FitzPatrick 1932

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FitzPatrick 1932 is an early paper in the field of bankruptcy prediction. In a series of three articles in the monthly The Certified Public Accountant in 1932, Paul J. FitzPatrick presented data for 20 matched pairs of firms and discussed accounting ratios as indicators of bankruptcy. It is historically significant as an early attempt in this field, and it is notable also for its publishing a data set, now in the public domain. Beaver (1968), an important paper in accounting research which employs statistical analysis to a similar matched sample, cites the paper.

Contents

The dataset includes 13 accounting ratios calculated for 40 firms for each of three years. However some fields are missing for some firm-year observations.

Sample selection

Example data

Pair I.D.Survive?Industry Current ratio Quick ratio Net worth to fixed assets
10Meat-packing734302111
11Meat-packing426221121
20Confections manufacture and sale21170244
21Confections manufacture and sale629312298
30Cereals manufacture and sale854247
31Cereals manufacture and sale493261177
40Pianos manufacture and sale20391287
41Pianos manufacture and sale793544621
50Writing paper manuf and sale468197187
51Writing paper manuf and sale286144178
60Cane sugar and bananas prodn and sale261138
61Cane sugar and bananas prodn and sale139133110
70Agriculture implement manufacturers1564691
71Agriculture implement manufacturers325126225
80Rubber footwear manufacture287196210
81Rubber footwear manufacture223132260
90Phonographs and records manufacture13854114
91Phonographs and records manufacture414226261
100Rubber tire industry328165270
101Rubber tire industry347160258
110Fish products production and sale16049232
111Fish products production and sale13547100
120Cotton textile industry of New England28266124
121Cotton textile industry of New England392133134
130Cotton textile industry of New England997175
131Cotton textile industry of New England16065142
140Collars and shirts manufacture25251275118
141Collars and shirts manufacture27641541591
150Phonographs and records manufacture274153304
151Phonographs and records manufacture555351345
160Cotton textile industry of New England512278
161Cotton textile industry of New England17149129
170Woolen textile industry507103274
171Woolen textile industry22655261
180Fertilizer manufacture195153100
181Fertilizer manufacture761573125
190Steel products manufacture61916038
191Steel products manufacture584216144
200Wholesale merchandise business19184537
201Wholesale merchandise business170109635

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References

FitzPatrick, Paul J., Ph.D. 1932. "A Comparison of the Ratios of Successful Industrial Enterprises With Those of Failed Companies". The Certified Public Accountant Beaver 1968. Journal of Accounting Research . (In three issues: October, 1932, p. 598-605; November, 1932, p. 656-662; December, 1932, p. 727-731.