2024 United Kingdom general election in Northern Ireland

Last updated

2024 United Kingdom general election
(Northern Ireland)
←  2019 4 July 2024 (2024-07-04)
All 18 Northern Ireland seats to the House of Commons
 First partySecond partyThird party
 
President Joe Biden greets U.S. Special Envoy to Northern Ireland for Economic Affairs Joseph Kennedy III, Northern Ireland First Minister Michelle O'Neill and Deputy First Minister Emma Little-Pengelly on March 17, 2024 (cropped).jpg
Official portrait of Gavin Robinson MP crop 2.jpg
Colum Eastwood SDLP Conference 2023.jpg
Leader Michelle O'Neill [a] Gavin Robinson Colum Eastwood
Party Sinn Féin DUP SDLP
Leader since23 January 2017 [b] 29 March 202414 November 2015
Leader's seat MLA for Mid Ulster Belfast East Foyle
Last election22.8%, 7 MPs30.6%, 8 MPs14.9%, 2 MPs
Seats won752
Seat changeSteady2.svg 0Decrease2.svg 3Steady2.svg 0
Popular vote210,891172,05886,861
Percentage27.0%22.1%11.1%
SwingIncrease2.svg 4.2%Decrease2.svg 8.5%Decrease2.svg 3.8%
 Fourth partyFifth partySixth party
 
Naomi Long MLA.jpg
Doug Beattie.png
Official portrait of Jim Allister MP crop 2.jpg
Leader Naomi Long Doug Beattie Jim Allister
Party Alliance UUP TUV
Alliance Reform UK–TUV
Leader since26 October 201617 May 20217 December 2007
Leader's seat MLA for Belfast East [c] MLA for Upper Bann North Antrim
Last election16.8%, 1 MP11.7%, 0 MPsDid not contest
Seats won111
Seat changeSteady2.svg 0Increase2.svg 1Increase2.svg 1
Popular vote117,19194,77948,685
Percentage15.0%12.2%6.2%
SwingDecrease2.svg 1.8%Increase2.svg 0.5%Increase2.svg 6.2%
 Seventh party
 
LeaderN/A
Party Independent
Leader sinceN/A
Leader's seatN/A
Last election0
Seats won1
Seat changeIncrease2.svg 1
2024-uk-election-in-northern-ireland.svg
Results by constituencies

The 2024 general election in Northern Ireland was held on 4 July 2024, with all 18 Northern Irish seats in the House of Commons contested. The general election occurred after the recently completed constituency boundaries review.

Contents

Background

Electoral system

MPs are elected in 18 single-member constituencies by first-past-the-post.

Date of the election

On 22 May 2024, Prime Minister Rishi Sunak announced 4 July 2024 as the election date. [1]

Constituency boundaries

Map of the 18 constituencies to be used. NI Parliamentary Constituencies 2024.svg
Map of the 18 constituencies to be used.

In June 2023, it was published that The Boundary Commission for Northern Ireland had made final recommendations for the new boundaries for Northern Ireland's 18 parliamentary constituencies. The report was submitted to the speaker of the UK House of Commons and the UK Government was required to submit a draft of an Order in Council to activate the new boundaries within four months. [2] Changes include:

Ten wards were moved and as approved by MPs, the new boundaries became effective on 1 November 2023. [3] These changes were approved at a meeting of the Privy Council on 15 November [4] and came into force on 29 November. [5]

Campaign

In the run up to the election, there was speculation to the extent at which unionist electoral pacts would be active in some constituencies. [6] In July 2023, Ulster Unionist Party (UUP) leader Doug Beattie clarified that his party intends to stand candidates in 17 constituencies, but there was still speculation about whether the Traditional Unionist Voice (TUV) would field candidates. [7] The TUV leader Jim Allister said that in seats held by non-unionists where the sitting MP could potentially be ousted, it would support an “agreed single unionist candidate". [8]

In North Down, there were calls for unionist parties to drop their own candidates and unite behind a single contender to defeat incumbent Alliance MP Stephen Farry. [9] Farry was confirmed as Alliance's candidate for North Down at the next election on 26 November 2023. [10] On 24 January 2024, the UUP selected former Iraq War veteran Tim Collins as their candidate for North Down, with the UUP leader Doug Beattie saying his party "does not do pacts". [11] Alex Easton announced his independent Unionist candidacy for the seat. [12]

In October 2023 the Alliance Party of Northern Ireland revealed that they intended to target Lagan Valley, seat of the then-leader of the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) Jeffrey Donaldson. They unveiled their candidate as Sorcha Eastwood and required a 7.16% swing to gain the seat from the DUP. [13]

Amongst majority nationalist constituencies, due to their strong performance in the 2022 Assembly election and the 2023 local elections, Sinn Féin look "likely to increase its number of seats at Westminster", with the possibility of gaining Social Democratic and Labour Party (SDLP) leader Colum Eastwood's seat of Foyle. [14]

The campaign got underway in South Belfast and North Down, with both incumbent MPs, Claire Hanna and Stephen Farry seeking re-election. North Down Ulster Unionist candidate Tim Collins said he was "very confident" of unseating Farry. [15]

In January 2024, the Ulster Unionist Party selected their former leader and Minister of Health Robin Swann as their candidate for South Antrim [16] and announced their deputy leader, Robbie Butler, as the party's candidate for Lagan Valley. [17]

On 16 March 2024, the Traditional Unionist Voice formed an electoral pact with Reform UK, in which the two parties would stand mutually agreed candidates within Northern Ireland. [18] On 24 May they announced that they were supporting Alex Easton, the Independent Unionist candidate in North Down, and would not stand a candidate in that constituency. [19]

The leader of the Green Party Northern Ireland, Sen. Mal O'Hara, told Slugger O'Toole on 26 April 2024 that they would stand in every constituency and would not pursue any electoral pacts. [20]

On 7 May 2024, the UUP announced that 19 year-old Jay Basra, who is Punjabi-British, would be their candidate for Mid Ulster. [21] Following the announcement, Basra was the target of racial abuse on social media. The abuse was condemned by UUP leader Doug Beattie and former First Minister Arlene Foster, as well as deputy First Minister Emma Little-Pengelly. [22]

Jeffrey Donaldson, who was the DUP leader until March 2024, appeared in court on 3 July to face additional sex offence charges. [23] [24]

Candidates

By affiliation

AffiliationNumber of
candidates [25]
Alliance Party of Northern Ireland 18
Social Democratic and Labour Party 18
Ulster Unionist Party 17
Democratic Unionist Party 16
Sinn Féin 14
Traditional Unionist Voice 14
Green Party Northern Ireland 11
Aontú 10
Independents 9 (in 7 constituencies)
Northern Ireland Conservatives 5
People Before Profit 3
Cross-Community Labour Alternative 1
Total136

By constituency

Opinion polling

Date(s)
conducted		PollsterClientSample
size		 DUP SF Alliance SDLP UUP TUV OthersLead
7 Jul 2024 2024 general election [26] –22.1%27.0%15.0%11.1%12.2%6.2%6.4%4.9
24–25 Jun 2024LucidTalk [27] Belfast Telegraph3,85921%23%18%14%13%4%
7%
2
8–10 Jun 2024LucidTalk [28] Belfast Telegraph 3,63421%24%17%13%12%5%
8%
3
10–13 May 2024LucidTalk [29] Belfast Telegraph3,31620%26%15%10%13%8%
8%
6
28 Jan – 11 Feb 2024Social Market Research [30] Irish News–University of Liverpool1,20623.5%31.1%15.2%8.1%11.1%4.8%–6.6
26 Oct – 3 Nov 2023Social Market Research [31] Institute of Irish Studies1,07425%31%15%9%11%5%5%6
14 Jan – 7 Sep 2023 Northern Ireland Life and Times Survey [d] ARK 1,20019%24%28%9%13%–
9%
4
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election –30.6%22.8%16.8%14.9%11.7%N/A3.2%7.8

Projections

Final projections of number of seats
SourceDate DUP SF SDLP APNI UUP TUV Ind. Others
Electoral Calculus [33] 4 July77211000
Bunker Consulting Group [34] 1 July67221000
Ireland Votes [35] 25 May57211110

Leadership approval ratings

Michelle O'Neill

The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Michelle O'Neill, the First Minister of Northern Ireland since 3 February 2024, Vice President of Sinn Féin since 10 February 2018 and Deputy First Minister of Northern Ireland from 11 January 2020 to 4 February 2022.

Date(s)
conducted		PollsterClientSample sizeGood/greatBad/awfulDon't knowNet approval
11–14 Aug 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph2,95043%37%20%+6%
21–24 Apr 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph3,95741%37%22%+4%
20–23 Jan 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph1,44941%40%19%+1%
4–7 Nov 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph3,35146%37%17%+9%
12–15 Aug 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph3,38440%42%18%–2%

Jeffrey Donaldson

The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Jeffrey Donaldson, the leader of the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) from 30 June 2021 to 29 March 2024.

Date(s)
conducted		PollsterClientSample sizeGood/greatBad/awfulDon't knowNet approval
11–14 Aug 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph2,95024%66%10%−42%
21–24 Apr 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph3,95727%65%8%−38%
20–23 Jan 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph1,44925%63%12%−38%
4–7 Nov 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph3,35129%65%6%−36%
12–15 Aug 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph3,38427%64%9%−37%

Naomi Long

The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Naomi Long, the leader of the Alliance Party since 26 October 2016.

Date(s)
conducted		PollsterClientSample sizeGood/greatBad/awfulDon't knowNet approval
11–14 Aug 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph2,95038%39%23%−1%
21–24 Apr 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph3,95740%38%22%+2%
20–23 Jan 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph1,44937%38%25%−1%
4–7 Nov 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph3,35145%37%18%+8%
12–15 Aug 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph3,38446%37%17%+9%

Doug Beattie

The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Doug Beattie, the leader of the Ulster Unionist Party (UUP) since 27 May 2021.

Date(s)
conducted		PollsterClientSample sizeGood/greatBad/awfulDon't knowNet approval
11–14 Aug 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph2,95034%38%28%−4%
21–24 Apr 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph3,95738%33%29%+5%
20–23 Jan 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph1,44928%42%30%−14%
4–7 Nov 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph3,35137%32%31%+5%
12–15 Aug 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph3,38434%34%32%0%

Colum Eastwood

The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Colum Eastwood, the leader of the Social Democratic and Labour Party (SDLP) since 14 November 2015.

Date(s)
conducted		PollsterClientSample sizeGood/greatBad/awfulDon't knowNet approval
11–14 Aug 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph2,95026%43%31%−17%
21–24 Apr 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph3,95732%40%28%−8%
20–23 Jan 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph1,44933%38%29%−5%
4–7 Nov 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph3,35131%39%30%−8%
12–15 Aug 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph3,38434%39%27%–5%

Jim Allister

The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Jim Allister, the leader of Traditional Unionist Voice (TUV) since 7 December 2007.

Date(s)
conducted		PollsterClientSample sizeGood/greatBad/awfulDon't knowNet approval
11–14 Aug 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph2,95023%63%14%−40%
21–24 Apr 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph3,95727%61%12%−34%
20–23 Jan 2023 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph1,44927%57%16%−30%
4–7 Nov 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph3,35127%59%14%−32%
12–15 Aug 2022 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph3,38431%54%15%−23%

Leadership performance ratings

The following poll asked respondents to rate the performance of political leaders in the last few months, scoring from 0% to 100% for each leader.

NI political leaders

Date(s)
conducted		PollsterClientSample size Gavin Robinson
DUP leader		 Michelle O'Neill
Sinn Féin VP
- NI First Minister		 Naomi Long
Alliance leader		 Colum Eastwood
SDLP leader		 Doug Beattie
UUP leader		 Jim Allister
TUV leader		 Emma Little-Pengelly
(DUP)
NI deputy First Minister		 NI Executive
10–13 May 2024 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph3,31646%53%46%39%44%29%52%39%

UK and Ireland political leaders

Date(s)
conducted		PollsterClientSample Size Simon Harris
Taoiseach Ireland		 Mary Lou McDonald
Sinn Féin President		 Chris Heaton-Harris
NI Secretary of State		 Rishi Sunak
UK Prime Minister
10–13 May 2024 LucidTalk Belfast Telegraph3,31636%39%20%16%

MPs not seeking re-election

MPConsti­tuencyFirst electedPartyDate announced
Francie Molloy Mid Ulster 2013 Sinn Féin 13 February 2024 [36]
Mickey Brady Newry and Armagh 2015 Sinn Féin 19 February 2024 [37]
Jeffrey Donaldson Lagan Valley 1997 DUP [e] 22 May 2024 [38]
Michelle Gildernew Fermanagh and South Tyrone 2001 Sinn Féin 23 May 2024 [39]

Results

By affiliation

Affiliate [40] SeatsAggregate votes
TotalGainsLossesNetOf all (%)TotalOf all (%)Differ­ence
Sinn Féin 700Steady2.svg39%210,89127.0%Increase2.svg4.2%
DUP 50−3Decrease2.svg328%172,05822.1%Decrease2.svg8.5%
SDLP 200Steady2.svg11%86,86111.1%Decrease2.svg3.8%
Alliance 1+1−1Steady2.svg5.6%117,19115.0%Decrease2.svg1.8%
UUP 1+10Increase2.svg15.6%94,77912.2%Increase2.svg0.5%
TUV 1New5.6%48,6856.2%New
Independent 1+10Increase2.svg15.6%24,223 [41] 3.1%Increase2.svg2.8%
Green (NI) 000Steady2.svg0.0%8,6921.1%Increase2.svg0.9%
People Before Profit 000Steady2.svg0.0%8,4381.1%Increase2.svg0.2%
Aontú 000Steady2.svg0.0%7,4661.0%Decrease2.svg0.2%
Labour Alternative 0Did not stand in 20190.0%6240.1%—
NI Conservatives 000Steady2.svg0.0%5530.1%Decrease2.svg0.6%
Total18—Steady2.svg100%779,84757%Decrease2.svg4.5%

By constituency

Main article: 2024 United Kingdom general election in Northern Ireland
Constituency 2019
seat		2024 seatVotesTurnout
AffiliateCandidateVotesShareMargin SF DUP APNI UUP SDLP TUV Ind. OtherTotal

Belfast East DUP DUP Gavin Robinson 19,89446.6%2,676—19,89417,2181,8186191,9181621,07742,70658.6%
Belfast North SF SF John Finucane 17,67443.7%5,61217,67412,0624,274—1,4132,877—2,15240,45254.5%
Belfast South and Mid Down SDLP SDLP Claire Hanna 21,34549.1%12,506—6,8598,8392,65321,3452,218—1,57743,35558.0%
Belfast West SF SF Paul Maskey 21,00952.9%15,96121,0094,3041,0774614,3182,0101616,56439,74353.0%
East Antrim DUP DUP Sammy Wilson 11,46228.9%1,3062,98611,46210,1569,4768924,135—56839,67554.1%
East Londonderry DUP DUP Gregory Campbell 11,50627.9%17911,32711,5063,7343,4125,2604,363—1,67541,63955.0%
Fermanagh and South Tyrone SF SF Pat Cullen 24,84448.6%4,57124,844—2,42020,2732,386——1,15351,07665.6%
Foyle SDLP SDLP Colum Eastwood 15,64740.8%4,16611,4813,9151,2681,42215,647—1,5193,10638,21852.0%
Lagan Valley DUP APNI Sorcha Eastwood 18,61837.9%2,959—15,65918,61811,1571,0282,186—43349,08159.7%
Mid Ulster SF SF Cathal Mallaghan 24,08553.0%14,92324,0859,1622,0012,2693,7222,9781811,04745,44561.4%
Newry and Armagh SF SF Dáire Hughes 22,29948.5%15,49322,2995,9002,6923,1756,8064,099—97146,23659.1%
North Antrim DUP TUV Jim Allister 11,64228.3%4507,71411,1924,4883,9011,66111,64213645141,08455.0%
North Down APNI Ind. Alex Easton 20,91348.3%7,305——13,6086,754657—20,9131,36443,59359.0%
South Antrim DUP UUP Robin Swann 16,31138.0%7,5128,0348,7994,57416,3111,5892,693—90843,15356.0%
South Down SF SF Chris Hazzard 19,69843.5%9,28019,6987,3493,1871,41110,4181,893—1,28745,24359.0%
Strangford DUP DUP Jim Shannon 15,55940.0%5,1312,79315,55910,4283,9411,7833,14341384938,06052.2%
Upper Bann DUP DUP Carla Lockhart 21,64245.7%7,40614,23621,6426,3223,6621,496———47,12558.0%
West Tyrone SF SF Órfhlaith Begley 22,71152.0%15,91722,7116,7942,2872,6835,8212,530—86942,82659.0%
All constituencies210,891172,058117,19194,77986,86148,68523,48526,051778,71057.1%
27.1%22.1%15.0%12.2%11.1%6.3%3.0%3.3%100.0%
Seats
7511211018
39%28%5.6%5.6%11%5.6%5.6%0.0%100.0%

Seats by affiliate share

Seats
Sinn Féin
 
38.9%
DUP
 
27.8%
SDLP
 
11.1%
Alliance
 
5.6%
UUP
 
5.6%
TUV
 
5.6%
Independent unionists
 
5.6%

Analysis

Sinn Féin became the largest Northern Ireland party in the House of Commons for the first time, following similar success in the 2022 Assembly election and 2023 local election. Sinn Féin defended their seven seats with an increased majority in each, South Down, Belfast North and especially Fermanagh and South Tyrone are less marginal than they were in 2019. Sinn Féin also came very close to gaining East Londonderry, Kathleen McGurk was the runner-up just 179 votes behind the DUP. Sinn Féin also narrowed the SDLP's majority in Foyle.

The DUP won five seats, three less than in 2019, this was the lowest number of DUP MPs since 2001 and since the DUP became the largest unionist party. The DUP lost Lagan Valley to Alliance, South Antrim to the UUP and North Antrim to the TUV. The loss of North Antrim by just 450 votes is particularly notable, the DUP had held this seat for its entire existence, and between them Ian Paisley and Ian Paisley Jr had represented this constituency for 54 years since 1970. The majorities of Sammy Wilson in East Antrim and especially Gregory Campbell in East Londonderry, were significantly reduced, both were narrowly held against challenges from Alliance by 1,306 votes and Sinn Féin by 179 votes respectively. A more positive result for the DUP was the re-election of new leader Gavin Robinson in Belfast East with a slightly increased majority, the DUP also held Strangford and Upper Bann.

The SDLP held their two seats. In Foyle SDLP leader Colum Eastwood's majority was reduced from 17,110 to 4,166, mainly due to lower turnout although there was a swing to Sinn Féin. Claire Hanna was also re-elected to the new Belfast South and Mid Down constituency with a slightly reduced majority of 12,506, this is now the fifth safest seat in Northern Ireland after Sinn Féin's four safest seats. Outside of these two constituencies the SDLP vote mainly decreased, with Belfast West a notable exception. The SDLP was the runner-up in South Down and Newry and Armagh, both were previously SDLP held seats but are increasingly safe for Sinn Féin.

Alliance remains the third largest party in Northern Ireland in terms of vote share, as it was in the 2022 Assembly election and 2023 local election. Alliance gained Lagan Valley from the DUP, with Sorcha Eastwood becoming the third directly elected Alliance MP. Alliance also lost North Down, with independent unionist Alex Easton gaining from Alliance deputy leader Stephen Farry, the party leader Naomi Long also lost in Belfast East, Long was the previous MP for Belfast East from 2010 to 2015. Alliance came a particularly close second in East Antrim, and was also runner-up in Strangford and in Belfast South and Mid Down for the first time since 1987. In other constituencies the Alliance vote was generally down slightly from their peak in 2019, but higher than any previous elections.

The UUP gained a seat in the House of Commons for the first time since 2015, with the election of Robin Swann in South Antrim, Swann achieved the highest majority in South Antrim since 1997 (7,512). The UUP was runner-up in one other constituency, Fermanagh and South Tyrone, which the party had last won in 2015, although Diana Armstrong was the sole unionist candidate the increase in the Sinn Féin vote ensured the seat remained a Sinn Féin hold. As with Alliance, the UUP's second best prospect in this election was East Antrim, fewer than 2,000 votes separated the top three candidates.

The TUV gained a seat in the House of Commons for the first time, with Jim Allister gaining North Antrim from the DUP by 450 votes. Beyond North Antrim the TUV's strongest constituencies were East Londonderry, East Antrim and Strangford. The other MP elected in Northern Ireland was independent unionist Alex Easton in North Down who gained the seat from Alliance, Easton left the DUP in 2021 and he is the fourth North Down MP to have been elected either as an independent or with a smaller unionist party after leaving the DUP or UUP.

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ "Party leader in the North" and vice president of Sinn Féin. Mary Lou McDonald is the party president and leader of the opposition in the Dáil of the Republic of Ireland.
  2. ↑ As "Party leader in the North"
  3. ↑ She previously represented the area at Westminster from 2010-2015.
  4. ↑ The question asked was "If there were a general election tomorrow, which political party do you think you would be most likely to support?". [32]
  5. ↑ Suspended in March 2024.

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Elections to Antrim and Newtownabbey Borough Council, part of the Northern Ireland local elections on 2 May 2019, returned 40 members to the council using Single Transferable Vote. The Democratic Unionist Party were the largest party in both first-preference votes and seats.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2019 United Kingdom general election in Northern Ireland</span> Result of Northern Ireland element of the UK General Election

The 2019 United Kingdom general election was held on 12 December 2019 to elect all 650 members of the House of Commons, including 18 seats in Northern Ireland. 1,293,971 people were eligible to vote, up 51,273 from the 2017 general election. 62.09% of eligible voters turned out, down 3.5 percentage points from the last general election. For the first time in history, nationalist parties won more seats than unionist parties.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2023 Mid and East Antrim District Council election</span>

The 2023 election to Mid and East Antrim District Council was held on 18 May 2023, alongside other local elections in Northern Ireland, two weeks after local elections in England. The Northern Ireland elections were delayed by 2 weeks to avoid overlapping with the coronation of King Charles III.

References

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  2. 1 2 Hughes, Brendan (28 June 2023). "Belfast constituency to be renamed under election boundary changes". Belfast Live. Retrieved 5 November 2023.
  3. ↑ "Boundaries of five Northern Ireland constituencies to change". BBC News. 28 June 2023. Retrieved 5 November 2023.
  4. ↑ "List of Business - 15th November 2023" (PDF). Privy Council Office. 23 November 2023.
  5. ↑ "The Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023", legislation.gov.uk , The National Archives, 15 November 2023, SI 2023/1230
  6. ↑ Michael Palmer (24 November 2023). "Unionist Pacts: Deal or No Deal?". Slugger O'Toole. Retrieved 24 November 2023.
  7. ↑ David McCann (24 November 2023). "Slugger TV talks with Doug Beatte". Slugger O'Toole. Retrieved 24 November 2023.
  8. ↑ "TUV says unionists must have anti-protocol candidates to vote for in next Westminster election". The Irish News. 12 January 2024. Retrieved 24 January 2024.
  9. ↑ "North Down Orangemen call for rival unionist parties to drop their own candidates and agree on a single contender in a bid to oust Stephen Farry as MP". Newsletter. 6 October 2023. Retrieved 11 April 2024.
  10. ↑ "Alliance select Stephen Farry to stand for re-election in North Down". Northern Ireland Elects. 26 November 2023. Retrieved 27 November 2023.
  11. ↑ "UUP: Iraq veteran Col Tim Collins to run in North Down". BBC News. 24 January 2024. Retrieved 24 January 2024.
  12. ↑ "Easton to Stand". County Down Spectator. 25 April 2024. Retrieved 26 April 2024.
  13. ↑ "Alliance: We can take Jeffrey Donaldson's Lagan Valley seat". Belfast Telegraph . 21 October 2023. ISSN   0307-1235 . Retrieved 26 May 2024.
  14. ↑ "Sinn Fein 'on course to hit new general election high': new poll". Belfast Telegraph. 13 November 2023. ISSN   0307-1235 . Retrieved 24 November 2023.
  15. ↑ "Iraq War veteran standing for UUP as he sets sights on Stephen Farry's Westminster seat". Belfast Telegraph. 24 January 2024. ISSN   0307-1235 . Retrieved 24 January 2024.
  16. ↑ "Robin Swann lined up for South Antrim election bid". 26 January 2024. Retrieved 26 January 2024.
  17. ↑ "NI relations with Westminster have never been worse, claims UUP deputy as he confirms election bid". Belfast Telegraph. 27 January 2024. ISSN   0307-1235 . Retrieved 27 January 2024.
  18. ↑ "TUV conference: Jim Allister announces partnership with Reform UK". BBC News. 16 March 2024. Retrieved 16 March 2024.
  19. ↑ "TUV and Reform UK to support Alex Easton in North Down". Belfast Telegraph. 24 May 2024.
  20. ↑ NVTV, Northern Visions (25 April 2024). Slugger TV - 26th April 2024 . Retrieved 26 April 2024– via Vimeo.
  21. ↑ "Ulster Unionists select Jay Basra as Westminster candidate for Mid Ulster". Northern Ireland Elects. 7 May 2024. Retrieved 13 May 2024.
  22. ↑ "UUP leader Doug Beattie condemns social media 'abuse' aimed at Mid Ulster election candidate". BelfastTelegraph.co.uk. 13 May 2024. ISSN   0307-1235 . Retrieved 14 May 2024.
  23. ↑ Pepper, Diarmuid (1 July 2024). "Alliance confident of taking Westminster seat Jeffrey Donaldson has held for almost three decades". TheJournal.ie. Retrieved 3 July 2024.
  24. ↑ McCambridge, Jonathan (2 July 2024). "Former DUP leader Jeffrey Donaldson facing more sex offence charges". Irish Examiner. Retrieved 3 July 2024.
  25. ↑ "Open candidate information for UK elections". Democracy Club Candidates. Democracy Club.
  26. ↑ "Northern Ireland election results 2024 | Constituency map". BBC News. Archived from the original on 8 July 2024. Retrieved 5 July 2024.
  27. ↑ "LucidTalk pre NI Westminster Election Poll 3 (of 3)" . Retrieved 16 October 2024.
  28. ↑ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 17 June 2024. Retrieved 17 June 2024.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  29. ↑ "Latest poll suggests DUP support down by a third since 2019". Belfast Telegraph. 25 May 2024. Retrieved 25 May 2024.
  30. ↑ Manley, John (11 March 2024). "Sinn Féin on course for record performance in Westminster election". The Irish News . Archived from the original on 13 March 2024. Retrieved 14 March 2023.
  31. ↑ Manley, John (13 November 2023). "Sinn Féin on course to break Westminster record". The Irish News . Archived from the original on 13 November 2023. Retrieved 13 November 2023.
  32. ↑ "Northern Ireland Life and Times Survey 2023 Questionnaire CAWI (online)" (PDF). ARK - Access Research Knowledge. p. 58. Archived (PDF) from the original on 8 June 2024. Retrieved 16 May 2024.
  33. ↑ "General Election Prediction". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 7 June 2024. Retrieved 4 July 2024.
  34. ↑ "General Election Forecast". Bunker Consulting Group. Archived from the original on 7 July 2024. Retrieved 27 June 2024.
  35. ↑ "General Election Forecast" . Retrieved 15 July 2024.
  36. ↑ "Sinn Féin MP Francie Molloy not seeking re-election". BBC News. 13 February 2024. Retrieved 16 February 2024.
  37. ↑ "Sinn Féin MP Mickey Brady not seeking re-election". BBC News. 19 February 2024. Retrieved 20 February 2024.
  38. ↑ "Donaldson solicitor confirms MP will not contest election". BBC News. 22 May 2024. Retrieved 22 May 2024.
  39. ↑ "Representing the people of Midlands-North-West my sole focus – Gildernew". Sinn Féin. 23 May 2024.
  40. ↑ "Results of the 2019 General Election in Northern Ireland". bbc.co.uk. Archived from the original on 13 December 2019. Retrieved 13 December 2019.
  41. ↑ Among others, includes 20,913 for Independent Unionist Alex Easton in North Down, and 624 for "Cross-Community Labour Alternative" in Fermanagh & South Tyrone
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