Next United Kingdom general election

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Next United Kingdom general election
Flag of the United Kingdom.svg
  2024
On or before 15 August 2029

All 650 seats in the House of Commons
326 seats needed for a majority
PartyLeaderLast election
Labour Keir Starmer 411 [a]
Conservative Kemi Badenoch 121
Liberal Democrats Ed Davey 72
SNP John Swinney [b] 9
Sinn Féin Mary Lou McDonald [c] 7
Reform Nigel Farage 5
DUP Gavin Robinson 5
Green (E&W) Zack Polanski [d] 4
Plaid Cymru Rhun ap Iorwerth [e] 4
SDLP Claire Hanna 2
Alliance Naomi Long [f] 1
UUP Jon Burrows [g] 1
TUV Jim Allister 1
Independents N/A 6
Speaker Lindsay Hoyle 1

The next United Kingdom general election is scheduled to be held no later than 15 August 2029. It will determine the composition of the House of Commons, which determines the government of the United Kingdom.

Contents

Background

2024 election

The 2024 general election resulted in a landslide victory for the Labour Party led by Keir Starmer, but with the smallest share of the electoral vote of any majority government since record-keeping of the popular vote began in 1830. The combined vote share for Labour and the Conservatives reached a record low, with smaller parties doing well. Labour returned to being the largest party in Scotland and remained so in Wales. The election was noted as the most disproportionate in modern British history, [2] mainly as a result of the first-past-the-post voting system. [3] [4] [5] [6]

The Conservative Party under Rishi Sunak lost 251 seats and suffered their worst ever defeat, ending their 14-year tenure as the primary governing party. The Conservatives won no seats in Wales and only one seat in North East England. [7] On 2 November 2024, Kemi Badenoch won the 2024 Conservative leadership election to succeed Sunak becoming the first Black British person to become the Conservative leader. [8]

Reform UK, led by Nigel Farage, placed third in the share of the vote in the 2024 election and had MPs elected to the Commons for the first time. [9] Meanwhile, the Liberal Democrats, led by Ed Davey, made significant gains especially in seat terms to reach their highest number of seats since (as their predecessor Liberal Party) the 1920s (and highest since the merger with the SDP). The Green Party of England and Wales also won a record number of votes and seats alongside a number of independent MPs. [7] The Scottish National Party (SNP) lost around three-quarters of its seats. [10]

Current composition of the House of Commons

This table relates to the composition of the House of Commons after the 2024 United Kingdom general election. As of 7 December 2025, it summarises the changes in party affiliation that took place during the 2024–present Parliament.

AffiliationMembers [11]
Elected
in 2024
[12]
CurrentDiffer­ence
Labour [h] 411 [i] 404 [j] [k] Decrease2.svg 7
Conservative 121116 [l] [k] Decrease2.svg 5
Liberal Democrats 7272Steady2.svg
SNP 99Steady2.svg
Reform 58Increase2.svg3
Sinn Féin [m] 77Steady2.svg
DUP 55Steady2.svg
Green (E&W)44Steady2.svg
Plaid Cymru 44Steady2.svg
SDLP 22Steady2.svg
Alliance 11Steady2.svg
TUV 11Steady2.svg
UUP 11Steady2.svg
Speaker [k] 11Steady2.svg
Ind. Alliance [n] 5Increase2.svg 5
Your [14] 1Increase2.svg 1
Independent [o] 68Increase2.svg 2
Vacant01Increase2.svg 1
Total MPs650650Steady2.svg
Total voting [m] [k] [17] 639639Steady2.svg
Government majority [p] 174160Decrease2.svg 14
Working majority [q] 181167Decrease2.svg 14

For full details of changes during the 2024–present Parliament, see By-elections and Defections, suspensions and resignations.

Events since 2024

The 2025 United Kingdom local elections led to a rise in the number of seats held by smaller parties at the expense of the Conservatives and Labour. On 2 September 2025, Zack Polanski was elected as leader of the Green Party of England and Wales in a landslide, with 85% of the vote share, [18] succeeding Carla Denyer and Adrian Ramsay in that position. The party's membership figures doubled, from around 70,000 to over 140,000, overtaking the Liberal Democrats and Conservatives. [19]

By-elections

Runcorn and Helsby

On 24 February 2025, incumbent Labour MP for Runcorn and Helsby, Mike Amesbury, was sentenced to 10 weeks in prison for assault which was reduced to a suspended sentence, however, a recall petition was held with Amesbury resigning on 17 March 2025. [20] [21] [22] The by-election was characterised in the media as a fight between Labour and Reform UK. [23] Labour would select Karen Shore, a former teacher and deputy leader of Cheshire West and Chester Council, as their candidate, as Reform UK picked Sarah Pochin, a former Cheshire East Conservative Party councillor before being expelled from the party in 2020. [24] [25] Meanwhile minor candidates included the Conservatives standing Sean Houlston, a National Federation of Builders executive and former candidate for the neighbouring seat of Widnes and Halewood, and the Greens picked Chris Copeman, a local councillor in Helsby as their candidate. [26] [27] Other candidates included Michael Williams as an independent, Danny Clarke for the Liberal Party, and Jason Hughes for Volt UK. [28] [29] [30]

Pochin and Reform UK won the by-election, overturning Labour's 14,696-vote majority from the last general election with Pochin being the first non-Labour MP to hold the seat in 50 years. [31] [32] The initial vote count saw Pochin win with just 4 votes, which was extended to 6 votes following a Labour requested recount. [33] It was the closest by-election result since at least the Second World War, the previous narrowest being a majority of 57. The results were seen as a major upset for Reform UK as Labour pinning their defeat on cuts to the winter fuel payment. [34] [35]

Gorton and Denton

Electoral system

Voting eligibility

Presently, in order to vote in general elections, one must be: [36]

Individuals must be registered to vote by midnight twelve working days before polling day. Anyone who qualifies as an anonymous elector has approximately five working days before polling day to register. A person who has two homes (such as a university student who has a term-time address and lives at home during holidays) may be able to register to vote at both addresses as long as they are not in the same electoral area, but can only vote in one constituency at the general election. In July 2025, the government announced plans to reduce the voting age to 16 before the next general election. [37] Extending the vote to 16- and 17-year-olds would add well over a million potential voters across England and Northern Ireland. [38] Analysts found that this would expand voter participation, but the additional votes would represent only a small share of the national electorate. [39]

Date of the election

Under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022, the prime minister has the power to request the monarch call an election at any time during the five-year length of a parliamentary session. If the prime minister chooses not to do this, then parliament is automatically dissolved five years after the day it first met, [40] and a general election is held 25 working days after dissolution. [41] Parliament first met on 9 July 2024, [42] [43] [44] [45] meaning that unless Parliament is dissolved earlier it will be automatically dissolved on 9 July 2029, and the latest an election could be held is 15 August 2029. [45]

Opinion polling

Opinion polling graph for the next United Kingdom general election (post-2024).svg

Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election is being carried out continually by various organisations to gauge voting intention. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2024 general election on 4 July to the present day.

Notes

  1. Includes 43 MPs sponsored by the Co-operative Party, who are designated Labour and Co-operative. [1]
  2. Stephen Flynn leads the SNP in the House of Commons.
  3. Sinn Féin are an all-Ireland political party with an abstentionist stance from the UK Parliament. McDonald is a TD (Republic of Ireland MP). Michelle O'Neill leads Sinn Féin in Northern Ireland.
  4. Ellie Chowns leads the Greens in the House of Commons.
  5. Liz Saville Roberts leads Plaid Cymru in the House of Commons.
  6. Sorcha Eastwood is the sole Alliance Party MP in the House of Commons.
  7. Robin Swann is the sole Ulster Unionist Party MP in the House of Commons.
  8. The Labour total includes 43 MPs elected in 2024 (42 current MPs as of 3 January 2026) who are sponsored by the Co-operative Party and are designated Labour and Co-operative. [13]
  9. Some media outlets, such as BBC News, listed Labour's total as 412, by including the Speaker (who, to demonstrate his neutrality, had resigned his Labour Party membership on taking office).
  10. Includes one deputy speaker
  11. 1 2 3 4 The Speaker and three deputy speakers by convention comprise two MPs from the government side and two from the opposition side. They do not vote in House of Commons divisions and exercise only a casting vote. [16]
  12. Includes two deputy speakers
  13. 1 2 Sinn Féin's seven MPs follow a policy of abstentionism. They do not swear into the House of Commons, and do not take part in its formal processes. As a result, they are not able to sit or vote in the House of Commons. [15]
  14. Independent politicians affiliated to the Independent Alliance group of MPs
  15. Unaffiliated independent politicians
  16. Total number of MPs on the government side minus MPs on the opposition side. The government side comprises all Labour MPs plus the Speaker (as he was originally a Labour MP). The opposition side comprises all other MPs.
  17. Total number of voting MPs on the government side minus voting MPs on the opposition side.

References

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  2. Gallagher, Michael. "Election Indices" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on 29 July 2024. Retrieved 29 July 2024.
  3. Surridge, Paula (5 July 2024). "Labour wins big but the UK's electoral system is creaking". The Guardian . Retrieved 5 July 2024.
  4. Curtice, John (5 July 2024). "Labour's strength in Commons is heavily exaggerated". The Times . Retrieved 6 July 2024.
  5. Topping, Alexandra (8 July 2024). "'Disproportionate' UK election results boost calls to ditch first past the post". The Guardian . Retrieved 8 July 2024.
  6. Chu, Ben (5 July 2024). "Biggest-ever gap between number of votes and MPs hits Reform and Greens". BBC News . Retrieved 8 July 2024.
  7. 1 2 "Historic firsts from the 2024 general election in numbers and charts".
  8. Picheta, Rob (2 November 2024). "Kemi Badenoch wins Conservative leadership contest, pitching party to the right after blowout UK election loss". CNN. Retrieved 2 November 2024.
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  13. "Meet the team: Members of Parliament". Co-operative Party . Retrieved 29 June 2025.
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  15. Kelly, Conor (19 August 2019). "Understanding Sinn Féin's Abstention from the UK Parliament". E-International Relations . Retrieved 16 December 2019.
  16. Boothroyd, David. "House of Commons: Tied Divisions". United Kingdom Election Results. Archived from the original on 6 March 2008. Retrieved 8 November 2025.
  17. Zodgekar, Ketaki; Baker, Finn; McAlary, Patrick (6 October 2025). "How big is the Labour government's majority?". Institute for Government . Retrieved 9 January 2026.
  18. Wheeler, Brian (2 September 2025). "Zack Polanski elected leader of the Green Party". BBC News . Archived from the original on 2 September 2025. Retrieved 2 September 2025. Thousands of new members joined the party during the leadership campaign, taking its membership to 68,500.
  19. https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2025/oct/26/green-membership-surge-zack-polanski
  20. Kampfner, Constance (28 October 2024). "Man punched by Mike Amesbury in argument about bridge is named" . The Times . Retrieved 28 October 2024.
  21. Whannel, Kate; Farley, Harry (27 October 2024). "Labour suspends MP after CCTV appears to show him punching man". BBC News. Retrieved 27 October 2024.
  22. Okell, Nathan (17 March 2025). "Mike Amesbury tenders resignation as Runcorn MP after 'deeply regrettable incident'". Runcorn and Widnes World. Retrieved 17 March 2025.
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  24. Philbin, Paul (13 March 2025). "Labour announces candidate for expected by-election in Runcorn and Helsby". Liverpool Echo. Retrieved 13 March 2025.
  25. Watterson, Kaleigh (24 March 2025). "Reform name candidate for by-election". BBC News. Retrieved 24 March 2025.
  26. "Conservatives pick candidate for Runcorn following Mike Amesbury's resignation". Runcorn and Widnes World. 16 March 2025. Retrieved 17 March 2025.
  27. Al-Othman, Hannah (15 March 2025). "'I like Nigel Farage': Runcorn and Helsby byelection could be big test for Starmer". The Guardian. Retrieved 15 March 2025.
  28. Wilcox, Ella (21 March 2025). "Financial manager to stand as independent in Runcorn by-election". Runcorn and Widnes World. Retrieved 21 March 2025.
  29. "Former Conservative chairman to stand in Runcorn by-election as Liberal candidate". Runcorn and Widnes World. 20 March 2025.
  30. "Vote Volt in the Runcorn & Helsby by-election on 1st May". Volt UK. Retrieved 2 May 2025.
  31. Halliday, Josh (2 May 2025). "Reform wins Runcorn byelection by just six votes in blow to Labour". The Guardian.
  32. Halliday, Josh; Quinn, Ben (2 May 2025). "'They really are all horrible': political anger marks Reform UK's Runcorn win". The Guardian. Retrieved 3 May 2025.
  33. Morton, Becky; McKiern, Jennifer (2 May 2025). "Runcorn and Helsby by-election: Reform beats Labour by just six votes". BBC News.
  34. Walker, Jonathan (2 May 2025). "'Reform's remarkable election wins show Nigel Farage really can become Prime Minister'". The Daily Express. Retrieved 3 May 2025.
  35. Brown, Faye (2 May 2025). "'Starmer suffers defeat in first by-election as Reform takes Runcorn and Helsby'". Sky News. Retrieved 3 May 2025.
  36. "Types of election, referendums, and who can vote". GOV.UK. Retrieved 21 June 2024.
  37. "Voting age to be lowered to 16 across UK by next general election - live updates". BBC News. 17 July 2025. Retrieved 17 July 2025.
  38. Johnston, Neil (9 May 2025). "Voting age". Commons Library.
  39. "Client Challenge". Financial Times. Retrieved 5 September 2025.
  40. "Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022: Section 4", legislation.gov.uk , The National Archives, 24 March 2022, 2022 c. 11 (s. 4), retrieved 5 December 2024
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  44. "General Election 2024 timetable" . Retrieved 5 December 2024.
  45. 1 2 "When is the next UK general election and who decides?". BBC News. 30 September 2025. Retrieved 2 October 2025.