Opinion polling for the 1974 United Kingdom general elections

Last updated

In the runup to both the February and October United Kingdom general elections, various polling organisations conducted opinion polling to gauge voting intention amongst the general public. Such polls, dating from the previous election in 1970 to the second polling day on the on 10 October 1974, are listed in this article.

Contents

All polling data is from UK Polling Report [1]

Graphical summaries

1974 Oct UK election polling graph 10.svg
1974 Feb UK election polling graph.svg
UK opinion polling for the February (lower) and October (upper) 1974 election
  Conservative
  Labour
  Liberal

October general election

Survey
end date
PollsterClient Con Lab Lib Lead
10 Oct Oct 1974 general election [2] 35.8%39.3%18.3%3.5%
9 OctHarrisDaily Express34.6%43%19.3%8.4%
9 OctORCEvening Standard34.4%41.8%19.4%7.4%
8 OctORCThe Times35%44%17%9%
8 OctMarplanThe Sun33.3%43.8%19.5%10.5%
7 OctGallupThe Daily Telegraph36%41.5%19%5.5%
6 OctHarrisDaily Express33.5%43.5%20%10%
5 OctNOPDaily Mail31%45.5%19.5%14.5%
4 OctMarplanNews of the World33.1%42.9%19.7%9.8%
3 OctGallupThe Daily Telegraph37%42.5%17.5%5.5%
3 OctHarrisLondon Weekend Television34%43%20%9%
2 OctBusiness DecisionsThe Observer35.5%40%20%4.5%
30 SepGallupThe Daily Telegraph35%42.5%19%7.5%
29 SepORCThe Times33%42%21%9%
29 SepHarrisDaily Express35%43.5%18.5%8.5%
26 SepGallupThe Daily Telegraph39%44%15%5%
25 SepBusiness DecisionsThe Observer36%40%20%4%
25 SepHarrisLondon Weekend Television34%43%20%9%
22 SepHarrisDaily Express36.5%42.5%19%6%
22 SepGallupThe Daily Telegraph37.5%42.5%18%5%
22 SepORCEvening Standard31%45%20%14%
20 Sep Parliament dissolved and official campaign period begins [3]
19 SepHarrisLondon Weekend Television33%45%19%12%
19 SepORCThe Sunday Times35%43%19%8%
19 SepBusiness DecisionsThe Observer36%39.5%20%3.5%
17 SepGallupThe Daily Telegraph34%42%20.5%8%
15 SepORCThe Times34%38%23%4%
15 SepNOPDaily Mail32%46.6%18.2%14.6%
12 SepORCThe Sunday Times36%46%16%10%
4 SepGallupThe Daily Telegraph37.5%40.5%18%3%
12 AugGallupThe Daily Telegraph35.5%39.5%21%4%
28 JulNOPN/A35.4%44.8%18.2%9.4%
15 JulGallupThe Daily Telegraph35%38%21%3%
17 JunGallupThe Daily Telegraph35.5%44%17%8.5%
23 May Newham South by-election
13 MayGallupThe Daily Telegraph33%46.5%17%13.5%
7 May 1974 Scottish local elections [4]
2 May 1974 London local elections [5]
16 AprGallupThe Daily Telegraph33%49%15.5%16%
24 MarNOPN/A33.6%47.7%15%14.1%
18 MarGallupThe Daily Telegraph35%43%19%8%
17 MarNOPN/A35.7%43.3%17.9%7.6%
7 Mar Three Day Week restrictions end [6]
28 Feb Feb 1974 general election [2] 37.9%37.2%19.3%0.2%

February general election

1974

Survey
end date
PollsterClient Con Lab Lib Lead
28 Feb Feb 1974 general election [2] 37.9%37.2%19.3%0.2%
28 FebHarrisDaily Express40.2%35.2%22%5%
28 FebNOPDaily Mail39.5%35.5%22%4%
28 FebORCEvening Standard39.7%36.7%21.2%3%
28 FebORCThe Times38.7%34.9%23%3.8%
28 FebMarplanLondon Weekend Television36.5%34.5%25%2%
27 FebORCEvening Standard36.5%35%25.5%1.5%
27 FebHarrisDaily Express38%34.5%25%3.5%
27 FebGallupThe Daily Telegraph39.5%37.5%20.5%2%
26 FebNOPDaily Mail40.5%35.5%22%5%
24 FebBusiness DecisionsN/A35%37.5%23.5%2.5%
24 FebMarplanLondon Weekend Television38.5%31.5%28%7%
23 FebHarrisDaily Express40%33.5%23.5%6.5%
21 FebNOPDaily Mail43.4%37.8%16.9%5.6%
21 FebGallupThe Daily Telegraph42%40%16.5%2%
20 FebORCEvening Standard41%35%21%6%
18 FebHarrisDaily Express43.5%38%17%5.5%
18 FebGallupThe Daily Telegraph41%40.5%16.5%0.5%
17 FebMarplanLondon Weekend Television44%35%17%9%
17 FebBusiness DecisionsThe Observer40.5%38%19.5%2.5%
14 FebORCThe Times42%40%16%2%
14 FebHarrisDaily Express46%35%18%11%
14 FebGallupThe Daily Telegraph42.5%41.5%14%1%
13 FebNOPN/A39.4%42%16.5%2.6%
11 FebGallupThe Daily Telegraph44.5%43%11%1.5%
10 FebBusiness DecisionsThe Observer44.9%37.2%11.9%7.7%
10 FebMarplanLondon Weekend Television45%39%12%6%
7 Feb Parliament dissolved and official campaign period begins [7]
4 FebGallupThe Daily Telegraph39.5%42.5%16%3%
13 JanGallupThe Daily Telegraph40%38%19%2%

1973

Survey
end date
PollsterClient Con Lab Lib Lead
18 DecGallupThe Daily Telegraph36%42.5%18.5%6.5%
2 DecNOPN/A35.6%43.2%20%7.6%
18 NovNOPN/A36.5%39.9%21.2%3.4%
18 NovGallupThe Daily Telegraph36.5%38.5%22.5%2%
8 Nov Berwick-upon-Tweed, Edinburgh North, Glasgow Govan and Hove by-elections
28 OctNOPN/A37.5%39.7%21.3%2.2%
21 OctGallupThe Daily Telegraph33%39.5%25.5%6.5%
13 OctNOPN/A34.2%35.4%29.1%1.2%
9 SepNOPN/A33.9%40.9%23.8%7%
9 SepGallupThe Daily Telegraph33.5%43%22%9.5%
15 AugNOPN/A28.9%41.7%27.6%12.8%
12 AugGallupThe Daily Telegraph31.5%38%28%6.5%
15 JulGallupThe Daily Telegraph35.5%45%17.5%9.5%
26 Jul Isle of Ely and Ripon by-elections
24 JunNOPN/A39.3%43.9%14.8%4.6%
27 Jun Manchester Exchange by-election
17 JunNOPN/A41.3%41.6%15.7%0.3%
10 JunGallupThe Daily Telegraph41%42%14.5%1%
7 Jun 1973 June local elections [8] [9]
24 May West Bromwich and Westhoughton by-elections
13 MayGallupThe Daily Telegraph38%43.5%14.5%5.5%
6 MayNOPN/A31.9%50.1%16.9%18.2%
1–30 May 1973 May local elections [10] [11]
15 AprNOPN/A36.6%45%17%8.4%
15 AprGallupThe Daily Telegraph38%41%17.5%3%
12 Apr 1973 April local elections and Greater London Council election [12] [13] [14]
12 MarGallupThe Daily Telegraph39%43%16%4%
11 MarNOPN/A38%45.2%14.9%7.2%
8 Mar 1973 Northern Ireland border poll [15]
1 Mar Chester-le-Street, Dundee East and Lincoln by-elections
11 FebGallupThe Daily Telegraph38%47%12.5%9%
28 JanNOPN/A39.9%42.7%15.4%2.8%
15 JanNOPN/A39.4%39%20.6%0.4%
14 JanGallupThe Daily Telegraph38.5%44%15.5%5.5%

1972

Survey
end date
PollsterClient Con Lab Lib Lead
17 DecNOPN/A39.7%42.6%15.7%2.9%
10 DecGallupThe Daily Telegraph38%46.5%12.5%8.5%
7 Dec Sutton and Cheam and Uxbridge by-elections
3 DecNOPN/A37%47.4%13.7%10.4%
19 NovNOPN/A40.5%45.4%12.9%4.9%
12 NovGallupThe Daily Telegraph37.5%45.5%15%8%
26 Oct Rochdale by-election
22 OctGallupThe Daily Telegraph40%48%8.5%8%
17 SepGallupThe Daily Telegraph38.5%49.5%9.5%11%
13 AugGallupThe Daily Telegraph40%49%7.5%9%
16 JulGallupThe Daily Telegraph39%49%9.5%10%
11 JunGallupThe Daily Telegraph41%47%10%6%
14 MayGallupThe Daily Telegraph40.5%46.5%11%6%
4 May Kingston-upon-Thames and Southwark by-elections
17 AprNOPN/A44.8%46.8%7.5%2%
16 AprGallupThe Daily Telegraph43.5%44.5%10%1%
13 Apr Merthyr Tydfil by-election
12 MarGallupThe Daily Telegraph39.5%48.5%9.5%9%
13 FebGallupThe Daily Telegraph40.5%49%8.5%8.5%
16 JanGallupThe Daily Telegraph40.5%48%9%7.5%

1971

Survey
end date
PollsterClient Con Lab Lib Lead
12 DecGallupThe Daily Telegraph42%48%7.5%6%
14 NovGallupThe Daily Telegraph42.5%48.5%7%6%
17 OctGallupThe Daily Telegraph40%50%8%10%
30 Sep Macclesfield by-election
23 Sep Widnes by-election
20 SepGallupThe Daily Telegraph35%54%8.5%19%
16 Sep Stirling and Falkirk by-election
15 AugGallupThe Daily Telegraph42%48.5%7%6.5%
12 JulGallupThe Daily Telegraph33.5%55%8.5%21.5%
8 Jul Greenwich by-election
17 Jun Hayes and Harlington by-election
13 JunGallupThe Daily Telegraph36%54%8%18%
27 May Bromsgrove and Goole by-elections
16 MayGallupThe Daily Telegraph38%50%9.5%12%
13 AprGallupThe Daily Telegraph44%45.5%9.5%1.5%
4 AprGallupThe Daily Telegraph44.5%48%6%3.5%
1 Apr Liverpool Scotland and Arundel and Shoreham by-elections
14 MarGallupThe Daily Telegraph38.5%50.5%8%12%
14 FebGallupThe Daily Telegraph41.5%49%8%7.5%
17 JanGallupThe Daily Telegraph42.5%47%8.5%4.5%

1970

Survey
end date
PollsterClient Con Lab Lib Lead
13 DecGallupThe Daily Telegraph46%44.5%6%1.5%
19 Nov Enfield West by-election
15 NovGallupThe Daily Telegraph43.5%48%6.5%4.5%
22 Oct St Marylebone by-election
18 OctGallupThe Daily Telegraph46.5%46.5%6.5%Tie
13 SepGallupThe Daily Telegraph46.5%44%8%2.5%
16 AugGallupThe Daily Telegraph47%43.5%7.5%3%
18 June 1970 general election [2] 46.4%43.1%7.5%3.3%

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References

  1. Wells, Anthony. "1970-1974 Polls". UK Polling Report. Retrieved 21 July 2021.
  2. 1 2 3 4 Audickas, Lukas; Cracknell, Richard; Loft, Philip (2020). UK Election Statistics: 1918-2019: A Century of Elections (PDF). House of Commons Library. p. 12.
  3. Smith, Alastair (19 July 2004). Election Timing . Cambridge University Press. p.  194. ISBN   0521833639.
  4. Faux, Ronald (5 May 1977). "SNP seizes 107 seats". The Times . pp. 1, 4.
  5. London Borough Council Elections 2 May 1974 (PDF). London: Greater London Council. 1974.
  6. Robards, Terry (8 March 1974). "3‐day Work Week Ending in Britain". The New York Times . p. 1. Retrieved 21 July 2021.
  7. Eder, Richard (8 February 1974). "British Elections Called by Heath for Month's End". The New York Times . p. 65. Retrieved 21 July 2021.
  8. "Final poll result may lie with Independents". The Times . 8 June 1973.
  9. "Liberals capture Eastbourne and exceed ambition to win 1,000 local government seats". The Times . 8 June 1973.
  10. "Three major parties find cause for satisfaction in local election results despite low poll". The Times . 14 May 1973.
  11. Damkat, Ivo (29 October 2003). "The 1973 Local Government Elections". ARK. Retrieved 21 July 2021.
  12. Greater London Council Election 12 April 1973 (PDF). London: Greater London Council. 1973.
  13. "Labour sweep to victory in London and all six of the metropolitan counties". The Times . 13 April 1973.
  14. "Labour take over metropolitan counties and 11 other councils". The Times . 14 April 1973.
  15. Whyte, Nicholas (24 February 2001). "The Referendums of 1973 and 1975". ARK. Retrieved 21 July 2021.