2007 National Assembly for Wales election

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2007 National Assembly for Wales election
Flag of Wales (1959-present).svg
  2003 3 May 2007 2011  

All 60 seats to the National Assembly for Wales
31 seats needed for a majority
Turnout43.7% Increase2.svg 5.5%
 First partySecond party
  Rhodri Morgan (53965394061) (cropped).jpg Ieuan Wyn Jones (53965850270) (cropped).jpg
Leader Rhodri Morgan Ieuan Wyn Jones
Party Labour Plaid Cymru
Leader's seat Cardiff West Ynys Môn
Last election30 seats12 seats
Seats won2615
Seat changeDecrease2.svg4Increase2.svg3
Constituency Vote314,925219,121
 % and swing32.2%Decrease2.svg7.8%22.4% Increase2.svg1.2%
Regional Vote288,954204,757
 % and swing29.6%Decrease2.svg7.0%21.0% Increase2.svg1.3%

 Third partyFourth party
  Nick Bourne Silk Commission.jpg Mike German (53965394136) (cropped).jpg
Leader Nick Bourne Michael German
Party Conservative Liberal Democrats
Leader's seat Mid and West Wales South Wales East
Last election11 seats6 seats
Seats won126
Seat changeIncrease2.svg1Steady2.svg
Constituency Vote218,730144,450
 % and swing22.4% Increase2.svg2.5%14.8% Increase2.svg0.7%
Regional Vote209,153114,500
 % and swing21.4% Increase2.svg2.3%11.7% Decrease2.svg1.0%

2007 Senedd Election.svg

First Minister before election

Rhodri Morgan
Labour

First Minister after election

Rhodri Morgan
Labour

The 2007 National Assembly for Wales election was held on Thursday 3 May 2007 to elect members to the National Assembly for Wales. It was the third general election. On the same day local elections in England and Scotland, as well as the Scottish Parliament election took place. This election was preceded by the previous Assembly election in 2003.

Contents

The election saw Plaid Cymru make gains at the expense of Labour, although Labour remain the largest party in the Assembly, as they have since it began. Plaid stated they would make a referendum on devolving further powers to the National Assembly a condition for a coalition. [1] Wales reported that senior civil servants before the election were preparing for three possible coalition administrations: Labour/Liberal Democrat, Labour/Plaid Cymru or Plaid Cymru/Liberal Democrat/Conservative.

Discussions between Plaid Cymru, the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats to form a "Rainbow" Coalition broke down, and a coalition was eventually agreed between Labour and Plaid Cymru.

Major parties

The Welsh Labour Party before the election had 29 seats, Plaid Cymru had 12, the Welsh Conservative Party 11, the Welsh Liberal Democrats 6, Forward Wales 1, with 1 independent, Trish Law. Law had won her seat at a 2006 by-election. The one Forward Wales Assembly Member was elected as an independent before forming the party. The standings were otherwise identical to the 2003 results.

Electoral method

In general elections for the National Assembly for Wales, each voter has two votes in a mixed member system. The first vote may be used to vote for a candidate to become the Assembly Member for the voter's constituency, elected by the first past the post system. The second vote may be used to vote for a regional closed party list of candidates. Additional member seats are allocated from the lists by the d'Hondt method, with constituency results being taken into account in the allocation. The overall result is approximately proportional.

Pre-election forecasts

Predictions for the seat distribution were made by a number of polls before the election:

Forecast byDates Lab Plaid Con LD other
Institute of Welsh Affairs [2] 2007-01-1325131372
NOP/ITV [3] 2007-04-0625121472
Western Mail [4] 2007-04-2725151082

Electoral results

Welsh Assembly election, 2007
Welsh assembly election 2007.svg
Parties Additional member system Total seats
ConstituencyRegion
Votes %+/−Seats+/−Votes %+/−Seats+/−Total+/− %
Labour 314,92532.2−7.824−6288,95429.6−7.02+226−443.3
Plaid Cymru 219,12122.4+1.27+2204,75721.0+1.38+115+325.0
Conservative 218,73022.4+2.55+4209,15321.5+2.37−312+120.0
Liberal Democrats 144,45014.8+0.730114,50011.7−1.0306010.0
BNP 42,1974.3+3.90000
UKIP 18,0471.8−0.50038,4903.9+0.40000
Green 33,8033.50.00000
Socialist Labour 12,2091.3+0.10000
Independent 29,6993.0+2.4109,3501.0N/A00101.7
Welsh Christian 8,9630.9N/A0000
Communist 3,7080.4+0.30000
CPA 2,6940.3N/A0000
Socialist Alternative 1,8650.2N/A0000
Respect 1,7920.2N/A0000
English Democrat 1,8670.2N/A001,6550.2N/A0000
Veritas 5050.1N/A0000
Socialist Equality 2920.0N/A0000
Blaenau Gwent PV 3,3480.3N/A0000
 Total978,13240 974,884 2060 

(source: [5] )

Votes summary

Popular Vote
Labour
29.6%
Conservative
21.5%
Plaid Cymru
21.0%
Liberal Democrats
11.7%
BNP
4.3%
UKIP
3.9%
Green
3.5%
Socialist Labour
1.2%
Other
3.2%
Parliament seats
Labour
43.3%
Plaid Cymru
25.0%
Conservative
20.0%
Liberal Democrats
10.0%
Independent
1.7%

Constituency nominations

NB:candidates inBOLDtext were incumbent assembly members before the election

Constituency Conservative Labour Liberal Democrats Plaid Cymru Others
Aberavon Daisy Meyland-Smith Brian Gibbons Claire WallerLinett Purcell
Aberconwy Dylan Jones-Evans Denise Idris Jones Euron Hughes Gareth Jones
Alyn and Deeside Will Gallagher Carl Sargeant Paul BrightonDafydd PasseWilliam Crawford (UKIP)
Arfon Gerry FrobisherMartin EaglestoneMel Ab Owain Alun Ffred Jones Elwyn Williams (UKIP)
Blaenau Gwent Bob HaywardKeren BenderGareth Lewis Natasha Asghar Trish Law (Independent)
Brecon and Radnorshire Suzy Davies Neil Stone Kirsty Williams Arwel Lloyd
Bridgend Emma Greenow Carwyn Jones Paul WarrenNick Thomas
Caerphilly Richard Foley Jeff Cuthbert Huw Price Lindsay Whittle Ron Davies (Independent) [6]
Cardiff Central Andrew MurphySue Lent Jenny Randerson Thomas WhitfieldFrank Hughes (UKIP)
Cardiff North Jonathan Morgan Sophie Howe Ed BridgesWyn Jones Dai Llewellyn (UKIP)
Cardiff South and Penarth Karen Robson Lorraine Barrett Dominic HanniganJason Toby
Cardiff West Alun Craig Williams Rhodri Morgan Alison Goldworthy Neil McEvoy
Carmarthen East and Dinefwr Henrietta HensherKevin MadgeIan Walton Rhodri Glyn Thomas
Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire Angela Burns Christine Gwyther John Gossage John Dixon
Ceredigion Trefor JonesLinda GraceJohn Davies Elin Jones Dafydd Morgan (Independent)
Clwyd South John Bell Karen Sinclair Frank BiggsNia Davies David Rowlands (UKIP)
Clwyd West Darren Millar Alun Pugh Simon CroftPhil EdwardsWarwick Nicholson (UKIP)
Cynon Valley Neil John Christine Chapman Margaret PhelpsLiz Walters
Delyn Antoinette Sandbach Sandy Mewies Ian MatthewsMeg ElisDerek Bigg (UKIP)
Dwyfor Meirionnydd Mike WoodDavid PhillipsSteve Churchman Dafydd Elis-Thomas
Gower Byron Davies Edwina Hart Nick TregoningDarren PriceAlex Lewis (UKIP)
Islwyn Paul Williams Irene James Mark J MaguireAlan PritchardKevin Etheridge (Independent)
Llanelli Andrew Morgan Catherine Thomas Jeremy Townsend Helen Mary Jones
Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney Giles Howard Huw Lewis Amy KitcherGlyndwr Cennydd JonesClive Tovay (Independent), Jeff Edwards
Monmouth Nick Ramsay Richard ClarkJacqui SullivanJonathan T ClarkEd Abrams (English Democrats)
Montgomeryshire Dan MunfordRachel Maycock Mick Bates David Thomas Bruce Lawson (UKIP)
Neath Andrew Silvertsen Gwenda Thomas Sheila WayeAlun Llewelyn
Newport East Peter Fox John Griffiths Ed TownsendTrefor PuwAndrew Constantine (English Democrats) [7]
Newport West Matthew Evans Rosemary Butler Nigel Flanagan Brian Hancock Mike Blundell (English Democrats) [7] & James Harris (Independent)
Ogmore Norma Lloyd Nesling Janice Gregory Martin PlantSian Caiach
Pontypridd Janice Charles Jane Davidson Mike PowellRichard Rhys Grigg
Preseli Pembrokeshire Paul Davies Tamsin Dunwoody Hywel Davies John Osmond
Rhondda Howard Parsons Leighton Andrews Karen Roberts Jill Evans
Swansea East Bob Dowdle Valerie Lloyd Helen Ceri ClarkeDanny Bowles
Swansea West Harri Lloyd Davies Andrew Davies Peter MayIan TitheringtonRichard Lewis (UKIP)
Torfaen Graham Smith Lynne Neagle Patrick LeggeRhys ab ElisIan Williams (People's Voice)
Vale of Clwyd Matt Wright Ann Jones Mark YoungMark Jones
Vale of Glamorgan Gordon Kemp Jane Hutt Mark HooperBarry ShawKevin Mahoney (UKIP)
Wrexham Felicity Elphick Lesley Griffiths Bruce RobertsSiôn Aled Owen John Marek (Independent), Peter Lewis (UKIP)
Ynys Môn James RoachJonathan AustinMandi Abrahams Ieuan Wyn Jones Francis Wykes (UKIP), Peter Rogers (Independent)

Regional lists

[9]

Mid and West Wales

National Assembly for Wales election, 2007: Mid and West Wales
ConstituencyElected memberResult
Carmarthen East and Dinefwr Rhodri Glyn Thomas Plaid Cymru hold
Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire Angela Burns Conservative win
Ceredigion Elin Jones Plaid Cymru hold
Dwyfor Meirionnydd Dafydd Elis-Thomas Plaid Cymru hold
Llanelli Helen Mary Jones Plaid Cymru win
Montgomeryshire Mick Bates Liberal Democrats hold
Preseli Pembrokeshire Paul Davies (politician) Conservative win
Brecon and Radnorshire Kirsty Williams Liberal Democrats hold
British National Party Christian Peoples Alliance Communist Party of Britain Conservative Party Green Party of England and Wales Independent Independent Labour Party Liberal Democrats Plaid Cymru Socialist Labour Party UKIP Veritas Welsh Christian Party
1.Ian Si'reeJoseph Antony BiddulphRick Newnham Nick Bourne Leila KierschCaroline Evans Gwynoro Jones Alun Davies Cllr. Bill Powell Nerys Evans Alun DaviesClive EastonIain SheldonAdam Bridgman
2.Chris Edwards-HarrillElaine Blake Glyn Davies Timothy John Foster Joyce Watson Julianna HughesDavid SeniorLuke HumeNick PowellM. Williams
3.Lloyd Thomas MorganGraham Morgan Lisa Francis Marilyn ElsonAlun Wyn RichardsCllr. Ken HarrisDelyth RichardsPatricia Ann BowenDennis TaylorJ. Morgan
4.Marie MurrayClive EliassenO. J. WilliamsJohn JenningsRhiannon StoneSelwyn RunnettMrs. Liz Saville-Roberts Maggie DaviesVirginia WhinnyatesM. Davies
5.Richard MinshullChris SimpsonDr. Parvaiz AliCllr. David PeterMartin Wiltshire
6.M.J.H. JefferiesEmma Hayes
7.Alexander Viol

North Wales

British National Party Christian Peoples Alliance Communist Party of Britain Conservative Party Green Party of England and Wales Labour Party Liberal Democrats Plaid Cymru Socialist Labour Party UKIP Welsh Christian Party
1.Ennys HughesBrian ChurchillGlyn Davies Brynle Williams Jim Killock Ken Skates Eleanor Burnham Janet Ryder Bob English John Bufton Lindsay Griffiths
2.Dallus WeaverRhian Cartwright Mark Isherwood Joe BlakesleyDonna HuttonCllr. Tudor Jones Dafydd Wigley Dave Roberts Nathan Gill Rev. Heather Butler
3. Simon Darby Trevor JonesCllr. Janet Finch-Saunders Maredudd ap RheinalltCllr. Ronnie HughesBobby FeeleyDyfed EdwardsJudith SambrookElaine GillMark MacLeod
4.Mike HowardMike GreenPaul RogersCllr. Wilf HastingsWenna WilliamsCllr. Douglas MadgeCllr. Abdul KhanPaul LiversuchKen KhambattaJustin Davies
5. James Davies Cllr. Chris HughesCllr. Michael Edwards
6.John BroughtonAnne Williams

South Wales Central

British National Party Christian Peoples Alliance Communist Party of Britain Conservative Party Green Party of England and Wales Labour Party Liberal Democrats Plaid Cymru RESPECT The Unity Coalition Socialist Alternative Socialist Equality Party Socialist Labour Party UKIP Welsh Christian Party
1.John WalkerAnthony Jeremy Robert Griffiths David Melding John MatthewsIftakhar KhanCllr. John Dixon Leanne Wood Karen TyreDave ReidChris TalbotLiz ScreenJohn PrattW. Johannsen
2.Laurence ReidGwen Griffiths Andrew R. T. Davies Richard PayneCerys FurlongCllr. Gavin Cox Chris Franks Rowena MasonDavid O'SullivanHarry ParfittDavid BevanD. Thomson
3.Tim WindsorFran RawlingsVictoria GreenNigel BakerAnthony HuntAlexandra Macmillan Gwenllian Lansdown Andrew PriceStuart NolanIna MarsdenDr K. T. RajanD. Williams
4.Mark DeaconClive GriffithsRichard JohnRichard ClarkeJayne BrencherCllr. Asghar AliMohammed Sarul IslamJane JacksonPoopalasingham ThillaivarothayanRob HawkinsWilliam PotterJ. Storey
5.Mike Jones-PritchardAnthony MatthewsMatt GreenoughCllr. Margaret JonesAlex Gounelas
6.Jon BurnsElizabeth AleAndrew SherwoodJoe Fathallah

South Wales East

British National Party Christian Peoples Alliance Communist Party of Britain Conservative Party English Democrats Green Party of England and Wales Independent Labour Party Liberal Democrats Plaid Cymru Socialist Labour Party UKIP Welsh Christian Party
1.Robert James TruemanMadeleine JeremyRoy Evans William Graham Steve GashAnn WereColin HobbsCllr. Mark Whitcutt Michael German Jocelyn Davies John Cox David J Rowlands Jeff Green
2.Peter GreenhalghSara JeremyAngharad Halpin Laura Anne Jones Alan EnglandAlasdair McGowenTunji Fahm Cllr. Veronica Watkins Mohammad Asghar Sue DeareKeith MorganGeoff Waggett
3.Marlene JordanDan ColeDavid ChippFred BishopGerry LaytonJulie Helen RobinsonCllr. Phylip HobsonColin MannGlenn EynonRoger ThomasPeter Watkins
4.Christopher RobinsonDave RawlingsAndrew RobertsDavid LaneOwen ClarkeJohn Wright TurnerAlison WillottGlyn ErasmusCerian ScreenHugh Moelwyn HughesRichard Patching
5.Steven Uncles Rhianon Passmore Cllr. David HandoJoyce Giblin
6.Michael RussellJean Gray

South Wales West

British National Party Christian Peoples Alliance Communist Party of Britain Conservative Party Green Party of England and Wales Independent Conservative Independent Labour Party Liberal Democrats Plaid Cymru RESPECT The Unity Coalition Socialist Alternative Socialist Labour Party UKIP Welsh Christian Party
1.Clive BennettAnne SavouryDavid Brown Alun Cairns Rhodri GriffithsJohn JenkinsKeith JamesHoward Davies Peter Black Bethan Jenkins Paul LynchRoss SaundersJacob BowenTim JenkinsDavid Griffiths
2. Nick Griffin Mick CartyChris SmartBrig OubridgeCllr. Alana DaviesCllr. Jackie Radford David Lloyd Ahmed Al-JefferyAlec ThravesMartha Page-HarriesMike SquiresAnthony Kelly
3.John CooperSian O'BrienGerald RowbottomJane RichmondCllr. Leighton VealeFrank LittleLisa TurnbullRon JobMiriam ScaleDenise RobinsonKatherine Bridgman
4.Jennifer KingRob UprichardKenneth WattsJonathan SpinkCllr. Erika KirchnerCllr. Mike DayCarolyn EdwardsLianne FrancisHoward ReesJosie MacDonaldTim Price
5.Bob Smith David Rees Cllr. Peter FoleyBernard RoomeTheresa Jenkins
6.Cllr. Norah ClarkeMark Evans
7.Rachael Hitchinson
8.Marilyn Harris

In South Wales West, there were also party lists from the Communist Party of Britain, Christian Peoples Alliance, Respect Party, Socialist Labour Party, Welsh Christian Party in addition to two independents, Keith James and John Hudson Jenkins.

New members

Thirteen of the members elected to the Assembly in the election were not members of the previous Assembly, including Gareth Jones, who sat in the Assembly from 1999 to 2003 and lost his seat in that year's election.

Defeated members

Nine sitting AMs were defeated at the polls.

Retiring members

Four sitting AMs did not offer themselves for re-election.

National election, 2003

Due to boundary changes, the composition of the outgoing Assembly did not reflect the Assembly that was elected in May 2003 (see National Assembly for Wales constituencies and electoral regions). The main changes were in northwestern Wales, where the constituencies of Conwy, Caernarfon, and Meirionydd nant Conwy were replaced by Aberconwy, Arfon and Dwyfor Meirionnydd.

See also

Notes

  1. Plaid to seek devolution referendum after election, Wales, 3 January 2007, accessed on 8 February 2007.
  2. Labour set to lose out in May's WAG vote, icWales, 2007-01-13, accessed on 2007-01-17.
  3. Martin Shipton (6 April 2007). "First poll thunders warning for Rhodri". walesonline.co.uk. Retrieved 4 April 2011.
  4. Shipton, Martin (5 April 2007). "First poll thunders warning for Rhodri". walesonline.
  5. "BBC NEWS | Election 2007 | Welsh Assembly | Election Result: Wales". BBC News.
  6. Davies to contest assembly seat, BBC News, 5 February 2007, accessed 8 February 2007.
  7. 1 2 "English Democrats Party:: News blog". Archived from the original on 10 May 2007.
  8. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 14 June 2007. Retrieved 23 April 2007.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  9. "National Assembly for Wales Election Results 2007-". election.demon.co.uk.
  10. "First ethnic minority AM elected". BBC News. 4 May 2007.
  11. "Plaid AM defects to Conservatives". BBC News. 8 December 2009.

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