Sub-national opinion polling for the 2015 United Kingdom general election

Last updated

Polling was conducted separately in the constituent countries of the United Kingdom. Of the 650 seats in the House of Commons, England had 533, Scotland had 59, Wales had 40 and Northern Ireland had 18.

Contents

England

Graph of opinion polls conducted
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample size Con Lab Lib Dem UKIP Green OthersLead
7 May 2015 General Election results –41.0%31.6%8.2%14.1%4.2%0.9%9.4%
6 May 2015 Survation [1] 91940%32%11%11%5%2%8%
5–6 May 2015 ComRes/Daily Mail, ITV News Archived 18 May 2015 at the Wayback Machine 86638%36%9%12%4%1%2%
5–6 May 2015 Lord Ashcroft [2] 2,59335%33%10%13%7%2%2%
4–6 May 2015 Survation/Daily Mirror 3,56634%32%10%17%5%2%2%
3–6 May 2015 ICM/The Guardian Archived 13 May 2015 at the Wayback Machine [3] [n 1] 1,72737%37%8%13%4%1%Tie
3–6 May 2015 ICM/The Guardian [3] [n 2] 1,33038%37%8%12%3%1%1%
4–5 May 2015 Opinium Archived 4 August 2016 at the Wayback Machine 2,49337%35%8%12%7%1%2%
4–5 May 2015 Survation/Daily Mirror 1,27635%34%9%17%4%1%1%
3–5 May 2015 ComRes/Daily Mail, ITV News Archived 22 October 2015 at the Wayback Machine 88038%34%8%15%4%1%4%
3–5 May 2015 BMG/May2015.com, New Statesman 88737%34%10%14%4%1%3%
1–3 May 2015 Lord Ashcroft [2] 85835%32%10%13%7%4%3%
1–2 May 2015 Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,85234%35%8%19%4%1%1%
30 Apr–1 May 2015 Survation/Daily Mirror 97836%34%10%17%4%<0.5%2%
30 Apr 2015 Question Time featuring David Cameron, Nick Clegg and Ed Miliband broadcast on BBC One; Ask Nicola Sturgeon, Ask Leanne Wood and Ask Nigel Farage programmes also shown
28–30 Apr 2015 ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror Archived 14 May 2015 at the Wayback Machine 86835%34%8%14%8%2%1%
28–30 Apr 2015 Opinium/The Observer Archived 4 March 2016 at the Wayback Machine 1,65837%34%7%14%6%<0.5%3%
27–28 Apr 2015 ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail Archived 18 May 2015 at the Wayback Machine 87236%36%8%12%6%2%Tie
25–27 Apr 2015 BMG/May2015.com 87739%31%11%15%4%<0.5%8%
24–26 Apr 2015 Lord Ashcroft [2] 87037%32%9%12%8%1%5%
24–26 Apr 2015 ICM/The Guardian Archived 1 May 2015 at the Wayback Machine [3] 86339%32%7%15%6%<0.5%7%
24–25 Apr 2015 Survation/Mail on Sunday 87936%31%9%20%4%<0.5%5%
21–24 Apr 2015 Opinium/The Observer Archived 1 May 2015 at the Wayback Machine 1,66836%33%9%15%7%1%3%
22–23 Apr 2015 Survation/Daily Mirror 1,07236%29%10%20%5%<0.5%7%
21–22 Apr 2015 ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail Archived 30 April 2015 at the Wayback Machine 89039%34%8%11%5%3%5%
17–19 Apr 2015 Lord Ashcroft [2] 86336%33%9%14%5%2%3%
17–19 Apr 2015 ICM/The Guardian [3] 86338%35%9%12%5%1%3%
16–17 Apr 2015 Opinium/The Observer Archived 1 May 2015 at the Wayback Machine 1,65538%32%9%14%6%1%6%
16–17 Apr 2015 Survation/Daily Mirror 98635%34%8%18%3%1%1%
16 Apr 2015Five-way Opposition Leaders' Debate held on BBC One
12–15 Apr 2015 Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 60035%37%8%11%8%1%2%
10–12 Apr 2015 Lord Ashcroft [2] 87034%36%9%14%6%1%2%
10–12 Apr 2015 ICM/The Guardian Archived 21 April 2015 at the Wayback Machine [3] 90041%35%7%8%8%1%6%
8–9 Apr 2015 Opinium/The Observer Archived 4 March 2016 at the Wayback Machine 1,62639%35%8%12%6%1%4%
8–9 Apr 2015 Survation/Daily Mirror 83833%36%9%16%5%1%3%
7–8 Apr 2015 ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail Archived 16 April 2015 at the Wayback Machine 71836%35%11%13%4%1%1%
2–3 Apr 2015 Survation/Daily Mirror 85634%33%9%21%3%<0.5%1%
2–3 Apr 2015 Opinium/The Observer Archived 1 May 2015 at the Wayback Machine 1,71035%34%7%15%7%1%1%
2 Apr 2015Seven-way Leaders' Debate on ITV
30 Mar 2015 Dissolution of Parliament and the official start of the election campaign
28–29 Mar 2015 ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail Archived 19 September 2015 at the Wayback Machine 86438%32%9%13%6%2%6%
27–29 Mar 2015 Lord Ashcroft [2] 86540%34%7%11%7%1%6%
26 Mar 2015 First TV election interview by Jeremy Paxman with David Cameron and Ed Miliband on Sky and Channel 4
24–25 Mar 2015 Opinium/The Observer Archived 4 April 2015 at the Wayback Machine 1,69035%34%9%13%7%<0.5%1%
24–25 Mar 2015 Survation/Daily Mirror 85134%34%8%20%4%<0.5%Tie
20–22 Mar 2015 ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail Archived 2 April 2015 at the Wayback Machine 86438%35%8%11%7%1%3%
20–22 Mar 2015 Lord Ashcroft [2] 86036%33%8%14%6%2%3%
20–21 Mar 2015 Survation/Mail on Sunday 86131%35%10%19%3%1%4%
18–19 Mar 2015 Opinium/The Observer Archived 4 April 2015 at the Wayback Machine 1,70237%33%7%14%7%1%4%
13–15 Mar 2015 Lord Ashcroft [2] 86334%29%8%18%9%3%5%
13–15 Mar 2015 ICM/The Guardian Archived 12 May 2015 at the Wayback Machine [3] 91038%37%6%11%5%3%1%
10–12 Mar 2015 Opinium/The Observer Archived 2 April 2015 at the Wayback Machine 1,65435%35%7%15%7%<0.5%Tie
8–11 Mar 2015 Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 86334%37%8%14%6%1%3%
6–8 Mar 2015 Lord Ashcroft [2] 85936%31%5%18%9%1%5%
3–6 Mar 2015 Opinium/The Observer Archived 19 March 2015 at the Wayback Machine 1,62636%33%7%15%7%3%3%
27 Feb–1 Mar 2015 Lord Ashcroft [2] 86036%32%8%14%7%2%4%
24–26 Feb 2015 Opinium/The Observer Archived 22 March 2015 at the Wayback Machine 1,67935%36%7%14%6%1%1%
23 Feb 2015 Survation/Daily Mirror 92130%34%10%21%3%2%4%
20–23 Feb 2015 ComRes/Daily Mail Archived 24 February 2015 at the Wayback Machine 86536%32%7%14%9%2%4%
20–22 Feb 2015 Lord Ashcroft [2] 86732%38%6%13%8%2%6%
17–20 Feb 2015 Opinium/The Observer Archived 21 February 2015 at the Wayback Machine 1,70436%33%7%16%7%1%3%
13–15 Feb 2015 Lord Ashcroft [2] 86331%31%9%18%9%3%Tie
13–15 Feb 2015 ICM/The Guardian [3] 86038%34%7%10%8%2%4%
10–12 Feb 2015 Opinium/The Observer Archived 14 February 2015 at the Wayback Machine 1,71335%35%8%15%5%1%Tie
8–10 Feb 2015 Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 84438%37%7%10%8%0%1%
6–8 Feb 2015 Lord Ashcroft [2] 86036%31%9%16%7%1%5%
3–6 Feb 2015 Opinium/The Observer Archived 7 February 2015 at the Wayback Machine 1,94733%35%7%15%8%2%2%
30 Jan–1 Feb 2015 Lord Ashcroft [2] 85734%30%8%17%10%1%4%
25 Jan 2015 Survation/Daily Mirror 89034%30%7%25%4%<0.5%4%
23–25 Jan 2015 ComRes/The Independent [ permanent dead link ]85233%29%9%20%8%1%4%
22–25 Jan 2015 Lord Ashcroft [2] 85933%34%5%17%9%2%1%
16–19 Jan 2015 ICM/The Guardian Archived 3 April 2015 at the Wayback Machine [3] 86332%35%8%14%10%1%3%
16–18 Jan 2015 Lord Ashcroft [2] 87131%27%9%17%12%4%4%
11–13 Jan 2015 Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 85435%35%8%12%8%2%Tie
9–11 Jan 2015 Lord Ashcroft [2] 85837%29%7%17%8%2%8%
12–16 Dec 2014 ICM/The Guardian [3] 86131%33%11%17%5%3%2%
13–15 Dec 2014 Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 84036%31%9%14%10%0%5%
12–14 Dec 2014 ComRes/The Independent [ permanent dead link ]89729%34%12%17%6%2%5%
5–7 Dec 2014 Lord Ashcroft [2] 86031%31%7%23%6%2%Tie
6 May 2010 General Election Results –39.6%28.1%24.2%3.5%1.0%3.6%11.5%

Scotland

Graph of opinion polls conducted
Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample size SNP Lab Con Lib Dem UKIP Green OthersLead
7 May 2015 General Election results –50.0%24.3%14.9%7.5%1.6%1.3%0.3%25.7%
4–6 May 2015 YouGov/The Sun, The Times 1,35148%28%14%7%1%1%1%20%
3–6 May 2015 Survation/Daily Record 1,66046%26%16%7%2%3%1%20%
1–6 May 2015 Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland 1,01348%26%14%5%3%2%2%22%
3 May 2015 The Leaders' Debate featuring Ruth Davidson, Jim Murphy, Willie Rennie and Nicola Sturgeon broadcast on BBC One Scotland and BBC News
29 Apr–1 May 2015 YouGov/Sunday Times 1,16249%26%15%7%2%1%0%23%
30 Apr 2015 Question Time featuring David Cameron, Nick Clegg and Ed Miliband broadcast on BBC One; Ask Nicola Sturgeon programme also shown
22–27 Apr 2015 Ipsos MORI/STV News 1,07154%20%17%5%1%2%1%34%
22–27 Apr 2015 Survation/Daily Record 1,01551%26%14%5%2%1%<0.5%25%
20–23 Apr 2015 Panelbase/Sunday Times 1,04448%27%16%4%3%2%<0.5%21%
16–20 Apr 2015 YouGov/The Times 1,11149%25%17%5%3%1%0%24%
1–19 Apr 2015 TNS 1,00354%22%13%6%2%2%0%32%
16 Apr 2015Five-way Opposition Leaders' Debate held on BBC One
12 Apr 2015Four-way Scottish Leaders' Debate on BBC Scotland, for Sunday Politics Scotland
8–9 Apr 2015 YouGov/The Times 1,05649%25%18%4%2%1%1%24%
8 Apr 2015Six-way Scottish Leaders' Debate on BBC Scotland
18 Mar–8 Apr 2015 TNS 97852%24%13%6%<0.5%3%0%28%
7 Apr 2015Four-way Scottish Leaders' Debate on STV
2 Apr 2015Seven-way Leaders' Debate on ITV
30 Mar–2 Apr 2015 Panelbase/Sunday Times 1,00645%29%14%4%4%2%<0.5%16%
26–31 Mar 2015 YouGov/Scottish Sun 1,86446%29%16%3%2%2%<0.5%17%
30 Mar 2015 Dissolution of the UK Parliament and the official start of the election campaign
26 Mar 2015 First TV election interview by Jeremy Paxman with David Cameron and Ed Miliband on Sky and Channel 4
13–19 Mar 2015 ICM/The Guardian 1,00243%27%14%6%7%3%1%16%
12–17 Mar 2015 Survation/Daily Record 1,02747%26%16%4%4%2%1%21%
10–12 March 2015 YouGov/The Times 1,04946%27%18%4%2%3%1%19%
6–10 Mar 2015 Survation/Unison Scotland 1,00547%28%15%4%3%2%1%19%
30 Jan–22 Feb 2015 TNS 1,00146%30%14%3%3%4%1%16%
12–17 Feb 2015 Survation/Daily Record 1,01145%28%15%5%3%3%1%17%
29 Jan–2 Feb 2015 YouGov/The Times 1,00148%27%15%4%4%3%1%21%
14 Jan–2 Feb 2015 TNS [ permanent dead link ]1,00641%31%16%4%2%6%1%10%
12–19 Jan 2015 Ipsos MORI/STV News 77452%24%12%4%1%4%3%28%
12–16 Jan 2015 Survation/Daily Record 1,00646%26%14%7%4%3%1%20%
9–14 Jan 2015 Panelbase/Sunday Times 1,00741%31%14%3%7%3%10%
16–18 Dec 2014 ICM/The Guardian 1,00443%26%13%6%7%4%1%17%
15–18 Dec 2014 Survation/Daily Record 1,00148%24%16%5%4%1%1%24%
13 Dec 2014 Jim Murphy becomes Leader of the Scottish Labour Party
9–11 Dec 2014 YouGov/The Sun 1,08147%27%16%3%3%3%1%20%
27 Nov Release of Smith Commission Report
20 Nov Nicola Sturgeon becomes First Minister of Scotland
6–13 Nov 2014 Survation/Daily Record 1,00146%24%17%6%5%2%1%22%
30 Oct–4 Nov 2014 Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland 1,00045%28%15%3%7%1%1%17%
27–30 Oct 2014 YouGov/The Times 1,07843%27%15%4%6%4%1%16%
22–29 Oct 2014 Ipsos Mori/STV 76952%23%10%6%2%6%1%29%
24 Oct 2014 Johann Lamont resigns as Leader of the Scottish Labour Party
29 Sep–1 Oct 2014 Panelbase/SNP 1,04934%32%18%5%6%5%2%
19 Sep 2014 Scottish independence referendum
4–8 Jul 2014 Survation/Daily Record 78638%33%17%5%5%2%<1%5%
25–26 Jun 2014 YouGov Unknown31%39%16%5%10%8%
6–10 Jun 2014 Survation/Daily Record 77340%32%15%5%6%1%1%8%
22 May 2014 European Parliament election
11–15 Apr 2014 Survation/Sunday Post 80836%36%16%6%3%1%1%Tie
4–7 Apr 2014 Survation/Daily Record 80340%34%15%6%3%1%1%6%
6–7 Mar 2014 Survation/Daily Record 85038%36%15%5%3%1%1%2%
17–18 Feb 2014 Survation/Daily Mail 80538%33%17%6%4%2%1%5%
29–31 Jan 2014 Survation/Daily Mail 77630%39%16%6%4%2%1%9%
4–8 Oct 2013 Lord Ashcroft 73731%40%18%6%2%2%1%9%
22 Feb–9 May 2013 Lord Ashcroft 6,65923%45%16%8%5%2%<1%22%
17–28 Oct 2012 Lord Ashcroft 70339%33%17%6%7%6%
17–20 Jul 2012 YouGov/Fabian Society 1,02929%43%16%8%3%3%1%14%
18–21 May 2012 YouGov Unknown35%40%14%5%6%5%
3 May 2012 2012 Scottish local elections
22–24 Feb 2012 YouGov 1,05330%42%17%7%4%12%
5 May 2011 2011 Scottish Parliament election
26–29 Apr 2011 YouGov/Scotsman 1,10828%42%17%7%1%2%2%14%
19–21 Apr 2011 YouGov Unknown30%43%15%7%5%13%
13–15 Apr 2011 YouGov Unknown28%43%16%9%5%15%
25–28 Mar 2011 YouGov Unknown26%46%17%6%5%20%
18–20 Oct 2010 YouGov Unknown26%44%18%7%5%18%
31 Aug–3 Sep 2010 YouGov Unknown29%39%16%11%5%10%
6 May 2010 General election results –19.9%42.0%16.7%18.9%0.7%0.7%1.7%22.1%

Wales

Graph of opinion polls conducted
Date(s)

conducted

Polling organisation/clientSample size Plaid Lab Con Lib Dem UKIP Green OthersLead
7 May 2015 General Election results –12.1%36.9%27.2%6.5%13.6%2.6%1.0%9.7%
4–6 May 2015 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,20213%39%25%8%12%2%2%14%
30 Apr 2015 Question Time featuring David Cameron, Nick Clegg and Ed Miliband broadcast on BBC One; Ask Nicola Sturgeon, Ask Leanne Wood and Ask Nigel Farage programmes also shown
28–30 April 2015 YouGov/Plaid Cymru 1,14613%39%26%6%12%3%2%13%
22 Apr 2015Six-way Wales Election Debate held on ITV
16 Apr 2015Five-way Opposition Leaders' Debate held on BBC One
13–15 April 2015 YouGov/ITV Wales, Cardiff University 1,14312%40%26%6%13%4%<0.5%14%
2 Apr 2015Seven-way Leaders' Debate on ITV
26–31 Mar 2015 YouGov/The Sun 1,0359%40%27%6%13%5%1%13%
30 Mar 2015 Dissolution of Parliament and the official start of the election campaign
24–27 Mar 2015 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,18911%40%25%5%14%5%1%15%
26 Mar 2015 First TV election interview by Jeremy Paxman with David Cameron and Ed Miliband on Sky and Channel 4
5–9 Mar 2015 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,27910%39%25%5%14%6%1%14%
19–21 Jan 2015 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,03610%37%23%6%16%8%1%14%
8–13 Jan 2015 ICM/BBC Wales 1,00412%38%21%7%13%6%2%17%
2–3 Dec 2014 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,13111%36%23%5%18%5%2%13%
19–22 Sep 2014 ICM/BBC Wales 1,00613%39%23%5%16%2%1%16%
8–11 Sep 2014 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,02511%38%23%6%17%5%1%15%
26 Jun–1 Jul 2014 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,03511%41%25%5%14%3%2%16%
22 May 2014 European Parliament Elections, 2014
12–14 May 2014 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,09211%43%22%7%13%3%2%21%
11–22 Apr 2014 YouGov/Cardiff University 1,02711%45%24%7%10%1%2%21%
21-24 Feb 2014 ICM/BBC Wales 1,00015%45%24%6%8%2%1%21%
10–12 Feb 2014 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,25011%47%22%7%9%2%2%25%
2–4 Dec 2013 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,00112%46%21%8%10%2%2%25%
18–22 Jul 2013 YouGov 1,0129%48%23%8%8%2%2%25%
18–20 Feb 2013 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,00710%51%22%9%7%1%1%29%
2–4 Jul 2012 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,00010%54%23%4%9%31%
3 May 2012 Welsh Local Elections, 2012
12–16 Apr 2012 YouGov 1,03912%50%23%7%9%27%
30 Jan–1 Feb 2012 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,00811%50%25%6%5%3%2%25%
5 May 2011 Welsh Assembly Election, 2011
2–4 May 2011 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,01010%50%24%8%4%2%2%25%
6 May 2010 General Election Results –11.3%36.2%26.1%20.1%2.4%0.4%3.4%10%

Northern Ireland

Date(s)

conducted

Polling organisation/clientSample size DUP SF SDLP UUP Alliance Others
7 May 2015 General Election Results (NI only) –25.7%24.5%13.9%16.0%8.6%10.3%
11–24 Sep 2014 LucidTalk/Belfast Telegraph 1,08926%24%15%12%6%17%
7 Mar 2013 2013 Mid Ulster by-election.
30 Sep 2013–28 Dec 2013 Northern Ireland Life & Times [4] 1,28022%20%23%16%14%5%
1 Oct 2012–10 Jan 2013 Northern Ireland Life & Times [5] 1,20427%19%21%16%13%3%
9 Jun 2011 2011 Belfast West by-election.
01 Oct 2010–18 Dec 2010 Northern Ireland Life & Times [5] 1,20524%15%23%21%13%4%
6 May 2010 General Election Results (NI only) –25%26%16%15%6%12%

London

Date(s)
conducted		Polling organisation/clientSample size Con Lab UKIP Lib Dem Green OthersLead
29 April–1 May 2015 YouGov/Evening Standard 1,31333%46%8%9%3%1%13%
30 Apr 2015 Question Time featuring David Cameron, Nick Clegg and Ed Miliband broadcast on BBC One; Ask Nicola Sturgeon, Ask Leanne Wood and Ask Nigel Farage programmes also shown
20–22 April 2015 YouGov/Evening Standard 1,03232%44%10%8%5%1%12%
16 Apr 2015Five-way Opposition Leaders' Debate held on BBC One
2 Apr 2015Seven-way Leaders' Debate on ITV
30 Mar 2015 Dissolution of Parliament and the official start of the election campaign
26–30 Mar 2015 YouGov/Evening Standard 1,06434%45%8%8%4%1%11%
20–26 Mar 2015 ICM/The Guardian 1,00332%42%9%7%8%1%10%
26 Mar 2015 First TV election interview by Jeremy Paxman with David Cameron and Ed Miliband on Sky and Channel 4
20–24 Mar 2015 ComRes/ITV News 1,00432%46%9%8%4%1%14%
27 Feb–2 Mar 2015 YouGov/Evening Standard 1,01132%44%10%7%5%<0.5%12%
19–23 Feb 2015 YouGov/The Times 1,09634%42%9%8%6%<0.5%8%
19–21 Jan 2015 YouGov/Evening Standard 1,03432%42%10%7%8%<0.5%10%
15–18 Dec 2014 YouGov/Evening Standard 1,38533%41%9%9%6%<0.5%8%
8–13 Aug 2014 YouGov/Evening Standard 1,20034%41%9%10%3%<0.5%7%
21–24 Jul 2014 YouGov/Evening Standard 1,35035%45%8%8%4%<0.5%10%
17–19 Jun 2014 YouGov/Evening Standard 1,11535%42%10%8%4%<0.5%7%
6–8 May 2014 YouGov/Evening Standard 1,42231%44%10%11%2%<0.5%13%
29 Apr 2014 Survation 77426%42%15%12%2%<0.5%16%
7–9 Apr 2014 YouGov/Evening Standard 1,20934%42%11%9%3%<0.5%8%
8–10 Oct 2013 YouGov/Evening Standard 1,23132%45%9%10%2%2%13%
20–25 Jun 2013 YouGov/Evening Standard 1,26929%48%10%9%2%3%19%
24–30 Apr 2012 Opinium 73633%43%6%10%7%2%10%
27–29 Apr 2012 YouGov/Evening Standard 1,23131%47%8%9%3%2%16%
20–22 Apr 2012 YouGov/Evening Standard 1,13831%50%6%8%3%2%19%
13–15 Apr 2012 YouGov/Evening Standard 1,06033%50%6%7%2%2%17%
12–15 March 2012 YouGov/Evening Standard 1,22634%46%5%9%3%2%12%
7–10 Feb 2012 YouGov/Evening Standard 1,10635%47%5%9%2%2%12%
10–16 Jan 2012 YouGov 1,34934%44%5%8%3%2%10%
7–9 Jun 2011 YouGov 1,21532%51%3%8%3%2%19%
5–8 Oct 2010 YouGov 1,27138%42%2%13%3%2%4%
6 May 2010 General Election Results –34.5%36.6%1.7%22.1%1.6%3.5%2.1%

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Final General Election 2015 prediction poll published 7 May 2015 with an additional 463 respondents added to the data published the previous day
  2. ↑ Preliminary prediction poll published 6 May 2015

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2017 United Kingdom general election</span>

The 2017 United Kingdom general election was held on Thursday 8 June 2017, two years after the previous general election in 2015; it was the first since 1992 to be held on a day that did not coincide with any local elections. The governing Conservative Party remained the largest single party in the House of Commons but lost its small overall majority, resulting in the formation of a Conservative minority government with a confidence and supply agreement with the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) of Northern Ireland.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Opinion polling for the United Kingdom European Union membership referendum</span>

The referendum on EU membership took place on 23 June 2016. Opinion polling for the United Kingdom European Union membership referendum was ongoing in the months between the announcement of a referendum and the referendum polling day. Polls on the general principle of the UK's membership of the European Union were carried out for a number of years prior to the referendum. Opinion polls of voters in general tended to show roughly equal proportions in favour of remaining and leaving. Polls of business leaders, scientists, and lawyers showed majorities in favour of remaining. Among non-British citizens in other EU member states, polling suggested that a majority were in favour of the UK remaining in the EU in principle, but that a similarly sized majority believed that if the UK were only able to remain in the EU on renegotiated terms then it should leave.

Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations. This article concerns well over 240 polls carried out since the 2014 Scottish independence referendum. Polling conducted before the referendum can be found here. Polls listed here, except as noted, are by members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2018 Hungarian parliamentary election, which was held on 8 April 2018.

Several polling firms conducted opinion polls during the term of the 52nd New Zealand Parliament in the lead up to the 2020 general election, which elects the 53rd Parliament. The 52nd Parliament was elected on 23 September 2017 and dissolved on 6 September 2020. The 2020 election was originally due to take place on Saturday 19 September 2020, but due to a second COVID-19 outbreak it was delayed until Saturday 17 October 2020.

Prior to the 2019 United Kingdom general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. Most of the pollsters listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. Opinion polling about attitudes to the leaders of various political parties can be found in a separate article.

This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2020 United States presidential election. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters (LV) is prioritized, then registered voters (RV), then adults (A). Polling in the 2020 election was considerably less accurate than in the 2016 election, and possibly more inaccurate than in any election since 1996.

Opinion polling for the 2024 United Kingdom general election is being carried out continually by various organisations to gauge voting intention. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2019 general election on 12 December to the present day.

Several polling firms conducted opinion polls during the term of the 53rd New Zealand Parliament (2020–2023) for the 2023 New Zealand general election. The regular polls are the quarterly polls produced by Television New Zealand conducted by Verian and Discovery New Zealand (Newshub) conducted by Reid Research, along with monthly polls by Roy Morgan, and by Curia. The sample size, margin of error and confidence interval of each poll varies by organisation and date.

References

  1. ↑ Lyons Lowe, Damian (8 May 2015). "Snatching defeat from the jaws of victory". Survation. Retrieved 8 May 2015.
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Lord Ashcroft adjusts for don't know/refusers by reallocating a proportion of those to the party they tend to support. The England figures are based on a table that does not adjust for don't knows/refusers.
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 ICM adjust for don't know/refusers by reallocating a proportion of those to the major party they tend to support. Percentages for England are based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers.
  4. ↑ The question asked was "Which of these political parties do you feel closest to?", not a voting intention question.
  5. 1 2 "NI Life and Times Survey - 2012 : POLPART2" . Retrieved 3 January 2015.
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