2015 United Kingdom general election in Wales

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2015 United Kingdom general election in Wales
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All 40 Welsh seats to the House of Commons
 First partySecond party
  Ed Miliband election infobox.jpg David Cameron official.jpg
Leader Ed Miliband David Cameron
Party Labour Conservative
Leader since 25 September 2010 6 December 2005
Last election26 seats, 36.2%8 seats, 26.1%
Seats won2511
Seat changeDecrease2.svg1Increase2.svg3
Popular vote552,473408,213
Percentage36.9%27.2%
SwingIncrease2.svg0.6%Increase2.svg1.1%
 Third partyFourth party
  Leanne Wood 2011 (cropped).tif Nick Clegg official portrait.jpg
Leader Leanne Wood Nick Clegg
Party Plaid Cymru Liberal Democrats
Leader since 16 March 2012 18 December 2007
Last election3 seats, 11.3%3 seats, 20.1%
Seats won31
Seat changeSteady2.svgDecrease2.svg2
Popular vote181,70497,783
Percentage12.1%6.5%
SwingIncrease2.svg0.8%Decrease2.svg13.6%
WalesParliamentaryConstituency2015Results.svg
Results of the 2015 election in Wales

The 2015 United Kingdom general election in Wales was held on 7 May 2015 and all 40 seats in Wales were contested. [1] [2] The election for each seat was conducted on the basis of first-past-the-post.

Contents

Despite the Labour party winning the most votes in Wales, the Conservatives won across the UK. [3]

Results overview

A full list of the results in Wales can be found in the House of Commons Library General Elections Online. [2] The following is an overall table of results for Wales by the BBC. [4]

PartySeatsVotes
TotalGainsLossesNet +/-% seatsTotal%Change
Labour 2512Decrease2.svg162.5552,47336.9Increase2.svg0.6
Conservative 1130Increase2.svg327.5407,81327.2Increase2.svg1.1
UKIP 000Steady2.svg—204,33013.6Increase2.svg11.2
Plaid Cymru 300Steady2.svg7.5181,70412.1Increase2.svg0.8
Liberal Democrats 102Decrease2.svg22.597,7836.5Decrease2.svg13.6
Green 000Steady2.svg—38,3442.6Increase2.svg2.1
Socialist Labour 000Steady2.svg—3,4810.2Increase2.svg0.2
TUSC 000Steady2.svg—1,7800.1Increase2.svg0.1
 Others000Steady2.svg—10,3550.7Decrease2.svg0.5
Total401,498,063
Popular vote
Labour
 
36.87%
Conservative
 
27.22%
UKIP
 
13.64%
Plaid Cymru
 
12.13%
Liberal Democrats
 
6.53%
Greens
 
2.56%
Other
 
1.05%
Parliament seats
Labour
 
62.50%
Conservative
 
27.50%
Plaid Cymru
 
7.50%
Liberal Democrats
 
2.50%

Turnout statistics

Election turnout statisticssource and comment
Estimated total population of Wales3.1M [5] data for 30 June 2015
Total eligible electorate2.281M1 [6]
electorate as proportion of total population74%
Total valid votes1.498M1 [7]
Mean turnout based on total valid votes65.67%
Mean as average of constituency results65.64%
Mean as above but based on ballot box turnout65.77%1 ballot box turnout includes rejected ballots [7]
Median valid vote turnout65.0%turnout midway between 20th and 21st constituency
UK median valid vote turnout66.7% [8] for comparison with above

1 valid vote, count of rejected ballots and total electorate come from the source(s) given in 'Table of results by constituency' below.

Results by constituency

Table of results by constituency
Constituency 1Total electorate 2Winning partyMajoritySource(s)
Aberavon 49,821 Welsh Labour hold10,445 [9]
Aberconwy 45,525 Welsh Conservatives hold3,999 [10]
Alyn and Deeside 62,016 Welsh Labour hold3,343 [11]
Arfon 40,492 Plaid Cymru hold3,668 [12] [13]
Blaenau Gwent 51,335 Welsh Labour hold12,703 [14]
Brecon and Radnorshire 54,441 Welsh Conservatives gain5,102 [15] [16]
Bridgend 59,998 Welsh Labour hold1,927 [17]
Caerphilly 63,603 Welsh Labour hold10,073 [18]
Cardiff Central 57,456 Welsh Labour gain4,981 [19]
Cardiff North 67,196 Welsh Conservatives hold2,137 [20]
Cardiff South and Penarth 76,006 Labour Co-operative Party hold7,453 [21]
Cardiff West 66,762 Welsh Labour hold6,789 [22]
Carmarthen East and Dinefwr 55,605 Plaid Cymru hold5,599 [23] [24]
Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire 57,777 [25] Welsh Conservatives hold6,054 [26]
Ceredigion 54,243 Welsh Liberal Democrats hold3,067 [27]
Clwyd South 54,996 Welsh Labour hold2,402 [28]
Clwyd West 58,644 Welsh Conservatives hold6,730 [29]
Cynon Valley 51,422 Welsh Labour hold9,406 [30]
Delyn 53,639 Welsh Labour hold2,930 [31]
Dwyfor Meirionnydd 44,394 Plaid Cymru hold5,261 [12] [32]
Gower 61,820 Welsh Conservatives gain27 [33]
Islwyn 55,697 Labour Co-operative Party hold10,404 [34]
Llanelli 59,796 Welsh Labour hold7,095 [35] [36]
Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney 61,716 Welsh Labour hold11,513 [37]
Monmouth 62,248 Welsh Conservatives hold10,982 [38]
Montgomeryshire 48,690 Welsh Conservatives hold5,325 [15] [39]
Neath 56,097 Welsh Labour hold9,546 [9]
Newport East 56,015 Welsh Labour hold4,705 [40] [41]
Newport West 62,137 Welsh Labour hold3,510 [40] [42]
Ogmore 55,320 [43] Welsh Labour hold13,043 [17]
Pontypridd 58,940 Welsh Labour hold8,985 [30]
Preseli Pembrokeshire 57,371 [25] Welsh Conservatives hold4,969 [26]
Rhondda 51,811 Welsh Labour hold7,455 [30]
Swansea East 58,011 Welsh Labour hold12,028 [33]
Swansea West 58,776 Welsh Labour 3 hold7,036 [33]
Torfaen 61,896 Welsh Labour hold8,169 [44]
Vale of Clwyd 56,505 Welsh Conservatives gain237 [45]
Vale of Glamorgan 72,187 Welsh Conservatives hold6,880 [46]
Wrexham 50,992 Welsh Labour hold1,831 [47]
Ynys Môn 49,939 Welsh Labour hold229 [48] [49]

1 The information on the winning party and the majority come from the source(s) indicated.
2 The total electorate comes from [2] unless another reference is given.
3 The MP is a Labour Co-op Party member [50] but he was nominated as 'Welsh Labour'. [51]

Target seats

Labour

Conservative

Plaid Cymru

Opinion polling

Date(s) conducted

Polling organisation/client

Sample size

Plaid

Lab

Con

LD

UKIP

Green

Others

Lead
16 April 2015Five-way Opposition Leaders' Debate held on BBC One
13–15 April 2015 YouGov/ITV/Cardiff University 1,14312%40%26%6%13%4%<0.5%14%
2 April 2015Seven-way Leaders' Debate on ITV
26–31 Mar 2015 YouGov/The Sun 1,0359%40%27%6%13%5%1%13%
30 March 2015 Dissolution of Parliament and the official start of the election campaign
24–27 Mar 2015 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,18911%40%25%5%14%5%1%15%
26 March 2015 First TV election interview by Jeremy Paxman with David Cameron and Ed Miliband on Sky and Channel 4
5–9 Mar 2015 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,27910%39%25%5%14%6%1%14%
19–21 Jan 2015 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,03610%37%23%6%16%8%1%14%
8–13 Jan 2015 ICM/BBC Wales 1,00412%38%21%7%13%6%2%17%
2–3 Dec 2014 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,13111%36%23%5%18%5%2%13%
19–22 Sep 2014 ICM/BBC Wales 1,00613%39%23%5%16%2%1%16%
8–11 Sep 2014 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,02511%38%23%6%17%5%1%15%
26 Jun–1 Jul 2014 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,03511%41%25%5%14%3%2%16%
22 May 2014 2014 European Parliament elections
12–14 May 2014 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,09211%43%22%7%13%3%2%21%
11–22 Apr 2014 YouGov/University of Cardiff 1,02711%45%24%7%10%1%2%21%
21–24 Feb 2014 ICM/BBC Wales 1,00015%45%24%6%8%2%1%21%
10–12 Feb 2014 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,25011%47%22%7%9%2%2%25%
2–4 Dec 2013 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,00112%46%21%8%10%2%2%25%
18–22 Jul 2013 YouGov 1,0129%48%23%8%8%2%2%25%
18–20 Feb 2013 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,00710%51%22%9%7%1%1%29%
2–4 Jul 2012 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,00010%54%23%4%9%21%
3 May 2012 2012 Welsh local elections
12–16 Apr 2012 YouGov 1,03912%50%23%7%9%27%
30 Jan–1 Feb 2012 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,00811%50%25%6%5%3%2%25%
5 May 2011 2011 Welsh Assembly election
2–4 May 2011 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,01010%50%24%8%4%2%2%25%
6 May 2010 General election results 1,466,69011.3%36.2%26.1%20.1%2.4%0.4%3.4%10%

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References

  1. ↑ "Election 2015 – Wales". BBC News . Retrieved 8 May 2015.
  2. 1 2 3 "May 2015 results for Wales". General Elections Online. House of Commons Library. Archived from the original on 17 August 2016. Retrieved 2 September 2015.
  3. ↑ "UK Election Statistics: 1918-2022, A Long Century of Elections" (PDF). House of Commons Library. p. 22.
  4. ↑ "Results of the 2015 General Election in Wales – Election 2015 – BBC News". BBC News. Retrieved 3 January 2016.
  5. ↑ "Population of Wales 2014". Overview of the UK Population. UK Office of National Statistics. 25 June 2015. Retrieved 18 September 2015.
  6. ↑ "eligible voters". Who is eligible to vote at a UK general election?. The Electoral Commission. Archived from the original on 19 April 2014. Retrieved 20 September 2015.
  7. 1 2 "Voter turnout". Electoral data. The Electoral Commission. Retrieved 20 September 2015.
  8. ↑ "Ranked list of constituencies by turnout". General Elections Online. House of Commons Library. Archived from the original on 17 September 2017. Retrieved 6 September 2015.
  9. 1 2 "Aberavon and Neath Results" (PDF). UK Parliamentary Elections May 2015 results. Neath Port Talbot County Borough Council. Archived from the original (PDF) on 5 October 2015. Retrieved 16 September 2015.
  10. ↑ "Aberconwy Result" (PDF). Election Results. Conwy County Borough Council. Archived from the original (PDF) on 4 March 2016. Retrieved 16 September 2015.
  11. ↑ "Alyn and Deeside result". Election Results For Alyn And Deeside. Flintshire County Council. 7 May 2015. Retrieved 20 September 2015.
  12. 1 2 "Gwynedd Council results". Parliamentary Election results – 7 May 2015. Gwynedd Council. Retrieved 20 September 2015.
  13. ↑ rejected ballots 95 email from Gwynedd Council 3Jun15
  14. ↑ "Blaenau Gwent result". Blaenau Gwent Parliamentary Constituency Election 2015. Blaenau Gwent County Borough Council. Archived from the original on 8 July 2015. Retrieved 20 September 2015.
  15. 1 2 "Powys election results". 2015 General Election results. Powys County Council. Retrieved 20 September 2015.
  16. ↑ rejected ballots 71 email from Powys County Council 15Jul15
  17. 1 2 "Bridgend and Ogmore results". Elections. Bridgend County Borough Council. Archived from the original on 23 September 2015. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
  18. ↑ "Caerphilly result". General Election 2015 – Results for Caerphilly constituency. Caerphilly County Borough Council. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
  19. ↑ "Cardiff Central result". Election results for Cardiff Central. City of Cardiff Council. 7 May 2015. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
  20. ↑ "Cardiff North result". Election results for Cardiff North. City of Cardiff Council. 7 May 2015. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
  21. ↑ "Cardiff South and Penarth result". Election results for Cardiff South and Penarth. City of Cardiff Council. 7 May 2015. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
  22. ↑ "Cardiff West result". Election results for Cardiff West. City of Cardiff Council. 7 May 2015. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
  23. ↑ "Carmarthen East result". The Newsroom. Carmarthenshire County Council. Archived from the original on 26 September 2015. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
  24. ↑ rejected ballots 61 email from Carmarthenshire County Council 27Jul15
  25. 1 2 email from Pembrokeshire County Council 14Jul15
  26. 1 2 "Pembrokeshire results". Election Results. Pembrokeshire County Council. Archived from the original on 18 December 2011. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
  27. ↑ "Ceredigion result". UK Parliamentary General Election 2015. Ceredigion County Council. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
  28. ↑ "Clwyd South result" (PDF). DECLARATION OF RESULT OF POLL. Wrexham County Borough Council. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
  29. ↑ "Clwyd West result" (PDF). DECLARATION OF RESULT OF POLL. Conwy County Borough Council. Archived from the original (PDF) on 26 September 2015. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
  30. 1 2 3 "Rhondda Cynon Taf". Parliamentary General Elections 2015. Rhondda Cynon Taf County Borough Council. Archived from the original on 25 September 2015. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
  31. ↑ "Delyn result". Election Results For Delyn. Flintshire County Council. 7 May 2015. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
  32. ↑ rejected ballots 65 email from Gwynedd Council 3Jun15
  33. 1 2 3 "Swansea results". Results – UK Parliamentary general election 2015. City and County of Swansea. Archived from the original on 1 October 2015. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
  34. ↑ "Islwyn result". General Election 2015 – Results for Islwyn constituency. Caerphilly County Borough Council. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
  35. ↑ "Llanelli result". The Newsroom. Carmarthenshire County Council. Archived from the original on 1 October 2015. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
  36. ↑ rejected ballots 40 email from Carmarthenshire County Council 27Jul15
  37. ↑ "Merthyr result". Election results for Merthyr Tydfil & Rhymney. Merthyr Tydfil County Borough Council. 7 May 2015. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
  38. ↑ "Monmouth result" (PDF). Declaration of Result of Poll. Monmouthshire County Council. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
  39. ↑ rejected ballots 54 email from Powys County Council 15Jul15
  40. 1 2 "Newport results". General Election 7 May 2015. Newport City Council. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
  41. ↑ rejected ballots 70 email from Newport City Council 4Sep15
  42. ↑ rejected ballots 76 email from Newport City Council 4Sep15
  43. ↑ email from Bridgend County Borough Council 29Jun15
  44. ↑ "Torfaen result" (PDF). DECLARATION OF RESULT OF POLL. Torfaen County Borough Council. Retrieved 20 September 2015.
  45. ↑ "Vale of Clwyd result". Election results for Vale of Clwyd. Denbighshire County Council. April 2013. Retrieved 20 September 2015.
  46. ↑ "Vale of Glamorgan result" (PDF). Statement of Results. Vale of Glamorgan Council. Retrieved 20 September 2015.
  47. ↑ "Wrexham result" (PDF). DECLARATION OF RESULT OF POLL. Wrexham County Borough Council. Retrieved 20 September 2015.
  48. ↑ "Election results for Ynys Môn". Election results for Ynys Môn. Isle of Anglesey Count Council. 7 May 2015. Retrieved 16 September 2015.
  49. ↑ "Formal Result for Ynys Môn" (PDF). Declaration of Result of Poll. Isle of Anglesey County Council. Retrieved 16 September 2015.
  50. ↑ "Co-op Party MPs". Members of Parliament. The Co-operative Party. Retrieved 6 September 2015.
  51. ↑ "Swansea Persons Nominated". Notices (UK parliamentary general election 2015). City and County of Swansea. Archived from the original on 5 October 2015. Retrieved 6 September 2015.
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