2026 Hungarian parliamentary election

2026 Hungarian parliamentary election

←  2022 April 2026
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All 199 seats in the National Assembly 100 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Leader Viktor Orbán Péter Magyar Party Fidesz TISZA Alliance Fidesz–KDNP Leader since 17 May 2003 [a] 22 July 2024 Last election 135 seats, 54.1% Did not contest [b] Current seats 135 0   Leader Klára Dobrev László Toroczkai Party DK MH Leader since 1 June 2025 23 June 2018 Last election Contested as part of electoral alliance, 15 seats [c] 6 seats, 5.9% Current seats 16 6
Incumbent cabinet Fifth Orbán Government Fidesz–KDNP

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Hungary in April 2026. ^{[1] [2]} This parliamentary election will be the 10th since 1990.

Background

2022 election

Main article: 2022 Hungarian parliamentary election

On 3 April 2022, with 54.13% of the popular vote, Fidesz–KDNP received the highest vote share by any party or alliance since 1990 and won two-thirds of the seats for the fourth time. The United for Hungary alliance suffered a massive defeat and was shortly after dissolved, its members sat in separate political groups in the National Assembly. From other minor parties, only Our Homeland Movement reached the threshold for entry, while the Hungarian Two Tailed Dog Party did not. ^[3] Following the election, only the Democratic Coalition managed to achieve sustained double-digit poll results alongside Fidesz, but still lagged far behind the ruling parties. ^{[4] [5]}

Rise of Tisza

Further information: Katalin Novák presidential pardon scandal

Magyar and Orbán shaking hands in the European Parliament in 2024

On 2 February 2024, it was revealed that President Katalin Novák had granted a pardon in April 2023 to a criminal involved in a pedophilia case. ^[6] The scandal resulted in Novák's resignation, as well as that of former justice minister Judit Varga, who had countersigned the pardon. ^[7] Not long after, Varga's ex-husband Péter Magyar published a Facebook post declaring that he would resign from all of his government-related positions, stating that the past few years had made him realize that the idea of a "national, sovereign, bourgeois Hungary" stated as the goal of Viktor Orbán's rule was in fact a "political product" serving to obscure massive corruption and transfers of wealth to those with the right connections. ^[8]

On 15 March 2024, Magyar, despite initially refusing his participation in politics, held a rally attended by tens of thousands in Budapest at which he announced the formation of a new political party. ^[9] According to polling conducted that month, around 15% of voters claimed they were "certain or highly likely" to vote for Magyar if he ran for office. ^[10]

Magyar campaigning at a rally in Siófok in 2025

On 10 April 2024, Magyar announced his bid to run both in the European and Budapest Assembly elections with the at that point unknown Respect and Freedom Party, which finished in second place with nearly 30% of votes, the highest number and percentage of votes by any non-Fidesz party since 2006, eventuating collapse for other opposition parties with it and a new situation in Hungarian politics. Following the midterm elections, the strengthening of the Tisza Party continued and according to the independent/opposition-aligned polls, by the end of the year it had become the most popular political party in Hungary, or at least a close competitor to Fidesz, thus overturning the continuous dominance of ruling parties that had lasted since the Őszöd speech came to light. ^{[11] [12]} Following this, some opposition parties, such as Everybody's Hungary People's Party and Momentum Movement, have decided not to run in the next election in the interest of government change. ^{[13] [14]}

Amendment of the electoral law

On 17 December 2024, the National Assembly voted on changes to the constituencies. As a result, the number of electoral districts in Budapest decreased from 18 to 16, while in Pest County the number of districts increased from 12 to 14. Border changes in some parts of Csongrád-Csanád County and Fejér County also happened. The ruling Fidesz–KDNP made the decision citing changes in the results of latest census (2022), but according to the opposition, the real goal was to weaken their position in those, mainly capital districts, where they were previously elected directly. ^[15] The changes have been accused of amounting to gerrymandering, with the opposition Tisza Party needing to win by around 3–5 points in the national vote in order to get a majority in the Assembly. ^[16]

Tisza primary

The Tisza party selected 103 of its 106 future candidates for the election in a two-round primary late 2025 (following a call for candidates in 2024). The party put forward 3 nominees in each district (except the district of Magyar and 2 seats) and in the first round all Tisza Sziget members above the age of 16 could vote. Voting took place via a modified Borda count. In the second round, voting was opened also to all resident citizens above 18 who could vote for either of the two advancing candidates. Winners were announced on 28 November 2025.

Electoral system

Main article: Electoral system of Hungary

The 199 members of the National Assembly will be elected by mixed-member majoritarian representation with two methods; 106 elected in single-member constituencies by first-past-the-post voting, while the other 93 elected from a single nationwide constituency, by modified proportional representation. The electoral threshold is set at 5% for single party lists, 10% for joint lists of two parties and 15% for joint lists of three or more parties. Since 2014, each of the Armenian, Bulgarian, Croatian, German, Greek, Polish, Romani, Romanian, Rusyn, Serbian, Slovak, Slovenian, and Ukrainian ethnic minorities can win one of the 93 party lists seats if they register as a specific list and reach a lowered quota of ${\displaystyle {\frac {1}{4\times 93}}={\frac {1}{372}}\approx 0.27\%}$ of the total of party list votes. Each minority is able to send a minority spokesman – without the rights of an MP – to the National Assembly, if the list does not reach this lowered quota. ^[17] Fractional votes, calculated as all the votes of individual candidates not elected (but associated with a party list over the threshold), as well as surplus votes cast for successful candidates (margin of victory minus 1 vote), are added to the direct lists votes of the respective parties or alliances. Seats are then allocated using the D'Hondt method. ^[18]

Opinion polls

Main article: Opinion polling for the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election

Total

The following graph presents the average of all polls.

By affiliation

The following two graphs present only the polls that are government-aligned, or independent/opposition-aligned, respectively.

• 
  Government-aligned polls
• 
  Independent/Opposition-aligned polls

Notes

1. As Fidesz leader
2. The party was founded in 2020 but did not run in the 2022 Hungarian parliamentary election.
3. As part of United for Hungary

References

1. "Ukraine will never join EU – Orban". Central European Times. 24 February 2025.
2. János, Haász (27 July 2025). "Orbán Viktor egyértelművé tette, amit a Fidesz és Magyar Péter is tol egy ideje: jövő április 12-én lesz a választás". 444 (in Hungarian). Retrieved 27 July 2025.
3. "Nemzeti Választási Iroda". valasztas.hu. 3 April 2022.
4. "Árnyékkormányt alakít Dobrev Klára". telex.hu. 16 September 2022.
5. "Molnár Csaba: Egy dolgot nem próbált még az ellenzék 2010 óta, hogy legyen egy domináns párt". telex.hu. 6 February 2023.
6. "Children's home crisis threatens very foundation of Orban regime, say analysts". www.intellinews.com. 14 February 2024. Retrieved 30 March 2024.
7. Thorpe, Nick (10 February 2024). "Hungarian President Katalin Novak resigns over child-abuse pardon scandal". BBC . Retrieved 27 March 2024.
8. "Varga Judit volt férje: Egy percig sem akarok olyan rendszer részese lenni, amelyben Tónik, Ádámok és Barbarák vígan röhöghetnek a markukba". telex (in Hungarian). 10 February 2024. Retrieved 30 March 2024.
9. "Thousands protest in Budapest as Orban embroiled in corruption scandal". euronews. 26 March 2024. Retrieved 30 March 2024.
10. "In Hungary, Scandal and Crisis Suddenly Energize the Opposition". thebulwark. 18 March 2024. Retrieved 18 March 2024.
11. "Magyar Péter: Történelmet írunk, 18 éve nem volt ilyen". 24.hu (in Hungarian). 23 October 2024. Retrieved 23 October 2024.
12. "Silence engulfs pro-government polling institutions". 24.hu (in Hungarian). 25 June 2025. Retrieved 24 September 2025.
13. "Márki-Zay pártja nem indul a választáson". 444.hu (in Hungarian). 1 June 2025. Retrieved 1 June 2025.
14. "Nem indul a Momentum a 2026-os országgyűlési választáson". telex.hu (in Hungarian). 7 June 2025. Retrieved 7 June 2025.
15. "Megszavazták a választási törvény módosítását". 24.hu. 17 December 2024.
16. "Gerrymandered districts, manipulated polls: Orbán's party banks on local races to win 2026 elections". Atlatszo. 25 August 2025. Retrieved 31 August 2025.
17. Nemzeti Választási Iroda National Election Office
18. "Electing Members of the National Assembly - House of the National Assembly - Országgyűlés". House of the National Assembly. Retrieved 28 February 2025.