Opinion polling for the 45th Canadian federal election

This table provides a list of scientific, nationwide public opinion polls conducted from the 2021 Canadian federal election leading up to the 45th Canadian federal election.

National polls

Pre-campaign period

Evolution of voting intentions according to polls conducted during the pre-campaign period of the 45th Canadian federal election, graphed from the data in the table below. Trendlines are 30-poll local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.

Polling firm	Last date of polling [lower-alpha 1]	Link	CPC	LPC	NDP	BQ	PPC	GPC	Others [lower-alpha 2]	Margin of error [lower-alpha 3]	Sample size [lower-alpha 4]	Polling method [lower-alpha 5]	Lead
Nanos Research	April 12, 2024	[1]	40.0	23.7	20.6	9.1	2.2	3.6	0.8	±3 pp	1,053 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	16.3
Research Co.	April 10, 2024	[2]	38	26	20	10	1	3	1	±3.1 pp	1,001	online	12
Abacus Data	April 9, 2024	[3]	44	24	17	6	3	5	1	±2.1 pp	2,000	online	20
Pallas Data	April 8, 2024	[4]	41	26	18	7	3	4	—	±2 pp	2,375	online	15
Nanos Research	April 5, 2024	[5]	38.4	25.9	18.9	9.7	1.7	3.8	1.6	±3 pp	1,089 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	12.5
Nanos Research	March 29, 2024	[6]	37.5	25.7	18.7	9.9	2.1	4.7	1.3	±3 pp	1,075 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	11.8
Leger	March 25, 2024	[7]	42	26	17	7	2	4	1	±2.45 pp	1,605	online	16
Nanos Research	March 22, 2024	[8]	39.3	24.1	19.8	9.2	1.5	5.0	1.0	±3 pp	1,092 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	15.2
Abacus Data	March 21, 2024	[9]	41	23	19	7	4	4	0	±1.7 pp	3,550	online	18
Ipsos	March 18, 2024	[10]	41	23	20	7	3	4	1	±3.8 pp	1,000	online	18
Nanos Research	March 15, 2024	[11]	39.2	24.7	20.3	8.2	1.5	5.0	1.1	±3 pp	1,092 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	14.5
Mainstreet Research	March 9, 2024	[12]	45.6	24.9	15.4	6.1	2.1	3.6	2.4	±2.7 pp	1,274	IVR	20.7
Nanos Research	March 8, 2024	[13]	40.6	23.3	21.2	7.2	1.7	4.9	1.0	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	17.3
Abacus Data	March 6, 2024	[14]	42	24	18	7	3	4	1	±2.5 pp	1,500	online	18
Angus Reid	March 4, 2024	[15]	40	23	21	9	2	4	1	±2 pp	3,908	online	17
	March 4, 2024	A federal by-election was held in Durham, with Jamil Jivani holding the seat for the Conservative Party.
Nanos Research	March 1, 2024	[16]	42.8	23.3	21.4	6.2	1.3	4.2	0.7	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	19.5
Leger	February 25, 2024	[17]	41	25	18	7	3	5	1	±2.49 pp	1,590	online	16
Nanos Research	February 23, 2024	[18]	40.8	23.4	22.1	6.6	1.4	4.7	1.0	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	17.4
Abacus Data	February 21, 2024	[19]	41	24	19	8	3	5	1	±2.1 pp	2,125	online	17
Nanos Research	February 16, 2024	[20]	40.6	23.8	21.9	6.2	1.5	5.1	0.9	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	16.8
Nanos Research	February 9, 2024	[21]	40.2	24.0	20.9	6.9	1.4	5.7	0.9	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	16.2
Abacus Data	February 7, 2024	[22]	43	24	18	8	3	4	0	±2.0 pp	2,398	online	19
Nanos Research	February 2, 2024	[23]	40.0	24.7	20.6	7.4	1.3	5.1	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	15.3
Leger	January 28, 2024	[24]	40	25	20	8	2	5	1	±2.47 pp	1,579	online	15
Mainstreet Research	January 26, 2024	[25]	43	26	16	6	3	4	2	±3.2 pp	947	IVR	17
Nanos Research	January 26, 2024	[26]	39.0	27.1	20.4	6.8	1.4	4.7	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	11.9
Abacus Data	January 23, 2024	[27]	40	25	20	8	3	5	0	±2.1 pp	2,199	online	15
Ipsos	January 22, 2024	[28]	36	27	20	8	3	3	2	±3.8 pp	1,001	online	9
Nanos Research	January 19, 2024	[29]	38.7	26.2	21.1	7.6	2.2	3.5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	12.5
Angus Reid	January 17, 2024	[30]	41	24	20	9	1	4	2	±2 pp	1,620	online	17
Nanos Research	January 12, 2024	[31]	39.4	27.6	19.6	7.4	2.0	3.3	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	11.8
Abacus Data	January 9, 2024	[32]	41	24	18	7	5	4	0	±2.6 pp	1,500	online	17
Nanos Research	January 5, 2024	[33]	38.3	26.4	20.5	7.4	2.1	4.2	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	11.9
Nanos Research	December 29, 2023	[34]	40.3	26.6	18.1	7.3	1.9	4.8	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	13.7
Spark Advocacy	December 27, 2023	[35]	40	26	19	8	5	3	—	±2.0 pp	2,175	online	14
Nanos Research	December 22, 2023	[36]	40.6	27.0	18.2	6.9	1.4	5.1	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	13.6
Leger	December 17, 2023	[37]	38	28	18	7	2	5	2	±2.43 pp	1,622	online	10
Pallas Data	December 15, 2023	[38]	41	27	17	7	3	5	—	±2.9 pp	1,177	online	14
Nanos Research	December 15, 2023	[39]	40.8	24.9	20.4	5.7	1.6	5.6	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	15.9
Abacus Data	December 12, 2023	[40]	37	27	19	7	4	5	1	±2.3 pp	1,919	online	10
Mainstreet Research	December 9, 2023	[41]	42	24	17	7	3	5	2	±3.3 pp	879	IVR	18
Nanos Research	December 8, 2023	[42]	39.8	26.1	20.2	5.6	1.8	5.5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	13.7
Innovative Research	December 5, 2023	[43]	40	24	19	7	4	5	—	—	5,534	online	16
Angus Reid	December 1, 2023	[44]	41	24	20	9	1	4	2	±1.5 pp	3,755	online	17
Nanos Research	December 1, 2023	[45]	40.4	23.4	21.2	6.3	1.9	5.2	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	17.0
Abacus Data	November 28, 2023	[46]	42	23	19	7	3	4	1	±2.0 pp	2,417	online	19
Research Co.	November 27, 2023	[47]	38	24	21	9	2	4	1	±3.1 pp	1,000	online	14
Pluriel Research	November 26, 2023	[48]	39	25	19	7	—	6	4	±2.6 pp	1,374	online	14
Leger	November 26, 2023	[49]	40	26	20	7	2	3	1	±2.51 pp	1,529	online	14
Nanos Research	November 24, 2023	[50]	41.0	22.0	22.0	6.1	2.0	5.5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	19.0
Abacus Data	November 22, 2023	[51]	39	24	20	8	4	5	1	±1.7 pp	3,450	online	15
Ipsos	November 17, 2023	[52]	40	24	21	8	2	4	1	±3.8 pp	1,000	online	16
Nanos Research	November 17, 2023	[53]	39	24	22	6	3	6	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	15
Angus Reid	November 14, 2023	[54]	41	27	20	7	1	4	1	±1.5 pp	2,512	online	14
Abacus Data	November 12, 2023	[55]	41	25	19	6	4	3	—	±2.3 pp	2,000	online	16
Nanos Research	November 10, 2023	[56]	40.3	22.4	20.3	6.7	2.1	7.2	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	17.9
Mainstreet Research	November 6, 2023	[57]	41.0	25.8	18.2	6.2	2.9	4.1	1.8	±2.3 pp	1,892	IVR	15.2
Nanos Research	November 3, 2023	[58]	40	25	20	6	2	6	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	15
Abacus Data	November 1, 2023	[59]	39	26	18	7	4	5	1	±2.1 pp	2,200	online	13
Innovative Research	October 31, 2023	[60]	38	24	20	7	4	5	—	—	5,974	online	14
Leger	October 29, 2023	[61]	40	26	17	7	3	6	1	±2.4 pp	1,632	online	14
Nanos Research	October 27, 2023	[62]	37.7	25.4	19.9	5.5	3.4	7.9	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	12.3
Pallas Data	October 22, 2023	[63]	43	27	16	7	3	3	—	±2.5 pp	1,484	IVR	16
Nanos Research	October 20, 2023	[64]	39.5	23.6	19.3	5.0	4.5	7.5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	15.9
Angus Reid	October 13, 2023	[65]	39	28	21	7	1	3	1	±2 pp	1,878	online	11
Nanos Research	October 13, 2023	[66]	40	25	19	5	3	7	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	15
Mainstreet Research	October 12, 2023	[67]	41	27	17	6	3	3	2	±2.8 pp	1,223	IVR	14
Abacus Data	October 10, 2023	[68]	40	26	19	7	—	5	—	±2.2 pp	1,915	online	14
Nanos Research	October 6, 2023	[69]	38	26	20	6	3	7	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	12
Abacus Data	October 5, 2023	[70]	39	26	18	7	5	4	—	±2.2 pp	1,985	online	13
Nanos Research	September 29, 2023	[71]	37.9	26.5	21.2	6.2	2.0	5.7	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	11.4
Leger	September 24, 2023	[72]	39	27	18	7	2	4	2	±2.4 pp	1,652	online	12
EKOS	September 24, 2023	[73]	42.1	22.9	17.9	6.4	2.9	6.9	0.9	±3.1 pp	1,025	IVR	19.2
Nanos Research	September 22, 2023	[74]	35.6	28.6	21.4	7.3	1.7	5.1	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	7.0
Ipsos	September 18, 2023	[75]	39	30	17	8	2	3	2	±2.9 pp	1,500	online	9
Nanos Research	September 15, 2023	[76]	34.9	28.9	22.2	7.1	1.8	4.7	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	6.0
Abacus Data	September 13, 2023	[77]	41	26	18	8	3	3	1	±2.1 pp	2,125	online	15
Pluriel Research	September 8, 2023	[78]	37.9	29.1	19.6	6.4	—	4.0	3.0	±3 pp	1,001	online	8.8
Nanos Research	September 8, 2023	[79]	34.0	29.0	21.8	7.1	2.6	5.2	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	5.0
Angus Reid	September 6, 2023	[80]	39	27	19	8	2	4	0	±1.5 pp	3,400	online	12
Research Co.	September 4, 2023	[81]	37	31	17	8	1	3	1	±3.1 pp	1,000	online	6
Abacus Data	September 4, 2023	[82]	40	26	19	6	3	4	1	±1.7 pp	3,595	online	14
Nanos Research	September 1, 2023	[83]	32	32	21	7	3	6	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	0
Leger	August 27, 2023	[84]	38	29	18	8	2	4	1	±2.5 pp	1,597	online	9
Nanos Research	August 25, 2023	[85]	33	30	22	7	2	6	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	3
Mainstreet Research	August 23, 2023	[86]	41	28	15	7	3	4	3	±2.7 pp	1,280	IVR	13
Abacus Data	August 23, 2023	[87]	38	26	19	7	4	4	—	±2.0 pp	2,189	online	12
Nanos Research	August 18, 2023	[88]	34.1	29.5	19.8	7.2	2.4	6.8	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	4.6
Pallas Data	August 17, 2023	[89]	39.1	29.6	16.6	6.7	2.0	4.7	1.2	±3.1 pp	1,021	IVR	9.5
Angus Reid	August 11, 2023	[90]	38	31	18	7	1	5	0	±2 pp	1,606	online	7
Nanos Research	August 11, 2023	[91]	35	29	19	7	2	7	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	6
Abacus Data	August 7, 2023	[92]	37	28	19	8	3	4	1	±2.0 pp	1,650	online	9
Nanos Research	August 4, 2023	[93]	37	27	20	7	3	6	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	10
Nanos Research	July 28, 2023	[94]	36	29	17	7	3	5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	7
Abacus Data	July 25, 2023	[95]	38	28	18	7	4	5	1	±2.0 pp	2,486	online	10
	July 24, 2023	A federal by-election was held in Calgary Heritage, with Shuvaloy Majumdar holding the seat for the Conservative Party.
Nanos Research	July 21, 2023	[96]	35.4	28.6	19.6	7.1	2.3	5.9	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	6.8
Nanos Research	July 14, 2023	[97]	35	29	19	7	2	7	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	6
Leger	July 10, 2023	[98]	37	28	17	7	3	5	2	±2.5 pp	1,512	online	9
Mainstreet Research	July 8, 2023	[99]	37	30	17	6	3	5	2	±2.8 pp	1,200	IVR	7
Nanos Research	July 7, 2023	[100]	37	30	19	7	2	6	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	7
Nanos Research	June 30, 2023	[101]	35.8	29.6	18.9	6.4	2.4	6.1	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	6.2
Abacus Data	June 27, 2023	[102]	34	29	20	7	5	5	1	±2.0 pp	1,500	online	5
Pollara	June 23, 2023	[103]	32	30	21	8	3	5	1	±1.2 pp	7,001	online	2
Nanos Research	June 23, 2023	[104]	35	29	20	7	3	6	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	6
Ipsos	June 20, 2023	[105]	37	32	16	8	2	3	1	±3.5 pp	1,000	online	5
	June 19, 2023	A federal by-election was held in Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount, with Anna Gainey holding the seat for the Liberal Party.
	June 19, 2023	A federal by-election was held in Oxford, with Arpan Khanna holding the seat for the Conservative Party.
	June 19, 2023	A federal by-election was held in Portage—Lisgar, with Branden Leslie holding the seat for the Conservative Party.
	June 19, 2023	A federal by-election was held in Winnipeg South Centre, with Ben Carr holding the seat for the Liberal Party.
Nanos Research	June 16, 2023	[106]	35	30	21	7	3	5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	5
Abacus Data	June 11, 2023	[107]	35	28	21	7	4	4	1	±2.0 pp	2,000	online	7
Nanos Research	June 9, 2023	[108]	32	30	23	6	3	5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	2
Mainstreet Research	June 8, 2023	[109]	35	29	21	5	2	5	3	±3 pp	1,045	IVR	6
Angus Reid	June 3, 2023	[110]	37	29	20	8	2	4	0	±1 pp	3,885	online	8
Nanos Research	June 2, 2023	[101]	32.4	29.3	23.8	6.8	2.7	3.8	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	3.1
Leger	May 29, 2023	[111]	31	33	19	8	2	6	1	±2.51 pp	1,531	online	2
Nanos Research	May 26, 2023	[112]	33	28	24	7	3	4	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	5
Nanos Research	May 19, 2023	[113]	34	27	24	7	3	5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	7
Abacus Data	May 12, 2023	[114]	33	30	18	7	5	5	1	±2.0 pp	2,500	online	3
Nanos Research	May 12, 2023	[115]	36	27	22	7	4	4	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	9
Leger	May 8, 2023	[116]	33	32	20	7	2	5	2	±2.51 pp	1,523	online	1
Mainstreet Research	May 6, 2023	[117]	36	30	17	6	3	4	2	±2.7 pp	1,272	IVR	6
Nanos Research	May 5, 2023	[118]	35.2	27.7	21.7	7.1	3.4	4.3	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	7.5
Abacus Data	May 3, 2023	[119]	33	31	19	7	5	4	1	±2.4 pp	1,750	online	2
Nanos Research	April 28, 2023	[120]	35	30	20	6	3	5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	5
Leger	April 23, 2023	[121]	36	30	19	7	2	4	1	—	1,515	online	6
Nanos Research	April 21, 2023	[122]	34	31	21	6	3	4	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	3
Nanos Research	April 14, 2023	[123]	34	31	21	6	3	5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	3
Leger	April 10, 2023	[124]	34	30	21	8	3	3	1	±2.52 pp	1,517	online	4
Nanos Research	April 7, 2023	[125]	35.8	30.6	18.1	5.5	3.4	5.3	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	5.2
Nanos Research	March 31, 2023	[126]	36	28	20	6	4	5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	8
Mainstreet Research	March 30, 2023	[127]	35.9	28.9	18.1	6.5	1.8	6.8	2.1	±2.8 pp	1,267	IVR	7.0
Nanos Research	March 24, 2023	[128]	34.8	28.9	19.0	6.3	4.4	5.3	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	5.9
Abacus Data	March 21, 2023	[129]	33	31	18	8	5	4	1	±2.3 pp	1,963	online	2
Nanos Research	March 17, 2023	[130]	34	27	20	9	5	5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	7
Angus Reid	March 13, 2023	[131]	35	29	20	8	2	4	1	±1 pp	4,899	online	6
EKOS	March 13, 2023	[132]	31.4	28.2	25.0	6.0	3.6	4.8	1.1	±1.6 pp	3,115	telephone/online	3.2
Leger	March 12, 2023	[133]	32	33	19	9	2	4	1	±2.49 pp	1,544	online	1
Mainstreet Research	March 10, 2023	[134]	36.9	30.8	15.2	6.2	3.3	4.8	2.7	±2.8 pp	1,255	IVR	6.1
Abacus Data	March 10, 2023	[135]	34	29	19	7	6	3	1	±2.6 pp	1,500	online	5
Nanos Research	March 10, 2023	[136]	32.8	28.4	20.6	8.9	3.5	5.0	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	4.4
Abacus Data	March 4, 2023	[137]	36	29	18	8	4	3	2	±2.0 pp	2,600	online	7
Nanos Research	March 3, 2023	[138]	34	30	20	9	3	5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (3/4)	telephone (rolling)	4
Research Co.	February 27, 2023	[139]	33	34	18	8	1	3	1	±3.1 pp	1,000	online	1
Abacus Data	February 18, 2023	[140]	37	29	18	7	4	4	1	±1.6 pp	4,000	online	8
Ipsos	February 17, 2023	[141]	33	33	18	7	3	4	1	±3.1 pp	1,350	online	0
Leger	February 12, 2023	[142]	35	32	18	7	2	4	1	±2.50 pp	1,539	online	3
Nanos Research	February 10, 2023	[143]	32.9	33.1	20.5	6.4	2.8	4.1	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/2)	telephone (rolling)	0.2
Pollara	February 6, 2023	[144]	32	32	20	8	3	4	1	±1.8 pp	3,850	online	0
Abacus Data	January 30, 2023	[145]	37	29	18	7	4	4	1	±2.6 pp	1,500	online	8
Mainstreet Research	January 27, 2023	[146]	36.9	33.1	13.6	6.4	2.4	4.8	2.8	±2.8 pp	1,261	IVR	3.8
Nanos Research	January 27, 2023	[147]	34	31	19	8	2	5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	3
Leger	January 22, 2023	[148]	34	34	19	7	1	3	1	±2.49 pp	1,554	online	0
Nanos Research	January 20, 2023	[149]	35	30	18	9	2	6	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	5
Abacus Data	January 16, 2023	[150]	35	31	18	7	5	4	1	±2.2 pp	2,099	online	4
Nanos Research	January 13, 2023	[151]	35.6	28.3	20.7	7.4	2.1	5.8	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	7.3
Pollara	January 12, 2023	[144]	32	33	21	8	2	4	—	—	3,020	online	1
Nanos Research	January 6, 2023	[152]	34	29	22	6	3	6	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	5
Nanos Research	December 30, 2022	[153]	34	29	22	6	3	6	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	5
Nanos Research	December 23, 2022	[154]	35	29	23	6	2	5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	6
Pollara	December 20, 2022	[144]	33	30	21	8	3	5	—	—	4,020	online	3
Nanos Research	December 16, 2022	[155]	35	29	21	6	3	5	—	±3.0 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	6
Mainstreet Research	December 15, 2022	[156]	36.0	31.3	18.6	5.8	2.9	3.9	1.5	±2.6 pp	1,416	IVR	4.7
	December 12, 2022	A federal by-election was held in Mississauga—Lakeshore, with Charles Sousa holding the seat for the Liberal Party.
Leger	December 11, 2022	[157]	33	30	21	7	4	4	2	±2.50 pp	1,526	online	3
Abacus Data	December 10, 2022	[158]	36	30	19	6	4	4	1	—	2,500	online	6
Nanos Research	December 9, 2022	[159]	33.6	30.3	20.9	5.5	2.6	5.0	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	3.3
Mainstreet Research	December 8, 2022	[160]	37.9	33.6	16.4	5.1	2.4	3.6	1.0	±2.8 pp	1,267	IVR	4.3
Nanos Research	December 2, 2022	[161]	33	31	22	6	3	5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	2
Nanos Research	November 25, 2022	[162]	30.3	31.0	22.5	7.1	3.4	4.8	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/2)	telephone (rolling)	0.7
EKOS	November 23, 2022	[163]	33.6	31.3	18.1	5.1	3.4	6.6	1.9	±3.1 pp	1,034	IVR	2.3
	November 19, 2022	Elizabeth May returns as leader of the Green Party
Innovative Research	November 14, 2022	[164]	33	32	18	7	2	6	1	—	2,236	online	1
Leger	November 13, 2022	[165]	34	32	19	7	2	4	2	±2.50 pp	1,537	online	2
Nanos Research	November 11, 2022	[159]	31.3	32.9	20.0	8.1	1.7	5.1	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/2)	telephone (rolling)	1.6
Mainstreet Research	November 7, 2022	[166]	37.6	30.3	19.3	3.8	4.1	3.5	1.4	±2.7 pp	1,276	IVR	7.3
Pollara	November 3, 2022	[144]	33	31	20	9	3	3	—	—	3,418	online	2
Nanos Research	October 28, 2022	[162]	34.4	32.1	16.9	7.9	3.2	4.3	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	2.3
Research Co.	October 26, 2022	[167]	35	31	19	8	2	4	1	±3.1 pp	1,000	online	4
Abacus Data	October 26, 2022	[168]	34	31	18	6	4	5	1	±2.1 pp	1,500	online	3
Nanos Research	October 21, 2022	[169]	36	30	17	8	4	4	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	6
Nanos Research	October 14, 2022	[170]	35	34	18	6	3	5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	1
Leger	October 10, 2022	[171]	33	31	21	8	2	3	1	±2.50 pp	1,534	online	2
Nanos Research	October 7, 2022	[172]	33	32	21	6	2	5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	1
Nanos Research	September 30, 2022	[173]	33	29	23	6	2	5	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/2)	telephone (rolling)	4
Mainstreet Research	September 22, 2022	[174]	40.8	32.7	12.4	5.2	3.4	2.6	2.7	±3.0 pp	1,088	IVR	8.1
Angus Reid	September 22, 2022	[175]	37	30	20	7	1	3	1	±2 pp	5,014	online	7
Ipsos	September 21, 2022	[176]	35	30	20	7	3	3	2	±3.5 pp	1,000	online	5
Leger	September 18, 2022	[177]	34	28	23	8	3	3	1	±2.51 pp	1,522	online	6
EKOS	September 16, 2022	[178]	33.7	31.7	20.1	5.9	3.1	5.0	0.5	±3.1 pp	1,005	IVR	2.0
Nanos Research	September 16, 2022	[179]	30.7	28.4	26.0	6.0	3.4	4.8	—	±3.00 pp	1,000	telephone (rolling)	2.3
Abacus Data	September 14, 2022	[180]	35	30	17	9	4	4	1	±2.2 pp	1,990	online	5
	September 10, 2022	Pierre Poilievre is elected leader of the Conservative Party
Abacus Data	August 30, 2022	[181]	33	32	19	7	5	3	1	±2.6 pp	1,500	online	1
Nanos Research	August 19, 2022	[179]	32.5	33.3	20.1	5.5	2.1	5.6	—	±3.00 pp	1,000 (1/2)	telephone (rolling)	0.8
Leger	August 7, 2022	[182]	28	33	21	8	5	4	2	±2.52 pp	1,509	online	5
Nanos Research	August 5, 2022	[183]	32.6	29.0	22.7	6.3	1.7	6.8	—	±3.0 pp	1,000	telephone (rolling)	3.6
Abacus Data	July 27, 2022	[184]	35	30	19	7	4	4	1	±2.0 pp	2,400	online	5
Mainstreet Research	July 18, 2022	[185]	38.3	27.6	18.1	5.9	5.2	2.6	2.3	±2.3 pp	1,749	IVR	10.7
Abacus Data	July 17, 2022	[186]	33	31	19	8	4	4	1	±2.6 pp	1,500	online	2
Leger	July 10, 2022	[187]	28	32	21	7	5	4	3	±2.49 pp	1,538	online	4
Nanos Research	July 8, 2022	[183]	34.1	30.6	20.8	5.6	2.8	5.4	—	±3.0 pp	1,000 (3/4)	telephone (rolling)	3.5
Abacus Data	June 23, 2022	[188]	34	30	18	8	5	4	1	±1.8 pp	3,026	online	4
Ipsos	June 20, 2022	[189]	33	32	21	8	2	2	1	±2.5 pp	2,002	online	1
Nanos Research	June 17, 2022	[190]	35.5	30.5	19.2	6.1	2.9	5.1	—	±2.9 pp	1,000	telephone (rolling)	5.0
Mainstreet Research	June 16, 2022	[191]	25.8	34.0	22.8	7.8	3.1	4.5	2.0	±2.8 pp	1,200	online	8.2
Leger	June 12, 2022	[192]	32	30	21	6	4	4	2	±2.5 pp	1,528	online	2
Abacus Data	May 24, 2022	[193]	31	31	19	8	5	5	1	±2.6 pp	1,500	online	0
Nanos Research	May 20, 2022	[190]	32.5	34.4	19.6	6.1	3.3	4.1	—	±2.9 pp	1,000	telephone (rolling)	1.9
EKOS	May 17, 2022	[194]	35.4	29.2	19.9	4.3	4.2	4.5	3	±2.8 pp	1,244	IVR	6.2
EKOS	May 9, 2022	[195]	31.4	31.8	20.3	4.8	4.8	5.2	2	±2.1 pp	2,140	IVR	0.4
Abacus Data	May 6, 2022	[196]	33	31	19	8	5	3	1	±2.6 pp	1,500	online	2
Mainstreet Research	April 29, 2022	[197]	38.4	32.2	16.9	6.7	—	2.8	3.1	±2.7 pp	1,327	IVR	6.2
Nanos Research	April 22, 2022	[198]	35.6	30.0	19.6	5.4	3.4	5.5	—	±2.9 pp	1,000 (1/2)	telephone (rolling)	5.6
Leger	April 10, 2022	[199]	29	31	21	7	6	4	2	±2.5 pp	1,538	online	2
Abacus Data	April 9, 2022	[200]	31	33	18	8	5	4	1	±2.1 pp	2,000	online	2
Nanos Research	April 8, 2022	[201]	33	33	18	—	—	—	—	±3.0 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	0
Nanos Research	April 1, 2022	[201]	31	33	21	—	—	—	—	±3.0 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	2
Abacus Data	March 25, 2022	[202]	33	31	17	7	6	4	1	±2.6 pp	1,500	online	2
Nanos Research	March 25, 2022	[198]	31.3	32.2	21.6	5.9	3.6	4.8	—	±2.9 pp	1,000 (1/2)	telephone (rolling)	0.9
	March 22, 2022	The Liberals and NDP enter into a confidence-and-supply agreement.
Nanos Research	March 11, 2022	[203]	29.3	32.1	22.2	6.4	5.0	4.9	—	±3.0 pp	1,000 (1/2)	telephone (rolling)	2.8
Leger	March 6, 2022	[204]	28	33	22	8	5	3	1	±2.5 pp	1,591	online	5
Nanos Research	February 25, 2022	[205]	32.2	30.3	17.7	—	5.4	6.8	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/2)	telephone (rolling)	1.9
Abacus Data	February 22, 2022	[206]	31	31	20	8	6	3	1	±1.4 pp	5,200	online	0
Ipsos	February 21, 2022	[207]	32	32	23	6	4	3	1	±3.5 pp	1,001	online	0
Mainstreet Research	February 17, 2022	[208]	38.7	30.6	14.6	6.3	6.2	1.9	1.7	±2.7 pp	1,323	IVR	8.1
Nanos Research	February 11, 2022	[209]	31.1	30.6	16.9	7.1	7.1	6.4	—	±3.0 pp	1,000 (1/2)	telephone (rolling)	0.5
Abacus Data	February 8, 2022	[210]	30	33	19	8	6	3	1	±2.6 pp	1,500	online	3
Leger	February 6, 2022	[211]	29	33	21	8	4	4	0	±2.49 pp	1,546	online	4
	February 2, 2022	Erin O'Toole is removed as leader of the Conservative Party. Candice Bergen is named interim leader.
Nanos Research	January 28, 2022	[212]	30.4	29.9	20.7	—	6.7	5.8	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	0.5
Mainstreet Research	January 23, 2022	[213]	29.3	29.4	16.7	5.8	12.7	3.2	2.8	±2.3 pp	1,813	IVR	0.1
Leger	January 23, 2022	[214]	31	34	18	7	6	3	2	±2.51 pp	1,525	online	3
Nanos Research	January 21, 2022	[215]	29.4	28.4	22.3	5.6	—	7.0	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	1.0
EKOS	January 17, 2022	[216]	29.7	30.3	19.5	5.9	9.1	4.5	1	±1.9 pp	2,612	IVR	0.6
Nanos Research	January 14, 2022	[217]	28.5	28.2	24.3	6.1	5.3	6.3	—	±3.0 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	0.3
Angus Reid	January 12, 2022	[218]	29	34	20	5	6	3	2	±2.0 pp	5,002	online	5
Abacus Data	January 12, 2022	[219]	30	32	19	8	7	3	1	±2.089 pp	2,200	online	2
Nanos Research	January 7, 2022	[220]	29.0	30.6	21.4	6.2	5.7	6.1	—	±3.0 pp	1,000	telephone (rolling)	1.6
Discover by Navigator	January 5, 2022	[221]	29	32	22	6	7	4	—	—	2,513	online	3
EKOS	December 21, 2021	[222]	25	32	23	4	10	4	2	±3.1 pp	1,015	IVR	7
Nanos Research	December 10, 2021	[220]	30.4	33.3	19.8	6.2	6.7	7.0	—	±3.0 pp	1,000	telephone (rolling)	2.9
Leger	December 5, 2021	[223]	29	36	19	7	5	3	1	±2.49 pp	1,547	online	7
Mainstreet Research	November 30, 2021	[224]	30.3	33.5	15.7	5.5	10.0	3.2	1.9	±2.36 pp	1,719	IVR	3.2
Abacus Data	November 30, 2021	[225]	30	32	20	8	6	3	1	±2.2 pp	2,025	online	2
Angus Reid	November 29, 2021	[226]	29	35	20	7	5	2	1	±2 pp	2,005	online	6
	November 27, 2021	Amita Kuttner is named interim leader of the Green Party
EKOS	November 21, 2021	[227]	26.6	30.4	19.1	5.9	11.4	5.2	1	±3.1 pp	1,006	IVR	3.8
Leger	November 7, 2021	[228]	26	35	22	8	5	3	2	±2.48 pp	1,565	online	9
Nanos Research	October 29, 2021	[229]	30.1	30.8	21.6	7.4	5.8	3.1	—	±3.1 pp	1,000 (1/4)	telephone (rolling)	0.7
Mainstreet Research	October 24, 2021	[230]	33.3	33.8	15.4	5.5	—	3.0	8.9	±2.4 pp	1,711	IVR	0.5
Nanos Research	October 22, 2021	[231]	30.8	29.9	23.1	7.3	5.3	2.7	—	±3.1 pp	1,000	telephone (rolling)	0.9
Abacus Data	October 20, 2021	[232]	30	33	19	7	6	3	1	±1.9 pp	2,220	online	3
	September 27, 2021	Annamie Paul announces her intention to resign as the leader of the Green Party
2021 election	September 20, 2021	HTML	33.7	32.6	17.8	7.6	4.9	2.3	1.1	—	17,042,591	—	1.1
Polling firm	Last date of polling [lower-alpha 1]	Link							Others	Margin of error [lower-alpha 3]	Sample size [lower-alpha 4]	Polling method [lower-alpha 5]	Lead
			CPC	LPC	NDP	BQ	PPC	GPC

Voting intention with LPC-NDP merger/alliance

Under Justin Trudeau leadership

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	LPC-NDP	CPC	BQ	GPC	PPC	Others	Margin of error [lower-alpha 3]	Sample size [lower-alpha 4]	Polling method [lower-alpha 5]	Lead
Research Co	October 8, 2023	[233]	36	42	8	8	2	—	± 3.1 pp	1,000	online	6
Leger	April 23, 2023	[234]	41	39	8	6	3	—	± 3.1 pp	1,515	online	2

Under Jagmeet Singh leadership

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	LPC-NDP	CPC	BQ	GPC	PPC	Others	Margin of error [lower-alpha 3]	Sample size [lower-alpha 4]	Polling method [lower-alpha 5]	Lead
Research Co	October 8, 2023	[233]	36	43	9	7	2	—	± 3.1 pp	1,000	online	7

Regional polls

A number of polling firms survey federal voting intentions on a regional or provincial level. Note that this section displays results from stand-alone polls, not subsets of national polls.

British Columbia

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	LPC	CPC	NDP	GPC	PPC	Others	Margin of error [lower-alpha 3]	Sample size [lower-alpha 4]	Polling method [lower-alpha 5]	Lead
Mainstreet Research	March 19, 2024	[235]	22.8	49.6	19.4	5.8	—	2.4	± 3 pp	1,063	Smart IVR	26.8
Angus Reid	March 6, 2024	[236]	21	40	29	9	—	2	± 3 pp	809	online	11

Alberta

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	LPC	CPC	NDP	GPC	PPC	Others	Margin of error [lower-alpha 3]	Sample size [lower-alpha 4]	Polling method [lower-alpha 5]	Lead
Leger	March 24, 2024	[237]	14	60	20	3	2	1	± 3.1 pp	1,002	Online	40
Mainstreet Research	May 2, 2023	[238]	18	55	13	1	3	1	± 2.5 pp	1,524	Smart IVR	37
Yorkville Strategies	March 9, 2022	[239]	18	48	20	4	7	3	± 4 pp	600	Phone	28

Manitoba

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	LPC	CPC	NDP	GPC	PPC	Others	Margin of error [lower-alpha 3]	Sample size [lower-alpha 4]	Polling method [lower-alpha 5]	Lead
Probe Research	March 18, 2024	[240]	23	47	26	2	—	1	± 3.1 pp	1,000	IVR + online	21

City of Winnipeg

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	LPC	CPC	NDP	GPC	PPC	Others	Margin of error [lower-alpha 3]	Sample size [lower-alpha 4]	Polling method [lower-alpha 5]	Lead
Probe Research	March 18, 2024	[241]	28	38	31	2	—	1	± 3.1 pp	1,000	IVR + online	7

Rural/Northern Manitoba

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	LPC	CPC	NDP	GPC	PPC	Others	Margin of error [lower-alpha 3]	Sample size [lower-alpha 4]	Polling method [lower-alpha 5]	Lead
Probe Research	March 18, 2024	[242]	16	61	19	2	—	2	± 3.1 pp	1,000	IVR + online	42

Ontario

City of Toronto

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	LPC	CPC	NDP	GPC	PPC	Others	Margin of error [lower-alpha 3]	Sample size [lower-alpha 4]	Polling method [lower-alpha 5]	Lead
Abacus Data	March 6, 2024	[243]	33	41	18	—	—	—	—	958	online	8
Liason Strategies	January 4, 2024	[244]	38	32	22	5	3	—	± 3.39 pp	831	IVR	6
Liason Strategies	October 4, 2023	[245]	40	29	24	4	3	—	± 3.43 pp	817	IVR	11
Abacus Data	February 7, 2023	[246]	44	27	18	6	5	1	± 3.1 pp	1,000	online	17

Peel region

City of Mississauga

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	LPC	CPC	NDP	GPC	PPC	Others	Margin of error [lower-alpha 3]	Sample size [lower-alpha 4]	Polling method [lower-alpha 5]	Lead
Mainstreet Research	February 4, 2024	[247]	39.2	42.8	14.0	2.3	1.6	0.1	± 2.8 pp	1183	IVR	3.6
Liason Strategies	January 11, 2024	[248]	41	36	15	3	5	—	± 3.06 pp	983	IVR	5

City of Brampton

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	LPC	CPC	NDP	GPC	PPC	Others	Margin of error [lower-alpha 3]	Sample size [lower-alpha 4]	Polling method [lower-alpha 5]	Lead
Mainstreet Research	February 4, 2024	[247]	37.4	41.3	15.2	4.0	1.5	0.7	± 2.8 pp	1183	IVR	3.9

Town of Caledon

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	LPC	CPC	NDP	GPC	PPC	Others	Margin of error [lower-alpha 3]	Sample size [lower-alpha 4]	Polling method [lower-alpha 5]	Lead
Mainstreet Research	February 4, 2024	[247]	17.9	49.5	25.4	4.1	3.1	0	± 2.8 pp	1183	IVR	24.1

Quebec

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	LPC	CPC	NDP	BQ	GPC	PPC	Others	Margin of error [lower-alpha 3]	Sample size [lower-alpha 4]	Polling method [lower-alpha 5]	Lead
Leger	March 18, 2024	[249]	27	23	14	30	3	2	1	± 3.05 pp	1,033	Online	3
Leger	February 6, 2024	[250]	28	24	14	29	3	2	1	± 3.05 pp	1032	Online	1
Leger	December 4, 2023	[251]	28	25	10	31	2	2	2	± 3.04 pp	846	Online	3
Pallas	September 27, 2023	[252]	34	25	7	28	3	2	1	± 2.96 pp	1,095	IVR	6
Leger	September 25, 2023	[253]	29	23	13	29	2	1	—	± 3.0 pp	1,046	Online	0
Leger	February 26, 2023	[254]	33	15	13	31	4	2	—	± 3.0 pp	1,044	Online	2
Leger	November 6, 2022	[255]	34	18	12	30	2	2	—	± 3.1 pp	1,028	Online	4

Newfoundland and Labrador

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	LPC	CPC	NDP	GPC	PPC	Others	Margin of error [lower-alpha 3]	Sample size [lower-alpha 4]	Polling method [lower-alpha 5]	Lead
Abacus Data	September 25, 2023	[256]	33	42	23	—	1	1	± 4.5 pp	500	Online	9

Leadership polls

Aside from conducting the usual opinion surveys on general party preferences, polling firms also survey public opinion on which political party leader would make the best prime minister:

November 2022 – present

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	Justin Trudeau	Pierre Poilievre	Jagmeet Singh	Yves-François Blanchet	Elizabeth May	Maxime Bernier	Unsure	Margin of error [lower-alpha 3]	Lead
Nanos Research	April 12, 2024	[1]	19.8	33.9	16.8	5.6	3.7	1.4	18.8	±3 pp	14.1
Research Co.	April 10, 2024	[257]	26	32	17	6	3	1	16	±3.1 pp	6
Nanos Research	April 5, 2024	[5]	21.1	32.0	17.0	5.9	4.9	2.7	16.5	±3 pp	10.9
Nanos Research	March 29, 2024	[6]	21.5	33.4	14.8	6.0	5.3	2.0	17.1	±3 pp	11.9
Leger	March 25, 2024	[7]	17	29	17	—	3	1	15	±2.45 pp	12
Nanos Research	March 22, 2024	[8]	19.7	33.7	16.9	5.2	4.6	1.7	18.2	±3 pp	14.0
Nanos Research	March 15, 2024	[11]	19.9	33.5	16.2	4.6	4.6	1.8	19.4	±3 pp	13.6
Nanos Research	March 8, 2024	[13]	18.8	34.9	17.2	4.5	3.8	2.1	18.6	±3.1 pp	16.1
Angus Reid	March 4, 2024	[15]	17	31	15	—	—	—	10	±2 pp	14
Nanos Research	March 1, 2024	[16]	19.2	36.9	17.0	3.8	2.7	1.7	18.7	±3.1 pp	17.7
Leger	February 25, 2024	[17]	17	27	16	—	4	2	14	±2.49 pp	10
Nanos Research	February 23, 2024	[18]	18.6	36.3	16.9	3.9	3.7	1.6	19.0	±3.1 pp	17.7
Abacus Data	February 21, 2024	[19]	45	55	—	—	—	—	—	±2.1 pp	10
Nanos Research	February 16, 2024	[20]	20.3	35.8	15.0	3.9	3.8	1.9	19.3	±3.1 pp	15.5
Nanos Research	February 9, 2024	[21]	20.8	36.2	14.5	4.0	4.0	1.9	18.6	±3.1 pp	15.4
Nanos Research	February 2, 2024	[23]	20.8	35.1	13.8	4.4	4.3	2.2	19.3	±3.1 pp	14.3
Leger	January 26, 2024	[24]	18	27	16	—	3	2	16	±2.47 pp	9
Nanos Research	January 26, 2024	[26]	22.8	33.4	14.3	4.1	3.3	2.3	19.8	±3.1 pp	10.6
Abacus Data	January 23, 2024	[27]	46	54	—	—	—	—	—	±2.1 pp	8
Ipsos	January 22, 2024	[258]	30	40	24	6	—	—	—	±3.8 pp	10
Nanos Research	January 19, 2024	[29]	22.4	32.3	15.7	4.6	3.4	1.8	19.8	±3.1 pp	9.9
Nanos Research	January 12, 2024	[31]	22.0	31.4	15.6	4.1	4.1	1.6	21.3	±3.1 pp	9.4
Nanos Research	January 5, 2024	[33]	21.2	31.4	16.3	3.8	4.2	1.6	21.6	±3.1 pp	10.2
Nanos Research	December 29, 2023	[34]	21.4	33.0	15.2	3.3	4.5	1.4	21.2	±3.1 pp	11.6
Nanos Research	December 22, 2023	[36]	20.6	34.3	15.4	3.2	4.0	1.8	20.9	±3.1 pp	13.7
Leger	December 17, 2023	[37]	20	25	16	—	3	1	15	±2.43 pp	5
Nanos Research	December 15, 2023	[39]	20.8	33.4	17.4	3.2	4.2	1.9	19.2	±3.1 pp	12.6
Nanos Research	December 8, 2023	[42]	20.9	32.8	16.2	3.5	4.3	1.8	20.5	±3.1 pp	11.9
Innovative Research	December 5, 2023	[43]	23	41	21	6	5	4	—	—	18
Angus Reid	December 1, 2023	[259]	16	34	13	—	—	—	10	±1.5 pp	18
Nanos Research	December 1, 2023	[45]	19.1	33.4	16.8	3.9	4.8	1.9	20.1	±3.1 pp	14.3
Research Co.	November 27, 2023	[47]	23	32	18	4	4	2	18	±3.1 pp	9
Leger	November 26, 2023	[49]	19	25	17	—	3	2	16	±2.51 pp	6
Nanos Research	November 24, 2023	[50]	19.0	34.1	16.2	3.6	5.7	1.7	19.7	±3.1 pp	15.1
Nanos Research	November 17, 2023	[260]	19.2	33.1	15.5	4.0	5.0	2.0	21.2	±3.1 pp	13.9
Leger	November 12, 2023	[261]	17	27	16	—	2	2	18	±2.44 pp	10
Nanos Research	November 10, 2023	[262]	21.2	33.7	16.1	3.8	5.4	1.7	18.0	±3.1 pp	12.6
Nanos Research	November 3, 2023	[263]	22.7	34.1	16.0	3.7	4.5	1.8	17.2	±3.1 pp	11.4
Innovative Research	October 31, 2023	[60]	24	39	23	5	4	5	—	—	15
Leger	October 29, 2023	[61]	18	29	15	—	4	2	17	±2.4 pp	11
Nanos Research	October 27, 2023	[62]	23.3	31.5	17.8	3.5	4.6	2.1	17.2	±3.1 pp	8.2
Nanos Research	October 20, 2023	[264]	23.0	32.6	16.8	2.9	5.1	2.2	17.4	±3.1 pp	9.6
Angus Reid	October 13, 2023	[65]	16	30	15	—	—	—	11	±2 pp	14
Nanos Research	October 13, 2023	[265]	23.3	32.9	15.2	3.2	4.7	2.5	18.3	±3.1 pp	9.6
Nanos Research	October 6, 2023	[266]	23.5	32.1	15.0	3.4	4.7	2.3	19.0	±3.1 pp	8.6
Nanos Research	September 29, 2023	[71]	23.0	32.1	15.6	3.7	4.2	2.0	19.4	±3.1 pp	9.1
Leger	September 24, 2023	[72]	20	26	14	—	2	2	17	±2.4 pp	6
Nanos Research	September 22, 2023	[74]	23.9	31.3	16.5	3.7	3.9	2.2	18.6	±3.1 pp	7.4
Ipsos	September 18, 2023	[267]	31	40	22	6	—	—	—	±2.9 pp	9
Nanos Research	September 15, 2023	[76]	24.6	30.7	16.7	3.2	4.1	2.1	18.7	±3.1 pp	6.1
Nanos Research	September 8, 2023	[79]	25.4	28.9	16.9	3.2	4.3	2.9	18.4	±3.1 pp	3.5
Angus Reid	September 6, 2023	[80]	17	32	15	—	—	—	11	±1.5 pp	15
Research Co.	September 4, 2023	[81]	28	28	17	4	3	1	20	±3.1 pp	0
Nanos Research	September 1, 2023	[268]	27.7	27.2	15.9	3.5	4.6	2.6	18.6	±3.1 pp	0.5
Nanos Research	August 25, 2023	[269]	27.5	27.5	16.1	3.9	5.1	2.4	17.6	±3.1 pp	0
Nanos Research	August 18, 2023	[88]	28.2	27.5	16.9	4.3	4.5	2.1	15.9	±3.1 pp	0.7
Nanos Research	August 11, 2023	[270]	28.0	27.8	16.3	4.1	5.0	1.5	17.3	±3.1 pp	0.2
Nanos Research	August 4, 2023	[271]	27.9	28.6	16.0	4.2	4.3	1.8	17.3	±3.1 pp	0.7
Nanos Research	July 28, 2023	[272]	25.9	28.4	15.3	4.4	4.0	2.5	19.5	±3.1 pp	2.5
Nanos Research	July 21, 2023	[273]	25.8	26.7	16.5	4.3	4.1	3.2	19.5	±3.1 pp	0.9
Nanos Research	July 14, 2023	[274]	26.3	28.2	16.9	3.6	3.7	2.9	18.3	±3.1 pp	1.9
Nanos Research	July 7, 2023	[275]	25.8	29.1	17.5	3.4	3.5	2.7	18.0	±3.1 pp	3.3
Nanos Research	June 30, 2023	[276]	27.2	28.4	17.8	3.4	3.4	2.4	17.3	±3.1 pp	1.2
Nanos Research	June 23, 2023	[277]	27.3	28.0	16.6	3.7	3.4	2.8	18.0	±3.1 pp	0.7
Nanos Research	June 16, 2023	[278]	27.1	27.5	17.9	3.5	3.0	2.4	18.5	±3.1 pp	0.4
Nanos Research	June 9, 2023	[279]	27.6	25.8	18.5	3.8	3.1	2.6	18.7	±3.1 pp	1.8
Nanos Research	June 2, 2023	[280]	26.8	26.6	19.1	3.7	2.5	2.4	18.9	±3.1 pp	0.2
Nanos Research	May 26, 2023	[281]	25.9	26.6	20.1	3.9	2.5	2.2	19.0	±3.1 pp	0.7
Nanos Research	May 19, 2023	[282]	25.9	27.3	19.1	4.2	2.9	2.2	18.4	±3.1 pp	1.4
Nanos Research	May 12, 2023	[283]	24.3	28.6	18.7	4.0	3.4	2.6	18.3	±3.1 pp	4.3
Leger	May 8, 2023	[284]	24	19	16	—	3	2	—	±2.51 pp	5
Nanos Research	May 5, 2023	[118]	23.9	28.3	18.8	4.5	3.4	2.8	18.3	±3.1 pp	4.4
Nanos Research	April 28, 2023	[285]	25.6	28.1	18.1	4.4	3.3	2.8	18.1	±3.1 pp	2.5
Nanos Research	April 21, 2023	[286]	25.3	27.5	18.4	3.8	3.4	2.5	19.1	±3.1 pp	2.2
Nanos Research	April 14, 2023	[287]	25.9	26.9	18.1	3.7	3.3	2.2	19.8	±3.1 pp	1.0
Leger	April 11, 2023	[288]	23	21	17	—	3	3	—	±2.52 pp	2
Nanos Research	April 7, 2023	[289]	26.2	28.4	16.0	4.0	3.5	2.8	18.9	±3.1 pp	2.2
Nanos Research	March 31, 2023	[290]	25.3	29.4	15.5	4.2	3.7	3.4	18.6	±3.1 pp	4.1
Nanos Research	March 24, 2023	[291]	25.9	28.7	16.1	4.4	3.8	3.9	17.2	±3.1 pp	2.8
Nanos Research	March 17, 2023	[292]	25.6	29.6	15.1	5.3	4.2	3.9	16.3	±3.1 pp	4.0
Leger	March 12, 2023	[133]	24	19	18	—	2	2	—	±2.49 pp	5
Nanos Research	March 10, 2023	[293]	27.5	27.3	15.8	5.5	3.9	3.3	16.6	±3.1 pp	0.2
Nanos Research	March 3, 2023	[294]	28.4	27	16.2	4.9	4.3	2.6	17.1	±3.1 pp	1.4
Research Co.	February 27, 2023	[139]	33	25	15	3	3	1	20	±3.1 pp	8
Nanos Research	February 24, 2023	[295]	31.4	26.7	14.2	5.0	4.5	2.2	16.1	±3.1 pp	4.7
Nanos Research	February 17, 2023	[296]	32.3	26.1	16.1	3.8	2.9	2.1	16.8	±3.1 pp	6.2
Leger	February 12, 2023	[142]	24	21	17	—	3	2	—	±2.5 pp	3
Nanos Research	February 10, 2023	[143]	32.8	25.8	15.8	3.6	3.5	2.0	16.3	±3.1 pp	7.0
Nanos Research	February 3, 2023	[297]	31.9	26.3	14.6	4.2	4.1	1.8	17.2	±3.1 pp	5.6
Nanos Research	January 27, 2023	[298]	30.4	26.3	16.1	4.5	3.8	1.9	17.0	±3.1 pp	4.1
Nanos Research	January 20, 2023	[299]	30.2	27.1	15.2	4.7	3.9	2	16.8	±3.1 pp	3.1
Nanos Research	January 13, 2023	[151]	30	27.5	16.2	4.2	4.2	2	15.9	±3.1 pp	2.5
Nanos Research	January 6, 2023	[300]	30.6	26.6	17.5	3.9	4.1	2.4	14.8	±3.1 pp	4
Nanos Research	December 30, 2022	[301]	30.5	27.4	16.8	3.5	3.8	2.2	15.9	±3.1 pp	3.1
Nanos Research	December 23, 2022	[302]	30	27	17.6	3.8	3.6	1.8	16.0	±3.1 pp	3
Nanos Research	December 16, 2022	[303]	29	27	17.3	4.4	3.6	1.8	16.8	±3.1 pp	2
Nanos Research	December 9, 2022	[304]	27.9	27.8	16.4	3.3	2.9	2.6	19.2	±3.1 pp	0.1
Nanos Research	December 2, 2022	[305]	29.2	25.8	18.2	2.8	2.7	2	19.3	±3.1 pp	3.4
Nanos Research	November 25, 2022	[306]	29.4	25.8	18.4	3.6	2.1	2.5	18.3	±3.1 pp	3.6

September 2022 – November 2022

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	Justin Trudeau	Pierre Poilievre	Jagmeet Singh	Yves-François Blanchet	Amita Kuttner	Maxime Bernier	Unsure	Margin of error [lower-alpha 3]	Lead
Nanos Research	November 18, 2022	[307]	30.5	26.1	18.4	3.6	1.5	2.0	18.0	±3.1 pp	4.4
Nanos Research	November 11, 2022	[308]	31.0	27.3	18.0	4.1	1.6	1.4	16.6	±3.1 pp	3.7
Nanos Research	November 4, 2022	[309]	31.5	28.0	16.5	4.6	1.5	2.1	15.7	±3.1 pp	3.5
Nanos Research	October 28, 2022	[310]	30.7	28.9	15.1	4.8	1.6	3.0	15.9	±3.1 pp	1.8
Research Co.	October 26, 2022	[167]	30	24	17	4	1	2	21	±3.1 pp	4
Nanos Research	October 21, 2022	[311]	29.5	30.0	16.2	5.2	1.2	3.0	15.0	±3.1 pp	0.5
Nanos Research	October 14, 2022	[312]	29.8	30.0	14.9	3.7	0.7	2.7	18.1	±3.1 pp	0.2
Nanos Research	October 7, 2022	[313]	29.0	27.0	19.4	3.2	1.1	2.6	17.7	±3.1 pp	2.0
Nanos Research	September 30, 2022	[314]	28.2	24.8	20.8	2.9	1.1	2.6	19.6	±3.1 pp	3.4
Nanos Research	September 23, 2022	[315]	29.2	20.9	19.6	2.5	1.6	3.2	22.9	±3.1 pp	8.3
Ipsos	September 20, 2022	[316]	31	35	26	8	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	4
Leger	September 18, 2022	[177]	24	21	17	N/A	1	3	N/A	N/A	3
Nanos Research	September 16, 2022	[317]	27.4	18.4	20.9	2.9	1.6	3.1	25.8	±3.0 pp	6.5

February 2022 – September 2022

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	Justin Trudeau	Candice Bergen	Jagmeet Singh	Yves-François Blanchet	Amita Kuttner	Maxime Bernier	Unsure	Margin of error [lower-alpha 3]	Lead
Nanos Research	September 9, 2022	[318]	29.6	19.3	17.4	3.3	1.4	3.2	25.8	±3.0 pp	10.3
Nanos Research	September 2, 2022	[319]	31.1	18.8	16.9	3.1	1.4	3.3	25.4	±2.9 pp	12.3
Nanos Research	August 26, 2022	[320]	31.1	18.1	17.0	3.5	1.6	3.2	25.6	±2.9 pp	13.0
Nanos Research	August 19, 2022	[321]	30.1	19.2	17.1	3.6	2.2	3.4	24.4	±2.9 pp	10.9
Nanos Research	August 12, 2022	[322]	28.7	17.8	18.1	2.9	2.5	3.5	26.6	±2.9 pp	10.6
Nanos Research	August 5, 2022	[323]	26.7	18.2	19.0	3.6	3.0	3.3	26.2	±3.0 pp	7.7
Nanos Research	July 29, 2022	[324]	27.8	17.6	18.9	3.6	2.5	2.7	26.9	±3.0 pp	8.9
Nanos Research	July 22, 2022	[325]	27.3	16.6	18.8	3.7	2.3	2.7	28.7	±3.0 pp	8.5
Nanos Research	July 15, 2022	[326]	28.1	17.7	18.9	4.0	2.3	2.6	26.4	±3.0 pp	9.2
Nanos Research	July 8, 2022	[327]	29.9	18.1	17.5	3.2	2.1	2.4	26.5	±3.0 pp	11.8
Nanos Research	July 1, 2022	[328]	30.1	19.5	17.2	3.0	1.6	2.7	25.4	±3.0 pp	10.6
Nanos Research	June 24, 2022	[329]	31.0	18.5	16.9	2.9	1.7	3.8	25.3	±3.0 pp	12.5
Nanos Research	June 17, 2022	[330]	29.8	18.2	16.9	2.9	1.8	4.6	25.8	±3.0 pp	11.6
Nanos Research	June 10, 2022	[331]	29.8	19.3	16.0	3.7	2.1	4.8	24.3	±3.1 pp	10.5
Nanos Research	June 3, 2022	[332]	28.8	19.9	16.2	4.4	1.6	4.7	24.5	±3.0 pp	8.9
Nanos Research	May 27, 2022	[333]	30.7	20.6	16.5	4.5	1.6	3.9	22.2	±3.0 pp	10.1
Nanos Research	May 20, 2022	[334]	31.1	20.5	16.6	4.8	1.7	3.5	21.7	±3.0 pp	10.6
Nanos Research	May 13, 2022	[335]	31.9	20.3	17.4	4.4	1.5	2.8	21.7	±3.1 pp	11.6
Nanos Research	May 6, 2022	[336]	30.8	20.3	18.5	3.7	1.5	2.6	22.6	±3.1 pp	10.5
Nanos Research	April 29, 2022	[337]	29.7	21.5	16.8	4.4	1.6	3.2	22.9	±3.1 pp	8.2
Nanos Research	April 22, 2022	[338]	29.7	20.4	17.3	4.7	1.1	3.4	23.3	±3.1 pp	9.3
Nanos Research	April 15, 2022	[339]	29.7	19.1	17.4	4.9	1.4	4.2	23.2	±3.1 pp	10.6
Nanos Research	April 8, 2022	[340]	31.8	18.5	17.1	4.2	1.9	5.2	21.3	±3.1 pp	13.3
Nanos Research	April 1, 2022	[341]	30.0	16.9	19.0	4.1	1.8	4.8	23.3	±3.1 pp	11.0
Nanos Research	March 25, 2022	[342]	30.4	17.1	19.5	3.3	1.9	4.5	23.2	±3.1 pp	10.9
Nanos Research	March 18, 2022	[343]	30.0	18.5	19.3	3.1	1.2	4.7	23.2	±3.1 pp	10.7
Nanos Research	March 11, 2022	[344]	31.0	17.2	19.1	3.5	1.1	5.6	22.4	±3.1 pp	11.9
Nanos Research	March 4, 2022	[345]	30.6	18.0	17.5	3.2	1.1	6.1	23.4	±3.1 pp	12.6
Nanos Research	February 25, 2022	[346]	29.9	19.2	17.1	3.3	1.2	7.3	22.0	±3.1 pp	10.7
Nanos Research	February 18, 2022	[347]	28.6	19.2	16.7	3.4	1.5	8.0	22.5	±3.1 pp	9.4

Government approval polls

Polling firm	Last date of polling [lower-alpha 1]	Link	Approve	Disapprove	Unsure/ Neither	Margin of error [lower-alpha 3]	Sample size [lower-alpha 4]	Polling method [lower-alpha 5]	Net approval
Abacus Data	April 9, 2024	[3]	26%	60%	—	±2.1 pp	2,000	Online	–34%
Leger	March 25, 2024	[7]	28%	66%	4%	±2.45 pp	1,605	Online	–38%
Abacus Data	March 21, 2024	[9]	26%	59%	—	±1.7 pp	3,550	Online	–33%
Abacus Data	March 6, 2024	[14]	26%	58%	—	±2.5 pp	1,500	Online	–32%
Leger	February 25, 2024	[17]	29%	66%	4%	±2.49 pp	1,590	Online	–37%
Abacus Data	February 21, 2024	[19]	24%	59%	18%	±2.0 pp	2,125	Online	–35%
Abacus Data	February 7, 2024	[22]	24%	59%	17%	±2.0 pp	2,398	Online	–35%
Leger	January 28, 2024	[24]	30%	63%	5%	±2.47 pp	1,579	Online	–33%
Abacus Data	January 23, 2024	[27]	28%	58%	14%	±2.1 pp	2,199	Online	–30%
Abacus Data	January 9, 2024	[32]	26%	58%	16%	±2.6 pp	1,500	Online	–32%
Leger	December 17, 2023	[37]	33%	61%	5%	±2.43 pp	1,622	Online	–28%
Abacus Data	December 12, 2023	[348]	28%	56%	16%	±2.3 pp	1,919	Online	–28%
Abacus Data	November 28, 2023	[349]	27%	57%	16%	±2.0 pp	2,417	Online	–30%
Leger	November 26, 2023	[49]	29%	64%	6%	±2.51 pp	1,529	Online	–35%
Leger	November 12, 2023	[350]	30%	63%	7%	±2.44 pp	1,612	Online	–33%
Abacus Data	November 12, 2023	[351]	26%	58%	16%	±2.3 pp	2,000	Online	–32%
Leger	October 29, 2023	[61]	30%	63%	5%	±2.4 pp	1,632	Online	–33%
Leger	September 27, 2023	[72]	33%	60%	5%	±2.4 pp	1,652	Online	–27%
Abacus Data	September 12, 2023	[77]	29%	57%	14%	±2.1 pp	2,125	Online	–28%
Abacus Data	September 4, 2023	[82]	31%	53%	16%	±1.7 pp	3,595	Online	–22%
Abacus Data	August 7, 2023	[352]	31%	54%	15%	±2.0 pp	1,650	Online	–23%
Abacus Data	July 25, 2023	[95]	32%	51%	17%	±2.0 pp	2,486	Online	–19%
Abacus Data	May 3, 2023	[119]	34%	49%	17%	±2.4 pp	1,750	Online	–15%
Abacus Data	March 21, 2023	[129]	33%	49%	18%	±2.3 pp	1,963	Online	–16%
Abacus Data	March 4, 2023	[137]	35%	49%	16%	±2.0 pp	2,600	Online	–14%
Abacus Data	February 18, 2023	[140]	34%	48%	18%	±1.6 pp	4,000	Online	–14%
Abacus Data	January 30, 2023	[145]	34%	49%	17%	±2.6 pp	1,500	Online	–15%
Abacus Data	January 16, 2023	[150]	34%	47%	19%	±2.2 pp	2,099	Online	–13%
Abacus Data	October 26, 2022	[168]	35%	47%	18%	±2.1 pp	1,500	Online	–12%
Ipsos	September 21, 2022	[176]	42%	58%	—	±3.5 pp	1,000	Online	–16%
Abacus Data	September 14, 2022	[184]	37%	49%	14%	±2.2 pp	1,990	Online	–12%
Abacus Data	August 30, 2022	[184]	36%	49%	15%	±2.6 pp	1,500	Online	–13%
Abacus Data	July 27, 2022	[184]	34%	51%	15%	±2.0 pp	2,400	Online	–17%
Abacus Data	July 17, 2022	[186]	38%	46%	16%	±2.6 pp	1,500	Online	–8%
Abacus Data	June 23, 2022	[186]	38%	45%	17%	±1.8 pp	3,026	Online	–7%
Abacus Data	May 24, 2022	[193]	40%	43%	17%	±2.6 pp	1,500	Online	–3%
Abacus Data	May 6, 2022	[196]	41%	42%	17%	±2.6 pp	1,500	Online	–1%
Abacus Data	April 9, 2022	[200]	41%	44%	15%	±2.1 pp	2,000	Online	–3%
Abacus Data	March 25, 2022	[202]	40%	42%	18%	±2.6 pp	1,500	Online	–2%
Abacus Data	February 22, 2022	[206]	39%	46%	15%	±1.4 pp	5,200	Online	–7%
Abacus Data	February 8, 2022	[210]	38%	45%	16%	±2.6 pp	1,500	Online	–7%
Ipsos	January 17, 2022	[353]	49%	51%	—	±3.5 pp	1,001	Online	–2%
Abacus Data	January 12, 2022	[219]	44%	40%	16%	±2.1 pp	2,200	Online	+4%
Abacus Data	November 30, 2021	[225]	41%	44%	15%	±2.2 pp	2,025	Online	–3%
Ipsos	November 15, 2021	[354]	48%	52%	—	±3.5 pp	1,001	Online	–4%
Abacus Data	October 20, 2021	[232]	42%	43%	16%	±1.9 pp	2,200	Online	–1%

See also

• Opinion polling for the 45th Canadian federal election by constituency

Notes

1. Polls that share the same last date of polling are ordered from earliest (below) to latest (above) first date of polling. Polls that have identical field dates are placed in the order in which they were released/published (earliest below, latest above).
2. Support for other parties may include the People's Party of Canada depending on the poll.
3. In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the former is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls (because of their opt-in method of recruiting panelists which results in a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.
4. Refers to the total, "raw" sample size, including undecided and non-voters, and before demographic weighting is applied. Fractions in parentheses apply to rolling polls (see below) and indicate the proportion of the sample that is independent from the previous poll in the series.
5. "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey. "Rolling" polls contain overlapping data from one poll to the next.

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