Welsh Conservatives

Welsh Conservatives Ceidwadwyr Cymreig
Shadow Secretary of State for Wales	Mims Davies
Leader of the Welsh Conservative Group	Darren Millar
President	Glyn Davies
Founded	1921
Headquarters	Unit 5 Rhymney House Parc Ty Glas Llanishen Cardiff CF14 5DU
Ideology	Conservatism (British) Economic liberalism British unionism
Political position	Centre-right to right-wing [1]
Colours	Blue
Senedd	16 / 60
House of Commons (Welsh seats)	0 / 32
Local government in Wales [2]	111 / 1,234
Website
www.conservatives.wales
Politics of Wales Political parties Elections

The Welsh Conservatives (Welsh : Ceidwadwyr Cymreig), also known as the Welsh Conservative Party (Welsh : Plaid Ceidwadwyr Cymreig), is the branch of the United Kingdom Conservative Party that operates in Wales. At Westminster elections, it is the second-most popular political party in Wales by vote share, having obtained the second-largest share of the vote at every general election since 1931. ^[3] In Senedd elections, the Conservatives are currently the second-most supported party but have at times been third. As of 2024 ^[update] , they hold none of the 32 Welsh seats in the Parliament of the United Kingdom, and 16 of the 60 seats in the Senedd.

At the 2021 Senedd election, the Welsh Conservatives won eight constituency seats, taking Vale of Clwyd from Welsh Labour and Brecon and Radnorshire from the Welsh Liberal Democrats and 26.1 per cent of the constituency vote across Wales, their best constituency seats results since creation of the Senedd in 1999.

History

Welsh Conservative Group office in the Senedd building

The Welsh Conservatives were formed (as the Wales and Monmouthshire Conservative and Unionist Council) in 1921 by the merger of the three existing Welsh Provincial Associations of the party's National Union. ^[4] For much of their history, they were dominated by the party in England, even to the extent of supplying the Welsh Secretaries of State. It was after the establishment of the Assembly in 1999, which their members opposed, that they became more of a Welsh-orientated party. Their first leader, the former Welsh Office Minister Rod Richards, showed a combative style of politics against the Labour government. However Richards resigned shortly after the Assembly had become established in response to allegations of an assault, of which he was later cleared. ^[5] Nicholas Bourne, a law professor and former leader of the No campaign in the Welsh Assembly referendum, then became the leader, in an unopposed election. From 1999 to 2007, the party remained firmly in opposition in Wales, opposed to forming an alliance with other political parties. This changed after the indecisive 2007 election, when the Welsh Conservatives were briefly involved in coalition talks on a "rainbow coalition" with the Welsh Liberal Democrats and Plaid Cymru, which collapsed after the Liberal Democrats backed out. Plaid Cymru ruled itself out of joining the Conservatives in a coalition on an ideological basis. Plaid Cymru and Labour eventually formed the government under the terms of their One Wales agreement. ^[6] As a result of the agreement, the Conservatives, the largest opposition party, became the Official Opposition in the Welsh Assembly.

In the otherwise mainly successful Welsh Assembly elections of 2011, the long serving Welsh Conservative leader, Nicholas Bourne (2000–2011) lost his regional list seat in Mid and West Wales. He had been the longest serving of the party political leaders in the Welsh Assembly. The Preseli Pembrokeshire Assembly Member Paul Davies then became the Interim Leader whilst an election took place. The contest was between Andrew RT Davies (South Wales Central) and Nick Ramsay (Monmouthshire). Andrew RT Davies won with some 53.1 per cent of the vote on a 49 per cent turnout of the party's Welsh membership.^{[ citation needed ]} Also in the post-May 2011 Welsh Assembly elections period, David Melding (South Wales Central) was elected as the Deputy Presiding Officer of the Welsh Assembly, the first time a Conservative had held this post.

In the 2022 Welsh local elections, the Conservatives lost half their councillors across Wales and lost control of Monmouthshire County Council. ^[7]

Leadership

In the Senedd, the Welsh Conservative Group have their own leader who is often referred to as the Leader of the Welsh Conservatives, sometimes including by the leader themselves. ^{[8] [9]} The Leader of the Welsh Conservative Group in the Senedd has been described as the de facto leader of the Conservative Party in Wales, although the UK party leadership has rejected this claim and criticised the use of the title Leader of the Welsh Conservatives, stating that the UK party leader is the only leader in Wales while the group leader only leads it in the Senedd. ^{[10] [11]} This lack of recognition has led to calls from senior figures in the Welsh party, including current leader Andrew RT Davies ^{[12] [13] [14]} and current chair Lord Davies of Gower ^[14] to introduce an official devolved leadership position for the Welsh Conservatives with constitutional recognition from the Conservative Party, like with Welsh Labour and the Scottish Conservatives. This proposal has been criticised by senior figures in the UK party, including former secretary of state for Wales Cheryl Gillan, who described it as "irritating" and a "distraction". ^[15]

The Leader of the Welsh Conservative Group in the Senedd is usually elected by the party membership. The position was first introduced in November 1998, when a leadership contest was held to elect a leader for the Conservatives in the National Assembly for Wales, now known as the Senedd, ahead of the first elections to the devolved legislature in 1999. The winner of that election was Rod Richards, who was elected as the first leader of the Welsh Conservative Group. He resigned in 1999 after being accused of assault, originally for a temporary period, and appointed his deputy David TC Davies as acting leader. This was overruled shortly after with Nick Bourne taking Davies's place as acting leader, leading Richards to resign in protest. After Richards's resignation, Bourne was officially elected as leader having stood for the position unopposed. He left the role after losing his assembly seat in the 2011 assembly election and Andrew RT Davies was elected to succeed him in that year. Davies resigned in 2018 after being informed that he did not have the confidence of all group members to continue serving in the role, with Paul Davies becoming acting leader until being officially elected as leader later that year. Davies resigned after breaking COVID-19 restrictions in 2021 and Andrew RT Davies was elected as leader for a second time, being elected unopposed for the role. On 3 December 2024, Davies announced he would stand down from the role, after he narrowly won a confidence vote by 9 votes to 7. He said he believed his leadership to be untenable with a substantial minority in the group against him. ^[16] Darren Millar succeeded Davies two days later, after facing no opposition in the 2024 Welsh Conservatives leadership election. ^[17]

Electoral performance

House of Commons

Performance of the Welsh Conservatives at the 2019 general election

Election	Wales		+/–
	%	Seats
1922	21.4	6 / 36
1923	21.0	4 / 36	2
1924	28.3	9 / 36	5
1929	21.9	1 / 36	8
1931	22.1	6 / 36	5
1935	23.3	6 / 36
1945	16.5	3 / 36	3
1950	21.0	3 / 36
1951	27.6	5 / 36	2
1955	26.7	5 / 36
1959	29.6	6 / 36	1
1964	27.6	6 / 36
1966	27.0	3 / 36	3
1970	27.7	7 / 36	4
Feb 1974	25.9	8 / 36	1
Oct 1974	23.9	8 / 36
1979	32.2	11 / 36	3
1983	31.0	14 / 38	3
1987	29.5	8 / 38	6
1992	28.6	6 / 38	2
1997	19.6	0 / 40	6
2001	21.0	0 / 40
2005	21.4	3 / 40	3
2010	26.1	8 / 40	5
2015	27.2	11 / 40	3
2017	33.6	8 / 40	3
2019	36.1	14 / 40	6
2024	18.2	0 / 32	14

Senedd

Performance of the Welsh Conservatives at the 2021 Senedd election

Election	Constituency			Regional			Total seats	+/–	Government
	Votes	%	Seats	Votes	%	Seats
1999	162,133	15.8	1 / 40	168,206	16.5	8 / 20	9 / 60		Opposition
2003	169,832	19.9	1 / 40	162,725	19.2	10 / 20	11 / 60	2	Opposition
2007	218,730	22.4	5 / 40	209,153	21.4	7 / 20	12 / 60	1	Opposition
2011	237,388	25.0	6 / 40	213,773	22.5	8 / 20	14 / 60	2	Opposition
2016	215,597	21.1	6 / 40	190,846	18.8	5 / 20	11 / 60	3	Opposition
2021	289,802	26.1	8 / 40	278,560	25.1	8 / 20	16 / 60	5	Opposition

Local councils

Welsh Conservatives by ward and council control after the 2017 local elections

Election	Votes	%	Councils	+/-	Seats	+/-
1993	84,909	12.5	0 / 8		32 / 502
1995	75,448	8.1	0 / 22		42 / 1,272	10
1999	99,565	10.1	0 / 22		75 / 1,270	33
2004	99,991	11.0	1 / 22	1	107 / 1,263	32
2008	148,708	15.6	2 / 22	2	165 / 1,270	19
2012*	108,365	12.8	0 / 22	2	105 / 1,235	66
2017	182,520	18.8	1 / 22	1	184 / 1,271	79
2022	145,115	15.3	0 / 22	1	111 / 1,231	86

* The 2012 figures exclude Anglesey, where the election was deferred and held in 2013, although the change in seats and votes shown is a direct comparison between the 2008 and 2012 figures in the 21 councils up for election. The 2017 figures show changes from the 2012 and 2013 elections.

European Parliament

Election	Wales		+/–
	%	Seats
1979	36.6	1 / 4
1984	25.4	1 / 4
1989	23.5	0 / 4	1
1994	14.6	0 / 5
1999	22.8	1 / 5	1
2004	19.4	1 / 4
2009	21.2	1 / 4
2014	17.4	1 / 4
2019	6.5	0 / 4	1

Appointments

House of Lords

No.	Name	Date Ennobled
1.	Lord Bourne of Aberystwyth	2013
2.	Lord Harlech	2021 (Hereditary)
3.	Lord Gilbert of Panteg	2015
4.	Lord Colwyn	1967 (Hereditary)
5.	Lord Davies of Gower	2019
6.	Lord Griffiths of Fforestfach	1991
7.	Lord Trefgarne of Cleddau	1962 (Hereditary)
8.	Lord Wolfson of Tredegar	2021
9.	Baroness Finn of Swansea	2015
10.	Baroness Swinburne	2023

References

1. Davies-Lewis, Theo (2019). "All three major Welsh parties need new blood at the top". nation.cymru. Retrieved 6 January 2022.
2. "Open Council Data UK - compositions councillors parties wards elections". www.opencouncildata.co.uk. Retrieved 24 October 2019.
3. Jones, B, Welsh Elections 1885 – 1997(1999), Lolfa
4. Melding, D, Have We Been Anti-Welsh? The Conservative Party and the Welsh Nation (2005), Cymdeithas Y Kymberiaid
5. "Welsh Tory leader resigns". BBC News. 11 August 1999. Retrieved 20 December 2011.
6. "Labour agrees historic coalition". BBC News. 6 July 2007. Retrieved 20 December 2011.
7. "Welsh election results 2022: Tories lose their only council". BBC News. 6 May 2022. Retrieved 6 May 2022.
8. Davies, Daniel (16 July 2018). "Stop fussing over Tory leader status, says MP". BBC News. Retrieved 20 May 2024.
9. Shipton, Martin (3 January 2024). "Andrew RT Davies criticised for falsely claiming he's 'Leader of the Welsh Conservatives'". Nation.Cymru. Retrieved 20 May 2024.
10. Shipton, Martin (28 June 2018). "The story behind Andrew RT Davies' ousting as Welsh Conservative leader". Wales Online. Retrieved 20 May 2024.
11. "Welsh Tories should consider breaking away from UK party". Wales Online. 13 September 2011. Retrieved 20 May 2024.
12. "Jacob Rees-Mogg 'correct not to name' Welsh Tory leader". BBC News. 20 January 2022. Retrieved 20 May 2024.
13. Convery, Alan (15 July 2016). The territorial Conservative Party: Devolution and party change in Scotland and Wales. Manchester University Press. p. 84. ISBN   978-1-5261-0054-2.
14. Pennant, Gareth (3 February 2019). "Byron Davies: Welsh Conservatives leadership clarity needed". BBC News. Retrieved 20 May 2024.
15. "Cheryl Gillan 'irritation' at Conservative Welsh leader proposal". BBC News. 1 February 2012. Retrieved 20 May 2024.
16. Deans, David (3 December 2024). "Welsh Conservative leader Andrew RT Davies resigns". BBC News. Retrieved 3 December 2024.
17. Mosalski, Ruth (5 December 2024). "Darren Millar elected as new leader of the Senedd Conservative group". North Wales Live. Retrieved 5 December 2024.