Ilford South (UK Parliament constituency)

Last updated

Ilford South
Borough constituency
for the House of Commons
IlfordSouth2007Constituency.svg
Boundary of Ilford South in Greater London
County Greater London
Electorate 86,401 (December 2010) [1]
Major settlements Ilford
Current constituency
Created 1945
Member of Parliament Sam Tarry (Labour)
SeatsOne
Created from Ilford

Ilford South is a constituency [n 1] created in 1945 represented in the House of Commons of the UK Parliament since 2019 by Sam Tarry of the Labour Party. [n 2]

Contents

Constituency profile

The seat covers Ilford town centre and the surrounding suburbs, and the housing is predominantly semi-detached with little high-rise development. There is significant commuting to central London via the four stations on the Elizabeth line. The seat is ethnically diverse including white, black and Asian communities. [2]

Ilford South
Racial makeup (2021) [3]
 •  Asian 61.2%
 •  White 19.8%
 •  Black 9.9%
 • Other5.8%
 •  Mixed 3.3%

Political history

This constituency was created in 1945. The previous MP since 1992, Mike Gapes, who before defecting to Change UK, was the fourth Labour Party MP, each of whose tenures was interspersed or preceded by one of a Conservative MP serving the area. Regarded as a key marginal seat for decades, under Gapes's tenure Ilford South became a very safe seat for the Labour Party; in every election since 1997 it has been won by a majority of over 20% by Labour, and in 2017 they secured over 75% of the vote in the constituency.

The 2015 result made the seat the 38th safest of Labour's 232 seats by percentage of majority. [4] The narrowest result since 1997 (inclusive) was in 2005 at a majority of 21.6%; the 2017 majority is the greatest ever achieved in the seat, at 54.9%.

Boundaries

Ilford South (UK Parliament constituency)
Map of present boundaries
Ilford South in Essex, showing boundaries used from 1945 to 1950. IlfordSouth1945.png
Ilford South in Essex, showing boundaries used from 1945 to 1950.

1945–1950: The Borough of Ilford wards of Clementswood, Cranbrook, Goodmayes, Loxford, and Park.

1950–1974: The Borough of Ilford wards of Clementswood, Cranbrook, Goodmayes, Loxford, Mayfield, and Park.

1974–1983: The London Borough of Redbridge wards of Clementswood, Cranbrook, Goodmayes, Ilford, Mayfield, and Park.

1983–1997: As above substituting Ilford and Park with reshaped wards Loxford, Newbury, and Valentines.

1997–2017: As above plus Chadwell and Seven Kings wards.

2017–present: Following a review of ward boundaries which became effective in May 2017, [5] the constituency comprises the following wards of the London Borough of Redbridge:

Proposed

Ilford South in 2023 Ilford South 2023 Constituency.svg
Ilford South in 2023

Further to the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies, enacted by the Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023, the composition of the constituency from the next general election, due by January 2025, will be (as they existed on 1st December 2020):

The Cranbrook and Valentines wards will be transferred to Ilford North, with the small part of Wanstead Park ward going to Leyton and Wanstead. To partly compensate, the Chadwell Heath ward will be transferred from Dagenham and Rainham.

Members of Parliament

ElectionMember [7] Party
1945 Jim Ranger Labour
1950 Albert Cooper Conservative
1966 Arnold Shaw Labour
1970 Albert Cooper Conservative
February 1974 Arnold Shaw Labour
1979 Neil Thorne Conservative
1992 Mike Gapes Labour
February 2019 The Independent Group for Change
2019 Sam Tarry Labour

Election results

Elections in the 2020s

Next general election: Ilford South
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Jas Athwal [8]
Reform UK Raj Forhad [9]
Green Syed Siddiqi [10]
Majority
Turnout

Elections in the 2010s

General election 2019: Ilford South [11] [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Sam Tarry 35,085 65.6 Decrease2.svg10.2
Conservative Ali Azeem10,98420.5Decrease2.svg0.4
The Independent Group for Change Mike Gapes 3,8917.3N/A
Liberal Democrats Ashburn Holder1,7953.4Increase2.svg2.1
Brexit Party Munish Sharma1,0081.9New
Green Rosemary Warrington7141.3Increase2.svg0.4
Majority24,10145.1Decrease2.svg9.8
Turnout 53,47762.9Decrease2.svg7.0
Labour hold Swing Decrease2.svg4.9
General election 2017: Ilford South [13] [14]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Co-op Mike Gapes 43,724 75.8 Increase2.svg11.8
Conservative Christopher Chapman12,07720.9Decrease2.svg5.0
Liberal Democrats Farid Ahmed7721.3Decrease2.svg0.7
Green Rosemary Warrington5420.9Decrease2.svg2.0
UKIP Tariq Saeed4770.8Decrease2.svg4.4
Friends PartyKane Khan650.1New
Majority31,64754.9Increase2.svg16.8
Turnout 57,65769.9Increase2.svg13.5
Registered electors 82,487
Labour Co-op hold Swing Increase2.svg8.4
General election 2015: Ilford South [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Co-op Mike Gapes [16] 33,232 64.0 +14.6
Conservative Christopher Chapman13,45525.9−1.5
UKIP Amjad Khan [17] 2,7055.2+3.0
Green Rosemary Warrington [18] 1,5062.9+0.3
Liberal Democrats Ashburn Holder1,0142.0−15.0
Majority19,77738.1+16.1
Turnout 51,91256.4−1.6
Registered electors 91,987
Labour Co-op hold Swing +8.1

[19]

General election 2010: Ilford South [20]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Co-op Mike Gapes 25,311 49.4 +0.5
Conservative Toby Boutle14,01427.4+0.2
Liberal Democrats Anood Al-Samerai 8,67917.0−3.5
Green Wilson Chowdhry1,3192.6New
UKIP Terry Murray1,1322.2+0.6
Save King George HospitalJohn Jestico7461.5New
Majority11,29722.0+0.3
Turnout 51,20158.0+4.4
Registered electors 86,220
Labour Co-op hold Swing +0.2

Elections in the 2000s

General election 2005: Ilford South
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Co-op Mike Gapes 20,856 48.9 −10.7
Conservative Stephen Metcalfe 11,62827.2+1.5
Liberal Democrats Matthew E. Lake8,76120.5+9.2
British Public PartyKashif Rana7631.8New
UKIP Colin H. Taylor6851.6−1.8
Majority9,22821.7-12.2
Turnout 42,69353.6−0.7
Registered electors 79,646
Labour Co-op hold Swing −6.1
General election 2001: Ilford South
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Co-op Mike Gapes 24,619 59.6 +1.1
Conservative Suresh Kumar10,62225.7−4.4
Liberal Democrats Ralph Scott4,64711.3+5.0
UKIP Harun Khan1,4073.4New
Majority13,99733.9+5.5
Turnout 41,29554.3−15.9
Registered electors 76,025
Labour Co-op hold Swing +2.7

Elections in the 1990s

General election 1997: Ilford South
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Co-op Mike Gapes 29,273 58.5 +13.5
Conservative Neil Thorne 15,07330.1−14.3
Liberal Democrats Aina Khan3,1526.3−3.3
Referendum David Hodges1,0732.1New
Socialist Labour Bruce G. Ramsey8681.7New
BNP Aron Owens5801.2New
Majority14,20028.4+27.4
Turnout 50,01970.2-6.5
Registered electors 71,202
Labour Co-op hold Swing +16.6
General election 1992: Ilford South
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Co-op Mike Gapes 19,418 45.4 +7.9
Conservative Neil Thorne 19,01644.4−4.0
Liberal Democrats George G. Hogarth4,1269.6−4.5
Natural Law Nandkishore Bramachari2690.6New
Majority4021.0N/A
Turnout 42,82976.7+4.9
Registered electors 55,741
Labour Co-op gain from Conservative Swing +6.0

Elections in the 1980s

General election 1987: Ilford South
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Neil Thorne 20,351 48.4 +2.9
Labour Kenneth Jones15,77937.5+3.1
Liberal Ralph Scott5,92814.1−5.4
Majority4,57210.9-0.2
Turnout 42,05871.8+1.2
Registered electors 58,572
Conservative hold Swing
General election 1983: Ilford South
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Neil Thorne 18,672 45.5 -1.3
Labour John Hogben14,10634.4-8.3
Liberal Ralph Scott7,99919.5+10.6
BNP R.A. Martin2350.6-0.9
Majority4,56611.1+7.0
Turnout 41,01270.6-5.3
Registered electors 58,208
Conservative hold Swing

Elections in the 1970s

General election 1979: Ilford South
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Neil Thorne 19,290 46.8 +6.6
Labour Arnold Shaw 17,60242.7-2.0
Liberal Ralph Scott3,6648.9-5.72
National Front Terence Fitzgerald [21] 6361.5New
Majority1,6884.1N/A
Turnout 39,23075.9+6.17
Registered electors 54,295
Conservative gain from Labour Swing
General election October 1974: Ilford South
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Arnold Shaw 17,538 44.71 +4.64
Conservative Neil Thorne 15,78940.25+2.84
Liberal E. Yates5,73414.62-7.90
More Prosperous Britain Tom Keen1690.43New
Majority1,7494.46+1.80
Turnout 39,23069.73-7.20
Registered electors 56,257
Labour hold Swing
General election February 1974: Ilford South
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Arnold Shaw 17,201 40.07 -2.96
Conservative Albert Cooper 16,05837.41-8.84
Liberal Gareth Wilson9,66622.52+14.11
Majority1,1432.66N/A
Turnout 42,92576.93+8.8
Registered electors 55,799
Labour gain from Conservative Swing
General election 1970: Ilford South
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Albert Cooper 18,369 46.25 +4.48
Labour Arnold Shaw 17,08743.03-4.56
Liberal Gerald Leslie Wilson3,3418.41-2.22
National Front Malcolm Eric Leslie Skeggs7271.83New
Independent Michael Joseph Marks1900.48New
Majority1,2823.22N/A
Turnout 39,71468.13-8.80
Registered electors 58,292
Conservative gain from Labour Swing

Elections in the 1960s

General election 1966: Ilford South
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Arnold Shaw 20,613 47.59 +9.52
Conservative Albert Cooper 18,09341.77-0.36
Liberal Irene Watson4,60610.63-8.99
Majority2,5205.82N/A
Turnout 43,31276.93+1.92
Registered electors 56,302
Labour gain from Conservative Swing
General election 1964: Ilford South
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Albert Cooper 18,352 42.13 -8.37
Labour Arnold Shaw 16,65938.25+3.20
Liberal Peter McGregor8,54719.62+5.17
Majority1,6933.88-11.57
Turnout 43,55875.01-2.90
Registered electors 58,066
Conservative hold Swing

Elections in the 1950s

General election 1959: Ilford South
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Albert Cooper 23,876 50.50 -6.23
Labour Gordon Borrie 16,56935.05-8.22
Liberal Raymond V Netherclift6,83214.45New
Majority7,30715.45+1.99
Turnout 47,27777.91+2.59
Registered electors 60,678
Conservative hold Swing
General election 1955: Ilford South
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Albert Cooper 27,292 56.73 +1.98
Labour James Ranger 20,81443.27-1.98
Majority6,47813.46+3.96
Turnout 48,10675.32-7.34
Registered electors 63,866
Conservative hold Swing
General election 1951: Ilford South
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Albert Cooper 30,177 54.75 +5.24
Labour James Ranger 24,93845.25+3.72
Majority5,2399.50+1.52
Turnout 54,11582.66-2.71
Registered electors 66,678
Conservative hold Swing
General election 1950: Ilford South
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Albert Cooper 28,087 49.51 +13.21
Labour James Ranger 23,55841.53-6.47
Liberal Ronald Acott Hall 4,1707.35-8.35
Communist Dave Kelly [22] 9131.61New
Majority4,5297.98N/A
Turnout 56,72885.37+14.27
Registered electors 66,720
Conservative gain from Labour Swing

Elections in the 1940s

General election 1945: Ilford South
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour James Ranger 19,339 48.0
Conservative Edward Boulton 14,63336.3
Liberal Eric Arthur Holloway6,32215.7
Majority4,70611.7
Turnout 40,29471.1
Registered electors 56,669
Labour win (new seat)

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ A borough constituency (for the purposes of election expenses and type of returning officer)
  2. ↑ As with all constituencies, the constituency elects one Member of Parliament (MP) by the first past the post system of election at least every five years.

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References

  1. ↑ "Electorate Figures – Boundary Commission for England". 2011 Electorate Figures. Boundary Commission for England. 4 March 2011. Archived from the original on 6 November 2010. Retrieved 13 March 2011.
  2. ↑ UK Polling report http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide/ilfordnorth/
  3. ↑ https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/topic/home-affairs/communities/demography/census/ [ bare URL ]
  4. ↑ "Labour Members of Parliament 2015". UK Political.info. Archived from the original on 29 September 2018.
  5. ↑ LGBCE. "Redbridge | LGBCE". www.lgbce.org.uk. Retrieved 20 December 2023.
  6. ↑ "The Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023". Schedule 1 Part 3 London region.
  7. ↑ Leigh Rayment's Historical List of MPs – Constituencies beginning with "I"
  8. ↑ "Sam Tarry: Former shadow minister ousted in deselection vote". BBC News. 10 October 2022. Retrieved 3 January 2024.
  9. ↑ "Find My PPC" (PDF). Reform UK . Retrieved 2 January 2024.
  10. ↑ https://x.com/siddiqisyed/status/1776583894336209078?s=46&t=Plop77OWWRPqprDhBsIahQ
  11. ↑ "Ilford South Parliamentary constituency". BBC News. BBC. Retrieved 23 November 2019.
  12. ↑ Statement of Persons Nominated and Notice of Poll London Borough of Redbridge
  13. ↑ "Ilford South parliamentary constituency". BBC News.
  14. ↑ "General Election 2017: results and analysis" (PDF). House of Commons Library. Retrieved 22 July 2021.
  15. ↑ "Election Data 2015". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 17 October 2015. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
  16. ↑ "UK ELECTION RESULTS: ILFORD SOUTH 2015".
  17. ↑ "Election 2015 - Ilford Recorder". Archived from the original on 15 April 2015. Retrieved 25 April 2015.
  18. ↑ "Prospective General Election Candidates | Green Party". Green Party Members' Website.
  19. ↑ "General Election Results from the Electoral Commission".
  20. ↑ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 16 July 2011. Retrieved 2 May 2010.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  21. ↑ Election Expenses. Parliament of the United Kingdom. 1980. p. 19. ISBN   0102374805.
  22. ↑ Stevenson, Graham. "Dave Kelly". Archived from the original on 23 April 2017. Retrieved 23 April 2017.

51°33′50″N0°05′10″E / 51.564°N 0.086°E / 51.564; 0.086

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