John Curtice | |
---|---|
Born | Redruth, Cornwall, England | 10 December 1953
Spouse | Lisa Joan Riding (m. 1978) |
Children | 1 |
Academic background | |
Alma mater | University of Oxford (MA) |
Academic work | |
Discipline | Politics |
Institutions | University of Strathclyde University of Liverpool University of Oxford [1] |
Website | www |
Sir John Kevin Curtice (born 10 December 1953) is a British political scientist and professor of politics at the University of Strathclyde [2] [3] and senior research fellow at the National Centre for Social Research. [4] He is particularly interested in electoral behaviour and researching political and social attitudes. He took a keen interest in the debate about Scottish independence. [5]
Curtice was born on 10 December 1953 in Redruth, [2] [6] and grew up in St Austell,Cornwall. In an interview with The Guardian ,Curtice said his interest in electoral behaviour began when he was allowed to stay up to watch a results show on television at the 1964 election. [7] The son of a construction worker and a part-time market researcher,he was privately educated at Truro School from 1965 to 1972, [2] [8] and the University of Oxford where he was an undergraduate student and choral scholar at Magdalen College,Oxford reading philosophy,politics and economics (PPE) and graduating in 1976. [9] He was a contemporary of Tony Blair [9] but described the transition to Oxford as "fairly challenging,coming from a working-class background". [7]
From 1981 to 1983 Curtice was a research fellow at Nuffield College,Oxford. [10] [1] [11] Curtice was appointed as a lecturer at the University of Liverpool from 1983 to 1988,then a lecturer and senior lecturer at the University of Strathclyde from 1988 to 1997 [1] before being promoted to Professor in 1998. [2]
Curtice serves as president of the British Polling Council,vice-chair of the Economic and Social Data Service's Advisory Committee and is a member of the editorial board of the Journal of Elections,the Executive Committee of the British Politics Section of the American Political Science Association,and the Policy Advisory Committee of the Institute for Public Policy Research. [3] He was formerly a Fellow at the Netherlands Institute for Advanced Study and a member of the steering committee of the Comparative Study of Electoral Systems project. [3]
Curtice has frequently appeared on BBC News during broadcast coverage of general elections in the United Kingdom,giving his predictions of the results in 2005,2010,2015 and 2017. [12] With David Firth he developed the methodology used in the exit poll estimation used in the general election coverage. [13] He has picked up a strong following on social media,and was mentioned frequently on Twitter during the 2017 election,though he shuns this attention,adding "I've no wish to become a media celebrity". [14]
Curtice is an author and co-author of several books [15] including:
Curtice was elected Fellow of the Royal Society of Arts (FRSA) in 1992 and a Fellow of the Royal Society of Edinburgh (FRSE) in 2004. [3] In 2014 he was elected a Fellow of the British Academy (FBA),the United Kingdom's national academy for the humanities and social sciences. [16] In 2017,he was elected an honorary fellow of the Royal Statistical Society. [17] He is also a Fellow of the Academy of Social Sciences (FAcSS). [2] Curtice was appointed a Knight Bachelor in the 2018 New Year Honours for services to the Social Sciences and Politics. [2] [18]
Curtice married Lisa Joan Riding in 1978. [2] She is a social scientist [19] who later retrained as a priest in the Scottish Episcopal Church. [20] [21] They have one daughter [10] and two granddaughters. [22] He is a member of the National Liberal Club. [2]
Curtice and Riding previously lived in the West End district of Glasgow [7] but have since moved to Port Glasgow in Inverclyde due to Riding becoming the new rector of St Mary's Episcopal Church. [22]
The University of Strathclyde is a public research university located in Glasgow,Scotland. Founded in 1796 as the Andersonian Institute,it is Glasgow's second-oldest university,having received its royal charter in 1964 as the first technological university in the United Kingdom. Taking its name from the historic Kingdom of Strathclyde,its combined enrollment of 25,000 undergraduate and graduate students ranks it Scotland's third-largest university,drawn with its staff from over 100 countries.
Unionism in Scotland is a political movement which favours the continuation of the political union between Scotland and the other countries of the United Kingdom,and hence is opposed to Scottish independence. Scotland is one of four countries of the United Kingdom which has its own devolved government and Scottish Parliament,as well as representation in the UK Parliament. There are many strands of political Unionism in Scotland,some of which have ties to Unionism and Loyalism in Northern Ireland. The two main political parties in the UK —the Conservatives and Labour —both support Scotland remaining part of the UK.
A devolved English parliament is a proposed institution that would give separate decision-making powers to representatives for voters in England,similar to the representation given by the Senedd,the Scottish Parliament and the Northern Ireland Assembly. A devolved English parliament is an issue in the politics of the United Kingdom.
Inverclyde was a parliamentary constituency of the House of Commons of the Parliament of the United Kingdom. It replaced Greenock and Inverclyde and the Port Glasgow and Kilmacolm areas from West Renfrewshire for the 2005 general election.
Sir Roger Mark Jowell,CBE was a British social statistician and academic. He founded Social and Community Planning Research,now known as the National Centre for Social Research,and the Centre for Comparative Social Surveys at City University.
The 2007 United Kingdom local elections were held on Thursday 3 May 2007. These elections took place in most of England and all of Scotland. There were no local government elections in Wales though the Welsh Assembly had a general election on the same day. There were no local government elections in Northern Ireland. Just over half of English councils and almost all the Scottish councils began the counts on Friday,rather than Thursday night,because of more complex arrangements regarding postal votes.
Susan Fiona Dorinthea Michie is a British academic,clinical psychologist,and professor of health psychology,director of The Centre for Behaviour Change and head of The Health Psychology Research Group,all at University College London. She is also an advisor to the British Government via the SAGE advisory group on matters concerning behavioural compliance with government regulations during the COVID-19 pandemic. In 2022,she was appointed Chair of the World Health Organisation’s (WHO) Technical Advisory Group on Behavioural Insights and Sciences for Health.
Richard Rose is a political scientist,author,and academic whose comparative studies in social science have significantly influenced political science and public policy in both practice and theory. He is a Professor and Director of the Centre for the Study of Public Policy at the University of Strathclyde (UOS) in Scotland,and is a Visiting Fellow at the Robert Schuman Centre of the European University Institute and the WZB Berlin Social Science Center.
Pippa Norris is a British American political scientist specializing in comparative politics. She is the McGuire Lecturer in Comparative Politics at the Harvard Kennedy School at Harvard University,and she has served as the Australian Laureate Fellow and Professor of Government and International Relations at the University of Sydney,and Director of the Electoral Integrity Project.
Michael Steed was a British psephologist,political scientist,broadcaster,activist and Liberal Democrat politician. He wrote extensively on political parties and elections.
John Peter Scott is an English sociologist working on issues of economic and political sociology,social stratification,the history of sociology,and social network analysis. He is currently working independently,and has previously worked at the Universities of Strathclyde,Leicester,Essex,and Plymouth. He is a Fellow of the British Academy,a Fellow of the Royal Society of Arts,and a Fellow of the Academy of Social Sciences. He has been a member of the British Sociological Association since 1970. In 2015 he became Chair of Section S4 of the British Academy. In 2016 he was awarded an Honorary Doctorate of Essex University.
Anthony Francis Heath,CBE,FBA is a British sociologist who is a professor of sociology at Oxford University and a professorial fellow of Nuffield College,Oxford.
Ian McAllister FASSA FRSE is the Distinguished Professor of political science at the Australian National University. He earned his PhD in political science in 1976 from University of Strathclyde. He is a leading election specialist with a research focus on Australian politics which involves co-directing the Australian Election Study,a national survey of political opinion conducted after each federal election since 1987 at the Australian National University. He is a leading scholar in individual level political survey research.
This page lists the public opinion polls that were conducted in relation to the 2014 Scottish independence referendum,that was held on 18 September 2014. Overall,polls showed that support for a "No" vote was dominant until the end of August 2014,when support for a "Yes" vote gained momentum and the gap closed significantly,with at least one poll placing the "Yes" vote ahead. In the final week of the campaign,polls showed the "No" vote to be consistently but somewhat narrowly ahead. There were no exit polls although a YouGov post-election poll was published shortly after the polls closed. For the history of the campaign itself see 2014 Scottish independence referendum,Yes Scotland,and Better Together (campaign).
Alan Alexander is a Scottish academic,writer and public servant. He was General Secretary of the Royal Society of Edinburgh 2013 -2018.
David Firth is a British statistician. He is Emeritus Professor in the Department of Statistics at the University of Warwick.
Jane Green FAcSS is a British political scientist and academic. She is Professor of Political Science and British Politics at the University of Oxford and a professorial fellow of Nuffield College. She is a specialist in public opinion and electoral behaviour,and has co-directed the British Election Study. She is the president of the British Polling Council.
Opinion polling for the 2019 general election was carried out by various organisations to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. Most of the pollsters listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. Opinion polling about attitudes to the leaders of various political parties can be found in a separate article.
The red wall is a term used in British politics to describe the UK Parliament constituencies in the Midlands and Northern England that have historically supported the Labour Party. At the 2019 general election,many of these parliamentary seats were won by the Conservative Party,with the media describing the red wall as having "turned blue".
Nicola McEwen, FRSE is Professor of Public Policy and Governance at the University of Glasgow,Director of the Centre for Public Policy,and senior fellow at the UK in a Changing Europe. She became a Fellow of the Royal Society of Edinburgh in 2021. She leads research on devolution and inter-institutional relations. She provides advice to governments and public bodies and gives media expert perspectives internationally. McEwen's research and insights are sought for public engagement and political or business briefings during major events like the 2014 Scottish Independence Referendum,and the Smith Commission,UK BREXIT and recent elections such as to the Scottish Parliament. She has a reputation for being authoritative and trustworthy in engaging with senior politicians,civil service and civic society and has regular media engagements on various topics. McEwen is consulted on aspects such as potential impact on welfare of Scottish independence,or informing parliament on the impact of Brexit on intra-UK relations and communicating her findings and explanations to public media.