45th Canadian federal election

Last updated

45th Canadian federal election
Flag of Canada (Pantone).svg
  2021 On or before October 20, 2025 (2025 -10-20)46th 

343 seats in the House of Commons
172 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Justin Trudeau in May 2023.jpg
Pierre Poilievre in 2023 (edited).jpg
Yves-Francois Blanchet Entrevue no smile 2023 (cropped-2).png
Leader Justin Trudeau Pierre Poilievre Yves-François Blanchet
Party Liberal Conservative Bloc Québécois
Leader since April 14, 2013 September 10, 2022 January 17, 2019
Leader's seat Papineau Carleton Beloeil—Chambly
Last election160 [lower-alpha 1] seats, 32.62%119 seats, 33.74%32 seats, 7.64%
Current seats15611832
Seats neededIncrease2.svg 16Increase2.svg 54N/A [lower-alpha 2]

 
Jagmeet Singh in Brantford 2022 2 (cropped3).jpg
Elizabeth May 4431 (37439753570) (cropped).jpg
Maxime Bernier portrait 2023.png
Leader Jagmeet Singh Elizabeth May Maxime Bernier
Party New Democratic Green People's
Leader since October 1, 2017 November 19, 2022 September 14, 2018
Leader's seat Burnaby South Saanich—Gulf Islands N/A [lower-alpha 3]
Last election25 seats, 17.82%2 seats, 2.33%0 seats, 4.94%
Current seats2420
Seats neededIncrease2.svg 148Increase2.svg 170Increase2.svg 172

Incumbent Prime Minister

Justin Trudeau
Liberal



The 45th Canadian federal election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. The date of the vote is determined by the fixed-date provisions of the Canada Elections Act , which requires federal elections to be held on the third Monday in October in the fourth calendar year after the polling day of the previous election, though a current government bill proposes to postpone the date to October 27, 2025 to avoid conflicting with Diwali. [1] In addition to the statutory fixed election date provisions, Canada has a constitutional requirement specified in both section 50 of the Constitution Act, 1867 and section 4 of the Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms that elections for the House of Commons must be held no more than five years after the preceding election.

Contents

The election may occur before the scheduled date if the governor general dissolves Parliament on the recommendation of the prime minister for a snap election, for example after the House of Commons passes a motion of no confidence in the government. Early elections are more likely to occur during minority governments because the prime minister does not control a majority in the House of Commons. [2] [3] [4]

This will be the first election to use a new 343-seat electoral map based on the 2021 Canadian census. New electoral boundaries for each of the ten provinces were finalized between February 14 and July 8, 2023, [5] [6] [7] and officially proclaimed on September 22, 2023. [8] The previous 338-seat electoral map would have been reused had the election been called before April 22, 2024. [9] [8] [10]

Background

The 2021 Canadian federal election, held on September 20 that year, saw little change from the preceding 2019 election. [11] The incumbent Liberal Party, led by Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, failed to win a parliamentary majority or the popular vote, but remained the party with the most seats and remained in office as a minority government. The Conservatives won the popular vote and continued as the Official Opposition. [12] [lower-alpha 4] On September 27, Annamie Paul resigned as the Green Party leader, [13] which came into effect on November 10. [14]

Date of the election

The date of the election is determined by the fixed-date provisions of the Canada Elections Act , which requires federal elections to be held on the third Monday in October in the fourth calendar year after the polling day of the previous election. [15] However, a government bill currently under consideration by the House of Commons would change the fixed election date to October 27, 2025 to avoid conflicting with the Hindu festival of Diwali. [1] Moving the election date to October 27, 2025 would also allow 74 members of parliament to qualify for a pension that they would not receive if they fail to achieve reelection, though the government denies this motivated the change. [16]

Political parties and standings

The table below lists parties represented in the House of Commons after the 2021 federal election and their current standings. Kevin Vuong was elected as a Liberal, having been disavowed by the party too late to alter his affiliation on the ballot, and sits as an independent. [17]

NameIdeologyPositionLeader2021 resultCurrent standing
Votes (%)Seats
Liberal Liberalism
Social liberalism
Centre to centre-left Justin Trudeau
32.62%
160 / 338
156 / 338
Conservative Conservatism
Economic liberalism
Fiscal conservatism
Centre-right to right-wing Pierre Poilievre
33.74%
119 / 338
118 / 338
Bloc Québécois Quebec nationalism
Quebec sovereigntist
Social democracy
Centre-left Yves-François Blanchet
7.64%
32 / 338
32 / 338
New Democratic Social democracy (majority)
Democratic socialism (minority)
Centre-left (majority)
Left-wing (minority)
Jagmeet Singh
17.82%
25 / 338
24 / 338
Green Green politics Elizabeth May
2.33%
2 / 338
2 / 338
Independents N/A
0.19%
0 / 338
3 / 338
VacantN/A
3 / 338

Electoral system

Redistribution

The Constitution Act, 1867 , requires that federal electoral districts undergo a redistribution following each decennial Canadian census. [18] Using the 2021 Canadian census population results, the 2022 redistribution began in October 2021, and was completed in September 2023. [19]

On October 15, 2021, the chief electoral officer announced that based on the formula in the Constitution Act, 1867 as then in force, the allocation would result in an increase to 342 seats. [20] This included a reduction of Quebec’s allocation from 78 to 77 seats. The government tabled legislation on March 24, 2022, to prevent Quebec (or any other province) from losing any seats relative to the number of seats it was apportioned in 2012 redistribution. [21] [22] The Preserving Provincial Representation in the House of Commons Act amended rule 2 of subsection 51(1) of the Constitution Act, 1867, commonly known as the "Grandfather Clause". [23] [24] The bill passed the House of Commons on June 15, [25] the Senate on June 21, [26] and received royal assent on June 23, 2022. [27] The chief electoral officer announced the new allocation of seats on July 8, 2022, which would result in an increase to 343 seats. [28]

Pursuant to the Electoral Boundaries Readjustment Act as amended, ten federal electoral boundary commissions were established, one for each province, on November 1, 2021. [29] The boundary-drawing process commenced upon the release of census data in February 2022. Quebec’s commission adjusted its work to be based on a 78-seat allocation in July 2022. The respective commissions completed their work and finalized new electoral boundary sets on a rolling basis, beginning with the Newfoundland and Labrador and Prince Edward Island commissions on February 14, 2023, [5] [6] and finishing with the Ontario commission on July 8, 2023. [7] The chief electoral officer then used the final reports of the electoral boundary commissions to formalize a representation order, which was proclaimed on September 22, 2023. [8]

The changes to federal electoral district boundaries took effect on April 22, 2024. [9] [20] [8] If the election had been called before then, it would have occurred under the previous electoral district boundaries, which had been in effect since the 2015 federal election. [30] [31]

Allocation of seats in the House of Commons under the Preserving Provincial Representation in the House of Commons Act
Province or territoryRepresentation ordersAverage population
per electoral district
Change
2013 2023
Ontario 121122116,5901 Increase2.svg
Quebec 7878108,998Steady2.svg
British Columbia 4243116,3001 Increase2.svg
Alberta 3437115,2063 Increase2.svg
Manitoba 141495,868Steady2.svg
Saskatchewan 141480,893Steady2.svg
Nova Scotia 111188,126Steady2.svg
New Brunswick 101077,561Steady2.svg
Newfoundland and Labrador 7772,935Steady2.svg
Prince Edward Island 4438,583Steady2.svg
Northwest Territories 1141,070Steady2.svg
Nunavut 1136,858Steady2.svg
Yukon 1140,232Steady2.svg
Canada338343107,8485Increase2.svg

Effect of 2023 Representation Orders

In September 2023, the new ridings were proclaimed to come into effect for the next election happening after April 22, 2024. [32] As required by the Canada Elections Act , Elections Canada undertook a transposition of votes from the 2021 election results to the new ridings. [33] The changes brought about by the Representation Orders had the following effect:

Transposition of results by riding — 2023 Representation Orders [a 1]
RidingWinning partyTurnout
[a 2]
Votes [a 3]
1st placeVotesShareMargin
#
Margin
%
2nd place3rd place Lib Con NDP BQ Green PPC IndOtherTotal
 
NL Avalon Lib17,91650.88%6,28017.83%ConNDP52.89%17,91611,6365,01964335,214
NL Cape Spear Lib19,46754.72%11,24031.60%NDPCon52.31%19,4677,2508,22763135,575
NL Central Newfoundland Con14,92746.89%2810.88%LibNDP51.12%14,64614,9272,26131,834
NL Labrador Lib4,11942.67%1,18912.32%ConNDP48.16%4,1192,9302,2973079,653
NL Long Range Mountains Lib16,17844.39%1,8345.03%ConNDP52.57%16,17814,3444,3471,57836,447
NL St. John's East Lib16,74145.14%3,82110.30%NDPCon57.46%16,7416,70912,92071837,088
NL Terra Nova—The Peninsulas Lib15,17347.26%2,1876.81%ConNDP51.58%15,17312,9862,6731,27232,104
PE Cardigan Lib10,95550.57%4,25819.65%ConNDP72.09%10,9556,6972,1171,04271114321,665
PE Charlottetown Lib8,91946.70%2,98715.64%ConNDP70.47%8,9195,9322,0481,83236919,100
PE Egmont Lib9,50645.94%3,08414.90%ConGrn69.30%9,5066,4221,7901,9481,02620,692
PE Malpeque Lib9,66742.02%2,0458.89%ConGrn74.68%9,6677,6221,8473,226642223,006
NS Acadie—Annapolis Con20,63451.31%8,29220.62%LibNDP62.68%12,34220,6345,1042,13340,213
NS Cape Breton—Canso—Antigonish Lib19,25945.43%4,37710.33%ConNDP67.31%19,25914,8826,2522061,6761310342,391
NS Central Nova Lib18,03144.30%4,66111.45%ConNDP63.71%18,03113,3706,5726201,62435213240,701
NS Cumberland—Colchester Con18,60146.02%4,77911.82%LibNDP60.05%13,82218,6014,9841,0451,68727840,417
NS Dartmouth—Cole Harbour Lib25,82351.50%9,29418.54%NDPPPC61.34%25,8231,44116,5291,4574,88750,137
NS Halifax Lib20,08742.24%9271.95%NDPCon66.29%20,0876,06219,1601,0521,00319247,556
NS Halifax West Lib21,75847.55%9,86321.56%NDPCon64.29%21,7589,85811,8951,1211,0546845,754
NS Kings—Hants Lib21,58244.39%6,87814.15%ConNDP62.23%21,58214,7049,1869402,20248,614
NS Sackville—Bedford—Preston Lib22,19944.65%9,77519.66%ConNDP64.39%22,19912,42412,3171,0191,7322349,714
NS South Shore—St. Margarets Con18,04443.39%3,2507.82%LibNDP62.15%14,79418,0447,5681,17641,582
NS Sydney—Glace Bay Lib17,53941.93%3,2457.76%ConNDP61.55%17,53914,2948,2652671,3679541,827
NB Acadie—Bathurst Lib28,72464.96%22,60051.11%ConNDP64.81%28,7246,1244,9751,2492,59454944,215
NB Beauséjour Lib27,27555.54%17,73736.11%ConNDP67.54%27,2759,5385,3902,7973,72339049,113
NB Fredericton—Oromocto Lib16,01237.79%1,3883.28%ConNDP65.91%16,01214,6245,5085,46114427635042,375
NB Fundy Royal Con18,12046.33%8,11220.74%LibNDP65.97%10,00818,1205,6721,9563,35739,113
NB Madawaska—Restigouche Lib18,78451.99%8,75224.22%ConPPC61.94%18,78410,0322,2279812,7241051,27736,130
NB Miramichi—Grand Lake Con15,34545.46%2,8558.46%LibNDP67.34%12,49015,3452,4941,5821,815151433,755
NB Moncton—Dieppe Lib20,34750.03%11,15827.44%ConNDP61.09%20,3479,1896,8341,7332,563140,667
NB Saint John—Kennebecasis Lib16,08242.60%2,3456.21%ConNDP60.57%16,08213,7374,9751,1061,85137,751
NB Saint John—St. Croix Con20,01747.00%8,06218.93%LibNDP65.38%11,95520,0175,5751,7233,255372842,590
NB Tobique—Mactaquac Con16,95452.83%9,68530.18%LibNDP62.77%7,26916,9543,7021,5742,32027532,094
QC Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou BQ10,78437.92%3,40011.96%LibCon44.69%7,3844,5083,32310,7844421,07292328,436
QC Abitibi—Témiscamingue BQ23,12050.61%12,10726.50%LibCon56.44%11,0135,3392,79423,1207481,5381,13345,685
QC Ahuntsic-Cartierville Lib25,15051.91%14,18829.28%BQNDP64.70%25,1503,9565,67810,9621,4491,25648,451
QC Alfred-Pellan Lib26,94647.71%11,93321.13%BQCon66.22%26,9467,4974,41915,0139401921,46756,474
QC Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation Lib20,47639.16%3,3236.36%BQCon60.31%20,4767,0473,73017,1531983,01666552,285
QC Beauce Con27,51448.29%17,15230.10%PPCBQ66.63%7,01827,5141,6548,64448610,3621,30256,980
QC Beauharnois—Salaberry—Soulanges—Huntingdon BQ29,13048.32%12,67221.02%LibCon62.75%16,4587,1414,47429,1301171,99496960,283
QC Beauport—Limoilou BQ18,01731.06%3030.52%ConLib65.41%14,29517,7145,63318,0171,1831934393258,010
QC Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel—Alnôbak BQ27,40354.80%18,95237.90%LibCon63.40%8,4518,4042,55027,4037701,2141,21550,007
QC Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis Con30,34152.00%17,06129.24%BQLib66.47%9,07030,3412,86913,2808402851,66058,345
QC Beloeil—Chambly BQ32,16153.53%18,08230.10%LibNDP69.17%14,0795,0415,11732,1611,1991,2121,26860,077
QC Berthier—Maskinongé BQ20,39235.93%1,8423.25%NDPLib64.87%8,7406,19518,55020,3925481,49682656,747
QC Bourassa Lib22,30360.39%15,39641.69%BQNDP56.41%22,3032,5872,9566,9076791,34915136,932
QC Brome—Missisquoi Lib21,48834.96%1970.32%BQCon66.07%21,4889,9613,82821,2911,4661,9821451,31061,471
QC Brossard—Saint-Lambert Lib28,32654.10%17,88534.16%BQCon63.88%28,3266,2765,44210,4411,28858352,356
QC Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles Con26,75945.02%12,11720.39%BQLib68.39%11,68126,7593,51614,6429941,31053159,433
QC Châteauguay—Les Jardins-de-Napierville BQ19,73036.59%450.08%LibCon62.59%19,6856,5594,21519,7308012,03489653,920
QC Chicoutimi—Le Fjord Con19,17540.37%2,9946.30%BQLib64.65%8,65319,1752,23416,1815576494447,493
QC Compton—Stanstead Lib21,55636.66%3,6156.15%BQCon67.25%21,55610,2394,43117,9411,6502,21218658558,800
QC Côte-du-Sud—Rivière-du-Loup—Kataskomiq—Témiscouata Con25,69144.88%8,62915.08%BQLib61.52%10,90625,6911,93317,0622021121,33357,239
QC Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan BQ18,41952.63%10,77930.80%ConLib50.09%6,5457,6401,50918,41988735,000
QC Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle Lib24,29252.23%16,98236.51%BQNDP59.37%24,2925,5466,0957,3101,3151,94946,507
QC Drummond BQ23,86646.62%14,25227.84%LibCon61.33%9,6149,1795,70923,8664192,40251,189
QC Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine—Listuguj BQ23,74344.34%2,4544.58%LibCon57.02%21,2894,4212,28823,7431,07473153,546
QC Gatineau Lib27,38050.05%14,57026.64%BQCon64.80%27,3806,0764,71512,8108552,21864654,700
QC Hochelaga—Rosemont-Est Lib18,58638.43%3,3947.02%BQNDP61.37%18,5862,2769,80815,1929651,10043048,357
QC Honoré-Mercier Lib29,28059.99%21,33443.71%BQCon63.84%29,2805,1453,5707,9467342,0428848,805
QC Hull—Aylmer Lib25,44652.46%17,63636.36%BQNDP66.11%25,4465,2296,1777,8101,3681,77214155948,502
QC Joliette—Manawan BQ28,53855.14%17,00532.85%LibCon62.15%11,5334,9042,99728,5381,0111,5651,21051,758
QC Jonquière BQ19,68743.11%6,76114.81%ConLib63.12%9,49612,9262,45219,68777432845,663
QC La Pointe-de-l'Île BQ23,83546.66%7,32714.34%LibNDP62.19%16,5083,4274,95423,8351,39995751,080
QC La Prairie—Atateken BQ25,86243.73%5,3929.12%LibCon67.79%20,4705,8784,31725,8629831,5329859,140
QC Lac-Saint-Jean BQ22,66250.90%11,41325.64%ConLib60.56%8,44411,2491,45422,66271244,521
QC Lac-Saint-Louis Lib32,47756.26%21,56637.36%ConNDP69.58%32,47710,9117,6793,0781,8681,71257,725
QC LaSalle—Émard—Verdun Lib21,27143.42%10,57821.59%BQNDP60.28%21,2713,7389,31410,6931,4751,67183248,994
QC Laurentides—Labelle BQ24,46352.31%13,48928.84%LibCon60.99%10,9744,9102,60124,4631,1321,70113285246,765
QC Laurier—Sainte-Marie Lib17,68939.51%4,0649.08%NDPBQ56.28%17,6892,01313,6259,0159977916957744,776
QC Laval—Les Îles Lib24,75848.93%15,10229.85%BQCon61.52%24,7588,9633,8899,6567602,57150,597
QC Les Pays-d'en-Haut BQ26,24047.54%11,95021.65%LibCon63.14%14,2906,4363,80026,2408442,388481,14455,190
QC Lévis—Lotbinière Con30,33349.70%16,40426.88%BQLib70.87%9,38030,3334,44513,9298241,4502165361,035
QC Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne Lib19,40040.44%2,4745.16%BQNDP59.80%19,4003,9864,95716,9261,1701,40912247,970
QC Longueuil—Saint-Hubert BQ23,57941.20%1,6492.88%LibNDP67.64%21,9303,9644,55323,5791,5991,35825257,235
QC Louis-Hébert Lib21,70438.21%6,36711.21%BQCon74.18%21,70413,8054,10715,3371,47836556,796
QC Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk Con30,44352.03%18,66531.90%BQLib67.67%10,14530,4433,08711,7788331,24498558,515
QC Marc-Aurèle-Fortin Lib22,99244.11%6,93713.31%BQCon67.21%22,9926,1204,46116,0551,50999052,127
QC Mégantic—L'Érable—Lotbinière Con30,41656.71%19,89837.10%BQLib65.29%7,24030,4161,67510,5187031,88840379653,639
QC Mirabel BQ22,25945.82%10,41221.43%LibCon64.13%11,8476,4664,18522,2591,0511,84692648,580
QC Mount Royal Lib23,98757.41%13,93033.34%ConNDP57.37%23,98710,0573,6891,7011,1421,10710141,784
QC Mont-Saint-Bruno—L'Acadie BQ28,52845.49%7,13111.37%LibCon73.74%21,3976,0805,21628,528951,3228162,719
QC Montcalm BQ25,91753.22%16,18733.24%LibCon57.45%9,7305,6863,05425,9171,2442,08598448,700
QC Montmorency—Charlevoix BQ19,30936.70%1,4842.82%ConLib66.23%10,63017,8252,43619,30962799118461352,615
QC Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount Lib25,71152.83%15,94132.76%NDPCon62.44%25,7116,5479,7702,9111,9461,58219748,664
QC Outremont Lib18,22944.36%7,01117.06%NDPBQ56.88%18,2293,00511,2186,3461,283877983841,094
QC Papineau Lib22,84850.30%12,54527.62%NDPBQ63.47%22,8482,19810,3036,8301,4481,06419953345,423
QC Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères BQ29,97854.26%15,69628.41%LibCon68.98%14,2824,8704,26129,9781,07877755,246
QC Pierrefonds—Dollard Lib29,29656.01%18,40335.18%ConNDP64.62%29,29610,8936,0344,1411,94252,306
QC Pontiac—Kitigan Zibi Lib23,15443.86%11,85822.46%ConBQ65.49%23,15411,2965,9908,0111,5312,364244552,793
QC Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier Con29,77152.35%16,27028.61%BQLib68.58%8,61429,7712,68613,5011,39291056,874
QC Québec Centre Lib19,36135.72%3,6276.69%BQCon67.46%19,3619,7666,88215,7341,2778551330754,195
QC Repentigny BQ28,82251.37%13,03423.23%LibCon66.03%15,7884,9614,18728,8222,35456,112
QC Richmond—Arthabaska Con28,51349.88%14,36325.13%BQLib66.16%8,54328,5132,55014,1502,0581,34557,159
QC Rimouski—La Matapédia BQ26,65854.30%15,81632.21%LibCon59.74%10,8425,4972,87626,6581,0101,35586049,098
QC Rivière-des-Mille-Îles BQ21,52240.54%2,7525.18%LibCon65.46%18,7705,4413,82521,5229661,4581,10853,090
QC Rivière-du-Nord BQ26,50551.60%14,96329.13%LibCon57.92%11,5426,1833,53626,5051491,9671,48251,364
QC Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie NDP26,70848.57%13,97025.41%LibBQ67.76%12,7382,19926,70811,7511,30828454,988
QC Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton BQ25,16547.45%13,13524.77%LibCon65.43%12,0307,1666,17025,1651,4451,05553,031
QC Saint-Jean BQ27,24346.01%10,59317.89%LibCon65.90%16,6507,5444,30827,2431,2622,20359,210
QC Saint-Laurent Lib23,30859.35%16,11541.03%ConNDP56.88%23,3087,1934,2253,122421,23914639,275
QC Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel Lib28,37469.60%24,10859.14%ConNDP57.44%28,3744,2663,3423,2541,53140,767
QC Saint-Maurice—Champlain Lib23,91342.45%6,97312.38%BQCon61.55%23,91310,1392,84916,9407312411,52456,337
QC Shefford BQ24,99741.92%5,0298.43%LibCon65.14%19,9687,2343,17324,9971,0592,0731,12259,626
QC Sherbrooke Lib21,46237.53%4,8748.52%BQNDP65.15%21,4627,3387,96416,5881,6431,40877857,181
QC Terrebonne BQ23,29841.40%6,77012.03%LibCon66.19%16,5285,8863,74223,2988021,5063,76275656,280
QC Thérèse-De Blainville BQ22,49840.94%3,1555.74%LibCon63.92%19,3436,0703,99822,4981,0631,47410240954,957
QC Trois-Rivières BQ17,13629.49%830.14%ConLib64.19%16,63717,0534,68017,1367541,11573558,110
QC Vaudreuil Lib28,43747.47%15,87926.51%BQCon66.70%28,4379,8706,37212,5581,5141,15859,909
QC Ville-Marie—Le Sud-Ouest—Île-des-Sœurs Lib20,83151.37%13,49833.28%NDPCon55.87%20,8315,1997,3334,8431,0831,05920640,554
QC Vimy Lib22,88650.14%12,68927.80%BQCon58.39%22,8866,3204,25810,1971,98345,644
ON Ajax Lib28,27956.83%15,04230.23%ConNDP54.10%28,27913,2376,9881,25449,758
ON Algonquin—Renfrew—Pembroke Con28,96749.50%16,70428.55%NDPLib66.54%11,33528,96712,2631,1114,46937358,518
ON Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill Lib21,00544.76%1,2392.64%ConNDP56.69%21,00519,7663,770861,8182045846,923
ON Barrie South—Innisfil Con25,23447.67%9,94218.78%LibNDP59.16%15,29225,2348,3494,06052,935
ON Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte Con26,31745.79%8,83615.37%LibNDP64.31%17,48126,3179,5521233,9851857,476
ON Bay of Quinte Con23,67140.59%2,0813.57%LibNDP64.56%21,59023,6718,8971,2862,87858,322
ON Beaches—East York Lib28,91956.58%17,40634.05%NDPCon64.91%28,9197,33611,5131,3881,61316618151,116
ON Bowmanville—Oshawa North Con24,66844.75%7,68713.94%LibNDP59.63%16,98124,66810,1312,98224911655,127
ON Brampton Centre Lib16,81848.32%5,88316.90%ConNDP53.03%16,81810,9355,4931,25330534,804
ON Brampton—Chinguacousy Park Lib19,55350.81%7,62019.80%ConNDP55.62%19,55311,9336,47352638,485
ON Brampton East Lib20,19353.19%9,35224.64%ConNDP54.29%20,19310,8415,9281,00037,962
ON Brampton North—Caledon Lib18,81551.44%6,67518.25%ConNDP57.62%18,81512,1405,1021483501936,574
ON Brampton South Lib19,04453.88%8,63124.42%ConNDP55.90%19,04410,4134,7841,0169135,348
ON Brampton West Lib17,52456.29%8,89228.57%ConNDP53.41%17,5248,6323,97377023031,129
ON Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations Con22,46640.08%6,92312.35%LibNDP58.22%15,54322,46611,3731,4784,9192472256,048
ON Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound Con28,72749.18%13,98923.95%LibNDP64.09%14,73828,7277,9391,7894,69752458,414
ON Burlington Lib31,60245.73%5,8608.48%ConNDP69.69%31,60225,7427,5071,3682,76412269,105
ON Burlington North—Milton West Lib26,64547.89%6,28411.30%ConNDP65.45%26,64520,3615,3421,0822,20555,635
ON Cambridge Lib20,59938.24%2,2104.10%ConNDP60.98%20,59918,3899,2041,8253,85353,870
ON Carleton Con36,53451.86%14,08619.99%LibNDP75.83%22,44836,5348,0121,5121,939770,452
ON Chatham-Kent—Leamington Con27,52842.43%10,18315.70%LibPPC63.35%17,34527,5289,4779839,54464,877
ON Davenport Lib23,20643.60%2,1444.03%NDPCon60.26%23,2065,77721,0621,2771,73816353,223
ON Don Valley North Lib22,18652.77%8,50520.23%ConNDP56.00%22,18613,6814,1737611,240542,046
ON Don Valley West Lib29,53757.23%14,10127.32%ConNDP64.34%29,53715,4364,7305481,3095551,615
ON Dufferin—Caledon Con28,33849.04%11,79720.42%LibNDP61.61%16,54128,3385,9952,6064,11218857,780
ON Eglinton—Lawrence Lib24,05148.48%5,96912.03%ConNDP61.78%24,05118,0824,5431,4901,44549,611
ON Elgin—St. Thomas—London South Con27,19949.25%16,34529.60%LibNDP64.20%10,85427,1998,9331,2236,72629255,227
ON Essex Con27,98040.96%6,3579.31%NDPLib66.64%10,55427,98021,6238436,96816217568,305
ON Etobicoke Centre Lib28,36348.14%8,27414.04%ConNDP63.38%28,36320,0896,3401863,881214258,922
ON Etobicoke—Lakeshore Lib26,19947.14%8,15214.67%ConNDP62.99%26,19918,0477,4981,1772,44521655,582
ON Etobicoke North Lib21,56658.88%12,24933.44%ConNDP50.84%21,5669,3173,8621,59129236,628
ON Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North Con23,56343.78%6,05211.25%LibNDP68.12%17,51123,5637,8661,3143,5164953,819
ON Guelph Lib23,88241.37%10,34617.92%ConNDP64.75%23,88213,53612,7124,5302,69238157,733
ON Haldimand—Norfolk Con29,66447.39%12,44019.87%LibNDP66.86%17,22429,6648,3206,57081462,592
ON Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes Con34,46251.97%18,63628.11%LibNDP66.54%15,82634,4629,4381,6284,5411539866,308
ON Hamilton Centre NDP23,39046.96%10,07520.23%LibCon55.71%13,3158,22723,3901,3253,2719918449,811
ON Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Lib21,46139.07%4,9158.95%ConNDP59.26%21,46116,54611,9101,0223,98654,925
ON Hamilton Mountain Lib17,96234.50%1,5292.94%NDPCon60.99%17,96213,04216,4331,0393,28930652,071
ON Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas Lib28,56144.30%9,81715.23%ConNDP69.57%28,56118,74412,7081,6832,64513764,478
ON Hastings—Lennox and Addington—Tyendinaga Con26,45845.58%6,45011.11%LibNDP66.04%20,00826,4586,4071,0353,29883858,044
ON Humber River—Black Creek Lib19,53360.69%13,93443.29%ConNDP48.93%19,5335,5995,2793881,25813032,187
ON Huron—Bruce Con31,17050.93%15,15524.76%LibNDP69.72%16,01531,1709,0564,43751961,197
ON Kanata Lib27,66743.16%4,0476.31%ConNDP72.51%27,66723,6209,4191,6261,77164,103
ON Kapuskasing—Timmins—Mushkegowuk NDP14,58235.79%3,9009.57%LibCon54.89%10,68210,25714,5821624,9995840,740
ON Kenora—Kiiwetinoong Con11,03343.32%3,61114.18%NDPLib56.66%5,05511,0337,4223541,60625,470
ON Kingston and the Islands Lib29,17140.69%8,52411.89%NDPCon66.91%29,17117,59920,6471,7612,4991071,687
ON King—Vaughan Con20,06944.86%8771.96%LibNDP50.59%19,19220,0692,9625691,94844,740
ON Kitchener Centre Grn17,19033.37%4,3928.53%ConNDP62.90%8,94312,7989,01517,1903,42514651,517
ON Kitchener—Conestoga Lib20,48938.29%3490.65%ConNDP67.73%20,48920,1406,3812,6263,865853,509
ON Kitchener South—Hespeler Lib18,59637.45%9471.91%ConNDP61.82%18,59617,6498,0791,7103,35111915049,654
ON Lanark—Frontenac Con29,18249.69%14,01223.86%LibNDP70.09%15,17029,1828,9561,5763,64520158,730
ON Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands—Rideau Lakes Con29,95050.53%15,01525.33%LibNDP68.17%14,93529,9508,8632,1343,39459,276
ON London Centre Lib20,85437.55%3,9807.17%NDPCon59.96%20,85413,77516,8741,0912,8618355,538
ON London—Fanshawe NDP22,23643.50%9,83019.23%ConLib56.29%11,78012,40622,2364,69251,114
ON London West Lib20,78136.87%1,5342.72%ConNDP68.29%20,78119,24712,8952,81462556,362
ON Markham—Stouffville Lib25,39151.55%8,27316.80%ConNDP59.39%25,39117,1184,3299721,44849,258
ON Markham—Thornhill Lib27,19361.54%15,53435.15%ConNDP56.06%27,19311,6593,69388376244,190
ON Markham—Unionville Lib20,10748.23%2,4175.80%ConNDP52.27%20,10717,6902,7311,16241,690
ON Middlesex—London Con26,64245.25%10,65518.10%LibNDP68.01%15,98726,64210,5061,0664,57010158,872
ON Milton East—Halton Hills South Lib21,50841.71%2390.46%ConNDP63.82%21,50821,2694,9351,3392,51451,565
ON Mississauga Centre Lib24,92253.88%11,57725.03%ConNDP55.01%24,92213,3455,2347501,939322946,251
ON Mississauga East—Cooksville Lib23,27850.28%8,64618.67%ConNDP56.08%23,27814,6324,8631502,9882929646,299
ON Mississauga—Erin Mills Lib25,11551.19%8,67517.68%ConNDP58.12%25,11516,4405,0548021,65049,061
ON Mississauga—Lakeshore Lib25,82245.01%3,6886.43%ConNDP63.52%25,82222,1345,6061,2652,44459657,372
ON Mississauga—Malton Lib22,65952.68%9,41521.89%ConNDP54.44%22,65913,2445,91280112927143,016
ON Mississauga—Streetsville Lib23,34347.34%6,42213.02%ConNDP59.13%23,34316,9215,9631,0481,84019449,309
ON Nepean Lib27,34845.74%7,39512.37%ConNDP70.62%27,34819,9539,7001,1621,631159,795
ON Newmarket—Aurora Lib22,06743.78%2,8315.62%ConNDP60.44%22,06719,2365,8249292,11424050,410
ON New Tecumseth—Gwillimbury Con23,60047.67%8,61317.40%LibNDP57.01%14,98723,6006,4616133,70814049,509
ON Niagara Falls—Niagara-on-the-Lake Con20,17337.42%1,2012.23%LibNDP61.85%18,97220,1739,6251,0504,08853,908
ON Niagara South Con21,92033.41%2980.45%LibNDP62.53%21,62221,92014,9521,2475,86965,610
ON Niagara West Con27,49744.03%8,10612.98%LibNDP70.41%19,39127,4978,7241,7494,43065762,448
ON Nipissing—Timiskaming Lib19,00736.86%2,5694.98%ConNDP62.72%19,00716,43812,0314,08851,564
ON Northumberland—Clarke Con27,55343.99%6,2429.97%LibNDP69.74%21,31127,5538,7351,6083,43062,637
ON Oakville East Lib22,70946.22%3,3336.78%ConNDP67.10%22,70919,3764,6198061,62749,137
ON Oakville West Lib23,62347.49%4,4879.02%ConNDP67.54%23,62319,1364,3308541,80049,743
ON Orléans Lib36,06052.34%16,30823.67%ConNDP70.85%36,06019,7529,9531,1161,81819668,895
ON Oshawa Con22,40939.71%6,33011.22%NDPLib56.29%13,04422,40916,0798644,02956,425
ON Ottawa Centre Lib33,54945.24%9,29112.53%NDPCon74.55%33,54912,07324,2582,0741,65911243674,161
ON Ottawa South Lib29,25049.41%13,28722.45%ConNDP65.76%29,25015,96310,7291,3001,82912459,195
ON Ottawa—Vanier—Gloucester Lib30,44149.00%15,99025.74%NDPCon65.23%30,44112,75714,4511,8921,98115744262,121
ON Ottawa West—Nepean Lib29,15945.42%11,39817.75%ConNDP68.64%29,15917,76112,9791,8532,0562037264,200
ON Oxford Con28,22246.79%15,75126.11%LibNDP64.82%12,47128,22211,1241,6296,41845760,321
ON Parry Sound-Muskoka Con26,60347.93%14,58826.28%LibNDP64.67%12,01526,6039,3403,0994,1841699555,505
ON Perth Wellington Con26,98448.55%13,30023.93%LibNDP65.56%13,68426,9849,5525,35755,577
ON Peterborough Con28,14439.19%3,1364.37%LibNDP69.03%25,00828,14413,7621,6033,09520371,815
ON Pickering—Brooklin Lib27,01148.16%7,79413.90%ConNDP60.39%27,01119,2177,5621392,15856,087
ON Prescott—Russell—Cumberland Lib29,09147.22%9,12714.81%ConNDP70.26%29,09119,9646,6511,2553,95829040061,609
ON Richmond Hill South Lib23,68347.83%4,4939.07%ConNDP54.86%23,68319,1904,3341,4628054249,516
ON Sarnia—Lambton—Bkejwanong Con32,19646.50%17,66225.51%NDPLib66.71%13,42132,19614,5341,0317,61543569,232
ON Sault Ste. Marie—Algoma Con20,61735.59%1,8723.23%LibNDP61.10%18,74520,61714,9993653,03716057,923
ON Scarborough—Agincourt Lib24,21256.24%11,65427.07%ConNDP53.00%24,21212,5584,3407421,20343,055
ON Scarborough Centre—Don Valley East Lib23,38156.32%12,86830.99%ConNDP56.12%23,38110,5135,7071,76814941,518
ON Scarborough—Guildwood—Rouge Park Lib30,75361.28%19,67939.22%ConNDP60.79%30,75311,0746,7131,511894250,182
ON Scarborough North Lib26,79666.98%19,55848.89%ConNDP51.33%26,7967,2384,63697336140,004
ON Scarborough Southwest Lib27,46457.96%17,70637.36%ConNDP57.18%27,4649,7587,5751,0681,3671451047,387
ON Scarborough—Woburn Lib23,44260.41%14,69237.86%ConNDP56.16%23,4428,7505,1061,19412319138,806
ON Simcoe—Grey Con26,91047.42%11,08819.54%LibNDP64.71%15,82226,9107,4762,3563,93824256,744
ON Simcoe North Con24,61742.18%6,62211.35%LibNDP62.40%17,99524,6179,3151,7804,46519258,364
ON Spadina—Harbourfront Lib13,75338.23%1,5814.39%NDPCon52.98%13,7537,80612,1721,1571,08535,973
ON St. Catharines Lib23,12537.87%3,3575.50%ConNDP64.57%23,12519,76813,0141,1404,02461,071
ON Stormont—Dundas—Glengarry Con31,70154.32%17,28229.61%LibNDP62.45%14,41931,7016,3611,3514,475242558,356
ON Sudbury Lib19,38534.98%3,3706.08%NDPCon61.93%19,38515,41416,0151,0993,38910955,411
ON Sudbury East—Manitoulin—Nickel Belt Lib16,41631.98%8461.65%NDPCon62.27%16,41613,80915,5708874,57027151,325
ON Taiaiko'n—Parkdale—High Park Lib24,40042.79%2,5074.40%NDPCon64.79%24,4007,60321,8931,0771,82522057,018
ON Thornhill Con27,07151.72%8,19515.66%LibNDP57.38%18,87627,0713,1268612,40852,342
ON Thunder Bay—Rainy River Lib13,65534.26%1,9844.98%ConNDP61.17%13,65511,67111,3425712,62139,860
ON Thunder Bay—Superior North Lib17,04840.40%5,35512.69%NDPCon62.80%17,04810,10811,6937472,48711142,194
ON Toronto Centre Lib23,68349.83%11,20923.59%NDPCon56.86%23,6836,14312,4743,8261,11628147,523
ON Toronto—Danforth Lib25,21648.36%7,66014.69%NDPCon65.47%25,2166,54817,5561,0231,28212339852,146
ON Toronto—St. Paul's Lib30,02349.51%13,94723.00%ConNDP66.13%30,02316,0769,6383,3731,5131860,641
ON University—Rosedale Lib24,39146.48%9,66018.41%NDPCon59.12%24,3919,41514,7312,3321,35724852,474
ON Vaughan—Woodbridge Lib23,42346.15%2,9855.88%ConNDP57.21%23,42320,4383,5154882,73515950,758
ON Waterloo Lib25,81645.48%10,24118.04%ConNDP67.34%25,81615,57510,8511,9362,58356,761
ON Wellington—Halton Hills North Con26,20846.78%9,25916.53%LibNDP68.11%16,94926,2086,6982,6353,4676856,025
ON Whitby Lib23,28445.09%5,48010.61%ConNDP61.19%23,28417,8047,4438332,27351,637
ON Willowdale Lib21,04351.19%7,12717.34%ConNDP54.47%21,04313,9164,2318121,10241,104
ON Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore Lib19,01930.88%3590.58%NDPCon60.96%19,01916,65018,6607446,3391017161,593
ON Windsor West NDP21,54144.24%8,01716.46%LibCon53.10%13,5249,41521,5414,06015348,693
ON York Centre Lib17,43047.29%3,4819.44%ConNDP53.37%17,43013,9493,7531,72636,858
ON York—Durham Con30,32451.75%13,62323.25%LibNDP62.09%16,70130,3247,3643253,731519958,595
ON York South—Weston—Etobicoke Lib21,36455.58%12,72433.10%ConNDP52.02%21,3648,6405,8007341,897338,438
MB Brandon—Souris Con23,65959.37%15,53338.98%NDPLib61.55%4,75923,6598,12693,2771939,849
MB Churchill—Keewatinook Aski NDP7,62842.56%3,11617.39%LibCon35.82%4,5124,3317,62855289917,922
MB Elmwood—Transcona NDP20,00149.12%8,41620.67%ConLib59.46%6,05711,58520,0016472,423540,718
MB Kildonan—St. Paul Con20,96242.45%7,18014.54%LibNDP66.36%13,78220,96211,7551522,6775849,386
MB Portage—Lisgar Con22,44552.15%13,02730.27%PPCNDP66.56%4,72022,4455,7789,41868143,042
MB Provencher Con21,71348.34%13,85730.85%PPCLib66.15%7,41321,7135,4871,1507,8561,30244,921
MB Riding Mountain Con23,16559.19%17,48544.68%NDPLib61.23%4,98723,1655,6808264,12835139,137
MB Saint Boniface—Saint Vital Lib21,01243.90%7,47115.61%ConNDP66.12%21,01213,54110,1317202,0672949747,862
MB Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman Con27,93156.97%18,40737.55%NDPLib65.48%6,49327,9319,5241,3203,75849,026
MB Winnipeg Centre NDP15,72649.65%6,55620.70%LibCon49.74%9,1704,05515,7267561,35660831,671
MB Winnipeg North Lib16,04053.21%7,67525.46%NDPCon52.93%16,0404,0668,3653701,2198730,147
MB Winnipeg South Lib19,25148.15%6,17715.45%ConNDP67.23%19,25113,0745,7335901,33639,984
MB Winnipeg South Centre Lib22,18445.29%8,41117.17%ConNDP69.70%22,18413,77310,1241,3001,37822648,985
MB Winnipeg West Con20,38240.35%5581.10%LibNDP69.34%19,82420,3827,5331,0421,727850,516
SK Battlefords—Lloydminster—Meadow Lake Con23,01867.26%18,60054.35%NDPLib58.18%2,50623,0184,4182662,050751,89034,223
SK Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek Con28,45068.00%22,57853.97%NDPPPC70.05%2,28928,4505,8723893,87696041,836
SK Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River Lib3,81146.35%1,83622.33%NDPCon32.96%3,8111,9381,975962571468,223
SK Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan Con25,97560.99%17,91542.06%NDPPPC69.16%2,56925,9758,0604394,8201970742,589
SK Prince Albert Con23,25364.09%17,80549.07%NDPLib58.55%4,28423,2535,4483982,4961938436,282
SK Regina—Lewvan Con18,49746.16%4,54711.35%NDPLib67.14%5,72918,49713,9504981,40140,075
SK Regina—Qu'Appelle Con23,02160.28%14,36337.61%NDPLib60.07%3,90823,0218,6587231,88338,193
SK Regina—Wascana Con19,25849.90%8,87022.98%LibNDP63.73%10,38819,2586,9746221,35238,594
SK Saskatoon South Con21,42349.25%8,10118.62%NDPLib67.99%6,25321,42313,3225371,96543,500
SK Saskatoon—University Con20,44747.92%5,34512.53%NDPLib68.33%4,63220,44715,1024061,78529542,667
SK Saskatoon West Con15,38645.37%2,0576.06%NDPLib55.59%2,77915,38613,3293572,06533,916
SK Souris—Moose Mountain Con31,89776.01%28,04966.84%PPCNDP76.13%1,76331,8973,377243,848221,03141,962
SK Swift Current—Grasslands—Kindersley Con27,52872.46%23,62562.18%NDPPPC68.55%1,56327,5283,9033202,8791521,64837,993
SK Yorkton—Melville Con24,60868.79%20,27656.68%NDPPPC65.62%2,25724,6084,3326233,29365835,771
AB Airdrie—Cochrane Con33,82159.90%25,39444.97%NDPLib69.38%5,73933,8218,4277124,6492,0131,10256,463
AB Battle River—Crowfoot Con42,53171.38%36,74961.68%NDPPPC71.51%2,53642,5315,7825455,5562,63159,581
AB Bow River Con33,29269.57%28,58059.72%PPCNDP62.39%3,76333,2924,48424,712161,58847,857
AB Calgary Centre Con27,76150.92%11,37020.85%LibNDP62.16%16,39127,7618,95588752754,521
AB Calgary Confederation Con27,32645.69%10,64617.80%LibNDP67.19%16,68027,32610,5962,2022,77722859,809
AB Calgary Crowfoot Con30,83654.94%18,66233.25%LibNDP67.61%12,17430,8369,0819412,60149156,124
AB Calgary East Con24,15752.86%15,68334.32%LibNDP53.48%8,47424,1578,2649673,27510745945,703
AB Calgary Heritage Con34,33458.32%24,16241.05%NDPLib66.35%9,53134,33410,1728383,00998358,867
AB Calgary McKnight Lib16,28243.76%3,5499.54%ConNDP51.55%16,28212,7336,0204221,46510518037,207
AB Calgary Midnapore Con35,68360.27%24,70941.73%NDPLib67.70%7,37635,68310,9747963,60377359,205
AB Calgary Nose Hill Con29,98955.32%19,02335.09%LibNDP62.88%10,96629,9899,1708772,6002857854,208
AB Calgary Shepard Con30,94161.20%22,83645.17%NDPLib65.39%7,03930,9418,1058572,89712159550,555
AB Calgary Signal Hill Con35,05559.81%23,69440.43%LibNDP68.32%11,36135,0558,2849972,36854658,611
AB Calgary Skyview Con16,15144.96%4,25211.84%LibNDP55.97%11,89916,1515,9383281,3445121135,922
AB Edmonton Centre Con16,14632.60%6901.39%LibNDP59.94%15,45616,14615,061562,40540149,525
AB Edmonton Gateway Con18,07743.12%7,42217.70%LibNDP62.36%10,65518,07710,614902,37511541,926
AB Edmonton Griesbach NDP17,42940.36%1,7484.05%ConLib53.43%6,55215,68117,4294892,56746643,184
AB Edmonton Manning Con16,90341.12%4,15410.11%NDPLib55.06%8,45616,90312,7492,88311541,106
AB Edmonton Northwest Con19,05443.10%6,83915.47%NDPLib58.74%10,11219,05412,215132,7615744,212
AB Edmonton Riverbend Con22,14545.44%9,99620.51%LibNDP65.03%12,14922,14511,9075591,9571948,736
AB Edmonton Southeast Con15,59737.70%1,5293.70%LibNDP62.57%14,06815,5979,2372,35212241,376
AB Edmonton Strathcona NDP32,55657.95%17,51631.18%ConLib69.14%5,06815,04032,5567012,53927356,177
AB Edmonton West Con22,55645.62%10,43321.10%NDPLib64.13%12,08822,55612,123252,52013549,447
AB Foothills Con41,84768.43%34,87957.03%NDPPPC69.24%4,24641,8476,9688085,0242,26461,157
AB Fort McMurray—Cold Lake Con29,39467.81%23,88855.11%PPCNDP56.25%3,06629,3944,3854245,50657043,345
AB Grande Prairie Con35,40168.96%29,31657.11%NDPPPC64.25%2,16435,4016,0855,2382,44751,335
AB Lakeland Con36,40569.40%30,60358.34%PPCNDP66.85%2,60436,4055,5114635,8021,67152,456
AB Leduc—Wetaskiwin Con34,77063.37%25,11245.77%NDPPPC66.69%3,89634,7709,65896,147638554,871
AB Lethbridge Con32,81755.65%21,43136.34%NDPLib65.23%8,92832,81711,3864,0971,17956658,973
AB Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner Con31,62965.80%24,95151.90%NDPPPC62.60%3,39731,6296,6786634,4781,22648,071
AB Parkland Con38,35963.09%28,45846.81%NDPPPC69.64%3,79538,3599,90106,8581,88860,801
AB Peace River—Westlock Con30,44662.65%24,05049.49%NDPPPC61.27%2,66430,4466,3963646,0892,63548,594
AB Ponoka—Didsbury Con41,74067.87%33,52754.52%PPCNDP71.65%2,86241,7406,7358,2134881,45861,496
AB Red Deer Con32,60660.51%23,25443.15%NDPPPC64.92%4,40132,6069,3526,0843451,10053,888
AB Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan Con41,09257.55%26,35236.91%NDPLib73.46%8,73041,09214,7407005,00428384971,398
AB St. Albert—Sturgeon River Con37,32656.03%21,63532.48%NDPLib71.62%7,58237,32615,6915,19582166,615
AB Yellowhead Con35,99860.23%27,23345.57%NDPLib68.45%6,34435,9988,7657475,5295701,81159,764
BC Abbotsford—South Langley Con21,83845.59%9,36019.54%LibNDP58.87%12,47821,8388,7291,5043,35447,903
BC Burnaby Central NDP15,92139.78%3,4148.53%LibCon50.68%12,5078,86815,9211,1681,35321040,027
BC Burnaby North—Seymour Lib22,67340.88%7,94114.32%ConNDP63.44%22,67314,73214,7061,8781,47255,461
BC Cariboo—Prince George Con28,40751.17%17,08030.77%NDPLib61.33%9,02928,40711,3271,9344,5565820355,514
BC Chilliwack—Hope Con25,42145.99%10,81819.57%NDPLib60.85%9,46325,42114,6031,5534,23055,270
BC Cloverdale—Langley City Lib18,71139.10%1,4272.98%ConNDP61.04%18,71117,2849,5492,30747,851
BC Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies Con27,55243.62%4,4096.98%NDPLib67.59%5,64827,55223,1432,3414,48063,164
BC Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam Lib18,17837.92%3,7417.80%ConNDP59.84%18,17814,43713,2282,09347,936
BC Courtenay—Alberni NDP29,04542.88%7,84011.57%ConLib65.16%9,22221,20529,0454,7763,38410867,740
BC Cowichan—Malahat—Langford NDP26,93942.78%9,08414.43%ConLib63.96%10,31217,85526,9393,9153,94762,968
BC Delta Lib23,69742.54%5,0169.00%ConNDP67.10%23,69718,68110,2761,2441,38142455,703
BC Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke NDP26,30643.23%12,99221.35%LibCon63.79%13,31412,75926,3065,4102,82823460,851
BC Fleetwood—Port Kells Lib19,54745.93%7,40717.40%ConNDP57.31%19,54712,1408,6558171,2321194742,557
BC Kamloops—Shuswap—Central Rockies Con26,74945.01%11,87219.98%NDPLib67.22%9,86926,74914,8773,0254,8446059,424
BC Kamloops—Thompson—Nicola Con24,44843.50%8,39914.94%NDPLib63.56%9,94524,44816,0492,1133,35429256,201
BC Kelowna Con21,40742.31%8,13016.07%LibNDP61.89%13,27721,40710,7021,5253,68650,597
BC Langley Township—Fraser Heights Con23,22343.92%7,58414.34%LibNDP63.75%15,63923,22310,3261,2782,3822752,875
BC Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford Con24,31047.12%11,81722.91%LibNDP63.48%12,49324,3109,2791,9153,59451,591
BC Nanaimo—Ladysmith NDP18,30729.38%1,7412.79%ConGrn63.32%8,21416,56618,30716,1103,12362,320
BC New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville NDP22,80847.98%11,66724.55%LibCon58.75%11,1419,99022,8081,8031,7771347,532
BC North Island—Powell River NDP26,91839.46%2,2113.24%ConLib65.49%9,07624,70726,9183,9993,11340368,216
BC North Vancouver—Capilano Lib24,44744.69%8,37615.31%ConNDP64.67%24,44716,07110,4222,3351,40812654,701
BC Okanagan Lake West—South Kelowna Con27,12948.35%14,10125.13%LibNDP65.68%13,02827,12910,5981,5413,81256,108
BC Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge Con20,81137.14%3,2795.85%NDPLib64.00%13,81320,81117,5321623,09645316156,028
BC Port Moody—Coquitlam NDP18,74035.04%1,6473.08%ConLib63.25%15,77117,09318,7401,77610953,489
BC Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies Con30,87459.33%23,39544.96%NDPPPC60.27%4,81530,8747,4791,8125,4101,64852,038
BC Richmond Centre—Marpole Lib14,37538.58%1,1643.12%ConNDP46.55%14,37513,2117,5931,16791837,264
BC Richmond East—Steveston Lib18,64041.91%3,5237.92%ConNDP52.88%18,64015,1178,6221,0431,05744,479
BC Saanich—Gulf Islands Grn25,13635.77%9,22113.12%ConNDP69.77%13,21615,91513,73825,1362,11515670,276
BC Similkameen—South Okanagan—West Kootenay NDP23,54538.97%8411.39%ConLib65.09%7,99322,70423,5452,0244,15160,417
BC Skeena—Bulkley Valley NDP15,92142.58%2,4086.44%ConPPC55.20%2,86613,51315,9211,4062,88879737,391
BC South Surrey—White Rock Con23,80242.44%1,9863.54%LibNDP64.75%21,81623,8028,3022,16256,082
BC Surrey Centre Lib15,75344.63%6,02417.07%NDPCon52.32%15,7537,2929,7297801,36137935,294
BC Surrey Newton Lib19,07154.43%9,93428.35%NDPCon55.67%19,0715,3349,13791458335,039
BC Vancouver Centre Lib18,56240.67%4,71310.33%NDPCon55.52%18,5629,99413,8491,7371,49845,640
BC Vancouver East NDP27,96956.40%18,17236.64%LibCon54.85%9,7975,39927,9693,8261,3821,21849,591
BC Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby Lib18,35242.32%4,86711.22%NDPCon53.50%18,3529,48813,4854391,2988621943,367
BC Vancouver Granville Lib19,87337.23%2,3034.31%NDPCon62.17%19,87313,16317,5701,4571,2695053,382
BC Vancouver Kingsway NDP21,86850.40%9,27721.38%LibCon54.28%12,5916,13621,8681,57595626143,387
BC Vancouver Quadra Lib21,46443.39%7,00914.17%ConNDP61.89%21,46414,4559,5932,9501,00449,466
BC Vernon—Lake Country—Monashee Con24,84343.83%12,53522.11%NDPLib64.09%11,20724,84312,3082,9375,39156,686
BC Victoria NDP29,30143.90%11,10716.64%LibCon66.45%18,1949,15229,3017,4722,06556466,748
BC West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country Lib18,50933.05%2,1903.91%ConNDP65.13%18,50916,31915,0583,8092,1031159256,005
Terr Yukon Lib6,47133.35%1,3757.09%ConNDP64.13%6,4715,0964,3548462,63919,406
Terr Northwest Territories Lib5,38738.22%8295.88%NDPCon46.69%5,3872,0314,5583281,79114,095
Terr Nunavut NDP3,42747.67%84911.81%LibCon33.80%2,5781,1843,4277,189
  1. "Format 2B: Transposition 343 FED Vote Count". elections.ca. Retrieved May 5, 2024.
  2. Estimated effect
  3. minor political parties receiving less than 1% of the national popular vote are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately
  = boundaries and name unchanged
  = boundaries unchanged; name change only
  = name unchanged; boundaries adjusted
  = transposition of votes results in different outcome from 2021

Notional 2021 results

The transposed results of the 2021 election, if they had taken place under the 2023 Representation Order. 45th Canadian Parliament Map.svg
The transposed results of the 2021 election, if they had taken place under the 2023 Representation Order.

This will be the first election contested under the new electoral districts established in the 2022 redistribution. Consequently, media outlets tend to report seat gains and losses as compared to notional results. These are the results if all votes cast in 2021 were unchanged, but regrouped by new electoral district boundaries, as published by Elections Canada. [34]

2021 results transposed onto 2023 boundaries
PartyMPs
2021 actual result2021 notional resultChange
Liberal 160157Decrease2.svg 3
Conservative 119126Increase2.svg 7
Bloc Québécois 3234Increase2.svg 2
New Democratic 2524Decrease2.svg 1
Green 22Steady2.svg
Total seats3383435Increase2.svg

Incumbents not running for re-election

As of May 2024, a total of 21 MPs have announced they will not run in the 45th federal election.

Member of ParliamentElectoral districtProvince or territoryDate announced
  Ron Liepert [35] Calgary Signal Hill Alberta February 17, 2023
  Wayne Long [36] Saint John—Rothesay New Brunswick March 14, 2023
  Randall Garrison [37] Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke British Columbia April 27, 2023
  Ken Hardie [38] Fleetwood—Port Kells British Columbia May 26, 2023
  Lloyd Longfield [39] Guelph Ontario June 28, 2023
  Helena Jaczek [40] Markham—Stouffville Ontario July 25, 2023
  Joyce Murray [41] Vancouver Quadra British Columbia July 25, 2023
  Omar Alghabra [42] Mississauga Centre Ontario July 25, 2023
  Alain Rayes [43] Richmond—Arthabaska Quebec September 11, 2023
  Richard Cannings [44] South Okanagan—West Kootenay British Columbia September 12, 2023
  Anthony Rota [45] Nipissing—Timiskaming Ontario October 23, 2023
  Emmanuel Dubourg [46] Bourassa Quebec November 1, 2023
  Nathaniel Erskine-Smith [47] Beaches—East York Ontario December 7, 2023
  Tony Van Bynen [48] Newmarket—Aurora Ontario March 11, 2024
  Ed Fast [49] Abbotsford British Columbia March 14, 2024
  Charlie Angus [50] Timmins—James Bay Ontario April 4, 2024
  Carol Hughes [51] Algoma—Manitoulin—Kapuskasing Ontario April 4, 2024
  Rachel Blaney [51] North Island—Powell River British Columbia April 4, 2024
  Gary Vidal [52] Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River Saskatchewan April 23, 2024
  Colin Carrie [53] [54] Oshawa Ontario April 24, 2024
  Pam Damoff [55] Oakville North—Burlington Ontario May 1, 2024

Timeline

Changes in seats held (2021–)
House of Commons – Changes in seats held
SeatBeforeChange
DateMemberPartyReasonDateMemberParty
Spadina—Fort York November 22, 2021 Kevin Vuong   Liberal Excluded from caucus  Independent
Mississauga—Lakeshore May 27, 2022 Sven Spengemann   Liberal Resigned [a 1] December 12, 2022 Charles Sousa   Liberal
Richmond—Arthabaska September 13, 2022 Alain Rayes   Conservative Left caucus  Independent
Winnipeg South Centre December 12, 2022 Jim Carr   Liberal DeathJune 19, 2023 Ben Carr   Liberal
Calgary Heritage December 31, 2022 Bob Benzen   Conservative ResignedJuly 24, 2023 Shuvaloy Majumdar   Conservative
Oxford January 27, 2023 Dave MacKenzie   Conservative ResignedJune 19, 2023 Arpan Khanna   Conservative
Portage—Lisgar February 28, 2023 Candice Bergen   Conservative ResignedJune 19, 2023 Branden Leslie   Conservative
Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount March 8, 2023 Marc Garneau   Liberal ResignedJune 19, 2023 Anna Gainey   Liberal
Don Valley North March 22, 2023 Han Dong   Liberal Left caucus  Independent
Durham August 1, 2023 Erin O'Toole   Conservative ResignedMarch 4, 2024 Jamil Jivani   Conservative
Toronto—St. Paul's January 16, 2024 Carolyn Bennett   Liberal Resigned [56]  Vacant
LaSalle—Émard—Verdun February 1, 2024 David Lametti   Liberal Resigned [57]  Vacant
Elmwood—Transcona March 31, 2024 Daniel Blaikie   New Democratic Resigned [58]  Vacant
  1. to accept a position with the United Nations

2021

2022

2023

2024

Opinion polls

Evolution of voting intentions according to polls conducted during the pre-campaign period of the 45th Canadian federal election, graphed from the data in the table below. Trendlines are 30-poll local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals. Opinion polling during the pre-campaign period of the 45th Canadian federal election.svg
Evolution of voting intentions according to polls conducted during the pre-campaign period of the 45th Canadian federal election, graphed from the data in the table below. Trendlines are 30-poll local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.

See also

Notes

  1. Includes Kevin Vuong, who appeared on the ballot as a Liberal but was disavowed by the party during the campaign. He has not been seated as a member of the Liberal caucus.
  2. Though parties registered with Elections Canada can field candidates in any riding they wish, the Bloc Québécois has never fielded candidates outside of Quebec (78 seats). Thus it is impossible for the party to gain a majority in Parliament.
  3. MP for Beauce until being defeated in the 2019 election. Contested the by-election in Portage–Lisgar, lost.
  4. While formal results show the Liberals winning or leading in 160 seats, those totals include Kevin Vuong, who was disavowed during the campaign by his party, and has since sat as an Independent in the House of Commons.

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