2024 United Kingdom local elections

Last updated

2024 United Kingdom local elections
←  2023 2 May 2024 2025  →
2,655 councillors
107 local councils in England
All members of the London Assembly
10 directly elected mayors in England
37 PCCs in England and Wales
  Official Portrait of Prime Minister Rishi Sunak (cropped).jpg Keir Starmer election infobox.jpg
Leader Rishi Sunak Keir Starmer
Party Conservative Labour
Leader since 24 October 2022 4 April 2020
Last election985966
Councils1845
  Official portrait of Rt Hon Sir Edward Davey MP crop 2.jpg Carla Denyer and Adrian Ramsay.jpg
Leader Ed Davey Carla Denyer and Adrian Ramsay
Party Liberal Democrats Green
Leader since 27 August 2020 [n 1] 1 October 2021
Last election410107
Councils10

The 2024 United Kingdom local elections are due to take place on 2 May 2024. Elections will take place for councils and mayors in England and police and crime commissioners in England and Wales. The 2024 Blackpool South by-election is due to be held concurrently. [2]

Contents

The majority of these elections were last held in the 2021 local elections, delayed by a year from 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic.

Background

Significance of these elections

When these elections were last held in 2021 the Conservative Party made gains, mainly at the expense of the Labour Party. Since then the Conservative Party has had several high-profile political scandals and crises and has seen a decrease in their popularity in opinion polling. This was reflected in the poor results for the Conservative Party at both the 2022 and 2023 local elections. As a result of the 2023 local elections, Labour became the party with most members elected to local government for the first time since 2002. [3]

These are to be the second set of local elections held under the Elections Act 2022, a voter identification law that was controversial, [4] [5] meaning voters are required to show photo ID when attending a polling station. This also means that the mayoral and police and crime commissioner elections will use a first-past-the-post voting system rather than the previously used supplementary vote system.

These local elections are to be the last set of routine elections before the next general election. For this reason the results are likely to influence both the date the general election is scheduled for [6] and the election strategies for each party.

Some Conservatives suggested framing the London Mayoral election as a de facto referendum on the ULEZ, [7] which could impact parties' attitudes towards environmental policy.

In late 2023 Labour suggested persistently high interest rates were going to cause a surge in mortgage costs affecting 630,000 homeowners who would re-mortgage between then and the local elections in May. They described the situation as a "financial time-bomb" and implied this would influence the electorate in the elections. [8]

Lord Hayward suggested that community activists and smaller parties may drain support away from the three main parties due to the directions of those parties and because the Liberal Democrat's "are no longer the obvious choice for voters disillusioned with the two main parties". [9]

As the elections neared there were suggestions that Rishi Sunak's leadership would be challenged if the results went poorly for his party, particularly if the Conservatives lost either the West Midlands or Tees Valley mayoralties. [10] Sunak quickly sought to insist to his own MPs that he would still be the Prime Minister after these elections, even if the results were poor for his party. [11] [12]

Deputy Prime Minister Oliver Dowden insisted that this year's elections would be safe from cyber attacks whilst discussing Chinese state-linked hacking. [13]

Predictions

In March 2024 The Observer reported that the Conservative Party was expected to lose half its seats at this election, explaining that most of these seats were won at the peak of the "vaccine bounce". [14] Conservative Party chairman Richard Holden also cited the "vaccine bounce" as a reason to expect these elections to be "much tougher" for his party than the last time they were contested. [15]

In March 2024, Lewis Baston, a political analyst and author, posted that his analysis showed the Conservative Party was due to lose over 50% of their seats which are not changing boundaries. He found that of 613 seats being defended, they would lose 328 based on the swing seen in the 2023 local elections, but would gain eight elsewhere. [16] However, after more work, by 1 April 2024 he said he thought the Conservatives wouldn't lose half their seats because one third of the seats up for election were not last fought in the 2021 local elections, but were actually fought in tougher elections in 2019, 2022, and 2023. [17]

Analysts Michael Thrasher and Colin Rallings also said the Conservative Party was expected to lose half its seats at this election if a similar result to 2023 was repeated. They said the Conservatives would lose around 500 seats while Labour would gain around 300 and the Liberal Democrats and Green Party would both make gains. [18] [19]

Campaign

Conservatives

2,512 / 2,655 (95%)

Labour Party

2,427 / 2,655 (91%)

Liberal Democrats

1,802 / 2,655 (68%)

Green Party

1,646 / 2,655 (62%)

Reform UK

323 / 2,655 (12%)

Seats contested by party,Election Maps UK [20]

Both Labour and the Conservatives are defending just under 1,000 seats each, the Liberal Democrats about 400 and the Greens just over 100. [21]

Liberal Democrats

On 20 March 2024 the Liberal Democrats launched their local election campaign in Harpenden, Hertfordshire where Ed Davey turned a giant hourglass which revealed the words "Time's running out Rishi!". [22] [23] Davey said he was confident of toppling the "Tory Blue Wall in Surrey". [24]

Conservative

On 22 March 2024, Rishi Sunak launched the Conservative's local election campaign by appearing at a bus depot in Heanor, Derbyshire, alongside East Midlands mayoral candidate Ben Bradley. [25] [26] Due to "human error" 13 of the 35 Conservative candidates were invalidly nominated for Castle Point Borough Council seats, meaning they would not appear on the ballot. [27]

Labour

On 28 March 2024, Keir Starmer and Angela Rayner launched Labour's campaign for the local elections at an event in Dudley. [28] Starmer's speech mentioned the Levelling-up policy of the British government in the Black Country. [29]

Green

A Green Party candidate in Bristol had a part of one of her fingers bitten off by a dog when posting a leaflet through a letterbox. [30] A few days later, on 4 April 2024, the party officially launched its national campaign at an event in Bristol. Co-leaders Carla Denyer and Adrian Ramsey gave speeches at the event with a focus on affordable housing. [31] [32]

England

Metropolitan boroughs

There are thirty-six metropolitan boroughs, which are single-tier local authorities. Thirty of them elect a third of their councillors every year for three years, with no election in each fourth year. These councils hold their elections on the same timetable, which includes elections in 2024. Rotherham Metropolitan Borough Council holds its elections on a four-year cycle from 2016, so is also due to hold an election in 2024.

Due to boundary changes, some other councils which generally elect their councillors in thirds will elect all of their councillors in 2024.

Elections for all councillors

CouncilSeatsPrevious controlDetails
Dudley [lower-alpha 1] 72 Conservative Details
North Tyneside [lower-alpha 1] [33] 60 Labour Details
Rotherham 59 Labour Details
All 3 councils191

Elections for one third of councillors

By-elections or uncontested wards can cause the seats up for election to be above or below one third of the council.

CouncilSeatsParty controlDetails
upofPrevious
Barnsley 2163 Labour Details
Bolton 2160 No overall control (Labour minority) Details
Bradford 3090 Labour Details
Bury 1751 Labour Details
Calderdale 1751 Labour Details
Coventry 1854 Labour Details
Gateshead 2266 Labour Details
Kirklees 2369 Labour Details
Knowsley 1545 Labour Details
Leeds 3399 Labour Details
Manchester 3396 Labour Details
Newcastle upon Tyne 2778 Labour Details
Oldham 2060 Labour Details
Rochdale 2060 Labour Details
Salford 2160 Labour Details
Sandwell 2472 Labour Details
Sefton 2266 Labour Details
Sheffield 2984 No overall control Details
Solihull 1751 Conservative Details
South Tyneside 1854 Labour Details
Stockport 2163 No overall control Details
Sunderland 2575 Labour Details
Tameside 1957 Labour Details
Trafford 2163 Labour Details
Wakefield 2263 Labour Details
Walsall 2060 Conservative Details
Wigan 2575 Labour Details
Wolverhampton 2060 Labour Details
All 28 councils6211845

Unitary authorities

There are sixty-two unitary authorities, which are single-tier local authorities. Fifteen of them elect a third of their councillors every year for three years, with no election in each fourth year. These councils hold their elections on the same timetable, which includes elections in 2024. Two unitary authorities hold all-out elections on a four-year cycle that includes 2024, and the recently-established Dorset Council held its first election in 2019, with its next election in 2024 and subsequent elections every four years from 2029.

Elections for all councillors

CouncilSeatsPrevious controlDetails
Bristol 70 No overall control (Labour minority) Details
Dorset 82 Conservative Details
Warrington 58 Labour Details
Wokingham [lower-alpha 1] 54 No overall control Details
All 4 councils264

Elections for one third of councillors

CouncilSeatsParty controlDetails
upofPrevious
Blackburn with Darwen 1751 Labour Details
Halton 1854 Labour Details
Hartlepool 1236 No overall control Details
Hull 1957 Liberal Democrats Details
Milton Keynes 1957 No overall control Details
North East Lincolnshire 1242 Conservative Details
Peterborough 2360 No overall control Details
Plymouth 1957 Labour Details
Portsmouth 1442 No overall control Details
Reading 1648 Labour Details
Southampton 1751 Labour Details
Southend-on-Sea 1751 No overall control Details
Swindon 2057 Labour Details
Thurrock 1649 No overall control Details
All 14 councils218657

District councils

There are 164 district councils, which are the lower tier local authorities in a two-tier system, with county councils above them. Forty-eight elect their councillors in thirds and seven elect their councillors in halves. Three district councils elect all their councillors on a four-year cycle that includes 2024, with North Hertfordshire changing from the thirds system for the first time. Due to boundary changes, some other councils which usually elect their councillors in thirds or halves will elect all of their councillors in 2024.

Elections for all councillors

CouncilSeatsPrevious controlDetails
Basildon [lower-alpha 1] 42 Conservative Details
Brentwood [lower-alpha 1] 39 No overall control Details
Cannock Chase [lower-alpha 1] 36 No overall control Details
Castle Point [lower-alpha 1] 39 No overall control Details
Cheltenham [lower-alpha 1] 40 Liberal Democrats Details
Epping Forest [lower-alpha 1] 54 Conservative Details
Fareham [lower-alpha 1] 32 Conservative Details
Gloucester 39 Conservative Details
Harlow [lower-alpha 1] 33 Conservative Details
Havant [lower-alpha 1] 36 Conservative Details
Maidstone [lower-alpha 1] 49 No overall control Details
North Hertfordshire [lower-alpha 1] 51 No overall control Details
Nuneaton and Bedworth [lower-alpha 1] 38 Conservative Details
Redditch [lower-alpha 1] 27 Conservative Details
Rossendale [lower-alpha 1] 30 Labour Details
Stevenage [lower-alpha 1] 39 Labour Details
Stroud 51 No overall control Details
Tandridge [lower-alpha 1] 43 No overall control Details
Tunbridge Wells [lower-alpha 1] 39 No overall control Details
Worcester [lower-alpha 1] 35 No overall control Details
All 19 councils792

Elections for half of councillors

CouncilSeatsParty controlDetails
upofPrevious
Adur 1629 Conservative Details
Gosport 1528 Liberal Democrats Details
Hastings 1632 No overall control Details
Oxford 2548 No overall control Details
All 4 councils72137

Elections for one third of councillors

CouncilSeatsParty controlDetails
upofPrevious
Basingstoke and Deane 1854 No overall control Details
Broxbourne 1030 Conservative Details
Burnley 1545 No overall control Details
Cambridge 1442 Labour Details
Cherwell 1648 No overall control Details
Chorley 1442 Labour Details
Colchester 1851 No overall control Details
Crawley 1236 Labour Details
Eastleigh 1339 Liberal Democrats Details
Elmbridge 1648 No overall control Details
Exeter 1339 Labour Details
Hart 1233 No overall control Details
Hyndburn 1235 No overall control Details
Ipswich 1848 Labour Details
Lincoln 1133 Labour Details
Mole Valley 1439 Liberal Democrats Details
Norwich 1339 No overall control Details
Pendle 1233 No overall control Details
Preston 1648 Labour Details
Reigate and Banstead 1645 No overall control Details
Rochford 1339 No overall control Details
Rugby 1442 No overall control Details
Runnymede 1441 No overall control Details
Rushmoor 1339 Conservative Details
St Albans 2156 Liberal Democrats Details
Tamworth 1030 No overall control Details
Three Rivers 1339 Liberal Democrats Details
Watford 1236 Liberal Democrats Details
Welwyn Hatfield 1648 No overall control Details
West Lancashire 1645 Labour Details
West Oxfordshire 1749 No overall control Details
Winchester 1445 Liberal Democrats Details
Woking 1130 Liberal Democrats Details
Worthing 1337 Labour Details
All 35 councils4801403

London Assembly

Mayoral and council leader elections

Mayor of London

The mayor of London is up for election to a four-year term.

Combined authority mayors

Nine combined authority mayors will be up for election.

Combined authorityPrevious mayorDetails
East Midlands New position Details
Greater Manchester Andy Burnham (Labour Co-op) Details
Liverpool City Region Steve Rotheram (Lab) Details
North East New position [lower-alpha 2] Details
South Yorkshire [34] Oliver Coppard (Labour Co-op) Details
Tees Valley Ben Houchen (Con) Details
West Midlands Andy Street (Con) Details
West Yorkshire Tracy Brabin (Labour Co-op) Details
York and North Yorkshire [35] New position Details

Single-authority mayors

One single-authority mayor will be up for election.

Local authorityPrevious mayorDetails
Salford Paul Dennett (Lab) Details

Police and crime commissioner elections

All Police and Crime Commissioners (or Police, Fire and Crime Commissioner) in England are up for election.

ConstabularyPrevious PCCDetails
Avon and Somerset Police Mark Shelford (Con) Details
Bedfordshire Police Festus Akinbusoye (Con) Details
Cambridgeshire Constabulary Darryl Preston (Con) Details
Cheshire Constabulary John Dwyer (Con) Details
Cleveland Police Steve Turner (Con) Details
Cumbria Constabulary Peter McCall (Con) Details
Derbyshire Constabulary Angelique Foster (Con) Details
Devon and Cornwall Police Alison Hernandez (Con) Details
Dorset Police David Sidwick (Con) Details
Durham Constabulary Joy Allen (Lab) Details
Essex Police Roger Hirst (Con) Details
Gloucestershire Constabulary Chris Nelson (Con) Details
Hampshire and Isle of Wight Constabulary Donna Jones (Con) Details
Hertfordshire Constabulary David Lloyd (Con) Details
Humberside Police Jonathan Evison (Con) Details
Kent Police Matthew Scott (Con) Details
Lancashire Constabulary Andrew Snowden (Con) Details
Leicestershire Police Rupert Matthews (Con) Details
Lincolnshire Police Marc Jones (Con) Details
Merseyside Police Emily Spurrell (Lab) Details
Norfolk Constabulary Giles Orpen-Smellie (Con) Details
Northamptonshire Police Stephen Mold (Con) Details
Northumbria Police Kim McGuinness (Lab) Details
Nottinghamshire Police Caroline Henry (Con) Details
Staffordshire Police Benedict Adams (Con) Details
Suffolk Constabulary Tim Passmore (Con) Details
Surrey Police Lisa Townsend (Con) Details
Sussex Police Katy Bourne (Con) Details
Thames Valley Police Matthew Barber (Con) Details
Warwickshire Police Philip Seccombe (Con) Details
West Mercia Police John Paul Campion (Con) Details
West Midlands Police Simon Foster (Lab) Details
Wiltshire Police Phillip Wilkinson (Con) Details

Wales

Police and crime commissioner elections

All four police and crime commissioners in Wales are up for election, to represent the four police force areas of Dyfed-Powys, Gwent, North Wales and South Wales.

ConstabularyPrevious PCCDetails
Dyfed-Powys Police Dafydd Llywelyn (Plaid Cymru) Details
Gwent Police Jeffrey Cuthbert (Lab) Details
North Wales Police Andy Dunbobbin (Lab) Details
South Wales Police Alun Michael (Labour Co-op) Details

Notes

  1. ↑ Davey served as Acting Leader from 13 December 2019 to 27 August 2020 alongside the Party Presidents Baroness Brinton and Mark Pack, following Jo Swinson's election defeat in the 2019 general election. Davey was elected Leader in August 2020. [1]
  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 New electoral boundaries
  2. ↑ The North East Mayoral Combined Authority will replace both the non-mayoral North East Combined Authority and the North of Tyne Combined Authority, whose incumbent mayor is Jamie Driscoll

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References

  1. ↑ Stewart, Heather (27 August 2020). "'Wake up and smell the coffee': Ed Davey elected Lib Dem leader". The Guardian.
  2. ↑ "Parliamentary by-election Blackpool South". Blackpool Council. Retrieved 27 March 2024.
  3. ↑ "Local elections 2023: Labour overtakes Conservatives as largest party of local government". Sky News. Retrieved 8 September 2023.
  4. ↑ Kerslake, Bob (6 April 2022). "With all eyes on Ukraine, the UK is quietly set to disenfranchise 2 million citizens". The Guardian. ISSN   0261-3077 . Retrieved 8 September 2023.
  5. ↑ "Local elections 2023: Voters express anger at ID rule changes". BBC News. 5 May 2023. Retrieved 8 September 2023.
  6. ↑ "Adam Boulton: MPs returning to Westminster are already embroiled in a bitterly contentious campaign to election day". Sky News. Retrieved 8 September 2023.
  7. ↑ Hill, Dave (14 March 2023). "London Conservatives think out loud about how to beat Sadiq Khan". OnLondon. Retrieved 8 September 2023.
  8. ↑ Partington, Richard (2 November 2023). "Labour says 630,000 will be hit by surge in mortgage costs before 2024 elections". The Guardian. ISSN   0261-3077 . Retrieved 3 November 2023.
  9. ↑ Bunn, Jonathan (18 March 2024). "'Disruptors' could play key role in local elections, says polls expert". Evening Standard. Retrieved 19 March 2024.
  10. ↑ Vaughan, Richard; Langford, Eleanor (19 March 2024). "Sunak safe until May but MPs ready to act if local elections end in 'bloodbath'". inews.co.uk. Retrieved 19 March 2024.
  11. ↑ Cowburn, Ashley (20 March 2024). "Sunak insists he'll still be PM after May even if local elections are a shocker". The Mirror. Retrieved 21 March 2024.
  12. ↑ Walker, Peter; Courea, Eleni (20 March 2024). "Rishi Sunak urges his MPs to present unified front before local elections". The Guardian. ISSN   0261-3077 . Retrieved 21 March 2024.
  13. ↑ "Dowden guarantees UK elections will be safe from Chinese cyber attacks". The Independent. 25 March 2024. Retrieved 26 March 2024.
  14. ↑ Savage, Michael (10 March 2024). "Tories fear losing half their seats in May local polls as pre-election budget flops". The Observer. ISSN   0029-7712 . Retrieved 15 March 2024.
  15. ↑ Vickers, Noah (22 March 2024). "Tory chairman warns party is facing 'much tougher' local elections". Evening Standard. Retrieved 23 March 2024.
  16. ↑ Baston, Lewis (14 March 2024). "I've done a preliminary scan". X. Retrieved 15 March 2024.
  17. ↑ Baston, Lewis (1 April 2024). "Been doing some local elections preparation". Twitter/X. Retrieved 2 April 2024.
  18. ↑ Buchan, Lizzy (27 March 2024). "Tories on course to lose 'up to 500 seats' in local elections thrashing". The Mirror. Retrieved 27 March 2024.
  19. ↑ "Labour has 99% chance of winning next election, says polling expert John Curtice". Politics.co.uk. 27 March 2024. Retrieved 27 March 2024.
  20. ↑ Election Maps UK [@ElectionMapsUK] (8 April 2024). "LE2024 Total Number of Candidates" (Tweet). Retrieved 8 April 2024– via Twitter.
  21. ↑ Courea, Eleni; correspondent, Eleni Courea Political (5 April 2024). "England local elections: what's up for grabs on 2 May and how do predictions look?". The Guardian. ISSN   0261-3077 . Retrieved 5 April 2024.
  22. ↑ "Lib Dems: Time is running out for Rishi Sunak". BBC News. Retrieved 20 March 2024.
  23. ↑ "'Time's running out Rishi' - Lib Dems launch local election campaign with giant hourglass". Sky News. Retrieved 20 March 2024.
  24. ↑ David Hughes (19 April 2024). "Lib Dem leader excited about toppling Tory 'Blue Wall' in Surrey". Surrey Live. Retrieved 20 April 2024.
  25. ↑ Simons, Ned (22 March 2024). "Rishi Sunak Tells Tories To 'Go And Smash It' At Local Elections". HuffPost UK. Retrieved 22 March 2024.
  26. ↑ McKeon, Christopher (22 March 2024). "Rishi Sunak urges voters to 'send a message to Keir Starmer' in local elections". Nottinghamshire Live. Retrieved 22 March 2024.
  27. ↑ Dedman, Simon (10 April 2024). "Castle Point Conservative election candidates lose ballot places". BBC News. Retrieved 18 April 2024.
  28. ↑ "Labour will level up better than Tories, pledges Keir Starmer". BBC News. 28 March 2024. Retrieved 28 March 2024.
  29. ↑ Green, Daniel; Belger, Tom (28 March 2024). "Local election campaign launch: Starmer plots Labour wins 'from Hastings to Hartlepool'". LabourList. Retrieved 28 March 2024.
  30. ↑ Boobyer, Leigh (31 March 2024). "Bristol Council election candidate's fingertip bitten off by dog". BBC News. Retrieved 3 April 2024.
  31. ↑ McKiernan, Jennifer (4 April 2024). "Greens demand more affordable housing at local election campaign launch". BBC News. Retrieved 5 April 2024.
  32. ↑ "Green Party local election launch: time to unlock policies that will create hundreds of thousands of affordable homes". The Green Party. Retrieved 5 April 2024.
  33. ↑ LGBCE. "North Tyneside | LGBCE". www.lgbce.org.uk. Retrieved 12 May 2023.
  34. ↑ "South Yorkshire's Mayor to seek approval to become Police & Crime Commissioner". South Yorkshire Police and Crime Commissioner . Sheffield. 26 May 2023. Retrieved 23 November 2023.
  35. ↑ Kenyon, Megan (1 February 2023). "Getting devolution deal was 'a roller-coaster', says North of Tyne mayor". Local Government Chronicle (LGC). Retrieved 12 May 2023.
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