Harrow East (UK Parliament constituency)

Last updated

Harrow East
Borough constituency
for the House of Commons
Harrow East (UK Parliament constituency)
Interactive map of boundaries from 2024
Harrow East 2023 Constituency.svg
Location within Greater London
County Greater London
Electorate 76,299 (2023) [1]
Major settlements Stanmore, Kenton, Queensbury, Belmont, Harrow Weald, Canons Park
Current constituency
Created 1945
Member of Parliament Bob Blackman (Conservative)
SeatsOne
Created from Hendon & Harrow (parts of)

Harrow East is a constituency [n 1] in Greater London created in 1945 and represented in the House of Commons of the UK Parliament since 2010 by Bob Blackman, a Conservative. [n 2]

Contents

Constituency profile

The censuses of 2001 and 2011 show the overwhelmingly most common housing type of the area to be semi-detached houses – almost a majority – followed by mid-rise apartments (whether purpose-built or converted from older houses), then terraced houses and then detached houses. They also show a consistently lower-than-average proportion of social housing than for Greater London. [2]

The constituency is served by three separate commuter railway lines running into central London, and has many parks and sports grounds. Few arterial roads bisect Harrow East – further east is the start of the M1 motorway, and in the middle of seats further south in north-west London are the A40 Western Avenue and North Circular Road, omitting the boundaries drawn from the arterial road-building projects of the 1940s-to-1970s period.

History

The seat was created in 1945 and has been varied due to two sets of major ward reconfigurations and by other national boundary reforms. The predecessor seats were Hendon and to a much lesser extent Harrow.

From 1945 to 2010, it was a stronger area for the Labour Party than neighbouring Harrow West; nevertheless, the seat had been mostly held by the Conservative Party. Labour did win here in landslide victories in 1945, 1966 and 1997, and after the latter, held on in the two subsequent general elections. Commencing with the 1979 general election, and prior to the 2024 general election, the seat was a bellwether by reflecting the national result. The 2017 result produced the 29th-most marginal majority of the Conservative Party's 317 seats by percentage of majority. [3]

The seat was regained in 2010 by the Conservative Bob Blackman on a high turnout whilst Labour's incumbent managed to hold on to Harrow West, as boundary changes had favoured Labour there. Residents in the borough include fewer people in the category of no qualifications than the national average, in 2011, at 16.8%. [4]

Harrow East has a large Hindu population, a demographic which has shifted heavily away from Labour towards the Conservatives during Blackman's tenure as MP thanks to Blackman's courting of the Hindu nationalist vote. [5] The Conservatives generally perform worse than Labour amongst most ethnic minority groups; [6] it was the most ethnically diverse Conservative-held constituency in the general elections of 2015 and 2017.

In the 2024 general election, Harrow East had the second-largest percentage majority of any Conservative-held seat in the country, behind only Richmond and Northallerton, the seat of then-Prime Minister Rishi Sunak; it was the only seat in the country where the Conservatives exceeded 50% of the vote.

Boundaries

Harrow East (UK Parliament constituency)
Map of boundaries 2010-2024

1945–1950: The Urban District of Harrow wards of Kenton, Stanmore North, Stanmore South, Wealdstone North, Wealdstone South, and part of Harrow Weald ward.

1950–1955: As above, but the whole of Harrow Weald, and without Wealdstone North or Wealdstone South.

1955–1974: The Municipal Borough of Harrow wards of Belmont, Harrow Weald, Queensbury, Stanmore North and Stanmore South.

1974–1978: The London Borough of Harrow wards of Belmont, Harrow Weald, Queensbury, Stanmore North and Stanmore South.

1978–1983: The London Borough of Harrow wards of Canons, Centenary, Harrow Weald, Kenton East, Stanmore Park, Stanmore South and Wemborough.

1983–2010: The London Borough of Harrow wards of Canons, Centenary, Greenhill, Harrow Weald, Kenton East, Kenton West, Marlborough, Stanmore Park, Stanmore South, Wealdstone and Wemborough.

2010–2024: The London Borough of Harrow wards of Belmont, Canons, Edgware, Harrow Weald, Kenton East, Kenton West, Queensbury, Stanmore Park and Wealdstone.

2024–present: The London Borough of Brent ward of Queensbury, and he London Borough of Harrow wards of Belmont, Canons, Centenary, Edgware, Harrow Weald, Kenton East, Kenton West, and Stanmore. [7]

The Borough of Brent ward of Queensbury was transferred from the abolished constituency of Brent North, thus uniting the parts of the suburb of Queensbury in Brent with those in Harrow. Other boundary changes included the transfer of Wealdstone to Harrow West.

Members of Parliament

ElectionMember [8] Party
1945 Frederick Skinnard Labour
1950 Ian Harvey Conservative
1959 by-election Anthony Courtney Conservative
1966 Roy Roebuck Labour
1970 Hugh Dykes Conservative
1997 Tony McNulty Labour
2010 Bob Blackman Conservative

Election results

Election results 1945-2024 Har E Election Results.png
Election results 1945-2024

Elections in the 2020s

With 53.3% of the vote, Blackman received the highest vote share for any Conservative candidate that stood in the election, and was the only Conservative elected with an absolute majority. [9] He was one of three Conservative MPs to be re-elected with increased majorities. [10]

General election 2024: Harrow East [11]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Bob Blackman 25,466 53.3 –1.3
Labour Primesh Patel13,78628.9–8.5
Reform UK Roger Clark2,1884.6+4.4
Independent Sabira Lakha2,0974.4N/A
Green Seb Newsam2,0064.2+3.9
Liberal Democrats Reetendra Nath Banerji1,5113.2–4.3
Workers Party Sarajulhaq Parwani7231.5N/A
Majority11,68024.4+7.9
Turnout 47,77762.5–6.1
Registered electors 76,386
Conservative hold Swing +3.6

Elections in the 2010s

2019 notional result [12]
PartyVote %
Conservative 28,55554.6
Labour 19,56837.4
Liberal Democrats 3,9307.5
Green 1360.3
Brexit Party 980.2
Turnout52,28768.5
Electorate76,299
General election 2019: Harrow East [13] [14]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Bob Blackman 26,935 54.4 +5.0
Labour Pamela Fitzpatrick18,76537.9−8.1
Liberal Democrats Adam Bernard3,7917.7+4.6
Majority8,17016.5+13.1
Turnout 49,49168.6−2.3
Registered electors 72,120
Conservative hold Swing +6.5
General election 2017: Harrow East [15] [16]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Bob Blackman 25,129 49.4 −0.9
Labour Navin Shah 23,37246.0+5.4
Liberal Democrats Adam Bernard1,5733.1+1.0
Green Emma Wallace7711.5−0.2
Majority1,7573.4−6.3
Turnout 50,84570.9+1.9
Registered electors 71,755
Conservative hold Swing -3.1
General election 2015: Harrow East [17] [18]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Bob Blackman 24,668 50.3 +5.6
Labour Uma Kumaran 19,91140.6+3.0
UKIP Aidan Powlesland2,3334.8+2.9
Liberal Democrats Ross Barlow1,0372.1−12.2
Green Emma Wallace8461.70.0
TUSC Nana Asante2050.4New
Majority4,7579.7+2.6
Turnout 49,00069.0+1.9
Registered electors 70,981
Conservative hold Swing +1.3
General election 2010: Harrow East [19]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Bob Blackman 21,435 44.7 +6.1
Labour Tony McNulty 18,03237.6−7.9
Liberal Democrats Nahid Boethe6,85014.3+0.1
UKIP Abhijit Pandya8961.9+0.1
Green Madeleine Atkins7931.7New
Majority3,4037.1N/A
Turnout 48,00667.1+5.8
Registered electors 70,510
Conservative gain from Labour Swing -7.0

Elections in the 2000s

General election 2005: Harrow East [20]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Tony McNulty 23,445 46.1 −9.2
Conservative David Ashton18,71536.8+4.6
Liberal Democrats Pash Nandhra7,74715.2+2.7
UKIP Paul Cronin9161.8New
Majority4,7309.3−13.8
Turnout 50,82360.5+2.1
Registered electors 83,904
Labour hold Swing −6.9
General election 2001: Harrow East [21]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Tony McNulty 26,590 55.3 +2.8
Conservative Peter Wilding15,46632.2−3.2
Liberal Democrats George Kershaw6,02112.5+4.3
Majority11,12423.1+6.0
Turnout 48,07758.4−12.8
Registered electors 82,269
Labour hold Swing +3.0

Elections in the 1990s

General election 1997: Harrow East [22]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Tony McNulty 29,962 52.5 +18.7
Conservative Hugh Dykes 20,18935.4−17.4
Liberal Democrats Baldev Sharma4,6978.2−2.7
Referendum Bernard Casey1,5372.7New
UKIP A.J. Scholefield4640.8New
Natural Law Andrew Planton1710.3−0.1
Majority9,73717.1N/A
Turnout 57,02071.3−6.5
Registered electors 79,981
Labour gain from Conservative Swing -18.1
General election 1992: Harrow East [23]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Hugh Dykes 30,752 52.9 −1.3
Labour Tony McNulty 19,65433.8+10.2
Liberal Democrats V.M. Chamberlain6,36010.9−11.3
Liberal P. Burrows1,1422.0New
Natural Law S. Hamza2120.4New
Anti-Federalist League J. Lester490.1New
Majority11,09819.1−11.6
Turnout 58,16977.8+4.4
Registered electors 74,733
Conservative hold Swing -6.2

Elections in the 1980s

General election 1987: Harrow East [24]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Hugh Dykes 32,302 54.2 +4.4
Labour David John Brough14,02923.6+1.3
Liberal Zerbanoo Gifford 13,25122.2−5.7
Majority18,27330.6+8.7
Turnout 59,58273.5+1.0
Registered electors 81,124
Conservative hold Swing
General election 1983: Harrow East [25]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Hugh Dykes 28,834 49.8 −4.5
Liberal Richard Hains16,16627.9+17.5
Labour David Brough12,94122.3−11.5
Majority12,66821.9+1.4
Turnout 57,94172.5−5.4
Registered electors 79,926
Conservative hold Swing

Elections in the 1970s

General election 1979: Harrow East
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Hugh Dykes 20,871 54.32 +8.10
Labour David Miles [26] 12,99333.82−2.99
Liberal Martin Savitt [26] 3,98410.37−6.60
National Front Leslie Le Croissette [26] 5721.49New
Majority7,87820.50+11.09
Turnout 36,93677.85+2.95
Registered electors 49,354
Conservative hold Swing
General election October 1974: Harrow East
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Hugh Dykes 17,073 46.22 +1.57
Labour R.W. Lewis13,59536.81+3.32
Liberal J. McDonnell6,26816.97−4.90
Majority3,4789.41−1.75
Turnout 36,93674.90−7.48
Registered electors 49,315
Conservative hold Swing
General election February 1974: Harrow East
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Hugh Dykes 17,978 44.65 −6.35
Labour K.W. Childerhouse13,48533.49−7.00
Liberal J. McDonnell8,80521.87+13.55
Majority4,49311.16+0.65
Turnout 40,26882.38+6.44
Registered electors 48,878
Conservative hold Swing
General election 1970: Harrow East [27]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Hugh Dykes 19,517 51.00 +7.55
Labour Roy Roebuck 15,49640.49−3.92
Liberal Michael Colne3,1858.32−3.82
Independent Geoffrey Cramp720.19New
Majority4,02110.51N/A
Turnout 38,27075.94−6.82
Registered electors 50,395
Conservative gain from Labour Swing

Elections in the 1960s

General election 1966: Harrow East [28]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Roy Roebuck 17,374 44.41 −2.65
Conservative Anthony Courtney 16,99643.45−9.49
Liberal Michael Colne4,74912.14New
Majority3780.96N/A
Turnout 39,11982.76+2.78
Registered electors 47,267
Labour gain from Conservative Swing
General election 1964: Harrow East [29]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Anthony Courtney 20,307 52.94 −4.28
Labour Jo Richardson 18,04847.06+4.28
Majority2,2595.88−8.56
Turnout 38,35579.98−4.56
Registered electors 47,954
Conservative hold Swing

Elections in the 1950s

General election 1959: Harrow East [30]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Anthony Courtney 23,554 57.22 +2.79
Labour Merlyn Rees 17,60742.78−2.79
Majority5,94714.44+5.58
Turnout 41,16184.54+1.92
Registered electors 49,273
Conservative hold Swing
1959 Harrow East by-election [31] [32]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Anthony T. Courtney 17,776 52.8 −1.63
Labour Merlyn Rees 15,54646.2+0.63
National Union of Small ShopkeepersThomas Lynch3481.0New
Majority2,2206.6−2.2
Turnout 28,79568.96−13.64
Registered electors 48,820
Conservative hold Swing -1.1
General election 1955: Harrow East [33]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Ian Harvey 22,243 54.43 +4.58
Labour Merlyn Rees 18,62145.57+1.59
Majority3,6228.86+2.99
Turnout 40,86482.62−5.24
Registered electors 49,460
Conservative hold Swing
General election 1951: Harrow East [34]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Ian Harvey 26,896 49.85 +5.1
Labour Robert D Rees23,72543.98+2.9
Liberal Geoffrey JE Rhodes3,3296.17−5.91
Majority3,1715.87+3.10
Turnout 53,95087.86+0.63
Registered electors 61,408
Conservative hold Swing
General election 1950: Harrow East [35]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Ian Harvey 23,680 44.75 +9.70
Labour Frederick Skinnard 22,21641.98−4.46
Liberal Desmond Banks 6,39312.08−0.55
Communist Bill Seaman [36] 6331.20−4.67
Majority1,4642.77N/A
Turnout 52,92287.23+9.89
Registered electors 60,668
Conservative gain from Labour Swing

Elections in the 1940s

General election 1945: Harrow East
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Frederick Skinnard 27,613 46.44
Conservative Fredman Ashe Lincoln20,84335.05
Liberal Anthony Gibbs7,51312.63
Communist G Driver3,4935.87
Majority6,77011.39
Turnout 59,46277.34
Registered electors 76,883
Labour win (new seat)

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ A borough constituency (for the purposes of election expenses and type of returning officer)
  2. ↑ As with all constituencies, Harrow East elects one Member of Parliament (MP) by the first past the post system of election at least every five years.

References

  1. ↑ "The 2023 Review of Parliamentary Constituency Boundaries in England – Volume two: Constituency names, designations and composition – London". Boundary Commission for England. Retrieved 19 June 2024.
  2. ↑ Parish: Key Statistics: Population. Archived 11 February 2003 at the Wayback Machine (2011 census). Retrieved 2016-05-04.
  3. ↑ Conservative Defence 2022 – Election Polling Election Polling. Retrieved 2018-02-08
  4. ↑ "2011 census interactive maps". Archived from the original on 29 January 2016. by comparison, the London Borough of Haringey has 17.8% and Three Rivers District has 17.4%.
  5. ↑ Loucaides, Darren (11 December 2019). "Inside the dirty digital battle for Harrow East's crucial Indian votes". Wired. Retrieved 26 December 2024.
  6. ↑ Katwala, Sunder; Ballinger, Steve (September 2017). "Mind the gap: How the ethnic minority vote cost Theresa May her majority" (PDF). British Future.
  7. ↑ "The Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023". Schedule 1 Part 3 London region.
  8. ↑ Leigh Rayment's Historical List of MPs – Constituencies beginning with "H" (part 1)
  9. ↑ https://x.com/bobblackman/status/1810683566323622369?s=46&t=Plop77OWWRPqprDhBsIahQ [ bare URL ]
  10. ↑ https://x.com/bobblackman/status/1810683562363965625?s=46&t=Plop77OWWRPqprDhBsIahQ [ bare URL ]
  11. ↑ "Statement of Person Nominated and Notice of Poll: Harrow East Constituency" (PDF). Harrow Council. 7 June 2024.
  12. ↑ "Notional results for a UK general election on 12 December 2019". Rallings & Thrasher, Professor David Denver (Scotland), Nicholas Whyte (NI) for Sky News, PA, BBC News and ITV News. UK Parliament . Retrieved 11 July 2024.
  13. ↑ "Statement of Persons Nominated and Notice of Poll for Harrow East Constituency". Harrow London Borough Council. 14 November 2019. Retrieved 24 November 2019.
  14. ↑ "Commons Briefing Paper 8749. General Election 2019: results and analysis" (PDF). London: House of Commons Library. 28 January 2020. Archived (PDF) from the original on 18 November 2021. Retrieved 19 January 2022.
  15. ↑ "Harrow East parliamentary constituency". BBC News.
  16. ↑ "Commons Briefing Paper 7979. General Election 2017: results and analysis" (PDF) (Second ed.). House of Commons Library. 29 January 2019 [7 April 2018]. Archived (PDF) from the original on 12 November 2019.
  17. ↑ "Election Data 2015". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 17 October 2015. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
  18. ↑ webmaster@harrow.gov.uk (1 January 2004). "Election results for Harrow East, 7 May 2015".
  19. ↑ "Election Data 2010". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 26 July 2013. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
  20. ↑ "Election Data 2005". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  21. ↑ "Election Data 2001". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  22. ↑ "Election Data 1997". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  23. ↑ "Election Data 1992". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  24. ↑ "Election Data 1987". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  25. ↑ "Election Data 1983". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  26. 1 2 3 Election Expenses. Parliament of the United Kingdom. 1980. p. 14. ISBN   0102374805.
  27. ↑ The Times' Guide to the House of Commons. 1970.
  28. ↑ The Times' Guide to the House of Commons. 1966.
  29. ↑ The Times' Guide to the House of Commons. 1964.
  30. ↑ The Times' Guide to the House of Commons. 1959.
  31. ↑ "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 26 December 2014. Retrieved 26 December 2014.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  32. ↑ "1959 By Election Results". Archived from the original on 10 October 2012. Retrieved 15 August 2015.
  33. ↑ The Times' Guide to the House of Commons. 1955.
  34. ↑ The Times' Guide to the House of Commons. 1951.
  35. ↑ The Times' Guide to the House of Commons. 1950.
  36. ↑ Stevenson, Graham. "Seaman Bill" . Retrieved 22 April 2017.

51°36′22″N0°18′47″W / 51.606°N 0.313°W / 51.606; -0.313

This page is based on this Wikipedia article
Text is available under the CC BY-SA 4.0 license; additional terms may apply.
Images, videos and audio are available under their respective licenses.