr 20242,004–153012.5519.53.52.56.55.510.5
Forsa [4] 26–28 Mar 20241,50824163113417––51414
INSA [7] 25–28 Mar 20241,210–153013520326610
INSA [7] 22–25 Mar 20242,008–15.53012.5519.53.52.56.5510.5
Forsa [4] 19–25 Mar 20242,50324163113417335814
INSA [7] 18–22 Mar 20241,204–163013519326611
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 19–21 Mar 20241,296191631134183–6913
Wahlkreisprognose 18–20 Mar 20241,3002519.529144153.5–6.58.59.5
Verian [19] 13–19 Mar 20241,480–1729155183–5811
INSA [7] 15–18 Mar 20242,002–1629.512519.53.52.56.55.510
Forsa [4] 12–18 Mar 20242,50024163113417335814
INSA [7] 11–15 Mar 20241,199–153012519326811
Allensbach [27] 1–14 Mar 20241,027–1534145163–7618
INSA [7] 8–11 Mar 20242,079–14.53112.55.518.53.52.56.55.512.5
Forsa [4] 5–11 Mar 20242,50226153014517335813
INSA [7] 4–8 Mar 20241,249–153112519327612
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 5–7 Mar 20241,26019153015418335712
Infratest dimap [12] 4–6 Mar 20241,288–1629145193–6810
YouGov [28] 1–5 Mar 20241,762–152914419417710
INSA [7] 1–4 Mar 20242,024–14.530.5135.519.532.56.5511
Forsa [4] 27 Feb – 4 Mar 20242,506–153114517334814
Ipsos 1–3 Mar 20242,000–152914518337611
INSA [7] 26 Feb – 1 Mar 20241,200–153013519337511
Verian [19] 21–27 Feb 20241,392–1630155183–4912
INSA [7] 23–26 Feb 20242,006–15.530.5134.519337.5411.5
Forsa [4] 20–26 Feb 20242,503–143015517334913
INSA [7] 19–23 Feb 20241,203–153013519338411
Wahlkreisprognose 21–22 Feb 20241,300–1428.512.55.519228.589.5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 20–22 Feb 20241,294181530144194–5911
Verian [19] 14–20 Feb 20241,505–1629154193–5910
INSA [7] 16–19 Feb 20242,007–14.530.512.54.519.53.537.54.511
Forsa [4] 13–19 Feb 20242,50424153014517334913
INSA [7] 12–16 Feb 20241,203–143113419338512
Allensbach [27] 3–15 Feb 20241,053–1532146183–7514
INSA [7] 9–12 Feb 20242,083–153012.53.520.53.537.54.59.5
Forsa [4] 6–12 Feb 20242,502251531144183–51013
INSA [7] 5–8 Feb 20241,276–153013420337510
YouGov [28] 2–6 Feb 20242,018–143112420317611
INSA [7] 2–5 Feb 20242,004–153012.54.520.53.537.53.59.5
GMS 31 Jan – 5 Feb 20241,012–163213418235714
Forsa [4] 30 Jan – 5 Feb 20242,50325153114418335713
Ipsos 2–4 Feb 20242,000–153013418438512
INSA [7] 29 Jan – 2 Feb 20241,202–153013420437410
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 30 Jan – 1 Feb 20241,21720153113419336612
Infratest dimap [12] 29–31 Jan 20241,303–1630144193–5911
INSA [7] 26–29 Jan 20242,002–14.53012.55213.52.5749
Forsa [4] 23–29 Jan 20242,50627153214319333813
INSA [7] 22–26 Jan 20241,201–143113421427410
Wahlkreisprognose 22–24 Jan 20241,3662617.530.5114.5222.54–88.5
15.527.512.56.5192.5295.58.5
Verian [19] 16–23 Jan 20241,922–1629164194–3910
Pollytix [14] 19–22 Jan 20241,530–1529125224–947
INSA [7] 19–22 Jan 20242,006–13.530.512.5521.532.5–11.58
Forsa [4] 16–22 Jan 20242,503–143114420433711
INSA [7] 15–19 Jan 20241,203–13301352233748
Allensbach [27] 5–18 Jan 20241,018–153413.5619.543–514.5
INSA [7] 12–15 Jan 20242,004–14311252343–88
Forsa [4] 9–15 Jan 20242,504–13311442243–99
INSA 11–12 Jan 20241,002–142712418331459
INSA [7] 8–12 Jan 20241,202–15301252243–98
Verian [19] 9–11 Jan 20241,359–14311642243–69
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 9–11 Jan 20241,3372113311442244449
INSA [7] 5–8 Jan 20242,008–16321252343–59
YouGov [28] 3–8 Jan 20241,614–15291262452–75
Forsa [4] 2–8 Jan 20242,502–15301442243–88
Ipsos 5–7 Jan 20242,000–1530136225––98
INSA [7] 2–5 Jan 20241,204–16311252343–68
Wahlkreisprognose 2–4 Jan 20241,50024123410.54.524.534–7.59.5
Infratest dimap [12] 2–3 Jan 20241,321–14311352243–89
INSA [7] 29 Dec – 2 Jan 20242,002–153213522.543–5.59.5
GMS 27 Dec – 2 Jan 20241,004–14331362333–510
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021–23.425.724.214.711.410.44.92.4–6.31.6

2023

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		Abs. SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW OthersLead
INSA [7] 28–29 Dec 20231,001–1532125234369
INSA [7] 22–27 Dec 20232,000–1532125234369
Forsa 19–22 Dec 2023––1431145223–119
INSA [7] 18–22 Dec 20231,202–15321252243710
Infratest dimap [12] 18–20 Dec 20231,210–14321452134711
Verian [19] 13–19 Dec 20231,421–1531154214–1010
INSA [7] 15–18 Dec 20232,002–15.531.512.552342.568.5
Forsa [29] 12–18 Dec 20232,501261431135233–118
INSA [7] 11–15 Dec 20231,202–1532125234279
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 12–14 Dec 20231,1462114321452243610
Allensbach [27] 1–14 Dec 20231,013–1734155183.534.516
Verian [19] 6–12 Dec 20231,515–1530165204–1010
INSA [7] 8–11 Dec 20232,008–163012.5622.54367.5
GMS 6–11 Dec 20231,001–14321552223710
Forsa [29] 5–11 Dec 20232,501271431135224–119
INSA [7] 4–8 Dec 20231,203–1630126224378
Infratest dimap [12] 4–6 Dec 20231,364–14321542133811
YouGov [28] 1–6 Dec 20231,669–1430146234277
Verian [19] 29 Nov – 5 Dec 20231,402–1430174204–1110
INSA [7] 1–4 Dec 20232,006–15.529.513622.53.5377
Forsa [29] 28 Nov – 4 Dec 20232,501–1430145224–118
Ipsos 1–3 Dec 20232,000–1629136215–108
INSA [7] 27 Nov – 1 Dec 20231,202–1630136223378
Verian [19] 20–28 Nov 20231,806–1729165194–1010
Wahlkreisprognose 25–27 Nov 20231,200251531135263.5–6.55
INSA [7] 24–27 Nov 20232,007–15.530.512.5622436.58.5
Forsa [29] 21–27 Nov 20232,500251430155214–119
INSA [7] 20–24 Nov 20231,202–1630126224378
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 21–23 Nov 20231,242221531155224–89
Verian [19] 14–21 Nov 20231,452–1629175204–99
INSA [7] 17–20 Nov 20232,003–16.530135.5214.536.59
Forsa [29] 14–20 Nov 20232,501261530145213399
INSA [7] 13–17 Nov 20231,201–1630136214379
Allensbach [27] 1–16 Nov 20231,047–173213.56193.54513
Verian [19] 8–14 Nov 20231,421–1628166204–108
INSA [7] 10–13 Nov 20232,008–16.530.513.5521.54.535.59
Forsa [29] 7–13 Nov 20232,504–1430145214399
INSA [7] 6–10 Nov 20231,204–1730145214369
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 7–9 Nov 20231,234211630155214369
Infratest dimap [12] 7–8 Nov 20231,195–1530155214379
YouGov [28] 3–7 Nov 20231,732–1529155225277
Kantar [30] 1–7 Nov 20231,443–1628166204378
INSA [7] 3–6 Nov 20232,006–16.529.513.55.5224.535.57.5
Forsa [29] 31 Oct – 6 Nov 20232,502–1529145214398
Ipsos 3–5 Nov 20232,000–1728156205–98
INSA [7] 30 Oct – 3 Nov 20231,204–1630136224368
Infratest dimap [12] 30 Oct – 1 Nov 20231,314–1630144225368
Kantar [30] 25–31 Oct 20231,418–1727165214–106
INSA [7] 27–30 Oct 20232,010–16.530.5135.52143.569.5
Forsa [29] 24–30 Oct 20232,501261529145223397
INSA [7] 23–27 Oct 20231,216–16311362143610
Wahlkreisprognose 23–25 Oct 20231,3002414.530146224–9.58
Kantar [30] 18–24 Oct 20231,422–1628165205–108
INSA [7] 20–23 Oct 20232,004–16.528.5135.52253.566.5
Forsa [29] 17–23 Oct 20232,504–14311452143810
INSA [7] 16–20 Oct 20231,202–1629135225467
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 17–19 Oct 20231,252211530145215379
Allensbach [27] 6–19 Oct 20231,010–17341351934515
Kantar [30] 11–17 Oct 20231,388–14311552143710
INSA [7] 13–16 Oct 20232,006–16.528136234.5455
Forsa [29] 10–16 Oct 20232,5012214321442143811
INSA [7] 9–13 Oct 20231,202–1728136235445
Infratest dimap [12] 10–11 Oct 20231,203–1529135234456
YouGov [28] 6–10 Oct 20231,842–1629155216258
Kantar [30] 4–10 Oct 20231,386–1627156225365
INSA [7] 6–9 Oct 20232,001–172713.5622.55364.5
Forsa [29] 4–9 Oct 20232,003–1828146204–108
Ipsos 6–8 Oct 20232,000–1726147225–94
INSA [7] 2–6 Oct 20231,201–1727146225365
INSA [7] 29 Sep – 2 Oct 20232,010–1826.513.572252.55.54.5
Forsa [29] 26–29 Sep 20232,004251828145204–118
INSA [7] 25–29 Sep 20231,206–1826147225354
Kantar [30] 26–28 Sep 20231,391–1626167215–95
Infratest dimap [12] 25–27 Sep 20231,302–1628146224376
Kantar [30] 20–26 Sep 20231,356–1627157215–96
Wahlkreisprognose 24–25 Sep 20231,2002418.524156.5233.5–9.51
INSA [7] 22–25 Sep 20232,003–17.52713.56.521.55365.5
Forsa [29] 19–25 Sep 20232,503271727146214–116
INSA [7] 18–22 Sep 20231,203–1727146225365
Kantar [30] 13–19 Sep 20231,370–1727157214–96
INSA [7] 15–18 Sep 20232,008–1726.514.562153.56.55.5
GMS 13–18 Sep 20231,002–1627156234–94
Forsa [29] 12–18 Sep 20232,504271727146224–105
INSA [7] 11–15 Sep 20231,204–1727156215366
Allensbach [27] 4–15 Sep 20231,030–1830147195–711
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 12–14 Sep 20231,201211726166215365
Infratest dimap [12] 12–13 Sep 20231,222–1628157224–86
Kantar [30] 6–12 Sep 20231,442–1626157225–94
INSA [7] 8–11 Sep 20232,002–1826.5147224.5–84.5
Forsa [29] 5–11 Sep 20232,505281727137214–116
INSA [7] 4–8 Sep 20231,201–1827137225–85
YouGov [28] 1–6 Sep 20231,833–1629145235186
Kantar [30] 30 Aug – 5 Sep 20231,441–1726156215–105
INSA [7] 1–4 Sep 20232,010–17.526.513.57.521.54.5–95
Forsa [29] 29 Aug – 4 Sep 20232,506–1627147214–116
Ipsos 1–3 Sep 20232,000–1726148216–85
INSA [7] 28 Aug – 1 Sep 20231,195–1827137215–96
Infratest dimap [12] 28–30 Aug 20231,310–1629146224–97
Kantar [30] 23–29 Aug 20231,330–1825157205–105
INSA [7] 25–28 Aug 20232,006–1826.514.57214.5–8.55.5
Forsa [29] 22–28 Aug 20232,504291726147214–115
Wahlkreisprognose 22–27 Aug 20231,2002620.525137.5224–83
INSA [7] 21–25 Aug 20231,285–1827147215–86
Kantar [30] 16–22 Aug 20231,426–1826147205–106
INSA [7] 18–21 Aug 20232,008–18.526.514820.55–7.56
Forsa [29] 15–21 Aug 20232,506291826147204–116
INSA [7] 14–18 Aug 20231,203–1827148215–76
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 15–17 Aug 20231,288261926157205–86
Infratest dimap [12] 15–16 Aug 20231,216–1727147214–106
Allensbach [27] 4–16 Aug 20231,026–1929147195–710
Kantar [30] 9–15 Aug 20231,426–1826157195–107
INSA [7] 11–14 Aug 20232,002–19.52613.57214.5–8.55
Forsa [29] 8–14 Aug 20232,501281725157214–114
INSA [7] 7–11 Aug 20231,200–2026137215–85
GMS 2–9 Aug 20231,004–1727147214–106
Kantar [30] 2–8 Aug 20231,330–1927166186–88
INSA [7] 4–7 Aug 20232,004–192714.57.520.54.5–76.5
Forsa [29] 1–7 Aug 20232,502281725157214–114
Ipsos 4–6 Aug 20231,000–1726158225–74
INSA [7] 31 Jul – 4 Aug 20231,203–1927147215–76
Infratest dimap [12] 31 Jul – 2 Aug 20231,297–1727157214–96
Kantar [30] 26 Jul – 1 Aug 20231,310–1927166195–88
YouGov [28] 25 Jul – 2 Aug 20231,756–1727145236174
INSA [7] 28–31 Jul 20232,003–18.526.5146.521.55–85
Forsa [29] 25–31 Jul 20232,500281725156215–114
INSA [7] 24–28 Jul 20231,200–1826147225–84
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 20231,5252320.52513720.54.536.54.5
Kantar [30] 19–25 Jul 20231,402–1827166205–87
INSA [7] 21–24 Jul 20232,006–18.526.5147.521.54.5–7.55
Forsa [29] 18–24 Jul 20232,504281827146195–118
INSA [7] 17–21 Jul 20231,266–1826147225–84
Infratest dimap [12] 18–19 Jul 20231,235–1828137204–108
Allensbach [27] 7–19 Jul 20231,011–1929167184–710
Kantar [30] 12–18 Jul 20231,403–1826167205–86
INSA [7] 14–17 Jul 20232,004–182714720.55–8.56.5
Forsa [29] 11–17 Jul 20232,502261826157204–106
INSA [7] 10–14 Jul 20231,184–1827147205–97
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 11–13 Jul 20231,347271727167204–97
Kantar [30] 5–11 Jul 20231,393–1926157205–86
INSA [7] 7–10 Jul 20232,008–192614720.55–8.55.5
Ipsos 7–9 Jul 20231,000–1826147225–84
Forsa [29] 4–7 Jul 20232,003251827147195–108
INSA [7] 3–7 Jul 20231,204–1927137205–97
Infratest dimap [12] 3–5 Jul 20231,305–1828147204–98
YouGov [28] 30 Jun – 4 Jul 20231,694–1827146216166
Kantar [30] 28 Jun – 4 Jul 20231,403–1827156205–97
INSA [7] 30 Jun – 3 Jul 20232,897–1925.514.56.5215–8.54.5
GMS 28 Jun – 3 Jul 20231,005–1728147204–108
Forsa [29] 27 Jun – 3 Jul 20232,501251827156195–108
INSA [7] 26–30 Jun 20231,401–1926147205–96
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 27–29 Jun 20231,379241828166195–89
Kantar [30] 20–27 Jun 20231,408–1826157195–107
INSA [7] 23–26 Jun 20232,004–19.526.513.56.520.54.5–96
Forsa [29] 20–26 Jun 20232,506251827157194–108
Wahlkreisprognose 22–25 Jun 20231,39925212414.56214.5–93
INSA [7] 19–23 Jun 20231,203–2026137204–106
Allensbach [27] 9–22 Jun 20231,039–1931158174–612
Infratest dimap [12] 20–21 Jun 20231,191–1729156194–1010
Kantar [30] 14–20 Jun 20231,406–1927157204–87
INSA [7] 16–19 Jun 20232,006–2026.513.57.5204.5–86.5
Forsa [29] 13–19 Jun 20232,503251827157194–108
INSA [7] 12–16 Jun 20231,203–2027138194–97
Civey 9–16 Jun 202310,031–1925167205–85
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 13–15 Jun 20231,224211928166185–89
Kantar [30] 6–13 Jun 20231,387–2027156195–87
INSA [7] 9–12 Jun 20232,003–202713819.54.5–87
Forsa [29] 6–12 Jun 20232,504241829147194–910
INSA [7] 5–9 Jun 20231,201–2027138195–87
YouGov [28] 2–7 Jun 20231,628–1928135206178
Kantar [30] 31 May – 6 Jun 20231,402–2027157185–87
INSA [7] 2–5 Jun 20232,009–1926.513.59195–87.5
GMS 31 May – 5 Jun 20231,001–1829157194–810
Forsa [29] 30 May – 5 Jun 20232,505231830147174–1012
Ipsos 2–4 Jun 20231,000–2028138196–68
Wahlkreisprognose 1–2 Jun 20231,100242127138194–86
INSA [7] 30 May – 2 Jun 20231,205–1927139195–88
Infratest dimap [12] 30–31 May 20231,302–1829157184–911
INSA [7] 26–30 May 20232,004–20.528138.5184.5–7.57.5
Kantar [30] 23–30 May 20231,379–2027158175–87
Forsa [29] 23–26 May 20232,001231829147175–1011
INSA [7] 22–26 May 20231,207–2028139184–88
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 23–25 May 20231,257242028166175–88
Kantar [30] 16–23 May 20231,321–1829158165–911
INSA [7] 19–22 May 20232,004–20.527.5148.5175–7.57
Forsa [29] 16–22 May 20232,003–1830147165–1012
INSA [7] 15–19 May 20231,195–2128148175–77
Kantar [30] 9–16 May 20231,401–1828168165–910
INSA [7] 12–15 May 20232,010–202814.58.516.55–7.58
Forsa [29] 9–15 May 20232,503251730158164–1013
INSA [7] 8–12 May 20231,205–2028159164–88
Infratest dimap [12] 9–10 May 20231,220–1828168165–910
Allensbach [27] 28 Apr – 10 May 20231,001–1832168155–614
YouGov [28] 5–9 May 20231,700–16311651762714
Kantar [30] 3–9 May 20231,405–1829178165–711
INSA [7] 5–8 May 20232,008–202814916.54.5–88
Forsa [29] 2–8 May 20232,505–1829167164–1011
Ipsos 5–7 May 20231,000–1929158165–810
INSA [7] 2–5 May 20231,204–2028149164–98
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 2–4 May 20231,225281930176155–811
Infratest dimap [12] 2–3 May 20231,360–1730167165–913
INSA [7] 28 Apr – 2 May 20232,006–212715816.54.5–86
Kantar [30] 26 Apr – 2 May 20231,394–1731168164–814
Wahlkreisprognose 26–30 Apr 20231,400242127.51410.5153.5–8.56.5
Forsa [29] 25–28 Apr 20232,007–1730167164–1013
INSA [7] 24–28 Apr 20231,202–2128148165–87
Kantar [30] 18–25 Apr 20231,426–1830167165–812
INSA [7] 21–24 Apr 20232,004–2027.514.59164.5–8.57.5
Forsa [29] 18–24 Apr 20232,506231830167154–1012
INSA [7] 17–21 Apr 20231,202–2028159164–88
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 18–20 Apr 20231,266241831186154–813
Kantar [30] 12–18 Apr 20231,407–1929177154–910
Allensbach [27] 3–18 Apr 20231,007–2031157.5165–5.511
INSA [7] 14–17 Apr 20232,008–2127.5158164.5–86.5
Forsa [29] 11–17 Apr 20232,508241829177154–1011
INSA [7] 11–14 Apr 20231,204–2127158165–86
Infratest dimap [12] 11–12 Apr 20231,204–1929177154–910
INSA [7] 6–11 Apr 20232,005–2027.515.58164.5–8.57.5
Kantar [30] 5–11 Apr 20231,367–2127178145–86
Forsa [29] 4–6 Apr 20231,501251830187144–1012
INSA [7] 3–6 Apr 20231,204–2028168164–88
Infratest dimap [12] 3–5 Apr 20231,304–1830177154–912
Ipsos 3–4 Apr 20231,000–2127178154–86
YouGov [28] 30 Mar – 4 Apr 20231,522–20301561761610
Kantar [30] 29 Mar – 4 Apr 20231,269–2027188145–87
INSA [7] 31 Mar – 3 Apr 20232,007–202815.57.5164.5–8.58
GMS 29 Mar – 3 Apr 20231,007–1931176154–812
Forsa [29] 28 Mar – 3 Apr 20232,502251829187144–1011
INSA [7] 27–31 Mar 20231,200–2127168164–86
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 28–30 Mar 20231,379251930177155–711
Kantar [30] 21–28 Mar 20231,387–1828197154–910
INSA [7] 24–27 Mar 20232,004–20.52816815.54–87.5
Forsa [29] 21–27 Mar 20232,506241929186144–1010
Wahlkreisprognose 23–26 Mar 20231,200232326.5157.513.54–10.53.5
INSA [7] 20–24 Mar 20231,203–2128168154–87
Kantar [30] 14–21 Mar 20231,504–1828187155–910
INSA [7] 17–20 Mar 20232,006–21.528157.5165–76.5
Forsa [29] 14–20 Mar 20232,503231929186145–910
INSA [7] 13–17 Mar 20231,202–2128158165–77
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 14–16 Mar 20231,146242129195145–78
Infratest dimap [12] 14–15 Mar 20231,215–1830167155–912
Allensbach [27] 2–15 Mar 20231,101–2131166.5154.5–610
Kantar [30] 8–14 Mar 20231,432–1928187155–89
INSA [7] 10–13 Mar 20232,002–21.528.515.57.5164–77
Forsa [29] 7–13 Mar 20232,505222029176145–99
INSA [7] 6–10 Mar 20231,268–2129167154–88
YouGov [28] 3–7 Mar 20231,649–2028166177168
Kantar [30] 1–7 Mar 20231,504–1929197135–810
INSA [7] 3–6 Mar 20232,007–2029.515.57.515.55–79.5
Forsa [29] 28 Feb – 6 Mar 20232,504–2031175135–911
Ipsos 3–4 Mar 20231,000–2027187155–87
INSA [7] 27 Feb – 3 Mar 20231,203–2030167155–710
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 28 Feb – 2 Mar 20231,165242129185155–78
Infratest dimap [12] 27 Feb – 1 Mar 20231,311–1831176145–913
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Feb – 1 Mar 20231,4192523.53215.55143–78.5
Kantar [30] 21–28 Feb 20231,722–2028186146–88
INSA [7] 24–27 Feb 20232,010–20.529.515.57.515.54.5–79
Forsa [29] 21–27 Feb 20232,501222031175135–911
INSA [7] 20–24 Feb 20231,200–2129167155–78
Kantar [30] 14–21 Feb 20231,373–2129176155–78
INSA [7] 17–20 Feb 20232,006–21.52915.5715.55–6.57.5
GMS 15–20 Feb 20231,004–1929177155–810
Forsa [29] 14–20 Feb 20232,510–1931176135–912
INSA [7] 13–17 Feb 20231,207–2129167165–68
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 14–16 Feb 20231,361252030195145–710
Infratest dimap [12] 14–15 Feb 20231,216–1929176155–910
Kantar [30] 8–14 Feb 20231,386–2126187155–85
INSA [7] 10–13 Feb 20232,005–2028167.5165–7.58
Forsa [29] 7–13 Feb 20232,505232128186135–97
INSA [7] 6–10 Feb 20231,457–2028168165–78
YouGov [28] 3–9 Feb 20231,736–1927166176278
Allensbach [27] 27 Jan – 9 Feb 20231,088–22.530167.5144–67.5
Kantar [30] 31 Jan – 7 Feb 20231,410–2125197155–84
INSA [7] 3–6 Feb 20232,008–212716815.55–7.56
Forsa [29] 31 Jan – 6 Feb 20232,502242128187135–87
Ipsos 3 Feb 20231,000–2026178165–86
INSA [7] 30 Jan – 3 Feb 20231,462–2128168155–77
Infratest dimap [12] 30 Jan – 1 Feb 20231,328–2027187154–97
Kantar [30] 25–31 Jan 20231,405–2125197155–84
INSA [7] 27–30 Jan 20232,007–20.528.5167.5155–7.58
Forsa [29] 24–30 Jan 20232,503–2027197135–97
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jan 20231,421262424186.514.53.5–9.5Tie
INSA [7] 24–27 Jan 20231,506–2029167155–89
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 24–26 Jan 20231,345262127196156–66
Kantar [30] 18–24 Jan 20231,392–2127197145–76
INSA [7] 20–23 Jan 20232,009–20.52816.57.5154.5–87.5
Forsa [29] 17–23 Jan 20232,502231928207125–98
INSA [7] 16–21 Jan 20231,504–2028167155–98
Infratest dimap [12] 17–18 Jan 20231,211–1929196144–910
Allensbach [27] 5–18 Jan 20231,023–2131176144.5–6.510
Kantar [30] 11–17 Jan 20231,418–2027206145–87
Wahlkreisprognose 15–16 Jan 20231,500–21.524.517816.53.5–93
INSA [7] 13–16 Jan 20232,006–212816.57.5155–77
Forsa [29] 10–16 Jan 20232,500241828207135–98
INSA [7] 9–13 Jan 20231,202–2027178155–87
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 10–12 Jan 20231,259262027216146–66
Civey 5–12 Jan 202310,065–1828207145–88
Ipsos 9–10 Jan 20231,000–1927187156–88
YouGov [28] 6–10 Jan 20231,561–1827178166169
Kantar [30] 4–10 Jan 20231,398–1928187144–109
INSA [7] 6–9 Jan 20232,006–202717.57.5155–87
Forsa [29] 3–9 Jan 20232,502231829207135–89
INSA [7] 2–6 Jan 20231,465–2027187155–87
Infratest dimap [12] 2–4 Jan 20231,314–1829196155–810
GMS 28 Dec – 3 Jan 20231,002–1929177145–910
INSA [7] 29 Dec – 2 Jan 20232,010–202717.57.5154.5–8.57
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021–23.425.724.214.711.410.44.92.46.31.6

2022

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		Abs. SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW OthersLead
INSA [7] 27–29 Dec 20221,205–2026187155−96
INSA [7] 19–22 Dec 20221,203–2127178145−86
YouGov [28] 16–21 Dec 20221,608–19301771451811
INSA [7] 16–19 Dec 20222,005–2127.517.57.514.54.5−7.56.5
Forsa [29] 13–19 Dec 20222,503241928197135−99
INSA [7] 12–16 Dec 20221,501–2127187155−76
Kantar [30] 13–15 Dec 20221,717–1929187145−810
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 12–15 Dec 20221,365222028206155−68
Allensbach [27] 2–15 Dec 20221,035–2230187.5124.5−68
INSA [7] 9–12 Dec 20222,007–2028.518715.54.5−6.58.5
Kantar [30] 7–12 Dec 20221,429–1828197145−99
Forsa [29] 6–12 Dec 20222,506241929197125−910
Wahlkreisprognose 7–9 Dec 20221,500–22.52516.5714.54−10.52.5
INSA [7] 2–9 Dec 20221,502–2028187154−88
Infratest dimap [12] 6–7 Dec 20221,259–1829186155−911
Kantar [30] 30 Nov – 6 Dec 20221,443–1927196155−98
INSA [7] 3–5 Dec 20222,008–20.52817714.55−87.5
Forsa [29] 29 Nov – 5 Dec 20222,500251929197125−910
Ipsos 2–3 Dec 20221,000–1927197146−88
INSA [7] 28 Nov – 2 Dec 20221,502–2028177155−88
Civey 25 Nov – 2 Dec 202210,016–1928217134−87
GMS 28 Nov – 1 Dec 20221,005–1828217124−107
Infratest dimap [12] 28–30 Nov 20221,318–1830185155−912
Kantar [30] 22–29 Nov 20221,414–1827207145−97
INSA [7] 25–28 Nov 20222,006–212717.57155−7.56
Forsa [29] 22–28 Nov 20222,505241929206125−99
INSA [7] 21–25 Nov 20221,501–2127187155−76
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 22–24 Nov 20221,273261928225146−66
Kantar [30] 15–22 Nov 20221,430–1929197134−910
INSA [7] 18–21 Nov 20222,004–2028177.5155−7.58
Forsa [29] 15–21 Nov 20222,502251928206135−98
INSA [7] 14–18 Nov 20221,314–2028177155−88
Allensbach [27] 5–17 Nov 20221,042–2029.5207144−5.59.5
Kantar [30] 9–15 Nov 20221,443–2027197135−97
INSA [7] 11–14 Nov 20222,010–20.527.517.57154.5−87
Forsa [29] 8–14 Nov 20222,503251928206144−98
INSA [7] 8–11 Nov 20221,255–2128187154−77
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 8–10 Nov 20221,310231928225155−66
Infratest dimap [12] 8–9 Nov 20221,225–1828197144−109
YouGov [28] 4–9 Nov 20221,608–1829205167159
Wahlkreisprognose 7–8 Nov 20221,300–24.525.5168.5143.5−81
Kantar [30] 2–8 Nov 20221,442–2126207145−75
Ipsos 4–7 Nov 20221,000–1927207136−87
INSA [7] 4–7 Nov 20222,007–212717.5814.54.5−7.56
Forsa [29] 1–7 Nov 20222,502241928196145−99
INSA [7] 1–4 Nov 20221,286–2127178155−76
Infratest dimap [12] 31 Oct – 2 Nov 20221,307–1928196145−99
Kantar [30] 25 Oct – 2 Nov 20221,516–2126198145−75
INSA [7] 28–31 Oct 20222,009–20.526189154.5−75.5
Forsa [29] 25–31 Oct 20222,503232027206144−97
INSA [7] 24–28 Oct 20221,230–2026189155−76
Kantar [30] 19–25 Oct 20221,406–2125207155−74
GMS 19–25 Oct 20221,002–1828206154−98
INSA [7] 21–24 Oct 20222,007–20.526.517.58.5154.5−7.56
Forsa [29] 18–24 Oct 20222,502221928206144−98
Wahlkreisprognose 18–21 Oct 20221,910–222517.58163.5−83
INSA [7] 17–21 Oct 20221,503–2027188155−77
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 18–20 Oct 20221,389221928216155−67
Kantar [30] 12–18 Oct 20221,435–2223207164−81
INSA [7] 14–17 Oct 20222,000–19.527.518.57.515.54.5−78
Forsa [29] 11–17 Oct 20222,505–2027206144−97
INSA [7] 10–14 Oct 20221,327–1928188155−79
Allensbach [27] 1–13 Oct 20221,021–1930.5197145−5.511.5
Infratest dimap [12] 11–12 Oct 20221,225–1926206155−96
YouGov [28] 7–12 Oct 20221,617–16291961562710
Kantar [30] 5–11 Oct 20221,433–2025216155−84
Forsa [29] 4–10 Oct 20222,501241828206145−98
INSA [7] 4–10 Oct 20222,005–19.527.5197.5155−6.58
Ipsos 7–9 Oct 20221,000–1827217136−86
INSA [7] 4–7 Oct 20221,315–1927198155−78
Wahlkreisprognose 3–6 Oct 20221,923–2125169164.5−8.54
Infratest dimap [12] 3–5 Oct 20221,307–1728197155−99
Kantar [30] 28 Sep – 4 Oct 20221,864–1827208146−77
INSA [7] 30 Sep – 3 Oct 20222,008–1927.518.58155.5−6.58.5
Forsa [29] 27–30 Sep 20222,001251828206145−98
INSA [7] 26–30 Sep 20221,210–1928188156−69
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 27–29 Sep 20221,355271827227145−75
Kantar [30] 22–27 Sep 20221,381–1927218135−76
INSA [7] 23–26 Sep 20222,102–1827.519.58155.5−6.58
Forsa [29] 20–26 Sep 20222,505231828207135−98
INSA [7] 19–23 Sep 20221,255–1928198145−79
Wahlkreisprognose 20–22 Sep 20221,700–222618813.54−8.54
Kantar [30] 14–20 Sep 20221,444–1927207145−87
GMS 14–20 Sep 20221,003–1828217134−97
INSA [7] 16–19 Sep 20222,080–18.528.5197.5145.5−79.5
Forsa [29] 13–19 Sep 20222,506231928197135−99
INSA [7] 12–16 Sep 20221,476–1928197136−89
Infratest dimap [12] 13–14 Sep 20221,224–1728217145−87
Allensbach [27] 1–14 Sep 20221,030–2030197135.5−5.510
YouGov [28] 9–13 Sep 20221,635–16291961471710
Kantar [30] 7–13 Sep 20221,443–2026217135−85
Forsa [29] 6–13 Sep 20222,501–1928206135−98
INSA [7] 9–12 Sep 20222,039–182820813.55.5−78
Wahlkreisprognose 9–11 Sep 20221,300–2025.5197145.5−95.5
INSA [7] 5–9 Sep 20221,443–1927208135−87
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 6–8 Sep 20221,299251928236135−65
Kantar [30] 31 Aug – 6 Sep 20221,416–2025218125−94
INSA [7] 2–5 Sep 20222,004–182820.57.513.55.5−77.5
Forsa [29] 30 Aug – 5 Sep 20222,500251826247115−92
Ipsos 2–4 Sep 20221,000–1926218126−85
INSA [7] 29 Aug – 2 Sep 20221,203–1928208135−78
Infratest dimap [12] 29–31 Aug 20221,324–1727228135−85
Kantar [30] 24–30 Aug 20221,411–2124228125−82
INSA [7] 26–29 Aug 20222,138–1927.520.58135.5−6.57
Forsa [29] 23–29 Aug 20222,503251726257115−91
INSA [7] 22–26 Aug 20221,204–2028218125−67
Civey 18–25 Aug 202210,014–1927227115−95
Kantar [30] 17–23 Aug 20221,431–1926237125−83
INSA [7] 19–22 Aug 20222,091–18.528217.5135.5−6.57
Forsa [29] 16–22 Aug 20222,505251826257114−91
INSA [7] 15–19 Aug 20221,427–1928218125−77
Wahlkreisprognose 16–18 Aug 20221,433–1825266143−81
Allensbach [27] 5–18 Aug 20221,038–19.529218125−5.58
Infratest dimap [12] 16–17 Aug 20221,273–1828237124−85
Kantar [30] 10–16 Aug 20221,429–2028236124−75
INSA [7] 12–15 Aug 20222,146–1928228125−66
Forsa [29] 9–15 Aug 20222,500281826256114−101
INSA [7] 8–12 Aug 20221,502–1927229125−65
Wahlkreisprognose 6–12 Aug 20222,920–162425.5814.53.5−8.51.5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 9–11 Aug 20221,389251926267124−6Tie
YouGov [28] 5–10 Aug 20221,595–1927216146176
Kantar [30] 3–9 Aug 20221,422–2127227115−75
Ipsos 5–8 Aug 20221,000–1927228115−85
INSA [7] 5–8 Aug 20222,099–182721.5812.55.5−7.55.5
Forsa [29] 2–8 Aug 20222,504261826247105−102
INSA [7] 1–5 Aug 20221,701–1927219125−76
Infratest dimap [12] 1–3 Aug 20221,313–1728237134−85
Kantar [30] 26 Jul – 2 Aug 20221,426–2125236115−92
INSA [7] 29 Jul – 1 Aug 20222,144–18.526.5228125−84.5
Forsa [29] 26 Jul – 1 Aug 20222,504–1827247105−93
INSA [7] 25–29 Jul 20221,202–1926229125−74
Kantar [30] 19–26 Jul 20221,413–2126227115−84
INSA [7] 22–25 Jul 20222,043–18.526.5228125−84.5
GMS 20–25 Jul 20221,005–1827239105−84
Forsa [29] 19–25 Jul 20222,510221926246105−102
INSA [7] 18–22 Jul 20221,501–1827238125−74
Allensbach [27] 8–21 Jul 20221,006–2227.5227115−5.55.5
Infratest dimap [12] 19–20 Jul 20221,210–1927227124−95
Wahlkreisprognose 19–20 Jul 20221,400−2224248.510.53.5−7.5Tie
Kantar [30] 13–19 Jul 20221,392–1925238115−92
INSA [7] 15–18 Jul 20222,062–18.526.5228124.5−8.54.5
Forsa [29] 12–18 Jul 20222,501–202624695−102
Civey 11–18 Jul 202210,018–2027237105−84
INSA [7] 11–15 Jul 20221,277–1926228115−94
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 12–14 Jul 20221,167252126256115−61
Kantar [30] 6–12 Jul 20221,433–2025248114−81
INSA [7] 8–11 Jul 20222,044–2027218.5114.5−86
Forsa [29] 5–11 Jul 20222,50322192624795−102
INSA [7] 4–8 Jul 20221,202–1928228104−96
Wahlkreisprognose 5–6 Jul 20221,700−2225228104−93
Infratest dimap [12] 4–6 Jul 20221,327–1927238114−84
YouGov [28] 1–5 Jul 20221,655–1928207125188
Kantar [30] 28 Jun – 5 Jul 20221,426–2025247105−91
INSA [7] 1–4 Jul 20222,066–1928219.5114−7.57
Forsa [29] 28 Jun – 4 Jul 20222,50223202624894−92
Ipsos 1–2 Jul 20221,000–2226209105−84
INSA [7] 27 Jun – 2 Jul 20221,253–2027229114−75
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 28–30 Jun 20221,186202127256105−62
Kantar [30] 21–28 Jun 20221,410–2026258104−71
INSA [7] 24–27 Jun 20222,101–202721.5910.54−85.5
Forsa [29] 21–27 Jun 20222,50022202624894−92
Wahlkreisprognose 23–26 Jun 20222,430−2225217124−93
INSA [7] 20–24 Jun 20221,414–2026229114−84
Infratest dimap [12] 21–22 Jun 20221,248–2026238124−73
Kantar [30] 14–21 Jun 20221,769–2026248104−82
INSA [7] 17–20 Jun 20222,063–19.528219.5104−87
GMS 15–20 Jun 20221,003–212921884−98
Forsa [29] 14–20 Jun 20222,50425192823894−95
INSA [7] 13–17 Jun 20221,501–2027219104−96
Allensbach [27] 3–17 Jun 20221,046–2327228104.5−5.54
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 13–15 Jun 20221,133222226256105−61
Kantar [30] 8–14 Jun 20221,895–202822894−96
INSA [7] 10–13 Jun 20222,082–2027.5219.510.53.5−86.5
Forsa [29] 7–13 Jun 20222,51120202723894−94
INSA [7] 7–10 Jun 20221,203–2127219104−86
Wahlkreisprognose 7–8 Jun 20221,603−2224207136−82
Ipsos 3–7 Jun 20221,000–2327199104−84
YouGov [28] 3–7 Jun 20221,633–1830217126169
INSA [7] 3–7 Jun 20222,055–202721.59.510.53.5−85.5
Kantar [30] 1–7 Jun 20221,428–222623984−83
Forsa [29] 31 May – 3 Jun 20222,002201927238104−94
INSA [7] 30 May – 3 Jun 20221,501–222720994−95
Infratest dimap [12] 30 May – 1 Jun 20221,226–2127218114−86
Wahlkreisprognose 30 May – 1 Jun 20221,500−182725.5894−8.51.5
Kantar [30] 24–31 May 20221,428–202823884−95
INSA [7] 27–30 May 20222,056–222720.58.5103.5−8.55
GMS 25–30 May 20221,005–223020874−98
Forsa [29] 24–30 May 20222,00421192924794−85
INSA [7] 23–27 May 20221,337–232719994−94
Kantar [30] 17–24 May 20221,422–212721895−96
INSA [7] 20–23 May 20222,100–2228.5208.510.53−7.56.5
Forsa [29] 17–23 May 20222,50522212823794−85
Civey 16–23 May 202210,050–2227208115−75
INSA [7] 16–20 May 20221,214–21281910103−97
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 17–19 May 20221,162222226247104−72
Allensbach [27] 6–18 May 20221,118–242920.5894.5−55
Kantar [30] 11–17 May 20221,425–2226218105−84
Wahlkreisprognose 15–16 May 20221,302−23.529235.57.52.5−95.5
INSA [7] 13–16 May 20222,147–21.52820.59113−76.5
Forsa [29] 10–16 May 20222,50223222722884−95
INSA [7] 9–13 May 20221,501–22271810104−95
Infratest dimap [12] 10–11 May 20221,226–2226208114−94
YouGov [28] 6–10 May 20221,659–2028199105178
Kantar [30] 4–10 May 20221,426–2226209105−84
Wahlkreisprognose 8–9 May 20221,610−2423.522.510.593−7.50.5
INSA [7] 6–9 May 20222,086–22.527.5191010.53.5−75
Forsa [29] 3–9 May 20222,501–232621994−83
Ipsos 6 May 2022906–24251611115−81
INSA [7] 2–6 May 20221,501–23271811103−84
pollytix 29 Apr – 4 May 20221,303–22261712125−64
Kantar [30] 26 Apr – 3 May 20221,570–232719995−84
INSA [7] 29 Apr – 2 May 20222,146–2327199.510.54.5−6.54
Forsa [29] 26 Apr – 2 May 20222,508–232620994−93
INSA [7] 25–29 Apr 20221,202–23261810114−83
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 26–28 Apr 20221,170212523219114−72
Infratest dimap [12] 25–27 Apr 20221,314–2426189113−92
Kantar [30] 19–26 Apr 20221,431–232520995−92
INSA [7] 22–25 Apr 20222,056–2426.518911.54.5−6.52.5
GMS 20–25 Apr 20221,003–262618894−9Tie
Forsa [29] 19–25 Apr 20222,50725242520994−91
Civey 8–25 Apr 202210,011–2425209114−71
Wahlkreisprognose 23 Apr 20221,007−24.522.522118.53−8.52
INSA [7] 19–22 Apr 20221,296–2426189115−72
Kantar [30] 12–19 Apr 20221,715–252519994−9Tie
INSA [7] 15–18 Apr 20222,073–23.526199114.5−72.5
Forsa [29] 12–14 Apr 20221,50125252520894−9Tie
INSA [7] 11–14 Apr 20221,402–25261710105−71
Infratest dimap [12] 11–12 Apr 20221,226–2426188114−92
YouGov [28] 8–12 Apr 20221,643–2126189126175
Kantar [30] 6–12 Apr 20221,960–2625198104−81
INSA [7] 8–11 Apr 20222,061–252717.59114.5−62
Forsa [29] 5–11 Apr 20222,50025272419894−93
INSA [7] 4–8 Apr 20221,503–25261610114−81
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 5–7 Apr 20221,230212724198114−73
Infratest dimap [12] 4–6 Apr 20221,325–2425199114−81
Allensbach [27] 25 Mar – 6 Apr 20221,075–282417996−74
Kantar [30] 30 Mar – 5 Apr 20221,437–2725198104−72
Wahlkreisprognose 3–4 Apr 20222,450−2725.5198.593−81.5
INSA [7] 1–4 Apr 20222,063–252617.510.510.54.5−61
Ipsos 1 Apr 2022912–25231512126−72
Forsa [29] 29 Mar – 4 Apr 20222,50824272419894−93
INSA [7] 25 Mar – 1 Apr 20221,501–26261610114−7Tie
Kantar [30] 23–29 Mar 20221,428–252618995−81
INSA [7] 25–28 Mar 20222,070–252616.51010.55.5−6.51
Forsa [29] 22–28 Mar 20222,50722242618995−92
INSA [7] 21–25 Mar 20221,205–26261610115−6Tie
Kantar [30] 16–22 Mar 20221,429–262518996−71
INSA [7] 18–21 Mar 20222,122–24.526.516.511114.5−62
Forsa [29] 15–21 Mar 20222,501222327181095−84
Allensbach [27] 9–21 Mar 20221,041–25251710.5105−7.5Tie
Wahlkreisprognose 18–20 Mar 20221,923−26.525.518.5108.53−81
INSA [7] 14–18 Mar 20221,198–26261610105−7Tie
Infratest dimap [12] 15–16 Mar 20221,254–2526179114−81
Kantar [30] 9–15 Mar 20221,416–262619895−7Tie
INSA [7] 11–14 Mar 20222,073–2525.515.510.510.55−80.5
Forsa [29] 8–14 Mar 20222,502–252618995−81
INSA [7] 7–11 Mar 20221,201–26241610106−82
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 8–10 Mar 20221,345192724189105−73
YouGov [28] 4–8 Mar 20221,629–2326169116173
Kantar [30] 2–8 Mar 20221,426–2526198105−71
INSA [7] 4–7 Mar 20222,103–2524.515.51110.56−7.50.5
Ipsos 4 Mar 2022935–25241611116−71
Forsa [29] 1–7 Mar 20222,50122262518976−91
INSA [7] 28 Feb – 4 Mar 20221,185–25251511116−7Tie
Infratest dimap [12] 28 Feb – 2 Mar 20221,320–2526169115−81
Kantar [30] 23 Feb – 1 Mar 20221,405–2626178106−7Tie
INSA [7] 25–28 Feb 20222,067–232715.51110.56.5−6.54
Forsa [29] 24–28 Feb 20221,500–252618976−91
Wahlkreisprognose 24–27 Feb 20222,030−2623.517.511.510.54−72.5
GMS 23–26 Feb 20221,005–2427151096−93
INSA [7] 21–25 Feb 20221,405–23261511127−63
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 21–23 Feb 20221,103202624179116−72
Kantar [30] 16–22 Feb 20221,432–2625179107−61
INSA [7] 18–21 Feb 20221,539–232714.512.5116−64
Forsa [29] 15–21 Feb 20222,50023232717996−94
INSA [7] 14–18 Feb 20221,303–22271511127−65
Infratest dimap [12] 15–16 Feb 20221,202–2426159125−92
Allensbach [27] 3–16 Feb 20221,033–23271510.5106−6.54
Wahlkreisprognose 13–15 Feb 20221,200−2524.5179.59.56−8.50.5
YouGov [28] 10–15 Feb 20221,659–2127179117166
Kantar [30] 8–15 Feb 20221,434–24241610126−8Tie
INSA [7] 11–14 Feb 20222,141–22.5261512126−6.53.5
Forsa [29] 8–14 Feb 20222,50422232716996−104
INSA [7] 7–11 Feb 20221,504–22261611126−74
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 8–10 Feb 20221,224182525169116−8Tie
pollytix 4–8 Feb 20221,547–2327159128−64
Kantar [30] 1–8 Feb 20221,287–22261610126−84
INSA [7] 4–7 Feb 20222,067–23261512117−63
Ipsos 4 Feb 2022910–2524168128−71
Forsa [29] 1–7 Feb 20222,502232227169106−105
INSA [7] 1–4 Feb 20221,202–22271611116−75
Wahlkreisprognose 1–3 Feb 20222,330−2128198.5105.5−87
Civey 22 Jan – 3 Feb 202210,070–25251510116–8Tie
Infratest dimap [12] 31 Jan – 2 Feb 20221,339–22271610125–85
Kantar [30] 26 Jan – 1 Feb 20221,410–2424179116−9Tie
INSA [7] 28–31 Jan 20222,247–24251512.5106.5–71
Forsa [29] 25–31 Jan 20222,501232327169106–94
INSA [7] 24–28 Jan 20221,383–26241611116–62
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 25–27 Jan 20221,2492124231810107–81
YouGov [28] 21–25 Jan 20221,602–2326158128273
Kantar [30] 19–25 Jan 20221,415–24241810106–8Tie
INSA [7] 21–24 Jan 20222,146–26241511.5116–6.52
Forsa [29] 18–24 Jan 20222,5022225241610106–91
INSA [7] 17–21 Jan 20221,204–26231612126–53
Allensbach [27] 6–20 Jan 20221,090–27.52314.512.5105.5–74.5
Infratest dimap [12] 18–19 Jan 20221,424–25241610125–81
Wahlkreisprognose 15–18 Jan 20221,920−27.522.51710.5104.5–85
Kantar [30] 12–18 Jan 20221,441–2622179126–84
INSA [7] 14–17 Jan 20222,130–2622.515.512126–63.5
Forsa [29] 11–17 Jan 20222,5042225251610105–9Tie
INSA [7] 10–14 Jan 20221,504–27231611125–64
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 11–13 Jan 20221,1282127221611106–85
Kantar [30] 5–11 Jan 20221,426–26231710106–83
INSA [7] 7–10 Jan 20222,107–26.5231512125–6.53.5
Forsa [29] 3–10 Jan 20223,003222525171095–9Tie
Ipsos 6–9 Jan 2022929–25211511126–104
INSA [7] 3–7 Jan 20221,504–27231612115–64
Infratest dimap [12] 3–5 Jan 20221,325–26231611115–83
INSA [7] 30 Dec – 3 Jan 20222,060–26.52315.51111.56–6.53.5
GMS 29 Dec – 3 Jan 20221,003–26241612114–72
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021–23.425.724.214.711.410.44.92.46.31.5

2021

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		Abs. SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW OthersLead
INSA [7] 27–30 Dec 20211,201–27241610115–73
INSA [7] 20–23 Dec 20211,195–28231511115–75
INSA [7] 17–20 Dec 20212,075–27.521.514.51311.55.5–6.56
Forsa [29] 14–20 Dec 20212,501–2624161095–102
Wahlkreisprognose 18–19 Dec 20211,120−3021.514.511.5104–8.58.5
INSA [7] 13–18 Dec 20211,501–27231412125–74
Kantar [30] 14–16 Dec 20211,436–27221611115–85
Allensbach [27] 1–15 Dec 20211,069–2624151310.55–6.52
YouGov [28] 10–14 Dec 20211,715–27231610116264
Kantar [30] 8–14 Dec 20211,440–27221611105–95
INSA [7] 10–13 Dec 20212,221–272214.51311.55.5–6.55
Forsa [29] 7–13 Dec 20212,509–26231511105–103
INSA [7] 6–10 Dec 20211,480–26221513115–84
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 7–9 Dec 20211,3032128211712105–77
Infratest dimap [12] 7–8 Dec 20211,266–26231612115–73
Civey 1–8 Dec 202110,043–27231511115–84
Kantar [30] 1–7 Dec 20211,439–28211511115367
INSA [7] 3–6 Dec 20212,119–26221513.511.55.5–6.54
Wahlkreisprognose 1–6 Dec 20211,002−291816.513.5114–811
Forsa [29] 30 Nov – 6 Dec 20212,503–25221711105–103
INSA [7] 29 Nov – 3 Dec 20211,348–26211513125–85
Infratest dimap [12] 29 Nov – 1 Dec 20211,316–25231712115–72
Civey 24 Nov – 1 Dec 202110,078–26241511115–82
Kantar [30] 24–30 Nov 20211,425–27201612116–87
INSA [7] 26–29 Nov 20212,129–25211614115.5–7.54
Forsa [29] 23–29 Nov 20212,509–24221712105–102
INSA [7] 22–26 Nov 20211,403–26211513126–75
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 23–25 Nov 20211,3441928191713115–79
Infratest dimap [12] 23–24 Nov 20211,239–25211713115–84
Wahlkreisprognose 22–24 Nov 20211,002–2722.515.511.5105–8.54.5
Civey 17–24 Nov 202110,064–25241511115–91
YouGov [28] 19–23 Nov 20211,797–25231611126252
Kantar [30] 17–23 Nov 20211,424–24221811116–82
INSA [7] 19–22 Nov 20212,096–26221414115.5–7.54
Forsa [29] 16–22 Nov 20212,5012124221712105–102
INSA [7] 15–19 Nov 20211,501–26211513125–85
Civey 10–17 Nov 202110,077–26231512115–83
Kantar [30] 10–16 Nov 20211,433–24211812116–83
INSA [7] 12–15 Nov 20212,091–2721151311.55.5–76
Forsa [29] 9–15 Nov 20212,5102124221712105–102
INSA [7] 8–12 Nov 20211,202–26221513115–84
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 9–11 Nov 20211,2571628201613115–78
Allensbach [27] 29 Oct – 11 Nov 20211,016–272315149.55.5–64
Civey 3–10 Nov 20219,999–26221513115–84
Kantar [30] 3–9 Nov 20211,424–25211614106–84
INSA [7] 5–8 Nov 20212,112–26.520.51613.510.55.5–7.76
Forsa [29] 2–8 Nov 20212,502–2522161495–93
INSA [7] 1–5 Nov 20211,212–27211514115–76
Wahlkreisprognose 31 Oct – 5 Nov 20211,200–2820.515.51410.54–7.57.5
GMS 1–4 Nov 20211,005–26211615104–85
Infratest dimap [12] 2–3 Nov 20211,329–27211613105–86
Civey 27 Oct – 3 Nov 202110,069–26221513115–84
Kantar [30] 27 Oct – 2 Nov 20211,417–25221613105363
INSA [7] 29 Oct – 1 Nov 20212,140–27201613.511.55–77
Forsa [29] 26 Oct – 1 Nov 20212,501–2521161595–94
INSA [7] 25–29 Oct 20211,503–27211613115–76
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 26–28 Oct 20211,2081527201614115–77
Infratest dimap [12] 26–27 Oct 20211,239–26221613104–94
Civey 20–27 Oct 202110,050–25211514125–84
Kantar [30] 19–26 Oct 20211,422–25211714115–74
INSA [7] 22–25 Oct 20212,105–28201614115–68
Forsa [29] 19–25 Oct 20212,510–2520171695–85
INSA [7] 18–22 Oct 20211,205–27201714114–77
Civey 13–20 Oct 202110,028–25201515116–85
Kantar [30] 13–19 Oct 20211,424–25211613115–94
INSA [7] 15–18 Oct 20212,140–2818.5161511.55–69.5
Forsa [29] 12–18 Oct 20212,502–2620161595–96
INSA [7] 11–15 Oct 20211,195–28191613114–99
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 12–14 Oct 20211,3291428191713115–79
Allensbach [27] 1–14 Oct 20211,045–282115149.55–7.57
Civey 6–13 Oct 20219,999–26201415116–86
Kantar [30] 6–12 Oct 20211,410–26191714105–97
INSA [7] 8–11 Oct 20212,101–28.519.51614.5114–6.59
Wahlkreisprognose 7–10 Oct 20211,210–271917.514104–8.58
Forsa [29] 5–11 Oct 20212,503–2620161495–106
INSA [7] 4–8 Oct 20211,509–28201514105–88
Civey 29 Sep – 6 Oct 202110,009–28191514116–79
Kantar [30] 28 Sep – 5 Oct 20211,985–26201713105366
INSA [7] 1–4 Oct 20212,000–282115.513.5104.5–7.57
Forsa [29] 27 Sep – 4 Oct 20213,004–2620161495–106
INSA [7] 27 Sep – 1 Oct 20211,254–28211612105–87
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen [25] 28–30 Sep 20211,2491528201613105–88
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021–23.425.724.214.711.410.44.92.46.31.5

CDU and CSU

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 SPD CDU Grüne FDP AfD CSU Linke FW BSW OthersLead
INSA [31] 14–17 Feb 20252,0101524134.52266.5–542
INSA [31] 7–10 Feb 20252,00615.523.5134226.56–5.541.5
INSA [31] 31 Jan – 03 Feb 20252,0041624.5134.5225.55–5.542.5
INSA [31] 24–27 Jan 20252,00615.523.512.54.5226.54.5–651.5
INSA [31] 17–20 Jan 20252,0081623.513521.55.54–74.52
INSA [31] 10–13 Jan 20252,0051524.5134226.53.5–6.552.5
INSA [31] 3–6 Jan 20252,00115.524.513.5421.56.53–6.553
INSA [31] 27–30 Dec 20242,00416.524.5123.520.56.54–75.54
INSA [31] 20–23 Dec 20242,0101623.512.5519.57.53–854
INSA [31] 13–16 Dec 20242,00216.524.511.5519.572.5–85.55
INSA [32] 6–9 Dec 20242,0041725.511.54.519.563–856
INSA [32] 29 Nov – 2 Dec 20242,0031625.5134.518.563.5–7.55.57
INSA [32] 22–25 Nov 20242,0031525.5114.519.573.5–7.56.56
INSA [32] 15–18 Nov 20242,0081624.5114.5197.53.5–7.56.55.5
INSA [32] 8–11 Nov 20243,00915.525.511.5519.573.5–75.56
INSA [32] 1–4 Nov 20242,00515.52410.54.51883.5–886
INSA [32] 25–28 Oct 20242,0081524.5114196.52.5–98.55.5
INSA [32] 18–21 Oct 20242,00616,523.51041972.5–98.54.5
INSA [32] 11–14 Oct 20242,0021624.510418.573.5–97.56
INSA [32] 4–7 Oct 20242,010162410.54207.52.5–87.54
INSA [32] 27–30 Sep 20242,0041524.51141972.5–9.57.55.5
INSA [32] 20–23 Sep 20242,00215.525.59.53.5206.52.5–1075.5
INSA [32] 13–16 Sep 20242,0081426104.519.572.5–106.56.5
INSA [32] 6–9 Sep 20242,0101425.510419.572.5–107.56
INSA [32] 30 Aug – 2 Sep 20242,0021524.510.54.51972.5–9.57.55.5
INSA [32] 23–26 Aug 20242,0041524.511.55.518.573–966
INSA [32] 16–19 Aug 20242,00615.52410.55196.53–9.575
INSA [32] 9–12 Aug 20242,0081523.510.551873–9.58.55.5
INSA [32] 2–5 Aug 20242,002152410.55176.53–9.59.57
INSA [32] 26–29 Jul 20242,0061524.5105185.53.5–9.596.5
INSA [32] 19–22 Jul 20242,0101524.510.55176.53.5–997.5
INSA [32] 12–15 Jul 20242,5001524.511.55186.53–8.586.5
INSA [32] 5–8 Jul 20242,0071524115.517.56.531.58.57.56.5
INSA [32] 28 Jun – 1 Jul 20242,0061524125.517.55.52.528.57.56.5
INSA [32] 21–24 Jun 20242,00814.524.511.5517.56328.57.57
INSA [32] 14–17 Jun 20242,0101524.5115176.532887.5
INSA [32] 7–10 Jun 20242,00815.52312516732.57.58.57
INSA [32] 31 May – 3 Jun 20242,002162412515.56.53.52.57.57.58
INSA [32] 24–27 May 20242,0041525125175.532.5788
INSA [32] 17–21 May 20242,0101623.512.55176.53376.56.5
INSA [32] 10–13 May 20242,08715.524.51351763.52.5767.5
INSA [32] 3–6 May 20242,00615.523.51251873.52.57.55.55.5
Forsa 30 Apr – 6 May 20242,0001624.5126156.53–4138.5
INSA [32] 26–29 Apr 20242,00416.523.512.5518.563.52.5755
INSA [32] 19–22 Apr 20242,0081523.512.5518.5742.5755
INSA [32] 12–15 Apr 20242,0061623.513618.5632.56.555
INSA [32] 5–8 Apr 20242,0841523.513518.573.52.56.55.55
INSA [32] 28 Mar – 2 Apr 20242,0041523.512.5519.56.53.52.56.55.54
INSA [32] 22–25 Mar 20242,00815.523.512.5519.56.53.52.56.554
INSA [32] 15–18 Mar 20242,0021623.512519.563.52.56.55.54
INSA [32] 8–11 Mar 20242,07914.525.512.55.518.55.53.52.56.55.57
INSA [32] 1–4 Mar 20242,00714.524.5135.519.5632.56.555
INSA [32] 23–26 Feb 20242,00615.524134.5196.5337.545
INSA [32] 16–19 Feb 20242,00714.52412.54.519.56.53.537.54.54.5
INSA [32] 9–12 Feb 20242,0831523.512.53.520.56.53.537.54.53
INSA [32] 2–5 Feb 20242,004152412.54.520.563.537.53.53.5
INSA [32] 26–29 Jan 20242,00214.523.512.55216.53.52.5742.5
INSA [32] 19–22 Jan 20242,00613.523.512.5521.5732.5–11.52
INSA [32] 12–15 Jan 20242,004142412523743–81
INSA [32] 5–8 Jan 20242,008162512523743–52
INSA [32] 29 Dec – 2 Jan 20242,002152513522.5743–5.52.5
INSA [33] 22–27 Dec 20232,000152512523743–62
INSA [33] 15–18 Dec 20232,00215,524.512.5523742.5–61.5
INSA [33] 8–11 Dec 20232,0081623.512.5622.56.543–61
INSA [33] 1–4 Dec 20232,00615.52313622.56.53.53–70.5
INSA [33] 24–27 Nov 20232,00715.524.512.5622643–6.52.5
INSA [33] 17–20 Nov 20232,00816.525.5135.5214.54.53–6.54.5
INSA [33] 10–13 Nov 20232,00816.524.513.5521.564.53–5.53
INSA [33] 3–6 Nov 20232,00616.52313.55.5226.54.53–5.51
INSA [33] 27–30 Oct 20232,01016.523.5135.521743.5–62.5
INSA [33] 20–23 Oct 20232,00416.522135.5226.553.5–6Tie
INSA [33] 13–16 Oct 20232,00616.521.5136236.54.54–51.5
INSA [33] 6–9 Oct 20232,0011720.513.5622.56.553–62
INSA [33] 29 Sep – 2 Oct 20232,010182113.57225.552.5–5.51
INSA [33] 22–25 Sep 20232,00317.520.513.56.521.56.553–61
INSA [33] 15–18 Sep 20232,008172114.56215.553.5–6.5Tie
INSA [33] 8–11 Sep 20232,0021819.51472274.5––82.5
INSA [33] 1–4 Sep 20232,01017.52013.57.521.56.54.5––91.5
INSA [33] 25–28 Aug 20232,0061820.514.572164.5––8.50.5
INSA [33] 18–21 Aug 20232,00818.519.514820.575––7.51
INSA [33] 11–14 Aug 20232,00219.519.513.57216.54.5––8.51.5
INSA [33] 4–7 Aug 20232,004192214.57.520.554.5––71.5
INSA [33] 28–31 Jul 20232,00318.520146.521.56.55––81.5
INSA [33] 21–24 Jul 20232,00618.520.5147.521.564.5––7.51
INSA [33] 14–17 Jul 20232,004182014720.575––8.50.5
INSA [33] 7–10 Jul 20232,008192114720.555––8.50.5
INSA [33] 30 Jun – 3 Jul 20232,8971920.514.56.52155––8.50.5
INSA [33] 23–26 Jun 20232,00419.52013.56.520.56.54.5––90.5
INSA [33] 16–19 Jun 20232,0062020.513.57.52064.5––80.5
INSA [33] 9–12 Jun 20232,003202113819.564.5––81
INSA [33] 2–5 Jun 20232,0091920.513.591965––81.5
INSA [33] 26–30 May 20232,00420.523138.51854.5––7.52.5
INSA [33] 19–22 May 20232,00420.521148.5176.55––7.50.5
INSA [33] 12–15 May 20232,010202214.58.516.565––7.52
INSA [33] 5–8 May 20232,008202214916.564.5––82
INSA [33] 28 Apr – 2 May 20232,006212115816.564.5––8Tie
INSA [33] 21–24 Apr 20232,004202114.59166.54.5––8.51
INSA [33] 14–17 Apr 20232,0082120.51581674.5––80.5
INSA [33] 6–11 Apr 20232,005202215.58165.54.5––8.52
INSA [33] 31 Mar – 3 Apr 20232,007202215.57.51664.5––8.52
INSA [33] 24–27 Mar 20232,00420.52316815.554––82.5
INSA [33] 17–20 Mar 20232,00621.522157.51665––70.5
INSA [33] 10–13 Mar 20232,00221.52215.57.5166.54––70.5
INSA [33] 3–6 Mar 20232,0072023.515.57.515.565––73.5
INSA [33] 24–27 Feb 20232,01020.523.515.57.515.564.5––73
INSA [33] 17–20 Feb 20232,00621.52415.5715.555––6.52.5
INSA [33] 10–13 Feb 20232,0052021167.51675––7.51
INSA [33] 3–6 Feb 20232,008212016815.575––7.51
INSA [33] 27–30 Jan 20232,00720.521167.5157.55––7.50.5
INSA [33] 20–23 Jan 20232,00920.52216.57.51564.5––81.5
INSA [33] 13–16 Jan 20232,006212116.57.51575––7Tie
INSA [33] 6–9 Jan 20232,006202117.57.51565––81
INSA [33] 29 Dec – 2 Jan 20232,010202117.57.51564.5––8.51
INSA [33] 16–19 Dec 20222,005212217.57.514.55.54.5––7.51
INSA [34] 9–12 Dec 20222,0072021.518715.574.5––6.51.5
INSA [34] 3–5 Dec 20222,00820.52217714.565––81.5
INSA [34] 25–28 Nov 20222,006212117.571565––7.5Tie
INSA [34] 18–21 Nov 20222,0042022177.51565––7.52
INSA [34] 11–14 Nov 20222,01020.52117.57156.54.5––80.5
INSA [34] 4–7 Nov 20222,007212117.5814.564.5––7.5Tie
INSA [34] 28–31 Oct 20222,00920.5201891564.5––70.5
INSA [34] 21–24 Oct 20222,00720.520.517.58.51564.5––7.5Tie
INSA [34] 14–17 Oct 20222,00019.520.518.57.515.574.5––71
INSA [34] 7–10 Oct 20222,00519.520.5197.51575––6.51
INSA [34] 30 Sep – 3 Oct 20222,0081921.518.581565.5––6.52.5
INSA [34] 23–26 Sep 20222,1021821.519.581565.5––6.52
INSA [34] 16–19 Sep 20222,08018.522197.5146.55.5––73
INSA [34] 9–12 Sep 20222,039182220813.565.5––72
INSA [34] 2–5 Sep 20222,004182220.57.513.565.5––71.5
INSA [34] 26–29 Aug 20222,1381922.520.581355.5––6.52
INSA [34] 19–22 Aug 20222,09118.522217.51365.5––6.51
INSA [34] 12–15 Aug 20222,14619222281265––6Tie
INSA [34] 5–8 Aug 20222,099182121.5812.565.5––7.50.5
INSA [34] 29 Jul – 1 Aug 20222,14418.520.52281265––81.5
INSA [34] 22–25 Jul 20222,04318.521.52281255––80.5
INSA [34] 15–18 Jul 20222,06218.521.52281254.5––8.50.5
INSA [34] 8–11 Jul 20222,0442021.5218.5115.54.5––80.5
INSA [34] 1–4 Jul 20222,0661923219.51154––7.52
INSA [34] 24–27 Jun 20222,101202221.5910.554––80.5
INSA [34] 17–20 Jun 20222,06319.521219.51074––8Tie
INSA [34] 10–13 Jun 20222,0822021.5219.510.563.5––80.5
INSA [34] 3–7 Jun 20222,0552021.521.59.510.55.53.5––8Tie
INSA [34] 27–30 May 20222,0562220.520.58.5106.53.5––8.51.5
INSA [34] 20–23 May 20222,1002222208.510.56.53––7.5Tie
INSA [34] 13–16 May 20222,14721.52320.591153––71.5
INSA [34] 6–9 May 20222,08622.521191010.56.53.5––71.5
INSA [34] 29 Apr – 2 May 20222,1462321199.510.564.5––6.52
INSA [34] 22–25 Apr 20222,056242018911.56.54.5––6.54
INSA [34] 15–18 Apr 20222,07323.5201991164.5––73.5
INSA [34] 8–11 Apr 20222,061252017.591174.5––65
INSA [34] 1–4 Apr 20222,063252117.510.510.554.5––64
INSA [34] 25–28 Mar 20222,070252116.51010.555.5––6.54
INSA [34] 18–21 Mar 20222,12224.520.516.5111164.5––64
INSA [34] 11–14 Mar 20222,0732519.515.510.510.565––85.5
INSA [34] 4–7 Mar 20222,103251915.51110.55.56––7.56
INSA [34] 18–21 Feb 20221,539232214.512.51156––61
INSA [34] 11–14 Feb 20222,14122.52115121256––6.51.5
INSA [34] 4–7 Feb 20222,067232015121167––63
INSA [34] 28–31 Jan 20222,14724201512.51056.5––74
INSA [34] 21–24 Jan 20222,14626191511.51156––6.57
INSA [34] 14–17 Jan 20222,130261715.512125.56––6.59
INSA [34] 7–10 Jan 20222,10726.51815121255––6.58.5
INSA [34] 31 Dec – 3 Jan 20222,06026.51715.51111.566––6.59.5
INSA [34] 17–20 Dec 20212,07527.51714.51311.54.55.5––6.510.5
INSA 10–13 Dec 20212,221271714.51311.555.5––6.510
INSA 3–6 Dec 20212,11926171513.511.555.5––6.59
INSA 26–29 Nov 20212,129251716141145.5––7.58
INSA 19–22 Nov 20212,096261814141145.5––7.58
INSA 12–15 Nov 20212,0912716.5151311.54.55.5––710.5
INSA 5–8 Nov 20212,11226.516.51613.510.545.5––7.510
INSA 22–25 Oct 20212,105281616141145––612
INSA 15–18 Oct 20212,1402813.5161511.555––612
INSA 8–11 Oct 20212,10128.5141614.5115.54––6.512.5
INSA 1–4 Oct 20212,000281515.513.51064.5––7.512.5
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021–25.719.014.711.410.45.24.92.4–6.36.8

Scenario polls

New party scenarios

Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht [a]
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		Abs. SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW BSW OthersDon't KnowLead
Wahlkreisprognose 2–4 Jan 20241,500241328.511.5623.53266.5–5
Wahlkreisprognose 25–27 Nov 20231,2002514.52812.55.523.53–67–4.5
INSA 9–10 Nov 20231,004–17241351723145–7
INSA 26–27 Oct 20231,005–1529125174–142–12
Wahlkreisprognose 23–25 Oct 20231,3002415.526.512.55.5183–136–8.5
INSA 20–23 Oct 20232,004–15.526.512.55.5184–126–8.5
INSA 28–31 Jul 20232,003–1723146163–156–6
YouGov 14–19 Jul 20232,31751425125195–2596
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Feb – 1 Mar 20231,419252226144132–145–4
Wahlkreisprognose 20–22 Sep 20221,700–2024177113–108–4
Boris Palmer list
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		Abs. SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke Liste Palmer OthersDon't KnowLead
INSA 28–31 Jul 20232,003–192215820556–2

Leadership scenarios

Boris Pistorius as SPD chancellor candidate
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW BSW OthersLead
Forsa 19–25 Nov 20242,5002130114173–4109
Wahlkreisprognose 14–20 Nov 20242,00027.527.510.5217235.55Tie
Wahlkreisprognose 25–27 Nov 20231,200242394232–781
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 20231,52527.51713.56203.53–9.57.5
Olaf Scholz as SPD chancellor candidate
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW BSW OthersLead
Wahlkreisprognose 14–20 Nov 20242,00017.531122.5182210513
Friedrich Merz as CDU/CSU chancellor candidate
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW BSW OthersLead
Wahlkreisprognose 25–27 Nov 20231,20015.526.510524.53–6.592
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 20231,52522.520146.52045–82.5
Hendrik Wüst as CDU/CSU chancellor candidate
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW OthersLead
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 20231,52521.52313.55224.528.51.5
Markus Söder as CDU/CSU chancellor candidate
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW OthersLead
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 20231,5252128156.519.53.515.57
Sahra Wagenknecht as Linke lead candidate
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW OthersLead
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 20231,5252121157161226Tie

Other scenarios

National-wide CSU
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 SPD CDU Grüne FDP AfD CSU Linke OthersLead
INSA 28–31 Jul 20232,0031720156201058Tie
CDU/CSU open for cooperation with AfD
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW OthersLead
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 20231,5252516.514.59193.566.56

By state

Baden-Württemberg

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 CDU SPD Grüne FDP AfD Linke BSW OthersLead
Infratest dimap 5–10 Feb 20251,16033121851854515
Infratest dimap 5–10 Dec 20241,156341518516–4816
INSA 25 Nov–2 Dec 20241,00033131861837215
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021–24.821.617.215.39.63.3–8.23.2

Bavaria

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 CSU SPD Grüne FDP AfD Free Voters Linke BSW OthersLead
GMS 16–19 Feb 20251,026421011419532423
GMS 4–7 Feb 20251,01742912319523523
Infratest dimap 9–13 Jan 20251,1794210144165––926
GMS 27 Dec – 2 Jan 20251,02544911317424627
GMS 27 Nov – 2 Dec 20241,04345910316424729
Infratest dimap 20–25 Nov 20241,156459133174–3628
GMS 7–11 Nov 20241,0354399316715727
GMS 11–16 Sep 20241,04842910315815727
Wahlkreisprognose 2–5 Dec 20221,94433181561282–615
Forsa 23 May – 3 Jun 20221,04936122288–2–1214
Forsa 27 Apr – 13 May 20221,2353414218872–613
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021–31.718.014.110.59.07.52.8–6.413.7

Berlin

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 SPD Grüne CDU Linke AfD FDP BSW OthersLead
Infratest dimap 14–18 Nov 20241,1791322245174782
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021–22.222.017.211.59.48.1–9.60.2

Brandenburg

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 SPD AfD CDU FDP Grüne Linke BSW OthersLead
INSA 20–27 Jan 20251,0002028193761168
Infratest dimap 4–7 Dec 20241,183193021–741189
Forsa 6–10 Jan 20241,0071733204863913
Wahlkreisprognose 4–11 Sep 20221,100252514512.59–9.5Tie
Wahlkreisprognose 9–17 May 20221,00135.516.515.54145.5–919
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021–29.518.115.39.39.08.5–10.311.4

Hamburg

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 SPD Grüne CDU FDP Linke AfD BSW OthersLead
Trend Research 16–20 Jan 20258742722194613465
Trend Research 5–10 Dec 20248802819195611669
Forsa 24–28 Oct 20241,017212225468593
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021–29.724.915.411.46.75.0–6.84.8

Hesse

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 SPD CDU Grüne FDP AfD Linke BSW OthersLead
Forsa 22 Nov – 11 Dec 20241,03317331441743816
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021–27.622.815.812.88.84.3–7.94.8

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 SPD AfD CDU Linke FDP Grüne BSW OthersLead
Forsa 28 Jan – 3 Feb 20251,00415302073911510
Infratest dimap 20–25 Jan 20251,18515312163811510
Infratest dimap 23–28 Oct 20241,1531626254–51591
Infratest dimap 2–7 May 20241,1771923236–8129Tie
Forsa 25 Apr – 3 May 20241,0051527236371364
Forsa 10–16 Jan 20241,0021532228385710
Infratest dimap 13–16 Sep 20231,182213221748–711
Forsa 18–23 Jan 20231,00420232211410–101
Infratest dimap 13–18 Oct 20221,1682524201049–81
Infratest dimap 1–4 Jun 20221,1832518239512–82
Forsa 14–18 Mar 20221,0012916211069–98
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021–29.118.017.411.18.27.8–8.411.1

North Rhine-Westphalia

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 SPD CDU Grüne FDP AfD Linke BSW OthersLead
Infratest dimap 13–16 Jan 20251,150183418415––1116
Forsa 26 Nov – 4 Dec 20241,50818361431424918
Forsa 23 Jul – 1 Aug 20241,06018341351425916
Forsa 5–14 Mar 20241,50218321651434814
Forsa 29 May – 7 Jun 20231,5062330157153–77
Forsa 27–28 Mar 20231,0052232186104–810
Forsa 21–26 Sep 20221,5112130226104–79
Wahlkreisprognose 27–30 Jun 20221,04025.5252288.53–80.5
Forsa 16 Feb 20221,008253025662–65
Forsa 26 Jan – 2 Feb 20222,0062825181084–73
Forsa 26 Nov – 7 Dec 20212,0092923181274–76
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021–29.126.016.111.47.33.7–6.53.1

Rhineland-Palatinate

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 SPD CDU Grüne FDP AfD FW Linke BSW OthersLead
Infratest dimap 5–10 Feb 20251,155193313418–44514
Infratest dimap 5–10 Dec 20241,1751935124163–4716
Wahlkreisprognose 11–18 May 20221,0423030.51955–1.5–90.5
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021–29.424.712.611.79.23.63.3–8.84.7

Saxony

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 AfD SPD CDU Linke FDP Grüne BSW OthersLead
Forsa 7–10 Jan 20241,507369236484713
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021–24.619.317.29.311.08.6–9.95.3

Saxony-Anhalt

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 SPD CDU AfD Linke FDP Grüne BSW OthersLead
Wahlkreisprognose 21–29 Jan 20241,0001220285551788
Wahlkreisprognose 13–21 Feb 20221,00521.521.519.5137.57.5–9.5Tie
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021–25.421.019.69.69.56.5–8.44.4

Schleswig-Holstein

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 SPD CDU Grüne FDP AfD Linke OthersLead
Wahlkreisprognose 10–19 Feb 20222,0002822.5221064.575.5
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021–28.022.018.312.56.83.68.76.0

Thuringia

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 AfD SPD CDU Linke FDP Grüne BSW OthersLead
Forsa 6–10 Jan 20241,2533612239363813
Wahlkreisprognose 5–11 Dec 20221,0163219.518.58.557.5–912.5
Wahlkreisprognose 3–4 Apr 202299422.52718868.5–104.5
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021–24.023.416.911.49.06.5–8.70.6

By Western and Eastern Germany

Western Germany

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW BSW OthersLead
YouGov 14–17 Feb 20251655 in West Germany1829134188–4511
YouGov 7–10 Feb 20251,642 in West Germany1732144186–4614
INSA 7–10 Feb 20252,006 in all of Germany1732144205–4412
YouGov 31 Jan – 4 Feb 20251,720 in West Germany1931134195–5512
YouGov 24–27 Jan 20251,397 in West Germany1631143204–5511
YouGov 17–20 Jan 20251,464 in West Germany2030154173–5610
YouGov 10–14 Jan 20251,389 in West Germany2031143203–4511
YouGov 3–6 Jan 20251,528 in West Germany1831155192–4612
YouGov 29 Nov – 3 Dec 20241,493 in West Germany193214417215613
YouGov 8–12 Nov 20241,442 in West Germany153514516215619
INSA 9–12 Aug 20242,008 in all of Germany1632125162–8916
YouGov 31 May – 5 Jun 20241,492 in West Germany153212416327816
INSA 22–27 Dec 20232,000 in all of Germany1634135203––914
Forsa 30 May – 5 Jun 20232,505 in all of Germany1930167135––1011
INSA 23–26 Sep 20222,102 in all of Germany1928218125––79
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021–26.125.615.911.98.23.7––8.60.5

Eastern Germany

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 SPD AfD CDU Linke FDP Grüne BSW OthersLead
YouGov 14–17 Feb 2025476 in East Germany1227231257954
YouGov 7–10 Feb 2025441 in East Germany14311993811512
INSA 7–10 Feb 20252,006 in all of Germany11322283911410
YouGov 31 Jan – 4 Feb 2025461 in East Germany133220941010412
YouGov 24–27 Jan 2025384 in East Germany1133228389511
YouGov 17–20 Jan 2025413 in East Germany1527216511876
YouGov 10–14 Jan 2025345 in East Germany1026266411126Tie
YouGov 3–6 Jan 2025380 in East Germany103219641113613
YouGov 29 Nov – 3 Dec 2024386 in East Germany1328206391648
YouGov 8–12 Nov 2024363 in East Germany1131266471135
INSA 9–12 Aug 20242,008 in all of Germany1128225561586
YouGov 31 May – 5 Jun 2024402 in East Germany10261952101987
INSA 22–27 Dec 20232,000 in all of Germany123624748–912
Verian 24 Oct – 15 Nov 2023830 in East Germany123224949–108
Forsa 30 May – 5 Jun 20232,505 in all of Germany163223866–99
INSA 17 Apr – 5 May 20237,618 in all of Germany2026239810–43
INSA 23–26 Sep 20222,102 in all of Germany1527268714–31
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021–24.120.516.810.49.59.2–9.53.6

Chancellor polling

Chancellor candidates and lead candidates

These following polls gauge voters' opinions on the parties' Chancellor candidates: Olaf Scholz for the Social Democratic Party, Friedrich Merz for CDU/CSU (Union), Robert Habeck for Alliance 90/The Greens, Alice Weidel for the Alternative for Germany and Sahra Wagenknecht for the Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance as well as the lead candidate of the Free Democratic Party, Christian Lindner. Before their nominations they were also compared with each other as possible candidates in previous polls.

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Habeck vs. Weidel

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Scholz
SPD 		Merz
Union 		Habeck
Grüne 		Weidel
AfD 		None
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 19–20 Feb 20251,3491832211415
Forsa 11–17 Feb 20252,5011725231421
INSA 13–14 Feb 20251,0051524152125
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 11–13 Feb 20251,3481733241412
Forsa 4–10 Feb 20252,5021724231521
INSA 6–7 Feb 20251,0031624142026
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 4–6 Feb 20251,3411832241313
INSA 31 Jan – 3 Feb 20252,0041621142128
Forsa 28 Jan – 3 Feb 20252,5031622221624
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 27–29 Jan 20251,4282030241313
Forsa 21–27 Jan 20252,5041625221621
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 21–23 Jan 20251,3451631251513
Forsa 14–20 Jan 20252,5021623231622
INSA 16–17 Jan 20251,0041623152224
Forsa 7–13 Jan 20252,5021723231621
INSA 9–10 Jan 20251,0021421142130
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 7–9 Jan 20251,4331427271517
INSA 23–27 Dec 20241,0021620142129
INSA 18–19 Dec 20241,0051520142427
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 17–19 Dec 20241,3621629251614
INSA 12–13 Dec 20241,0011621132129
Forsa 3–9 Dec 20242,5011725201622
INSA 5–6 Dec 20241,0021521141832
INSA 8–11 Nov 20243,0091320131737
INSA 11–14 Oct 20242,0022323121923
Forsa 20–26 Jun 20232,5062724171022

Scholz vs. Merz

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Scholz
SPD 		Merz
Union 		Neither
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 11–13 Feb 20251,34845469
Wahlkreisprognose 11–13 Feb 20251,700223642
INSA 6–7 Feb 20251,003314128
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 4–6 Feb 20251,34143489
Wahlkreisprognose 1–3 Feb 20251,900252847
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 27–29 Jan 20251,428454510
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 21–23 Jan 20251,345424612
Wahlkreisprognose 21–23 Jan 20251,500273142
YouGov 17–20 Jan 20252,194343630
Forsa 14–20 Jan 20252,502232651
Wahlkreisprognose 13–16 Jan 20252,000303040
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 7–9 Jan 20251,433414415
Wahlkreisprognose 21–28 Dec 20242,000272746
Forsa 17–20 Dec 20242,008242848
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 17–19 Dec 20241,362434413
Infratest dimap 16–18 Dec 20241,336314326
Forsa 10–16 Dec 20242,501262648
Forsa 3–9 Dec 20242,501272746
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 3–5 Dec 20241,433434512
Wahlkreisprognose 2–5 Dec 20242,000262747
INSA 28–29 Nov 20241,001333532
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 19–21 Nov 20241,399394417
Wahlkreisprognose 14–20 Nov 20242,000202753
Forsa 29 Oct – 4 Nov 20242,500232948
Forsa 22–28 Oct 20242,503242947
Forsa 15–21 Oct 20242,500242848
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 15–17 Oct 20241,249374815
Forsa 8–14 Oct 20242,501242848
Forsa 1–7 Oct 20242,001252748
Forsa 24–30 Sep 20242,501262747
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 24–26 Sep 20241.348374320
INSA 19–23 Sep 20241,001273439
Forsa 17–23 Sep 20242,500242848
INSA 18–19 Sep 20241,001303040
Forsa 10–16 Sep 20242,501262648
INSA 12–13 Sep 20241,004212554
Forsa 3–9 Sep 20242,500242848
Forsa 27 Aug – 2 Sep 20242,508232750
Forsa 20–26 Aug 20242,501252550
Forsa 13–19 Aug 20242,503262648
Forsa 6–12 Aug 20242,502272746
INSA 8–9 Aug 20241,004233542
Forsa 30 Jul – 5 Aug 20242,500282844
Forsa 23–29 Jul 20242,501272746
Forsa 16–22 Jul 20242,504262945
Forsa 9–15 Jul 20242,503262945
Forsa 2–8 Jul 20242,504252847
Forsa 25 Jun – 1 Jul 20242,506272845
Forsa 18–24 Jun 20242,505272944
Forsa 11–17 Jun 20242,504283042
Forsa 4–10 Jun 20242,505302842
Forsa 28 May – 3 Jun 20242,506312841
Forsa 21–27 May 20242,503333136
Wahlkreisprognose 13–19 May 20242,500263143
Forsa 8–13 May 20241,503322939
Wahlkreisprognose 18–20 Mar 20241,300262648
Wahlkreisprognose 21–22 Feb 20241,300232552
INSA 25–26 Jan 20241,001212851
Wahlkreisprognose 22–24 Jan 20241,366213247
Forsa 9–15 Jan 20241,502272845
INSA 4–5 Jan 20241,004232651
Wahlkreisprognose 2–4 Jan 20241,500173449
INSA 14–15 Dec 20231,001171865
Forsa 28 Nov – 4 Dec 20232,501363232
Wahlkreisprognose 25–27 Nov 20231,200192952
Wahlkreisprognose 23–25 Oct 20231,300252451
Wahlkreisprognose 24–25 Sep 20231,200272449
INSA 7–8 Sep 20231,001231562
Wahlkreisprognose 22–27 Aug 20231,200232057
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 20231,525262450
Wahlkreisprognose 22–25 Jun 20231,399312148
INSA 15–16 Jun 20231,003251659
Wahlkreisprognose 1–2 Jun 20231,100282745
Wahlkreisprognose 26–30 Apr 20231,400363034
Wahlkreisprognose 23–26 Mar 20231,200332146
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Feb – 1 Mar 20231,419332047
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jan 20231,421331948
Wahlkreisprognose 15–16 Jan 20231,500292546
Wahlkreisprognose 7–9 Dec 20221,500382141
Wahlkreisprognose 7–8 Nov 20221,300372142
Wahlkreisprognose 18–21 Oct 20221,910362440
Wahlkreisprognose 3–6 Oct 20221,923362935
Wahlkreisprognose 20–22 Sep 20221,700362440
Wahlkreisprognose 16–18 Aug 20221,433401347
Wahlkreisprognose 6–12 Aug 20222,920421345
Wahlkreisprognose 19–20 Jul 20221,400461638
Forsa 12–18 Jul 20222,501401842
Forsa 5–11 Jul 20222,503431740
Forsa 28 Jun – 4 Jul 20222,502431740
Forsa 21–27 Jun 20222,500421939
Wahlkreisprognose 23–26 Jun 20222,430461539
Forsa 14–20 Jun 20222,504392041
Forsa 7–13 Jun 20222,511382141
Wahlkreisprognose 7–8 Jun 20221,603461638
Forsa 31 May – 3 Jun 20222,002412039
Wahlkreisprognose 30 May – 1 Jun 20221,500451837
Forsa 24–30 May 20222,004392041
Forsa 17–23 May 20222,505411940
INSA 20 May 20221,003261559
Wahlkreisprognose 15–16 May 20221,302422632
Forsa 10–16 May 20222,502421939
Wahlkreisprognose 8–9 May 20221,610462628
Forsa 3–9 May 20222,501421840
Forsa 26 Apr – 2 May 20222,508431938
Forsa 19–25 Apr 20222,507421840
Wahlkreisprognose 23 Apr 20221,007451639
Forsa 12–14 Apr 20221,501431839
Forsa 5–11 Apr 20222,500421840
Wahlkreisprognose 3–4 Apr 20222,450511732
Forsa 29 Mar – 4 Apr 20222,508431839
Forsa 22–28 Mar 20222,507422038
Forsa 15–21 Mar 20222,501442036
Wahlkreisprognose 18–20 Mar 20223,92351.521.527
Forsa 8–14 Mar 20222,502461935
Forsa 1–7 Mar 20222,501481933
Forsa 24–28 Feb 20221,500452035
Wahlkreisprognose 24–27 Feb 20222,030491932
Forsa 15–21 Feb 20222,500422038
Wahlkreisprognose 13–15 Feb 20221,220432532
Forsa 8–14 Feb 20222,504402139
Forsa 1–7 Feb 20222,502402238
Wahlkreisprognose 2–3 Feb 20222,330423127
Forsa 25–31 Jan 20222,501432136
Forsa 18–24 Jan 20222,502481933
Forsa 11–17 Jan 20222,504481735
Wahlkreisprognose 11–12 Jan 20221,030541927
Forsa 3–10 Jan 20223,003491833
Forsa 14–20 Dec 20212,501501832
Wahlkreisprognose 18–19 Dec 20211,120552025
Forsa 23–29 Nov 20212,509451837
Forsa 16–22 Nov 20212,501451936
Forsa 9–15 Nov 20212,510461935
Wahlkreisprognose 11–12 Nov 20211,004442135
Forsa 2–8 Nov 20212,502521731

Merz vs. Habeck

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Merz
Union 		Habeck
Grüne 		Neither
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 11–13 Feb 20251,34851409
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 4–6 Feb 20251,341494011
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 27–29 Jan 20251,428474112
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 21–23 Jan 20251,345503713
Wahlkreisprognose 21–23 Jan 20251,500342343
Forsa 14–20 Jan 20252,502302644
Wahlkreisprognose 13–16 Jan 20252,000382834
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 7–9 Jan 20251,433444115
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 17–19 Dec 20241,362483913
Wahlkreisprognose 16–18 Aug 20221,433193051
Wahlkreisprognose 6–12 Aug 20222,920183250

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Habeck vs. Weidel vs. Wagenknecht

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Scholz
SPD 		Merz
Union 		Habeck
Grüne 		Weidel
AfD 		Wagenknecht
BSW 		None
Wahlkreisprognose 11–13 Feb 20251,7009221421727
Wahlkreisprognose 1–3 Feb 20251,90014161320631
Democracy Institute 28–30 Jan 20252,4301526113513–
Wahlkreisprognose 21–23 Jan 20251,50016181523523
Wahlkreisprognose 13–16 Jan 20252,00019191822616
Wahlkreisprognose 21–28 Dec 20242,000181917181018
INSA 6–9 Dec 20242,004141712171031
Wahlkreisprognose 2–5 Dec 20242,00021191317624
Wahlkreisprognose 14–20 Nov 20242,0001522917928

Scholz vs. Weidel

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Scholz
SPD 		Weidel
AfD 		Neither
Wahlkreisprognose 1–3 Feb 20251,900342838
Wahlkreisprognose 21–23 Jan 20251,500332740
Wahlkreisprognose 13–16 Jan 20252,000272152

Merz vs. Weidel

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Merz
Union 		Weidel
AfD 		Neither
Wahlkreisprognose 1–3 Feb 20251,900253342
Wahlkreisprognose 21–23 Jan 20251,500313435
Wahlkreisprognose 13–16 Jan 20252,000292150

Scholz vs. Habeck

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Scholz
SPD 		Habeck
Grüne 		Neither
Wahlkreisprognose 21–23 Jan 20251,500271360
Wahlkreisprognose 13–16 Jan 20252,000261955
Wahlkreisprognose 16–18 Aug 20221,433363232
Wahlkreisprognose 6–12 Aug 20222,920383329

Weidel vs. Wagenknecht

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Weidel
AfD 		Wagenknecht
BSW 		Neither
Wahlkreisprognose 21–23 Jan 20251,500322048
Wahlkreisprognose 13–16 Jan 20252,000282151

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Habeck vs. Weidel vs. Wagenknecht vs. Lindner

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Scholz
SPD 		Merz
Union 		Habeck
Grüne 		Weidel
AfD 		Wagenknecht
BSW 		Lindner
FDP 		None
YouGov 17–20 Jan 20252,194121817176426

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Habeck

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Scholz
SPD 		Merz
Union 		Habeck
Grüne 		None
Forsa 2–6 Jan 20251,50116262236
Forsa 17–20 Dec 20242,00816272334
Forsa 10–16 Dec 20242,50117252434
Allensbach 30 Nov – 12 Dec 20241,36214281345
Forsa 3–9 Dec 20242,50118262531
Forsa 26 Nov – 2 Dec 20242,50216282432
INSA 28–29 Nov 20241,00122301632
Forsa 19–25 Nov 20242,50013302235
INSA 21–22 Nov 20241,00115311836
Forsa 12–18 Nov 20242,50013342132
INSA 14–15 Nov 20241,00416321636
Forsa 8–11 Nov 20241,00416322032
INSA 3–4 Oct 20241,00123311333
INSA 26–27 Sep 20241,00219351630
INSA 11–12 Jul 20241,25017311636
Forsa 14–17 May 20242,00117261839
Forsa 7–13 May 20242,00617251741
Forsa 30 Apr – 6 May 20242,00018231742
Forsa 23–29 Apr 20242,50517231743
Forsa 16–22 Apr 20242,50117221645
Forsa 9–15 Apr 20242,50517221645
INSA 11–12 Apr 20241,00320301436
Forsa 2–8 Apr 20242,50618211744
Forsa 26–28 Mar 20241,50819221742
Forsa 19–25 Mar 20242,50318221743
Forsa 12–18 Mar 20242,50016211845
Forsa 5–11 Mar 20242,50215211945
Forsa 27 Feb – 4 Mar 20242,50615231844
Forsa 20–26 Feb 20242,50315251842
Forsa 13–19 Feb 20242,50414241844
Forsa 6–12 Feb 20242,50215231943
Forsa 30 Jan – 5 Feb 20242,50312251944
Forsa 23–29 Jan 20242,50612241945
Forsa 16–22 Jan 20242,50313251745
Forsa 9–15 Jan 20242,50415241546
Forsa 2–8 Jan 20242,50215241546
Forsa 19–22 Dec 2023–15251743
Forsa 12–18 Dec 20232,50115241843
Forsa 5–11 Dec 20232,50115241843
Forsa 28 Nov – 4 Dec 20232,50116241842
Forsa 21–27 Nov 20232,50017221942
Forsa 14–20 Nov 20232,50119211842
Forsa 7–13 Nov 20232,50419221841
Forsa 31 Oct – 6 Nov 20232,50220211742
Forsa 24–30 Sep 20232,50120201644
Forsa 17–23 Sep 20232,50420211544
Forsa 10–16 Sep 20232,50119201744
Forsa 4–9 Sep 20232,00322201642
Forsa 26–29 Sep 20232,00422201642
Forsa 19–25 Sep 20232,50322201642
Forsa 12–18 Sep 20232,50421191644
Forsa 4–11 Sep 20232,50521191644
Forsa 29 Aug – 4 Sep 20232,50621201643
Forsa 22–28 Aug 20232,50421191545
Forsa 15–21 Aug 20232,50621191545
Forsa 8–14 Aug 20232,50121181546
Forsa 1–7 Aug 20232,50221171646
Forsa 25–31 Jul 20232,50022181743
Forsa 18–24 Jul 20232,50423201641
Forsa 11–17 Jul 20232,50223201740
Forsa 4–7 Jul 20232,00322201642
Forsa 27 Jun – 3 Jul 20232,50121201643
Forsa 20–26 Jun 20232,50623201641
Forsa 13–19 Jun 20232,50325201540
Forsa 6–12 Jun 20232,50425211539
Forsa 30 May – 5 Jun 20232,50525231438
Forsa 23–26 May 20232,00125231438
Forsa 16–22 May 20232,00326221339
Forsa 9–15 May 20232,50324231439
Forsa 2–8 May 20232,50524221539
Wahlkreisprognose 26–30 Apr 20231,4003126835
Forsa 25–28 Apr 20232,00723221639
Forsa 18–24 Apr 20232,50622241638
Forsa 11–17 Apr 20232,50823251735
Forsa 4–6 Apr 20231,50121231838
Forsa 28 Mar – 3 Apr 20232,50223211739
Forsa 21–27 Mar 20232,50624221836
Wahlkreisprognose 23–26 Mar 20231,20029181340
Forsa 14–20 Mar 20232,50326211736
Forsa 7–13 Mar 20232,50527211735
Forsa 28 Feb – 6 Mar 20232,50425201936
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Feb – 1 Mar 20231,41927171145
Forsa 21–27 Feb 20232,50127191935
Forsa 14–20 Feb 20232,51025201936
Forsa 7–13 Feb 20232,50527202033
Forsa 31 Jan – 6 Feb 20232,50226202034
Forsa 24–30 Jan 20232,50325212034
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jan 20231,42126161246
Forsa 17–23 Jan 20232,50223212135
Wahlkreisprognose 15–16 Jan 20231,50022211542
Forsa 10–16 Jan 20232,50022202038
Forsa 3–9 Jan 20232,50221202039
Forsa 13–19 Dec 20222,50323192038
Forsa 6–12 Dec 20222,50624191938
Wahlkreisprognose 7–9 Dec 20221,50024221341
Forsa 29 Nov – 5 Dec 20222,50022202038
Forsa 22–28 Nov 20222,50523202037
Forsa 15–21 Nov 20222,50222202038
Forsa 8–14 Nov 20222,50321202039
Wahlkreisprognose 7–8 Nov 20221,30025221340
Forsa 1–7 Nov 20222,50222191940
Forsa 25–31 Oct 20222,50323191939
Forsa 18–24 Oct 20222,50224191839
Wahlkreisprognose 18–21 Oct 20221,91028191538
Forsa 11–17 Oct 20222,50523191939
Forsa 4–10 Oct 20222,50124181741
Wahlkreisprognose 3–6 Oct 20221,92328251433
Forsa 27–30 Sep 20222,00122201741
Forsa 20–26 Sep 20222,50522221739
Wahlkreisprognose 20–22 Sep 20221,70029251531
Forsa 13–19 Sep 20222,50623221837
Forsa 6–13 Sep 20222,50121202138
Wahlkreisprognose 9–11 Sep 20221,30030241531
INSA 9 Sep 20221,00024231934
Forsa 30 Aug – 5 Sep 20222,50021182536
Forsa 23–29 Aug 20222,50320162737
Forsa 16–22 Aug 20222,50520162539
INSA 19 Aug 20221,00218192538
Wahlkreisprognose 16–18 Aug 20221,43336133021
Forsa 9–15 Aug 20222,50022162636
Wahlkreisprognose 6–12 Aug 20222,92032152825
Forsa 2–8 Aug 20222,50424162733
Forsa 26 Jul – 1 Aug 20222,50423182831
INSA 29 Jul 20221,00224182137
Forsa 19–25 Jul 20222,51025173028
Wahlkreisprognose 19–20 Jul 20221,40039113218
Forsa 15–18 Jul 20222,00226173126
Wahlkreisprognose 23–26 Jun 20222,43040133116
Wahlkreisprognose 7–8 Jun 20221,60338132722
Wahlkreisprognose 30 May – 1 Jun 20221,50035142921
Wahlkreisprognose 15–16 May 20221,30237212517
Wahlkreisprognose 8–9 May 20221,61038212417

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Weidel

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Scholz
SPD 		Merz
Union 		Weidel
AfD 		None
Wahlkreisprognose 22–27 Aug 20231,20021151747
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 20231,52524181642
Wahlkreisprognose 22–25 Jun 20231,39927151543
Wahlkreisprognose 1–2 Jun 20231,10025221637
Wahlkreisprognose 26–30 Apr 20231,40034221133
Wahlkreisprognose 23–26 Mar 20231,20033181336
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Feb – 1 Mar 20231,41931151341
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jan 20231,42130141442
Wahlkreisprognose 15–16 Jan 20231,50024171643
Wahlkreisprognose 7–9 Dec 20221,50031181338
Wahlkreisprognose 7–8 Nov 20221,30026181739

Speculative Chancellor candidates

These following speculative polls were conducted before or shortly after the announcement of each party's Chancellor candidate, and gauged opinion on various politicians who were considered to be plausible candidates for their respective parties.

Pistorius vs. Merz

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Pistorius
SPD 		Merz
Union 		Neither
Wahlkreisprognose 21–23 Jan 20251,500432433
Wahlkreisprognose 13–16 Jan 20252,000362143
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 19–21 Nov 20241,399592813
Forsa 7 Nov 20241,181392536
INSA 19–23 Sep 20241,001332938
INSA 4–5 Jan 20241,004252352
Wahlkreisprognose 2–4 Jan 20241,500322840
Wahlkreisprognose 25–27 Nov 20231,200302941
Wahlkreisprognose 22–27 Aug 20231,200411841

Pistorius vs. Merz vs. Habeck

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Pistorius
SPD 		Merz
Union 		Habeck
Grüne 		None
INSA 21–22 Nov 20241,00133241429
INSA 14–15 Nov 20241,00427301330

Pistorius vs. Merz vs. Habeck vs. Weidel

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Pistorius
SPD 		Merz
Union 		Habeck
Grüne 		Weidel
AfD 		None
INSA 11–14 Oct 20242,0022719132021

Scholz vs. Söder

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Scholz
SPD 		Söder
Union 		Neither
INSA 8–9 Aug 20241,004234136
Forsa 8–13 May 20241,503303634
Forsa 9–15 Jan 20241,502274033
INSA 4–5 Jan 20241,004203644
INSA 7–8 Sep 20231,001263242
INSA 15–16 Jun 20231,003303139
INSA 20 May 20221,003322939
Wahlkreisprognose 18–19 Dec 20211,120492823
Forsa 2–8 Nov 20212,502393328
Forsa 5–11 Oct 20212,503373330

Scholz vs. Wüst

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Scholz
SPD 		Wüst
Union 		Neither
INSA 8–9 Aug 20241,004232651
Forsa 8–13 May 20241,503282844
Forsa 9–15 Jan 20241,502253639
INSA 15–16 Jun 20231,003291853
INSA 20 May 20221,003321454

Scholz vs. Söder vs. Habeck

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Scholz
SPD 		Söder
Union 		Habeck
Grüne 		None
INSA 11–12 Jul 20241,25017371630

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Baerbock vs. Weidel vs. Wagenknecht

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Scholz
SPD 		Merz
Union 		Baerbock
Grüne 		Weidel
AfD 		Wagenknecht
BSW 		None
Wahlkreisprognose 13–19 May 20242,5001418913937
Wahlkreisprognose 18–20 Mar 20241,300151810111234
Wahlkreisprognose 21–22 Feb 20241,300131710121137
Wahlkreisprognose 22–24 Jan 20241,366111910141036
Wahlkreisprognose 2–4 Jan 20241,50010221118831
Wahlkreisprognose 25–27 Nov 20231,2001619917831
Wahlkreisprognose 23–25 Oct 20231,30018169141330

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Baerbock

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Scholz
SPD 		Merz
Union 		Baerbock
Grüne 		None
Forsa 14–17 May 20242,00120291734
Forsa 7–13 May 20242,00620281537
Forsa 30 Apr – 6 May 20242,00021261637
Forsa 23–29 Apr 20242,50521261637
Forsa 16–22 Apr 20242,50120251639
Forsa 9–15 Apr 20242,50520251738
INSA 11–12 Apr 20241,00318321733
Forsa 2–8 Apr 20241,50621241639
Forsa 26–28 Mar 20241,50822251637
Forsa 19–25 Mar 20242,50321251638
Forsa 12–18 Mar 20242,50019241740
Forsa 5–11 Mar 20242,50218241939
Forsa 27 Feb – 4 Mar 20242,50618261739
Forsa 20–26 Feb 20242,50318271837
Forsa 13–19 Feb 20242,50417271838
Forsa 6–12 Feb 20242,50218261838
Forsa 30 Jan – 5 Feb 20242,50316281838
Forsa 23–29 Jan 20242,50615281740
Forsa 16–22 Jan 20242,50316281640
Forsa 9–15 Jan 20242,50417271541
Forsa 2–8 Jan 20242,50217271541
Forsa 19–22 Dec 2023–18281737
Forsa 12–18 Dec 20232,50119271737
Forsa 5–11 Dec 20232,50118281737
Forsa 28 Nov – 4 Dec 20232,50119271737
Forsa 21–27 Nov 20232,50019251739
Forsa 14–20 Nov 20232,50122241638
Forsa 7–13 Nov 20232,50422251637
Forsa 31 Oct – 6 Nov 20232,50223241637
Forsa 24–30 Sep 20232,50122231738
Forsa 17–23 Sep 20232,50423231737
Forsa 10–16 Sep 20232,50122221838
Forsa 4–9 Sep 20232,00323221837
Forsa 26–29 Sep 20232,00424221737
Forsa 19–25 Sep 20232,50324221836
Forsa 12–18 Sep 20232,50423211739
Forsa 4–11 Sep 20232,50523221738
Forsa 29 Aug – 4 Sep 20232,50622221739
Forsa 22–28 Aug 20232,50422211740
Forsa 15–21 Aug 20232,50622211641
Forsa 8–14 Aug 20232,50122201642
Forsa 1–7 Aug 20232,50222191841
Forsa 25–31 Jul 20232,50024211837
Forsa 18–24 Jul 20232,50425231735
Forsa 11–17 Jul 20232,50225221835
Forsa 4–7 Jul 20232,00324221836
Forsa 27 Jun – 3 Jul 20232,50123231935
Forsa 20–26 Jun 20232,50624231934
Forsa 13–19 Jun 20232,50326231932
Forsa 6–12 Jun 20232,50426231932
Forsa 30 May – 5 Jun 20232,50526251930
Forsa 23–26 May 20232,00127251929
Forsa 16–22 May 20232,00327241831
Forsa 9–15 May 20232,50325251832
Forsa 2–8 May 20232,50526241832
Wahlkreisprognose 26–30 Apr 20231,40030251332
Forsa 25–28 Apr 20232,00725251931
Forsa 18–24 Apr 20232,50624261931
Forsa 11–17 Apr 20232,50825271830
Forsa 4–6 Apr 20231,50124251932
Forsa 28 Mar – 3 Apr 20232,50224232033
Forsa 21–27 Mar 20232,50626242030
Wahlkreisprognose 23–26 Mar 20231,20028181440
Forsa 14–20 Mar 20232,50328241929
Forsa 7–13 Mar 20232,50528231831
Forsa 28 Feb – 6 Mar 20232,50428231930
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Feb – 1 Mar 20231,41926171443
Forsa 21–27 Feb 20232,50130221830
Forsa 14–20 Feb 20232,51028221931
Forsa 7–13 Feb 20232,50530221929
Forsa 31 Jan – 6 Feb 20232,50230221830
Forsa 24–30 Jan 20232,50327231931
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jan 20231,42126151544
Forsa 17–23 Jan 20232,50225242229
Wahlkreisprognose 15–16 Jan 20231,50023232034
Forsa 10–16 Jan 20232,50024232330
Forsa 3–9 Jan 20232,50224232231
Forsa 13–19 Dec 20222,50324222133
Forsa 6–12 Dec 20222,50624222232
Wahlkreisprognose 7–9 Dec 20221,50026181541
Forsa 29 Nov – 5 Dec 20222,50024222232
Forsa 22–28 Nov 20222,50524222232
Forsa 15–21 Nov 20222,50225222231
Forsa 8–14 Nov 20222,50324222232
Wahlkreisprognose 7–8 Nov 20221,30027171442
Forsa 1–7 Nov 20222,50224212035
Forsa 25–31 Oct 20222,50325202035
Forsa 18–24 Oct 20222,50225201936
Wahlkreisprognose 18–21 Oct 20221,91029211634
Forsa 11–17 Oct 20222,50524212134
Forsa 4–10 Oct 20222,50125202035
Wahlkreisprognose 3–6 Oct 20221,92328241632
Forsa 27–30 Sep 20222,00123221936
Forsa 20–26 Sep 20222,50523231935
Wahlkreisprognose 20–22 Sep 20221,70028241731
Forsa 13–19 Sep 20222,50623232034
Forsa 6–13 Sep 20222,50123232034
Forsa 30 Aug – 5 Sep 20222,50023212333
Forsa 23–29 Aug 20222,50323192434
Forsa 16–22 Aug 20222,50526172334
Forsa 9–15 Aug 20222,50029172232
Wahlkreisprognose 8–9 May 20221,61038202319
Wahlkreisprognose 23 Apr 20221,00737132426

Pistorius vs. Merz vs. Baerbock vs. Weidel vs. Wagenknecht

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Pistorius
SPD 		Merz
Union 		Baerbock
Grüne 		Weidel
AfD 		Wagenknecht
BSW 		None
Wahlkreisprognose 18–20 Mar 20241,300271812111121
Wahlkreisprognose 25–27 Nov 20231,200311210161021

Pistorius vs. Söder

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Pistorius
SPD 		Söder
Union 		Neither
INSA 4–5 Jan 20241,004253441

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Baerbock vs. Weidel

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Scholz
SPD 		Merz
Union 		Baerbock
Grüne 		Weidel
AfD 		None
Wahlkreisprognose 24–25 Sep 20231.2002016151831
Forsa 20–26 Jun 20232.506252319924

Scholz vs. Günther

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Scholz
SPD 		Günther
Union 		Neither
INSA 20 May 20221,003321256

Scholz vs. Röttgen

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Scholz
SPD 		Röttgen
Union 		Neither
Forsa 23–29 Nov 20212,509451936
Forsa 16–22 Nov 20212,501452035
Forsa 9–15 Nov 20212,510452134
Wahlkreisprognose 11–12 Nov 20211,004412039
Forsa 2–8 Nov 20212,502512029

Scholz vs. Braun

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Scholz
SPD 		Braun
Union 		Neither
Forsa 23–29 Nov 20212,509501139
Forsa 16–22 Nov 20212,501501238
Wahlkreisprognose 11–12 Nov 20211,004422236

Scholz vs. Laschet

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Scholz
SPD 		Laschet
Union 		Neither
YouGov 19–23 Nov 20212,16746648
Forsa 26 Oct – 1 Nov 20212,50150842
Forsa 19–25 Oct 20212,51052840
Forsa 12–18 Oct 20212,50253839
Forsa 5–11 Oct 20212,50352840
Forsa 27 Sep – 4 Oct 20213,00452939
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 28–30 Sep 20211,249761311
Infratest dimap 27 Sep 20211,084621622
Forsa 27 Sep 20211,006561133
YouGov 26 Sep 20211,596431343

Scholz vs. Kretschmer

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 Scholz
SPD 		Kretschmer
Union 		Neither
Wahlkreisprognose 11–12 Nov 20211,0044119.539.5

Preferred coalition

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		 SPD
Grüne 		Union
FDP 		SPD
Grüne
FDP 		Union
SPD 		Union
Grüne 		Union
Grüne
FDP 		Union
SPD
Grüne 		Union
SPD
FDP 		SPD
Grüne
Linke 		SPD
FDP 		Union
AfD [b]
Infratest dimap 10–12 Feb 20251,579–11–3216–––––17
Forsa 6–7 Feb 20251,001–––4333–––––17
Infratest dimap 3–5 Feb 20251,302–13–3114–––––19
INSA 31 Jan – 3 Feb 20252,004–––2713–––––24
Ipsos 30–31 Jan 20251,000–––185387––23
Infratest dimap 27–29 Jan 20251,336–12–3216–––––18
INSA 24–27 Jan 20252,006–––2913–––––25
INSA 17–20 Jan 20252,008–12–2412–––––25
INSA 10–13 Jan 20252,005–12–2411–––––20
Infratest dimap 16–18 Dec 20241,336–12–2919–––––15
Ipsos 29 Nov – 1 Dec 20241,000–––227396––18
INSA 22–25 Nov 20241,002–13–2913–––––24
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 19–21 Nov 20241,3991170309–––20–
Infratest dimap 18–20 Nov 20241,318–12–3115–––––16
Forsa 7–8 Nov 20241,008–15–34174–––––
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 5–7 Nov 20241,23113101236–––11–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 15–17 Oct 20241,2491370237–––21–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 24–26 Sep 20241,3481361214–––11–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 3–5 Sep 20241,328880236–––20–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12–14 Aug 20241,33415101177–––21–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 9–11 Jul 20241,34112131188–––20–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 25–27 May 20241,1869112179–––21–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 10–12 May 20241,3349102198–––11–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 14–16 May 20241,24713101237–––22–
Forsa 26–29 Apr 20241,007––1021104–11–––
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 23–25 Apr 20241,22817132177–––21–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 9–11 Apr 20241,25411112208–––21–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 19–21 Mar 20241,29612112208–––21–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 5–7 Mar 20241,2601591207–––21–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 20–22 Feb 20241,29412132189–––21–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 30 Jan – 1 Feb 20241,2171092238–––11–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 9–11 Jan 20241,3371381197–––21–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12–14 Dec 20231,14613142166–––11–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 21–23 Nov 20231,24215101198–––21–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 7–9 Nov 20231,23416921710–––21–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 17–19 Oct 20231,25213101188–––21–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12–14 Sep 20231,20118133147–––31–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 15–17 Aug 20231,28816113156–––22–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 11–13 Jul 20231,34614113158–––41–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 27–29 Jun 20231,37917102196–––31–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 13–15 Jun 20231,22419113196–––21–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 23–25 May 20231,25715113177–––41–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 2–4 May 20231,22516133157–––31–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 18–20 Apr 20231,26619122169–––21–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 28–30 Mar 20231,37918123157–––22–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 14–16 Mar 20231,14621114149–––22–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 28 Feb – 2 Mar 20231,165191021710–––22–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 14–16 Feb 20231,361181031312–––31–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 24–26 Jan 20231,345201051011–––21–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 10–12 Jan 20231,25919114129–––32–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12–15 Dec 20221,365211141111–––22–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 22–24 Nov 20221,27321123129–––21–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 8–10 Nov 20221,31024931111–––32–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 18–20 Oct 20221,38923113119–––22–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 27–29 Sep 20221,35520115109–––32–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 6–8 Sep 20221,29918136109–––33–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 9–11 Aug 20221,38919861013–––41–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12–14 Jul 20221,1671975814–––21–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 28–30 Jun 20221,18622851115–––21–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 13–15 Jun 20221,13320761015–––33–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 17–19 May 20221,16222871016–––21–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 26–28 Apr 20221,170211010107–––42–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 5–7 Apr 20221,2302389147–––42–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 8–10 Mar 20221,345181112155–––34–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 21–23 Feb 20221,10317119125–––53–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 8–10 Feb 20221,224161311155–––42–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 25–27 Jan 20221,24916111196–––43–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 11–13 Jan 20221,128161112104–––55–
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 7–9 Dec 20211,303161012106–––44–

Constituency projections

With the new electoral reform, constituency seats are only awarded if covered by the votes cast for the party in that state. As such, the number of constituency seats won by a party may be lower than that party's number of constituency pluralities. [35]

Constituency pluralities

Polling firmRelease date Union SPD Grüne AfD Linke FDP BSW
zweitstimme.org 21 Feb 2025202401040400
election.de 21 Feb 2025204341145500
YouGov (MRP)20 Feb 202519744747400
INSA 17 Feb 202524591231200
election.de 14 Feb 2025203351246300
INSA 10 Feb 202523561245100
election.de 7 Feb 2025204351147200
YouGov (MRP)6 Feb 202522225348200
Wahlkreisprognose 5 Feb 202522319846300
INSA 3 Feb 202523981338100
election.de 31 Jan 2025203351247200
INSA 27 Jan 202523561146100
Wahlkreisprognose 25 Jan 202523111946200
election.de 24 Jan 2025209331045200
INSA 20 Jan 2025229111345100
election.de 17 Jan 2025212301045200
YouGov (MRP)16 Jan 202520835550100
INSA 13 Jan 20252464940000
election.de 10 Jan 2025211311045200
INSA 6 Jan 202524471335000
election.de 3 Jan 202521430944200
INSA 30 Dec 20242498634200
election.de 27 Dec 202421926943200
INSA 23 Dec 20242468837000
INSA 16 Dec 20242448641000
election.de 13 Dec 202422326939200
INSA 9 Dec 202426510420000
Wahlkreisprognose 6 Dec 202423116645100
INSA 2 Dec 202424761134100
election.de 29 Nov 202422817943200
INSA 25 Nov 20242725319000
Wahlkreisprognose 22 Nov 20242446543100
INSA 18 Nov 20242637423200
election.de 15 Nov 202423617638200
INSA 11 Nov 20242674521200
INSA 4 Nov 20242585234000
INSA 28 Oct 20242694520100
INSA 21 Oct 202426412220100
election.de 15 Oct 202422623939200
INSA 14 Oct 20242537335100
INSA 7 Oct 20242437346000
INSA 30 Sep 20242505539000
INSA 23 Sep 20242416151000
INSA 16 Sep 20242742122000
election.de 15 Sep 202423617737200
INSA 9 Sep 20242412749000
INSA 2 Sep 20242475245000
INSA 26 Aug 20242654723000
INSA 19 Aug 20242576432000
election.de 15 Aug 2024227221038200
INSA 12 Aug 20242506438100
INSA 5 Aug 20242548433000
INSA 29 Jul 20242718317000
INSA 22 Jul 20242565333200
election.de 15 Jul 2024222211341200
INSA 15 Jul 20242584729100
INSA 8 Jul 20242555732000
INSA 1 Jul 202425861123100
INSA 24 Jun 20242784512000
INSA 17 Jun 20242587529000
election.de 15 Jun 2024218301237200
INSA 10 Jun 202426713910000
INSA 3 Jun 20242619621200
INSA 27 May 202427171011000
INSA 21 May 2024261101117000
Wahlkreisprognose 20 May 202424623623100
election.de 15 May 2024217281438200
INSA 13 May 202425871123000
INSA 6 May 202425061031200
INSA 29 Apr 2024231101245100
INSA 22 Apr 202424361038200
election.de 15 Apr 2024213301242200
INSA 15 Apr 202425591322000
INSA 8 Apr 202425951122200
INSA 2 Apr 202426081219000
INSA 25 Mar 202424061043000
Wahlkreisprognose 21 Mar 202421243735100
INSA 18 Mar 202425710922100
election.de 15 Mar 2024210291444200
INSA 11 Mar 202425031034200
INSA 4 Mar 202426241122000
INSA 26 Feb 202426161319000
Wahlkreisprognose 22 Feb 20242358648002
INSA 19 Feb 202424541039100
election.de 15 Feb 2024214271244200
INSA 12 Feb 202424241042100
INSA 5 Feb 202424091139000
INSA 29 Jan 202424361040000
Wahlkreisprognose 26 Jan 202421923648102
INSA 22 Jan 202425241033000
election.de 15 Jan 2024217201348100
INSA 15 Jan 20242434843100
INSA 8 Jan 20242536634000
Wahlkreisprognose 4 Jan 20242304461000
INSA 2 Jan 202424441039200
INSA 27 Dec 20232423746100
INSA 18 Dec 202324451039100
election.de 15 Dec 2023217201348100
INSA 11 Dec 202323091148100
INSA 4 Dec 202322591450100
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Nov 202322114460000
INSA 27 Nov 202324361039100
INSA 20 Nov 2023237121335200
election.de 15 Nov 2023203311647200
INSA 13 Nov 2023233121340100
INSA 6 Nov 2023231141438200
INSA 30 Oct 2023242101036100
Wahlkreisprognose 25 Oct 2023220237310018
INSA 23 Oct 2023230151339200
INSA 16 Oct 2023210241153100
election.de 15 Oct 2023190431747200
INSA 9 Oct 2023202231756100
INSA 2 Oct 2023200401641200
Wahlkreisprognose 25 Sep 2023153622162100
INSA 25 Sep 2023199321551200
INSA 18 Sep 2023198312048200
INSA 11 Sep 2023194301856100
INSA 4 Sep 2023198331749200
election.de 1 Sep 2023185491647200
INSA 28 Aug 2023194302350200
Wahlkreisprognose 28 Aug 2023151781257100
INSA 21 Aug 2023194351950100
election.de 18 Aug 2023181511847200
INSA 14 Aug 2023189491643200
INSA 7 Aug 2023200531729000
election.de 4 Aug 2023183481947200
INSA 31 Jul 2023198411741200
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Jul 2023154791351200
INSA 24 Jul 2023201441834200
election.de 21 Jul 2023188461646300
INSA 17 Jul 2023208301940200
INSA 10 Jul 2023210411927200
election.de 7 Jul 2023184491746300
INSA 3 Jul 2023190462338200
INSA 26 Jun 2023197431641200
Wahlkreisprognose 26 Jun 2023139821957200
election.de 23 Jun 2023189481643300
INSA 19 Jun 2023194471541200
INSA 12 Jun 2023215471520200
election.de 9 Jun 2023190481642300
INSA 5 Jun 2023214471719200
Wahlkreisprognose 2 Jun 2023168851232200
INSA 30 May 2023227481310100
election.de 26 May 2023196491635300
INSA 22 May 2023217511811200
INSA 15 May 202322941199100
election.de 12 May 2023196491635300
INSA 8 May 2023225422010200
INSA 2 May 2023207512217200
Wahlkreisprognose 30 Apr 2023182751029300
election.de 28 Apr 2023196491833300
INSA 24 Apr 2023218441917100
INSA 17 Apr 2023216481915100
election.de 16 Apr 2023191541932300
INSA 11 Apr 2023212462317100
INSA 3 Apr 202322148199200
election.de 2 Apr 2023191541932300
INSA 27 Mar 2023214492510100
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Mar 2023159991424300
INSA 20 Mar 202322454173100
election.de 19 Mar 2023185601932300
INSA 13 Mar 2023217512010100
election.de 10 Mar 2023193561829300
INSA 6 Mar 2023233371810100
Wahlkreisprognose 1 Mar 2023192731122100
INSA 27 Feb 202324336190100
election.de 24 Feb 2023191571929300
INSA 20 Feb 202322351240100
INSA 13 Feb 202322845231200
election.de 10 Feb 2023178612532300
INSA 6 Feb 2023203502717200
INSA 30 Jan 2023216392319200
election.de 27 Jan 2023181592729300
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Jan 20231341092330300
INSA 23 Jan 2023211492611200
Wahlkreisprognose 16 Jan 2023149932233200
INSA 16 Jan 202322346254100
election.de 13 Jan 2023181572929300
INSA 9 Jan 202321245319200
INSA 2 Jan 202321648323000
election.de 30 Dec 2022179612927300
INSA 19 Dec 202221450303200
election.de 16 Dec 2022182543129300
INSA 12 Dec 202221445317200
Wahlkreisprognose 9 Dec 20221461002031200
INSA 5 Dec 202221950271200
election.de 2 Dec 2022180553229300
INSA 28 Nov 202221252330200
INSA 21 Nov 2022210442815200
election.de 18 Nov 2022177553232300
INSA 14 Nov 202221549304100
Wahlkreisprognose 8 Nov 20221411131824300
INSA 7 Nov 202220550339200
election.de 4 Nov 2022174573332300
INSA 31 Oct 202220351367200
election.de 21 Oct 2022174573332300
Wahlkreisprognose 21 Oct 2022145962431300
INSA 17 Oct 202221940363100
INSA 10 Oct 202221238388200
election.de 7 Oct 2022177543332300
Wahlkreisprognose 6 Oct 2022149991731300
INSA 4 Oct 202221935395100
INSA 26 Sep 2022209303919200
election.de 23 Sep 2022180553328300
Wahlkreisprognose 22 Sep 20221501021926200
INSA 19 Sep 2022211283717200
INSA 12 Sep 202221835423100
Wahlkreisprognose 11 Sep 2022154902230300
election.de 9 Sep 2022177593823200
INSA 5 Sep 2022209244419300
INSA 29 Aug 2022206374212200
election.de 26 Aug 2022177604119200
INSA 22 Aug 2022214284510200
Wahlkreisprognose 19 Aug 2022140735530100
INSA 15 Aug 2022203334813200
election.de 12 Aug 2022174614319200
Wahlkreisprognose 12 Aug 2022146496934100
INSA 8 Aug 202221529503200
INSA 1 Aug 2022196325118200
election.de 29 Jul 2022171664218200
INSA 25 Jul 2022196325118200
Wahlkreisprognose 20 Jul 2022136895221100
INSA 18 Jul 2022197345115200
election.de 15 Jul 2022174693915200
INSA 11 Jul 202220543463200
Wahlkreisprognose 6 Jul 2022145944514100
INSA 4 Jul 202221637431200
election.de 1 Jul 2022175703814200
INSA 27 Jun 202221242450000
Wahlkreisprognose 26 Jun 2022144983718200
INSA 20 Jun 202221632463200
election.de 17 Jun 2022177703713200
INSA 13 Jun 2022194444515100
Wahlkreisprognose 8 Jun 2022144943324400
INSA 7 Jun 202220343475100
election.de 3 Jun 2022178713612200
Wahlkreisprognose 1 Jun 2022168625711100
INSA 30 May 202220449440200
INSA 23 May 202221348371000
election.de 20 May 2022157973112200
Wahlkreisprognose 16 May 2022162893413100
INSA 16 May 2022202464010100
Wahlkreisprognose 9 May 20221381004515100
INSA 9 May 202220952333200
election.de 6 May 20221451102813300
INSA 2 May 202219962351200
INSA 25 Apr 202218277308200
Wahlkreisprognose 24 Apr 20221211283613100
election.de 22 Apr 20221441152413300
INSA 19 Apr 202218274374200
INSA 11 Apr 202217983278200
election.de 8 Apr 20221441162313300
Wahlkreisprognose 5 Apr 20221281342511100
INSA 4 Apr 202218486271100
INSA 28 Mar 2022165932216300
election.de 25 Mar 20221611041912300
INSA 21 Mar 202219274273300
Wahlkreisprognose 21 Mar 20221321332310100
election.de 11 Mar 20221501151912300
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Feb 20221281312216200
election.de 25 Feb 20221591031816300
INSA 21 Feb 202221366162200
Wahlkreisprognose 15 Feb 20221431172016300
INSA 14 Feb 202220371203200
election.de 11 Feb 20221581031817300
INSA 7 Feb 202219681191200
Wahlkreisprognose 3 Feb 2022195632810300
INSA 31 Jan 2022178100180300
election.de 28 Jan 20221331212021400
INSA 24 Jan 2022146129192300
Wahlkreisprognose 18 Jan 20221241391716300
INSA 17 Jan 2022125140239200
election.de 14 Jan 20221291291919300
INSA 10 Jan 2022128142198200
INSA 3 Jan 20221181371923200
election.de 31 Dec 20211111482017300
INSA 20 Dec 20211081601711300
Wahlkreisprognose 19 Dec 20211021671215300
election.de 17 Dec 20211091492018300
INSA 13 Dec 20211141531712300
Wahlkreisprognose 6 Dec 2021751762421300
INSA 6 Dec 20211181452013300
election.de 3 Dec 20211111432219400
INSA 29 Nov 20211121402713700
Wahlkreisprognose 24 Nov 20211231401617300
INSA 22 Nov 20211221471512300
election.de 19 Nov 20211031532019400
INSA 15 Nov 2021991602017200
INSA 8 Nov 2021110158235300
Wahlkreisprognose 7 Nov 20211251371618300
election.de 5 Nov 20211011562018400
INSA 25 Oct 2021841762114310
election.de 22 Oct 20211011542020400
Wahlkreisprognose 10 Oct 20211131452018300
election.de 8 Oct 20211081482019400
INSA 4 Oct 2021941632119200
2021 federal election 26 Sep 20211431211616300

By probability

Polling firmRelease date Union SPD Grüne AfD Linke
SafeLikelyLeanSafeLikelyLeanSafeLikelyLeanSafeLikelyLeanSafeLikelyLean
election.de 21 Feb 20259175381102302992412023
election.de 14 Feb 2025917735110241110102313012
election.de 7 Feb 20259575341112311992513011
election.de 31 Jan 202595743411123111082613011
election.de 24 Jan 20251017137192311872612011
election.de 17 Jan 20251116734172211882512011
election.de 10 Jan 20251116733182211862514011
election.de 3 Jan 20251176433162311752316011
election.de 27 Dec 20241216335152011732317011
election.de 13 Dec 20241246138152012611919011
election.de 29 Nov 20241375635141212611918011
election.de 15 Nov 20241385642141211431921011
election.de 15 Oct 20241265743151712611919011
election.de 15 Sep 20241375643141211511917011
election.de 15 Aug 20241255844151612711918011
election.de 15 Jul 20241225842141613921821011
election.de 15 Jun 20241136144162314711917011
election.de 15 May 20241185544152215811918011
election.de 15 Apr 20241146237162313831920011
election.de 15 Mar 20241116138152314952217011
election.de 15 Feb 20241136239142212952514011
election.de 15 Jan 202410671401415121092811010
election.de 15 Dec 20231076842141513992712010
election.de 15 Nov 202394723716241411112511011
election.de 15 Oct 202369833811131151117246011
election.de 1 Sep 202365784221631151016238011
election.de 18 Aug 202363744422326151216229011
election.de 4 Aug 202366744321729171116229011
election.de 21 Jul 202373744111827151092611012
election.de 7 Jul 202371734021829161092512012
election.de 23 Jun 202378714021828151072214102
election.de 9 Jun 202385703511631151022416102
election.de 26 May 202388634521829151011717111
election.de 12 May 20238962452182916911618111
election.de 28 Apr 202391624311731161111517111
election.de 16 Apr 202385644221834171111417111
election.de 2 Apr 202382634622032171111516111
election.de 19 Mar 202377654322632161211417111
election.de 10 Mar 202383624822331171011315111
election.de 24 Feb 202380634822530171111315111
election.de 10 Feb 202366664652630191511417111
election.de 27 Jan 202369704232531191711315111
election.de 13 Jan 2023677044325293111511315111
election.de 30 Dec 2022676844424333111511313111
election.de 16 Dec 2022716744226263111711315111
election.de 2 Dec 2022667143324283121711315111
election.de 18 Nov 2022677040225283121711417111
election.de 4 Nov 2022617142424293131711417111
election.de 21 Oct 2022617043324303131711417111
election.de 7 Oct 2022676941225273131711417111
election.de 23 Sep 2022667044225283131701414111
election.de 9 Sep 2022587148421344142001013110
election.de 26 Aug 202257675342135517190811110
election.de 12 Aug 202253695242235520180811110
election.de 29 Jul 202252645542834417210810110
election.de 15 Jul 202252645843332415200510101
election.de 1 Jul 202251665853332413210311101
election.de 17 Jun 202254645953530313210112101
election.de 3 Jun 202253675853630313200111101
election.de 20 May 202247515912444121217048101
election.de 6 May 202244524915445121016058102
election.de 22 Apr 20224651471546542913067111
election.de 8 Apr 20224651471643572813067102
election.de 25 Mar 20225151591246462413057111
election.de 11 Mar 20224851511544562413048111
election.de 25 Feb 20225350561242492313079111
election.de 11 Feb 202249515812444723130710111
election.de 28 Jan 202241504222425726120912112
election.de 14 Jan 202237504227445825120910111
election.de 31 Dec 20213041403157602513179102
election.de 17 Dec 202130413833585825131710111
election.de 3 Dec 202127424228556028121108112
election.de 19 Nov 202126393835556325131810112
election.de 5 Nov 20212535414057592612198103
election.de 22 Oct 202126354039546125131109112
election.de 8 Oct 20212842383059592513199112
2021 federal election 26 Sep 202114312116163

Second place

Polling firmRelease date SPD Union Grüne AfD Linke FDP FW
election.de [36] 21 Feb 2025115723673300
election.de [37] 14 Feb 2025114743573300
election.de [38] 7 Feb 2025117733670300
election.de [39] 31 Jan 2025117743570300
election.de [40] 24 Jan 2025116713772300
election.de [41] 17 Jan 2025115723673300
election.de [42] 10 Jan 2025116723672300
election.de [43] 3 Jan 2025118733867300
election.de [44] 27 Dec 2024121713966200
election.de [45] 13 Dec 2024128703563300
election.de [46] 29 Nov 2024122653574300
election.de [47] 15 Nov 2024128583774200
election.de [48] 15 Oct 2024127683369200
election.de [49] 15 Sep 2024127583775200
election.de [50] 15 Aug 2024126673866200
election.de [51] 15 Jul 2024122713866200
election.de [52] 15 Jun 2024123744159200
election.de [53] 15 May 2024117744858200
election.de [54] 15 Apr 2024118793962100
election.de [55] 15 Mar 2024113803966100
election.de [56] 15 Feb 2024111753676100
election.de [57] 15 Jan 2024102723488300
election.de [58] 15 Dec 2023105723783200
election.de [59] 15 Nov 2023105813279200
election.de [60] 15 Oct 2023106842978200
election.de [61] 1 Sep 2023108893070200
election.de [62] 18 Aug 2023112913064200
election.de [63] 4 Aug 2023111903264200
election.de [64] 21 Jul 2023116863462100
election.de [65] 7 Jul 2023118893457100
election.de [66] 23 Jun 2023120853756100
election.de [67] 9 Jun 2023123873850100
election.de 26 May 2023130824442100
election.de 12 May 2023132824539100
election.de 28 Apr 2023135834337100
election.de 16 Apr 2023132874435100
election.de 2 Apr 2023132874435100
election.de 19 Mar 2023133924527200
election.de 10 Mar 2023136864728200
election.de 24 Feb 2023137874528200
election.de 10 Feb 2023137924424200
election.de 27 Jan 2023128925225200
election.de 13 Jan 2023127915524200
election.de 30 Dec 2022126925425200
election.de 16 Dec 2022125915724200
election.de 2 Dec 2022123925824200
election.de 18 Nov 2022121955922200
election.de 4 Nov 2022123955722200
election.de 21 Oct 2022122945922200
election.de 7 Oct 2022119956221200
election.de 23 Sep 2022118926423200
election.de 9 Sep 2022117907216400
election.de 26 Aug 2022116887418300
election.de 12 Aug 2022117907315400
election.de 29 Jul 2022122897113400
election.de 15 Jul 2022124877014400
election.de 1 Jul 2022124886914400
election.de 17 Jun 2022129886513400
election.de 3 Jun 2022132876511400
election.de 20 May 2022128995514300
election.de 6 May 20221271144313200
election.de 22 Apr 20221271134213400
election.de 8 Apr 20221271144213300
election.de 25 Mar 20221351024215410
election.de 11 Mar 20221301124112400
election.de 25 Feb 20221351093515400
election.de 11 Feb 20221371033816400
election.de 28 Jan 20221221204013400
election.de 14 Jan 20221201253613410
election.de 31 Dec 20211111353512420
election.de 17 Dec 20211101353414420
election.de 3 Dec 20211041264617420
election.de 19 Nov 20211041334115420
election.de 5 Nov 20211081284117320
election.de 22 Oct 20211031304019520
election.de 8 Oct 20211071293918420
2021 federal election 26 Sep 20211291153314422

Notes

  1. ↑ BSW was established as an official political party on 8 January 2024.
  2. ↑ Coalition would break the Cordon sanitaire/Firewall against the far-right in Germany with the AfD.

References

  1. ↑ "Truth in Polling". europeelects.eu. Europe Elects. Retrieved 21 January 2025.
  2. 1 2 3 4 "Sonntagsfrage – Ipsos (Wahlumfragen zur Bundestagswahl)". Wahlrecht.de.
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Sonntagsfrage – Forschungsgruppe Wahlen (Wahlumfragen zur Bundestagswahl)". Wahlrecht.de.
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 "Sonntagsfrage – Forsa (Wahlumfragen zur Bundestagswahl)". Wahlrecht.de.
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 "Sonntagsfrage – YouGov (Wahlumfragen zur Bundestagswahl)". Wahlrecht.de.
  6. ↑ "Sonntagsfrage – Allensbach (Wahlumfragen zur Bundestagswahl)". Wahlrecht.de.
  7. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191 192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 238 239 240 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255 256 257 258 259 260 261 262 263 264 265 266 267 268 269 270 271 272 273 274 275 276 277 278 279 280 281 282 283 284 285 286 287 288 289 290 291 292 293 294 295 296 297 298 299 300 301 302 303 304 305 306 307 308 309 310 311 312 313 314 315 316 317 318 319 320 321 322 323 324 325 326 327 328 329 330 331 332 333 334 335 336 337 338 339 340 341 342 343 344 345 346 347 348 349 350 351 352 353 "Sonntagsfrage – INSA (Wahlumfragen zur Bundestagswahl)". Wahlrecht.de.
  8. 1 2 3 "Sonntagsfrage – GMS (Wahlumfragen zur Bundestagswahl)". Wahlrecht.de.
  9. ↑ "YouGov's final MRP of the 2025 German election shows Merz on course to be next chancellor". yougov.co.uk. Retrieved 2025-02-20.
  10. ↑ WAHLKREISPROGNOSE (2025-02-18). "Trends im Bund - Wahlkreisprognose.de". www.wahlkreisprognose.de (in German). Retrieved 2025-02-18.
  11. ↑ WAHLKREISPROGNOSE (2025-02-14). "Bundestrend: Union gewinnt deutlich – SPD und Scholz im Abwärtsstrudel - Wahlkreisprognose.de". www.wahlkreisprognose.de (in German). Retrieved 2025-02-16.
  12. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 "Sonntagsfrage – Infratest dimap (Wahlumfragen zur Bundestagswahl)". Wahlrecht.de.
  13. ↑ "Sonntagsfrage – Allensbach (Wahlumfragen zur Bundestagswahl)". Wahlrecht.de.
  14. 1 2 3 "Sonntagsfrage – Weitere Wahlumfragen zur Bundestagswahl". Wahlrecht.de (in German). Retrieved 2025-02-16.
  15. ↑ "AfD remain on course for record result in YouGov's second MRP model of the 2025 German election | YouGov". yougov.co.uk. Retrieved 2025-02-07.
  16. ↑ WAHLKREISPROGNOSE (2025-02-05). "Bundestrend: Ansehensverluste für Merz und Scholz – Unionsparteien vergrößern Abstand zur AfD - Wahlkreisprognose.de". www.wahlkreisprognose.de (in German). Retrieved 2025-02-16.
  17. ↑ "Sonntagsfrage – INSA (Wahlumfragen zur Bundestagswahl)". Wahlrecht.de (in German). Retrieved 2025-01-30.
  18. ↑ "'Utterly terrifying' poll reveals Elon Musk effect pushing far-right AfD closer to power in Germany)". The Independent . Retrieved 2025-02-03.
  19. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 "Sonntagsfrage – Verian (Kantar Public, Emnid) (Wahlumfragen zur Bundestagswahl)". Wahlrecht.de.
  20. ↑ "Bundestrend: 37 Wahlkreise von Mandatskappung betroffen – Merz setzt sich von Scholz ab - Wahlkreisprognose.de". www.wahlkreisprognose.de. January 25, 2025.
  21. ↑ "Sonntagsfrage – Allensbach (Wahlumfragen zur Bundestagswahl)". Wahlrecht.de.
  22. ↑ "Bundestrend: Union und AfD gewinnen – SPD und Grüne verlieren - Wahlkreisprognose.de". www.wahlkreisprognose.de. January 18, 2025.
  23. ↑ "First YouGov MRP model of the 2025 German election shows gains for right | YouGov". yougov.co.uk.
  24. ↑ "Sonntagsfrage – Ipsos (Wahlumfragen zur Bundestagswahl)". Wahlrecht.de.
  25. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 "Sonntagsfrage – Forschungsgruppe Wahlen (Wahlumfragen zur Bundestagswahl)". Wahlrecht.de.
  26. ↑ "TRENDS IM BUND - Wahlkreisprognose.de". www.wahlkreisprognose.de. March 30, 2020.
  27. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 "Sonntagsfrage – Allensbach (Wahlumfragen zur Bundestagswahl)". Wahlrecht.de.
  28. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 "Sonntagsfrage – YouGov (Wahlumfragen zur Bundestagswahl)". Wahlrecht.de.
  29. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 "Sonntagsfrage – Forsa (Wahlumfragen zur Bundestagswahl)". Wahlrecht.de.
  30. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 "Sonntagsfrage – Verian (Kantar Public, Emnid) (Wahlumfragen zur Bundestagswahl)". Wahlrecht.de.
  31. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 "INSA-CONSULERE". February 17, 2025.
  32. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 "INSA-CONSULERE". January 27, 2025.
  33. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 "INSA-CONSULERE". January 27, 2025.
  34. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 "INSA-CONSULERE". January 27, 2025.
  35. ↑ Kornmeier, Claudia. "Was das neue Wahlrecht vorsieht". tagesschau.de (in German). Retrieved 2024-09-28.
  36. ↑ "Wahlkreis-Prognose". www.election.de.
  37. ↑ "Wahlkreis-Prognose". www.election.de.
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  61. ↑ "Wahlkreis-Prognose". www.election.de.
  62. ↑ "Wahlkreis-Prognose". www.election.de.
  63. ↑ "Wahlkreis-Prognose". www.election.de.
  64. ↑ https://www.election.de/cgi-bin/showforecast_btw25.pl?map=btw25e_prognose_230721_zweiter
  65. ↑ https://www.election.de/cgi-bin/showforecast_btw25.pl?map=btw25e_prognose_230707_zweiter
  66. ↑ https://www.election.de/cgi-bin/showforecast_btw25.pl?map=btw25e_prognose_230623_zweiter
  67. ↑ https://www.election.de/cgi-bin/showforecast_btw25.pl?map=btw25e_prognose_230609_zweiter
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