2024 United Kingdom general election in Scotland

Last updated

2024 United Kingdom general election
Flag of Scotland.svg
←  2019 4 July 2024
All 57 Scottish seats in the House of Commons
Turnout59.2% (Decrease2.svg8.4pp)
 First partySecond party
  Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer Official Portrait (cropped).jpg John Swinney - First Minister (53720492021) (cropped).jpg
Leader Keir Starmer John Swinney
Party Labour SNP
Leader since 4 April 2020 6 May 2024
Last election1 seat, 18.6%48 seats, 45.0%
Seats won379
Seat changeIncrease2.svg 36Decrease2.svg 39
Popular vote851,897724,758
Percentage35.3%30.0%
SwingIncrease2.svg 16.7%Decrease2.svg 15.0%
 Third partyFourth party
  Official portrait of Rt Hon Sir Edward Davey MP crop 2.jpg Portrait of Prime Minister Rishi Sunak (cropped).jpg
Leader Ed Davey Rishi Sunak
Party Liberal Democrats Conservative
Leader since 27 August 2020 [a] 24 October 2022
Last election4 seats, 9.5% [b] 6 seats, 25.1%
Seats won65
Seat changeIncrease2.svg 2Decrease2.svg 1
Popular vote234,228307,344
Percentage9.7%12.7%
SwingIncrease2.svg 0.2%Decrease2.svg 12.4%
2024 UK General election in Scotland.svg
Results by constituency

The 2024 general election was held on 4 July 2024. 57 Scottish Westminster seats were contested. The election saw a resurgence of Labour within Scotland, with the party winning 37 seats, an increase of 36 from the previous election and becoming the largest party in Scotland for the first time since 2010. The Liberal Democrats also saw gains, increasing their Scottish representation in Parliament from four seats to six. The Scottish National Party, the dominant party in Scotland since 2007, saw a collapse of support in which they lost 39 seats, bringing their total from 48 seats won at the previous election to nine. This was their worst Westminster election result since 2010. The Conservative Party lost one seat, taking their total down to five. Turnout dropped to 59%, eclipsed for the first time by a preceding Scottish Parliament election (63.5%). This was a reduction in turnout of 8.4% from 2019 and in a few constituencies the turnout was down 10%.

Contents

Background

The Scottish National Party (SNP) suffered political turmoil through having multiple party leaders and First Ministers including Nicola Sturgeon, Humza Yousaf and John Swinney, as well as the Operation Branchform police investigation into the party's finances. Sturgeon resigned following heavy criticism for her positions on gender reforms and claimed occupational burnout was the reason for her resignation, [2] while Yousaf resigned amid a government crisis following his termination of a power-sharing agreement with the Scottish Greens. [3] Swinney assumed the leadership after being elected unopposed. [4] Like the Conservative Party in the UK, the SNP's popularity also suffered from being in government for a long time, which led to speculation that Scottish Labour could win the election for the first time since their near-wipeout in the 2015 general election.

Opinion polls

All polling companies listed here are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure and sample size rules.

The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2019 general election on 12 December to the present day.

Poll results

Graph of opinion polls conducted in Scotland Scotland-only UK general election opinion polling 2019-2024 (LOESS).svg
Graph of opinion polls conducted in Scotland
Date(s)
conducted		PollsterClientSample
size		 SNP Con. Lab. Lib. Dems Green Ref. OthersLead
4 Jul2024 2024 general election –30.0%12.7%35.3%9.7%3.8%7.0%1.6%5.3
28 Jun–2 Jul2024 Savanta The Scotsman1,08334%15%31%9%3%6%2%3
24–28 Jun2024 More in Common N/A1,00830%16%35%9%2%7%1%5
26–27 Jun2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,20032%11%38%7%3%8%1%6
24–26 Jun2024 Norstat The Sunday Times -31%13%35%8%3%8%2%4
21–25 Jun2024 Savanta The Scotsman 1,04234%14%34%7%––7%Tie
21–25 Jun2024 Survation Ballot Box Scotland 1,02231%14%37%7%3%8%1%6
20–25 Jun2024 YouGov Sky News1,05929%11%35%11%5%8%1%6
14–18 Jun2024 Savanta The Scotsman1,06933%15%38%7%––7%5
14–18 Jun2024 YouGov N/A1,14631%11%34%7%6%11%1%3
11–14 Jun2024 Norstat The Sunday Times1,05030%14%34%9%4%7%2%4
5–10 Jun2024 Opinium N/A1,01734%14%35%8%4%5%1%1
3–9 Jun2024 Ipsos STV News1,13636%13%36%5%3%4%
2%
Alba on 1%
Other on 1%
Tie
3–7 Jun2024 YouGov N/A1,06830%13%34%8%6%7%2%4
1–2 Jun2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,00029%17%39%8%3%4%
2%
Alba on 1%
Other on 1%
10
24–28 May2024 Savanta The Scotsman1,06733%17%37%7%––5%4
23–27 May2024 Survation True North1,02632%17%36%9%––6%4
22–25 May2024 More in Common N/A1,01630%17%35%10%3%4%1%5
22 May Rishi Sunak announces that a general election will be held on 4 July 2024
13–17 May2024 YouGov N/A1,11429%12%39%8%7%4%2%10
8–9 May2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,07831%14%38%8%4%4%
1%
Alba on 1%
Other on 0%
7
6–8 May John Swinney is elected Leader of the Scottish National Party and First Minister of Scotland
3–8 May2024 Savanta The Scotsman1,08033%17%37%7%––4%4
30 Apr–3 May2024 Norstat The Sunday Times1,01429%16%34%8%4%6%
4%
Alba on 3%
Other on 1%
5
29 Apr2024 Humza Yousaf announces his resignation as First Minister of Scotland.
26–29 Apr2024 YouGov N/A1,04333%14%34%8%4%5%2%1
9–12 Apr2024 Norstat The Sunday Times1,08632%16%32%9%4%5%
3%
Alba on 2%
Other on 1%
Tie
6–7 Apr2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,00032%17%33%8%2%5%
2%
Alba on 2%
Other on 0%
1
25 Mar–2 Apr2024 YouGov N/A1,10031%14%33%7%5%7%1%2
10–11 Mar2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,00034%16%34%6%4%4%
1%
Alba on 1%
Other on 0%
Tie
14–20 Feb2024 Survation Quantum Communications1,04338%15%33%8%––7%5
3–4 Feb2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,00033%18%34%8%2%4%
1%
Alba on 1%
Other on 0%
1
25–31 Jan2024 Ipsos STV News1,00539%14%32%6%4%–5%7
23–25 Jan2024 Survation True North1,02936%16%34%8%––7%2
22–25 Jan2024 Norstat The Sunday Times1,00733%16%36%7%––8%3
9–11 Jan2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,04035%17%35%9%2%2%1%Tie
26–27 Nov2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,05434%17%36%6%3%3%0%2
20–26 Nov2023 Ipsos N/A99040%15%30%6%3%–5%10
29–30 Oct2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,09232%23%32%8%2%2%1%Tie
20–25 Oct2023 YouGov Scottish Elections Study1,20032%16%38%6%4%–4%6
6–11 Oct2023 Savanta The Scotsman1,01835%19%35%6%––4%Tie
2–6 Oct2023 YouGov N/A1,02833%20%32%5%5%2%2%1
5 Oct2023 Rutherglen and Hamilton West by-election
4–5 Oct2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,09534%21%32%9%2%–2%4
5–14 Sep2023 Opinium Tony Blair Institute1,00437%18%28%8%4%–4%9
8–13 Sep2023 YouGov The Times1,10338%16%27%7%6%4%2%11
2–4 Sep2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,10035%15%35%8%4%–3%Tie
15–18 Aug2023 Survation True North1,02237%17%35%6%––5%2
3–8 Aug2023 YouGov The Times1,08636%15%32%6%6%3%2%4
5–6 Aug2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,05037%17%34%7%2%–3%3
1–2 Jul2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,03035%21%32%7%2%–3%3
23–28 Jun2023 Survation –2,02637%17%34%9%––4%3
12–15 Jun2023 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,00734%18%34%7%––7%Tie
9–14 Jun2023 Savanta The Scotsman1,01838%17%34%7%––4%4
9–13 Jun2023 YouGov Scottish Elections Study1,20033%17%36%7%4%–3%3
3–5 Jun2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,46637%20%28%9%3%–3%9
15–21 May2023 Ipsos MORI STV News1,09041%16%29%6%3%–4%12
27 Apr–3 May2023 Survation True North1,00938%18%31%9%2%–4%7
30 Apr–2 May2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,29535%18%32%9%3%–3%3
17–20 Apr2023 YouGov The Times1,03237%17%28%8%5%2%2%9
29 Mar–3 Apr2023 Survation N/A1,00140%17%32%7%1%–3%8
31 Mar–1 Apr2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,00036%19%31%10%2%–3%5
28–31 Mar2023 Savanta The Scotsman1,00939%19%33%6%––4%6
28–30 Mar2023 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,08939%19%31%5%––6%8
27 Mar2023 Humza Yousaf is elected leader of the Scottish National Party
9–13 Mar2023 YouGov Sky News1,00239%16%29%6%6%3%1%10
8–10 Mar2023 Survation Diffley Partnership1,03740%18%32%6%2%–3%8
7–10 Mar2023 Panelbase Scot Goes Pop1,01340%16%33%6%––5%7
2–5 Mar2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,05039%22%29%6%2%–3%10
17–20 Feb2023 YouGov The Times1,01738%19%29%6%4%2%2%9
15–17 Feb2023 Survation N/A1,03443%17%30%6%––3%13
15–17 Feb2023 Savanta The Scotsman1,00442%17%32%6%––3%10
10–15 Feb2023 YouGov Scottish Election Study1,23938%16%35%6%3%–3%3
1–7 Feb2023 Survation N/ATBA42%18%29%6%––0%13
23–26 Jan2023 YouGov The Sunday Times1,08842%15%29%6%3%3%2%13
10–12 Jan2023 Survation True North1,00243%18%29%7%––2%14
22 Dec–1 Jan2023 Survation Scotland in Union1,02544%16%31%6%––1%13
16–21 Dec2022 Savanta The Scotsman1,04843%19%30%6%––2%13
6–9 Dec2022 YouGov The Times1,09043%14%29%6%4%3%1%14
28 Nov–5 Dec2022 Ipsos MORI STV News1,04551%13%25%6%3%–0%26
26–27 Nov2022 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,00041%16%31%8%2%–3%10
7–11 Oct2022 Panelbase Alba Party1,000+42%16%30%6%2%–2%12
5–7 Oct2022 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,01745%15%30%5%––4%15
30 Sep–4 Oct2022 YouGov The Times1,06745%12%31%7%3%1%1%14
30 Sep–4 Oct2022 ComRes The Scotsman1,02946%15%30%8%––1%16
28–29 Sep2022 Survation Scotland in Union1,01144%15%31%6%––4%13
17–19 Aug2022 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,13344%20%23%8%––5%21
29 Jun–1 Jul2022 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,01047%19%23%8%––3%24
23–28 Jun2022 Savanta ComRes The Scotsman1,02946%18%25%8%––3%21
23–29 May2022 Ipsos STV News1,00044%19%23%10%3%–2%21
18–23 May2022 YouGov The Times1,11546%19%22%6%3%1%2%24
5 May 2022 Local elections held in Scotland
26–29 Apr2022 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,00942%21%24%7%––5%18
25–31 Mar2022 BMG The Herald1,01242%19%26%6%4%–2%16
24–28 Mar2022 Survation Ballot Box Scotland1,00245%19%27%6%––2%18
1–4 Feb2022 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,12844%20%24%8%2%–2%20
15–22 Dec2021 Opinium Daily Record1,32848%17%22%7%3%–4%26
18–22 Nov2021 YouGov The Times1,06048%20%18%6%3%2%2%28
9–12 Nov2021 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,000~48%21%20%7%––4%27
20–26 Oct2021 Panelbase Scot Goes Pop1,00148%21%21%7%––4%27
6–10 Sep2021 Panelbase The Sunday Times2,00347%23%19%7%––4%24
2–8 Sep2021 Opinium Sky News1,01451%21%17%5%2%–3%30
20 Aug2021 Alex Cole-Hamilton becomes leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats [5]
16–24 Jun2021 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,28747%25%18%6%––4%22
13 May2021 Airdrie and Shotts by-election
6 May2021Election to the Scottish Parliament [6]
2–4 May2021 YouGov The Times1,14448%22%19%5%4%1%2%26
30 Apr–4 May2021 Survation DC Thomson1,00848%22%20%7%1%–1%26
28 Apr–03 May2021 Opinium Sky News1,01547%25%20%6%1%–1%22
27–30 Apr2021 BMG The Herald1,02348%20%20%7%3%–1%28
23–26 Apr2021 Survation Good Morning Britain1,00846%22%22%8%––2%24
21–26 Apr2021 Panelbase Scot Goes Pop1,07545%22%19%7%4%–3%23
20–22 Apr2021 Survation DC Thomson1,03747%21%22%8%1%–1%25
16–20 Apr2021 YouGov The Times1,20448%24%19%4%3%1%2%24
1–6 Apr2021 Opinium Sky News1,02350%24%19%4%1%–1%26
29–30 Mar2021 Survation The Courier1,02149%21%21%8%1%–0%28
19–22 Mar2021 YouGov The TimesTBA49%24%17%4%4%1%1%25
16–19 Mar2021 BMG The Herald1,02147%21%19%7%3%–3%26
11–18 Mar2021 Survation The Courier1,45249%21%21%7%1%–1%28
11–16 Mar2021 Opinium Sky News1,09650%23%19%5%3%–1%27
4–8 Mar2021 YouGov The Times1,10050%23%17%5%3%1%1%27
27 Feb2021 Anas Sarwar is elected leader of Scottish Labour [7]
25–26 Feb2021 Survation Daily Record1,01148%23%21%6%––2%25
11–13 Jan2021 Survation Scot Goes Pop1,02048%19%23%7%––3%25
4–9 Dec2020 Survation N/A1,00951%20%21%6%3%––30
5–11 Nov2020 Panelbase Scot Goes Pop1,02050%21%20%5%2%––29
6–10 Nov2020 YouGov The Times1,08953%19%17%4%3%3%1%34
28 Oct–4 Nov2020 Survation N/A1,05952%18%20%8%––2%32
17–21 Sep2020 JL Partners Politico1,01656%18%15%7%3%–0%38
2–7 Sep2020 Survation N/A1,01851%20%21%6%––3%30
6–10 Aug2020 YouGov The Times1,14254%20%16%5%2%2%0%34
5 Aug2020 Douglas Ross becomes leader of the Scottish Conservatives [8]
30 Jun–3 Jul2020 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,02653%21%19%6%––2%32
1–5 Jun2020 Panelbase Scot Goes Pop1,02251%21%19%6%2%–1%30
1–5 May2020 Panelbase Wings Over Scotland1,08650%26%17%5%2%–1%24
24–27 Apr2020 YouGov N/A1,09551%25%15%6%2%0%1%26
24–26 Mar2020 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,02348%27%16%5%3%––21
14 Feb2020 Jackson Carlaw becomes leader of the Scottish Conservatives [9]
12 Dec2019 2019 general election –45.0%25.1%18.6%9.5%1.0%0.5%0.3%19.9

Boundary review

2024 map of Scottish constituencies UK House of Commons constituencies 2024 - Scotland.svg
2024 map of Scottish constituencies

In March 2020, Cabinet Office minister Chloe Smith confirmed that the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies would be based on retaining 650 seats. [10] [11] The previous relevant legislation was amended by the Parliamentary Constituencies Act 2020 [12] and the four boundary commissions formally launched their 2023 reviews on 5 January 2021. [13] [14] [15] [16] They were required to issue their final reports prior to 1 July 2023. The Scottish commission published its own report on 28 June. [17] [18] As the reports were laid before Parliament, Orders in Council giving effect to the final proposals must be made within four months, unless "there are exceptional circumstances". Prior to the Parliamentary Constituencies Act 2020, boundary changes could not be implemented until they were approved by both Houses of Parliament.

Fifty-seven single member constituencies were used in Scotland for this election, a reduction of two since 2019. A number of constituencies are unchanged, including the two protected constituencies of Na h-Eileanan an Iar covering the Western Isles, and Orkney and Shetland, covering the Northern Isles. [19]

Candidates

By affiliation

AffiliateCandidates [20]
Conservative Party 57
Labour Party 57
Liberal Democrats 57
Reform UK 57
Scottish National Party 57
Scottish Greens 44
Independents 25 (21 constituencies)
Alba Party 19
Scottish Family Party 16
Co-operative Party 4 [21]
Scottish Libertarian Party 4
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition 4
Communist Party of Britain 3
Socialist Labour Party 3
UKIP 3
British Unionist Party 2
Christian Party 2
Independence for Scotland Party 2
Scottish Socialist Party 2
Social Democratic Party 2
Sovereignty2
Workers Party of Britain 2
Freedom Alliance (UK)1
Heritage Party 1
Liberal Party 1
Socialist Equality Party 1
Total424

By constituency

Target seats

MPs not seeking re-election

Members of Parliament not standing for re-election
MPConsti­tuencyFirst electedAffiliationDate announcedNote
Alister Jack Dumfries and Galloway 2017 Conservative 17 May 2023 [22] Current Scottish Secretary
Ian Blackford Ross, Skye and Lochaber 2015 SNP 6 June 2023 [23] Former leader of SNP Westminster group
Peter Grant Glenrothes 2015 SNP 21 June 2023 [24]
Angela Crawley Lanark and Hamilton East 2015 SNP 23 June 2023 [25] Former SNP shadow Attorney General
Douglas Chapman Dunfermline and West Fife 2015 SNP 26 June 2023 [26]
Stewart Hosie Dundee East 2005 SNP 28 June 2023 [27] Current SNP shadow Chancellor
Mhairi Black Paisley and Renfrewshire South 2015 SNP 4 July 2023 [28] Current deputy leader of SNP Westminster group
John McNally Falkirk 2015 SNP 10 July 2023 [29]
Philippa Whitford Central Ayrshire 2015 SNP 18 July 2023 [30] Current SNP Spokesperson for Scotland
Lisa Cameron East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow 2015 Conservative [g] 17 October 2023 [31] Elected from SNP

Results

Swinney meets with Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, Keir Starmer, following the 2024 general election at Bute House First Minister meets Prime Minister (53840421342).jpg
Swinney meets with Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, Keir Starmer, following the 2024 general election at Bute House

The SNP ultimately won nine seats in the 2024 election, a loss of 38 seats on its 2019 result, reducing it to the second-largest party in Scotland, behind Scottish Labour, and the fourth-largest party in Westminster. Swinney took full responsibility but said that he would not resign as leader. He said of the results, "There will have to be a lot of soul searching as a party as a consequence of these results that have come in tonight", and that the SNP has to be "better at governing on behalf of the people of Scotland", admitting the party was not "winning the argument" on Scottish independence. [32]

On 7 July 2024, newly elected Prime Minister of the United Kingdom Keir Starmer travelled to Edinburgh on the first stop of his tour of the four countries of the United Kingdom and met with Swinney at the official residence of the First Minister, Bute House. During the meeting, both Swinney and Starmer agreed to "work together" and to "reset the relationship between their two governments". [33]

Results detail

2024 map of Scottish Constituencies - Results Scotland 2024 final.svg
2024 map of Scottish Constituencies – Results

Voting closed at 22:00, which was followed by an exit poll. The first seat, Houghton and Sunderland South, declared at 23:15 with Bridget Phillipson winning for Labour. [34] [35] Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire was the last seat to declare, after a recount took place on Saturday 6 July. [36]

By affiliation

Affiliate [37] [38] SeatsAggregate votes
TotalGainsLossesNetOf total (%)TotalOf total (%)Differ­ence
Labour 37360Increase2.svg3664.9851,89735.3Increase2.svg16.7
SNP 9140Decrease2.svg3915.8724,75830.0Decrease2.svg15.0
Conservative 501Decrease2.svg 18.8307,34412.7Decrease2.svg12.4
Liberal Democrats 640Increase2.svg 410.5234,2289.7Increase2.svg 0.2
Reform UK 000Steady2.svg—167,9797.0Increase2.svg 6.5
Scottish Green 000Steady2.svg—92,6853.8Increase2.svg 2.8
Alba 0New—11,7840.5New
Independent 000Steady2.svg—9,7820.4Increase2.svg 0.3
Scottish Family 000Steady2.svg—5,4250.2Increase2.svg 0.2
TUSC 0Did not stand in 2019—1,5230.1—
Scottish Socialist 0Did not stand in 2019—1,0070.0—
Scottish Christian 0Coalition with CPA in 2019—8060.0—
Socialist Labour 000Steady2.svg—7880.0
ISP 0New—6780.0New
BUP 0Did not stand in 2019—6140.0—
Scottish Libertarian 000Steady2.svg—5360.0Steady2.svg
Communist 0Did not stand in 2019—5160.0—
Liberal 000Steady2.svg—4810.0
SDP 000Steady2.svg—4260.0Steady2.svg
Workers Party 0New—4150.0New
UKIP 000Steady2.svg—3130.0Decrease2.svg 0.1
Sovereignty0New—3040.0New
Heritage 0New—2300.0New
Socialist Equality 000Steady2.svg—1780.0
Freedom Alliance0New—1130.0New
Total572,414,81059.2Decrease2.svg 8.4

By constituency

Main article: 2024 United Kingdom general election in Scotland
Constituency2019
seat		2024 seatVotesTurnout
PartyCandidateVotesShareMargin Lab. SNP Con. Lib. Dems Ref. Green OtherTotal
 
Aberdeen North SNP SNP Kirsty Blackman 14,55234.5%1,77912,77314,5525,8812,5833,7811,2751,26942,11455.5%
Aberdeen South SNP SNP Stephen Flynn 15,21332.8%3,75811,45515,21311,3002,9213,1991,60964846,34559.9%
Aberdeenshire North and Moray East Con SNP Seamus Logan 13,45535.2%9423,87613,45512,5132,7825,562——38,18854.5%
Airdrie and Shotts SNP Lab Kenneth Stevenson 18,87151.5%7,54718,87111,3241,6967252,971—1,07936,66652.2%
Alloa and Grangemouth SNP Lab Brian Leishman 18,03943.8%6,12218,03911,9173,1271,1513,8041,4211,74241,20158.3%
Angus and Perthshire Glens SNP SNP Dave Doogan 19,14240.4%4,8706,79919,14214,2723,1563,246—73347,34861.8%
Arbroath and Broughty Ferry SNP SNP Stephen Gethins 15,58135.3%85914,72215,5816,8412,2493,800—92444,11758.0%
Argyll, Bute and South Lochaber SNP SNP Brendan O'Hara 15,58234.7%6,2328,58515,5829,3507,3593,045—94145,07862.8%
Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock SNP Lab Elaine Stewart 14,93036.5%4,15414,93010,7769,2471,0813,54488647240,93658.2%
Bathgate and Linlithgow SNP Lab Kirsteen Sullivan 19,77447.0%8,32319,77411,4513,1442,1713,5241,39061142,06558.3%
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk Con Con John Lamont 18,87240.5%6,5996,31112,27318,8723,6863,3401,52655046,55861.0%
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross LD LD Jamie Stone 22,73649.4%10,4893,40912,2471,86022,7363,3601,64179546,17061.9%
Central Ayrshire SNP Lab Alan Gemmell 18,09143.7%6,86918,09111,2226,1479833,4201,03951741,41960.0%
Coatbridge and Bellshill SNP Lab Frank McNally 19,29149.8%6,34419,29112,9471,3826712,6011,22961038,73153.3%
Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy SNP Lab Melanie Ward 18,66245.7%7,24818,66211,4143,2031,5933,1281,5561,25840,81457.0%
Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch SNP Lab Katrina Murray 18,51345.2%4,14418,51314,3691,9391,2943,1671,694—40,97658.2%
Dumfries and Galloway Con Con John Cooper 13,52729.6%93011,76712,59713,5272,0924,3131,24923045,77558.3%
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale Con Con David Mundell 14,99933.9%4,24210,14010,75714,9992,8003,8221,44820844,17461.5%
Dundee Central SNP SNP Chris Law 15,54440.0%67514,86915,5441,5692,4022,363—2,10138,84852.0%
Dunfermline and Dollar SNP Lab Graeme Downie 20,33645.7%8,24120,33612,0953,2973,1812,8872,07866344,53761.0%
East Kilbride and Strathaven SNP Lab Joani Reid 22,68248.6%9,05722,68213,6253,5471,0743,3771,81159146,70761.0%
East Renfrewshire SNP Lab Blair McDougall 21,93543.7%8,42121,93513,5148,4941,1502,3601,5101,36450,22768.4%
Edinburgh East and Musselburgh SNP Lab Chris Murray 18,79041.2%3,71518,79015,0752,5981,9492,1294,66936545,57559.8%
Edinburgh North and Leith SNP Lab Tracy Gilbert 20,80542.1%7,26820,80513,5373,2543,8791,8185,41776549,41863.0%
Edinburgh South Lab Lab Ian Murray 24,97653.3%17,25124,9767,7254,0012,7461,8454,2701,26346,82666.3%
Edinburgh South West SNP Lab Scott Arthur 18,66340.9%6,21718,66312,4465,5583,0142,0873,45044645,66461.9%
Edinburgh West LD LD Christine Jardine 26,64550.8%16,4707,85410,1752,89726,6452,2092,10059152,47168.6%
Falkirk SNP Lab Euan Stainbank 18,34343.0%4,99618,34313,3473,5761,0923,3751,7111,18142,62558.0%
Glasgow East SNP Lab John Grady 15,54343.8%3,78415,54311,7591,7078722,3712,72746635,44551.2%
Glasgow North SNP Lab Martin Rhodes 14,65542.2%3,53914,65511,1161,3661,1421,6554,23357234,73951.0%
Glasgow North East SNP Lab Maureen Burke 15,63945.9%4,63715,63911,0021,1825922,2722,47193334,09147.0%
Glasgow West SNP Lab Patricia Ferguson 18,62146.7%6,44618,62112,1751,7201,3162,0983,66231039,90258.0%
Glasgow South SNP Lab Gordon McKee 17,69641.8%4,15417,69613,5421,6171,3161,7365,55491742,37860.0%
Glasgow South West SNP Lab Zubir Ahmed 15,55243.6%3,28515,55212,2671,3879582,2362,72754235,66952.0%
Glenrothes and Mid Fife SNP Lab Richard Baker 15,99444.3%2,95415,99413,0401,9731,6043,528——36,13951.0%
Gordon and Buchan Con Con Harriet Cross 14,41832.9%8784,68613,54014,4187,3073,978——44,01463.2%
Hamilton and Clyde Valley SNP Lab Imogen Walker 21,02049.9%9,47221,02011,5484,5891,5113,299—11742,08455.8%
Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West SNP Lab Martin McCluskey 18,93146.9%6,37118,93112,5602,8631,2592,4761,1731,08840,35057.5%
Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire SNP LD Angus MacDonald 18,15937.8%2,1606,24615,9992,50218,1592,0342,03817848,05661.7%
Kilmarnock and Loudoun SNP Lab Lillian Jones 19,05544.9%5,12919,05513,9363,5278503,4721,23740142,47857.1%
Livingston SNP Lab Gregor Poynton 18,32440.9%3,52818,32414,7963,4692,0253,9771,70454544,84057.5%
Lothian East SNP Lab Douglas Alexander 23,55549.2%13,26523,55510,2905,3352,6493,0392,47755747,90263.5%
Mid Dunbartonshire SNP LD Susan Murray 22,34942.4%9,67310,93312,6762,45222,3492,0991,72044952,73872.0%
Midlothian SNP Lab Kirsty McNeill 21,48048.6%8,16721,48013,3133,2482,5893,276—25944,16559.8%
Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey SNP SNP Graham Leadbitter 14,96132.1%1,0018,25914,96113,9603,7853,4901,67642346,55460.0%
Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke SNP Lab Pamela Nash 19,16849.1%7,08519,16812,0832,4158223,0041,20033439,15154.6%
Na h-Eileanan an Iar SNP Lab Torcuil Crichton 6,69249.5%3,8366,6922,856647382697—2,25413,52864.8%
North Ayrshire and Arran SNP Lab Irene Campbell 16,82139.8%3,55116,82113,2705,9541,0053,4151,32747042,26256.4%
North East Fife LD LD Wendy Chamberlain 23,38454.7%13,4794,0269,9051,66623,3842,0941,653—42,72861.2%
Orkney and Shetland LD LD Alistair Carmichael 11,39255.1%7,8071,4933,58558611,3921,5862,046—20,68860.0%
Paisley and Renfrewshire North SNP Lab Alison Taylor 19,56147.1%6,33319,56113,2282,6591,3743,2281,469—41,51958.4%
Paisley and Renfrewshire South SNP Lab Johanna Baxter 19,58347.4%6,52719,58313,0562,2191,3152,9561,72443041,28357.7%
Perth and Kinross-shire SNP SNP Pete Wishart 18,92837.8%4,1279,01818,92814,8013,6812,970—67950,07764.8%
Rutherglen SNP Lab Michael Shanks 21,46050.5%8,76721,46012,6932,4201,7142,685—1,51242,48458.5%
Stirling and Strathallan SNP Lab Chris Kane 16,85633.9%1,39416,85615,4629,4692,5303,1452,320—49,78265.3%
West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine Con Con Andrew Bowie 17,42835.6%3,4416,39713,98717,4286,3423,4971,03227548,95867.1%
West Dunbartonshire SNP Lab Douglas McAllister 19,31248.8%6,01019,31213,3021,4748392,7701,49639139,58457.5%
All constituencies851,897724,758307,344234,228167,97992,68535,9192,414,81059.0%
35.3%30.0%12.7%9.7%7.0%3.8%1.5%100.0%
Seats
3795600057
65%16%8.8%11%0%0%0%100.0%

Analysis

The Scottish Labour Party gained the majority of seats in Scotland for the first time since 2010, regaining most of the seats lost to the SNP in 2015. Labour gained every seat in Glasgow, all but one seat in Edinburgh, and all but one seat in the Central Belt (both of these exceptions being seats won by the Scottish Liberal Democrats). Labour also gained Na h-Eileanan an Iar for the first time since 2001. Labour was also runner-up in four other constituencies, around Aberdeen and Dundee.

The Scottish National Party elected nine MPs, a net loss of thirty-nine compared to 2019. The SNP lost most of their seats gained in 2015, including every seat in Glasgow, Edinburgh and the Central Belt. Most of the remaining SNP seats are large rural constituencies in the Scottish Highlands, along with Aberdeen North, Aberdeen South and Dundee Central, Dundee Central had the lowest majority of any Scottish constituency (675 votes between SNP and Labour). The only SNP gain was Aberdeenshire North and Moray East, the predecessor seat of Banff and Buchan had been previously Conservative. The SNP was the runner-up in every constituency it did not win.

The Scottish Liberal Democrats elected six MPs, gaining Mid Dunbartonshire and Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire, the predecessor seats had once been held by former Liberal Democrat leaders Jo Swinson and Charles Kennedy respectively. The remaining four seats were defended with significantly increased majorities, and close to or over 50% of the vote. Orkney and Shetland remains the longest continuously held Liberal constituency, since 1950. This is the first time since 2010 that there are more Liberal Democrat MPs in Scotland than Conservatives, although the Conservatives had more votes.

The Scottish Conservatives elected five MPs, losing Aberdeenshire North and Moray East which was a new seat being contested by outgoing MP and leader Douglas Ross. As in the previous election, the Conservatives won in all three border constituencies, with their other two seats being in Aberdeenshire. The Conservatives therefore did proportionally better in Scotland compared to their significant losses in England and Wales, and in contrast to the previous Labour landslide of 1997 when the Conservatives lost every seat in Scotland.

Other parties and independents failed to win any seats. The two Alba Party MPs who had defected from the SNP, Kenny MacAskill and Neale Hanvey lost their seats, as did independent Angus McNeil who also left the SNP.

Unlike in England and Wales, the Scottish Greens and Reform UK were not the runner-up in any constituency, but they both did achieve some significant third places considering that Greens and Reform only won seats in England. [39] The strongest results for the Greens were in the cities of Edinburgh and Glasgow, where Labour took all the SNP seats across the cities. [40] Surprisingly, the Greens even came in third place in Orkney and Shetland, a constituency they had never before contested at a general election before. [41] Reform UK performed strongest in SNP-Conservative areas such as North East Scotland and the Scottish Borders, achieving particularly strong third places in Aberdeenshire in constituencies such as Aberdeenshire North and Moray East. [42] They even achieved third places in traditionally Labour-SNP areas in the Central Belt like Airdrie and Shotts, Glenrothes and Mid Fife, Livingston and Rutherglen. Between the two parties they achieved over 10% of the vote in Scotland (Reform 7% and Greens 4%) but no seats. For this discrimination via the electoral system the two parties were similarly compared in England. [43] Unlike Reform, the Scottish Greens did not stand in every seat nor did they retain most of their election deposits.

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Davey served as Acting Leader from 13 December 2019 to 27 August 2020 alongside the Party Presidents Baroness Sal Brinton and Mark Pack, following Jo Swinson's election defeat in the 2019 general election. Davey was elected Leader in August 2020. [1]
  2. ↑ The notional results of the last election using the new (2024–present) constituencies would have given the Liberal Democrats 2 seats, not 4
  3. ↑ Elected in a by-election
  4. ↑ MP for Stirling (2017–2019) and MSP for Central Scotland (since 2021)
  5. ↑ MP for North East Fife from 2015 to 2019
  6. ↑ MP for Argyll and Bute (2001–2015)
  7. 1 2 Elected for the SNP, joined the Conservatives in 2023
  8. ↑ MSP for Glasgow since 2021
  9. ↑ Member of the Scottish Parliament for Glasgow Maryhill and Springburn (2011–2016) and Glasgow Maryhill (1999–2011)
  10. ↑ MP for Paisley and Renfrewshire South (2005–2015) and Paisley South (1997–2005 and is also running under a joint ticket with the Co-operative Party)
  11. ↑ Member of Parliament for Airdrie and Shotts from 2010 to 2015
  12. ↑ Member of the Scottish Parliament for North East Scotland from 2016 to 2021
  13. ↑ MP for Ochil and South Perthshire from 2017 to 2019
  14. ↑ Elected in a by-election

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References

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  3. ↑ "Scotland's first minister Humza Yousaf resigns". Al Jazeera. Retrieved 29 April 2024.
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  10. ↑ Smith, Chloe (24 March 2020). "Legislation to set the framework and rules for future Parliamentary constituency boundary reviews" (PDF). UK Parliament. Letter to William Wragg. Cabinet Office 70 Whitehall London SW1A 2AS. Archived (PDF) from the original on 21 February 2024.{{cite press release}}: CS1 maint: location (link)
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  14. ↑ "2023 Review of UK Parliament Constituencies". Boundary Commission for Scotland. Retrieved 7 January 2021.
  15. ↑ "2023 Review". Boundary Commission for Wales. Retrieved 7 January 2021.
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  21. ↑ In electoral pact with the Labour Party, all candidates are also standing for the Labour Party
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  25. ↑ Elliards, Xander (23 June 2023). "SNP MP Angela Crawley to step down at next General Election". thenational.scot. Retrieved 23 June 2023.
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  30. ↑ Dr Philippa Whitford [@Dr_PhilippaW] (18 July 2023). "As I approach retirement next year, I want to thank all those who have supported me during my time as an MP, as well as the wonderful people I worked with in ⁦@NHSScotland⁩. I will continue to campaign for Scotland's right to self-determination & for #ScottishIndependence!" (Tweet). Archived from the original on 21 February 2024 – via Twitter.
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  33. ↑ "Keir Starmer and John Swinney vow to work together despite 'differences'". BBC News. Retrieved 7 July 2024.
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  37. ↑ "Scotland Election 2024 Results". BBC News. Retrieved 9 July 2024.
  38. ↑ "2024 UK General Election Results for Scotland". Bloomberg. Retrieved 9 July 2024.
  39. ↑ Stewart, Iona (16 August 2024). "2024 general election: Performance of Reform and the Greens". House of Commons Library.
  40. ↑ "Labour sweeps SNP out of Glasgow and Edinburgh as Swinney pledges 'soul search' - First Minister John Swinney said his party's performance had been 'very poor'". The Independent. 5 July 2024.
  41. ↑ Stewart, Andrew; Reporter, Local Democracy (5 July 2024). "Liberal Democrats retain stronghold Orkney and Shetland seat". Press and Journal. Retrieved 18 September 2024.
  42. ↑ "What is the future of Reform in Scotland and are they here to stay?". BBC News. 22 July 2024. Retrieved 18 September 2024.
  43. ↑ "Large gap between vote share and MPs hits Reform and Greens". BBC News. 5 July 2024. Retrieved 18 September 2024.
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