This is a list of opinion polls for the 2007 Scottish Parliament election. The first figure for each party is for the 1st, first-past-the-post, constituency, vote; the second figure is for the 2nd, proportional representation, regional, vote. The Scottish Greens and the Scottish Socialist Party ran only one constituency candidate each in the 2007 election (the Greens in Glasgow Kelvin and the SSP in Paisley North) so constituency values in polls for those parties have little meaning.
ICM, Ipsos MORI, Populus, YouGov and TNS System Three (a subsidiary of Taylor Nelson Sofres) are all members of the British Polling Council (BPC), and therefore fully disclose the methodology used, and publish tables of the detailed statistical findings. Scottish Opinion (a brand of Progressive Partnership) and mruk are not BPC members.
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
Pollster/client | Date(s) conducted | Lab | SNP | Con | Lib Dem | SSP | Green | Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2007 Scottish Parliament election | 32.2% | 32.9% | 16.6% | 16.2% | - | - | - | |
YouGov/The Daily Telegraph [ dead link ] | 2 May 2007 | 31% | 37% | 13% | 14% | - | - | 5% |
ICM/The Guardian/The Scotsman | 30 April 2007 | 32% | 34% | 13% | 16% | - | - | 5% |
Populus/The Times | 30 April 2007 | 29% | 33% | 13% | 15% | - | - | 10% |
YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 26 April 2007 | 30% | 39% | 13% | 15% | - | - | 4% |
YouGov/ESRC | 23 April 2007 | 30% | 38% | 12% | 15% | - | - | - |
YouGov/Sunday Times | 20 April 2007 | 30% | 37% | 14% | 15% | - | - | 4% |
mruk/Herald | 19 April 2007 | 34% | 38% | 11% | 13% | - | - | - |
Populus/Times | 17 April 2007 | 30% | 34% | 13% | 18% | - | - | 6% |
Scottish Opinion/Mail on Sunday | 15 April 2007 | 35% | 32% | 13% | 15% | - | - | - |
ICM/Scotsman | 3 April 2007 | 27% | 32% | 13% | 19% | 5% | - | 4% |
TNS System Three/STV | 1 April 2007 | 34% | 39% | 13% | 11% | - | - | 3% |
YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 28 March 2007 | 29% | 35% | 13% | 14% | - | - | 9% |
mruk/Herald | 27 March 2007 | 38% | 34% | 10% | 15% | - | - | 3% |
Scottish Opinion/Daily Mail | 26 March 2007 | 28% | 34% | 11% | 11% | - | 9% | - |
Populus/Times | 25 March 2007 | 28% | 38% | 14% | 15% | - | - | 6% |
ICM/Scotsman | 26 February 2007 | 29% | 34% | 16% | 16% | 1% | - | - |
ICM/Scotsman | 29 January 2007 | 31% | 33% | 13% | 17% | 3% | - | 3% |
YouGov/Sunday Times | 12 January 2007 | 29% | 35% | 13% | 18% | 1% | 2% | 2% |
YouGov/Channel 4 | 8 January 2007 | 31% | 33% | 14% | 14% | 1% | 5% | 4% |
ICM/Scotsman | 23 November 2006 | 29% | 34% | 13% | 17% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
ICM/Scotsman | 30 October 2006 | 30% | 32% | 14% | 15% | 4% | 3% | 3% |
Scottish Opinion/Sunday Mail | 20 October 2006 | 32% | 35% | 11% | 16% | 2% | - | 2% |
YouGov/Sunday Times | 7 September 2006 | 30% | 29% | 14% | 18% | 2% | 5% | 4% |
TNS System Three/Herald [ dead link ] | 29 August 2006 | 36% | 28% | 12% | 17% | 4% | 3% | - |
TNS System Three/Herald [ dead link ] | 1 August 2006 | 37% | 29% | 13% | 14% | 3% | 2% | - |
TNS System Three/Herald [ dead link ] | 4 July 2006 | 37% | 31% | 11% | 14% | 3% | 3% | - |
Ipsos MORI | 1 July 2006 | 28% | 30% | 15% | 19% | 1% | 4% | 3% |
2003 Scottish Parliament election | 34.9% | 23.8% | 16.5% | 15.1% | 6.2% | - | 3.5% |
Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. |
}}
Pollster/client | Date(s) conducted | Lab | SNP | Con | Lib Dem | Green | SSP | Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2007 Scottish Parliament election | 29.2% | 31.0% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 4.0% | 0.6% | ||
YouGov/The Daily Telegraph [ dead link ] | 2 May 2007 | 27% | 32% | 13% | 10% | 9% | - | 9% |
ICM/The Guardian/The Scotsman | 30 April 2007 | 29% | 30% | 13% | 16% | 4% | 3% | 5% |
Populus/The Times | 30 April 2007 | 28% | 31% | 14% | 15% | 4% | 1% | 7% |
YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 26 April 2007 | 27% | 31% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 3% | 7% |
YouGov/ESRC | 23 April 2007 | 27% | 32% | 14% | 12% | - | - | - |
YouGov/The Sunday Times | 20 April 2007 | 28% | 35% | 13% | 13% | - | - | 11% |
mruk/The Herald | 19 April 2007 | 36% | 37% | 11% | 11% | 3% | - | - |
Populus/The Times | 17 April 2007 | 27% | 34% | 14% | 18% | 3% | 1% | 3% |
Scottish Opinion/Mail on Sunday | 15 April 2007 | 34% | 31% | 12% | 13% | 5% | - | - |
ICM/Scotsman | 3 April 2007 | 27% | 31% | 12% | 17% | 5% | 5% | 3% |
TNS System Three/STV | 1 April 2007 | 25% | 36% | 11% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 7% |
YouGov/The Daily Telegraph | 28 March 2007 | 27% | 33% | 15% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 5% |
mruk/The Herald | 27 March 2007 | 37% | 35% | 10% | 14% | 3% | - | 1% |
Scottish Opinion/Daily Mail | 26 March 2007 | 28% | 32% | 10% | 11% | 10% | - | - |
Populus/The Times | 25 March 2007 | 30% | 35% | 14% | 14% | 4% | 1% | 2% |
ICM/The Scotsman | 26 February 2007 | 28% | 32% | 15% | 17% | 4% | 2% | - |
ICM/The Scotsman | 29 January 2007 | 27% | 33% | 14% | 17% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
YouGov/The Sunday Times | 12 January 2007 | 30% | 32% | 14% | 14% | 5% | 1% | 4% |
YouGov/Channel 4 | 8 January 2007 | 28% | 33% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 1% | 4% |
ICM/Scotsman | 23 November 2006 | 26% | 31% | 12% | 19% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
ICM/Scotsman | 30 October 2006 | 28% | 28% | 14% | 17% | 6% | 4% | 3% |
Scottish Opinion/Sunday Mail | 20 October 2006 | 25% | 28% | 11% | 26% | 4% | 5% | 1% |
YouGov/The Sunday Times | 7 September 2006 | 27% | 29% | 14% | 15% | 8% | 2% | 5% |
TNS System Three/The Herald [ dead link ] | 29 August 2006 | 28% | 27% | 11% | 19% | 8% | 6% | - |
TNS System Three/The Herald [ dead link ] | 1 August 2006 | 29% | 32% | 10% | 15% | 8% | 4% | - |
TNS System Three/Herald [ dead link ] | 4 July 2006 | 29% | 33% | 9% | 17% | 5% | 5% | - |
Ipsos MORI | 1 July 2006 | 26% | 28% | 16% | 19% | 6% | 1% | 4% |
2003 Scottish Parliament election | 29.3% | 20.9% | 15.5% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.0% |
The Scotsman stated that the findings of their 3 April poll would produce a seat distribution as follows: SNP 44 MSPs (+17), Labour 39 MSPs (-11), Liberal Democrats 24 MSPs (+7), Conservative 15 MSPs (-3).
The Sunday Times (12 January) stated that the findings of their poll would produce a seat distribution as follows: Labour 42 MSPs (-8), SNP 38 MSPs (+11), Liberal Democrats 19 MSPs (+2), Conservative 17 MSPs (-1), Greens 9 MSPs (+2), others 4 MSPs (-6).
Several polls were carried out on whether voters would support independence for Scotland, a key issue in this election and a central policy of the SNP. However, the results of such polls have historically been proven to be sensitive to the wording of the question used.
When polls give three options, including an option for greater devolution but stopping short of independence, support for full independence is much lower. In a poll by The Times , published on 20 April 2007, given a choice between independence, the status quo, or greater powers for the Scottish Parliament within the United Kingdom, the latter option had majority support (56%) with only 22% supporting full independence. [8] Even among SNP voters, more (47%) supported a more powerful Parliament than full independence (45%).
On 4 April 2007, the BBC published the findings of a poll it had commissioned from ICM. The 1001 respondents were asked to rank a given list of issues, in the order which they thought "should be the priorities of the new parliament?" [9] [10] The respondents ranked the main issues as follows:
3. Council tax for 65s+
4. Local hospitals
8. Buses/trains (not roads)
9. Scrap tuition fees
The Scottish Greens are a green political party in Scotland. The party has seven MSPs in the Scottish Parliament as of May 2021. As of the 2022 local elections, the party sits on 13 of the 32 Scottish local councils, with a total of 35 councillors. They hold two ministerial posts in the Yousaf government following a power-sharing agreement with the SNP in August 2021, marking the first time Green party politicians will be in government in the UK.
Scottish independence is the notion of Scotland as a sovereign state, independent from the United Kingdom, and refers to the political movement that is campaigning to bring it about.
John Ramsay Swinney is a Scottish politician who served as Deputy First Minister of Scotland from 2014 to 2023. He held various Scottish Cabinet roles under First Ministers Alex Salmond and Nicola Sturgeon from 2007 to 2023. Swinney has served as the Member of the Scottish Parliament (MSP) for Perthshire North since 2011, having previously represented North Tayside from 1999 to 2011. He was the Leader of the Scottish National Party (SNP) from 2000 to 2004.
The Scottish devolution referendum of 1997 was a pre-legislative referendum held in Scotland on 11 September 1997 over whether there was support for the creation of a Scottish Parliament with devolved powers, and whether the Parliament should have tax-varying powers. The result was "Yes–Yes": a majority voted in favour of both proposals, and the Parliament was established following an election in 1999. Turnout for the referendum was 60.4%.
Robin Charles Moreton Harper, is a Scottish politician, who was a Member of the Scottish Parliament (MSP) for the Lothians region (1999–2011). He was co-convener of the Scottish Greens (2004–2008). Harper became an MSP in the first elections to the Scottish Parliament in 1999, the first ever elected Green parliamentarian in the United Kingdom.
Unionism in Scotland is a political movement which favours the continuation of the political union between Scotland and the other countries of the United Kingdom, and hence is opposed to Scottish independence. Scotland is one of four countries of the United Kingdom which has its own devolved government and Scottish Parliament, as well as representation in the UK Parliament. There are many strands of political Unionism in Scotland, some of which have ties to Unionism and Loyalism in Northern Ireland. The two main political parties in the UK — the Conservatives support Scotland remaining part of the UK.
Patrick Harvie is a Scottish politician who has served as Minister for Zero Carbon Buildings, Active Travel and Tenants' Rights since 2021. He has served as one of two co-leaders of the Scottish Greens since 2008, and is one of the first Green politicians in the UK to serve as a government minister. Harvie has been a Member of the Scottish Parliament (MSP) for the Glasgow region since 2003.
English independence is a political stance advocating secession of England from the United Kingdom. Support for secession of England has been influenced by the increasing devolution of political powers to Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland, where independence from the United Kingdom is a prominent subject of political debate.
Scottish Labour is the part of the UK Labour Party active in Scotland. Ideologically social democratic and unionist, it currently holds 22 of the 129 seats in the Scottish Parliament and one of the 59 Scottish seats in the House of Commons. It is represented by 262 of the 1,227 local councillors across Scotland.
The 2007 Scottish Parliament election was held on Thursday 3 May 2007 to elect members to the Scottish Parliament. It was the third general election to the devolved Scottish Parliament since it was created in 1999. Local elections in Scotland fell on the same day.
John Gordon Wilson is a Scottish politician. He was formerly a Member of the Scottish Parliament (MSP) for the Central Scotland region from 2007 until 2016. He sat as a Scottish National Party (SNP) member and then as an independent after 2014. He stood unsuccessfully as a Green Party candidate in the Coatbridge and Chryston constituency at the 2016 Scottish Parliament election and then as an independent candidate in the 2017 Scottish local elections.
Full fiscal autonomy (FFA) – also known as devolution max, devo-max, or fiscal federalism – is a particular form of far-reaching devolution proposed for Scotland and for Wales. The term has come to describe a constitutional arrangement in which instead of receiving a block grant from the UK Exchequer as at present, the Scottish Parliament or the Senedd would receive all taxation levied in Scotland or Wales; it would be responsible for most spending in Scotland or Wales but make payments to the UK government to cover Scotland or Wales's share of the cost of providing certain UK-wide services, largely defence and foreign relations. Scottish/Welsh fiscal autonomy – stopping short of full political independence – is usually promoted by advocates of a federal United Kingdom.
In the run up to the general election on 7 May 2015, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.
The 2021 Scottish Parliament election took place on 6 May 2021, under the provisions of the Scotland Act 1998. All 129 Members of the Scottish Parliament were elected in the sixth election since the parliament was re-established in 1999. The election was held alongside the Senedd election, English local elections, London Assembly and mayoral election and the Hartlepool by-election.
The 2016 Scottish parliament election was held on Thursday, 5 May 2016 to elect 129 members to the Scottish Parliament. It was the fifth election held since the devolved parliament was established in 1999. It was the first parliamentary election in Scotland in which 16 and 17 year olds were eligible to vote, under the provisions of the Scottish Elections Act. It was also the first time the three largest parties were led by women.
This page lists the public opinion polls that were conducted in relation to the 2014 Scottish independence referendum, that was held on 18 September 2014. Overall, polls showed that support for a "No" vote was dominant until the end of August 2014, when support for a "Yes" vote gained momentum and the gap closed significantly, with at least one poll placing the "Yes" vote ahead. In the final week of the campaign, polls showed the "No" vote to be consistently but somewhat narrowly ahead. There were no exit polls although a YouGov post-election poll was published shortly after the polls closed. For the history of the campaign itself see 2014 Scottish independence referendum, Yes Scotland, and Better Together (campaign).
The 2014 Scottish National Party leadership election was held to choose the leader of the Scottish National Party (SNP) and First Minister of Scotland, following the resignation of Alex Salmond as first minister and leader. Nicola Sturgeon emerged as the only candidate and was elected unopposed as leader of the SNP.
A general election was held in the United Kingdom on 7 May 2015 and all 59 seats in Scotland were contested under the first-past-the-post, single-member district electoral system. Unlike the 2010 general election, where no seats changed party, the Scottish National Party (SNP) won all but three seats in Scotland in an unprecedented landslide victory, gaining a total of 56 seats and taking the largest share of the Scottish vote in sixty years, at approximately 50 per cent. The Labour Party suffered its worst ever election defeat in Scotland, losing 40 of the 41 seats it was defending, including the seats of Scottish Labour leader Jim Murphy and the then Shadow Foreign Secretary Douglas Alexander. The Liberal Democrats lost ten of the eleven seats they were defending, with the then Chief Secretary to the Treasury Danny Alexander and former leader Charles Kennedy losing their seats. The election also saw the worst performance by the Scottish Conservative Party, which received its lowest share of the vote since its creation in 1965, although it retained the one seat that it previously held. In all, 50 of the 59 seats changed party, 49 of them being won by first-time MPs.
A second referendum on independence from the United Kingdom (UK) has been proposed by the Scottish Government. An independence referendum was first held on 18 September 2014, with 55% voting "No" to independence. The Scottish Government stated in its white paper for independence that voting Yes was a "once in a generation opportunity to follow a different path, and choose a new and better direction for our nation". Following the "No" vote, the cross party Smith Commission proposed areas that could be devolved to the Scottish Parliament; this led to the passing of the Scotland Act 2016, formalising new devolved policy areas in time for the 2016 Scottish Parliament election campaign.
In the run-up to the 2021 Scottish Parliament election, various organisations conducted opinion polls to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. Most of the pollsters listed were members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abided by its disclosure rules.