Opinion polling on Scottish independence

Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations. This article concerns the nearly 300 polls carried out since the 2014 Scottish independence referendum. Polling conducted before the referendum can be found here. Polls listed here, except as noted, are by members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.

The main table includes primarily those polls which ask the same question as the 2014 referendum: "Should Scotland be an Independent Country?". Other tables reflect different questions on independence, which may produce different results. Any factors that might impact the poll result, such as excluding 16 and 17-year-old voters, are recorded in the 'Notes' column. The table also lists some events that may have impacted on polls including Brexit, COVID-19 and party leadership changes.

Polls in the main table, using the same question, still show systematic differences between different polling organisations. Therefore to discern trends it is helpful to compare a poll with previous results from same pollster.

Graphical summary

Polling Last 24 Months

Polling since Sep 2014

Headline Figure Last 24 Months

Polls by Company by Year

Polls using the 2014 referendum question

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Should Scotland be an independent country?			Lead	Notes
			Yes	No	Undecided
15-20 Jan 2025	Find Out Now/The Herald	1,334	50%	46%	5%	5%	[a]
17-24 Dec 2024	Find Out Now/The National	1,774	50%	45%	5%	5%	[a]
4-6 Dec 2024	Norstat/The Sunday Times	1,013	51%	43%	5%	8%
1-15 Nov 2024	Survation/Progress Scotland	3,016	44%	47%	9%	3%
30 Oct-1 Nov 2024	Norstat/The Sunday Times	1,013	47%	47%	6%	Tied
16-23 Oct 2024	Find Out Now/Alba Party	1,058	48%	45%	7%	3%	[a]
10-13 Sep 2024	Survation/Progress Scotland	2,059	42%	49%	9%	7%
8-13 Sep 2024	More in Common/ Sunday Times	949	44%	48%	8%	4%
5-11 Sep 2024	Opinium/The Times	1,028	45%	47%	8%	2%
29 Aug-3 Sep 2024	YouGov	1,063	40%	51%	9%	11%	[b] [c]
20-22 Aug 2024	Norstat/The Sunday Times	1,011	45%	48%	7%	3%
4 July 2024	2024 United Kingdom general election
26-27 Jun 2024	Redfield and Wilton	1,200	46%	48%	6%	2%
24-26 Jun 2024	Norstat/The Sunday Times	1,258	47%	47%	6%	Tied
21-26 Jun 2024	Survation / Ballot Box Scotland	1,022	42%	49%	9%	7%
20-25 Jun 2024	YouGov	1,059	39%	51%	9%	11%	[b]
11-14 Jun 2024	Norstat/The Sunday Times	1,050	46%	48%	6%	2%
3-9 Jun 2024	Ipsos	1,150	49%	47%	4%	2%
3-7 Jun 2024	YouGov	1,068	42%	48%	10%	6%	[b]
1-2 Jun 2024	Redfield and Wilton	1,000	46%	49%	5%	3%
24-28 May 2024	Savanta/The Scotsman	1,067	44%	48%	8%	4%
23-27 May 2024	Survation/True North	1,026	41%	49%	10%	8%
13-17 May 2024	YouGov	1,114	41%	49%	10%	8%	[b]
8-9 May 2024	Redfield and Wilton	1,078	44%	48%	8%	4%
6–8 May 2024	John Swinney becomes leader of the SNP and then First Minister of Scotland
3-8 May 2024	Savanta/The Scotsman	1,080	44%	48%	8%	4%
30 Apr-3 May 2024	Norstat/The Sunday Times	1,014	45%	49%	6%	4%
26-29 Apr 2024	YouGov	1,043	42%	48%	10%	6%	[b]
9–12 Apr 2024	Norstat/The Sunday Times	1,086	44%	51%	4%	7%
6–7 Apr 2024	Redfield and Wilton	1,000	44%	42%	14%	2%
25 Apr – 2 May 2024	YouGov	1,100	42%	49%	9%	8%	[b]
10–11 Mar 2024	Redfield and Wilton	1,000	43%	46%	11%	3%
3–4 Feb 2024	Redfield and Wilton	1,000	43%	47%	10%	4%
25–31 Jan 2024	Ipsos	1,005	50%	47%	5%	6%
23–25 Jan 2024	Survation/True North	1,029	43%	47%	10%	4%
22–25 Jan 2024	Norstat/The Sunday Times	1,007	47%	48%	4%	1%
11–24 Jan 2024	Find Out Now	842	49%	45%	6%	4%
9–11 Jan 2024	Redfield & Wilton	1,040	46%	47%	7%	1%
26–27 Nov 2023	Redfield & Wilton	1,054	46%	48%	6%	2%
20–26 Nov 2023	Ipsos Scotland	1,000	51%	43%	5%	8%
29–30 Oct 2023	Redfield & Wilton	1,092	45%	50%	5%	5%
20–25 Oct 2023	YouGov/Scottish Opinion Monitor (Scoop)	1,244	38%	46%	11%	8%	[d]
6–18 Oct 2023	Focaldata/Scotland in Union	1,037	40%	48%	9%	8%	[e]
6–11 Oct 2023	Savanta/The Scotsman	1,002	45%	47%	8%	2%
2–5 Oct 2023	Panelbase	1,022	45%	49%	6%	4%
4–5 Oct 2023	Redfield & Wilton Strategies	1,095	46%	48%	6%	2%
8–12 Sep 2023	YouGov	1,103	42%	48%	10%	5%	[b]
5–14 Sep 2023	Opinium/Tony Blair Institute	1,004	45%	41%	9%	4%	[a]
5–11 Sep 2023	Find Out Now/Independent Voices	1,402	49%	46%	4%	4%	[a]
2–4 Sep 2023	Redfield & Wilton Strategies	1,100	44%	49%	6%	5%
15–18 Aug 2023	Survation	1,002	43%	47%	10%	4%
3–8 Aug 2023	YouGov	1,086	45%	47%	9%	2%	[b]
5–6 Aug 2023	Redfield & Wilton Strategies	1,050	45%	48%	7%	3%
1–2 Jul 2023	Redfield & Wilton Strategies	1,030	45%	49%	6%	4%
26–29 Jun 2023	Yougov	1,100	40%	50%	10%	10%	[b]
23–28 Jun 2023	Survation	1,915	42%	47%	10%	5%
13–20 Jun 2023	Find Out Now/Independent Voices	1,035	48%	45%	7%	3%	[a]
12–15 Jun 2023	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,007	44%	50%	6%	6%
9–14 Jun 2023	Savanta/The Scotsman	1,018	46%	47%	7%	1%
9–13 Jun 2023	YouGov/Scottish Opinion Monitor (Scoop)	1,244	36%	46%	11%	10%
7–12 Jun 2023	Find Out Now/Alba Party	558	43%	39%	11%	4%	[f] [g] [a]
3–5 Jun 2023	Redfield & Wilton Strategies	1,466	43%	50%	7%	7%
15–21 May 2023	Ipsos/STV	1,100	51%	45%	4%	6%
27 Apr – 3 May 2023	Survation/True North	1,009	44%	47%	9%	3%
30 Apr – 2 May 2023	Redfield & Wilton Strategies	1,244	42%	52%	6%	10%
17–20 Apr 2023	YouGov/ The Times	1,032	42%	48%	10%	6%	[b]
29 Mar – 3 Apr 2023	Survation	1,007	42%	47%	10%	5%
31 Mar – 1 Apr 2023	Redfield & Wilton Strategies	1,000	44%	50%	6%	6%
28–31 Mar 2023	Savanta/Scotsman	1,009	45%	47%	8%	2%
28–30 Mar 2023	Panelbase/ The Sunday Times	1,089	46%	49%	5%	3%
27–29 Mar 2023	Humza Yousaf becomes leader of the SNP and then First Minister of Scotland
9–13 Mar 2023	YouGov/Sky News	1,002	41%	49%	10%	8%	[b]
8–10 Mar 2023	Survation/DC Thomson	1,037	40%	48%	12%	8%	[a]
7–10 Mar 2023	Panelbase/Scot Goes Pop	1,013	45%	49%	5%	4%
1–9 Mar 2023	Find Out Now/Scot Goes Pop	1,266	50%	46%	4%	4%
2–5 Mar 2023	Redfield & Wilton Strategies [1]	1,050	42%	51%	8%	9%
22–23 Feb 2023	TechneUK	502	39%	47%	14%	8%	[h] [a]
17–20 Feb 2023	YouGov/The Times	1,017	42%	49%	9%	7%	[b]
15–17 Feb 2023	Savanta/The Scotsman	1,004	44%	46%	9%	2%
15 Feb 2023	Nicola Sturgeon announces her intention to resign as First Minister of Scotland
10–15 Feb 2023	YouGov/YouGov/Scottish Opinion Monitor (Scoop)	1,239	40%	48%	8%	8%
1–7 Feb 2023	Survation	1,070	44%	45%	11%	1%
6–13 Feb 2023	Panelbase/Believe in Scotland	2,006	44%	48%	8%	4%
26 Jan – 3 Feb 2023	Lord Ashcroft	2,105	37%	48%	12%	11%	[i]
23–26 Jan 2023	YouGov/The Times	1,088	42%	48%	10%	6%	[b]
11–18 Jan 2023	Find Out Now/The National	1,094	52%	44%	3%	8%
17 Jan 2023	UK Government blocks Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill by invoking Section 35 of the Scotland Act 1998
10–12 Jan 2023	Survation/TrueNorth	1,002	41%	47%	11%	6%
16–21 Dec 2022	Savanta/The Scotsman	1,048	44%	46%	9%	2%
12–16 Dec 2022	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,004	49%	45%	6%	4%
6–9 Dec 2022	YouGov/The Times	1,090	47%	42%	8%	5%
1–8 Dec 2022	Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus	1,094	51%	43%	6%	8%
28 Nov–5 Dec 2022	Ipsos/STV	1,065	53%	42%	4%	11%
26–27 Nov 2022	Redfield & Wilton Strategies	1,000	49%	45%	5%	4%
22–25 Nov 2022	YouGov/YouGov/Scottish Opinion Monitor (Scoop)	1,210	43%	42%	8%	1%
23 Nov 2022	Supreme Court rules the Scottish Parliament requires consent of the UK Government to legislate a second independence referendum
25 Oct 2022	Rishi Sunak becomes Prime Minister of the United Kingdom
20 Oct 2022	Liz Truss announces her intention to resign as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom
13–19 Oct 2022	Ipsos	2,086	50%	43%	4%	7%	[j]
7–10 Oct 2022	Panelbase/Alba Party	1,018	46%	49%	5%	3%
5–7 Oct 2022	Panelbase/Business for Scotland	1,017	47%	47%	6%	Tied
30 Sep–4 Oct 2022	YouGov/The Times	1,067	43%	45%	7%	2%
30 Sep–4 Oct 2022	Savanta ComRes/The Scotsman	1,029	45%	46%	8%	1%
14–16 Sep 2022	Deltapoll/Sun in Scotland	659	42%	47%	7%	5%	[k] [a]
8 Sep 2022	Elizabeth II dies and is succeeded by her son, Charles III
6 Sep 2022	Liz Truss becomes Prime Minister of the United Kingdom
17–19 Aug 2022	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,133	46%	48%	6%	2%
7 July 2022	Boris Johnson announces his intention to resign as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom
29 Jun–1 Jul 2022	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,010	48%	47%	5%	1%
29–30 Jun 2022	Techne UK	501	39%	45%	15%	6%	[l] [a]
28 Jun 2022	Nicola Sturgeon announces her intention to hold an independence referendum on 19 October 2023
23–28 Jun 2022	Savanta ComRes/The Scotsman	1,029	44%	46%	10%	2%
23–29 May 2022	Ipsos/STV	1,000	45%	46%	8%	1%
18–23 May 2022	YouGov/The Times	1,115	38%	46%	11%	8%
5 May 2022	2022 Scottish local elections
26 Apr–3 May 2022	Savanta ComRes/The Scotsman	1,010	45%	47%	7%	2%
26–29 Apr 2022	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,009	47%	49%	5%	2%
25–31 Mar 2022	BMG/Herald	1,012	43%	49%	8%	6%
25–31 Mar 2022	YouGov/TheseIslands	519	39%	44%	13%	5%	[m]
24–28 Mar 2022	Survation/Ballot Box Scotland	1,002	42%	47%	11%	5%
10–16 Mar 2022	Savanta ComRes/The Scotsman	1,008	44%	49%	7%	5%
24–28 Feb 2022	Savanta ComRes/The Economist	1,651	45%	46%	9%	1%
24 Feb 2022	2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine
3–9 Feb 2022	Ipsos	1,163	50%	43%	6%	7%	[n]
14–18 Jan 2022	Savanta ComRes/The Scotsman	1,004	46%	46%	8%	Tied
15–22 Dec 2021	Opinium/Daily Record	1,328	44%	44%	12%	Tied	[a]
22–29 Nov 2021	Ipsos MORI/STV	1,107	52%	43%	4%	9%
18–22 Nov 2021	YouGov/The Times	1,060	40%	46%	14%	6%
9–12 Nov 2021	Panelbase/SundayTimes	1,781	45%	47%	8%	2%
22–28 Oct 2021	Savanta ComRes/Scotsman	1,005	45%	48%	7%	3%
20–26 Oct 2021	Panelbase/Scot Goes Pop	1,001	44%	50%	5%	6%
18 Sep 2021	Redfield & Wilton Strategies/Politico	1,000	44%	47%	9%	3%
6–10 Sep 2021	Panelbase/SundayTimes	2,003	45%	49%	6%	4%
3–9 Sep 2021	Savanta ComRes Sunday Times	1,016	45%	48%	7%	3%
1–8 Sep 2021	Stack Data Strategy/UKonward	1,007	45%	49%	6%	4%
3–8 Sep 2021	Opinium/Sky News	1,014	44%	43%	13%	1%
4–5 Aug 2021	Redfield & Wilton Strategies	1,000	44%	47%	9%	3%
16–24 Jun 2021	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,287	45%	48%	7%	3%
11–14 May 2021	Savanta ComRes/Scotland on Sunday	1,003	43%	49%	8%	6%
7–8 May 2021	Stack Data/Our Scottish Future	1,000	48%	48%	4%	Tied	[o]
6 May 2021	2021 Scottish Parliament election
30 Apr–4 May 2021	Savanta ComRes/The Scotsman	1,001	42%	50%	8%	8%
2–4 May 2021	YouGov/The Times	1,144	41%	46%	13%	5%
30 Apr–4 May 2021	Survation/DC Thomson	1,008	43%	47%	10%	4%
28 Apr–3 May 2021	Opinium/Sky News	1,015	45%	45%	8%	Tied
30 Apr–3 May 2021	Ipsos MORI/STV	1,502	47%	47%	6%	Tied
28–30 Apr 2021	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,096	48%	45%	6%	3%
27–30 Apr 2021	BMG/Herald	1,023	47%	47%	7%	Tied
23–27 Apr 2021	Savanta ComRes/The Scotsman	1,001	42%	49%	8%	7%
23–26 Apr 2021	Survation/Good Morning Britain	1,008	42%	47%	11%	5%
21–26 Apr 2021	Panelbase/Scot Goes Pop	1,075	47%	48%	6%	1%
21–23 Apr 2021	Survation/These Islands	1,006	44%	46%	10%	2%
20–22 Apr 2021	Survation/DC Thomson	1,037	44%	45%	11%	1%
16–20 Apr 2021	Savanta ComRes/The Scotsman	1,001	44%	48%	8%	4%
16–20 Apr 2021	YouGov/The Times	1,204	39%	45%	16%	6%
7–19 Apr 2021	Lord Ashcroft	2,017	44%	45%	11%	1%	[i]
9–12 Apr 2021	Panelbase/Believe in Scotland	1,002	48%	46%	6%	2%
2–7 Apr 2021	Savanta ComRes/The Scotsman	1,007	45%	45%	9%	Tied
1–6 Apr 2021	Opinium/Sky News	1,023	47%	45%	6%	2%
29 Mar–4 Apr 2021	Ipsos MORI/STV	1,038	49%	45%	6%	4%
30 Mar–1 Apr 2021	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,009	48%	47%	5%	1%
29–30 Mar 2021	Survation/DC Thomson	1,021	45%	44%	11%	1%
23–26 Mar 2021	Find Out Now/Daily Express	1,022	48%	44%	8%	4%
16–19 Mar 2021	BMG/Herald	1,021	49%	46%	5%	3%
11–18 Mar 2021	Survation/DC Thomson	2,047	43%	45%	12%	2%
11–16 Mar 2021	Opinium/Sky News	1,096	45%	43%	8%	2%
5–10 Mar 2021	Savanta ComRes/The Scotsman	1,009	45%	47%	8%	2%
5–9 Mar 2021	Hanbury Strategy [ permanent dead link ‍]	1,502	50%	43%	8%	6%
4–8 Mar 2021	YouGov/The Times	1,100	41%	43%	14%	2%
4–5 Mar 2021	Savanta ComRes/The Scotsman	1,015	43%	46%	10%	3%	[p]
3–5 Mar 2021	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,013	46%	47%	7%	1%
26 Feb–4 Mar 2021	Savanta ComRes/Daily Express	1,004	43%	45%	12%	2%
12 Feb–1 Mar 2021	Hanbury Strategy [ permanent dead link ‍]	3,946	52%	41%	7%	11%
27 Feb 2021	Anas Sarwar becomes leader of Scottish Labour
25–26 Feb 2021	Survation/Daily Record	1,011	43%	44%	13%	1%
18–22 Feb 2021	Savanta ComRes/ITV News	1,008	48%	44%	8%	4%
15–21 Feb 2021	Ipsos MORI/STV	1,031	48%	44%	7%	4%
4–9 Feb 2021	Savanta ComRes/The Scotsman	1,002	43%	46%	11%	3%	[q]
19–22 Jan 2021	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,206	49%	44%	7%	5%
14 Jan 2021	Richard Leonard resigns as leader of Scottish Labour
11–13 Jan 2021	Survation/Scot Goes Pop	1,020	45%	43%	12%	2%
8–13 Jan 2021	Savanta ComRes/The Scotsman	1,016	47%	43%	10%	4%	[q]
31 Dec 2020	The post-Brexit transition period ends
11–15 Dec 2020	Savanta ComRes/The Scotsman	1,013	49%	39%	12%	10%	[q]
8 Dec 2020	COVID-19 vaccination in the United Kingdom commences
2–7 Dec 2020	Survation	1,018	44%	42%	14%	2%
20–26 Nov 2020	Ipsos MORI/STV	1,006	51%	41%	8%	10%
5–11 Nov 2020	Panelbase/Scot Goes Pop	1,020	51%	40%	8%	11%
6–10 Nov 2020	YouGov	1,089	43%	42%	10%	1%
28 Oct–3 Nov 2020	Survation	1,071	47%	40%	13%	7%
2–9 Oct 2020	Ipsos MORI/STV	1,045	52%	39%	9%	13%
9 Oct 2020	Savanta ComRes Archived 28 September 2021 at the Wayback Machine	1,003	47%	42%	11%	5%
25 Sep–5 Oct 2020	Survation/Progress Scotland	2,093	49%	42%	9%	7%	[r]
17–21 Sep 2020	JL Partners	1,016	51%	40%	7%	11%	[s]
2–7 Sep 2020	Survation	1,018	46%	40%	13%	6%
12–18 Aug 2020	Panelbase/Business for Scotland	1,011	51%	42%	7%	9%
6–13 Aug 2020	Savanta ComRes	1,008	49%	42%	9%	7%
6–10 Aug 2020	YouGov/The Times	1,142	45%	40%	9%	5%
5 Aug 2020	Douglas Ross becomes leader of the Scottish Conservatives
30 Jul 2020	Jackson Carlaw resigns as leader of the Scottish Conservatives
30 Jun–3 Jul 2020	Panelbase/Sunday Times Archived 7 July 2020 at the Wayback Machine	1,026	50%	43%	7%	7%
15–19 Jun 2020	Panelbase/Business for Scotland	1,070	50%	43%	7%	7%
1–5 Jun 2020	Panelbase/Scot Goes Pop Archived 12 June 2020 at the Wayback Machine	1,022	48%	45%	8%	3%
1–5 May 2020	Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland	1,086	46%	46%	7%	Tied
24–26 Mar 2020	Panelbase/Sunday Times Archived 8 May 2020 at the Wayback Machine	1,023	46%	47%	7%	1%
1 March 2020	COVID-19 pandemic confirmed to have spread to Scotland
14 Feb 2020	Jackson Carlaw becomes leader of the Scottish Conservatives
7–14 Feb 2020	YouGov/Hanbury Strategy	2,587	45%	46%	8%	1%	[a] [t]
31 Jan 2020	The United Kingdom leaves the European Union
28–31 Jan 2020	Panelbase/Scot Goes Pop Archived 28 February 2020 at the Wayback Machine	1,016	49%	46%	6%	3%
22–27 Jan 2020	YouGov	1,039	43%	42%	10%	1%
20–22 Jan 2020	Survation/Progress Scotland	1,019	45%	45%	10%	Tied
12 Dec 2019	2019 United Kingdom general election
10–11 Dec 2019	Survation/The Courier	1,012	46%	47%	7%	1%
3–6 Dec 2019	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,020	44%	50%	6%	6%
3–6 Dec 2019	YouGov/The Times	1,008	38%	48%	12%	10%
19–25 Nov 2019	Ipsos MORI/STV	1,046	48%	48%	4%	Tied
20–22 Nov 2019	Panelbase/Sunday Times Archived 25 November 2019 at the Wayback Machine	1,009	45%	47%	7%	2%
9–11 Oct 2019	Panelbase/Sunday Times Archived 29 August 2022 at the Wayback Machine	1,003	46%	47%	7%	1%
30 Sep–9 Oct 2019	Survation/Progress Scotland	2,032	40%	51%	9%	11%	[u]
30 Aug–3 Sep 2019	YouGov/The Times	1,059	43%	44%	13%	1%
29 Aug 2019	Ruth Davidson resigns as leader of the Scottish Conservatives
30 Jul–2 Aug 2019	Lord Ashcroft	1,019	46%	43%	12%	3%	[i] [a]
24 Jul 2019	Boris Johnson becomes the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom
18–20 Jun 2019	Panelbase/Sunday Times Archived 29 August 2022 at the Wayback Machine	1,024	46%	48%	6%	2%
24 May 2019	Theresa May announces her resignation as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom
23 May 2019	2019 European Parliament election
14–17 May 2019	Panelbase/Sunday Times Archived 26 June 2019 at the Wayback Machine	1,021	45%	49%	6%	4%
24–26 Apr 2019	YouGov/The Times	1,029	44%	45%	11%	1%
18–24 Apr 2019	Panelbase/Sunday Times Archived 23 May 2019 at the Wayback Machine	1,018	44%	49%	7%	5%
15–21 Mar 2019	Survation/Progress Scotland	2,041	35%	56%	8%	21%	[v]
30 Nov–5 Dec 2018	Panelbase/Sunday Times Archived 11 December 2018 at the Wayback Machine	1,028	45%	51%	4%	6%
2–7 Nov 2018	Panelbase/Constitutional Commission Archived 20 November 2018 at the Wayback Machine	1,050	43%	52%	5%	9%
18–21 Oct 2018	Survation/Daily Record	1,017	41%	51%	7%	10%
3–5 Oct 2018	Survation/Scottish National Party	1,013	41%	49%	8%	8%
28 Sep–4 Oct 2018	Panelbase/Sunday Times Archived 9 October 2018 at the Wayback Machine	1,024	41%	52%	7%	11%
28 Sep–2 Oct 2018	Survation/Sunday Post	1,036	43%	49%	8%	6%
24–29 Aug 2018	Deltapoll/OFOC & Best for Britain	1,022	45%	47%	8%	2%	[w]
5–10 Jul 2018	Survation/Daily Record	1,002	41%	47%	12%	6%	[a]
8–13 Jun 2018	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,021	41%	53%	6%	12%
1–5 Jun 2018	YouGov/The Times	1,075	41%	50%	6%	9%
30 May–5 Jun 2018	YouGov/Future of England	1,052	41%	47%	12%	6%	[x] [a]
23–28 Mar 2018	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,037	41%	53%	6%	12%
5–11 Mar 2018	Ipsos MORI/STV	1,050	46%	50%	4%	4%	[a]
24–28 Jan 2018	Survation/Daily Record	1,029	42%	50%	8%	8%
12–16 Jan 2018	YouGov/The Times	1,002	37%	50%	10%	13%	[a]
1–5 Dec 2017	Survation/Sunday Post	1,006	42%	49%	8%	7%
27–30 Nov 2017	Survation/Daily Record	1,017	42%	48%	10%	6%
2–5 Oct 2017	YouGov/The Times	1,135	39%	50%	7%	11%	[a]
8–12 Sep 2017	Survation/Scottish Daily Mail	1,016	42%	49%	9%	7%
31 Aug–7 Sep 2017	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,021	40%	53%	6%	13%
9–13 Jun 2017	Survation/Daily Record	1,037	39%	53%	7%	14%
8 Jun 2017	2017 United Kingdom general election
6–7 Jun 2017	Survation/Daily Record	1,001	36%	56%	7%	20%
2–7 Jun 2017	Panelbase/TheTimes	1,106	41%	53%	6%	12%
1–5 Jun 2017	YouGov/The Times	1,093	38%	50%	8%	12%	[a]
31 May–2 Jun 2017	Survation/Sunday Post	1,024	42%	50%	8%	8%
22–27 May 2017	Ipsos MORI/STV	1,016	45%	51%	3%	6%	[a]
15–18 May 2017	YouGov/The Times	1,032	39%	49%	8%	10%	[a]
4 May 2017	2017 Scottish local elections
24–27 Apr 2017	YouGov/The Times	1,017	40%	49%	8%	9%	[a]
18–21 Apr 2017	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,029	43%	52%	5%	9%
18–21 Apr 2017	Survation/Sunday Post	1,018	43%	48%	9%	5%	[a]
7–11 Apr 2017	BMG/Herald	1,041	43%	45%	12%	2%
29 Mar–11 Apr 2017	Kantar	1,060	37%	55%	8%	18%
13–17 Mar 2017	Panelbase/Sunday Times Archived 20 March 2017 at the Wayback Machine	1,008	42%	53%	5%	11%
9–14 Mar 2017	YouGov/The Times	1,028	37%	48%	11%	11%	[a]
8–13 Mar 2017	Survation/Scottish Daily Mail	1,019	43%	48%	9%	5%
13 Mar 2017	Nicola Sturgeon announces the intention to seek approval for a Section 30 order enabling an independence referendum
24 Feb–6 Mar 2017	Ipsos MORI/STV	1,029	47%	46%	6%	1%
23–27 Feb 2017	BMG/Herald	1,009	41%	44%	15%	3%
7–13 Feb 2017	Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland	1,028	44%	51%	6%	7%
26–31 Jan 2017	BMG/Herald	1,067	43%	45%	10%	2%
20–26 Jan 2017	Panelbase/Sunday Times Archived 31 January 2017 at the Wayback Machine	1,020	43%	51%	7%	8%
9–16 Dec 2016	BMG/Herald	1,002	40%	47%	13%	7%
29 Aug–16 Dec 2016	YouGov	3,166	39%	47%	11%	8%	[a]
24–29 Nov 2016	YouGov/The Times	1,134	38%	49%	13%	11%
9–15 Sep 2016	Panelbase/Sunday Times Archived 2 October 2016 at the Wayback Machine	1,024	44%	50%	7%	6%
5–11 Sep 2016	Ipsos MORI/STV	1,000	45%	50%	5%	5%
5–10 Sep 2016	Survation	1,073	42%	48%	10%	6%
10 Aug–4 Sep 2016	TNS	1,047	41%	47%	12%	6%
29–31 Aug 2016	YouGov/The Times	1,039	40%	46%	13%	6%	[a]
20–25 Jul 2016	YouGov	1,005	40%	45%	14%	5%	[a]
13 Jul 2016	Theresa May becomes the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom
24–28 Jun 2016	Survation/Scottish Daily Mail	1,055	47%	41%	12%	6%
25–26 Jun 2016	Panelbase/Sunday Times	626	47%	44%	8%	3%	[y]
25 Jun 2016	Survation/Daily Record	1,002	48%	41%	9%	7%
24 Jun 2016	David Cameron announces his resignation as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom
23 Jun 2016	2016 EU membership referendum
5 May 2016	2016 Scottish Parliament election
2–4 May 2016	YouGov/The Times	1,445	41%	48%	12%	7%
23–28 Apr 2016	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,074	44%	49%	6%	5%
15–20 Apr 2016	Survation/Daily Record	1,005	44%	47%	9%	3%
6–15 Apr 2016	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,021	45%	51%	5%	6%
7–11 Apr 2016	YouGov/The Times	1,012	41%	49%	10%	8%
10–17 Mar 2016	Survation/Daily Record	1,051	44%	47%	9%	3%
7–9 Mar 2016	YouGov/The Times	1,070	40%	47%	12%	7%
25–29 Feb 2016	Survation/Scottish Daily Mail	1,022	44%	49%	7%	5%
11–16 Feb 2016	Survation/Daily Record	1,006	42%	48%	9%	6%
1–7 Feb 2016	Ipsos MORI/STV	1,000	49%	45%	5%	4%
1–4 Feb 2016	YouGov/The Times	1,022	43%	51%	7%	8%
8–14 Jan 2016	Panelbase/Sunday Times Archived 19 May 2016 at the Wayback Machine	1,053	44%	50%	7%	6%
8–12 Jan 2016	Survation/Daily Record	1,029	45%	47%	8%	2%
6–13 Nov 2015	Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland	1,074	47%	49%	5%	2%
9–13 Oct 2015	YouGov/The Times	1,026	45%	49%	6%	4%
7–10 Sep 2015	Survation/Scottish Daily Mail	1,010	45%	46%	9%	1%
7–10 Sep 2015	YouGov/The Times	1,110	45%	49%	6%	4%
4–10 Sep 2015	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,005	45%	51%	3%	6%
12 Aug–1 Sep 2015	TNS	1,023	47%	42%	11%	5%
24–30 Aug 2015	Ipsos MORI/STV	1,002	53%	44%	3%	9%
3–7 Jul 2015	Survation/Scottish Daily Mail	1,084	43%	47%	10%	4%
26 Jun–3 Jul 2015	Panelbase/SundayTimes	1,002	45%	50%	5%	5%
19–21 May 2015	YouGov/Sunday Post	1,108	44%	49%	7%	5%
7 May 2015	2015 United Kingdom general election.
3–6 May 2015	Survation/Daily Record	1,660	44%	47%	9%	3%
29 Apr–1 May 2015	YouGov/Sunday Times	1,162	43%	49%	8%	6%
22–27 Apr 2015	Survation/Daily Record	1,015	46%	47%	7%	1%
20–23 Apr 2015	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,044	45%	48%	7%	3%
8–9 Apr 2015	YouGov/The Times	1,056	46%	49%	6%	3%
13–19 Mar 2015	ICM/Guardian	1,002	41%	48%	11%	7%
12–17 Mar 2015	Survation/Daily Record	1,027	45%	43%	11%	2%
10–12 Mar 2015	YouGov/The Times	1,049	45%	48%	8%	3%
12–17 Feb 2015	Survation/Daily Record	1,011	43%	47%	10%	4%
29 Jan–2 Feb 2015	YouGov/The Times	1,001	49%	44%	7%	5%
9–11 Dec 2014	Survation/Daily Record	1,001	48%	48%	4%	Tied
9–11 Dec 2014	YouGov/The Sun	1,081	48%	45%	6%	3%
27 Nov 2014	Release of Smith Commission report.
19 Nov 2014	Nicola Sturgeon becomes First Minister of Scotland.
6–13 Nov 2014	Survation/Daily Record	1,001	44%	49%	7%	5%
30 Oct–5 Nov 2014	Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland Archived 19 May 2016 at the Wayback Machine	982	46%	45%	8%	1%
27–30 Oct 2014	YouGov/The Times	1,078	49%	45%	6%	4%
18 September 2014	2014 Scottish independence referendum results	3,623,344	44.7%	55.3%		10.6%

Other polling formats

Polls using Remain / Leave Question

Some organisations have chosen to commission polls that adopt the remain / leave formulation that was used in the 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum.

The use of this format has been criticised by pro-independence politicians. SNP depute leader Keith Brown said in September 2019 that it was "a deliberate bid to confuse independence with Brexit".

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Should Scotland remain in the United Kingdom or leave the United Kingdom?			Lead	Notes
			Leave	Remain	Undecided
27-29 Aug 2024	Survation/Scotland in Union	1,021	37%	54%	8%	17%
6-18 Oct 2023	Focaldata/These Islands	1,037	33%	55%	13%	22%
22 Dec-01 Jan 2023	Survation/Scotland in Union Archived 10 January 2023 at the Wayback Machine	1,025	37%	54%	9%	17%
28–29 Sep 2022	Survation/Scotland in Union	1,011	36%	51%	13%	15%
29 Apr–3 May 2022	Survation/Scotland in Union	1,050	38%	52%	11%	14%
25–31 Mar 2022	YouGov/These Islands	510	35%	50%	9%	15%	[z]
18–22 Nov 2021	Survation/Scotland in Union	1,045	38%	54%	8%	16%
31 Aug–1 Sep 2021	Survation/Scotland in Union	1,040	39%	52%	9%	13%
9–12 Mar 2021	Survation/Scotland in Union	1,011	37%	49%	10%	12%
10–12 Sep 2020	Survation/Scotland in Union	1,008	37%	47%	11%	10%
12–16 Sep 2019	Survation/Scotland in Union	1,003	38%	55%	9%	17%
18–23 Apr 2019	Survation/Scotland in Union	1,012	36%	56%	7%	20%
9–13 Nov 2018	Survation/Scotland in Union	1,013	36%	55%	9%	19%
28 Sep–4 Oct 2016	BMG/Herald	1,010	39%	47%	15%	8%
18 September 2014	2014 Scottish independence referendum results	3,623,344	44.7%	55.3%		10.6%

Polls on a "de facto" referendum

On 23 November 2022, the UK Supreme Court ruled that the Scottish Parliament does not have the power to unilaterally hold an independence referendum without the consent of the Westminster Parliament. ^[2] Following that judgment, the SNP reiterated its intention to campaign in the 2024 United Kingdom general election as a de facto independence referendum. Question asked is stated in notes field.

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	SNP	Grn	Lab	Con	Lib	Other	Undecided	Lead (overall lead)	Notes
15–17 Feb 2023	Savanta/The Scotsman	1,004	36%	—	29%	17%	5%	2%	10%	15%	[aa]
11–18 Jan 2023	FindOutNow/The National	1,094	52%	2%	23%	12%	7%	4%	—	12%	[ab]
10-12 Jan 2023	Survation/True North	1,002	38%	—	22%	16%	6%	2%	11%	6%	[ac]
16-21 Dec 2022	Savanta/Scotsman	1,048	37%	—	27%	18%	5%	2%	10%	13%	[ad]
28 Nov–5 Dec 2022	Ipsos MORI/STV	1,065	53%	2%	24%	13%	6%	2%	—	12%	[ae]

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Yes	No	Undecided	Lead	Notes
23 Nov 2022	Find Out Now/Channel 4 News	1,006	50%	33%	16%	17%	[af]

Scottish Social Attitudes Survey

Since devolution, the annual Scottish Social Attitudes Survey has contained a question on independence.

Respondents are asked Which of these statements comes closest to your view?

1. Scotland should become independent, separate from the UK and the European Union
2. Scotland should become independent, separate from the UK but part of the European Union
3. Scotland should remain part of the UK, with its own elected parliament which has some taxation powers
4. Scotland should remain part of the UK, with its own elected parliament which has no taxation powers
5. Scotland should remain part of the UK without an elected parliament.

A report released in 2017, entitled From Indyref1 to Indyref2? The State of Nationalism in Scotland, detailed the previous responses from this survey by grouping options one and two as "independence", options three and four as "devolution" and option five as "No Parliament".

Year	Polling organisation/client	Independence	Devolution	No Parliament
2023	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	48%	41%	9%
2021	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	52%	38%	8%
2019	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	51%	36%	7%
2017	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	45%	41%	8%
2016	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	46%	42%	8%
2015	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	39%	49%	6%
2014	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	33%	50%	7%
2013	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	29%	55%	9%
2012	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	23%	61%	11%
2011	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	32%	58%	6%
2010	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	23%	61%	10%
2009	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	28%	56%	8%
2007	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	24%	62%	9%
2006	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	30%	54%	14%
2005	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	35%	44%	14%
2004	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	32%	45%	17%
2003	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	26%	56%	13%
2002	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	30%	52%	13%
2001	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	27%	59%	9%
2000	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	30%	55%	12%
1999	Scottish Social Attitudes Survey	27%	59%	10%

Issues around a second independence referendum

Timing of a second referendum

Separate from the question of how Scots might vote in a hypothetical second referendum is the question of whether there should be a second referendum. Once again the responses vary with exactly how the question is asked. There is a wide variety of timeframes used on this topic

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Pollsters have asked various questions re when/if next Independence might happen, they have used various timeframes as below.																Lead	Notes
			In 2023			Next 12 Months			Next 2 Years			In the next 2–5 years			More than 5 Years			No Referendum
			Yes	No	D/K	Yes	No	D/K	Yes	No	D/K	Yes	No	D/K	Yes	No	D/K
8 - 13 Sep 2023	YouGov	1,103				27%	62%	11%				45%	43%	12%						[ag]
2 - 4 Sep 2023	Redfield & Wilton Strategies	1,100				42%	42%	12%				42%	40%	14%
5 - 6 Aug 2023	Redfield & Wilton	1,050				41%	40%	15%				44%	39%	13%
1 - 2 Jul 2023	Redfield & Wilton	1,030				41%	40%	12%				41%	38%	14%
26 - 29 Jun 2023	YouGov	1,100										45%	42%	13%						[ah]
3 - 5 Jun 2023	Redfield & Wilton	1,466				42%	40%	13%				42%	39%	15%
30 Apr- 2 May 2023	Redfield & Wilton	1295				37%	47%	11%				39%	42%	14%
17-20 Apr 2023	YouGov/The Times	1,032				20%	69%	12%				44%	42%	14%
31 Mar-1 Apr 2023	Redfield & Wilton	1,008				41%	44%	15%				43%	41%	16%
2-5 Mar 2023	Redfield & Wilton	1,050				34%	49%	18%				37%	44%	20%
17–20 Feb 2023	YouGov/The Times	1,017	22%	68%	10%							45%	44%	11%
23-26 Jan 2023	YouGov/Sunday Times	1,088				28%	62%	10%				47%	42%	10%
26-27 Nov 2022	Redfield & Wilton	1,000				46%	43%	11%				46%	40%	14%
18–23 May 2022	YouGov/The Times	1,115	27%	60%	13%	21%	68%	11%				46%	41%	13%
26–29 Apr 2022	Panelbase/SundayTimes	1,009				24%						31%						45%	10%
29–31 Mar 2022	YouGov/These Islands	1.029	36%	53%	12%														17%
18-22 Nov 2021	YouGov/Times	1,060	34%	50%	16%	28%	55%	17%				44%	41%	15%
9-12 Nov 2021	Panelbase/Sunday Times	1,781				19%						34%						46%	7%
22–28 Oct 2021	Savanta ComRes/Scotsman	1,005				14%			17%			17%			23%			23%	48%	[ai]
18 Sep 2021	Redfield & Wilton	1,000				34%	50%	16%				41%	42%	17%
6-10 Sept 2021	Panelbase/SundayTimes	2,003				17%						36%						47%	6%
31 Aug–1 Sep 2021	Survation/Scotland in Union	1,040							38%	52%	9%								14%
4-5 Aug 2021	Redfield & Wilton	1,000				40%	47%	13%				42%	40%	17%
16-24 June 2021	Panelbase/SundayTimes	1,287				19%						35%						46%	8%
28-30 April 2021	Panelbase/SundayTimes	1,096				22%						33%						45%	10%
30 Mar-1 April 2021	Panelbase/SundayTimes	1,009				25%						29%						46%	7%
3-5 March 2021	Panelbase/SundayTimes	1,013				25%						30%						45%	10%

Scottish Government's authority to hold a referendum

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Should the Scottish Government, need to get permission from the UK Government to run a referendum on Scottish independence?			Notes
			Should	Should Not	Undecided
26-29 Jun 2023	Yougov	1,100	40%	50%	10%
17-20 Apr 2023	YouGov	1.032	39%	51%	10%
17-20 Feb 2023	YouGov	1,017	40%	51%	9%

UK-wide polling

Various companies have polled voters across the entire United Kingdom on various questions surrounding the issue of Scottish independence, from the standard Yes/No question as used in the 2014 referendum, to whether the Scottish government should be allowed to hold a second referendum. The results of these polls are displayed below.

Polls using 2014 referendum question

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Should Scotland be an independent country?			Lead	Notes
			Yes	No	Undecided
22–23 Feb 2023	TechneUK	1,633	9%	71%	20%	62%
19-21 Jan 2023	DeltaPoll/Mail on Sunday	1,563	25%	40%	15%	15%
29-30 June 2022	Techne	1,614	10%	69%	21%	59%
18 Jun–2 Jul 2021	Panelbase/The Sunday Times	3,891	17%	54%	29%	37%

On the Scottish Government's authority to hold a referendum

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Should the Scottish Government be allowed to hold an independence referendum next year?			Lead	Notes
			Yes	No	Undecided/Dont Know
29–2 Dec 2022	Omnisis/Byline Times	1,189	42%	35%	23%	7%	[aj]

Polling on a second referendum

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Should there be a Referendum on Scottish Independence?			Lead	Notes
			Yes	No	Undecided/Dont Know
19-21 Jan 2023	Deltapoll/Mail On Sunday	1,563	29%	48%	28%	19%	[ak]

Timing of a Second Independence Referendum

Date(s) conducted

Polling organisation/client

Sample size

Pollsters have asked various questions re when/if next Independence might happen, they have used various timeframes as below.

No Referendum

Lead

Notes

In 2023

Next 12 Months

Next 2 Years

In the next 2–5 years

More than 5 Years

Yes

No

D/K

Yes

No

D/K

Yes

No

D/K

Yes

No

D/K

Yes

No

D/K

18/6 - 2/7/21

Panelbase/The Sunday Times

3891

18%

27%

55%

British Social Attitudes Survey

Year	Polling organisation/client	Independence	Devolution	No Parliament
2021	British Social Attitudes Survey	25%	54%	15%
2020	British Social Attitudes Survey	24%	54%	14%
2017	British Social Attitudes Survey	22%	55%	15%
2015	British Social Attitudes Survey	23%	49%	20%
2013	British Social Attitudes Survey	20%	49%	18%
2012	British Social Attitudes Survey	25%	43%	23%
2011	British Social Attitudes Survey	26%	44%	19%
2007	British Social Attitudes Survey	19%	48%	18%
2003	British Social Attitudes Survey	17%	58%	13%
2002	British Social Attitudes Survey	19%	52%	15%
2001	British Social Attitudes Survey	19%	60%	11%
2000	British Social Attitudes Survey	19%	52%	17%
1999	British Social Attitudes Survey	21%	57%	14%
1997	British Election Study	14%	55%	23%

See also

• Opinion polling for the next Scottish Parliament election
• Opinion polling for the 2014 Scottish independence referendum
• Opinion polling on a United Ireland

Notes

1. Excludes 16 & 17 year olds.
2. Figures manually adjusted to remove 'Refused' & 'Would not Vote'.
3. This poll does not weigh for likelihood to vote
4. Yougov advise that this series of polls should not be compared to its usual polling, https://yougov.co.uk/politics/articles/45269-nicola-sturgeons-legacy-according-scots
5. Unusually this poll asked the Indy Q twice in the same poll, of samples of just over 500 each and then merged them together, questions should be borne in mind as to the margin of error for what is essentially 2 smaller polls
6. Findoutnow stated "This was not a standard indyref voting intention poll so was not adjusted for turnout likelihood. That's why undecideds are up, and others down" https://twitter.com/FindoutnowUK/status/1668263765937102849
7. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents.
8. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents.
9. Lord Ashcroft is not a member of the British Polling Council
10. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "If a referendum were held in Scotland on its constitutional future, would you personally prefer Scotland to vote for or against leaving the UK and becoming an independent country??". Respondents saying they would prefer Scotland to vote for or against independence have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively, while respondents saying they "don't mind either way" have been assigned as undecided.
11. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents.
12. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents.
13. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.2 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents.
14. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "If a referendum were held in Scotland on its constitutional future, would you personally prefer Scotland to vote for or against leaving the UK and becoming an independent country??". Respondents saying they would prefer Scotland to vote for or against independence have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively, while respondents saying they "don't mind either way" have been assigned as undecided.
15. Results are limited to only those who state they will definitely vote. Those who are likely voters, don't know, or wouldn't vote are excluded.
16. The voting intention was not weighted by likelihood to vote. Savanta ComRes said that the poll result "should not be treated as a headline Savanta ComRes voting intention".
17. Savanta ComRes revised their figures in three polls after a weighting error was discovered.
18. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely oppose Scotland becoming an independent country' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming an independent country' what number would you consider yourself to be?". Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to No and Yes here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided.
19. JL Partners was not a member of the British Polling Council at the time of this poll
20. Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "If another Scottish Independence Referendum were held today, how would you vote?" "Yes to an independent Scotland", "No to an independent Scotland", "I will not vote" and "I am not registered to vote" were the options given.
21. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely support Scotland staying part of the UK' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming independent' what number would you consider yourself to be?". Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to No and Yes here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided.
22. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming independent' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland staying part of the UK' what number would you consider yourself to be?". Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided.
23. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "In a referendum on independence for Scotland held tomorrow, how would you vote?" and given the options of "For Scotland to become an independent country" and "For Scotland to remain as part of the United Kingdom", which have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively.
24. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "Do you agree that Scotland should become an independent country?" and given the options of "Yes" and "No".
25. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents.
26. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.2 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents.
27. Question asked. "If the SNP did campaign on the next General Election as a 'de facto' second Scottish independence referendum, which of the following parties do you think you would vote for, or would you vote for another party?"
28. Full question: Nicola Sturgeon says the SNP will fight the next General Election as a "de facto" referendum on independence. Which party will you vote for?
29. Question Asked "Imagine the next Westminster Election was a de facto referendum on Scottish Independence If the Westminster Election was taking place tomorrow, and there was a candidate from all political parties standing in your constituency, which party do you think you would vote for?"
30. Question asked. "If the SNP did campaign on the next General Election as a 'de facto' second Scottish independence referendum, which of the following parties do you think you would vote for, or would you vote for another party?"
31. Question asked: "As you may know, the UK Supreme Court has ruled that the Scottish Parliament cannot hold another independence referendum without the UK Government's agreement. In this case, Nicola Sturgeon has said that the SNP will treat the 2024 UK general election as a "de facto" referendum, campaigning on the single issue of independence. In this scenario, how would you vote in a General Election? /Which party are you most inclined to support?"
32. Question asked: "Would you vote SNP at the next General Election if a victory for them could lead to Scotland leaving the UK?"
33. The question asked was whether there should be a referendum in 2024
34. The poll also asked whether there should be a referendum 'Soon after the next general election', to which the response was: Yes 35%, No 52%, Don't Know 13%
35. Data in More than 5 years is amalgamation of 5 to 10 years and more than 10 years
36. Question asked was "Should the Scottish Government be allowed to hold an independence referendum next year?"
37. Question asked was "In principle, do you think there should or should not be a referendum on Scottish independence?"

References

1. Strategies, Redfield & Wilton (4 April 2023). "Scottish Independence Referendum & Westminster Voting Intention (31 March - 1 April 2023)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. Retrieved 16 April 2023.
2. https://www.supremecourt.uk/cases/docs/uksc-2022-0098-judgment.pdf

External links

• What Scotland Thinks