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All 32 Welsh seats to the House of Commons | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Turnout | 56.0% 10.6% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Results by constituency
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The 2024 general election was held on Thursday, 4 July 2024. Thirty-two seats were up for election in Wales as the general election occurred after the recently completed boundary review took effect. The Labour Party remained the largest party in Wales, gaining six seats for a total of 27. Both Plaid Cymru and the Liberal Democrats made gains, taking them to four seats and one seat respectively. The Conservatives lost all thirteen seats they had held previously, leaving the party without Westminster representation from Wales for the first time since 2005.
On 22 May 2024, Prime Minister Rishi Sunak announced 4 July 2024 as the election date. [1]
The Parliamentary Voting System and Constituencies Act 2011, as amended by the Parliamentary Constituencies Act 2020, mandated the number of seats in Wales be reduced from 40 to 32 to more accurately reflect its share of registered voters, including one coterminous with the Isle of Anglesey. The Boundary Commission for Wales was responsible for drawing up proposals for the new constituency boundaries, but it was required to abide by this total.
The 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies began in 2020 and concluded in 2023. Initial proposals were published in September 2021. [2] The revised proposals were published on 19 October 2022 followed by a four-week consultation period. [3] On 28 June 2023, the Boundary Commission for Wales published its final recommendations for the new Welsh constituencies. [4] These changes were approved at a meeting of the Privy Council on 15 November. [5] and came into force on 29 November. [6]
MP | Constituency | First elected | Party | Date announced | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wayne David | Caerphilly | 2001 | Labour | 11 February 2022 [7] | |
Hywel Williams | Arfon | 2001 | Plaid Cymru | 11 November 2022 [8] | |
Beth Winter | Cynon Valley [a] | 2019 | Labour | 7 June 2023 [9] | |
David Jones | Clwyd West | 2005 | Conservative | 20 September 2023 [10] | |
Jamie Wallis | Bridgend | 2019 | Conservative | 22 October 2023 [11] | |
Christina Rees | Neath | 2015 | Labour | 1 February 2024 [12] | |
Kevin Brennan | Cardiff West | 2001 | Labour | 27 May 2024 [13] | |
Geraint Davies | Swansea West | 1997 [b] | Labour [c] | 28 May 2024 [14] | |
Jonathan Edwards | Carmarthen East and Dinefwr | 2010 | Plaid Cymru [d] | 28 May 2024 [15] |
2024 United Kingdom general election (4 July) | |
---|---|
Parties | |
Campaign | |
Overview by country | |
Outcome | |
Related | |
| |
Affiliation | Candidates [16] | |
---|---|---|
Conservative Party | 32 | |
Green Party of England and Wales | 32 | |
Labour Party | 32 | |
Liberal Democrats | 32 | |
Plaid Cymru | 32 | |
Reform UK | 31 | |
Independents | 17 (15 constituencies) | |
Heritage Party | 6 | |
Workers Party of Britain | 4 | |
Abolish the Welsh Assembly Party | 3 | |
Co-operative Party | 3 [17] | |
Official Monster Raving Loony Party | 2 | |
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 2 | |
Women's Equality Party | 2 | |
Climate Party | 1 | |
Communist Party of Britain | 1 | |
Libertarian Party (UK) | 1 | |
Propel | 1 | |
Socialist Labour Party (UK) | 1 | |
True and Fair Party | 1 | |
UK Independence Party | 1 | |
Total | 235 |
Affiliation [18] | Candidates | Seats | Aggregate votes | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | Gains | Losses | Net | Of all (%) | Total | Of all (%) | Difference | |||
Labour | 32 | 27 | +8 | 0 | 9 | 84.4 | 487,636 | 37.5 | 3.9 | |
Conservative | 32 | 0 | 0 | −12 | 12 | 0.0 | 240,003 | 18.2 | 17.9 | |
Reform UK | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 223,018 | 16.9 | 11.5 | ||
Plaid Cymru | 32 | 4 | +2 | 0 | 2 | 12.5 | 194,811 | 14.8 | 4.9 | |
Liberal Democrats | 32 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 3.1 | 85,911 | 6.5 | 0.5 | |
Green | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 61,662 | 4.7 | 3.7 | ||
Independent | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 17,593 | 1.3 | 0.9 | ||
Workers Party | 4 | 0 | Did not stand in 2019 | 0.0 | 1,545 | 0.1 | — | |||
Abolish | 3 | 0 | Did not stand in 2019 | 0.0 | 1,521 | 0.1 | — | |||
Propel | 1 | 0 | Did not stand in 2019 | 0.0 | 1,041 | 0.1 | — | |||
Heritage | 6 | 0 | Did not stand in 2019 | 0.0 | 926 | 0.1 | — | |||
UKIP | 1 | 0 | Did not stand in 2019 | 0.0 | 600 | 0.0 | — | |||
Women's Equality | 2 | 0 | Did not stand in 2019 | 0.0 | 536 | 0.0 | — | |||
TUSC | 2 | 0 | Did not stand in 2019 | 0.0 | 532 | 0.0 | — | |||
Communist | 1 | 0 | Did not stand in 2019 | 0.0 | 521 | 0.0 | — | |||
Libertarian | 1 | 0 | Did not stand in 2019 | 0.0 | 439 | 0.0 | — | |||
Socialist Labour | 1 | 0 | Did not stand in 2019 | 0.0 | 424 | 0.0 | — | |||
Monster Raving Loony | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 393 | 0.0 | |||
True & Fair | 1 | 0 | Did not stand in 2019 | 0.0 | 255 | 0.0 | — | |||
Climate | 1 | 0 | Did not stand in 2019 | 0.0 | 104 | 0.0 | — | |||
Total | 235 | 32 | — | 1,319,076 | 56.0 |
Constituency | 2019 seat | 2024 seat | Votes | Turnout | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Affiliate | Candidate | Votes | Share | Margin | Lab. | Con. | Ref. | PC | Lib. Dems | Green | Other | Total | |||||
Aberafan Maesteg | Lab | Lab | Stephen Kinnock | 17,838 | 49.9% | 10,354 | 17,838 | 2,903 | 7,484 | 4,719 | 916 | 1,094 | 801 | 35,755 | 49.3% | ||
Alyn and Deeside | Lab | Lab | Mark Tami | 18,395 | 42.4% | 8,794 | 18,395 | 7,892 | 9,601 | 1,938 | 2,065 | 1,926 | 1,575 | 43,392 | 57.3% | ||
Bangor Aberconwy | Con | Lab | Claire Hughes | 14,008 | 33.6% | 4,896 | 14,008 | 9,036 | 6,091 | 9,112 | 1,524 | 1,361 | 528 | 41,660 | 60.0% | ||
Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney | Lab | Lab | Nick Smith | 16,027 | 53.6% | 12,183 | 16,027 | 3,776 | — | 3,844 | 1,268 | 1,719 | 3,288 | 29,922 | 43.0% | ||
Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe | Con | LD | David Chadwick | 13,736 | 29.5% | 1,472 | 9,904 | 12,264 | 6,567 | 2,280 | 13,736 | 1,188 | 609 | 46,548 | 64.0% | ||
Bridgend | Con | Lab | Chris Elmore | 16,516 | 39.9% | 8,595 | 16,516 | 6,764 | 7,921 | 3,629 | 1,446 | 1,760 | 3,338 | 41,482 | 56.7% | ||
Caerfyrddin | Con | PC | Ann Davies | 15,520 | 34.0% | 4,505 | 10,985 | 8,825 | 6,944 | 15,520 | 1,461 | 1,371 | 498 | 45,604 | 62.0% | ||
Caerphilly | Lab | Lab | Chris Evans | 14,538 | 38.0% | 6,419 | 14,538 | 4,385 | 7,754 | 8,119 | 1,788 | 1,650 | — | 38,234 | 52.6% | ||
Cardiff East | Lab | Lab | Jo Stevens | 15,833 | 40.5% | 9,097 | 15,833 | 3,913 | 4,980 | 3,550 | 6,736 | 3,916 | 195 | 39,123 | 53.7% | ||
Cardiff North | Lab | Lab | Anna McMorrin | 20,849 | 43.9% | 11,207 | 20,849 | 9,642 | 5,985 | 4,669 | 3,168 | 3,160 | — | 47,473 | 66.5% | ||
Cardiff South and Penarth | Lab | Lab | Stephen Doughty | 17,428 | 44.5% | 11,767 | 17,428 | 5,459 | 4,493 | 3,227 | 2,908 | 5,661 | — | 39,176 | 54.0% | ||
Cardiff West | Lab | Lab | Alex Barros-Curtis | 16,442 | 36.7% | 7,019 | 16,442 | 6,835 | 5,626 | 9,423 | 1,921 | 3,157 | 1,353 | 44,757 | 59.3% | ||
Ceredigion Preseli | PC | PC | Ben Lake | 21,738 | 46.9% | 14,789 | 5,386 | 4,763 | 5,374 | 21,738 | 6,949 | 1,864 | 228 | 46,302 | 61.2% | ||
Clwyd East | Con | Lab | Becky Gittins | 18,484 | 38.7% | 4,622 | 18,484 | 13,862 | 7,626 | 3,733 | 1,859 | 1,659 | 599 | 47,822 | 62.4% | ||
Clwyd North | Con | Lab | Gill German | 14,794 | 35.5% | 1,196 | 14,794 | 13,598 | 7,000 | 3,159 | 1,685 | 1,391 | — | 41,627 | 55.5% | ||
Dwyfor Meirionnydd | PC | PC | Liz Saville Roberts | 21,788 | 53.9% | 15,876 | 5,912 | 4,712 | 4,857 | 21,788 | 1,381 | 1,448 | 297 | 40,395 | 55.3% | ||
Gower | Lab | Lab | Tonia Antoniazzi | 20,480 | 43.4% | 11,567 | 20,480 | 8,913 | 8,530 | 3,942 | 2,593 | 2,488 | 283 | 47,229 | 62.0% | ||
Llanelli | Lab | Lab | Nia Griffith | 12,751 | 31.3% | 1,504 | 12,751 | 4,275 | 11,247 | 9,511 | 1,254 | 1,106 | 600 | 40,744 | 57.0% | ||
Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare | Lab | Lab | Gerald Jones | 15,791 | 44.8% | 7,447 | 15,791 | 2,687 | 8,344 | 4,768 | 1,276 | 1,231 | 1,118 | 35,215 | 47.3% | ||
Mid and South Pembrokeshire | Con | Lab | Henry Tufnell | 16,505 | 35.4% | 1,878 | 16,505 | 14,627 | 7,828 | 2,962 | 2,372 | 1,654 | 681 | 46,629 | 59.2% | ||
Monmouthshire | Con | Lab | Catherine Fookes | 21,010 | 41.3% | 3,338 | 21,010 | 17,672 | 5,438 | 1,273 | 2,279 | 2,357 | 815 | 50,844 | 68.0% | ||
Montgomeryshire and Glyndŵr | Con | Lab | Steve Witherden | 12,709 | 29.4% | 3,815 | 12,709 | 7,775 | 8,894 | 5,667 | 6,470 | 1,744 | — | 43,259 | 58.4% | ||
Neath and Swansea East | Lab | Lab | Carolyn Harris | 16,797 | 41.8% | 6,627 | 16,797 | 3,765 | 10,170 | 5,350 | 2,344 | 1,711 | — | 40,137 | 52.5% | ||
Newport East | Lab | Lab | Jessica Morden | 16,370 | 42.5% | 9,009 | 16,370 | 6,487 | 7,361 | 2,239 | 2,045 | 2,092 | 1,937 | 38,531 | 50.0% | ||
Newport West and Islwyn | Lab | Lab | Ruth Jones | 17,409 | 41.5% | 8,868 | 17,409 | 6,710 | 8,541 | 3,529 | 2,087 | 2,078 | 1,597 | 41,951 | 55.4% | ||
Pontypridd | Lab | Lab | Alex Davies-Jones | 16,225 | 41.2% | 8,402 | 16,225 | 3,775 | 7,823 | 5,275 | 1,606 | 1,865 | 2,809 | 39,378 | 52.5% | ||
Rhondda and Ogmore | Lab | Lab | Chris Bryant | 17,118 | 47.8% | 7,790 | 17,118 | 2,050 | 9,328 | 5,198 | 935 | 1,177 | — | 35,806 | 48.1% | ||
Swansea West | Lab | Lab | Torsten Bell | 14,761 | 41.4% | 8,515 | 14,761 | 3,536 | 6,246 | 4,105 | 4,367 | 2,305 | 337 | 35,657 | 48.0% | ||
Torfaen | Lab | Lab | Nick Thomas-Symonds | 15,176 | 42.5% | 7,322 | 15,176 | 5,737 | 7,854 | 2,571 | 1,644 | 1,705 | 1,018 | 35,705 | 49.9% | ||
Vale of Glamorgan | Con | Lab | Kanishka Narayan | 17,740 | 38.7% | 4,216 | 17,740 | 13,524 | 6,973 | 3,245 | 1,612 | 1,881 | 851 | 45,826 | 61.6% | ||
Wrexham | Con | Lab | Andrew Ranger | 15,836 | 39.2% | 5,948 | 15,836 | 9,888 | 6,915 | 4,138 | 1,777 | 1,339 | 480 | 40,373 | 57.5% | ||
Ynys Môn | Con | PC | Llinos Medi | 10,590 | 32.5% | 637 | 7,619 | 9,953 | 3,223 | 10,590 | 439 | 604 | 200 | 32,628 | 61.4% | ||
All constituencies | 487,636 | 240,003 | 223,018 | 194,811 | 85,911 | 61,662 | 35,919 | 1,319,076 | 56.0% | ||||||||
37.0% | 18.2% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 100.0% | ||||||||||
Seats | |||||||||||||||||
27 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 32 | ||||||||||
84% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 3.2% | 0% | 0% | 100.0% |
Candidates in bold won their respective constituency election.
Constituency | Conservative | Labour | Liberal Democrats | Reform UK | Green Party | Plaid Cymru | Others | Incumbent | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aberafan Maesteg | Abigail Mainon | Stephen Kinnock | Justin Griffiths | Mark Griffiths | Nigel Hill | Colin Deere |
| Labour | Stephen Kinnock (Aberavon) | |
Alyn and Deeside | Jeremy Kent | Mark Tami | Richard Marbrow | Vicky Roskams | Karl Macnaughton | Jack Morris | Edwin Duggan (Independent) | Labour | Mark Tami | |
Bangor Aberconwy | Robin Millar | Claire Hughes | Rachael Roberts | John Clark | Petra Haig | Catrin Wager |
| Conservative | Robin Millar (Aberconwy) | |
Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney | Hannah Jarvis | Nick Smith | Jackie Charlton | Anne Baker | Niamh Salkeld |
| Labour | Nick Smith (Blaenau Gwent) | ||
Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe | Fay Jones | Matthew Dorrance | David Chadwick | Adam Hill | Amerjit Kaur-Dhaliwal | Emily Durrant-Munro |
| Conservative | Fay Jones (Brecon and Radnorshire) | |
Bridgend | Anita Boateng | Chris Elmore | Claire Waller | Caroline Jones | Debra Cooper | Iolo Caudy | Mark John (Independent) | Conservative | Jamie Wallis | |
Labour | Chris Elmore (Ogmore) | |||||||||
Caerfyrddin | Simon Hart | Martha O'Neil | Nick Beckett | Bernard Holton | Will Beasley | Ann Davies |
| Independent (formerly Plaid Cymru) | Jonathan Edwards (Carmarthen East and Dinefwr) | |
Caerphilly | Brandon Gorman | Chris Evans [e] | Steve Aicheler | Joshua Kim | Mark Thomas | Lindsay Whittle [f] | Labour | Wayne David | ||
Cardiff East | Beatrice Brandon | Jo Stevens | Rodney Berman | Lee Canning | Sam Coates | Cadewyn Skelley | John Williams (TUSC) | Labour | Jo Stevens (Cardiff Central) | |
Cardiff North | Joel Williams | Anna McMorrin | Irfan Latif | Lawrence Gwynn | Meg Shepherd-Foster | Malcolm Phillips | Labour | Anna McMorrin | ||
Cardiff South and Penarth | Ellis Smith | Stephen Doughty | Alex Wilson | Simon Llewellyn | Anthony Slaughter | withdrew support from their nominated candidate | Sharifah Rahman (nominated as Plaid Cymru) | Labour | Stephen Doughty | |
Cardiff West | James Hamblin | Alex Barros-Curtis | Manda Rigby | Peter Hopkins | Jess Ryan | Kiera Marshall |
| Labour | Kevin Brennan | |
Ceredigion Preseli | Aled Thomas | Jackie Jones [g] | Mark Williams [h] | Karl Pollard | Tomos Barlow | Ben Lake | Taghrid Al-Mawed (Workers) | Plaid Cymru | Ben Lake (Ceredigion) | |
Clwyd East | James Davies | Becky Gittins | Alec Dauncey | Kirsty Walmsley | Lee Lavery | Paul Penlington | Rob Roberts (Independent) | Independent (formerly Conservative) | Rob Roberts (Delyn) | |
Clwyd North | Darren Millar | Gill German | David Wilkins | Jamie Orange | Martyn Hogg | Paul Rowlinson | Conservative | David Jones (Clwyd West) | ||
Conservative | James Davies (Vale of Clwyd) | |||||||||
Dwyfor Meirionnydd | Tomos Day | Joanna Stallard | Phoebe Jenkins | Lucy Murphy | Karl Drinkwater | Liz Saville Roberts | Joan Ginsberg (Heritage) | Plaid Cymru | Liz Saville Roberts | |
Plaid Cymru | Hywel Williams (Arfon) | |||||||||
Gower | Marc Jenkins | Tonia Antoniazzi | Franck Banza | Catrin Thomas | Chris Evans | Kieran Pritchard | Wayne Erasmus (Independent) | Labour | Tonia Antoniazzi | |
Llanelli | Charlie Evans | Nia Griffith | Chris Passmore | Gareth Beer | Karen Laurence | Rhodri Davies | Stan Robinson (UKIP) | Labour | Nia Griffith | |
Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare | Amanda Jenner | Gerald Jones | Jade Smith | Gareth Thomas | David Griffin | Francis Whitefoot |
| Labour | Gerald Jones (Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney) | |
Labour | Beth Winter [i] (Cynon Valley) | |||||||||
Mid and South Pembrokeshire | Stephen Crabb | Henry Tufnell | Alistair Cameron | Stuart Marchant | James Purchase | Cris Tomos |
| Conservative | Simon Hart (Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire) | |
Conservative | Stephen Crabb (Preseli Pembrokeshire) | |||||||||
Monmouthshire | David TC Davies | Catherine Fookes | William Powell | Max Windsor-Peplow | Ian Chandler | Ioan Bellin |
| Conservative | David TC Davies (Monmouth) | |
Montgomeryshire and Glyndŵr | withdrew support from their nominated candidate | Steve Witherden | Glyn Preston | Oliver Lewis | Jeremy Brignell-Thorp | Elwyn Vaughan | Craig Williams (nominated as Conservative) | Conservative | Craig Williams (Montgomeryshire) | |
Conservative | Simon Baynes [j] (Clwyd South) | |||||||||
Neath and Swansea East | Samantha Chohan | Carolyn Harris [k] | Helen Clarke | Dai Richards | Jan Dowden | Andrew Jenkins | Labour | Christina Rees (Neath) | ||
Newport East | Rachel Buckler | Jessica Morden | John Miller | Tommy Short | Lauren James | Jonathan Clark |
| Labour | Jessica Morden | |
Newport West and Islwyn | Nick Jones | Ruth Jones | Mike Hamilton | Paul Taylor | Kerry Vosper | Brandon Ham | George Etheridge (Independent) | Labour | Chris Evans (Islwyn) | |
Labour | Ruth Jones (Newport West) | |||||||||
Pontypridd | Jack Robson | Alex Davies-Jones | David Mathias | Steve Bayliss | Angela Karadog | Wil Rees |
| Labour | Alex Davies-Jones | |
Rhondda and Ogmore | Adam Robinson | Chris Bryant | Gerald Francis | Darren James | Christine Glossop | Owen Cutler | Labour | Chris Bryant (Rhondda) | ||
Swansea West | Tara-Jane Sutcliffe | Torsten Bell | Michael O'Carroll | Patrick Benham-Crosswell | Peter Jones | Gwyn Williams | Gareth Bromhall (TUSC) | Independent (formerly Labour) | Geraint Davies | |
Labour | Carolyn Harris (Swansea East) | |||||||||
Torfaen | Nathan Edmunds | Nick Thomas-Symonds | Brendan Roberts | Ian Williams | Philip Davies | Matthew Jones |
| Labour | Nick Thomas-Symonds | |
Vale of Glamorgan | Alun Cairns | Kanishka Narayan | Steven Rajam | Toby Rhodes-Matthews | Lynden Mack | Ian Johnson |
| Conservative | Alun Cairns | |
Wrexham | Sarah Atherton | Andrew Ranger | Tim Sly | Charles Dodman | Tim Morgan | Becca Martin | Paul Ashton (Abolish) | Conservative | Sarah Atherton | |
Ynys Môn | Virginia Crosbie | Ieuan Môn Williams | Leena Farhat | Emmett Jenner | Martin Schwaller | Llinos Medi |
| Conservative | Virginia Crosbie |
The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2019 general election on 12 December to the present day.
Dates conducted | Pollster | Client | Sample size | Lab. | Con. | Plaid Cymru | Lib. Dems | Ref. | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 Jul2024 | 2024 general election [19] | – | 37.0% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 6.5% | 16.9% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 18.8 | |
27 Jun–1 Jul2024 | YouGov | Barn Cymru | 1,072 | 40% | 16% | 14% | 7% | 16% | 5% | 2% | 24 |
24–28 Jun2024 | More in Common | N/A | 848 | 42% | 22% | 9% | 4% | 14% | 5% | 4% | 20 |
19–20 Jun2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 930 | 46% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 29 |
14–18 Jun2024 | Savanta | N/A | 1,026 | 49% | 19% | 12% | 5% | 12% | 3% | - | 30 |
5–7 Jun2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 960 | 45% | 18% | 11% | 5% | 18% | 4% | 0% | 27 |
30 May–3 Jun2024 | YouGov | Barn Cymru | 1,066 | 45% | 18% | 12% | 5% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 27 |
22–27 May2024 | More in Common | N/A | 805 | 45% | 21% | 13% | 4% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 24 |
22 May2024 | Rishi Sunak announces that a general election will be held on 4 July 2024 | ||||||||||
18–19 May2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 900 | 43% | 19% | 14% | 3% | 15% | 6% | 1% | 24 |
22–23 Apr2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 840 | 40% | 18% | 14% | 6% | 18% | 4% | 0% | 22 |
23–24 Mar2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 878 | 49% | 16% | 10% | 5% | 15% | 5% | 1% | 33 |
20 Mar2024 | Vaughan Gething becomes First Minister of Wales [20] | ||||||||||
18 Feb2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 874 | 45% | 22% | 10% | 5% | 13% | 5% | 1% | 23 |
24–26 Jan2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,100 | 48% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 28 |
10–11 Dec2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,086 | 47% | 22% | 11% | 6% | 10% | 2% | 0% | 25 |
4–7 Dec2023 | YouGov | Barn Cymru | 1,004 | 42% | 20% | 15% | 7% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 22 |
12–13 Nov2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,100 | 44% | 24% | 13% | 4% | 9% | 5% | 1% | 20 |
14–15 Oct2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 959 | 46% | 26% | 10% | 3% | 10% | 4% | 0% | 20 |
16–17 Sep2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,172 | 44% | 22% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 1% | 22 |
1–6 Sep2023 | YouGov | Barn Cymru | 1,051 | 50% | 19% | 12% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 31 |
13–14 Aug2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,068 | 41% | 24% | 13% | 7% | 11% | 4% | 0% | 17 |
14–16 Jul2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,050 | 46% | 24% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 22 |
17–18 Jun2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 43% | 22% | 10% | 7% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 21 |
16 Jun2023 | Rhun ap Iorwerth becomes leader of Plaid Cymru [21] | ||||||||||
12–17 May2023 | YouGov | Barn Cymru | 1,064 | 49% | 19% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 30 |
14–15 May2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,058 | 43% | 23% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 20 |
15–17 Apr2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,251 | 44% | 24% | 12% | 7% | 9% | 4% | 0% | 20 |
17–23 Feb2023 | YouGov | WalesOnline | 1,083 | 53% | 19% | 12% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 34 |
3–7 Feb2023 | YouGov | Barn Cymru | 1,081 | 49% | 20% | 14% | 5% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 29 |
25 Nov–1 Dec2022 | YouGov | Barn Cymru | 1,042 | 51% | 18% | 13% | 4% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 33 |
30 Sep–4 Oct2022 | Survation | 38 Degrees | 6,012 | 51% | 24% | 13% | 6% | – | – | 6% | 27 |
20–22 Sep2022 | YouGov | Barn Cymru | 1,014 | 46% | 23% | 15% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 23 |
12–16 Jun2022 | YouGov | Barn Cymru | 1,020 | 41% | 26% | 16% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 15 |
5 May 2022 | Local elections held in Wales [22] | ||||||||||
25 Feb–1 Mar2022 | YouGov | Barn Cymru | 1,086 | 41% | 26% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 15 |
13–16 Dec2021 | YouGov | Barn Cymru | 1,009 | 41% | 26% | 13% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 15 |
27 Sep–1 Oct2021 | YouGov | ? | ? | 39% | 29% | 17% | 3% | 5% | – | 7% | 10 |
13–16 Sep2021 | YouGov | ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 1,071 | 37% | 31% | 15% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 6 |
6 May2021 | Election to the Senedd [23] | ||||||||||
2–4 May2021 | YouGov | ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 1,071 | 37% | 36% | 14% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 1 |
18–21 Apr2021 | YouGov | ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 1,142 | 37% | 33% | 18% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 4 |
9–19 Apr2021 | Opinium | Sky News | 2,005 | 42% | 33% | 14% | 3% | – | 3% | 5% UKIP on 3% Other on 2% | 9 |
16–19 Mar2021 | YouGov | ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 1,174 | 35% | 35% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 3% | Tie |
24 Jan2021 | Andrew RT Davies becomes leader of the Welsh Conservatives [24] | ||||||||||
11–14 Jan2021 | YouGov | ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 1,018 | 36% | 33% | 17% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 3 |
26–30 Oct2020 | YouGov | ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 1,013 | 43% | 32% | 13% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 11 |
28 Aug–4 Sep2020 | YouGov | ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 1,110 | 41% | 33% | 15% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 8 |
29 May–1 Jun2020 | YouGov | ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 1,021 | 39% | 35% | 15% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 4 |
3–7 Apr2020 | YouGov | ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 1,008 | 34% | 46% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 12 |
20–26 Jan2020 | YouGov | ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 1,037 | 36% | 41% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 5 |
12 Dec2019 | 2019 general election | – | 40.9% | 36.1% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 4.8 |
Dates conducted | Pollster | Sample size | Lab. | Con. | PC | LD | Notes |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 Oct 2022 | People Polling | 1,237 | 35 | 0 | 4 | 1 | Based on 40 seats. Seats were reduced to 32. |
12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | – | 22 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
The Labour Party remained the largest party in Wales, winning 27 of the 32 seats. In addition to defending all of their seats in the south including around Cardiff and Swansea, Labour reversed many of the Conservative gains in 2019, gaining seats such as Bangor Aberconwy, Clwyd East, Clwyd North, Monmouthshire and Wrexham. Labour also won in Montgomeryshire and Glyndŵr, which covers Montgomeryshire, the only area in Wales which had, until 2024, never elected a Labour MP. [25] Of the Labour MPs elected, 2 of them are also members of the Co-operative Party. They are designated as Labour-Co-op, but generally just counted in Labour's total.
Plaid Cymru won four seats, the same as in 2019, however given boundary changes and the reduction in seats this should be counted as two gains. Plaid Cymru defended Dwyfor Meirionnydd and Ceredigion Preseli with significant majorities, gaining the new seat of Caerfyrddin which had been nominally Conservative in 2019, and gained Ynys Môn from the Conservatives. This was the first time Plaid Cymru had won in Ynys Môn since 2001; it was the most marginal seat in Wales with a majority of 637 votes between Plaid and Conservatives, with Labour in close third place. By the share of the vote (14.8 per cent), Plaid Cymru achieved their best ever result in UK general election. [26]
The Liberal Democrats gained one seat in Wales, Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe. Outside of briefly holding the predecessor seat following the 2019 Brecon and Radnorshire by-election, the Liberal Democrats have not had a seat in Wales since losing Ceredigion in 2017. [27]
The Conservative Party lost every seat in Wales, having won fourteen seats in 2019, the first time since 2001 that Wales had no Conservative MPs. This was despite the Conservatives taking 18.2% of the overall vote and outpolling both Plaid Cymru and the Liberal Democrats in terms of votes. [28]
Reform UK was the third largest party in terms of votes with 16.9%, nearly as many votes as the Conservatives and more than both Plaid Cymru and the Liberal Democrats; it was also a higher vote share than in England. [29] Reform was the runner-up in thirteen constituencies, coming closest to winning in Llanelli. [30] The Green Party was runner-up in one constituency, Cardiff South and Penarth. [31]
Plaid Cymru is a centre-left to left-wing, Welsh nationalist political party in Wales, committed to Welsh independence from the United Kingdom. It campaigns on a platform of social democracy and civic nationalism. The party is a supporter of the European Union and is a member of the European Free Alliance (EFA). The party holds 4 of 32 Welsh seats in the UK Parliament, 12 of 60 seats in the Senedd, and 202 of 1,231 principal local authority councillors. Plaid was formed in 1925 under the name Plaid Genedlaethol Cymru and Gwynfor Evans won the first Westminster seat for the party at the 1966 Carmarthen by-election.
Ceredigion was a parliamentary constituency represented in the House of Commons of the UK Parliament. Created in 1536, the franchise expanded in the late 19th century and on the enfranchisement of women. Its boundaries remained virtually unchanged until 1983. From 1536 until 1885 the area had two seats : a county constituency (Cardiganshire) comprising the rural areas, the other the borough constituency known as the Cardigan District of Boroughs comprising a few separate towns; in 1885 the latter was abolished, its towns and electors incorporated into the former, reduced to one MP. The towns which comprised the Boroughs varied slightly over this long period, but primarily consisted of Cardigan, Aberystwyth, Lampeter and Adpar, the latter now a suburb of Newcastle Emlyn across the Teifi, in Carmarthenshire.
Cardiff South and Penarth is a constituency created in 1983 represented in the House of Commons of the UK Parliament since 2012 by Stephen Doughty, a Labour Co-op MP. It was the largest constituency in Wales, with an electorate of 75,175 and one of the most ethnically diverse.
Montgomeryshire was a constituency in Wales represented in the House of Commons of the UK Parliament.
Mark Fraser Williams is a British politician who served as leader of the Welsh Liberal Democrats from 2016 to 2017. He was the Member of Parliament (MP) for the Ceredigion constituency, between 2005 and 2017. He sat on the Welsh Affairs Select Committee, and in 2006 he became a Shadow Minister for Wales under Menzies Campbell.
Brecon and Radnorshire is a constituency of the Senedd. It elects one Member of the Senedd by the first past the post method of election. Also, however, it is one of eight constituencies in the Mid and West Wales electoral region, which elects four additional members, in addition to eight constituency members, to produce a degree of proportional representation for the region as a whole. It is currently represented by James Evans MS, of the Conservatives who has been the MS since May 2021.
The Welsh Liberal Democrats is a liberal, federalist political party in Wales, part of UK Liberal Democrats. The party is led by Jane Dodds, who has served as an MS for Mid and West Wales since May 2021. The party currently has one elected member in the Senedd and one Welsh seat in the UK House of Commons. It also has several members of the House of Lords. The party had 69 local councillors serving in principal authorities as of the 2022 local authority elections, up 10 from 2017.
The 2011 National Assembly for Wales election was an election for the National Assembly. The poll was held on 5 May 2011 and decided the incumbency for all the Assembly's seats. It was the fourth election for seats in the National Assembly for Wales, and the second election taken under the rules of the Government of Wales Act 2006.
The 2007 National Assembly for Wales election was held on Thursday 3 May 2007 to elect members to the National Assembly for Wales. It was the third general election. On the same day local elections in England and Scotland, as well as the Scottish Parliament election took place. This election was preceded by the previous Assembly election in 2003.
These are the results of the 2005 United Kingdom general election in Wales. The election was held on 5 May 2005 and all 40 seats in Wales were contested.
Following the resignation of the sitting MP Alun Michael on 22 October 2012, a by-election for the Cardiff South and Penarth Westminster constituency was held on 15 November 2012.
The 2015 United Kingdom general election in Wales was held on 7 May 2015 and all 40 seats in Wales were contested. The election for each seat was conducted on the basis of first-past-the-post.
Alun Craig Williams is a British politician who was Parliamentary Private Secretary to the Prime Minister from October 2022 until June 2024. A member of the Conservative Party, he was the Member of Parliament (MP) for Cardiff North from 2015 to 2017, when he was defeated for reelection by the Labour Party's Anna McMorrin. In 2019, Williams was elected as the MP for Montgomeryshire, but lost the seat in the 2024 general election.
The 2021 Senedd election took place on Thursday 6 May 2021 to elect 60 members to the Senedd. It was the sixth devolved general election since the Senedd was established in 1999. The election was held alongside the Scottish Parliament election, English local elections, London Assembly and mayoral election and the Hartlepool by-election.
The 2017 United Kingdom general election in Wales was held on 8 June 2017; all 40 seats in Wales were contested. The election for each seat was conducted on the basis of first-past-the-post.
Jane Winifred Dodds is a Welsh politician who has served as Leader of the Welsh Liberal Democrats since 2017. She was elected as the Member of Parliament (MP) for Brecon and Radnorshire at the seat's 2019 by-election, but was an MP for only three months before being defeated in the general election later the same year. In May 2021, Dodds was elected to the Senedd on the Mid and West Wales list. She is the only Liberal Democrat MS in the Senedd.
These are the results of the 1997 United Kingdom general election in Wales. The election was held on 1 May 1997 and all 40 seats in Wales were contested. The Labour Party won a landslide majority of Welsh MPs, gaining seven seats for a total of 34 out of 40. The Liberal Democrats gained one seat, whilst Plaid Cymru retained their four MPs.
A by-election was held in the UK Parliament constituency of Brecon and Radnorshire on 1 August 2019 after Chris Davies, who had held the seat for the Conservatives since the 2015 general election, was unseated by a recall petition. The by-election was won by Jane Dodds of the Liberal Democrats.
Plaid Cymru and the Green Party of England and Wales have a history of collaborative working, including running candidates together, under the names of both parties. The parties have done this at a number of different elections, including to successfully elect an MP, Cynog Dafis, at the 1992 general election.
Rees... announced she would not stand again at the next election...