Chingford and Woodford Green (UK Parliament constituency)

Chingford and Woodford Green
Borough constituency for the House of Commons
Boundary of Chingford and Woodford Green in Greater London
County	Greater London
Population	88,149 (2011 census) [1]
Electorate	64,770 (December 2010) [2]
Current constituency
Created	1997
Member of Parliament	Sir Iain Duncan Smith (Conservative)
Seats	One
Created from	Chingford and Wanstead & Woodford

Chingford and Woodford Green is a constituency in North East London represented in the House of Commons of the UK Parliament by Sir Iain Duncan Smith of the Conservative Party since its creation in 1997. ^{[n 1]}

Constituency profile

The seat covers the outer London commuter suburbs of Chingford, Highams Park and Woodford with high levels of owner-occupier housing, ^[3] along with part of Epping Forest. Once safely Conservative, the seat is now marginal with Labour due to young families and ethnic minority voters moving into the constituency. ^[4]

Boundaries

Wards of the constituency (not affected by 2010 boundary changes)

The seat initially comprised the London Borough of Waltham Forest wards of Chingford Green, Endlebury, Hale End and Highams Park, Hatch Lane, Larkswood, Valley, and the London Borough of Redbridge wards of Church End and Monkhams.

2017

Following a review of ward boundaries which became effective in May 2017, ^[5] the parts in the London Borough of Redbridge comprised the Monkhams ward, most of the Churchfields ward and part of the South Woodford ward.

Proposed

Chingford and Woodford Green in 2023

Further to the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies, enacted by the Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023, from the next general election, due by January 2025, the constituency will be expanded to the south-east to include the Bridge ward and the remainder of the Churchfields ward, transferred from Ilford North. The part of the South Woodford ward will be transferred to Leyton and Wanstead. ^[6]

Following a local government boundary review in Waltham Forest which came into effect in May 2022, ^{[7] [8]} the constituency will now comprise the following from the next general election:

• The London Borough of Redbridge wards of: Bridge; Churchfields; Monkhams.
• The London Borough of Waltham Forest wards of: Chingford Green; Endlebury; Hatch End and Highams Park South (most); Hatch Lane and Highams Park North; Larswood (most); Valley; Upper Walthamstow (part). ^[9]

History

Map of present boundaries

Pre creation

Before 1945, both Chingford and Woodford were part of the Epping parliamentary constituency, for which wartime Conservative Prime Minister Winston Churchill was MP. The Chingford and Woodford Green constituency was created in 1997 from parts of the former seats of Chingford and Wanstead & Woodford. Both seats previously had well-known MPs, Norman Tebbit and Winston Churchill respectively. Iain Duncan Smith had been MP for Chingford since 1992, then was elected MP for this constituency five years later in 1997.

Post creation

At the seat's inauguration at the 1997 general election, there was a Conservative majority of over 5000 or 13%; the Conservatives retained the seat in 2001 with a majority little changed on a low turnout. In 2005, the Conservative incumbent did better, getting twice as many votes as Labour with a swing to the party of 6.4% (over double that nationally) from Labour. The 2015 result gave the seat the 119th most marginal majority of the Conservative Party's 331 seats by percentage of majority. ^[10] At the 2017 snap election, Duncan Smith was re-elected with a greatly reduced majority on a 7% swing to Labour, slightly more than a sixth of his 2010 margin; while this was in keeping with the large swings to Labour throughout Greater London at that election, it seems to suggest an increasingly marginal seat, even though the Conservatives hold three-quarters of the local council seats in the wards which make up the constituency.^{[ citation needed ]} The 2019 general election saw the Conservatives retaining the seat, although with a smaller majority than 2017 due to a swing to Labour, contrary to the national trend, making it the 15th most marginal Conservative seat by percentage of majority. ^[11]

Member of Parliament

Election		Member [12] [13]	Party	Notes
	1997	Iain Duncan Smith	Conservative	MP for Chingford (1992–1997)

Elections

Elections in the 2020s

Next general election: Chingford and Woodford Green

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Iain Duncan Smith [14]
	Liberal Democrats	Josh Hadley [15]
	Reform UK	Paul Luggeri [16]
	Labour	Faiza Shaheen [17]

Elections in the 2010s

General election 2019: Chingford and Woodford Green ^[18]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Iain Duncan Smith	23,481	48.5	–0.6
	Labour	Faiza Shaheen	22,219	45.9	+2.0
	Liberal Democrats	Geoffrey Seeff	2,744	5.6	+1.2
Majority			1,262	2.6	–2.6
Turnout			48,444	74.1	+2.9
Registered electors			65,393
	Conservative hold		Swing	–1.3

General election 2017: Chingford and Woodford Green ^{[19] [20]}

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Iain Duncan Smith	23,076	49.1	+1.2
	Labour	Bilal Mahmood	20,638	43.9	+15.1
	Liberal Democrats	Deborah Unger	2,043	4.4	–1.1
	Green	Sinead King	1,204	2.6	–1.6
Majority			2,438	5.2	–13.9
Turnout			46,961	71.2	+5.5
Registered electors			65,958
	Conservative hold		Swing	–7.0

General election 2015: Chingford and Woodford Green ^{[21] [22]}

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Iain Duncan Smith	20,999	47.9	–4.9
	Labour	Bilal Mahmood	12,613	28.8	+6.1
	UKIP	Freddy Vachha	5,644	12.9	+10.3
	Liberal Democrats	Anne Crook	2,400	5.5	–11.3
	Green	Rebecca Tully	1,854	4.2	+2.7
	TUSC	Len Hockey [23]	241	0.6	New
	Class War	Lisa Mckenzie	53	0.1	New
Majority			8,386	19.1	–11.0
Turnout			43,804	65.7	–0.8
Registered electors			66,680
	Conservative hold		Swing	–5.5

General election 2010: Chingford and Woodford Green ^{[24] [25]}

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Iain Duncan Smith	22,743	52.8	–0.4
	Labour	Cath Arakelian	9,780	22.7	–3.0
	Liberal Democrats	Geoffrey Seeff	7,242	16.8	–0.9
	BNP	Julian Leppert	1,288	3.0	New
	UKIP	Nick Jones	1,133	2.6	–0.2
	Green	Lucy Craig	650	1.5	New
	Independent	None Of The Above [n 2]	202	0.5	New
	Independent	Barry White	68	0.2	New
Majority			12,963	30.1	+2.6
Turnout			43,106	66.5	+3.5
Registered electors			64,831
	Conservative hold		Swing	+1.3

Elections in the 2000s

General election 2005: Chingford and Woodford Green ^[26]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Iain Duncan Smith	20,555	53.2	+5.0
	Labour	Simon Wright	9,914	25.7	–7.7
	Liberal Democrats	John Beanse	6,832	17.7	+2.2
	UKIP	Michael McGough	1,078	2.8	New
	Independent	Barry White	269	0.7	New
Majority			10,641	27.5	+12.7
Turnout			38,648	63.0	+1.5
Registered electors			61,386
	Conservative hold		Swing	+6.4

General election 2001: Chingford and Woodford Green ^[27]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Iain Duncan Smith	17,834	48.2	+0.7
	Labour	Jessica Webb	12,347	33.4	–1.2
	Liberal Democrats	John Beanse	5,739	15.5	0.0
	BNP	Jean Griffin	1,062	2.9	+0.5
Majority			5,487	14.8	+1.9
Turnout			36,982	58.5	–12.2
Registered electors			63,252
	Conservative hold		Swing	+1.0

Elections in the 1990s

General election 1997: Chingford and Woodford Green ^[28]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Iain Duncan Smith	21,109	47.5
	Labour	Tommy Hutchinson	15,395	34.6
	Liberal Democrats	Geoffrey Seeff	6,885	15.5
	BNP	Alan Gould	1,059	2.4
Majority			5,714	12.9
Turnout			44,448	70.7
Registered electors			62,904
	Conservative win (new seat)

See also

• Parliamentary constituencies in London

Notes

1. As with all constituencies, the constituency elects one Member of Parliament (MP) by the first past the post system of election at least every five years.
2. Original name Adam Osen

References

1. "Chingford and Woodford Green: Usual Resident Population, 2011". Neighbourhood Statistics. Office for National Statistics. Retrieved 23 February 2015.
2. "Electorate Figures – Boundary Commission for England". 2011 Electorate Figures. Boundary Commission for England. 4 March 2011. Archived from the original on 6 November 2010. Retrieved 13 March 2011.
3. UK Polling Report http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide/chingfordandwoodfordgreen/
4. Tribune https://tribunemag.co.uk/2019/01/the-new-marginal
5. LGBCE. "Redbridge | LGBCE". www.lgbce.org.uk. Retrieved 20 December 2023.
6. "The Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023". Schedule 1 Part 3 London region.
7. LGBCE. "Waltham Forest | LGBCE". www.lgbce.org.uk. Retrieved 29 March 2024.
8. "The London Borough of Waltham Forest (Electoral Changes) Order 2021".
9. "New Seat Details - Chingford and Woodford Green". www.electoralcalculus.co.uk. Retrieved 29 March 2024.
10. "Conservative Members of Parliament 2015". UK Political.info. Archived from the original on 8 June 2017. Retrieved 12 February 2017.
11. "Conservative Defence 2024". Election polling. Retrieved 6 March 2024.
12. "Chingford and Woodford Green 1997–". Parliamentary Debates (Hansard) . Retrieved 2 February 2015.
13. Leigh Rayment's Historical List of MPs – Constituencies beginning with "C" (part 4)
14. "I'm fighting to win the next election, says Sir Iain Duncan Smith". Conservative Post. 18 March 2023. Retrieved 5 November 2023.
15. "Liberal Democrat Prospective Parliamentary Candidates". Mark Pack . Retrieved 9 January 2024.
16. "Find My Prospective Parliamentary Candidate". Reform UK. Retrieved 27 November 2023.
17. "Our rundown of Labour parliamentary selections over the weekend". Labour List. 22 July 2022. Retrieved 4 March 2024.
18. "Chingford & Woodford Green Parliamentary constituency". BBC News. BBC. Retrieved 23 November 2019.
19. "Chingford & Woodford Green parliamentary constituency". BBC News.
20. Baker, Carl (14 July 2017). "General Election 2017: results and analysis – Briefing paper number CBP 7979" (PDF). House of Commons Library. Retrieved 14 November 2019.
21. "Election Data 2015". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 17 October 2015. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
22. "General Election results, 7 May 2015". Walthamforest.gov.uk. 7 May 2015. Archived from the original on 2 October 2015. Retrieved 1 October 2015.
23. "Trade unionist chosen to stand at election (From East London and West Essex Guardian Series)". Guardian-series.co.uk. 5 March 2015. Retrieved 1 October 2015.
24. "Election Data 2010". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 26 July 2013. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
25. http://www.walthamforest.gov.uk/sopn-chingford.pdf . Retrieved 20 April 2010.{{cite web}}: Missing or empty |title= (help)^{[ dead link ]}
26. "Election Data 2005". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
27. "Election Data 2001". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
28. "Election Data 1997". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.

Sources

• Election result, 2005 (BBC)
• Election results, 1997 – 2001 (BBC)
• Election results, 1997 – 2005 Archived 2000-12-07 at the Wayback Machine (Election Demon)
• Election results, 1997 – 2005 (Guardian)

External links

• nomis Constituency Profile for Chingford and Woodford Green — presenting data from the ONS annual population survey and other official statistics.
• Politics Resources (Election results from 1922 onwards)
• Electoral Calculus (Election results from 1955 onwards)

Parliament of the United Kingdom
Preceded by Richmond, Yorks	Constituency represented by the leader of the opposition 2001–2003	Succeeded by Folkestone and Hythe

51°37′01″N0°00′11″E / 51.617°N 0.003°E / 51.617; 0.003