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All 57 Scottish seats in the House of Commons | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Turnout | 59.2% (![]() | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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![]() Results by constituency |
The 2024 general election was held on 4 July 2024. 57 Scottish Westminster seats were contested. The election saw a resurgence of Labour within Scotland, with the party winning 37 seats, an increase of 36 from the previous election and becoming the largest party in Scotland for the first time since 2010. The Liberal Democrats also saw gains, increasing their Scottish representation in Parliament from four seats to six. The Scottish National Party, the dominant party in Scotland since 2007, saw a collapse of support in which they lost 39 seats, bringing their total from 48 seats won at the previous election to nine. This was their worst Westminster election result since 2010. The Conservative Party lost one seat, taking their total down to five. Turnout dropped to 59%, eclipsed for the first time by a preceding Scottish Parliament election (63.5%). This was a reduction in turnout of 8.4% from 2019 and in a few constituencies the turnout was down 10%.
![]() 2024 United Kingdom general election (4 July) | |
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Parties | |
Campaign | |
Overview by country | |
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The Scottish National Party (SNP) suffered political turmoil through having multiple party leaders and First Ministers including Nicola Sturgeon, Humza Yousaf and John Swinney, as well as the Operation Branchform police investigation into the party's finances. Sturgeon resigned following heavy criticism for her positions on gender reforms and claimed occupational burnout was the reason for her resignation, [2] while Yousaf resigned amid a government crisis following his termination of a power-sharing agreement with the Scottish Greens. [3] Swinney assumed the leadership after being elected unopposed. [4] Like the Conservative Party in the UK, the SNP's popularity also suffered from being in government for a long time, which led to speculation that Scottish Labour could win the election for the first time since their near-wipeout in the 2015 general election.
All polling companies listed here are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure and sample size rules.
The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2019 general election on 12 December to the election day itself.
Date(s) conducted | Pollster | Client | Sample size | SNP | Con. | Lab. | Lib. Dems | Green | Ref. | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 Jul2024 | 2024 general election | – | 30.0% | 12.7% | 35.3% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 1.6% | 5.3 | |
28 Jun–2 Jul2024 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,083 | 34% | 15% | 31% | 9% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 3 |
24–28 Jun2024 | More in Common | N/A | 1,008 | 30% | 16% | 35% | 9% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 5 |
26–27 Jun2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,200 | 32% | 11% | 38% | 7% | 3% | 8% | 1% | 6 |
24–26 Jun2024 | Norstat | The Sunday Times | - | 31% | 13% | 35% | 8% | 3% | 8% | 2% | 4 |
21–25 Jun2024 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,042 | 34% | 14% | 34% | 7% | – | – | 7% | Tie |
21–25 Jun2024 | Survation | Ballot Box Scotland | 1,022 | 31% | 14% | 37% | 7% | 3% | 8% | 1% | 6 |
20–25 Jun2024 | YouGov | Sky News | 1,059 | 29% | 11% | 35% | 11% | 5% | 8% | 1% | 6 |
14–18 Jun2024 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,069 | 33% | 15% | 38% | 7% | – | – | 7% | 5 |
14–18 Jun2024 | YouGov | N/A | 1,146 | 31% | 11% | 34% | 7% | 6% | 11% | 1% | 3 |
11–14 Jun2024 | Norstat | The Sunday Times | 1,050 | 30% | 14% | 34% | 9% | 4% | 7% | 2% | 4 |
5–10 Jun2024 | Opinium | N/A | 1,017 | 34% | 14% | 35% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 1 |
3–9 Jun2024 | Ipsos | STV News | 1,136 | 36% | 13% | 36% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 2% Alba on 1% Other on 1% | Tie |
3–7 Jun2024 | YouGov | N/A | 1,068 | 30% | 13% | 34% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 2% | 4 |
1–2 Jun2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 29% | 17% | 39% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 2% Alba on 1% Other on 1% | 10 |
24–28 May2024 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,067 | 33% | 17% | 37% | 7% | – | – | 5% | 4 |
23–27 May2024 | Survation | True North | 1,026 | 32% | 17% | 36% | 9% | – | – | 6% | 4 |
22–25 May2024 | More in Common | N/A | 1,016 | 30% | 17% | 35% | 10% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 5 |
22 May | Rishi Sunak announces that a general election will be held on 4 July 2024 | ||||||||||
13–17 May2024 | YouGov | N/A | 1,114 | 29% | 12% | 39% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 10 |
8–9 May2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,078 | 31% | 14% | 38% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 1% Alba on 1% Other on 0% | 7 |
6–8 May | John Swinney is elected Leader of the Scottish National Party and First Minister of Scotland | ||||||||||
3–8 May2024 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,080 | 33% | 17% | 37% | 7% | – | – | 4% | 4 |
30 Apr–3 May2024 | Norstat | The Sunday Times | 1,014 | 29% | 16% | 34% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 4% Alba on 3% Other on 1% | 5 |
29 Apr2024 | Humza Yousaf announces his resignation as First Minister of Scotland. | ||||||||||
26–29 Apr2024 | YouGov | N/A | 1,043 | 33% | 14% | 34% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 1 |
9–12 Apr2024 | Norstat | The Sunday Times | 1,086 | 32% | 16% | 32% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 3% Alba on 2% Other on 1% | Tie |
6–7 Apr2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 32% | 17% | 33% | 8% | 2% | 5% | 2% Alba on 2% Other on 0% | 1 |
25 Mar–2 Apr2024 | YouGov | N/A | 1,100 | 31% | 14% | 33% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 1% | 2 |
10–11 Mar2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 34% | 16% | 34% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 1% Alba on 1% Other on 0% | Tie |
14–20 Feb2024 | Survation | Quantum Communications | 1,043 | 38% | 15% | 33% | 8% | – | – | 7% | 5 |
3–4 Feb2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 33% | 18% | 34% | 8% | 2% | 4% | 1% Alba on 1% Other on 0% | 1 |
25–31 Jan2024 | Ipsos | STV News | 1,005 | 39% | 14% | 32% | 6% | 4% | – | 5% | 7 |
23–25 Jan2024 | Survation | True North | 1,029 | 36% | 16% | 34% | 8% | – | – | 7% | 2 |
22–25 Jan2024 | Norstat | The Sunday Times | 1,007 | 33% | 16% | 36% | 7% | – | – | 8% | 3 |
9–11 Jan2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,040 | 35% | 17% | 35% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 1% | Tie |
26–27 Nov2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,054 | 34% | 17% | 36% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 2 |
20–26 Nov2023 | Ipsos | N/A | 990 | 40% | 15% | 30% | 6% | 3% | – | 5% | 10 |
29–30 Oct2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,092 | 32% | 23% | 32% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 1% | Tie |
20–25 Oct2023 | YouGov | Scottish Elections Study | 1,200 | 32% | 16% | 38% | 6% | 4% | – | 4% | 6 |
6–11 Oct2023 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,018 | 35% | 19% | 35% | 6% | – | – | 4% | Tie |
2–6 Oct2023 | YouGov | N/A | 1,028 | 33% | 20% | 32% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 1 |
5 Oct2023 | Rutherglen and Hamilton West by-election | ||||||||||
4–5 Oct2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,095 | 34% | 21% | 32% | 9% | 2% | – | 2% | 4 |
5–14 Sep2023 | Opinium | Tony Blair Institute | 1,004 | 37% | 18% | 28% | 8% | 4% | – | 4% | 9 |
8–13 Sep2023 | YouGov | The Times | 1,103 | 38% | 16% | 27% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 11 |
2–4 Sep2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,100 | 35% | 15% | 35% | 8% | 4% | – | 3% | Tie |
15–18 Aug2023 | Survation | True North | 1,022 | 37% | 17% | 35% | 6% | – | – | 5% | 2 |
3–8 Aug2023 | YouGov | The Times | 1,086 | 36% | 15% | 32% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 4 |
5–6 Aug2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,050 | 37% | 17% | 34% | 7% | 2% | – | 3% | 3 |
1–2 Jul2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,030 | 35% | 21% | 32% | 7% | 2% | – | 3% | 3 |
23–28 Jun2023 | Survation | – | 2,026 | 37% | 17% | 34% | 9% | – | – | 4% | 3 |
12–15 Jun2023 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,007 | 34% | 18% | 34% | 7% | – | – | 7% | Tie |
9–14 Jun2023 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,018 | 38% | 17% | 34% | 7% | – | – | 4% | 4 |
9–13 Jun2023 | YouGov | Scottish Elections Study | 1,200 | 33% | 17% | 36% | 7% | 4% | – | 3% | 3 |
3–5 Jun2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,466 | 37% | 20% | 28% | 9% | 3% | – | 3% | 9 |
15–21 May2023 | Ipsos MORI | STV News | 1,090 | 41% | 16% | 29% | 6% | 3% | – | 4% | 12 |
27 Apr–3 May2023 | Survation | True North | 1,009 | 38% | 18% | 31% | 9% | 2% | – | 4% | 7 |
30 Apr–2 May2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,295 | 35% | 18% | 32% | 9% | 3% | – | 3% | 3 |
17–20 Apr2023 | YouGov | The Times | 1,032 | 37% | 17% | 28% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 9 |
29 Mar–3 Apr2023 | Survation | N/A | 1,001 | 40% | 17% | 32% | 7% | 1% | – | 3% | 8 |
31 Mar–1 Apr2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 36% | 19% | 31% | 10% | 2% | – | 3% | 5 |
28–31 Mar2023 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,009 | 39% | 19% | 33% | 6% | – | – | 4% | 6 |
28–30 Mar2023 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,089 | 39% | 19% | 31% | 5% | – | – | 6% | 8 |
27 Mar2023 | Humza Yousaf is elected leader of the Scottish National Party | ||||||||||
9–13 Mar2023 | YouGov | Sky News | 1,002 | 39% | 16% | 29% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 10 |
8–10 Mar2023 | Survation | Diffley Partnership | 1,037 | 40% | 18% | 32% | 6% | 2% | – | 3% | 8 |
7–10 Mar2023 | Panelbase | Scot Goes Pop | 1,013 | 40% | 16% | 33% | 6% | – | – | 5% | 7 |
2–5 Mar2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,050 | 39% | 22% | 29% | 6% | 2% | – | 3% | 10 |
17–20 Feb2023 | YouGov | The Times | 1,017 | 38% | 19% | 29% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 9 |
15–17 Feb2023 | Survation | N/A | 1,034 | 43% | 17% | 30% | 6% | – | – | 3% | 13 |
15–17 Feb2023 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,004 | 42% | 17% | 32% | 6% | – | – | 3% | 10 |
10–15 Feb2023 | YouGov | Scottish Election Study | 1,239 | 38% | 16% | 35% | 6% | 3% | – | 3% | 3 |
1–7 Feb2023 | Survation | N/A | TBA | 42% | 18% | 29% | 6% | – | – | 0% | 13 |
23–26 Jan2023 | YouGov | The Sunday Times | 1,088 | 42% | 15% | 29% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 13 |
10–12 Jan2023 | Survation | True North | 1,002 | 43% | 18% | 29% | 7% | – | – | 2% | 14 |
22 Dec–1 Jan2023 | Survation | Scotland in Union | 1,025 | 44% | 16% | 31% | 6% | – | – | 1% | 13 |
16–21 Dec2022 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,048 | 43% | 19% | 30% | 6% | – | – | 2% | 13 |
6–9 Dec2022 | YouGov | The Times | 1,090 | 43% | 14% | 29% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 14 |
28 Nov–5 Dec2022 | Ipsos MORI | STV News | 1,045 | 51% | 13% | 25% | 6% | 3% | – | 0% | 26 |
26–27 Nov2022 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 41% | 16% | 31% | 8% | 2% | – | 3% | 10 |
7–11 Oct2022 | Panelbase | Alba Party | 1,000+ | 42% | 16% | 30% | 6% | 2% | – | 2% | 12 |
5–7 Oct2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,017 | 45% | 15% | 30% | 5% | – | – | 4% | 15 |
30 Sep–4 Oct2022 | YouGov | The Times | 1,067 | 45% | 12% | 31% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 14 |
30 Sep–4 Oct2022 | ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,029 | 46% | 15% | 30% | 8% | – | – | 1% | 16 |
28–29 Sep2022 | Survation | Scotland in Union | 1,011 | 44% | 15% | 31% | 6% | – | – | 4% | 13 |
17–19 Aug2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,133 | 44% | 20% | 23% | 8% | – | – | 5% | 21 |
29 Jun–1 Jul2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,010 | 47% | 19% | 23% | 8% | – | – | 3% | 24 |
23–28 Jun2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,029 | 46% | 18% | 25% | 8% | – | – | 3% | 21 |
23–29 May2022 | Ipsos | STV News | 1,000 | 44% | 19% | 23% | 10% | 3% | – | 2% | 21 |
18–23 May2022 | YouGov | The Times | 1,115 | 46% | 19% | 22% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 24 |
5 May 2022 | Local elections held in Scotland | ||||||||||
26–29 Apr2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,009 | 42% | 21% | 24% | 7% | – | – | 5% | 18 |
25–31 Mar2022 | BMG | The Herald | 1,012 | 42% | 19% | 26% | 6% | 4% | – | 2% | 16 |
24–28 Mar2022 | Survation | Ballot Box Scotland | 1,002 | 45% | 19% | 27% | 6% | – | – | 2% | 18 |
1–4 Feb2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,128 | 44% | 20% | 24% | 8% | 2% | – | 2% | 20 |
15–22 Dec2021 | Opinium | Daily Record | 1,328 | 48% | 17% | 22% | 7% | 3% | – | 4% | 26 |
18–22 Nov2021 | YouGov | The Times | 1,060 | 48% | 20% | 18% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 28 |
9–12 Nov2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,000~ | 48% | 21% | 20% | 7% | – | – | 4% | 27 |
20–26 Oct2021 | Panelbase | Scot Goes Pop | 1,001 | 48% | 21% | 21% | 7% | – | – | 4% | 27 |
6–10 Sep2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 2,003 | 47% | 23% | 19% | 7% | – | – | 4% | 24 |
2–8 Sep2021 | Opinium | Sky News | 1,014 | 51% | 21% | 17% | 5% | 2% | – | 3% | 30 |
20 Aug2021 | Alex Cole-Hamilton becomes leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats [5] | ||||||||||
16–24 Jun2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,287 | 47% | 25% | 18% | 6% | – | – | 4% | 22 |
13 May2021 | Airdrie and Shotts by-election | ||||||||||
6 May2021 | Election to the Scottish Parliament [6] | ||||||||||
2–4 May2021 | YouGov | The Times | 1,144 | 48% | 22% | 19% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 26 |
30 Apr–4 May2021 | Survation | DC Thomson | 1,008 | 48% | 22% | 20% | 7% | 1% | – | 1% | 26 |
28 Apr–03 May2021 | Opinium | Sky News | 1,015 | 47% | 25% | 20% | 6% | 1% | – | 1% | 22 |
27–30 Apr2021 | BMG | The Herald | 1,023 | 48% | 20% | 20% | 7% | 3% | – | 1% | 28 |
23–26 Apr2021 | Survation | Good Morning Britain | 1,008 | 46% | 22% | 22% | 8% | – | – | 2% | 24 |
21–26 Apr2021 | Panelbase | Scot Goes Pop | 1,075 | 45% | 22% | 19% | 7% | 4% | – | 3% | 23 |
20–22 Apr2021 | Survation | DC Thomson | 1,037 | 47% | 21% | 22% | 8% | 1% | – | 1% | 25 |
16–20 Apr2021 | YouGov | The Times | 1,204 | 48% | 24% | 19% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 24 |
1–6 Apr2021 | Opinium | Sky News | 1,023 | 50% | 24% | 19% | 4% | 1% | – | 1% | 26 |
29–30 Mar2021 | Survation | The Courier | 1,021 | 49% | 21% | 21% | 8% | 1% | – | 0% | 28 |
19–22 Mar2021 | YouGov | The Times | TBA | 49% | 24% | 17% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 25 |
16–19 Mar2021 | BMG | The Herald | 1,021 | 47% | 21% | 19% | 7% | 3% | – | 3% | 26 |
11–18 Mar2021 | Survation | The Courier | 1,452 | 49% | 21% | 21% | 7% | 1% | – | 1% | 28 |
11–16 Mar2021 | Opinium | Sky News | 1,096 | 50% | 23% | 19% | 5% | 3% | – | 1% | 27 |
4–8 Mar2021 | YouGov | The Times | 1,100 | 50% | 23% | 17% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 27 |
27 Feb2021 | Anas Sarwar is elected leader of Scottish Labour [7] | ||||||||||
25–26 Feb2021 | Survation | Daily Record | 1,011 | 48% | 23% | 21% | 6% | – | – | 2% | 25 |
11–13 Jan2021 | Survation | Scot Goes Pop | 1,020 | 48% | 19% | 23% | 7% | – | – | 3% | 25 |
4–9 Dec2020 | Survation | N/A | 1,009 | 51% | 20% | 21% | 6% | 3% | – | – | 30 |
5–11 Nov2020 | Panelbase | Scot Goes Pop | 1,020 | 50% | 21% | 20% | 5% | 2% | – | – | 29 |
6–10 Nov2020 | YouGov | The Times | 1,089 | 53% | 19% | 17% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 34 |
28 Oct–4 Nov2020 | Survation | N/A | 1,059 | 52% | 18% | 20% | 8% | – | – | 2% | 32 |
17–21 Sep2020 | JL Partners | Politico | 1,016 | 56% | 18% | 15% | 7% | 3% | – | 0% | 38 |
2–7 Sep2020 | Survation | N/A | 1,018 | 51% | 20% | 21% | 6% | – | – | 3% | 30 |
6–10 Aug2020 | YouGov | The Times | 1,142 | 54% | 20% | 16% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 34 |
5 Aug2020 | Douglas Ross becomes leader of the Scottish Conservatives [8] | ||||||||||
30 Jun–3 Jul2020 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,026 | 53% | 21% | 19% | 6% | – | – | 2% | 32 |
1–5 Jun2020 | Panelbase | Scot Goes Pop | 1,022 | 51% | 21% | 19% | 6% | 2% | – | 1% | 30 |
1–5 May2020 | Panelbase | Wings Over Scotland | 1,086 | 50% | 26% | 17% | 5% | 2% | – | 1% | 24 |
24–27 Apr2020 | YouGov | N/A | 1,095 | 51% | 25% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 26 |
24–26 Mar2020 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,023 | 48% | 27% | 16% | 5% | 3% | – | – | 21 |
14 Feb2020 | Jackson Carlaw becomes leader of the Scottish Conservatives [9] | ||||||||||
12 Dec2019 | 2019 general election | – | 45.0% | 25.1% | 18.6% | 9.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 19.9 |
In March 2020, Cabinet Office minister Chloe Smith confirmed that the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies would be based on retaining 650 seats. [10] [11] The previous relevant legislation was amended by the Parliamentary Constituencies Act 2020 [12] and the four boundary commissions formally launched their 2023 reviews on 5 January 2021. [13] [14] [15] [16] They were required to issue their final reports prior to 1 July 2023. The Scottish commission published its own report on 28 June. [17] [18] As the reports were laid before Parliament, Orders in Council giving effect to the final proposals must be made within four months, unless "there are exceptional circumstances". Prior to the Parliamentary Constituencies Act 2020, boundary changes could not be implemented until they were approved by both Houses of Parliament.
Fifty-seven single member constituencies were used in Scotland for this election, a reduction of two since 2019. A number of constituencies are unchanged, including the two protected constituencies of Na h-Eileanan an Iar covering the Western Isles, and Orkney and Shetland, covering the Northern Isles. [19]
Affiliate | Candidates [20] | |
---|---|---|
Conservative Party | 57 | |
Labour Party | 57 | |
Liberal Democrats | 57 | |
Reform UK | 57 | |
Scottish National Party | 57 | |
Scottish Greens | 44 | |
Independents | 25 (21 constituencies) | |
Alba Party | 19 | |
Scottish Family Party | 16 | |
Co-operative Party | 4 [21] | |
Scottish Libertarian Party | 4 | |
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 4 | |
Communist Party of Britain | 3 | |
Socialist Labour Party | 3 | |
UKIP | 3 | |
British Unionist Party | 2 | |
Christian Party | 2 | |
Independence for Scotland Party | 2 | |
Scottish Socialist Party | 2 | |
Social Democratic Party | 2 | |
Sovereignty | 2 | |
Workers Party of Britain | 2 | |
Freedom Alliance (UK) | 1 | |
Heritage Party | 1 | |
Liberal Party | 1 | |
Socialist Equality Party | 1 | |
Total | 424 |
MP | Constituency | First elected | Affiliation | Date announced | Note | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alister Jack | Dumfries and Galloway | 2017 | Conservative | 17 May 2023 [22] | Current Scottish Secretary | |
Ian Blackford | Ross, Skye and Lochaber | 2015 | SNP | 6 June 2023 [23] | Former leader of SNP Westminster group | |
Peter Grant | Glenrothes | 2015 | SNP | 21 June 2023 [24] | ||
Angela Crawley | Lanark and Hamilton East | 2015 | SNP | 23 June 2023 [25] | Former SNP shadow Attorney General | |
Douglas Chapman | Dunfermline and West Fife | 2015 | SNP | 26 June 2023 [26] | ||
Stewart Hosie | Dundee East | 2005 | SNP | 28 June 2023 [27] | Current SNP shadow Chancellor | |
Mhairi Black | Paisley and Renfrewshire South | 2015 | SNP | 4 July 2023 [28] | Current deputy leader of SNP Westminster group | |
John McNally | Falkirk | 2015 | SNP | 10 July 2023 [29] | ||
Philippa Whitford | Central Ayrshire | 2015 | SNP | 18 July 2023 [30] | Current SNP Spokesperson for Scotland | |
Lisa Cameron | East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow | 2015 | Conservative [g] | 17 October 2023 [31] | Elected from SNP |
The SNP ultimately won nine seats in the 2024 election, a loss of 38 seats on its 2019 result, reducing it to the second-largest party in Scotland, behind Scottish Labour, and the fourth-largest party in Westminster. Swinney took full responsibility but said that he would not resign as leader. He said of the results, "There will have to be a lot of soul searching as a party as a consequence of these results that have come in tonight", and that the SNP has to be "better at governing on behalf of the people of Scotland", admitting the party was not "winning the argument" on Scottish independence. [32]
On 7 July 2024, newly elected Prime Minister of the United Kingdom Keir Starmer travelled to Edinburgh on the first stop of his tour of the four countries of the United Kingdom and met with Swinney at the official residence of the First Minister, Bute House. During the meeting, both Swinney and Starmer agreed to "work together" and to "reset the relationship between their two governments". [33]
Voting closed at 22:00, which was followed by an exit poll. The first seat, Houghton and Sunderland South, declared at 23:15 with Bridget Phillipson winning for Labour. [34] [35] Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire was the last seat to declare, after a recount took place on Saturday 6 July. [36]
Affiliate [37] [38] | Seats | Aggregate votes | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | Gains | Losses | Net | Of all (%) | Total | Of all (%) | Difference | ||
Labour | 37 | 36 | 0 | ![]() | 64.9 | 851,897 | 35.3 | ![]() | |
SNP | 9 | 1 | 40 | ![]() | 15.8 | 724,758 | 30.0 | ![]() | |
Conservative | 5 | 0 | 1 | ![]() | 8.8 | 307,344 | 12.7 | ![]() | |
Liberal Democrats | 6 | 4 | 0 | ![]() | 10.5 | 234,228 | 9.7 | ![]() | |
Reform UK | 0 | 0 | 0 | ![]() | — | 167,979 | 7.0 | ![]() | |
Scottish Green | 0 | 0 | 0 | ![]() | — | 92,685 | 3.8 | ![]() | |
Alba | 0 | New | — | 11,784 | 0.5 | New | |||
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 | ![]() | — | 9,782 | 0.4 | ![]() | |
Scottish Family | 0 | 0 | 0 | ![]() | — | 5,425 | 0.2 | ![]() | |
TUSC | 0 | Did not stand in 2019 | — | 1,523 | 0.1 | — | |||
Scottish Socialist | 0 | Did not stand in 2019 | — | 1,007 | 0.0 | — | |||
Scottish Christian | 0 | Coalition with CPA in 2019 | — | 806 | 0.0 | — | |||
Socialist Labour | 0 | 0 | 0 | ![]() | — | 788 | 0.0 | ||
ISP | 0 | New | — | 678 | 0.0 | New | |||
BUP | 0 | Did not stand in 2019 | — | 614 | 0.0 | — | |||
Scottish Libertarian | 0 | 0 | 0 | ![]() | — | 536 | 0.0 | ![]() | |
Communist | 0 | Did not stand in 2019 | — | 516 | 0.0 | — | |||
Liberal | 0 | 0 | 0 | ![]() | — | 481 | 0.0 | ||
SDP | 0 | 0 | 0 | ![]() | — | 426 | 0.0 | ![]() | |
Workers Party | 0 | New | — | 415 | 0.0 | New | |||
UKIP | 0 | 0 | 0 | ![]() | — | 313 | 0.0 | ![]() | |
Sovereignty | 0 | New | — | 304 | 0.0 | New | |||
Heritage | 0 | New | — | 230 | 0.0 | New | |||
Socialist Equality | 0 | 0 | 0 | ![]() | — | 178 | 0.0 | ||
Freedom Alliance | 0 | New | — | 113 | 0.0 | New | |||
Total | 57 | 2,414,810 | 59.2 | ![]() |
Constituency | 2019 seat | 2024 seat | Votes | Turnout | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | Share | Margin | Lab. | SNP | Con. | Lib. Dems | Ref. | Green | Other | Total | |||||
Aberdeen North | SNP | SNP | Kirsty Blackman | 14,552 | 34.5% | 1,779 | 12,773 | 14,552 | 5,881 | 2,583 | 3,781 | 1,275 | 1,269 | 42,114 | 55.5% | ||
Aberdeen South | SNP | SNP | Stephen Flynn | 15,213 | 32.8% | 3,758 | 11,455 | 15,213 | 11,300 | 2,921 | 3,199 | 1,609 | 648 | 46,345 | 59.9% | ||
Aberdeenshire North and Moray East | Con | SNP | Seamus Logan | 13,455 | 35.2% | 942 | 3,876 | 13,455 | 12,513 | 2,782 | 5,562 | — | — | 38,188 | 54.5% | ||
Airdrie and Shotts | SNP | Lab | Kenneth Stevenson | 18,871 | 51.5% | 7,547 | 18,871 | 11,324 | 1,696 | 725 | 2,971 | — | 1,079 | 36,666 | 52.2% | ||
Alloa and Grangemouth | SNP | Lab | Brian Leishman | 18,039 | 43.8% | 6,122 | 18,039 | 11,917 | 3,127 | 1,151 | 3,804 | 1,421 | 1,742 | 41,201 | 58.3% | ||
Angus and Perthshire Glens | SNP | SNP | Dave Doogan | 19,142 | 40.4% | 4,870 | 6,799 | 19,142 | 14,272 | 3,156 | 3,246 | — | 733 | 47,348 | 61.8% | ||
Arbroath and Broughty Ferry | SNP | SNP | Stephen Gethins | 15,581 | 35.3% | 859 | 14,722 | 15,581 | 6,841 | 2,249 | 3,800 | — | 924 | 44,117 | 58.0% | ||
Argyll, Bute and South Lochaber | SNP | SNP | Brendan O'Hara | 15,582 | 34.7% | 6,232 | 8,585 | 15,582 | 9,350 | 7,359 | 3,045 | — | 941 | 45,078 | 62.8% | ||
Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock | SNP | Lab | Elaine Stewart | 14,930 | 36.5% | 4,154 | 14,930 | 10,776 | 9,247 | 1,081 | 3,544 | 886 | 472 | 40,936 | 58.2% | ||
Bathgate and Linlithgow | SNP | Lab | Kirsteen Sullivan | 19,774 | 47.0% | 8,323 | 19,774 | 11,451 | 3,144 | 2,171 | 3,524 | 1,390 | 611 | 42,065 | 58.3% | ||
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk | Con | Con | John Lamont | 18,872 | 40.5% | 6,599 | 6,311 | 12,273 | 18,872 | 3,686 | 3,340 | 1,526 | 550 | 46,558 | 61.0% | ||
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross | LD | LD | Jamie Stone | 22,736 | 49.4% | 10,489 | 3,409 | 12,247 | 1,860 | 22,736 | 3,360 | 1,641 | 795 | 46,170 | 61.9% | ||
Central Ayrshire | SNP | Lab | Alan Gemmell | 18,091 | 43.7% | 6,869 | 18,091 | 11,222 | 6,147 | 983 | 3,420 | 1,039 | 517 | 41,419 | 60.0% | ||
Coatbridge and Bellshill | SNP | Lab | Frank McNally | 19,291 | 49.8% | 6,344 | 19,291 | 12,947 | 1,382 | 671 | 2,601 | 1,229 | 610 | 38,731 | 53.3% | ||
Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy | SNP | Lab | Melanie Ward | 18,662 | 45.7% | 7,248 | 18,662 | 11,414 | 3,203 | 1,593 | 3,128 | 1,556 | 1,258 | 40,814 | 57.0% | ||
Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch | SNP | Lab | Katrina Murray | 18,513 | 45.2% | 4,144 | 18,513 | 14,369 | 1,939 | 1,294 | 3,167 | 1,694 | — | 40,976 | 58.2% | ||
Dumfries and Galloway | Con | Con | John Cooper | 13,527 | 29.6% | 930 | 11,767 | 12,597 | 13,527 | 2,092 | 4,313 | 1,249 | 230 | 45,775 | 58.3% | ||
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale | Con | Con | David Mundell | 14,999 | 33.9% | 4,242 | 10,140 | 10,757 | 14,999 | 2,800 | 3,822 | 1,448 | 208 | 44,174 | 61.5% | ||
Dundee Central | SNP | SNP | Chris Law | 15,544 | 40.0% | 675 | 14,869 | 15,544 | 1,569 | 2,402 | 2,363 | — | 2,101 | 38,848 | 52.0% | ||
Dunfermline and Dollar | SNP | Lab | Graeme Downie | 20,336 | 45.7% | 8,241 | 20,336 | 12,095 | 3,297 | 3,181 | 2,887 | 2,078 | 663 | 44,537 | 61.0% | ||
East Kilbride and Strathaven | SNP | Lab | Joani Reid | 22,682 | 48.6% | 9,057 | 22,682 | 13,625 | 3,547 | 1,074 | 3,377 | 1,811 | 591 | 46,707 | 61.0% | ||
East Renfrewshire | SNP | Lab | Blair McDougall | 21,935 | 43.7% | 8,421 | 21,935 | 13,514 | 8,494 | 1,150 | 2,360 | 1,510 | 1,364 | 50,227 | 68.4% | ||
Edinburgh East and Musselburgh | SNP | Lab | Chris Murray | 18,790 | 41.2% | 3,715 | 18,790 | 15,075 | 2,598 | 1,949 | 2,129 | 4,669 | 365 | 45,575 | 59.8% | ||
Edinburgh North and Leith | SNP | Lab | Tracy Gilbert | 20,805 | 42.1% | 7,268 | 20,805 | 13,537 | 3,254 | 3,879 | 1,818 | 5,417 | 765 | 49,418 | 63.0% | ||
Edinburgh South | Lab | Lab | Ian Murray | 24,976 | 53.3% | 17,251 | 24,976 | 7,725 | 4,001 | 2,746 | 1,845 | 4,270 | 1,263 | 46,826 | 66.3% | ||
Edinburgh South West | SNP | Lab | Scott Arthur | 18,663 | 40.9% | 6,217 | 18,663 | 12,446 | 5,558 | 3,014 | 2,087 | 3,450 | 446 | 45,664 | 61.9% | ||
Edinburgh West | LD | LD | Christine Jardine | 26,645 | 50.8% | 16,470 | 7,854 | 10,175 | 2,897 | 26,645 | 2,209 | 2,100 | 591 | 52,471 | 68.6% | ||
Falkirk | SNP | Lab | Euan Stainbank | 18,343 | 43.0% | 4,996 | 18,343 | 13,347 | 3,576 | 1,092 | 3,375 | 1,711 | 1,181 | 42,625 | 58.0% | ||
Glasgow East | SNP | Lab | John Grady | 15,543 | 43.8% | 3,784 | 15,543 | 11,759 | 1,707 | 872 | 2,371 | 2,727 | 466 | 35,445 | 51.2% | ||
Glasgow North | SNP | Lab | Martin Rhodes | 14,655 | 42.2% | 3,539 | 14,655 | 11,116 | 1,366 | 1,142 | 1,655 | 4,233 | 572 | 34,739 | 51.0% | ||
Glasgow North East | SNP | Lab | Maureen Burke | 15,639 | 45.9% | 4,637 | 15,639 | 11,002 | 1,182 | 592 | 2,272 | 2,471 | 933 | 34,091 | 47.0% | ||
Glasgow South | SNP | Lab | Gordon McKee | 17,696 | 41.8% | 4,154 | 17,696 | 13,542 | 1,617 | 1,316 | 1,736 | 5,554 | 917 | 42,378 | 60.0% | ||
Glasgow South West | SNP | Lab | Zubir Ahmed | 15,552 | 43.6% | 3,285 | 15,552 | 12,267 | 1,387 | 958 | 2,236 | 2,727 | 542 | 35,669 | 52.0% | ||
Glasgow West | SNP | Lab | Patricia Ferguson | 18,621 | 46.7% | 6,446 | 18,621 | 12,175 | 1,720 | 1,316 | 2,098 | 3,662 | 310 | 39,902 | 58.0% | ||
Glenrothes and Mid Fife | SNP | Lab | Richard Baker | 15,994 | 44.3% | 2,954 | 15,994 | 13,040 | 1,973 | 1,604 | 3,528 | — | — | 36,139 | 51.0% | ||
Gordon and Buchan | Con | Con | Harriet Cross | 14,418 | 32.9% | 878 | 4,686 | 13,540 | 14,418 | 7,307 | 3,978 | — | — | 44,014 | 63.2% | ||
Hamilton and Clyde Valley | SNP | Lab | Imogen Walker | 21,020 | 49.9% | 9,472 | 21,020 | 11,548 | 4,589 | 1,511 | 3,299 | — | 117 | 42,084 | 55.8% | ||
Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West | SNP | Lab | Martin McCluskey | 18,931 | 46.9% | 6,371 | 18,931 | 12,560 | 2,863 | 1,259 | 2,476 | 1,173 | 1,088 | 40,350 | 57.5% | ||
Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire | SNP | LD | Angus MacDonald | 18,159 | 37.8% | 2,160 | 6,246 | 15,999 | 2,502 | 18,159 | 2,034 | 2,038 | 178 | 48,056 | 61.7% | ||
Kilmarnock and Loudoun | SNP | Lab | Lillian Jones | 19,055 | 44.9% | 5,129 | 19,055 | 13,936 | 3,527 | 850 | 3,472 | 1,237 | 401 | 42,478 | 57.1% | ||
Livingston | SNP | Lab | Gregor Poynton | 18,324 | 40.9% | 3,528 | 18,324 | 14,796 | 3,469 | 2,025 | 3,977 | 1,704 | 545 | 44,840 | 57.5% | ||
Lothian East | SNP | Lab | Douglas Alexander | 23,555 | 49.2% | 13,265 | 23,555 | 10,290 | 5,335 | 2,649 | 3,039 | 2,477 | 557 | 47,902 | 63.5% | ||
Mid Dunbartonshire | SNP | LD | Susan Murray | 22,349 | 42.4% | 9,673 | 10,933 | 12,676 | 2,452 | 22,349 | 2,099 | 1,720 | 449 | 52,738 | 72.0% | ||
Midlothian | SNP | Lab | Kirsty McNeill | 21,480 | 48.6% | 8,167 | 21,480 | 13,313 | 3,248 | 2,589 | 3,276 | — | 259 | 44,165 | 59.8% | ||
Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey | SNP | SNP | Graham Leadbitter | 14,961 | 32.1% | 1,001 | 8,259 | 14,961 | 13,960 | 3,785 | 3,490 | 1,676 | 423 | 46,554 | 60.0% | ||
Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke | SNP | Lab | Pamela Nash | 19,168 | 49.1% | 7,085 | 19,168 | 12,083 | 2,415 | 822 | 3,004 | 1,200 | 334 | 39,151 | 54.6% | ||
Na h-Eileanan an Iar | SNP | Lab | Torcuil Crichton | 6,692 | 49.5% | 3,836 | 6,692 | 2,856 | 647 | 382 | 697 | — | 2,254 | 13,528 | 64.8% | ||
North Ayrshire and Arran | SNP | Lab | Irene Campbell | 16,821 | 39.8% | 3,551 | 16,821 | 13,270 | 5,954 | 1,005 | 3,415 | 1,327 | 470 | 42,262 | 56.4% | ||
North East Fife | LD | LD | Wendy Chamberlain | 23,384 | 54.7% | 13,479 | 4,026 | 9,905 | 1,666 | 23,384 | 2,094 | 1,653 | — | 42,728 | 61.2% | ||
Orkney and Shetland | LD | LD | Alistair Carmichael | 11,392 | 55.1% | 7,807 | 1,493 | 3,585 | 586 | 11,392 | 1,586 | 2,046 | — | 20,688 | 60.0% | ||
Paisley and Renfrewshire North | SNP | Lab | Alison Taylor | 19,561 | 47.1% | 6,333 | 19,561 | 13,228 | 2,659 | 1,374 | 3,228 | 1,469 | — | 41,519 | 58.4% | ||
Paisley and Renfrewshire South | SNP | Lab | Johanna Baxter | 19,583 | 47.4% | 6,527 | 19,583 | 13,056 | 2,219 | 1,315 | 2,956 | 1,724 | 430 | 41,283 | 57.7% | ||
Perth and Kinross-shire | SNP | SNP | Pete Wishart | 18,928 | 37.8% | 4,127 | 9,018 | 18,928 | 14,801 | 3,681 | 2,970 | — | 679 | 50,077 | 64.8% | ||
Rutherglen | SNP | Lab | Michael Shanks | 21,460 | 50.5% | 8,767 | 21,460 | 12,693 | 2,420 | 1,714 | 2,685 | — | 1,512 | 42,484 | 58.5% | ||
Stirling and Strathallan | SNP | Lab | Chris Kane | 16,856 | 33.9% | 1,394 | 16,856 | 15,462 | 9,469 | 2,530 | 3,145 | 2,320 | — | 49,782 | 65.3% | ||
West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine | Con | Con | Andrew Bowie | 17,428 | 35.6% | 3,441 | 6,397 | 13,987 | 17,428 | 6,342 | 3,497 | 1,032 | 275 | 48,958 | 67.1% | ||
West Dunbartonshire | SNP | Lab | Douglas McAllister | 19,312 | 48.8% | 6,010 | 19,312 | 13,302 | 1,474 | 839 | 2,770 | 1,496 | 391 | 39,584 | 57.5% | ||
All constituencies | 851,897 | 724,758 | 307,344 | 234,228 | 167,979 | 92,685 | 35,919 | 2,414,810 | 59.0% | ||||||||
35.3% | 30.0% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 100.0% | ||||||||||
Seats | |||||||||||||||||
37 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 57 | ||||||||||
65% | 16% | 8.8% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100.0% |
The Scottish Labour Party gained the majority of seats in Scotland for the first time since 2010, regaining most of the seats lost to the SNP in 2015. Labour gained every seat in Glasgow, all but one seat in Edinburgh, and all but one seat in the Central Belt (both of these exceptions being seats won by the Scottish Liberal Democrats). Labour also gained Na h-Eileanan an Iar for the first time since 2001. Labour was also runner-up in four other constituencies, around Aberdeen and Dundee. Three of the Labour candidates elected were also members of the Co-operative Party, designated as Labour-Co-op, but usually simply counted under the Labour party figure.
The Scottish National Party elected nine MPs, a net loss of thirty-nine compared to 2019. The SNP lost most of their seats gained in 2015, including every seat in Glasgow, Edinburgh and the Central Belt. Most of the remaining SNP seats are large rural constituencies in the Scottish Highlands, along with Aberdeen North, Aberdeen South and Dundee Central, Dundee Central had the lowest majority of any Scottish constituency (675 votes between SNP and Labour). The only SNP gain was Aberdeenshire North and Moray East, the predecessor seat of Banff and Buchan had been previously Conservative. The SNP was the runner-up in every constituency it did not win.
The Scottish Liberal Democrats elected six MPs, gaining Mid Dunbartonshire and Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire, the predecessor seats had once been held by former Liberal Democrat leaders Jo Swinson and Charles Kennedy respectively. The remaining four seats were defended with significantly increased majorities, and close to or over 50% of the vote. Orkney and Shetland remains the longest continuously held Liberal constituency, since 1950. This is the first time since 2010 that there are more Liberal Democrat MPs in Scotland than Conservatives, although the Conservatives had more votes.
The Scottish Conservatives elected five MPs, losing Aberdeenshire North and Moray East which was a new seat being contested by outgoing MP and leader Douglas Ross. As in the previous election, the Conservatives won in all three border constituencies, with their other two seats being in Aberdeenshire. The Conservatives therefore did proportionally better in Scotland compared to their significant losses in England and Wales, and in contrast to the previous Labour landslide of 1997 when the Conservatives lost every seat in Scotland.
Other parties and independents failed to win any seats. The two Alba Party MPs who had defected from the SNP, Kenny MacAskill and Neale Hanvey lost their seats, as did independent Angus McNeil who also left the SNP.
Unlike in England and Wales, the Scottish Greens and Reform UK were not the runner-up in any constituency, but they both did achieve some significant third places considering that Greens and Reform only won seats in England. [39] The strongest results for the Greens were in the cities of Edinburgh and Glasgow, where Labour took all the SNP seats across the cities. [40] Surprisingly, the Greens even came in third place in Orkney and Shetland, a constituency they had never before contested at a general election before. [41] Reform UK performed strongest in SNP-Conservative areas such as North East Scotland and the Scottish Borders, achieving particularly strong third places in Aberdeenshire in constituencies such as Aberdeenshire North and Moray East. [42] They even achieved third places in traditionally Labour-SNP areas in the Central Belt like Airdrie and Shotts, Glenrothes and Mid Fife, Livingston and Rutherglen. Between the two parties they achieved over 10% of the vote in Scotland (Reform 7% and Greens 4%) but no seats. For this discrimination via the electoral system the two parties were similarly compared in England. [43] Unlike Reform, the Scottish Greens did not stand in every seat nor did they retain most of their election deposits.
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