2024 Thurrock Council election

Last updated

2024 Thurrock Council election [1] [2] [3]
Flag of Essex.svg
←  2023 2 May 2024 (2024-05-02) 2025  →
17 out of 49 seats to Thurrock Council
25 seats needed for a majority
 First partySecond partyThird party
  John Kent, Leader of Thurrock Council.jpg Andrew Jefferies, Thurrock Councillor for Ockendon (cropped).jpg Neil Speight, Thurrock Councillor for Stanford-le-Hope West (cropped).jpg
LeaderJohn KentAndrew JefferiesNeil Speight [a]
Party Labour Conservative Independent
Leader's seat Grays Thurrock Ockendon Stanford-le-Hope West
Last election19 seats, 45.1%26 seats, 32.4%3 seats, 10.0%
Seats before19237 [b]
Seats after27139 [c]
Seat changeIncrease2.svg 8Decrease2.svg 10Increase2.svg 2
Popular vote14,7678,3274,457
Percentage52.1%29.4%15.7%
SwingIncrease2.svg 7 pp Decrease2.svg 3 pp Increase2.svg 5.7 pp
Thurrock UK ward map 2024.svg
Results by ward and party colour. Wards which were not contested at this election are coloured white.
Leader before election

Andrew Jefferies
Conservative
No overall control

Leader after election

John Kent
Labour

The 2024 Thurrock Council election was held on 2 May 2024 to elect a third of the members of Thurrock Council in Essex, England. It was held on the same day as other local elections across England, including the 2024 Essex police and crime commissioner election. The Labour Party led by John Kent won control of the council for the first time since 2014 from the Conservative Party, which had previously governed in a minority administration with no overall control. [4]

Contents

Background

At the previous council election in May 2023, the Labour opposition led by John Kent made gains against the incumbent Conservative administration led by Mark Coxshall. [5] [6] Labour gained five seats, increasing its total share of seats in the council to 19. The Conservatives, now having 26 seats, retained control of the council but saw their majority reduced to three. The Thurrock Independents lost two seats but held one, leaving them with a single councillor. The election also returned three independents not affiliated to any party. [7] [8] Coxshall lost his seat in the election, and later in the month the council elected Conservative Andrew Jefferies as the new leader of the council. [6] [9] The election followed the council's declaration of effective bankruptcy in September 2022, which left it in £1.5 billion of debt. [8] [10]

In July 2023, Conservative councillor Sue Sammons left her party to become an independent in protest of its decision to cut local bus services. This action left the Conservatives with a majority of two on the council. [11] In the same month, the Thurrock Independents de-registered as a political party. [12] The make-up of the council now consisted of five seats being held by independents, 19 held by Labour and 25 held by the Conservatives. [11] The independents in the council later organised themselves into a single group, the Non-Political Alliance of Independent Councillors (NPAIC), [13] [14] with councillor Neil Speight as their leader [15] and spokesman. [16] [17] NPAIC candidates would run in the 2024 election as independents. [18]

In February 2024, it was revealed that the Conservative administration was considering an increase in council tax of 7.99% from April to present a balanced budget for 2024–2025. [19] Council tax had already been increased by 10% the previous year as a condition for additional financial support from the government to help reduce the council's £636 million deficit. [20] The administration also planned to make savings of £18.2 million over the next two years. It had already introduced several measures to cut spending, which included a 7.7% increase in rent for council housing and an introduction of charges for school transport among other measures. [19]

The Conservative administration put forward its economic proposals in its budget for 2024–2025, which was voted on by councillors in March 2024. Conservative councillors were whipped to vote in favour of the budget. [14] Labour abstained from the vote, allowing the budget to pass. [21] Two Conservative councillors, Jack Duffin and Alex Anderson, rebelled against the party leadership and voted against the budget with three NPAIC councillors. Duffin and Anderson were subsequently suspended from the Conservative group as a disciplinary measure and became independents, resulting in the Conservatives losing their majority and the council falling under no overall control. [22] [13] Duffin and Anderson did not join the NPAIC and instead chose to sit alone as unaffiliated independents. [23] [14] Following their suspension, the Conservatives continued to run the council in a minority administration. [22]

Electoral system

The election was held on 2 May 2024, the same day as other local elections across England. [22] [24] All local elections were held under the first-past-the-post voting system. Electors in Thurrock had one vote for a candidate in their ward, with the candidate winning the most votes securing the seat. [25] Electors in Thurrock could also vote in the 2024 Essex police and crime commissioner election which was held on the same day. [26]

Under Thurrock Council's then-electoral system, elections to the council were held annually every three in four years, with a third of its 49 councillors elected to represent one of its 20 wards for a term of four years at each election. [27] As such, three wards were not contested in 2024, including Stifford Clays, Little Thurrock Rectory, and Tilbury Riverside and Thurrock Park. This was the last election held under this system, as all 49 seats are to be contested in elections every four years from May 2025 onwards. This reform was implemented by the government as part of its ongoing intervention in the council following its effective bankruptcy in 2022. [28] [29]

Campaign

The Labour Party and the Conservative Party stood in every ward at the election. [30] Ahead of the election, it was expected that the low national polling numbers of the Conservatives, as well as the financial difficulties faced by the council during the Conservative administration, would influence its outcome, with local election experts Colin Rallings and Michael Thrasher suggesting that Labour could regain its traditional control of the council. [31] [30] During the election campaign, Conservative leader Andrew Jefferies acknowledged that the election would be "tough" for his party, but also claimed that Labour had no plan for the borough. [32] He pledged that the Conservatives would not close libraries or cut children's and lollipopping services and voiced his party's interest in potential business opportunities such as the Thames Freeport if it remained in power after the election. [32] National Conservative leader and prime minister Rishi Sunak visited Corringham as part of his national campaign to secure votes for his party in the local elections. Sunak refused to say if he would resign if the Conservatives lost power in Thurrock and other local councils in Essex. [33] [34] The national Labour Party identified Thurrock as one of its main targets out of the local elections taking place across the country, with Labour's deputy national campaign co-ordinator Ellie Reeves stating that it was one of the areas the party needed to make gains in to win the 2024 United Kingdom general election. [35] [36] Local Labour leader John Kent warned that Labour would have to "take tough decisions" and could not "promise the earth" amid the financial burden faced by the council, which he blamed on the Conservatives, but promised to cooperate with local communities while protecting services for the elderly and the young and maintaining basic services if his party won power. [30] [32]

Former Conservative councillor David Van Day stood for election in the Orsett ward against former Labour councillor Carl Morris and independent candidate Jack Duffin David Van Day @ Decades weekend festival 2012 (7288614248).jpg
Former Conservative councillor David Van Day stood for election in the Orsett ward against former Labour councillor Carl Morris and independent candidate Jack Duffin

The strengthened local presence of independent candidates and the Green Party led by Eugene McCarthy, standing in seven and four wards respectively, was also expected to pose a potential challenge to the Conservatives. According to McCarthy, the Greens would focus on building new council homes, investing in high streets and delivering "common-sense" finances. [30] The independents stood in the east of the borough and in North Stifford and Chafford Hundred; according to independent councillor Fraser Massey this council election had the most independent candidates in Thurrock's recent history. [30] The ward of Orsett, traditionally a safe seat for the Conservatives, also attracted attention during the campaign for its three-way contest between former Conservative councillor David Van Day, former Labour mayor and councillor Carl Morris and independent councillor Jack Duffin, who was expelled from the Conservative Party earlier in the year and secured the support of prominent local Conservative activist Brian Little. [37]

Opinion polls

Dates
conducted		PollsterClientArea Con Lab Lib Dems Green Reform Ind & othersLead
14–29 April 2024 YouGov N/A Thurrock 36.4%52.4%0% [d] 1.8%0% [e] 9.4%16

Pollster YouGov identified Thurrock Council as one of sixteen key battleground local authorities in the 2024 local elections, possibly indicative of results in the rest of England and Wales, and therefore used multi-level regression and post-stratification (MRP) polling to gauge voting intention in the borough ahead of the election. [38] [39] A poll conducted from 14 April to 29 April and published on 30 April projected significant gains for the Labour Party in the borough, with the overall outcome of the election considered too close to call to predict which party would win control of the council. [38] [40]

Results

2024 Thurrock Council election
PartyThis electionFull councilThis election
SeatsNetSeats %OtherTotalTotal %VotesVotes %+/−
  Labour 12Increase2.svg870.6152755.114,82951.4+6.3
  Conservative 1Decrease2.svg105.9121326.58,32828.9-3.5
  Independent 4Increase2.svg223.55918.44,45715.5+5.5
  Green 0Steady2.svg0.0000.08102.8+2.6

Following the election, Labour held 27 of the council's 49 seats, giving them an overall majority on the council for the first time since 2014. Their group leader, John Kent, was formally appointed as the new leader of the council at the subsequent annual council meeting on 22 May 2024. [41] The NPAIC invited the newly elected independent councillors to join their group, with the majority expected to do so; [42] [43] by July 2024, eight of the nine independent councillors were members of the NPAIC. [44] [45] In September 2024, the unaffiliated independent Alex Anderson joined Reform UK, becoming Thurrock's first councillor from that party. [46] In October 2024, councillor John Allen left the NPAIC to sit as an unaffiliated independent, as he was considering standing for Reform UK in the 2025 council election, leaving the NPAIC with seven independents. [47]

Results by ward

The Statement of Persons Nominated, which detailed the candidates who stood in each ward, was released by Thurrock Council following the close of nominations on 5 April 2023. [28] [18] One candidate was elected per ward. [26] The results were announced in the early hours of 3 May after votes were counted, with different wards having their results declared from 1:35 AM until the confirmation of the final results at 02:49 AM. [4]

Aveley & Uplands

Aveley & Uplands
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Cathy Sisterson 1,235 63.1 +15.8
Conservative Augustine Chidi Ononaji72136.9–15.8
Majority51426.2
Turnout 1,95626
Registered electors 7,523
Labour gain from Conservative Swing

Belhus

Belhus
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Victoria Claire Holloway 1,072 68.9 +20.4
Conservative Georgette Polley48331.1+3.6
Majority589
Turnout 21.79
Registered electors
Labour gain from Conservative Swing

Chadwell St. Mary

Chadwell St. Mary
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Ngozi Alike 1,131 72.0 −1.1
Conservative Charlie Taylor-Webb43928.0+1.1
Majority695
Turnout 1,57022
Registered electors
Labour gain from Conservative Swing

Chafford & North Stifford

Chafford & North Stifford
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Lynda Hilary Heath 853 48.5 −0.6
Conservative Adam Carter60334.3−8.0
Independent Bisi Sowunmi30017.1N/A
Majority250
Turnout 1,75631.2
Registered electors
Labour gain from Conservative Swing

Corringham & Fobbing

Corringham & Fobbing
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Independent John Robert Fox 684 46.7 +8.4
Conservative Shane Ralph42629.1−9.9
Labour James Patrick Mackinlay35424.2+1.4
Majority258
Turnout 1,46433.3
Registered electors
Independent gain from Conservative Swing

East Tilbury

East Tilbury
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Independent Sue Sammons 725 57.3 −17.6
Labour Alastair Michael Craft44435.1+16.4
Conservative Shamim Miah967.5+1.2
Majority281
Turnout 1,26524
Registered electors
Independent gain from Conservative Swing

Grays Riverside

Grays Riverside
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Tony Fish 1,116 63.4 −12.1
Conservative Bunmi Ojetola35920.4−4.1
Green Daniel David Fallows28616.2N/A
Majority757
Turnout 1,76121.8
Registered electors
Labour hold Swing

Grays Thurrock

Grays Thurrock
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour John George Kent 1,428 77.8 +9.2
Conservative Joglur Rahman40822.2+1.7
Majority1,020
Turnout 1,83628
Registered electors
Labour hold Swing

Little Thurrock Blackshots

Little Thurrock Blackshots
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Michael John Fletcher 720 48.3 +9.6
Conservative Joy Redsell61441.2−20.1
Green Magun Singh15710.5N/A
Majority106
Turnout 1,49129.4
Registered electors
Labour gain from Conservative Swing

Ockendon

Ockendon
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Ryan James Polston 1,271 53.1 +13.2
Conservative Luke Spillman1,12346.9−1.4
Majority148
Turnout 2,39429
Registered electors
Labour gain from Conservative Swing

Orsett

Orsett
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative David Day 657 39.8 −33.0
Independent Jack Sean Duffin57034.5N/A
Labour Carl Anthony Graham Morris42425.7−1.5
Majority87
Turnout 1,65132.9
Registered electors
Conservative hold Swing

South Chafford

South Chafford
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Gary Watson 763 56.4 +1.2
Conservative Tunde Ojetola43332.0−12.8
Green Caitlin Elizabeth Fallows15611.5N/A
Majority330
Turnout 1,35226.5
Registered electors
Labour gain from Conservative Swing

Stanford East & Corringham Town

Stanford East & Corringham Town
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Independent Roy Robert Jones 809 41.3 +10.1
Labour Ajay Kapoor76839.2+2.0
Conservative George Joseph Wright38319.5−12.2
Majority41
Turnout 1,96031
Registered electors
Independent hold Swing

Stanford-le-Hope West

Stanford-le-Hope West
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Independent Ross James Byrne 656 43.6 +5.5
Labour Philip George Smith54436.1+4.5
Conservative Terry Picollo30620.3−10.0
Majority112
Turnout 1,50627
Registered electors
Independent gain from Conservative Swing

The Homesteads

The Homesteads
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Clifford John Holloway 731 35.9 +11.3
Independent Lisa Jane Sargent71335.1N/A
Conservative Allen Mayes59029.0+1.8
Majority18
Turnout 2,03432.2
Registered electors
Labour gain from Conservative Swing

Tilbury St. Chads

Tilbury St. Chads
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Kairen Raper 641 80.0 +4.8
Conservative Daryl Palmer16020.0−4.8
Majority481
Turnout 80118.73
Registered electors
Labour hold Swing

West Thurrock & South Stifford

West Thurrock & South Stifford
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Lee Watson 1,272 63.3 +4.4
Conservative Elisabeta Ionica Gherga Blaj52626.2–14.9
Green Ri Goodyear21110.5N/A
Majority746
Turnout 22.2
Registered electors
Labour hold Swing

Notes

  1. ↑ Leader and spokesman of the Non-Political Alliance of Independent Councillors, which represented the majority of independent councillors at the time of the election.
  2. ↑ Including five members of the Non-Political Alliance of Independent Councillors and two unaffiliated independents.
  3. ↑ Including five members of the Non-Political Alliance of Independent Councillors and four unaffiliated independents.
  4. ↑ The Liberal Democrats did not stand in this election.
  5. ↑ Reform UK did not stand in this election.

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  44. ↑ "Current councillors". Thurrock Council. Retrieved 31 July 2024.
  45. ↑ "Councillors urge caution before entering into a green belt house-building spree". Thurrock Nub News. 30 July 2024. Retrieved 31 July 2024.
  46. ↑ "Reform take a seat at Thurrock Council after former Tory signs up with Nigel Farage". Thurrock Nub News. 2 September 2024. Retrieved 5 November 2024.
  47. ↑ Sexton, Christine (29 October 2024). "Thurrock councillor leaves Independent group and eyes Reform move". Yellow Advertiser. Retrieved 30 October 2024.
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