1988 Republican Party presidential primaries

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1988 Republican Party presidential primaries
Flag of the United States.svg
  1984 January 14 to June 14, 1988 1992  

2,044 delegates to the Republican National Convention
1,023 (majority) votes needed to win
  VP George Bush crop.jpg Ks 1996 dole (cropped).jpg Pat Robertson speaks about the national deficit (1).jpg
Candidate George H. W. Bush Bob Dole Pat Robertson
Home state Texas Kansas Virginia
Delegate count1,525463207
Contests won4254
Popular vote8,253,5122,333,3751,097,446
Percentage67.9%19.2%9.0%

1988RepublicanPresidentialPrimaries.svg
Gold denotes a state won by George H. W. Bush. Green denotes a state won by Pat Robertson. Purple denotes a state won by Bob Dole. Grey denotes a territory that did not hold a primary.

Previous Republican nominee

Ronald Reagan

Republican nominee

George H. W. Bush

From January 14 to June 14, 1988, Republican voters chose their nominee for president in the 1988 United States presidential election. Incumbent Vice President George H. W. Bush was selected as the nominee through a series of primary elections and caucuses culminating in the 1988 Republican National Convention held from August 15 to August 18, 1988, in New Orleans, Louisiana.

Contents

Bush selected Indiana Senator Dan Quayle as his running mate, and the Republican ticket went on to win the general election against the Democratic ticket of Michael Dukakis and Lloyd Bentsen by a wide margin. It was the third consecutive Republican victory in a presidential election, marking the first time since President Harry S. Truman's surprise 1948 victory that any party held the White House for more than two terms.

Primary race

Vice President George H. W. Bush had the private support of President Ronald Reagan and publicly pledged to continue Reagan's policies, but also pledged a "kinder and gentler nation" [1] in an attempt to win over some more moderate voters. Bush faced some prominent challengers for the GOP nomination, despite his front-runner status.

In 1987, Donald Trump, then known as a New York real estate executive and registered as a Republican, hinted in various television interviews that he was considering running for president. [2] He took out a series of newspaper ads in The New York Times , The Washington Post , and The Boston Globe criticizing Reagan's foreign policy for being too expensive. [3] [4] He also vocally advocated reducing foreign aid to Japan, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia; accelerating nuclear disarmament negotiations with the Soviet Union; and eliminating the federal deficit. [5] Mike Dunbar, an important Republican operative, started a "draft Donald Trump" movement to try to convince him to run in the New Hampshire primaries. [4] However, Trump eventually announced at a political rally arranged by Dunbar in Portsmouth, New Hampshire, that he would not seek the Republican nomination. [6] Later, Trump approached Bush's campaign manager Lee Atwater asking to be considered as a possible choice for running mate. Bush found the request "strange and unbelievable." [7] Apparently contradicting this report, Trump later asserted it was Atwater who approached him asking if he was interested in the position. [8] Trump would eventually become president in 2016, and receive a second term in 2024.

Robertson's campaign got off to a strong second-place finish in the Iowa caucuses, ahead of Bush. Robertson did poorly in the subsequent New Hampshire primary, however, and was unable to be competitive once the multiple-state primaries like Super Tuesday began. Robertson ended his campaign before the primaries were finished. His best finish was in Washington, winning the majority of caucus delegates. However, his controversial win has been credited to procedural manipulation by Robertson supporters who delayed final voting until late into the evening when other supporters had gone home. He later spoke at the 1988 Republican National Convention in New Orleans and told his remaining supporters to cast their votes for Bush, who ended up winning the nomination and the election. He then returned to the Christian Broadcasting Network and would remain there as a religious broadcaster until his death in 2023.

Bush unexpectedly came in third in the Iowa caucus (that he had won back in 1980), behind Senator Bob Dole and Robertson. Dole was also leading in the polls of the New Hampshire primary, and the Bush camp responded by running television commercials portraying Dole as a tax raiser, while Governor John H. Sununu stumped for Bush. These efforts enabled the Vice President to defeat Dole and gain crucial momentum. Embittered by his loss in New Hampshire, Dole told Bush directly, on live television that evening, to "stop lying about my record." [9]

Once the multiple-state primaries began, Bush's organizational strength and fundraising lead were impossible for the other candidates to match, and the nomination was his. The Republican party convention was held in New Orleans, Louisiana. Bush was nominated unanimously.

In his acceptance speech, Bush made an energetic pledge, "Read my lips: No new taxes", a comment that would come to haunt him in the 1992 election.

Candidates

Nominee

CandidateMost recent officeHome StateCampaign

Withdrawal date

Popular voteContests wonRunning mate
George H. W. Bush VP George Bush crop.jpg Vice President of the United States
(1981–1989)
Flag-map of Texas.svg

Texas

Bush Quayle 1988 campaign logo.svg
(Campaign)
Secured nomination:
April 26, 1988
8,253,512
(67.90%)
42 Dan Quayle Dan Quayle (cropped).jpg

Withdrew before convention

CandidateMost recent officeHome StateCampaign

Withdrawal date

Popular voteContests won
Bob Dole Ks 1996 dole (cropped).jpg U.S. Senator from Kansas
(1969–1996)
Kansas flagmap.svg

Kansas

Bobdole1988 1.gif
(campaign)
2,333,375
(19.19%)
5
Pat Robertson Pat Robertson speaks about the national deficit (cropped).jpg Chair of CBN Flag-map of Virginia.svg

Virginia

Pat robertson 1988 presidential campaign logo.png
(campaign)
1,097,446
(9.02%)
4
Jack Kemp Jack Kemp official portrait.jpg U.S. Representative
(1971–1989)
Flag-map of New York.svg

New York

Jackkemp1988.gif
(campaign)
331,333
(2.72%)
0

Candidates who received less than 1%

Candidates who withdrew before the primaries

Declined to seek nomination

Endorsements

George H. W. Bush

Bob Dole

Jack Kemp

Pete duPont

Polling

National polling

Poll sourcePublication date
George Bush
Bob Dole
Pete DuPont
Al Haig
Jack Kemp
Pat Robertson
Others/Undecided
Gallup [21] Jun. 10, 198539%8%5%48%
Gallup [21] Jan. 13, 198646%10%5%39%
Gallup [21] Apr. 14, 198640%10%2%6%4%38%
Gallup [21] Jul. 14, 198641%8%3%3%6%39%
Gallup [21] Oct. 27, 198642%8%1%3%5%6%35%
Gallup [21] Jan. 19, 198733%14%1%3%5%5%39%
Gallup [21] Apr. 13, 198734%18%2%7%9%4%26%
Gallup [21] June 14, 198739%21%2%6%8%5%19%
Gallup [21] July 13, 198740%18%3%7%10%5%17%
Gallup [21] Sep. 2, 198740%19%2%4%9%8%18%
Gallup [21] Sep. 2, 198747%22%1%4%4%7%15%
Gallup [21] Jan. 24, 198845%30%2%2%5%8%8%

Results

Statewide

Date
(daily totals)
Total pledged
delegates
ContestDelegates won and popular voteTotal
George H. W. BushBob DolePat RobertsonOthers
January 1481Michigan47
919 (56.55%)

54 (3.32%)
19
360 (22.15%)
15
292 (17.97%)
1,625
February 423 Hawaii
147 (8.73%)

153 (9.09%)
23
1,368 (81.28%)

15 (8.91%)
1,683
February 734 Kansas 34
203 (95.75%)

3 (1.42%)

6 (2.83%)
212
February 838 Iowa caucus 7
20,218 (18.59%)
14
40,629 (37.35%)
7
26,729 (24.57%)
7
21,194 (19.49%)
108,770
February 1623 New Hampshire primary 10
59,290 (37.67%)
7
44,797 (28.46%)

14,775 (9.39%)
6
38,514 (24.47%)
157,376
February 1823Nevada6
1,320 (26.61%)
5
1,112 (22.41%)
3
714 (14.39%)
8
1,815 (36.59%)
4,961
February 23
(54)
34Minnesota4
5,979 (10.64%)
14
23,923 (42.56%)
10
15,969 (28.41%)
6
10,340 (18.39%)
56,211
20South Dakota4
17,404 (18.63%)
12
51,599 (55.24%)
4
18,310 (19.60%)

6,092 (6.52%)
93,405
February 2420Wyoming5
98 (23.00%)
9
195 (45.77%)
2
46 (10.80%)
4
87 (20.42%)
426
February 2823Maine16
700 (65.30%)

88 (8.21%)
3
147 (13.71%)
3
137 (12.78%)
1,072
March 1
(40)
20Alaska5
487 (23.82%)
4
395 (19.68%)
10
941 (46.89%)

184 (9.17%)
2,007
20Vermont11
23,565 (52.75%)
9
18,655 (41.76%)

2,452 (5.49%)
44,672
March 538South Carolina18
94,738 (48.51%)
8
40,265 (20.62%)
7
37,261 (19.08%)
4
23,028 (11.79%)
195,292
March 8
(Super Tuesday)
(855)
41Alabama28
137,113 (64.46%)
7
34,777 (16.35%)
6
29,552 (13.89%)

11,266 (5.30%)
212,708
31Arkansas16
32,114 (47.02%)
9
17,667 (25.86%)
6
12,918 (18.91%)

5,606 (8.21%)
68,305
85Florida56
559,397 (62.14%)
19
191,494 (21.27%)
10
95,037 (10.56%)

54,329 (6.03%)
900,257
52Georgia30
215,516 (53.75%)
13
94,749 (23.63%)
9
65,163 (16.25%)

25,500 (6.36%)
400,928
41Kentucky26
72,020 (59.32%)
10
27,868 (22.96%)
5
13,526 (11.14%)

7,988 (6.58%)
121,402
45Louisiana28
83,684 (57.80%)
9
25,624 (21.11%)
9
26,294 (21.66%)

9,171 (6.33%)
144,773
45Maryland28
107,026 (53.31%)
17
64,987 (32.37%)

12,860 (6.41%)

15,881 (7.91%)
200,754
56Massachusetts34
141,113 (57.39%)
15
63,392 (25.78%)

10,891 (4.43%)
7
30,489 (12.40%)
245,885
34Mississippi23
104,814 (65.99%)
6
27,004 (17.00%)
5
21,485 (13.53%)

5,526 (3.48%)
158,829
49Missouri22
168,812 (42.17%)
21
164,394 (41.07%)
6
44,705 (11.17%)

22,389 (5.59%)
400,300
56North Carolina30
124,260 (45.38%)
26
107,032 (39.09%)

26,861 (9.81%)

15,647 (5.71%)
273,800
38Oklahoma15
78,224 (37.44%)
14
73,016 (34.95%)
9
44,067 (21.09%)

13,631 (6.52%)
208,938
23Rhode Island15
10,401 (64.82%)
5
3,628 (22.61%)
3
2,016 (12.56%)
16,045
49Tennessee31
152,515 (60.22%)
11
55,027 (21.73%)
7
32,015 (12.64%)

13,695 (5.41%)
253,252
113Texas78
648,178 (63.86%)
17
140,795 (13.87%)
19
155,449 (15.32%)

70,534 (6.95%)
1,014,956
52Virginia30
124,738 (53.27%)
15
60,921 (26.02%)
8
32,173 (13.74%)

16,310 (6.97%)
234,142
45Washington11
3,694 (24.29%)
12
3,955 (26.00%)
18
5,934 (39.01%)
5
1,627 (10.70%)
15,210
March 1595Illinois57
469,151 (54.64%)
38
309,253 (36.02%)

59,087 (6.88%)

21,146 (2.46%)
858,637
March 2938Connecticut30
73,501 (70.56%)
8
21,005 (20.16%)

3,191 (3.06%)

6,474 (6.21%)
104,171
April 438Colorado32
11,628 (76.31%)

1,450 (9.51%)
6
2,160 (14.17%)
15,238
April 549Wisconsin49
295,295 (82.28%)

28,460 (7.93%)

24,798 (6.91%)

10,345 (2.88%)
358,898
April 19139New York115
1,101 (81.74%)

17 (1.26%)
24
229 (17.00%)
1,347
April 2699Pennsylvania86
687,323 (78.95%)
13
103,753 (11.92%)

79,463 (9.13%)
870,539
May 3
(157)
13District of Columbia13
5,890 (87.65%)

469 (6.98%)

268 (3.99%)

93 (1.38%)
6,720
52Indiana52
351,829 (80.39%)

42,878 (9.80%)

28,712 (6.56%)

14,236 (3.25%)
437,655
92Ohio80
643,907 (81.00%)
12
94,650 (11.91%)

56,347 (7.09%)
794,904
May 10
(58)
27Nebraska20
138,784 (68.33%)
7
45,572 (22.44%)

10,334 (5.09%)

8,423 (4.15%)
203,113
31West Virginia27
110,705 (77.34%)
4
15,309 (10.70%)

10,417 (7.28%)

6,709 (4.69%)
143,140
May 1734Oregon27
199,938 (72.84%)
7
49,128 (17.90%)

21,212 (7.73%)

4,208 (1.53%)
274,486
May 2423Idaho20
55,464 (81.24%)

5,876 (8.61%)
3
6,935 (10.16%)
68,275
June 7
(295)
178 California primary 154
1,856,273 (82.86%)
24
286,220 (12.78%)

94,779 (4.23%)
2,240,272
23Montana18
63,098 (73.07%)
5
16,762 (19.41%)

6,493 (7.52%)
86,353
67New Jersey67
241,033 (100.00%)
241,033
27New Mexico24
69,359 (78.16%)
3
9,305 (10.49%)

5,350 (6.03%)

4,730 (5.33%)
88,744
June 1420North Dakota20
37,062 (93.98%)

2,372 (6.01%)
39,434
Total2,4081,525
8,299,833 (67.9%)
463
2,404,162 (19.2%)
207
1,149,306 (9.0%)
101
517,862 (3.9%)
12,371,163

Nationwide

Popular vote results: [13]

Running mate

After Bush locked up the nomination in March, conventional wisdom leaned toward the notion of a Southern running mate to balance the ticket. The former Governor of Tennessee, Lamar Alexander, was seen by many as the most logical choice, and some early reports described him as Bush's personal preference. [22] [23] Another high-profile possibility, also from Tennessee, was the former Senate Majority Leader and White House Chief of Staff Howard Baker. Despite the early attention – which included a supportive editorial written by former President Richard Nixon – Baker told the press that he would prefer to be left out of consideration. [24]

Bush's running mate, however, would not be revealed until August 16, allowing speculation to intensify all the way to the national convention. Bob Dole, who was considered a leading contender based on his second-place finish in the primaries, expressed impatience with the wait but nonetheless made plain his keen desire for the job. [25] So too did Jack Kemp, who confidently told reporters that he would make "a terrific campaigner and a terrific candidate and a terrific vice president". [25] Both men were thought to rank high on Bush's list of potential picks. [26]

Other highly rated prospects included two people quite close to Dole. His wife, Elizabeth Dole, had served as Transportation Secretary under President Reagan and was a popular figure among conservatives and women – two key demographics that Bush was struggling to galvanize. A second option was Dole's fellow U.S. Senator from Kansas, Nancy Kassebaum. [26] Other figures who were believed to be under Bush's close consideration included the Governor of Nebraska Kay Orr, [23] the former Governor of Pennsylvania Dick Thornburgh, the Governor of New Jersey Tom Kean, and the sitting U.S. Senators Bill Armstrong of Colorado, Pete Domenici of New Mexico, and Richard Lugar and Dan Quayle, both of Indiana. [25] [26]

U.S. Senator Alan Simpson of Wyoming was also widely believed to be a possible selection, but he publicly stated that he wasn't interested in the position. This placed him in the company of Baker and others who had declared that they did not want to be considered, such as the Governor of California George Deukmejian and the Governor of Illinois Jim Thompson. Shortly ahead of the convention, however, Bush reopened speculation about all of them when he implied that he would not necessarily give up on any demurring prospects. [25]

Long-shot possibilities included several Republicans who were popular in their home states but held limited name recognition nationally, such as U.S. Representative Lynn Martin of Illinois, the Governor of South Carolina Carroll Campbell, and the two U.S. Senators of Missouri, John Danforth and Christopher Bond. [26] Nontraditional selections who were seen as credible alternatives included the National Security Advisor Colin Powell, [27] the former UN Ambassador Jeane Kirkpatrick, Education Secretary William Bennett, former EPA Administrator William Ruckelshaus, and even Supreme Court Justice Sandra Day O'Connor. [26]

Bush announced his selection of 41-year-old Dan Quayle on the second day of the convention. [28]

See also

References

  1. "George H.W. Bush: 1988 Republican National Convention Acceptance Address". American Rhetoric. Aug 18, 1988.
  2. "Donald Trump's Been Saying The Same Thing For 30 Years". NPR.org. Retrieved 2020-10-04.
  3. "Donald Trump: Campaigns and Elections | Miller Center". millercenter.org. 2017-04-11. Retrieved 2020-10-04.
  4. 1 2 Oreskes, Michael (1987-09-02). "Trump Gives a Vague Hint of Candidacy". The New York Times. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved 2020-10-04.
  5. Butterfield, Fox (1987-11-18). "Trump Urged To Head Gala Of Democrats". The New York Times. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved 2020-10-04.
  6. Kruse, Michael. "The True Story of Donald Trump's First Campaign Speech—in 1987". POLITICO Magazine. Retrieved 2020-10-19.
  7. Meacham, Jon (2015). Destiny and Power: The American Odyssey of George Herbert Walker Bush (illustrated ed.). Random House. p. 326. ISBN 1400067650.
  8. Bradner, Eric (8 November 2015). "Trump says Bush 41 adviser approached him about becoming VP". CNN. Retrieved 30 August 2018.
  9. Dillin, John (February 18, 1988). "Even with win, Bush seen to be vulnerable". Christian Science Monitor. p. 1.
  10. Clifford, Frank (13 February 1988). "Haig Drops Out of GOP Race, Endorses Dole". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved 20 July 2016.
  11. "Rumsfeld Drops GOP Presidential Bid". Los Angeles Times. 3 April 1987.
  12. "Deukmejian rejects favorite-son candidacy". Ventura County Star . March 25, 1987. p. A6 via Newspapers.com.
  13. 1 2 3 4 5 Our Campaigns - US President - R Primaries Race - Feb 01, 1988
  14. "Clements: Bush will win South". The Galveston Daily News. Galveston, TX. AP. March 1, 1988. Retrieved October 22, 2016 via Newspapers.com. Open Access logo PLoS transparent.svg
  15. "Nomination Bush Pres Candidate, Aug 17 1988 (Video)". C-Span. August 17, 1988. Retrieved 27 October 2017.
  16. Jack W. Germond & Jules Witcover (1989). "New Hampshire: The Resurrection of George Bush". Whose Broad Stripes and Bright Stars? The Trivial Pursuit of the Presidency 1988. Warner Books. p. 131. ISBN   0-446-51424-1. And Bush had the active and aggressive support of Governor Sununu.
  17. "Dole gains Connally endorsement". The Galveston Daily News. Galveston, TX. AP. February 27, 1988. Retrieved October 22, 2016 via Newspapers.com. Open Access logo PLoS transparent.svg
  18. Jack W. Germond & Jules Witcover (1989). "New Hampshire: The Resurrection of George Bush". Whose Broad Stripes and Bright Stars? The Trivial Pursuit of the Presidency 1988. Warner Books. p. 136. ISBN   0-446-51424-1. Dole's chief sponsor in the state, Senator Warren Rudman
  19. 1 2 Jack W. Germond & Jules Witcover (1989). "New Hampshire: The Resurrection of George Bush". Whose Broad Stripes and Bright Stars? The Trivial Pursuit of the Presidency 1988. Warner Books. p. 135. ISBN   0-446-51424-1. He had a respectable ground operation and the support of the two most prominent hard-line conservatives in the state, Senator Gordon Humphrey and Representative Robert Smith.
  20. Jack W. Germond & Jules Witcover (1989). "New Hampshire: The Resurrection of George Bush". Whose Broad Stripes and Bright Stars? The Trivial Pursuit of the Presidency 1988. Warner Books. p. 134. ISBN   0-446-51424-1. Pete duPont had captured the endorsement of the Union Leader.
  21. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 "US President - R Primaries". OurCampaigns.com. 20 Dec 2017. Retrieved 6 Apr 2022.
  22. "Magazine: Alexander likely Bush running mate". The Greenville News. Greenville, South Carolina. Associated Press. March 15, 1988. Archived from the original on April 6, 2019 via Newspapers.com. Open Access logo PLoS transparent.svg
  23. 1 2 Evans, Rowland; Novak, Robert (March 14, 1988). "Bush's choice for a woman vice president". Muncie Evening Press. Muncie, Indiana. Archived from the original on April 6, 2019 via Newspapers.com. The vice president's aides say his personal choice for running mate undoubtedly would be former Governor Lamar Alexander.... Open Access logo PLoS transparent.svg
  24. "Who will join Bush on ticket?". Santa Cruz Sentinel. Santa Cruz, CA. Associated Press. March 29, 1988. Retrieved May 9, 2017 via Newspapers.com. Open Access logo PLoS transparent.svg
  25. 1 2 3 4 Nothberg, Donald M. (August 16, 1988). "V.P. candidates wait to hear from Bush; some campaign". The Morning Call . Allentown, PA. Associated Press . Retrieved May 9, 2017 via Newspapers.com. Open Access logo PLoS transparent.svg
  26. 1 2 3 4 5 Straight, Harry (August 7, 1988). "Bush's list crowded for No. 2 slot". The Orlando Sentinel . Orlando, FL. Retrieved May 9, 2017 via Newspapers.com. Open Access logo PLoS transparent.svg
  27. Nelson, W. Dale (August 12, 1988). "Powell as Bush VP? It's not just a joke". The Palm Beach Post. Palm Beach, FL. Associated Press . Retrieved May 10, 2017 via Newspapers.com. Open Access logo PLoS transparent.svg
  28. "Bush Picks Sen. Quayle of Indiana as Running Mate". The Los Angeles Times. Los Angeles, CA. Associated Press. August 16, 1988. Retrieved May 9, 2017 via Newspapers.com. Open Access logo PLoS transparent.svg