Opinion polling for the 2021 Scottish Parliament election

In the run-up to the 2021 Scottish Parliament election, various organisations conducted opinion polls to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. Most of the pollsters listed were members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abided by its disclosure rules.

The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous Scottish Parliament election, held on 5 May 2016, to the 2021 election, held on 6 May 2021. ^[1]

Graphical summary

This graph shows opinion poll results with trendlines for the 30-day moving averages. The SNP led in all polls, with the Conservatives and Labour coming second or third behind them.

Regional vote

Constituency vote

Key

  SNP – Scottish National Party
  Conservative – Scottish Conservatives
  Labour – Scottish Labour
  Lib Dem – Scottish Liberal Democrats
  Green – Scottish Greens
  UKIP – UK Independence Party
  Reform – Reform UK
  SSP – Scottish Socialist Party
  Alba – Alba Party
  AFU – All for Unity

Constituency vote

The opinion polls below are gauge voting intentions for the 73 single member constituency seats elected through the plurality voting system.

Graphical summary

Poll results

Pollster	Client	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	SNP	Con	Lab	Lib Dem	Green	UKIP	Ref UK	Other	Lead
2021 Scottish Parliament election		6 May 2021	–	47.7%	21.9%	21.6%	6.9%	1.3%	0.0%	–	0.6%	25.8%
		4 May 2021	BBC Scotland leaders' debate between Sarwar, Rennie, Ross, Sturgeon and Harvie [2]
YouGov	The Times	2–4 May 2021	1,144	52%	20%	19%	6%	2%	–	–	1%	32%
Survation	The Courier	30 Apr – 4 May 2021	1,008	49%	21%	21%	8%	1%	–	–	1%	28%
Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	30 Apr – 4 May 2021	1,001	42%	25%	22%	8%	–	–	–	3%	17%
Ipsos MORI	STV News	30 Apr – 3 May 2021	1,502	50%	20%	22%	6%	2%	–	–	1%	28%
Opinium	Sky News	28 Apr – 3 May 2021	1,015	51%	23%	19%	7%	–	–	–	–	28%
Panelbase	The Sunday Times	28–30 Apr 2021	1,096	48%	21%	20%	7%	3%	–	–	1%	27%
BMG	The Herald	27–30 Apr 2021	1,023	49%	19%	21%	9%	–	–	–	–	28%
		27 Apr 2021	Channel 4 News leaders' debate between Sarwar, Rennie, Ross, Sturgeon and Harvie [3]
Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	23–27 Apr 2021	1,001	45%	23%	23%	7%	–	–	–	1%	22%
Survation	GMB	23–26 Apr 2021	1,008	47%	21%	21%	8%	–	–	–	2%	26%
Panelbase	Scot Goes Pop	21–26 Apr 2021	1,075	45%	20%	22%	8%	4%	–	–	–	23%
Survation	The Sunday Post	20–22 Apr 2021	1,037	50%	21%	21%	7%	1%	–	–	1%	29%
Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	16–20 Apr 2021	1,001	46%	25%	20%	6%	–	–	–	3%	21%
YouGov	The Times	16–20 Apr 2021	1,204	49%	21%	21%	6%	1%	–	–	2%	28%
		13 Apr 2021	STV leaders' debate between Sarwar, Rennie, Ross, Sturgeon and Harvie [4]
Panelbase	Believe in Scotland	9–12 Apr 2021	1,002	47%	23%	20%	6%	4%	–	–	–	24%
Lord Ashcroft	N/A	7–19 Apr 2021	2,017	49%	22%	15%	8%	5%	–	–	–	27%
Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	2–7 Apr 2021	1,007	49%	23%	18%	6%	–	–	–	3%	26%
Opinium	Sky News	1–6 Apr 2021	1,023	53%	21%	18%	6%	–	–	–	1%	32%
Ipsos MORI	STV News	30 Mar – 4 Apr 2021	1,038	53%	20%	18%	6%	2%	–	–	1%	33%
Panelbase	The Sunday Times	30 Mar – 1 Apr 2021	1,009	49%	22%	20%	6%	2%	–	–	–	27%
		30 Mar 2021	BBC Scotland leaders' debate between Sarwar, Rennie, Ross, Sturgeon and Slater [5]
Survation	The Courier	29–30 Mar 2021	1,000	49%	21%	20%	9%	1%	–	–	–	28%
		26 Mar 2021	Former first minister Alex Salmond launches the Alba Party [6]
Find Out Now	Daily Express	23–26 Mar 2021	1,022	50%	21%	17%	5%	4%	–	1%	1%	29%
YouGov	The Times	19–22 Mar 2021	N/A	50%	24%	17%	5%	2%	–	–	2%	26%
BMG	The Herald	16–19 Mar 2021	1,021	48%	21%	20%	8%	1%	–	–	1%	27%
Survation	The Courier	11–18 Mar 2021	1,515	50%	21%	20%	8%	1%	–	–	–	29%
Opinium	Sky News	11–16 Mar 2021	1,096	46%	24%	20%	6%	4%	–	–	1%	22%
Survation	Scotland in Union	9–12 Mar 2021	1,011	46%	21%	23%	8%	1%	–	–	1%	23%
Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	5–10 Mar 2021	1,009	48%	23%	20%	8%	–	–	–	2%	25%
YouGov	The Times	4–8 Mar 2021	1,100	52%	22%	17%	6%	2%	–	–	1%	30%
Panelbase	The Sunday Times	3–5 Mar 2021	1,013	47%	23%	20%	7%	2%	–	–	1%	24%
		27 Feb 2021	Anas Sarwar is elected leader of Scottish Labour [7]
Survation	Daily Record	24–25 Feb 2021	1,011	50%	21%	20%	7%	3%	–	–	2%	29%
Ipsos MORI	STV News	15–21 Feb 2021	1,031	52%	23%	15%	5%	3%	–	–	2%	29%
Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	4–9 Feb 2021	1,002	50%	23%	19%	6%	–	–	–	2%	27%
Panelbase	The Sunday Times	19–22 Jan 2021	1,059	52%	20%	17%	6%	3%	–	–	–	32%
Survation	Scot Goes Pop	11–13 Jan 2021	1,020	51%	19%	19%	9%	–	–	–	–	32%
Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	8–13 Jan 2021	1,016	49%	20%	20%	8%	–	–	–	4%	29%
		6 Jan 2021	The Brexit Party is re-registered as Reform UK [8]
Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	11–15 Dec 2020	1,013	52%	19%	19%	7%	–	–	–	3%	33%
Survation	N/A	4–9 Dec 2020	1,010	53%	20%	20%	6%	1%	–	–	–	33%
Ipsos MORI	STV News	20–26 Nov 2020	1,006	55%	22%	14%	6%	1%	–	–	1%	33%
Panelbase Archived 2020-11-19 at the Wayback Machine	Scot Goes Pop	5–11 Nov 2020	1,020	53%	21%	18%	5%	3%	–	–	<1%	32%
YouGov	N/A	6–10 Nov 2020	1,089	56%	19%	15%	6%	2%	–	–	–	37%
Survation	N/A	28 Oct – 3 Nov 2020	1,071	54%	19%	18%	8%	–	–	–	2%	35%
Ipsos MORI	STV News	2–9 Oct 2020	1,045	58%	19%	13%	8%	1%	–	–	2%	39%
Savanta ComRes	N/A	9 Oct 2020	1,003	50%	23%	18%	6%	–	–	–	2%	27%
JL Partners	Politico	17–21 Sep 2020	1,016	58%	19%	13%	8%	2%	–	–	<1%	39%
Survation	N/A	2–7 Sep 2020	1,018	53%	20%	18%	7%	–	–	–	2%	33%
Savanta ComRes	N/A	6–13 Aug 2020	1,008	51%	24%	17%	6%	–	–	–	2%	27%
YouGov	The Times	6–10 Aug 2020	1,142	57%	20%	14%	8%	1%	–	–	1%	37%
		5 Aug 2020	Douglas Ross becomes leader of the Scottish Conservatives [9]
Panelbase Archived 2020-07-07 at the Wayback Machine	The Sunday Times	30 Jun – 3 Jul 2020	1,026	55%	20%	15%	6%	3%	–	–	<1%	35%
Panelbase Archived 2020-06-12 at the Wayback Machine	Scot Goes Pop	1–5 Jun 2020	1,022	53%	21%	16%	6%	3%	–	–	<1%	32%
Panelbase	Wings Over Scotland	1–5 May 2020	1,086	53%	23%	15%	5%	3%	–	–	1%	30%
YouGov	N/A	24–27 Apr 2020	1,095	54%	23%	12%	8%	2%	–	–	1%	31%
Panelbase Archived 2020-05-08 at the Wayback Machine	The Sunday Times	24–26 Mar 2020	1,023	51%	26%	14%	6%	3%	–	–	<1%	25%
		14 Feb 2020	Jackson Carlaw is elected leader of the Scottish Conservatives [10]
Panelbase Archived 2020-02-28 at the Wayback Machine	Scot Goes Pop	28–31 Jan 2020	1,016	50%	26%	14%	7%	3%	–	–	<1%	24%
Survation	Progress Scotland	20–22 Jan 2020	1,019	51%	23%	17%	7%	–	–	–	1%	28%
		12 Dec 2019	2019 United Kingdom general election [11]
Panelbase	The Sunday Times	3–6 Dec 2019	1,020	43%	26%	19%	8%	2%	–	2%	<1%	17%
YouGov	The Times	29 Nov – 3 Dec 2019	1,002	46%	26%	14%	11%	1%	–	0%	0% [nb 1]	20%
Panelbase	The Sunday Times	20–22 Nov 2019	1,009	43%	26%	17%	9%	2%	–	3%	<1%	17%
Panelbase Archived 2022-08-29 at the Wayback Machine	The Sunday Times	9–11 Oct 2019	1,003	42%	21%	19%	10%	3%	<1%	4%	<1%	21%
YouGov	The Times	29 Aug – 3 Sep 2019	1,059	45%	23%	13%	12%	2%	–	3%	1% [nb 1]	22%
		29 Aug 2019	Shetland by-election [12]
		1 Aug 2019	Lorna Slater is elected co-leader of the Scottish Greens alongside Patrick Harvie [13]
Panelbase Archived 2022-08-29 at the Wayback Machine	The Sunday Times	18–20 Jun 2019	1,024	42%	20%	16%	11%	3%	<1%	7%	<1% [nb 2]	22%
		23 May 2019	2019 European Parliament election [14]
Panelbase Archived 2019-06-26 at the Wayback Machine	The Sunday Times	14–17 May 2019	1,021	41%	20%	18%	8%	3%	1%	7%	1% [nb 3]	21%
YouGov	The Times	24–26 Apr 2019	1,029	46%	22%	16%	7%	3%	–	4%	1% [nb 3]	24%
Panelbase Archived 2019-05-23 at the Wayback Machine	The Sunday Times	18–24 Apr 2019	1,018	40%	22%	20%	6%	3%	1%	5%	2% [nb 4]	18%
Panelbase	Wings Over Scotland	28 Feb – 6 Mar 2019	1,002	41%	27%	19%	8%	3%	2%	–	<1%	14%
Survation	Scottish Daily Mail	1–4 Mar 2019	1,011	43%	24%	22%	9%	–	–	–	2%	19%
Panelbase Archived 2018-12-11 at the Wayback Machine	The Sunday Times	30 Nov – 5 Dec 2018	1,028	41%	25%	23%	6%	3%	1%	–	<1%	16%
Panelbase Archived 2018-11-20 at the Wayback Machine	Constitutional Commission	2–7 Nov 2018	1,050	39%	27%	24%	6%	3%	1%	–	<1%	12%
Survation	Daily Record	18–21 Oct 2018	1,017	38%	26%	25%	9%	1%	–	–	0%	12%
Survation/SNP	N/A	3–5 Oct 2018	1,013	44%	24%	23%	8%	–	–	–	1%	20%
Panelbase Archived 2018-10-09 at the Wayback Machine	The Sunday Times	28 Sep – 4 Oct 2018	1,024	41%	26%	21%	6%	3%	2%	–	<1%	15%
Survation	The Sunday Post	28 Sep – 2 Oct 2018	1,036	43%	24%	23%	9%	–	–	–	2%	19%
Survation	Daily Record	5–10 Jul 2018	1,004	44%	24%	21%	9%	–	–	–	3%	20%
Panelbase	Wings Over Scotland	21–27 Jun 2018	1,018	41%	27%	22%	6%	2%	1%	–	<1%	14%
Panelbase	The Sunday Times	8–13 Jun 2018	1,021	40%	28%	24%	6%	2%	<1%	–	<1%	12%
YouGov	The Times	1–5 Jun 2018	1,075	41%	27%	22%	6%	2%	1%	–	1%	14%
Panelbase	The Sunday Times	23–28 Mar 2018	1,037	40%	28%	22%	6%	3%	<1%	–	<1%	12%
Survation	Daily Record	24–28 Jan 2018	1,029	42%	25%	25%	6%	–	–	–	2%	17%
YouGov	The Times	12–16 Jan 2018	1,002	38%	26%	23%	7%	3%	2%	–	0%	12%
Panelbase	Wings Over Scotland	15–20 Dec 2017	1,022	39%	26%	25%	6%	2%	<1%	–	<1%	13%
Survation	The Sunday Post	1–5 Dec 2017	1,006	39%	24%	28%	7%	–	–	–	2%	11%
Survation	Daily Record	27–30 Nov 2017	1,017	39%	24%	25%	8%	–	–	–	3%	14%
		18 Nov 2017	Richard Leonard is elected leader of Scottish Labour [15]
YouGov	The Times	2–5 Oct 2017	1,135	42%	25%	25%	5%	2%	1%	–	0%	17%
Survation	Scottish Daily Mail	8–12 Sep 2017	1,016	42%	26%	25%	7%	–	–	–	2%	16%
Panelbase	The Sunday Times	31 Aug – 7 Sep 2017	1,021	42%	28%	22%	6%	2%	<1%	–	<1%	14%
		8 Jun 2017	2017 United Kingdom general election [16]
		4 May 2017	2017 Scottish local elections [17]
YouGov	The Times	9–14 Mar 2017	1,028	51%	24%	14%	6%	4%	1%	–	1%	27%
YouGov	The Times	24–29 Nov 2016	1,134	48%	25%	15%	6%	3%	1%	–	0%	23%
BMG	N/A	28 Sep – 4 Oct 2016	1,010	51%	21%	18%	7%	–	–	–	3%	30%
YouGov	The Times	29–31 Aug 2016	1,039	52%	21%	16%	5%	3%	2%	–	0%	31%
Survation	Scottish Daily Mail	24–28 Jun 2016	1,055	50%	21%	18%	8%	–	–	–	4%	29%
2016 Scottish Parliament election		5 May 2016	–	46.5%	22.0%	22.6%	7.8%	0.6%	–	–	0.5%	23.9%

Regional vote

The opinion polls below are gauge voting intentions for the 56 regional list seats elected through the additional member system.

Graphical summary

Poll results

Pollster	Client	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	SNP	Con	Lab	Green	Lib Dem	Alba	UKIP	Ref UK	SSP	Other	Lead
2021 Scottish Parliament election		6 May 2021	–	40.3%	23.5%	17.9%	8.1%	5.1%	1.7%	0.1%	0.2%	–	3.0% [nb 5]	16.8%
		4 May 2021	BBC Scotland leaders' debate between Sarwar, Rennie, Ross, Sturgeon and Harvie [18]
YouGov	The Times	2–4 May 2021	1,144	38%	22%	16%	13%	5%	3%	0%	0%	–	3% [nb 6]	16%
Survation	The Courier	30 Apr – 4 May 2021	1,008	36%	21%	19%	10%	7%	3%	–	–	–	–	15%
Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	30 Apr – 4 May 2021	1,001	34%	23%	19%	9%	6%	2%	–	–	–	–	11%
Ipsos MORI	STV News	30 Apr – 3 May 2021	1,502	39%	23%	18%	12%	4%	2%	0%	0%	–	2% [nb 6]	16%
Opinium	Sky News	28 Apr – 3 May 2021	1,015	41%	23%	17%	8%	6%	3%	–	–	–	–	18%
Panelbase	The Sunday Times	28–30 Apr 2021	1,096	39%	22%	16%	8%	7%	4%	–	–	–	4% [nb 7]	17%
BMG	The Herald	27–30 Apr 2021	1,023	37%	22%	17%	9%	8%	4%	–	–	–	– [nb 7]	15%
		27 Apr 2021	Channel 4 News leaders' debate between Sarwar, Rennie, Ross, Sturgeon and Harvie [3]
Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	23–27 Apr 2021	1,001	36%	22%	19%	10%	5%	2%	–	–	–	8%	14%
Survation	GMB	23–26 Apr 2021	1,008	37%	22%	18%	10%	7%	2%	–	1%	–	1%	15%
Panelbase	Scot Goes Pop	21–26 Apr 2021	1,075	36%	21%	18%	10%	6%	6%	–	–	–	– [nb 7]	15%
Survation	The Sunday Post	20–22 Apr 2021	1,037	35%	20%	22%	10%	7%	3%	1%	1%	–	2%	13%
Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	16–20 Apr 2021	1,001	38%	23%	17%	7%	5%	1%	–	–	–	7%	15%
YouGov	The Times	16–20 Apr 2021	1,204	39%	22%	17%	10%	5%	2%	–	1%	–	2%	17%
		13 Apr 2021	STV leaders debate between Sarwar, Rennie, Ross, Sturgeon and Harvie [18]
Panelbase	Believe in Scotland	9–12 Apr 2021	1,002	36%	22%	17%	9%	6%	6%	–	–	–	4% [nb 7]	14%
Lord Ashcroft	N/A	7–19 Apr 2021	2,017	42%	22%	16%	9%	7%	2%	–	2%	–	–	20%
Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	2–7 Apr 2021	1,007	40%	21%	18%	9%	7%	3%	–	–	–	3%	19%
Opinium	Sky News	1–6 Apr 2021	1,023	44%	22%	17%	7%	5%	2%	–	–	–	3%	22%
Ipsos MORI	STV News	30 Mar – 4 Apr 2021	1,038	38%	21%	18%	12%	6%	3%	–	–	–	2%	17%
Panelbase	The Sunday Times	30 Mar – 1 Apr 2021	1,009	39%	21%	17%	8%	5%	6%	–	–	–	4% [nb 8]	18%
		30 Mar 2021	BBC Scotland leaders debate between Sarwar, Rennie, Ross, Sturgeon and Slater [5]
Survation	The Courier	29–30 Mar 2021	1,000	38%	18%	19%	11%	8%	3%	1%	1%	–	1%	19%
		26 Mar 2021	Former first minister Alex Salmond launches the Alba Party [6]
Find Out Now	Daily Express	23–26 Mar 2021	1,022	42%	21%	16%	11%	5%	–	–	2%	–	2%	21%
YouGov	The Times	19–22 Mar 2021	N/A	46%	24%	15%	8%	5%	–	–	–	–	3%	22%
BMG	The Herald	16–19 Mar 2021	1,021	42%	22%	17%	8%	8%	–	–	1%	–	2%	20%
Survation	The Courier	11–18 Mar 2021	1,515	39%	19%	20%	11%	7%	–	–	1%	–	2%	19%
Opinium	Sky News	11–16 Mar 2021	1,096	42%	22%	19%	7%	5%	–	–	–	–	4%	20%
Survation	Scotland in Union	9–12 Mar 2021	1,011	39%	21%	20%	10%	8%	–	–	–	–	2%	18%
Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	5–10 Mar 2021	1,009	40%	24%	18%	10%	6%	–	–	–	–	2%	16%
YouGov	The Times	4–8 Mar 2021	1,100	45%	21%	16%	6%	5%	–	–	–	3%	4%	24%
Panelbase	The Sunday Times	3–5 Mar 2021	1,013	42%	22%	19%	6%	7%	–	–	–	–	4%	20%
		27 Feb 2021	Anas Sarwar is elected leader of Scottish Labour [7]
Survation	Daily Record	24–25 Feb 2021	1,011	38%	21%	20%	11%	7%	–	–	–	–	3%	17%
Ipsos MORI	STV News	15–21 Feb 2021	1,031	47%	22%	14%	8%	6%	–	–	–	–	3% [nb 9]	25%
Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	4–9 Feb 2021	1,002	39%	21%	21%	10%	9%	–	–	–	–	3%	18%
Panelbase	The Sunday Times	19–22 Jan 2021	1,059	46%	20%	16%	8%	6%	–	–	–	–	3%	26%
Survation	Scot Goes Pop	11–13 Jan 2021	1,020	40%	17%	19%	11%	9%	–	–	–	–	–	19%
Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	8–13 Jan 2021	1,016	40%	18%	20%	10%	9%	–	–	–	–	3%	20%
		6 Jan 2021	The Brexit Party is re-registered as Reform UK [8]
Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	11–15 Dec 2020	1,013	39%	20%	20%	11%	7%	–	–	–	–	3%	19%
Survation	N/A	4–9 Dec 2020	1,010	41%	18%	20%	10%	7%	–	–	1%	–	–	21%
Ipsos MORI	STV News	20–26 Nov 2020	1,006	47%	22%	16%	7%	6%	–	–	–	–	–	25%
Panelbase Archived 2020-11-19 at the Wayback Machine	Scot Goes Pop	5–11 Nov 2020	1,020	46%	20%	18%	8%	6%	–	–	–	–	3%	26%
YouGov	N/A	6–10 Nov 2020	1,089	47%	20%	13%	7%	6%	–	–	–	3%	–	27%
Survation	N/A	28 Oct – 3 Nov 2020	1,071	43%	17%	19%	10%	7%	–	1%	2%	–	1%	24%
Ipsos MORI	STV News	2–9 Oct 2020	1,045	48%	18%	14%	9%	8%	–	–	–	–	–	30%
Savanta ComRes	N/A	9 Oct 2020	1,003	41%	21%	18%	11%	7%	–	–	–	–	1%	20%
JL Partners	Politico	17–21 Sep 2020	1,016	53%	19%	13%	5%	8%	–	–	–	–	–	34%
Survation	N/A	2–7 Sep 2020	1,018	42%	18%	18%	10%	8%	–	2%	2%	–	<1%	24%
Savanta ComRes	N/A	6–13 Aug 2020	1,008	43%	21%	17%	10%	8%	–	–	–	–	2%	22%
YouGov	The Times	6–10 Aug 2020	1,142	47%	21%	14%	6%	7%	–	–	1%	4%	1%	26%
		5 Aug 2020	Douglas Ross becomes leader of the Scottish Conservatives [9]
Panelbase Archived 2020-07-07 at the Wayback Machine	The Sunday Times	30 Jun – 3 Jul 2020	1,026	50%	18%	15%	8%	6%	–	–	–	–	2%	32%
Panelbase Archived 2020-06-12 at the Wayback Machine	Scot Goes Pop	1–5 Jun 2020	1,022	48%	19%	16%	7%	8%	–	–	–	–	2%	29%
Panelbase	Wings Over Scotland	1–5 May 2020	1,086	48%	22%	15%	7%	6%	–	–	–	–	1%	26%
YouGov	N/A	24–27 Apr 2020	1,095	45%	23%	12%	8%	7%	–	–	–	4%	1%	22%
Panelbase Archived 2020-05-08 at the Wayback Machine	The Sunday Times	24–26 Mar 2020	1,023	48%	26%	13%	6%	6%	–	–	–	–	1%	22%
		14 Feb 2020	Jackson Carlaw is elected leader of the Scottish Conservatives [10]
Panelbase Archived 2020-02-28 at the Wayback Machine	Scot Goes Pop	28–31 Jan 2020	1,016	47%	25%	14%	7%	7%	–	–	–	–	<1%	22%
Survation	Progress Scotland	20–22 Jan 2020	1,019	38%	21%	19%	9%	9%	–	1%	2%	–	–	17%
		12 Dec 2019	2019 United Kingdom general election [11]
Panelbase	The Sunday Times	3–6 Dec 2019	1,020	38%	26%	18%	6%	9%	–	–	2%	–	–	12%
YouGov	The Times	29 Nov – 3 Dec 2019	1,002	37%	25%	14%	8%	10%	–	–	2%	3%	<1% [nb 1]	12%
Panelbase	The Sunday Times	20–22 Nov 2019	1,009	39%	25%	17%	6%	9%	–	–	3%	–	–	14%
Panelbase Archived 2022-08-29 at the Wayback Machine	The Sunday Times	9–11 Oct 2019	1,003	38%	21%	18%	6%	11%	–	<1%	4%	–	<1%	17%
YouGov	The Times	30 Aug – 3 Sep 2019	1,059	39%	20%	11%	8%	13%	–	1%	5%	3%	<1% [nb 1]	19%
		29 Aug 2019	Shetland by-election [12]
		1 Aug 2019	Lorna Slater is elected co-leader of the Scottish Greens alongside Patrick Harvie [13]
Panelbase Archived 2022-08-29 at the Wayback Machine	The Sunday Times	18–20 Jun 2019	1,024	39%	20%	16%	7%	10%	–	<1%	6%	–	<1% [nb 2]	19%
		23 May 2019	2019 European Parliament election [14]
Panelbase Archived 2019-06-26 at the Wayback Machine	The Sunday Times	14–17 May 2019	1,021	37%	19%	18%	7%	8%	–	2%	6%	–	2% [nb 4]	18%
YouGov	The Times	24–26 Apr 2019	1,029	37%	20%	15%	10%	7%	–	2%	5%	3%	2% [nb 4]	17%
Panelbase Archived 2019-05-23 at the Wayback Machine	N/A	18–24 Apr 2019	1,018	37%	22%	19%	7%	7%	–	2%	4%	–	2% [nb 4]	15%
Panelbase	Wings Over Scotland	28 Feb – 6 Mar 2019	1,002	36%	26%	19%	6%	9%	–	3%	–	–	<1%	10%
Survation	Scottish Daily Mail	1–4 Mar 2019	1,011	32%	22%	19%	11%	11%	–	3%	–	–	1%	10%
Panelbase Archived 2018-12-11 at the Wayback Machine	The Sunday Times	30 Nov – 5 Dec 2018	1,028	38%	26%	22%	6%	7%	–	1%	–	–	<1%	12%
Panelbase Archived 2018-11-20 at the Wayback Machine	Constitutional Commission	2–7 Nov 2018	1,050	37%	26%	22%	6%	6%	–	2%	–	–	<1%	11%
Survation	Daily Record	18–21 Oct 2018	1,017	32%	23%	23%	9%	9%	–	–	–	–	4%	9%
Survation	SNP	3–5 Oct 2018	1,013	40%	25%	22%	4%	8%	–	–	–	–	2%	15%
Panelbase Archived 2018-10-09 at the Wayback Machine	The Sunday Times	28 Sep – 4 Oct 2018	1,024	35%	26%	20%	7%	8%	–	2%	–	–	1%	9%
Survation	The Sunday Post	28 Sep – 2 Oct 2018	1,036	32%	21%	23%	10%	8%	–	5%	–	–	0%	9%
Survation	Daily Record	5–10 Jul 2018	1,004	33%	19%	21%	11%	10%	–	5%	–	–	1%	12%
Panelbase	Wings Over Scotland	21–27 Jun 2018	1,018	36%	27%	23%	6%	7%	–	1%	–	–	<1%	9%
Panelbase	The Sunday Times	8–13 Jun 2018	1,021	36%	26%	23%	7%	6%	–	1%	–	–	<1%	10%
YouGov	The Times	1–5 Jun 2018	1,075	32%	26%	21%	9%	7%	–	1%	–	3%	<1%	6%
Survation	Daily Record	24–28 Jan 2018	1,029	33%	23%	23%	9%	8%	–	3%	–	–	1%	10%
YouGov	The Times	12–16 Jan 2018	1,002	32%	25%	22%	10%	7%	–	3%	–	2%	<1%	7%
Survation	The Sunday Post	1–5 Dec 2017	1,006	32%	21%	24%	10%	10%	–	3%	–	–	1%	8%
Survation	Daily Record	27–30 Nov 2017	1,017	33%	22%	25%	8%	8%	–	3%	–	–	<1%	8%
		18 Nov 2017	Richard Leonard is elected leader of Scottish Labour [15]
YouGov	The Times	2–5 Oct 2017	1,135	35%	23%	24%	6%	6%	–	1%	–	3%	<1%	11%
Survation	Scottish Daily Mail	8–12 Sep 2017	1,016	31%	21%	25%	9%	10%	–	3%	–	–	<1%	6%
		8 Jun 2017	2017 United Kingdom general election [16]
		4 May 2017	2017 Scottish local elections [17]
YouGov	The Times	9–14 Mar 2017	1,028	40%	25%	14%	12%	5%	–	2%	–	1% [a]	1%	15%
YouGov	The Times	24–29 Nov 2016	1,134	39%	24%	14%	11%	6%	–	4%	–	1% [a]	0%	15%
BMG	N/A	28 Sep – 4 Oct 2016	1,010	43%	20%	16%	8%	7%	–	3%	–	–	1%	23%
YouGov	The Times	29–31 Aug 2016	1,039	45%	21%	15%	9%	6%	–	2%	–	–	0%	24%
Survation	Scottish Daily Mail	24–28 Jun 2016	1,055	41%	20%	16%	12%	7%	–	4%	–	–	1%	21%
2016 Scottish Parliament election		5 May 2016	–	41.7%	22.9%	19.1%	6.6%	5.2%	–	2.0%	–	0.5% [b]	2.4%	18.8%

Methodology

Each polling organisation are members of the British Polling Council and uses slightly different methodology in their collection of data. All organisations remove voters who do not give a voting intention from their headline figures; this is usually ranges from 10% to 15% of respondents likely to vote. A brief description of each company's methods is as follows:

• Panelbase collects its data via an online panel, with results weighted to be demographically representative of the voting age population in terms of age, sex, and country of birth, previous general election vote and independence referendum vote. Additionally, the voting intention data is weighted by how likely respondents were to vote.
• Survation collects data from its online panel, with the results weighted to the profile of all Scottish adults of voting age in terms of age, sex, region, previous general election vote, previous Scottish Parliament election constituency vote, EU membership referendum vote and independence referendum vote. Responses for voting intention were additionally weighted by likelihood to vote in the election. The data for the 3–5 October 2018 poll for the Scottish National Party was collected via telephone, instead of the online panel.
• YouGov collects its data through an online survey of its panel, and weights its respondents to be representative of the voting age population as a whole in terms of age by gender by education level (such as Male aged between 25 and 49 with a high level of education), social grades, previous general election vote, independence referendum vote, the respondents' political attention and birthplace (Scotland, elsewhere in the United Kingdom and outside the UK). Additionally, the headline voting intention data is weighted by how likely respondents said they were to vote and whether they voted at the previous general election.

See also

• Opinion polling for the 2024 United Kingdom general election
• Opinion polling for the 2021 Senedd election
• Opinion polling for the 2022 Northern Ireland Assembly election
• Opinion polling for the 2016 Scottish Parliament election
• Opinion polling on Scottish independence

Notes

1. Figure for RISE – Scotland's Left Alliance, of which the Scottish Socialist Party was a constituent in the previous election.
2. Contested the election as part of RISE – Scotland's Left Alliance.

Footnotes

1. Change UK on 0%.
2. Change UK on less than 1%.
3. Change UK on 1%.
4. Change UK on 2%.
5. All for Unity on 0.9%, Scottish Family Party on 0.6%, Freedom Alliance on 0.2%, independents on 0.1%, others on 1.2%.
6. All for Unity on 1%.
7. All for Unity on 2%.
8. All for Unity on 4%.
9. Independence for Scotland Party on 1%.

References

1. "Scottish Elections (Dates) Bill passes stage 3". Scottish Government. 25 February 2016. Retrieved 23 May 2019.
2. "Scottish election 2021: Sturgeon rules out 'wildcat' indyref2 vote in final leaders debate". BBC News. 4 May 2021. Retrieved 4 May 2021.
3. "Five party leaders go head-to-head in Channel 4's live election debate". Channel 4 News. 27 April 2021. Retrieved 27 April 2021.
4. "Party leaders go head-to-head in STV's live election debate". STV News. 13 April 2021. Retrieved 13 April 2021.
5. "Scotland election 2021: Leaders go head-to-head in first TV debate". BBC News. 30 March 2021. Retrieved 6 April 2021.
6. "Former SNP leader Alex Salmond launches new political party". BBC News. 27 March 2021. Retrieved 30 March 2021.
7. "Anas Sarwar wins Scottish Labour leadership race". BBC News. 27 February 2021. Retrieved 30 March 2021.
8. "Party registration decisions". Electoral Commission. 2021-01-06. Retrieved 2021-01-06.
9. "Douglas Ross confirmed as Scottish Conservative leader". BBC News. 5 August 2020. Retrieved 30 March 2021.
10. "Scottish Conservatives: Jackson Carlaw succeeds Ruth Davidson as leader". BBC News. 14 February 2020. Retrieved 30 March 2021.
11. Baker, Carl; Uberoi, Elise; Cracknell, Richard (28 January 2020). "General Election 2019: full results and analysis". UK Parliament. Retrieved 30 March 2021.
12. "Lib Dems hold off SNP to win Shetland by-election". BBC News. 30 August 2019. Retrieved 30 March 2021.
13. "Scottish Greens elect Patrick Harvie and Lorna Slater as co-leaders". BBC News. 1 August 2019. Retrieved 30 March 2021.
14. "EU Elections 2019: SNP to have three MEPs as Labour vote collapses". BBC News. 27 May 2019. Retrieved 30 March 2021.
15. "Richard Leonard to lead Scottish Labour". BBC News. 18 November 2017. Retrieved 23 May 2017.
16. "General Election 2017: full results and analysis". UK Parliament. 29 January 2019. Retrieved 23 May 2019.
17. "Full Scottish council election results published". BBC News. 8 May 2017. Retrieved 30 March 2021.
18. "Scottish election 2021: Sturgeon rules out 'wildcat' indyref2 vote in final leaders debate". BBC News. 4 May 2021. Retrieved 4 May 2021.