Next Scottish Parliament election

Last updated

Next Scottish Parliament election
Flag of Scotland.svg
  2021 On or before 7 May 2026

All 129 seats to the Scottish Parliament
65 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
John Swinney - First Minister (53720492021) (cropped).jpg
Official portrait of Russell Findlay MSP (cropped).jpg
Anas Sarwar MSP.jpg
Leader John Swinney Russell Findlay Anas Sarwar
Party SNP Conservative Labour
Leader since 6 May 2024 27 September 2024 27 February 2021
Leader's seat Perthshire North West Scotland Glasgow
Last election64 seats31 seats22 seats
Current seats623122
Seats neededIncrease2.svg 3Increase2.svg 34Increase2.svg 43

 
Minister for Zero Carbon Buildings, Active Travel and Tenants' Rights Patrick Harvie (cropped).jpg
Minister for Green Skills, Circular Economy and Biodiversity Lorna Slater (cropped).jpg
Alex Cole-Hamilton MSP.jpg
Leader Patrick Harvie &
Lorna Slater
Alex Cole-Hamilton TBA
Party Scottish Green Liberal Democrats Alba
Leader since 1 August 2019 (Slater) /
22 November 2008 (Harvie)
20 August 2021 N/A
Leader's seat Lothian (Slater) /
Glasgow (Harvie)
Edinburgh Western N/A
Last election8 seats4 seats0 seats
Current seats741
Seats neededIncrease2.svg 58Increase2.svg 61Increase2.svg 64

Incumbent First Minister

John Swinney
SNP



The next Scottish Parliament election is required to be held no later than Thursday 7 May 2026, to elect 129 members to the Scottish Parliament. It will be the seventh general election since the parliament was re-established in 1999.

Contents

Six parties have MSPs in the sixth parliament: Scottish National Party (SNP) led by First Minister John Swinney, the Scottish Conservatives led by Russell Findlay, Scottish Labour led by Anas Sarwar, the Scottish Greens, led by their co-leaders Patrick Harvie and Lorna Slater, and the Scottish Liberal Democrats, led by Alex Cole-Hamilton. Of these parties, two have changed their leaders since the last Scottish Parliament election in 2021. Alba also have one MSP following a defection from the SNP, and John Mason sits as an independent after being expelled from the SNP.

Date

Under the Scottish Elections (Reform) Act 2020, an ordinary general election to the Scottish Parliament would normally be held on the first Thursday in May five years after the 2021 election, i.e. on 7 May 2026. [1] This Act superseded the Scotland Act 1998, which had set elections in every fourth year. [2]

The date of the poll may be varied by up to one month either way by the monarch, on the proposal of the Presiding Officer, making 4 June 2026 the latest possible date for this election, assuming the convention of holding elections on a Thursday stands. [2]

If Parliament itself resolves that it should be dissolved, with at least two-thirds of the Members (i.e. 86 Members) voting in favour, the Presiding Officer proposes a date for an extraordinary general election and the Parliament is dissolved by the monarch by royal proclamation.

It does not necessarily require a two-thirds majority to precipitate an extraordinary general election, because under the Scotland Act Parliament is also dissolved if it fails to nominate one of its members to be First Minister within certain time limits, irrespective of whether at the beginning or in the middle of a parliamentary term. Therefore, if the First Minister resigned, Parliament would then have 28 days to elect a successor (s46(2)b and s46(3)a). If no new First Minister was elected then the Presiding Officer would ask for Parliament to be dissolved under s3(1)a. This process could also be triggered if the First Minister lost a vote of confidence by a simple majority (i.e. more than 50%), as they must then resign (Scotland Act 1998 s45(2)).

No extraordinary general elections have been held to date. Any extraordinary general elections would be in addition to ordinary general elections, unless held less than six months before the due date of an ordinary general election, in which case they supplant it. The subsequent ordinary general election reverts to the first Thursday in May, five years after the previous ordinary election. [1] [3]

Election system, seats, and regions

The total number of Members of the Scottish Parliament (MSPs) elected to the Parliament is 129.

The First Periodical Review of the Scottish Parliament's constituencies and regions by the Boundary Commission for Scotland, was announced on 3 July 2007. The Commission published its provisional proposals for the regional boundaries in 2009.

The Scottish Parliament uses an additional member system (AMS), designed to produce approximate proportional representation for each region. There are 8 regions, each sub-divided into smaller constituencies. There are a total of 73 constituencies. Each constituency elects one MSP by the plurality (first past the post) system of election. Each region elects 7 additional MSPs using an additional member system. A modified D'Hondt method, using the constituency results, is used to elect these additional MSPs. [4] [5]

The Scottish Parliament constituencies have not been coterminous with Scottish Westminster constituencies since the 2005 general election, when the 72 former UK Parliament constituencies were replaced with a new set of 59, generally larger, constituencies (see Scottish Parliament (Constituencies) Act 2004). The boundaries used for the Scottish Parliament elections were then revised for the 2011 election. The Boundary Commission also recommended changes to the electoral regions used to elect "list" members of the Scottish Parliament, [6] which were also implemented in 2011.

The Second Periodic Review of constituency and regional boundaries began in September 2022 and is due to be completed by May 2025, with the view of being used in the next election in 2026. [7] [8]

Target constituency seats

Below are listed all the constituencies which require a swing of less than 5% from the 2021 results to change hands. The Scottish Greens do not have any constituencies where they require a swing of less than 5% (having gained their current seats from the regional list vote). The 7.55% swing the Scottish Greens need to gain Glasgow Kelvin is their nearest opportunity in terms of a constituency seat, in which the party finished second in the last Scottish Parliament election behind the SNP.

SNP targets

RankConstituencyWinning party 2021Swing to gainSNP place 2021Result
1 Dumbarton Labour 1.932nd
2 Eastwood Conservative 2.602nd
3 Shetland Liberal Democrats 3.382nd
4 Galloway and West Dumfries Conservative 3.552nd
5 Edinburgh Southern Labour 4.432nd
6 Aberdeenshire West Conservative 4.812nd
7 Dumfriesshire Conservative 4.982nd

Conservative targets

RankConstituencyWinning party 2021Swing to gainCon place 2021Result
1 Ayr SNP 0.202nd
2 Banffshire and Buchan Coast SNP 1.182nd
3 Aberdeen South and North Kincardine SNP 2.152nd
4 Perthshire South and Kinross-shire SNP 2.222nd
5 Aberdeenshire East SNP 2.312nd
6 Moray SNP 3.872nd
7 Angus North and Mearns SNP 4.982nd

Labour targets

RankConstituencyWinning party 2021Swing to gainLabour place 2021Result
1 East Lothian SNP 1.292nd

Liberal Democrat targets

RankConstituencyWinning party 2021Swing to gainLib Dem place 2021Result
1 Caithness, Sutherland and Ross SNP 3.522nd

MSPs not standing for re-election

Members of Scottish Parliament not standing for re-election
MSPSeatFirst electedPartyDate announced
John Mason Glasgow Shettleston 2011 Independent (elected as SNP)25 April 2023 [9]
James Dornan Glasgow Cathcart 2011 SNP 10 August 2023 [10]
Christine Grahame Midlothian South, Tweeddale and Lauderdale 1999 SNP September 2024 [11]
Ruth Maguire Cunninghame South 2016 SNP 16 November 2024 [12]
Elena Whitham Carrick, Cumnock and Doon Valley 2021 SNP 25 November 2024 [13]
Humza Yousaf Glasgow Pollok 2011 SNP 17 December 2024 [14]
Oliver Mundell Dumfriesshire 2016 Conservative 9 January 2025 [15]
Richard Lochhead Moray 1999 SNP 26 January 2025 [16]
Joe FitzPatrick Dundee City West 2007 SNP 28 January 2025 [17]
Michelle Thomson Falkirk East 2021 SNP 29 January 2025 [18]
Audrey Nicoll Aberdeen South and North Kincardine 2021 SNP 9 February 2025 [19]
Evelyn Tweed Stirling 2021 SNP 12 February 2025 [20]
Graeme Dey Angus South 2011 SNP 19 February 2025 [21]
Beatrice Wishart Shetland 2019 Liberal Democrats 20 February 2025 [22]
Liz Smith Mid Scotland and Fife 2007 Conservative 25 February 2025 [23]
Rona Mackay Strathkelvin and Bearsden 2016 SNP 25 February 2025 [24]
Edward Mountain Highlands and Islands 2016 Conservative 26 February 2025 [25]
Gordon MacDonald Edinburgh Pentlands 2011 SNP 28 February 2025 [26]
Annabelle Ewing Cowdenbeath 2011 SNP 2 March 2025 [27]
Richard Leonard Central Scotland 2016 Labour 4 March 2025 [28]
Shona Robinson Dundee City East 1999 SNP 5 March 2025 [29]
Fiona Hyslop Linlithgow 1999 SNP 5 March 2025 [29]
Alex Rowley Mid Scotland and Fife 2014 Labour 6 March 2025 [30]
Christina McKelvie Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse 2007 SNP 10 March 2025 [31]
Bill Kidd Glasgow Anniesland 2007 SNP 12 March 2025 [32]
Nicola Sturgeon Glasgow Southside 1999 SNP 12 March 2025 [33]
Natalie Don-Innes Renfrewshire North and West 2021 SNP 13 March 2025 [34]
Mairi Gougeon Angus North and Mearns 2016 SNP 14 March 2025 [35]
Michael Matheson Falkirk West 1999 SNP 16 March 2025 [36]
Willie Coffey Kilmarnock and Irvine Valley 2007 SNP 17 March 2025 [37]

Candidates

Seat Scottish National Party Liberal Democrats
Aberdeen Central
Aberdeen Donside
Aberdeen South and North Kincardine
Aberdeenshire East
Aberdeenshire West
Airdrie and Shotts
Almond Valley
Angus North and Mearns
Angus South Lloyd Melville [38]
Argyll and Bute
Ayr Siobhian Brown [39]
Banffshire and Buchan Coast
BathgatePauline Stafford [40]
Caithness, Sutherland and Ross
Carrick, Cumnock and Doon Valley
Clackmannanshire and Dunblane
Clydebank and Milngavie
Clydesdale
Coatbridge and Chryston
Cowdenbeath
Cumbernauld and Kilsyth
Cunninghame North
Cunninghame South
Dumbarton Math Campbell-Sturgess [41]
Dumfriesshire
Dundee City East
Dundee City West
Dunfermline
East Kilbride
East Lothian Paul McLennan [42]
Eastwood
Edinburgh Central
Edinburgh Eastern Kate Campbell [43]
Edinburgh Northern and Leith Euan Hyslop [44]
Edinburgh Pentlands Simita Kumar [45]
Edinburgh Southern
Edinburgh Western
Ettrick, Roxburgh and Berwickshire John Redpath [46]
Falkirk East and LinlithgowAnnounced candidates:
Falkirk West
Galloway and West Dumfries
Glasgow Anniesland
Glasgow Baillieston and ShettlestonAnnounced candidates: [49]
Glasgow Cathcart
Glasgow Kelvin
Glasgow Maryhill and Springburn
Glasgow Pollok
Glasgow Provan
Glasgow Southside
Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse Ross Clark [50]
Inverclyde Stuart McMillan [51]
Inverness and Nairn
Kilmarnock and Irvine Valley
Kirkcaldy
Linlithgow
Mid Fife and Glenrothes
Midlothian North and Musselburgh
Midlothian South, Tweeddale and Lauderdale
Moray
Motherwell and Wishaw
Na h-Eileanan an Iar
North East Fife
Orkney
Paisley
Perthshire North
Perthshire South and Kinross-shire
Renfrewshire North and West
Renfrewshire South
Rutherglen
Shetland
Skye, Lochaber and Badenoch
Stirling
Strathkelvin and Bearsden Adam Harley [52]
Uddingston and Bellshill

Opinion polling

ScotlandListVote2026.svg
ScotlandC.svg
Key

  SNP – Scottish National Party
  Conservative – Scottish Conservatives
  Labour – Scottish Labour
  Lib Dem – Scottish Liberal Democrats
  Green – Scottish Greens
  Alba – Alba Party
  Reform – Reform UK

See also

Notes

    References

    1. 1 2 "Scottish Elections (Reform) Act 2020". www.legislation.gov.uk. Archived from the original on 9 May 2021. Retrieved 9 May 2021.
    2. 1 2 "Scotland Act 1998 – Section 2 Ordinary General Elections". Office of Public Sector Information. Archived from the original on 19 May 2007. Retrieved 8 May 2007.
    3. "Scotland Act 1998 – Section 3 Extraordinary General Elections". Office of Public Sector Information. Archived from the original on 19 May 2007. Retrieved 8 May 2007.
    4. "Electoral system: How it works, 02 April 2003". BBC News. BBC. 2 April 2003. Archived from the original on 4 September 2007. Retrieved 6 May 2011.
    5. "D'Hondt system". BBC News. BBC. 28 September 2009. Archived from the original on 13 November 2011. Retrieved 4 May 2011.
    6. "Revised Recommendations" (PDF). Boundary Commission for Scotland. Archived (PDF) from the original on 12 June 2011. Retrieved 26 April 2011.
    7. Scotland, Ballot Box (21 May 2023). "Scottish Parliament Boundary Review 2: Initial Proposals". Ballot Box Scotland. Retrieved 6 July 2024.
    8. "Second Review of Scottish Parliament Boundaries | Scottish Boundary Commission". boundaries.scot. Retrieved 6 July 2024.
    9. Paterson, Kirsteen (25 April 2023). "SNP MSP John Mason 'to stand down' at next election". Holyrood. Retrieved 1 May 2024.
    10. Staff reporter (10 August 2023). "James Dornan: This is my last term as an MSP'". Holyrood. Retrieved 16 March 2024.
    11. Brawn, Steph (29 September 2024). "Christine Grahame: I've never wanted to be a minister, I like freedom" . The National.
    12. "SNP MSP Ruth Maguire to stand down in 2026 after cancer diagnosis". BBC News. 16 November 2024.
    13. Bark, Stephen (25 November 2024). "Ayrshire MSP to stand down at 2026 Holyrood election in 'difficult decision'". Daily Record.
    14. Cochrane, Angus (17 December 2024). "Ex-First Minister Humza Yousaf to step down as MSP at next election". BBC News.
    15. "MSP Oliver Mundell to stand down at the next election". BBC News. 9 January 2025.
    16. Elliards, Xander (26 January 2025). "SNP minister confirms plans to resign from Holyrood after 27 years". The National.
    17. Clark, Alasdair (28 January 2025). "EXCLUSIVE: Veteran Dundee SNP MSP Joe FitzPatrick to stand down". The Courier.
    18. Paterson, Kirsteen (29 January 2025). "SNP MSP Michelle Thomson to stand down". Holyrood Magazine.
    19. Pollock, Laura (9 February 2025). "Audrey Nicoll to step down at Holyrood 2026". The National.
    20. Pollock, Laura (13 February 2025). "SNP MSP Evelyn Tweed to stand down ahead of Holyrood election". The National.
    21. McDougal, Mark (19 February 2025). "SNP's Graeme Dey to step down as MSP in 2026 election". The Herald.
    22. Taylor, Ryan (20 February 2025). "UPDATED: Tribute paid to Wishart after decision to stand down". The Shetland Times.
    23. Nutt, Kathleen (25 February 2025). "Scottish Conservative Liz Smith to stand down at election". The Herald.
    24. "SNP MSP Rona Mackay to Step Down at Next Holyrood Election". The National. 26 February 2025. Retrieved 26 February 2025.
    25. "Tory MSP Edward Mountain to step down ahead of Holyrood election". STV News. 26 February 2025.
    26. "SNP MSP announces plans to step down at 2026 Holyrood elections".
    27. "Annabelle Ewing announces she will not run for re-election in 2026". The National. 2 March 2025. Retrieved 2 March 2025.
    28. "Richard Leonard, Central Scotland MSP and former Scottish Labour leader, won't seek re-election next year". The Daily Record. 4 March 2025. Retrieved 4 March 2025.
    29. 1 2 "Shona Robinson and Fiona Hyslop to stand down as MSPs". BBC News. 5 March 2025. Retrieved 5 March 2024.
    30. "Fife MSP announces plans to stand down at next Scottish election". Fife Today. 7 March 2025. Retrieved 7 March 2025.
    31. "Christina McKelvie to stand down at next election". Holyrood. 10 March 2025. Retrieved 10 March 2025.
    32. "Nobel Peace Prize Nominee MSP to Stand Down from Scottish Parliament". Holyrood. 12 March 2025. Retrieved 12 March 2025.
    33. "Nicola Sturgeon to stand down from Holyrrod". Holyrood. 12 March 2025. Retrieved 12 March 2025.
    34. "Renfrewshire MSP to stand down at 2026 Scottish Parliament election". Glasgow Times. 13 March 2025. Retrieved 13 March 2025.
    35. "Cabinet minister becomes latest MSP to announce decision to step down". The Herald. 12 March 2025. Retrieved 14 March 2025.
    36. "Disgraced ex-health secretary Matheson to quit politics". The Herald. 16 March 2025. Retrieved 16 March 2025.
    37. "Ayrshire MSP announces 'difficult decision' to stand down at 2026 Holyrood election". The Daily Record. 17 March 2025. Retrieved 17 March 2025.
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    47. Mitchell, David (17 March 2025). "tweet".
    48. "tweet".
    49. "SNP Holyrood selection 'civil war' begins as ex-MP David Linden puts himself forward". The Scotsman. 17 March 2025. Retrieved 18 March 2025.
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    51. McMillan, Stuart (18 March 2025). "tweet".
    52. "Adam Harley selected for key Scottish Parliament target". Liberal Democrat Voice. Retrieved 18 March 2025.