Llanelli (Senedd constituency)

Not to be confused with Llanelli (UK Parliament constituency).

Llanelli
Senedd county constituency for the Senedd
Llanelli shown within the Mid and West Wales electoral region and the region shown within Wales
Current Senedd county constituency
Created	1999
Party	Welsh Labour and Co-operative
Member of the Senedd	Lee Waters
Preserved county	Dyfed

Llanelli is a constituency of the Senedd. It elects one Member of the Senedd by the first past the post method of election. Also, however, it is one of eight constituencies in the Mid and West Wales electoral region, which elects four additional members, in addition to eight constituency members, to produce a degree of proportional representation for the region as a whole.

Boundaries

Map of current boundaries

1999 to 2007

The constituency was created for the first election to the Assembly, in 1999, with the name and boundaries of the Llanelli Westminster constituency. It is a Dyfed constituency, one of five constituencies covering, and entirely within, the preserved county of Dyfed.

The other four Dyfed constituencies are Carmarthen East and Dinefwr, Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire, Ceredigion and Preseli Pembrokeshire. They are all within the Mid and West Wales electoral region.

The region consists of the eight constituencies of Brecon and Radnorshire, Carmarthen East and Dinefwr, Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire, Ceredigion, Llanelli, Meirionnydd Nant Conwy, Montgomeryshire and Preseli Pembrokeshire.

From 2007

The constituency includes the whole of 9 Carmarthenshire communities (Kidwelly; Llanedi; Llanelli; Llanelli Rural; Llangennech; Llannon; Pembrey and Burry Port Town; Pontyberem; and Trimsaran).

Boundaries changed for the 2007 Assembly election. Llanelli remained one of five Dyfed constituencies and one of eight constituencies in the Mid and West Wales region. However, boundaries within Dyfed changed, to realign them with local government ward boundaries and to reduce disparities in the sizes of constituency electorates, and the boundaries of the region changed, to align them with the boundaries of preserved counties.

The other four Dyfed constituencies were, again, Carmarthen East and Dinefwr, Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire, Ceredigion and Preseli Pembrokeshire, all within the Mid and West Wales electoral region.

The region consisted of the constituencies of Brecon and Radnorshire, Carmarthen East and Dinefwr, Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire, Ceredigion, Dwyfor Meirionnydd, Llanelli, Montgomeryshire and Preseli Pembrokeshire.

For Westminster purposes, the same new constituency boundaries became effective for the 2010 United Kingdom general election.

Voting

In general elections for the Senedd, each voter has two votes. The first vote may be used to vote for a candidate to become the Member of the Senedd for the voter's constituency, elected by the first past the post system. The second vote may be used to vote for a regional closed party list of candidates. Additional member seats are allocated from the lists by the d'Hondt method, with constituency results being taken into account in the allocation.

It is a marginal seat between Plaid and the Labour Party, and until the 2016 Assembly election, had never been held by the same party for more than one consecutive term.

Members of the Senedd

Election		Member	Portrait	Party
	1999	Helen Mary Jones		Plaid Cymru
	2003	Catherine Thomas		Welsh Labour
	2007	Helen Mary Jones		Plaid Cymru
	2011	Keith Davies		Welsh Labour
	2016	Lee Waters		Welsh Labour and Co-operative

Results

Elections in the 2020s

2021 Senedd election: Llanelli ^{[1] [2]}

Party		Candidate	Constituency			Regional [3]
			Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	Labour	Lee Waters [lower-alpha 1]	13,930	46.1	+9.6	12,387	41.4	+4.0
	Plaid Cymru	Helen Mary Jones [lower-alpha 2]	8,255	27.3	-7.9	8,149	27.3	-3.5
	Conservative	Stefan Ryszewski	4,947	16.4	+9.5	5,122	17.1	+9.1
	UKIP	Howard Lillyman	722	2.4	-12.3	529	1.8	-12.4
	Reform UK	Gareth Beer	672	2.2	New	398	1.3	New
	Liberal Democrats	Jonathan Edward Burree	606	2.0	+0.7	624	2.1	+1.0
	Gwlad	Siân Caiach	544	1.8	New	372	1.2	New
	Independent	Shahana Najmi	542	1.8	New
	Green					901	3.0	+1.9
	Abolish					855	2.9	+0.3
	Christian					194	0.6	New
	Freedom Alliance (UK)					160	0.5	New
	Propel					90	0.3	New
	Communist					64	0.2	0.0
	TUSC					58	0.2	New
Majority			5,675	18.8	+17.5
Turnout			30,218	48.14 [4]	+1.0
	Labour hold		Swing
Notes Incumbent member for this constituency Incumbent member on the party list, or for another constituency

Elections in the 2010s

Welsh Assembly Election 2016: Llanelli

Party		Candidate	Constituency [5]			Regional [6]
			Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	Labour	Lee Waters	10,267	36.5	-3.2	10,492	37.4	-1.4
	Plaid Cymru	Helen Mary Jones	9,885	35.2	-4.2	8,648	30.8	-3.9
	UKIP	Kenneth Rees	4,132	14.7	New	3,996	14.2	New
	Conservative	Stefan Ryszewski	1,937	6.9	-4.1	2,257	8.0	-3.6
	Putting Llanelli First	Siân Caiach	1,113	4.0	−3.7
	Green	Guy Smith	427	1.5	New	521	1.9	New
	Liberal Democrats	Gemma Bowker	355	1.3	-0.8	297	1.1	-1.5
	Abolish					716	2.6	New
	People First (Wales)					710	2.5	New
	Monster Raving Loony					138	0.5	New
	Welsh Christian					169	0.6	-0.5
	Association of Welsh Independents					74	0.3	New
	Communist					56	0.2	-0.1
Majority			382	1.3	+1.0
Turnout			28,116	47.1	+2.5
	Labour hold		Swing	+0.6

Welsh Assembly Election 2011: Llanelli

Party		Candidate	Constituency [7]			Regional [8]
			Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	Labour	Keith Davies	10,359	39.7	+3.6	10,119	38.8	+6.3
	Plaid Cymru	Helen Mary Jones	10,279	39.4	-10.7	9,045	34.7	-5.8
	Conservative	Andrew Morgan	2,880	11.0	+1.1	3,036	11.6	+1.5
	Putting Llanelli First	Siân Caiach	2,004	7.7	New
	Liberal Democrats	Cheryl Philpott	548	2.1	-1.7	682	2.6	-0.9
	UKIP					1,014	3.9	+1.1
	Socialist Labour					727	2.8	+1.5
	Green					599	2.3	-0.4
	BNP					480	1.8	-2.4
	Welsh Christian					284	1.1	+0.3
	Communist					79	0.3	0.0
Majority			80	0.3	N/A
Turnout			26,070	44.6	+3.0
	Labour gain from Plaid Cymru		Swing	+7.2

Regional ballots rejected: 136 ^[9]

Elections in the 2000s

Welsh Assembly Election 2007: Llanelli

Party		Candidate	Constituency [10]			Regional [11]
			Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	Plaid Cymru	Helen Mary Jones	13,839	50.1	+7.3	11,119	40.5	+5.5
	Labour	Catherine Thomas	9,955	36.1	-6.7	8,913	32.5	-9.6
	Conservative	Andrew D Morgan	2,757	10.0	+2.6	2,768	10.1	-2.2
	Liberal Democrats	Jeremy N Townsend	1,051	3.8	-3.3	960	3.5	-3.6
	BNP					1,166	4.2	New
	UKIP					768	2.8	+1.1
	Green					732	2.7	-0.1
	Socialist Labour					349	1.3	New
	Welsh Christian					213	0.8	New
	Gwynoro Jones - Independent					186	0.7	New
	Caroline Evans - Independent					100	0.4	New
	Veritas					61	0.2	New
	Communist					69	0.3	New
	CPA					55	0.2	New
Majority			3,698	13.8	N/A
Turnout			26,889	41.6	−6.2
	Plaid Cymru gain from Labour		Swing	-8.8

Welsh Assembly Election 2003: Llanelli

Party		Candidate	Constituency			Regional [12]
			Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	Labour	Catherine Thomas	9,916	42.8	+3.1	9,761	42.1	+5.2
	Plaid Cymru	Helen Mary Jones	9,895	42.8	-0.7	8,136	35.1	-9.0
	Conservative	Gareth John Jones	1,712	7.4	+0.8	1,830	7.9	+1.3
	Liberal Democrats	Kenneth Denver Rees	1,644	6.1	-3.2	1,648	7.1	-0.7
	Green					659	2.8	Unknown
	Mid and West Wales Pensioners					461	2.0	New
	UKIP					396	1.7	New
	Cymru Annibynnol					150	0.6	New
	Vote 2 Stop the War					75	0.3	New
	ProLife Alliance					60	0.3	New
Majority			21	0.0	N/A
Turnout			23,167	40.3	−8.6
	Labour gain from Plaid Cymru		Swing	+1.3

2003 Electorate: 33,742
Regional ballots rejected: 166

Elections in the 1990s

Welsh Assembly Election 1999: Llanelli

Party		Candidate	Constituency			Regional
			Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	Plaid Cymru	Helen Mary Jones	11,973	42.1	N/A	12,540	44.1	N/A
	Labour Co-op	Ann Garrard	11,285	39.7	N/A	10,485	36.9	N/A
	Liberal Democrats	Tim R. Dumper	2,920	10.3	N/A	2,210	7.8	N/A
	Conservative	Barrie Harding	1,864	6.6	N/A	1,870	6.6	N/A
	Independent	Anthony G. Popham	345	1.3	N/A
	Other list parties					1,317	4.6	N/A
Majority			688	2.4	N/A
Turnout			28,387	48.9	N/A
	Plaid Cymru win (new seat)

References

1. Llanelli Statement of Persons Nominated
2. The full Senedd election 2021 result 2021 for Llanelli as Lee Waters wins record majority
3. "Senedd Cymru Elections: Mid and West Wales region - Llanelli". Carmarthenshire Council. Retrieved 29 July 2021.
4. Hayward, Will (7 May 2021). "The voter turnout figures for every constituency in Wales". WalesOnline. Retrieved 20 November 2021.
5. "Wales elections > Llanelli". BBC News. 6 May 2016.
6. "Results and turnout at the 2016 National Assembly for Wales election". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 24 November 2021.
7. "Wales elections > Llanelli". BBC News. 6 May 2016.
8. "Results and turnout at the 2011 National Assembly for Wales Election". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 30 October 2021.
9. "Results and turnout at the 2011 National Assembly for Wales election". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 27 November 2021.
10. Election results – 2007 Archived 9 May 2011 at the Wayback Machine , National Assembly for Wales
11. "2007 Assembly Election Results (updated) July 2007(Page 78 of the PDF / Page 72 of booklet)" (PDF). National Assembly for Wales. Retrieved 1 August 2021.
12. The National Assembly for Wales elections 2003. The Electoral Commission. November 2003. pp. 110–115. Retrieved 1 August 2021.

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