January–August 2016 statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election

Last updated

Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from January 1 to August 31, 2016, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against a possible Democratic candidate.

Contents

Note some states had not conducted polling yet or no updated polls were present from January 1 to August 31, 2016.

Alabama

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 60%–39%
(Republican in 2012) 61%–38%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
News-5/Strategy Poll [1] July 19, 2016Hillary Clinton33%Donald Trump57%244,100± 2.0%

Alaska

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–38%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–41%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Ivan Moore Research [2] June 16–20, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump45%4670 ?
Alaska Dispatch News/Ivan Moore Research [3] January 2016Hillary Clinton44.1%Donald Trump49.3%5.2651 ?
Hillary Clinton37.5%Ted Cruz56.9%19.4
Hillary Clinton37.9% Marco Rubio 56.7%18.8

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green Party%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Moore Information [4] August 27–29, 2016Hillary Clinton29%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein4%10500± 4%
Ivan Moore Research [2] June 16–20, 2016Hillary Clinton30%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson16%Jill Stein6%9670?

Arizona

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [5] August 26–28, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump46%3837± 3.4%
CNN/ORC [6] August 18–23, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump49%5809± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling [7] June 22–23, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump44%4691± 3.7%
OH Predictive Insights [8] June 20, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump42%51,060± 3.01%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner [9] June 11–20, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump45%6300± 5.66%
Public Policy Polling [10] May 13–15, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump45%4896± 3.3%
Bernie Sanders 45%Donald Trump44%1
Behavior Research Center [11] April 4–11, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump35%7564± 4.2%
Hillary Clinton38% Ted Cruz 43%5
Hillary Clinton32% John Kasich 44%12
Bernie Sanders54%Donald Trump33%21
Bernie Sanders48%Ted Cruz34%14
Bernie Sanders47%John Kasich33%14
Merrill Poll/WestGroup [12] March 7–11, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump38%Tied701± 3.7%
Hillary Clinton35%Ted Cruz41%6
Bernie Sanders39%Donald Trump36%3

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Arizona Republic/Morrison/Cronkite News [13] August 17–31, 2016Hillary Clinton35%Donald Trump34%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein2%1704± 3.3%
OH Predictive Insights [14] August 25–27, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein1%1728±3.63%
CNN/ORC [6] August 18–23, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump45%Gary Johnson12%Jill Stein4%7809± 3.5%
CBS News/YouGov [15] August 2–5, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein2%21,095± 4.8%
OH Predictive Insights [16] [17] August 1, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein1%2996±3.0%
Integrated Web Strategy [18] July 29, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump49%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein1%8679± 3.76%
Public Policy Polling [10] May 13–15, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein2%2896± 3.3%
Bernie Sanders 42%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein2%3

Arkansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2012) 61%–37%

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Independent/

Third-party candidate

%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Talk Business/Hendrix College [19] June 21, 2016Hillary Clinton36%Donald Trump47%Gary Johnson8%11751± 3.6%

California

55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 60%–37%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Field Research [20] June 8 – July 2, 2016Hillary Clinton58%Donald Trump28%30956± 3.2%
SurveyMonkey/USC/Los Angeles Times [21] June 7–10, 2016Hillary Clinton59%Donald Trump32%271,553± 3%
CBS News/YouGov [22] May 31 – June 3, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump33%151,187± 3.9%
Bernie Sanders 55%Donald Trump32%23
USC/Los Angeles Times [23] May 19–31, 2016Hillary Clinton56%Donald Trump30%261,500± 2.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College [24] May 29–31, 2016Hillary Clinton55%Donald Trump31%241,833± 2.3%
Bernie Sanders62%Donald Trump28%34
Field Research [25] May 26–31, 2016Hillary Clinton53%Donald Trump34%191,002± 3.2%
Bernie Sanders60%Donald Trump31%29
SurveyUSA/KABC/SCNG [26] May 19–22, 2016Hillary Clinton52%Donald Trump38%141,383± 2.7%
Public Policy Institute of California [27] May 13–22, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump39%101,704± 4.3%
Bernie Sanders53%Donald Trump36%17
SurveyUSA/KABC/SCNG [28] April 27–30, 2016Hillary Clinton56%Donald Trump34%221,683± 2.4%
Hillary Clinton57% Ted Cruz 29%28
Hillary Clinton53% John Kasich 34%19
SurveyUSA [29] March 30 – April 3, 2016Hillary Clinton60%Donald Trump26%341,507± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton57%Ted Cruz32%25
Hillary Clinton56%John Kasich33%23
Bernie Sanders63%Donald Trump24%39
Bernie Sanders61%Ted Cruz26%35
Bernie Sanders57%John Kasich28%29
Field Research [30] March 24 – April 4, 2016Hillary Clinton59%Donald Trump31%281,400± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton55%Ted Cruz32%23
USC Dornsife College/LA Times [31] March 16–23, 2016Hillary Clinton59%Donald Trump28%311,503± %
Hillary Clinton59%Ted Cruz31%28
Hillary Clinton54%John Kasich35%19

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Independent/

Third-party candidate

%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Field Research [20] June 8 – July 2, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump26%Gary Johnson10%24495± 4.4%
Hoover Institution/YouGov [32] May 4–16, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump33%Gary Johnson4%121,196± 3.97%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Institute of California [33] July 10–19, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump30%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein6%161,703± 3.5%
SurveyMonkey/USC/Los Angeles Times [21] June 7–10, 2016Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump27%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein6%241,553± 3%

Colorado

9 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–46%

Two-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Quinnipiac University [34] August 9–16, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump39%10830± 3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [35] August 4–10, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump32%14899± 3.3%
Fox News [36] July 9–12, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump34%10600± 4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [37] July 5–11, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump35%8794± 3.5%
Harper [38] July 7–9, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump38%7500± 4.38%
Gravis Marketing [39] July 7–8, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump41%21,313± 2.7%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Magellan Strategies [40] August 29–31, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump36%Gary Johnson13%Jill Stein3%5500± 4.38%
Quinnipiac University [34] August 9–16, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump33%Gary Johnson16%Jill Stein7%8830± 3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [35] August 4–10, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump29%Gary Johnson15%Jill Stein6%12899± 3.3%
Fox News [36] July 9–12, 2016Hillary Clinton37%Donald Trump28%Gary Johnson13%Jill Stein6%9600± 4%
Monmouth University [41] July 7–12, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump35%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein3%13404± 4.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [37] July 5–11, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump33%Gary Johnson13%Jill Stein4%6794± 3.5%
Gravis Marketing [39] July 7–8, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein4%11,313± 2.7%
CBS News/YouGov [42] June 21–24, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein1%1996± 4.3%

Connecticut

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Quinnipiac University [43] June 1–5, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump38%71,330± 2.7%
Bernie Sanders 54%Donald Trump35%19
Emerson College [44] April 10–11, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump40%81,043± 3%
Hillary Clinton52%Ted Cruz31%21
Hillary Clinton38% John Kasich 49%11
Bernie Sanders49%Donald Trump40%9
Bernie Sanders55%Ted Cruz30%25
Bernie Sanders40%John Kasich48%8

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Quinnipiac University [43] June 1–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 3%51,330± 2.7%

Delaware

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 59%–40%

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Fairleigh Dickinson University [45] July 20–24, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump32%Gary Johnson9%10715± 4.1%

District of Columbia

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 92%–7%
(Democratic in 2012) 91%–7%

No polling was conducted in 2016

Florida

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2012) 50%–49%

Georgia

16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–45%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Atlanta Journal-Constitution [46] August 1–4, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump40%4847± 4.0%
Public Policy Polling [47] May 27–30, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump49%9724± 3.6%
Bernie Sanders 40%Donald Trump48%8
Fox 5/Opinion Savvy [48] May 15, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump44%3587± 4.0%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution [49] May 9–12, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump45%4822± 4.26%
Bernie Sanders47%Donald Trump42%5
Landmark/RosettaStone [50] May 5, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump42%1570± 4.1%
Lake Research Partners [51] March 31 – April 3, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump37%13400± 4.9%
Hillary Clinton47% Ted Cruz 40%7
SurveyUSA [52] February 22–23, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump50%91,261± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton43% Marco Rubio 50%7
Hillary Clinton42%Ted Cruz49%7
Bernie Sanders41%Donald Trump49%8
Bernie Sanders41%Marco Rubio49%8
Bernie Sanders42%Ted Cruz48%6

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Opinion Savvy/Fox 5 Atlanta [53] August 17, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson11%Tied730± 3.6%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
CBS News/YouGov [54] August 10–12, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump45%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein1%4988± 4.3%
JMC Analytics [55] August 6–7, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein1%7615± 4.0%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution [46] August 1–4, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson11%Jill Stein2%3847± 4.0%
Landmark/RosettaStone [56] August 1, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump46%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein1%Tied787± 3.5%
SurveyUSA [57] July 29–31, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump46%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein2%4628± 4%
Landmark/RosettaStone [58] July 24, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump46%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein3%2500± 4.4%
Public Policy Polling [59] May 27–30, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump45%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein2%7724± 3.6%
Bernie Sanders 36%Donald Trump46%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein1%10

Idaho

4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 61%–36%
(Republican in 2012) 64%–32%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Dan Jones & Associates [60] May 18 – June 4, 2016Hillary Clinton32%Donald Trump49%17603± 3.99%
Bernie Sanders 43%Donald Trump46%3

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green Party%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Dan Jones & Associates [61] August 18–31, 2016Hillary Clinton23%Donald Trump44% Gary Johnson 13% Jill Stein 2%21602± 4.0%
Dan Jones & Associates [62] July 5–16, 2016Hillary Clinton23%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein3%21601± 4.0%

Illinois

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Normington, Petts and Associates [63] August 1–4, 2016Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump32%19800± 3.5%
NBC News/WSJ/Marist [64] March 4–10, 2016Hillary Clinton57%Donald Trump32%251,968± 2.2%
Hillary Clinton51%Ted Cruz40%11
Bernie Sanders 60%Donald Trump30%30
Bernie Sanders55%Ted Cruz35%20

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Independent/

Third-party candidate

%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
The Illinois Observer [65] June 7, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump30% Gary Johnson 6%18732?
Capitol Fax/We Ask America [66] June 5–6, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump35%Gary Johnson7%121,231 RV± 3%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green Party%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Victory Research [67] July 14–16, 2016Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump34%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein7%171,200± 2.83%
Basswood Research [68] July 11–12, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump33%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein3%13800± 3.5%

Indiana

11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
(Republican in 2012) 54%–44%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Tarrance Group [69] July 20–21, 2016Hillary Clinton36%Donald Trump50%14503± 4.4%
Bellwether [70] May 11–15, 2016Hillary Clinton31%Donald Trump40%9600± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [71] April 26–28, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump48%72,149± 2.1%
Hillary Clinton43% Ted Cruz 50%7
Hillary Clinton37% John Kasich 56%19
Bernie Sanders 46%Donald Trump47%1
Bernie Sanders48%Ted Cruz45%3
Bernie Sanders46%John Kasich47%1
POS /Howey Politics Indiana/WTHR Channel 13 [72] April 18–21, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump47%8500± 4.0%
Hillary Clinton36%Ted Cruz53%17

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Independent/

Third-party candidate

%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Monmouth University [73] August 13–16, 2016Hillary Clinton36%Donald Trump47%Gary Johnson10%11403± 4.9%

Iowa

6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [74] August 30–31, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump43%2827± 3.4%
Quinnipiac University [34] August 9–16, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump44%3846± 3.4%
Suffolk University [75] August 8–10, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump41%1500± 4.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [76] August 3–7, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump37%4899± 3.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [77] July 5–10, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump39%3822± 3.4%
Gravis Marketing [78] July 7–8, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump40%21,318± 2.7%
Loras College [79] June 24–28, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump34%14600± 4%
Public Policy Polling [7] June 22–23, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump39%2897± 3.3%
Public Policy Polling [80] June 9–10, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump41%3630± 3.9%
Public Policy Polling [81] January 8–10, 2016Hillary Clinton40% Jeb Bush 43%31,901± 2.3%
Hillary Clinton42% Ben Carson 46%4
Hillary Clinton42%Ted Cruz45%3
Hillary Clinton41% Marco Rubio 46%5
Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump42%Tied
Bernie Sanders 47%Jeb Bush39%8
Bernie Sanders44%Ben Carson40%4
Bernie Sanders45%Ted Cruz42%3
Bernie Sanders43%Marco Rubio42%1
Bernie Sanders47%Donald Trump42%5
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [82] January 2–7, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump40%81,470± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton43%Ted Cruz47%4
Hillary Clinton42%Marco Rubio47%5
Bernie Sanders51%Donald Trump38%13
Bernie Sanders47%Ted Cruz42%5
Bernie Sanders44%Marco Rubio44%Tied

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Emerson College [83] August 31 – September 1, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein1%5600± 3.9%
CBS News/YouGov [84] August 17–19, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein2%Tied987± 4%
Quinnipiac University [34] August 9–16, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson12%Jill Stein3%2846± 3.4%
Suffolk University [75] August 8–10, 2016Hillary Clinton36%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein3%1500± 4.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [76] August 3–7, 2016Hillary Clinton35%Donald Trump35%Gary Johnson12%Jill Stein6%Tied899± 3.1%
CBS News/YouGov [85] July 13–15, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein2%1998± 4.8%
Monmouth University [86] July 8–11, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein1%2401± 4.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [77] July 5–10, 2016Hillary Clinton37%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein4%Tied822± 3.4%
Gravis Marketing [78] July 7–8, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein2%21,318± 2.7%
Loras College [79] June 24–28, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump31%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein2%13600± 4.0%

Kansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
John Zogby Strategies [87] June 4–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 36%7433± 4.7%
Fort Hays State University [88] February 19–26, 2016Hillary Clinton36%Donald Trump46%10440± 5.0%
Hillary Clinton35%Ted Cruz49%14
Hillary Clinton32% Marco Rubio 51%19
Bernie Sanders 43%Donald Trump42%1
Bernie Sanders38%Ted Cruz44%6
Bernie Sanders36%Marco Rubio46%10

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
SurveyUSA/KSN News [89] August 9, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump44% Gary Johnson 8%5566±4.2%
Fort Hays State University [90] July 11–21, 2016Hillary Clinton27%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson7%17542±4.4%
SurveyUSA/KSN News [91] July 8–11, 2016Hillary Clinton36%Donald Trump47%Gary Johnson8%11559± 4.2%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Remington Research Group [92] August 22–23, 2016Hillary Clinton37%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein2%77,769± 1.5%

Kentucky

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 57%–41%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Bellwether [93] August 2–4, 2016Hillary Clinton25%Donald Trump41%16508± 4.0%
Bellwether [94] July 5–7, 2016Hillary Clinton28%Donald Trump34%6776± 3%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
RunSwitch PR/Harper [95] July 31 – August 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2%13500± 4.4%

Louisiana

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–40%
(Republican in 2012) 58%–41%

Two-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
JMC Analytics and Polling [96] May 5–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 52%16624± 3.9%
Bernie Sanders 32%Donald Trump55%23

Maine

4 electoral votes (Statewide vote worth 2 EVs; 1st and 2nd congressional districts worth 1 EV each)
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Univ. of N.H./PPH/Maine Sunday Telegram [97] [98] June 15–21, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump35%7475± 4.5%
Bangor Daily News [99] March 3–4, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump34%9610 RV± 3%
Bernie Sanders57%Donald Trump31%26

Maryland

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 62%–36%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [100] April 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 61% Donald Trump 28%33879± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton58% Ted Cruz 24%34
Hillary Clinton54% John Kasich 33%21
Bernie Sanders 60%Donald Trump29%31
Bernie Sanders62%Ted Cruz24%38
Bernie Sanders52%John Kasich32%20
NBC4/Marist [101] April 5–9, 2016Hillary Clinton63%Donald Trump27%362,563± 1.9%
Hillary Clinton60%Ted Cruz31%29
Hillary Clinton55%John Kasich38%17
Bernie Sanders65%Donald Trump26%39
Bernie Sanders63%Ted Cruz28%35
Bernie Sanders55%John Kasich36%19
Washington Post/University of Maryland [102] March 30 – April 4, 2016Hillary Clinton63%Donald Trump28%351,503± N/A%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
OpinionWorks [103] August 18–30, 2016Hillary Clinton54%Donald Trump25%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein2%29754± 3.6%

Massachusetts

11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 61%–38%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Boston Globe/Suffolk University [104] May 2–5, 2016Hillary Clinton55%Donald Trump31%24500± 4.4%
Western New England University [105] April 1–10, 2016Hillary Clinton62%Donald Trump26%36497± 4.0%
Hillary Clinton63% Ted Cruz 30%33
Bernie Sanders 70%Donald Trump23%47
Bernie Sanders71%Ted Cruz24%47

Michigan

16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–45%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll [106] August 9–10, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump39%101,314± 2.7%
EPIC-MRA [107] July 30 – August 4, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump36%10600± 4%
Mitchell Research [108] July 5–11, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump34%6600± 4.0%
Gravis Marketing [109] July 7–8, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump41%71,562± 2.4%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner [9] June 11–20, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump39%11300± 5.66%
Detroit News/WDIV-TV [110] May 24–26, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump39%4600± 4%
Bernie Sanders 52%Donald Trump33%19
SurveyUSA [111] March 23–24, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump38%11904± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton49%Ted Cruz39%10
Hillary Clinton41%John Kasich46%5
Bernie Sanders55%Donald Trump36%19
Bernie Sanders56%Ted Cruz35%21
Bernie Sanders47%John Kasich42%5
Hillary Clinton48% Mitt Romney 35%13
Hillary Clinton48% Paul Ryan 38%10
EPIC-MRA [112] March 19–22, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump37%10600± 4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [113] March 1–3, 2016Hillary Clinton52%Donald Trump36%162,229± 2.1%
Hillary Clinton48%Ted Cruz41%7
Bernie Sanders56%Donald Trump34%22
Bernie Sanders54%Ted Cruz36%18
Marketing Resource Group [114] February 22–27, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump39%5600± 4%
Hillary Clinton44%Ted Cruz39%5
Hillary Clinton41% Marco Rubio 43%2%
EPIC-MRA [115] January 23–26, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump41%2600± 4%

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Independent/

Third-party candidate

%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner [9] June 11–20, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump33%Gary Johnson12%15300± 5.66%
Detroit News/WDIV-TV [110] May 24–26, 2016Hillary Clinton37%Donald Trump33%Gary Johnson12%4600± 4%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Emerson College [116] August 25–28, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein3%5800± 3.4%
Suffolk University [117] August 22–24, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein3%7500± 4.4%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll [106] August 9–10, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump33%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein5%111,314± 2.7%
EPIC-MRA [107] July 30 – August 4, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump32%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein3%11600± 4%
The Detroit News/WDIV-TV [118] July 30 – August 1, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump32%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein3%9600± 4.0%
CBS News/YouGov [119] July 13–15, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein2%31,201± 4.1%
Marketing Resource Group [120] July 11–15, 2016Hillary Clinton34%Donald Trump29%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein2%5800± 3.46%
Gravis Marketing [109] July 7–8, 2016Hillary Clinton37%Donald Trump34%Gary Johnson2%Jill Stein1%31,562± 2.4%

Minnesota

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–45%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Star Tribune [121] April 25–27, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump35%13800± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton49% Ted Cruz 40%9
Bernie Sanders 53%Donald Trump38%15
Bernie Sanders50%Ted Cruz36%14
Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon [122] January 18–20, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump38%5800± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton43%Ted Cruz45%2
Hillary Clinton40% Marco Rubio 49%9
Bernie Sanders53%Donald Trump37%16

Missouri

10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 49.4%–49.2%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [123] August 26–27, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump47%61,055± 3.0%
Public Policy Polling [124] August 8–9, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump45%3947± 3.2%
Public Policy Polling [125] July 11–12, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump50%10959± 3.2%
Missouri Scout [126] May 20–21, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump46%61301± 2.8%
DFM Research [127] March 17–24, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump40%2674± 3.8%
Fort Hayes State University [128] March 3–10, 2016 Bernie Sanders 37% Marco Rubio 43%6475± 4.6%
Hillary Clinton31%Marco Rubio49%18
Bernie Sanders36%Ted Cruz45%9
Hillary Clinton34%Ted Cruz51%17
Bernie Sanders43%Donald Trump40%3
Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump43%5

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Monmouth University [129] August 19–22, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump44% Gary Johnson 8%1401± 4.9%
SurveyUSA/KSDK [130] July 20–24, 2016Hillary Clinton37%Donald Trump47%Gary Johnson8%101,943± 2.3%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Remington Research Group [131] August 5–6, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein2%21,280± 3%
St. Louis/Post-Dispatch [132] July 23–24, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein1%1625± 4%
Public Policy Polling [125] July 11–12, 2016Hillary Clinton36%Donald Trump46%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein1%10959± 3.2%

Nevada

6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Two-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner [9] June 11–20, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump47%2300± 5.66%
TargetPoint/Just Win Strategies [133] June 14–18, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump45%1200 ?
Gravis Marketing [134] May 24–25, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump47%51 637± 2%

Three-way

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Suffolk [135] [136] [137] August 15–17, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson5%2500± 4.4%
KTNV/Rasmussen Reports [138] July 29–31, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson10%1750± 4%
KTNV/Rasmussen Reports [139] July 22–24, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson8%5750± 4%
Monmouth University [140] July 7–10, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump41%Gary Johnson5%4408± 4.9%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner [9] June 11–20, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson9%Tied300± 5.66%
Gravis Marketing [134] May 24–25, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson8%31 637± 2%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
CBS News/YouGov [15] August 2–5, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump41% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 3%2993± 4.6%

Five-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%IAPN%Unaffiliated%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Suffolk University [135] [136] [137] August 15–17, 2016Hillary Clinton43.8%Donald Trump41.6%Gary Johnson4.8%Darrell Castle1%Rocky De La Fuente1%2.2500± 4.4%

New Hampshire

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [141] August 30–31, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump41%5585± 4.1%
Public Policy Polling [142] August 26–28, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump40%6977± 3.1%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire [143] August 20–28, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump36%9433± 4.7%
Public Policy Polling [144] August 5–7, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump37%13802± 3.5%
MassINC/WBUR [145] July 29 – August 1, 2016Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump34%17609± 4%
NH JournalJuly 19–21, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump48%91,166± 5.1%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire [146] July 9–18, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump37%2469± 4.5%
American Research Group [147] June 24–28, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump42%5533± 4.2%
Public Policy Polling [7] June 22–23, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump39%4578± 4.1%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner [9] June 11–20, 2016Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump47%4300± 5.66%
TargetPoint/Just Win Strategies [133] June 14–18, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump40%4200 ?
Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce University [148] May 25–28, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump44%Tied405± 4.9%
MassINC/WBUR [149] May 12–15, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump42%2501± 4.4%
Bernie Sanders 54%Donald Trump38%16
WMUR/University of New Hampshire [150] April 7–17, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump31%19553± 4.2%
Hillary Clinton48% Ted Cruz 34%14
Hillary Clinton36% John Kasich 50%14
Bernie Sanders58%Donald Trump31%27
Bernie Sanders61%Ted Cruz30%31
Bernie Sanders50%John Kasich44%6
Dartmouth College [151] April 11–15, 2016Hillary Clinton34%Donald Trump29%5362± 5.15%
Hillary Clinton34%Ted Cruz33%1
Hillary Clinton26%John Kasich53%27
Bernie Sanders49%Donald Trump28%21
Bernie Sanders48%Ted Cruz26%22
Bernie Sanders39%John Kasich44%5
WMUR/University of New Hampshire [152] February 20–28, 2016Bernie Sanders55%Donald Trump34%21628± 3.9%
Bernie Sanders60%Ted Cruz28%32
Bernie Sanders54% Marco Rubio 35%19
Bernie Sanders48%John Kasich40%8
Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump39%8
Hillary Clinton46%Ted Cruz35%11
Hillary Clinton45%Marco Rubio43%2
Hillary Clinton37%John Kasich47%10
UMass Lowell/7News [153] February 5–7, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump40%51,411± 2.99%
Hillary Clinton45%Ted Cruz40%5
Hillary Clinton40%Marco Rubio44%4
Bernie Sanders55%Donald Trump34%21
Bernie Sanders56%Ted Cruz31%25
Bernie Sanders54%Marco Rubio34%20
UMass Lowell/7News [154] February 4–6, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump39%61,413± 2.97%
Hillary Clinton45%Ted Cruz39%6
Hillary Clinton40%Marco Rubio45%5
Bernie Sanders55%Donald Trump33%22
Bernie Sanders57%Ted Cruz30%27
Bernie Sanders55%Marco Rubio35%20
UMass Lowell/7News [155] February 3–5, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump39%71,421± 2.90%
Hillary Clinton46%Ted Cruz39%7
Hillary Clinton42%Marco Rubio43%1
Bernie Sanders54%Donald Trump34%20
Bernie Sanders57%Ted Cruz30%27
Bernie Sanders54%Marco Rubio35%19
UMass Lowell/7News [156] February 2–4, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump40%41,417± 2.89%
Hillary Clinton44%Ted Cruz41%3
Hillary Clinton41%Marco Rubio44%3
Bernie Sanders54%Donald Trump34%20
Bernie Sanders54%Ted Cruz33%21
Bernie Sanders51%Marco Rubio37%14
CNN/WMUR [157] January 13–18, 2016Bernie Sanders57%Donald Trump34%23903± 3.4%
Bernie Sanders56%Ted Cruz33%23
Bernie Sanders55%Marco Rubio37%18
Bernie Sanders57% Chris Christie 34%23
Bernie Sanders54%John Kasich33%21
Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump39%9
Hillary Clinton47%Ted Cruz41%6
Hillary Clinton44%Marco Rubio45%1
Hillary Clinton45%Chris Christie42%3
Hillary Clinton43%John Kasich43%Tied
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [158] January 2–7, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump44%1957± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton44%Ted Cruz48%4
Hillary Clinton40%Marco Rubio52%12
Bernie Sanders56%Donald Trump37%19
Bernie Sanders55%Ted Cruz36%19
Bernie Sanders50%Marco Rubio41%9
Public Policy Polling [159] January 4–6, 2016Hillary Clinton46% Jeb Bush 40%61,036± 3%
Hillary Clinton50% Ben Carson 39%11
Hillary Clinton48%Ted Cruz40%8
Hillary Clinton45%Marco Rubio42%3
Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump36%14
Bernie Sanders50%Jeb Bush38%12
Bernie Sanders53%Ben Carson34%19
Bernie Sanders55%Ted Cruz35%20
Bernie Sanders51%Marco Rubio37%14
Bernie Sanders54%Donald Trump34%20

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Independent/

Third-party candidate

%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner [9] June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 10%Tied300± 5.66%
MassInc/WBUR [149] May 12–15, 2016Hillary Clinton37%Donald Trump33% Mitt Romney 21%4501± 4.4%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire [150] April 7–17, 2016Hillary Clinton44% Ted Cruz 22%Donald Trump19%22553± 4.2%
Public Policy Polling [160] January 4–6, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Ted Cruz28%Donald Trump18%191,036± 3%
Hillary Clinton43% Marco Rubio 29%Donald Trump20%14

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
WMUR/University of New Hampshire [143] August 20–28, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump32%Gary Johnson12%Jill Stein4%11433± 4.7%
CBS News/YouGov [54] August 10–12, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump36%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein3%9990± 4.3%
Vox Populi [161] August 7–8, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump31%Gary Johnson11%Jill Stein3%10820± 3.4%
MassInc/WBUR [145] July 29 – August 1, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump32%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein3%15609± 4%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire [162] July 9–18, 2016Hillary Clinton37%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein5%Tied469± 4.2%

New Jersey

14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Fairleigh Dickinson University [163] June 22–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 31%21712± 3.8%
CBS News/YouGov [164] May 31 – June 3, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump34%151,194± 3.8%
Bernie Sanders 52%Donald Trump34%18
Monmouth University [165] May 23–27, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump34%4806± 3.7%
Fairleigh Dickinson University [166] May 18–22, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump37%11702± 3.9%
Bernie Sanders57%Donald Trump33%24
Quinnipiac University [167] May 10–16, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump38%71,989± 2.2%
Bernie Sanders49%Donald Trump37%12
Rutgers [168] April 1–8, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump36%14738± 4.0%
Hillary Clinton50%Ted Cruz35%15
Hillary Clinton43%John Kasich43%Tied
Bernie Sanders55%Donald Trump34%21
Fairleigh Dickinson University [169] February 24–28, 2016Hillary Clinton52%Donald Trump36%16694± 3.9%
Bernie Sanders51%Donald Trump36%15

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Independent/

Third-party candidate

%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Fairleigh Dickinson University [163] June 22–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 9%12712± 3.8%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Monmouth University [165] May 23–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 31% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 4%6806± 3.7%

New Mexico

5 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–43%

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [170] May 13–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 14%8802± 3.5%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [171] August 19–21, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump31%Gary Johnson16%Jill Stein4%91,103± 3% [172]

New York

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 63%–35%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Siena College [173] August 7–10, 2016Hillary Clinton57%Donald Trump27%30717± 4.3%
Gravis Marketing [174] August 4–8, 2016Hillary Clinton53%Donald Trump36%171,717±2.4%
Quinnipiac University [175] July 13–17, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump35%121,104± 3%
Siena College [176] June 22–28, 2016Hillary Clinton54%Donald Trump31%23803± 4.0%
Siena College [177] May 22–26, 2016Hillary Clinton52%Donald Trump31%21825± 3.9%
Siena College [178] April 24–27, 2016Hillary Clinton56%Donald Trump30%26802± 4.1%
Emerson College [179] April 15–17, 2016Hillary Clinton55%Donald Trump36%191,047± 2.95%
Hillary Clinton59%Ted Cruz28%31
Hillary Clinton49%John Kasich39%10
Bernie Sanders 51%Donald Trump37%14
Bernie Sanders58%Ted Cruz27%31
Public Policy Polling [180] April 7–10, 2016Hillary Clinton55%Donald Trump35%201,403± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton56%Ted Cruz30%26
Hillary Clinton50%John Kasich36%14
Bernie Sanders58%Donald Trump33%25
Bernie Sanders59%Ted Cruz27%32
Bernie Sanders54%John Kasich35%19
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [181] April 6–10, 2016Hillary Clinton61%Donald Trump32%291,987± 2.2%
Hillary Clinton61%Ted Cruz31%30
Hillary Clinton53%John Kasich38%15
Bernie Sanders64%Donald Trump31%33
Bernie Sanders65%Ted Cruz28%37
Bernie Sanders57%John Kasich35%22
NY1/Baruch College [182] April 5–10, 2016Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump35%161,306± 2.9%
Bernie Sanders54%Donald Trump32%22
Emerson College [183] April 6–7, 2016Hillary Clinton54%Donald Trump36%18864± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton58%Ted Cruz30%28
Hillary Clinton48%John Kasich41%7
Bernie Sanders51%Donald Trump38%13
Bernie Sanders56%Ted Cruz29%27
Fox News [184] April 4–7, 2016Hillary Clinton53%Donald Trump37%161,403± 2.5%
Bernie Sanders54%Donald Trump35%19
Quinnipiac University [185] March 22–29, 2016Hillary Clinton53%Donald Trump33%201,667± 2.4%
Hillary Clinton53%Ted Cruz32%21
Hillary Clinton46%John Kasich41%5
Bernie Sanders56%Donald Trump32%24
Bernie Sanders56%Ted Cruz28%28
Bernie Sanders47%John Kasich37%10
Emerson College [186] March 14–16, 2016Hillary Clinton55%Donald Trump36%19768± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton61%Ted Cruz30%31
Bernie Sanders53%Donald Trump36%17
Siena College [187] February 28 – March 3, 2016Hillary Clinton56% Marco Rubio 35%21800± 4.1%
Hillary Clinton58%Ted Cruz33%25
Hillary Clinton57%Donald Trump34%23
Hillary Clinton49%John Kasich42%7
Bernie Sanders58%Marco Rubio32%26
Bernie Sanders63%Ted Cruz26%37
Bernie Sanders57%Donald Trump33%24
Bernie Sanders54%John Kasich35%19
Siena College [188] January 31 – February 3, 2016Hillary Clinton54%Marco Rubio37%17930± 3.8%
Hillary Clinton57%Ted Cruz34%23
Hillary Clinton57%Donald Trump32%25
Hillary Clinton57% Jeb Bush 33%24
Hillary Clinton57%John Kasich31%26
Hillary Clinton55% Chris Christie 36%19
Bernie Sanders56%Marco Rubio34%22
Bernie Sanders60%Ted Cruz30%30
Bernie Sanders63%Donald Trump30%33
Bernie Sanders61%Jeb Bush30%31
Bernie Sanders59%John Kasich29%30
Bernie Sanders58%Chris Christie35%23

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Independent/

Third-party candidate

%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Siena College [187] February 28 – March 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 25% Michael Bloomberg 26%16800± 4.1%
Bernie Sanders 42%Donald Trump24%Michael Bloomberg28%14

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian
Independence 		%Green%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Emerson College [189] August 28–30, 2016Hillary Clinton52%Donald Trump34%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein3%18800± 3.4%
Siena College [173] August 7–10, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump25%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein6%25717± 4.3%
Gravis Marketing [174] August 4–8, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump34%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein4%141,717±2.4%
Quinnipiac University [175] July 13–17, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump33%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein4%121,104± 3%

North Carolina

15 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
(Republican in 2012) 50%–48%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Quinnipiac University [190] August 29 – September 7, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump43%4751± 3.6%
Public Policy Polling [191] August 26–27, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump44%11,177
CNN/ORC [192] August 18–23, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump47%1803± 3.5%
Gravis Marketing [193] August 15–17, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump43%1723± 3.6%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [35] August 4–10, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump39%9921± 3.2%
Public Policy Polling [194] August 5–7, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump46%1830± 3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [37] July 5–11, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump38%6907± 3.3%
Public Policy Polling [195] June 20–21, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump48%2942± 3.2%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner [9] June 11–20, 2016Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump41%10300± 5.66%
Public Policy Polling [196] May 20–22, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump47%49283.2%
Bernie Sanders 48%Donald Trump44%4
Civitas [197] April 23–26, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump37%126004.0%
Bernie Sanders54%Donald Trump35%19
Hillary Clinton46%Ted Cruz40%6
Bernie Sanders52%Ted Cruz36%16
Public Policy Polling [198] April 22–24, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump44%Tied9603.2
Hillary Clinton45%Ted Cruz40%5
Hillary Clinton39%John Kasich46%7
Bernie Sanders46%Donald Trump43%3
Bernie Sanders46%Ted Cruz38%8
Bernie Sanders41%John Kasich43%2
Elon University [199] April 10–15, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump39%66213.96
Hillary Clinton41%Ted Cruz44%3
Bernie Sanders51%Donald Trump38%13
Bernie Sanders49%Ted Cruz39%10
Public Policy Polling [200] March 18–20, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump42%28433.4
Hillary Clinton45%Ted Cruz42%3
Hillary Clinton41%John Kasich49%8
Bernie Sanders48%Donald Trump41%7
Bernie Sanders45%Ted Cruz42%3
Bernie Sanders41%John Kasich44%3
Elon University [201] February 15–19, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump41%61,5302.51
Hillary Clinton46%Ted Cruz46%Tied
Hillary Clinton45% Marco Rubio 48%3
Bernie Sanders48%Donald Trump40%8
Bernie Sanders47%Ted Cruz43%4
Bernie Sanders43%Marco Rubio46%3
SurveyUSA [202] February 14–16, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump45%21,2502.8%
Hillary Clinton43%Ted Cruz48%5
Hillary Clinton42%Marco Rubio49%7
Bernie Sanders44%Donald Trump44%Tied
Bernie Sanders46%Ted Cruz42%4
Bernie Sanders45%Marco Rubio44%1
Public Policy Polling [203] February 14–16, 2016Hillary Clinton42% Jeb Bush 44%21,2912.7%
Hillary Clinton43%Ted Cruz46%3
Hillary Clinton40%Marco Rubio49%9
Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump44%1
Bernie Sanders43%Jeb Bush42%1
Bernie Sanders43%Ted Cruz43%Tied
Bernie Sanders41%Marco Rubio45%4
Bernie Sanders44%Donald Trump42%2
Public Policy Polling [204] January 18–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43%Jeb Bush45%29483.2%
Hillary Clinton44% Ben Carson 47%3
Hillary Clinton43%Ted Cruz46%3
Hillary Clinton42%Marco Rubio47%5
Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump45%2
Bernie Sanders41%Jeb Bush42%1
Bernie Sanders40%Ben Carson44%4
Bernie Sanders38%Ted Cruz43%5
Bernie Sanders39%Marco Rubio43%4
Bernie Sanders43%Donald Trump44%1

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Independent/

Third-party candidate

%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Quinnipiac University [190] August 29 – September 7, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson15%4751± 3.6%
Monmouth University [205] August 20–23, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson7%2401± 4.9%
CNN/ORC [192] August 18–23, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump45%Gary Johnson9%Tied803± 3.5%
Civitas/SurveyUSA [206] July 31 – August 2, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump46%Gary Johnson6%4400± 5.0%
Civitas [207] June 21–23, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson6%2600± 4.0%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner [9] June 11–20, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson8%10300± 5.66%
Civitas [208] May 21–23, 2016Hillary Clinton36%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson8%3600± 4.0%
Public Policy Polling [203] February 14–16, 2016Hillary Clinton37%Donald Trump39% Michael Bloomberg 14%21,291± 2.7%
Bernie Sanders 34%Donald Trump40%Michael Bloomberg16%6
Public Policy Polling [204] January 18–19, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump41%Michael Bloomberg10%19483.2%
Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump42% Jim Webb 7%2

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
CBS News/YouGov [209] August 30 – September 2, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein2%41,088± 4%
Emerson College [210] August 27–29, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump45% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 2%2800± 3.4%
Gravis Marketing [193] August 15–17, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein2%1723± 3.6%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [35] August 4–10, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump36%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein2%9921± 3.2%
Public Policy Polling [194] August 5–7, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump41%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein2%2830± 3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [37] July 5–11, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump36%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein2%6907± 3.3%
CBS News/YouGov [211] June 21–24, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson2%Jill Stein1%2988± 4%
Public Policy Polling [195] June 20–21, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein2%Tied947± 3.2%
Public Policy Polling [196] May 20–22, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein2%29283.2%
Bernie Sanders 43%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein2%3

Ohio

18 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–48%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Quinnipiac University [190] August 29 – September 7, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump46%1775± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling [212] August 26–27, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump42%41,134± 2.9%
OnMessageAugust 13–17, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump45%Tied600± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [76] August 3–7, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump38%5889± 3.1%
Quinnipiac University [213] July 30 – August 7, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump45%4812± 3.4%
Public Policy Polling [214] July 22–24, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump45%Tied1,334± 2.7%
Suffolk University [215] July 18–20, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump44%Tied500± 4.4%
Quinnipiac University [216] June 30 – July 11, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump41%Tied955± 3.2%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [217] July 5–10, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump39%Tied848± 3.4%
Gravis Marketing/One America News [218] June 27–28, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump47%11,270± 2.8%
Public Policy Polling [7] June 22–23, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump40%4708± 3.7%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner [9] June 11–20, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump48%1300± 5.66%
Quinnipiac University [219] June 8–19, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump40%Tied971± 3.1%
Bernie Sanders 48%Donald Trump38%10
Zogby Analytics [220] May 18–22, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump39%6679± 3.8%
CBS News/YouGov [221] May 16–19, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump39%5992± 3.7%
Bernie Sanders48%Donald Trump39%9
Quinnipiac University [222] April 27 – May 8, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump43%41,042± 3.0%
Bernie Sanders44%Donald Trump42%2
Public Policy Polling [223] April 26–27, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump42%37993.2%
Hillary Clinton44% Ted Cruz 35%9
Hillary Clinton41%John Kasich43%2
Bernie Sanders45%Donald Trump41%4
Bernie Sanders44%Ted Cruz35%9
Bernie Sanders37%John Kasich47%10
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [224] March 4–10, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump42%62,052± 2.2%
Hillary Clinton45%Ted Cruz47%2
Hillary Clinton36%John Kasich57%21
Bernie Sanders50%Donald Trump41%9
Bernie Sanders45%Ted Cruz44%1
Public Policy Polling [225] March 4–6, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Ted Cruz40%51,2482.8%
Hillary Clinton37%John Kasich52%15
Hillary Clinton44% Marco Rubio 41%3
Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump40%5
Bernie Sanders44%Ted Cruz38%6
Bernie Sanders34%John Kasich54%20
Bernie Sanders42%Marco Rubio38%4
Bernie Sanders44%Donald Trump40%4
CNN/ORC [226] March 2–6, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump43%78843.5%
Hillary Clinton48%Marco Rubio46%2
Hillary Clinton51%Ted Cruz42%9
Quinnipiac University [227] February 16–20, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Ted Cruz46%31,5392.5%
Hillary Clinton37%John Kasich54%17
Hillary Clinton42%Marco Rubio47%5
Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump44%2
Bernie Sanders44%Ted Cruz42%2
Bernie Sanders35%John Kasich54%19
Bernie Sanders42%Marco Rubio44%2
Bernie Sanders44%Donald Trump44%Tied

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Independent/

Third-party candidate

%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner [9] June 11–20, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump41%Gary Johnson14%Tied300± 5.66%
Public Policy Polling [225] March 4–6, 2016Hillary Clinton37%Donald Trump37% Michael Bloomberg 15%Tied1,248± 2.8%
Bernie Sanders 38%Donald Trump37%Michael Bloomberg13%1
Quinnipiac University [227] February 16–20, 2016Bernie Sanders37% Ted Cruz 37%Michael Bloomberg11%Tied1,539± 2.5%
Bernie Sanders35%Donald Trump38%Michael Bloomberg13%3

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Quinnipiac University [190] August 29 – September 7, 2016Hillary Clinton37%Donald Trump41%Gary Johnson14%Jill Stein4%4775± 3.5%
Emerson College [116] August 25–27, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein2%Tied800± 3.4%
Monmouth University [228] August 18–21, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein<1%4402± 4.9%
CBS News/YouGov [84] August 17–19, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein2%6997± 3.9%
OnMessageAugust 13–17, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein2%Tied600± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [76] August 3–7, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump35%Gary Johnson12%Jill Stein4%4889± 3.1%
Quinnipiac University [213] July 30 – August 7, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein3%2812± 3.4%
Public Policy Polling [214] July 22–24, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein2%31,334± 2.7%
Suffolk University [215] July 18–20, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein1%4500± 4.4%
CBS News/YouGov [229] July 13–15, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein3%41,104± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University [216] June 30 – July 11, 2016Hillary Clinton36%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein6%1955± 3.2%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [217] July 5–10, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump35%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein3%3848± 3.4%
Quinnipiac University [219] June 8–19, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump36%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein3%2971± 3.1%

Oklahoma

7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 66%–34%
(Republican in 2012) 67%–33%

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Independent/

Third-party candidate

%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
SoonerPoll [230] July 20–25, 2016Hillary Clinton29%Donald Trump53%Gary Johnson7%24298± 4.91%
Cole Hargrave [231] May 2–4, 2016Hillary Clinton28%Donald Trump48%Gary Johnson6%20500± 4.3%

Oregon

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–42%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Portland Tribune/iCitizen [232] June 23–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 32%14555± 4.0%
Clout Research [233] May 10–13, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump44%2657± 3.82%
DHM Research [234] May 6–9, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump32%11901± 3.3%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Clout Research [235] July 9–13, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein3%3701± 3.7%

Pennsylvania

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–47%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Quinnipiac University [190] August 29 – September 7, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump43%5778± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling [236] August 30–31, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump42%5814± 3.4%
GBA Strategies [237] August 21–28, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump43%51,200± 4.4%
Public Policy Polling [238] August 26–27, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump43%51,194± %
Franklin & Marshall College [239] August 25–29, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump40%7496± 5.6%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [76] August 3–7, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump37%11834± 3.1%
Quinnipiac University [213] July 30 – August 7, 2016Hillary Clinton52%Donald Trump42%10815± 3.4%
Susquehanna/ABC27 News [240] July 31 – August 4, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump37%10772± 3.53%
Franklin & Marshall College [241] July 29 – August 2, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump38%11389± 6.3%
Public Policy Polling [242] July 29–31, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump45%41,505± 2.5%
Suffolk University [243] July 25–27, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump41%9500± 4.4%
Quinnipiac University [216] June 30 – July 11, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump43%2982± 3.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [244] July 5–10, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump36%9829± 3.4%
Gravis Marketing/One America News Network [245] June 27–28, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump47%11,958± 2.2%
Public Policy Polling [7] June 22–23, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump42%4980± 3.1%
Quinnipiac University [219] June 8–19, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump41%1950± 3.2%
Bernie Sanders 47%Donald Trump40%7
Public Policy Polling [246] June 3–5, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump44%Tied1,106± 3.0%
Bernie Sanders51%Donald Trump39%12
Quinnipiac University [222] April 27 – May 8, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump42%11,077± 3.0%
Bernie Sanders47%Donald Trump41%6
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [247] April 18–20, 2016Hillary Clinton54%Donald Trump39%152,606± 1.9%
Hillary Clinton52% Ted Cruz 41%11
Hillary Clinton45%John Kasich48%3
Bernie Sanders 57%Donald Trump37%20
Bernie Sanders58%Ted Cruz36%22
Bernie Sanders50%John Kasich44%6
Fox News [248] April 4–7, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump44%Tied1,607± 2.5%
Quinnipiac University [249] March 30 – April 4, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump42%31,737± 2.4%
Hillary Clinton43%Ted Cruz43%Tied
Hillary Clinton35%John Kasich51%16
Bernie Sanders48%Donald Trump40%8
Bernie Sanders46%Ted Cruz38%8
Bernie Sanders40%John Kasich46%6
Franklin & Marshall College [250] March 14–20, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump33%13828± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton45%Ted Cruz35%10
Mercyhurst University [251] March 1–11, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump35%8421± 4.8%
Hillary Clinton45%Ted Cruz42%3
Hillary Clinton36%John Kasich49%13
Hillary Clinton39% Marco Rubio 47%8
Bernie Sanders49%Donald Trump37%12
Bernie Sanders48%Ted Cruz40%8
Bernie Sanders42%John Kasich46%4
Bernie Sanders41%Marco Rubio46%5
Harper Polling [252] March 1–2, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump40%5662± 3.75%
Hillary Clinton46%Marco Rubio40%6
Hillary Clinton48%Ted Cruz37%11

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
GBA Strategies [237] August 21–28, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson10%61,200± 4.4%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner [9] June 11–20, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump36%Gary Johnson13%9300± 5.66%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Quinnipiac University [190] August 29 – September 7, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein3%5778± 3.5%
CBS News/YouGov [253] August 30 – September 2, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein2%81,091± 4.1%
Monmouth University [254] August 26–29, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein1%8402± 4.9%
Franklin & Marshall College [239] August 25–29, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein2%3736± 4.6%
Emerson College [116] August 25–28, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein2%3800± 3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [76] August 3–7, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump36%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein3%9834± 3.1%
Quinnipiac University [213] July 30 – August 7, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein3%9815± 3.4%
Susquehanna/ABC27 News [240] July 31 – August 4, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein3%9772± 3.53%
Franklin & Marshall College [241] July 29 – August 2, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump34%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein3%13496± 6.1%
Public Policy Polling [242] July 29–31, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein2%31,505± 2.5%
Suffolk University [243] July 25–27, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein3%9500± 4.4%
Quinnipiac University [216] June 30 – July 11, 2016Hillary Clinton34%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein3%6982± 3.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [244] July 5–10, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump35%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein2%8829± 3.4%
Quinnipiac University [219] June 8–19, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump36%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein4%3950± 3.2%
Public Policy Polling [246] June 3–5, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein3%11,106± 3.0%
Bernie Sanders 45%Donald Trump36%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein1%9

South Carolina

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–44%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Feldman [255] August 18–21, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump45%2600± 4%
Gravis Marketing [256] August 15–17, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump46%4768± 3.5%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
First Tuesday Strategies [257] August 30 – September 2, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump50%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein1%12775± 3.5%
Feldman [255] August 18–21, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein1%Tied600± 4%
Gravis Marketing [256] August 15–17, 2016Hillary Clinton37%Donald Trump41%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein3%4768± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling [258] August 9–10, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump41%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein2%21,290± 2.7%

Tennessee

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 59%–39%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
iCitizen [259] July 25–27, 2016Hillary Clinton33%Donald Trump49%16655± N/A%
Vanderbilt University/PSRA [260] April 25 – May 11, 2016Hillary Clinton35%Donald Trump44%91,001± 4.2%
Hillary Clinton34% Ted Cruz 44%10

Texas

38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2012) 57%–41%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [261] August 12–14, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump50%6944± 3.2%
KTVT-CBS 11/Dixie Strategies Poll [262] August 8–9, 2016Hillary Clinton35%Donald Trump46%111,018± 3.1%
Texas Tribune/YouGov [263] June 10–19, 2016Hillary Clinton33%Donald Trump41%81,200± 2.83%
SurveyUSA [264] February 21–22, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump47%31,289± 3%
Bernie Sanders 44%Donald Trump47%3
Hillary Clinton42% Ted Cruz 50%8
Bernie Sanders41%Ted Cruz50%9
Hillary Clinton41% Marco Rubio 51%10
Bernie Sanders40%Marco Rubio50%10

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Texas Tribune/YouGov [263] June 10–20, 2016Hillary Clinton32%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson7%71,200± 2.83%
Leland Beatty [265] June 13–14, 2016Hillary Clinton30%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson3%7998± 3.1%

Five-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Independent%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [261] August 12–14, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein2%Evan McMullin0%6944± 3.2%

Utah

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%
(Republican in 2012) 73%–25%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [266] August 19–21, 2016Hillary Clinton33%Donald Trump53%201,018± 3.1%
Gravis Marketing [267] May 31 – June 1, 2016Hillary Clinton29%Donald Trump36%71,519± 2.5%
Dan Jones & Associates [268] May 2–10, 2016Hillary Clinton30%Donald Trump43%13588± 4.04%
Bernie Sanders 37%Donald Trump43%6
Dan Jones & Associates [269] March 23 – April 5, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump38%Tied600± 4.0%
Hillary Clinton26% Ted Cruz 67%41
Hillary Clinton23% John Kasich 68%45
Bernie Sanders49%Donald Trump35%14
Bernie Sanders32%Ted Cruz63%31
Bernie Sanders30%John Kasich64%34
Dan Jones & Associates [270] March 8–15, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump36%2500± 4.38%
Hillary Clinton32%Ted Cruz60%28
Hillary Clinton29%John Kasich59%30
Bernie Sanders48%Donald Trump37%11
Bernie Sanders39%Ted Cruz53%14
Bernie Sanders35%John Kasich54%19

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
SurveyUSA/Salt Lake Tribune [271] June 2–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 35% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 13%Tied1,238± 2.8%
Bernie Sanders 37%Donald Trump35%Gary Johnson12%2
Gravis Marketing [267] May 31 – June 1, 2016Hillary Clinton26%Donald Trump29%Gary Johnson16%31,519± 2.5%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Dan Jones & Associates [272] July 18 – August 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 25% Donald Trump 37%Gary Johnson16% Jill Stein 1%12858± 3.34%
Dan Jones & Associates [273] June 8–17, 2016Hillary Clinton27%Donald Trump36%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein2%9614± 3.95%

Six-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Constitution%Independent%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [266] August 19–21, 2016Hillary Clinton24%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson12%Jill Stein5%Darrell Castle2%Evan McMullin9%151,018± 3.1%

Vermont

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 67%–30%
(Democratic in 2012) 67%–31%

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
VPR [274] July 11–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 17% Gary Johnson 5%22637±3.9%
FM3 Research [275] June 27 – July 1, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump24%Gary Johnson10%15600± ?%

Virginia

13 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–47%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Hampton University [276] August 24–28, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump41%2801± 4.7%
Roanoke College [277] August 7–17, 2016Hillary Clinton55%Donald Trump36%19803± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University [34] August 9–16, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump38%12808± 3.5%
Washington Post [278] August 11–14, 2016Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump43%8707± 4.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [35] August 4–10, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump33%13897± 3.3%
RABA Research [279] July 26–27, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump46%4655± 3.8%
Fox News [280] July 9–12, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump37%7601± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [37] July 5–11, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump35%9876± 3.3%
Hampton University [281] July 6–10, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump39%Tied805± 4.6%
Public Policy Polling [282] June 13–15, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump45%31,032± 3.1%
Gravis Marketing [283] May 24, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump41%41,728± 2%
Roanoke College [284] May 9–17, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump38%Tied610± 4.0%
Christopher Newport University [285] March 23 – April 3, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump35%91,167± 3.1%
Roanoke College [286] January 18–26, 2016Hillary Clinton52%Donald Trump35%17524± 4.3%
Hillary Clinton46% Marco Rubio 43%3
Hillary Clinton45%Ted Cruz41%4
Bernie Sanders 55%Donald Trump33%22
Bernie Sanders48%Marco Rubio38%10
Bernie Sanders49%Ted Cruz37%12

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Independent/

Third-party candidate

%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
CBS News/YouGov [15] August 2–5, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson7%121,181± 3.7%
Gravis Marketing [283] May 24, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson6%61,728± 2%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Emerson College [83] August 30 – September 1, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson11%Jill Stein3%1800± 3.4%
Roanoke College [277] August 7–17, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump32%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein3%16803± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University [34] August 9–16, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump34%Gary Johnson11%Jill Stein5%11808± 3.5%
Washington Post [278] August 11–14, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein3%7707± 4.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [35] August 4–10, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump31%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein5%12897± 3.3%
Fox News [280] July 9–12, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump34%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein4%5601± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [37] July 5–11, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump34%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein2%7876± 3.3%
Public Policy Polling [282] June 13–15, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein2%31,032± 3.1%

Washington

12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Elway Poll [287] August 9–13, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump24%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein4%19500± 4.5%

West Virginia

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2012) 62%–36%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [288] April 29 – May 1, 2016Hillary Clinton30%Donald Trump57%271,201± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton31% Ted Cruz 44%13
Hillary Clinton27% John Kasich 52%25
Bernie Sanders 35%Donald Trump56%21
Bernie Sanders39%Ted Cruz40%1
Bernie Sanders31%John Kasich48%17

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green Party%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Repass Research [289] August 9–28, 2016Hillary Clinton31%Donald Trump49%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein4%183864.7%

Wisconsin

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–46%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling [290] August 26–27, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump41%71,054
Marquette University [291] August 25–28, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump42%3615± 5.0%
Marquette University [292] August 4–7, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump36%10805± 4.6%
Marquette University [293] July 7–10, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump41%4629± 4.5%
Public Policy Polling [7] June 22–23, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump39%8843± 3.4%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner [9] June 11–20, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump36%11300± 5.66%
Marquette University [294] June 9–12, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump37%9666± 4.9%
Bernie Sanders57%Donald Trump33%24
Public Opinion Strategies [295] May 10–12, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump31%12600± 4.0%
St. Norbert College/WPR/WPT [296] April 12–15, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump34%12616± 4%
Hillary Clinton45% Ted Cruz 44%1
Bernie Sanders52%Donald Trump33%19
Bernie Sanders50%Ted Cruz40%10
Emerson College [297] March 30 – April 3, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump37%101,198± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton46%Ted Cruz43%3
Hillary Clinton38% John Kasich 52%14
Bernie Sanders51%Donald Trump37%14
Bernie Sanders50%Ted Cruz41%9
Fox News [298] March 28–30, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump35%141,602± 2.5%
Marquette University [299] March 24–28, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump37%101,405± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton44%Ted Cruz44%Tied
Hillary Clinton39%John Kasich48%9
Bernie Sanders54%Donald Trump35%19
Bernie Sanders52%Ted Cruz39%13
Bernie Sanders46%John Kasich44%2
Emerson College [300] March 20–22, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump38%9922± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton46%Ted Cruz45%1
Bernie Sanders47%Donald Trump39%9
Marquette University [301] February 18–21, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump37%10802± 4.5%
Hillary Clinton43%Ted Cruz43%Tied
Hillary Clinton44% Marco Rubio 43%1
Bernie Sanders54%Donald Trump34%20
Bernie Sanders53%Ted Cruz35%18
Bernie Sanders53%Marco Rubio35%18
Marquette University [302] January 21–24, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump38%9806± 4.0%
Hillary Clinton45%Marco Rubio44%1
Hillary Clinton45%Ted Cruz44%1
Bernie Sanders52%Donald Trump34%18
Bernie Sanders49%Marco Rubio38%11
Bernie Sanders50%Ted Cruz38%12

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner [9] June 11–20, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump32%Gary Johnson16%12300± 5.66%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat %Republican %Libertarian %Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Monmouth University [303] August 27–30, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein3%5404± 4.9%
Marquette University [291] August 25–28, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein4%3615± 5.0%
Marquette University [292] August 4–7, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump33%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein4%9805± 4.6%
Marquette University [293] July 7–10, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein2%6629± 4.5%
CBS News/YouGov [304] June 21–24, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump36%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein2%5993± 4.3%

See also

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Early/Mid 2012 statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election</span>

Statewide polls for the 2012 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from January 1 to August 31, 2012, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against incumbent President Barack Obama.

This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the Republican primaries for the 2016 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls were either declared candidates, former candidates, or received media speculation about their possible candidacy. On May 4, 2016, Donald Trump became the sole contender and presumptive nominee.

This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Democratic primaries for the 2016 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates, are former candidates, or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries</span>

This article contains opinion polling by U.S. state for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries. The shading for each poll indicates the candidate(s) which are within one margin of error of the poll's leader.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries</span>

This article contains opinion polling by U.S. state for the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries. For currency and accuracy, please note the specific dates for each polling as listed below. For the significance of the earliest state votes, the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary, see United States presidential primary – Iowa and New Hampshire. To know when any given state votes, see the timeline of primaries and caucuses.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election</span>

Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election include the following. The polls listed here provide early data on opinion polling between the Democratic candidate, the Republican candidate, the Libertarian candidate, and the Green candidate. Prior to the parties' conventions, presumptive candidates were included in the polls. State polling is not conducted in all states for the election due to various factors. More polls usually are conducted in states that are considered swing states as more attention is given to the results. For determining a statistical tie, the margin of error provided by the polling source is applied to the result for each candidate.

This page lists nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election. The two major party candidates were chosen at the Democratic National Convention and Republican National Convention in July 2016.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Iowa Democratic presidential caucuses</span>

The 2016 Iowa Democratic presidential caucuses were held on Monday February 1 in Iowa, as usual marking the Democratic Party's first nominating contest in their series of presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from 2013 to December 31, 2015, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against a possible Democratic candidate.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Florida Democratic presidential primary</span>

The 2016 Florida Democratic presidential primary took place on March 15 in the U.S. state of Florida as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Connecticut Democratic presidential primary</span>

The 2016 Connecticut Democratic presidential primary were held on April 26 in the U.S. state of Connecticut as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Pennsylvania Democratic presidential primary</span>

The 2016 Pennsylvania Democratic presidential primary was held on April 26 in the U.S. state of Pennsylvania as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 California Democratic presidential primary</span>

The 2016 California Democratic presidential primary was held on June 7 in the U.S. state of California as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 New York Republican presidential primary</span>

The 2016 New York Republican presidential primary was held on April 19 in the U.S. state of New York as one of the Republican Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

This page lists nationwide public opinion polling among demographics that have been conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election between prospective Democratic and Republican candidates. The two major party candidates were chosen at the Democratic National Convention and Republican National Convention in July 2016. The general election occurred on Tuesday, November 8, 2016.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in Iowa</span>

The 2020 United States presidential election in Iowa was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Iowa voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump of Florida, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence of Indiana against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden of Delaware, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Iowa has six electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in Ohio</span>

The 2020 United States presidential election in Ohio was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Ohio voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden and his running mate, California Senator Kamala Harris against the Republican Party's nominee—incumbent President Donald Trump and his running mate, Vice President Mike Pence. Ohio had 18 electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in Maine</span>

The 2020 United States presidential election in Maine was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Maine voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Maine has four electoral votes in the Electoral College. Unlike all other states except Nebraska, Maine awards two electoral votes based on the statewide vote, and one vote for each congressional district.

This page lists statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election in Florida, contested by Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, Gary Johnson and Jill Stein. The state was won by Donald Trump with 49.02% of the vote against 47.82% for Hillary Clinton.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Michigan</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Michigan took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, and as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Michigan voters chose electors for Donald Trump and JD Vance to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Michigan has 15 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat. Michigan was considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024.

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