2014 Massachusetts gubernatorial election

Last updated

2014 Massachusetts gubernatorial election
Flag of Massachusetts.svg
  2010 November 4, 2014 (2014-11-04) 2018  
Turnout51.62% Decrease2.svg 3.19 [1]
  Charlie Baker official portrait (3x4b).jpg Martha Coakley Suffolk Feb2014 (3x4a).jpg
Nominee Charlie Baker Martha Coakley
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Karyn Polito Steve Kerrigan
Popular vote1,044,5731,004,408
Percentage48.39%46.54%

2014 Massachusetts gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2014 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Election by Town.svg
2014 Massachusetts gubernatorial election results map by congressional district.svg
MA Governor 2014.svg
Baker:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Coakley:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%

Governor before election

Deval Patrick
Democratic

Elected Governor

Charlie Baker
Republican

The 2014 Massachusetts gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Massachusetts, concurrently with the election of Massachusetts' Class II U.S. Senate seat, and other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Contents

Incumbent Democratic Governor Deval Patrick was eligible to seek a third term but stated in January 2011 that he would not run for re-election. [2] [3] The office of lieutenant governor had been vacant since the resignation of Tim Murray in June 2013.

Primary elections for governor and lieutenant governor were conducted separately on September 9, 2014: the Democrats nominated Massachusetts Attorney General Martha Coakley and former CEO of the Democratic National Convention Steve Kerrigan, and the Republicans nominated former state cabinet secretary and 2010 gubernatorial nominee Charlie Baker and former state representative Karyn Polito.

Baker defeated Coakley and three other candidates in the general election. This is the last Massachusetts gubernatorial election where the winning candidate did not win every county.

Democratic primary

Governor

Candidates

Eliminated at convention
Withdrew
Declined

Endorsements

Joe Avellone
Individuals
  • Joseph Petty, Mayor of Worcester [21]
  • Tom Hoye, Mayor of Taunton [22]
  • Ray Mitchell, Fall River City Councilor
  • Patrick McDermott, Norfolk County Register of Probate
  • John Gilis, Norfolk County Commissioner
  • Douglas S. Gutro, Quincy City Councilor
  • Kevin F. Coughlin, Quincy City Councilor
  • Noel DiBona, Quincy School Committeeman
  • Alice Peisch, state representative [23]
  • Jass Stewart, Brockton City Councilor [24]
  • Morris A. Bergman, Worcester City Councilor [25]
  • Kathleen M. Toomey, Worcester City Councilor [25]
  • Anthony J. Economou, Worcester City Councilor [25]
  • Sarai Rivera, Worcester City Councilor [25]
  • Tim McCarthy, Boston City Councilor [26]
  • Sherry Costa Hanlon, Taunton City Councilor [27]
  • Christine Fagan, Taunton School Committee member [27]
Don Berwick
Individuals
Organizations
  • Jamaica Plain Progressives [40]
  • Mass-Care [41]
  • Progressive Democrats of Massachusetts [42]
  • Progressive Massachusetts [43]
Newspapers
Martha Coakley
Individuals
Organizations
Labor Unions
  • 1199SEIU United Healthcare Workers East [55]
  • International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers (IBEW) 103 [56]
  • Massachusetts Coalition of Police [56]
  • Massachusetts Police Association [56]
  • New England Regional Council of Carpenters [57]
  • Painters & Allied Trades District Council #35 [56]
  • Sheet Metal Workers Local 63 [49]
  • Utility Workers Union of America (UWUA) 369 [56]
Newspapers
  • The Rainbow Times [58]
Steve Grossman
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers

Debate

2014 Massachusetts gubernatorial election democratic primary debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Joseph Avellone Donald Berwick Martha Coakley Steven Grossman Juliette Kayyem
1January 29, 2014Jim Madigan YouTube PPPPP

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Joseph
Avellone
Donald
Berwick
Martha
Coakley
Steven
Grossman
Juliette
Kayyem
Dan
Wolf
OtherUndecided
WBUR/MassINC September 2–7, 2014234± 6.4%12%41%20%1%27%
Boston Globe September 2–3, 2014400± 4.8%13%47%25%14%
UMass Lowell August 25–31, 2014685± 4.55%9%52%20%19%
WBUR/MassINC August 24–31, 2014340± 5.3%6%47%23%<1%24%
Boston Globe August 17–19 & 24–26, 2014361± 5.2%10%46%24%21%
Suffolk Archived 2014-08-26 at the Wayback Machine August 21–24, 2014400± 4.9%15.75%42.25%30%12%
Boston Globe August 10–12 & 17–19, 2014358± 5.2%10%45%24%21%
Boston Globe August 3–5 & 10–12, 2014357± 5.2%10%45%21%24%
Boston Globe July 27–29 & August 3–5, 2014361± 5.2%9%45%18%28%
Boston Globe July 20–22 & 27–29, 2014369± 5.1%5%45%20%30%
Boston Globe July 13–15 & 20–22, 2014374± 5.1%5%46%18%30%
Boston Globe July 7–8 & 13–15, 2014362± 5.1%6%50%16%28%
Boston Globe June 29–July 1 & 7–8, 2014365± 5.1%5%53%17%26%
Boston Globe June 22–24 & 29–July 1, 2014373± ?6%52%18%24%
Boston Globe June 15–17 & 22–24, 2014392± ?8%52%19%21%
Boston Globe June 8–10 & 15–17, 2014198± ?8%52%19%21%
Boston Globe June 1–3 & 8–10, 2014442± 4.7%2%3%49%14%3%30%
Suffolk University Archived 2014-07-13 at the Wayback Machine June 4–7, 2014450± 4.6%1.78%4%44%12%2.44%35.77%
WBUR/MassINC May 16–18, 2014262± 6.1%1%3%51%7%4%1%32%
UMass March 31–April 6, 2014156± ?3%39%9%3%2%44%
WBUR/MassINC March 14–16, 2014237± ?1%4%45%14%2%2%32%
Suffolk University January 29–February 3, 2014309± 4%0.97%0.97%56.31%10.68%4.21%26.86%
Public Policy Polling September 20–23, 2013324± 5.4%4%6%57%10%2%3%17%
Hypothetical polling
With Capuano and Coakley
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Joseph
Avellone
Donald
Berwick
Mike
Capuano
Martha
Coakley
Steven
Grossman
Juliette
Kayyem
Dan
Wolf
Undecided
Public Policy Polling September 20–23, 2013324± 5.4%8%4%21%41%9%1%2%13%
Without Coakley
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Joseph
Avellone
Donald
Berwick
Mike
Capuano
Mo
Cowan
William
Galvin
Steven
Grossman
Carmen
Ortiz
Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 1–2, 2013666± 3.9%5%4%17%4%13%6%5%44%
With Coakley and Murray
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Suzanne
Bump
Martha
Coakley
Steven
Grossman
Tim
Murray
Setti
Warren
OtherUndecided
Suffolk University Archived 2012-10-04 at the Wayback Machine May 20–22, 2012600± 4.1%3%35%11%13%6%10%23%
Suffolk University Archived 2012-03-06 at the Wayback Machine February 11–15, 2012600± 4.1%1%43%7%11%8%15%16%

Results

Democratic convention vote [69]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Steve Grossman 1,547 35.2
Democratic Martha Coakley 1,024 23.3
Democratic Donald Berwick 972 22.1
Democratic Juliette Kayyem53512.1
Democratic Joseph Avellone3117.1
Total votes4,389 100

Bold denotes candidate met the minimum threshold of fifteen percent to appear on the primary ballot.

Primary results by municipality Massachusetts Democratic gubernatorial primary results by municipality, 2014.svg
Primary results by municipality
Democratic primary results [70]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Martha Coakley 229,156 42.4
Democratic Steve Grossman196,59436.4
Democratic Donald Berwick113,98821.1
Democratic Other9950.2
Democratic Blank votes 15,359
Total votes556,092 100.00

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Declared
Eliminated at convention
Withdrew

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
James
Arena-DeRosa
Leland
Cheung
Jonathan
Edwards
Stephen
Kerrigan
Michael
Lake
OtherUndecided
Boston Globe September 2–3, 2014400± 4.8%7%23%9%60%
UMass Lowell August 25–31, 2014685± 4.55%10%24%10%57%
Boston Globe August 17–19 & 24–26, 2014361± 5.2%5%14%7%74%
Suffolk Archived 2014-08-26 at the Wayback Machine August 21–24, 2014400± 4.9%8.75%9.5%9%72.75%
Boston Globe August 10–12 & 17–19, 2014358± 5.2%7%12%5%75%
Boston Globe June 1–3 & 8–10, 2014442± 4.7%3%5%5%3%85%
Suffolk Archived 2014-07-13 at the Wayback Machine June 4–7, 2014450± 4.6%0.89%4%4%2.67%88.44%
Suffolk January 29–February 3, 2014309± ?1.94%4.53%3.565.5%2.27%82.2%

Results

Democratic convention vote [69]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Steve Kerrigan 1,625 37.6
Democratic Michael Lake 1,529 35.4
Democratic Leland Cheung 695 16.2
Democratic James Arena-DeRosa46010.6
Total votes4,304 100

Bold denotes candidate met the minimum threshold of 15 percent to appear on the primary ballot

2014 Massachusetts Democratic lieutenant gubernatorial primary results by municipality.svg
Democratic primary results [70]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Steve Kerrigan 222,562 50.7
Democratic Leland Cheung128,64529.3
Democratic Michael Lake86,00619.6
Democratic All Others1,4350.3
Democratic Blank Votes 117,444
Total votes556,092 100

Republican primary

Governor

Candidates

Declined

Campaign

At the Republican State Convention on March 22, 2014, Baker received 2,095 votes (82.708%), businessman and Tea Party activist Mark Fisher received 374 votes (14.765%) and there were 64 blank votes (2.527%). The threshold for making the ballot is 15% and the Party announced that Baker had thus received the nomination without the need for a primary election. [85] However, Fisher argued that according to the Convention Rules, blank votes are not counted for the purposes of determining the winner and that he thus received 15.148%, enough to make the ballot. He sued the Massachusetts Republican State Committee and his case was due to be heard in Suffolk Superior Court between May 2 and June 18. [86] [87]

The committee's lawyer, Louis M. Ciavarra, said that in negotiations with the committee, Fisher declined their offer of being placed on the ballot, and instead asked for $1 million in return for dropping the suit. Ciavarra said that after it was pointed out to Fisher and his representatives that this would be illegal, they allegedly lowered their request to $650,000. Fisher's lawyer, Thomas M. Harvey, has confirmed that Fisher had asked for $1 million, which he called a "starting point", saying that Fisher should be "compensated" for his efforts, in addition to receiving a place on the ballot. He later said that the request for $650,000 was "still negotiable" and added that "you don't ask for what you expect". [88] [89] [90] Fisher himself has denied asking for a "payoff", instead saying that party officials had offered him a "bribe" in December 2013 in return for dropping out. He refused to say who made the offer, claiming to have been under a gag order, though no such order existed. [91] [92] He said that he only asked for $1 million during the negotiations because he had been asked for a figure and it was the sum that he claimed the party had offered to him. He further denied the claim that he had offered to withdraw in exchange for the money, saying that he wanted a place on the ballot, for the State Committee to release the "tally sheets" which he claims show that he rightfully won a place on the ballot, and to be reimbursed $100,000 in damages: for the cost of legal fees and of collecting signatures to make the ballot by petition. [93]

On May 9, 2014, a week into the case, Judge Douglas Wilkins accepted the State Committee's offer to certify Fisher on the primary ballot and put off the expedited June 16 trial date. [94] [95] The State Committee had not at that point turned over the "tally sheets" and the judge did not order them to do so, instead inviting Fisher's attorneys to submit an amended complaint. [95] The State Committee also asked that the trial, discovery and deliberation over damages be postponed until after the election. The judge did not rule on that request, [96] but he did rule that the other portions of Fisher's complaint would proceed at a later date, with no need for an expedited trial before the primary. [97]

A debate was held between Baker and Fisher on August 21. They clashed on jobs, gun control and higher education. Baker called for "constructive friction" in electing him governor to counterbalance the Democratic-controlled General Court and said that he would "clean up the regulatory morass, control spending [and] reduce taxes." Fisher criticised the rise in food stamps, rising cost of entitlement programmes and illegal immigration. [98] In the primary election on September 9, Baker defeated Fisher 116,004 votes (74.1%) to 40,240 (25.7%). In February 2015, Fisher settled with the State Party for $240,000. Executive Director Brian Wynne said that despite the settlement, the Party denied his accusations and said that the settlement was forced on them because of mounting legal costs. [99]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Charlie
Baker
Mark
Fisher
OtherUndecided
WBUR/MassINC August 24–31, 2014340± 5.3%59%7%<1%33%
Suffolk University Archived 2014-08-26 at the Wayback Machine August 21–24, 2014400± 4.9%70.25%11.25%17.75%
Suffolk University Archived 2014-07-13 at the Wayback Machine June 4–7, 2014202± 6.9%63.37%4.95%30.20%
Suffolk University January 29–February 3, 2014162± 4%63.58%10.49%25.31%

Results

Municipal results of the Republican primary for the Massachusetts gubernatorial election, 2014 Massachusetts Republican gubernatorial primary results by municipality, 2014.svg
Municipal results of the Republican primary for the Massachusetts gubernatorial election, 2014
Republican primary results [70]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Charlie Baker 116,004 74.1
Republican Mark Fisher40,24025.7
Republican All Others3360.2
Republican Blank Votes 30,327
Total votes159,936 100

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Independents and third parties

Participants at the MassEquality/WGBH 2014 Gubernatorial Forum on LBGTQ equality in Boston, March 25, 2014. From left to right: Joe Avellone, Don Berwick, Martha Coakley, Evan Falchuk, Steve Grossman, Juliette Kayyem, Scott Lively, Jeff McCormick. 2014 MassEquality forum 01.jpg
Participants at the MassEquality/WGBH 2014 Gubernatorial Forum on LBGTQ equality in Boston, March 25, 2014. From left to right: Joe Avellone, Don Berwick, Martha Coakley, Evan Falchuk, Steve Grossman, Juliette Kayyem, Scott Lively, Jeff McCormick.

Candidates

Declared

  • Running mate: Angus Jennings, professional planner/consultant [102]
  • Running mate: Shelly Saunders [104]
  • Jeff McCormick, co-founder and managing partner of venture capital firm Saturn Partners [105]

General election

Debates

2014 Massachusetts gubernatorial election debates
No.DateHostModeratorLink Republican Democratic United Independent Independent Independent
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Charlie Baker Martha Coakley Evan Falchuk Scott Lively Jeff McCormick
1October 7, 2014 WBZ-TV Jon Keller C-SPAN PPPPP
2October 21, 2014 WGBH-TV Jim Braude
Margery Eagan
C-SPAN PPNNN
3October 27, 2014 New England Cable News
Telegram & Gazette
Latoyia Edwards C-SPAN PPNNN

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [107] TossupNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball [108] Lean R (flip)November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report [109] Tilt R (flip)November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics [110] TossupNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Martha
Coakley (D)
Charlie
Baker (R)
Evan
Falchuk (UIP)
Scott
Lively (I)
Jeff
McCormick (I)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling October 30–November 2, 2014887± 3.3%42%46%3%3%1%6%
47%48%5%
WNEU October 21–30, 2014430 LV± 5%41%46%3%1%1%8%
522 RV± 4%40%41%4%2%1%12%
Suffolk University October 27–29, 2014500± 4.4%43%46%3%1%2%6%
Boston Globe October 26–29, 2014600± 4%37%44%4%2%1%11%
Emerson College October 26–29, 2014627± 3.85%42%48%4%6%
Umass Amherst October 20–27, 2014591 LV± 4.4%47%44%3%2%2%<1%3%
800 RV± 3.8%47%41%3%2%3%<1%3%
WBUR/MassINC October 22–25, 2014494± 4.4%42%43%4%2%1%1%8%
UMass Lowell October 21–25, 2014601 LV± 4.5%41%45%3%1%2%8%
1,001 RV± 3.6%42%38%2%1%2%15%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 20142,218± 3%45%41%1%13%
GreenbergQuinlanRosner October 20–22, 2014611± 4%45%44%5%5%
Boston Globe October 19–22, 2014500± 4.4%36%45%3%2%2%11%
WBUR/MassINC October 15–18, 2014501± 4.4%42%43%1%1%2%<1%10%
Rasmussen Reports October 13–14, 2014980± 3%46%48%2%5%
Boston Globe October 12–14, 2014400± 4.9%41%41%3%3%2%10%
WBUR/MassINC October 8–11, 2014500± 4.4%42%39%2%1%2%0%14%
Emerson College October 7, 2014500± 4.3%39%45%16%
Boston Globe October 5–7, 2014400± 4.9%39%34%3%2%2%20%
WBUR/MassINC October 1–4, 2014504± 4.4%41%39%2%2%1%1%14%
Umass Amherst September 26–October 2, 2014414 LV± 5.5%48%44%2%2%2%0%2%
600 RV± 4.6%48%41%2%3%3%<1%3%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20–October 1, 20142,389± 2%47%41%1%11%
Boston Globe September 28–30, 2014401± 4.89%36%39%2%1%1%21%
Suffolk University September 25–28, 2014500± 4.4%44%43%2%0%2%9%
WNEU September 20–28, 2014416 LV± 5%43%44%2%1%2%8%
536 RV± 4%40%41%2%2%3%12%
WBUR/MassINC September 24–27, 2014503± 4.4%44%41%1%1%2%>1%11%
Boston Globe September 21–23, 2014400± 4.9%38%40%2%1%2%18%
Umass Amherst September 19–23, 2014440 LV± ?45%46%2%2%2%<1%2%
600 RV± 4.4%47%42%2%3%3%<1%3%
WBUR/MassINC September 16–21, 2014502± 4.4%46%36%2%1%1%1%13%
Rasmussen Reports September 16–17, 2014750± 4%42%42%5%10%
Boston Globe September 14–16, 2014407± 4.85%39%36%2%3%1%19%
WBUR/MassINC September 11–14, 2014504± 4.4%44%35%<1%1%2%1%16%
WBUR/MassINC September 2–7, 2014500± 4.4%39%34%1%1%1%2%21%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18–September 2, 20143,361± 2%43%35%6%16%
WBUR/MassINC August 24–31, 2014700± 3.7%40%31%1%1%2%2%22%
UMass Lowell August 25–31, 20141,624± 2.94%41%32%1%7%20%
Boston Globe August 17–19 & 24–26, 2014605± 4%37%38%2%5%18%
Boston Globe August 10–12 & 17–19, 2014605± 4%41%34%2%6%18%
Boston Globe August 3–5 & 10–12, 2014606± 4%40%32%1%6%21%
Boston Globe July 27–29 & August 3–5, 2014605± 4%42%31%2%5%21%
MassINC July 28–August 3, 2014388± ?44%41%15%
Boston Globe July 20–22 & 27–29, 2014601± 4%42%32%2%5%19%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 20141,899± 4.9%51%36%4%8%
Boston Globe July 13–15 & 20–22, 2014625± 3.9%38%33%1%8%19%
Boston Globe July 7–8 & 13–15, 2014605± 4%39%36%1%7%16%
Boston Globe June 29–July 1 & 7–8, 2014604± 4%40%35%2%6%18%
Boston Globe June 22–24 & 29–July 1, 2014601± 4%40%31%2%6%22%
WBUR/MassINC June 27–29, 2014502± 4.4%41%28%2%1%2%2%22%
Boston Globe June 15–17 & 22–24, 2014604± 3.9%41%30%1%7%21%
Boston Globe June 8–10 & 15–17, 2014630± 3.9%43%30%0%6%20%
Boston Globe June 1–3 & 8–10, 2014697± 3.7%42%31%1%6%20%
Suffolk University Archived 2016-03-04 at the Wayback Machine June 4–7, 2014800± 3.5%36%29%1%1%2%32%
Boston Globe Archived 2017-05-27 at the Wayback Machine May 29–June 3, 2014602± 4%37%32%2%7%22%
WBUR/MassINC May 16–18, 2014504± 4.4%39%30%1%3%1%25%
WNEU March 31–April 7, 2014477± 5%54%25%3%3%15%
UMass Amherst March 31–April 6, 2014500± 5.9%45%34%21%
WBUR/MassINC March 14–16, 2014500± 4.4%41%26%1%1%3%27%
Suffolk University January 29–February 3, 2014600± 4%44%31%1%1%2%21%
Purple Strategies Archived 2014-02-02 at the Wayback Machine January 21–23, 2014500± 4.4%46%36%18%
WBUR/MassINC January 16–19, 2014504± 4.4%39%29%1%3%2%26%
WNEU October 1–7, 2013431± ?%54%34%12%
Public Policy Polling September 20–23, 2013616± 4%51%38%11%
Public Policy Polling June 22–24, 2012902± 3.3%47%34%19%
Public Policy Polling March 16–18, 2012936± 3.2%49%29%22%
Hypothetical polling
With Avellone
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Joseph
Avellone (D)
Charlie
Baker (R)
OtherUndecided
Boston Globe June 1–3 & 8–10, 2014697± 3.7%19%36%9% [111] 37%
Suffolk University Archived 2014-07-13 at the Wayback Machine June 4–7, 2014800± 3.5%17%30%5% [112] 49%
Boston Globe Archived 2017-05-27 at the Wayback Machine May 29–June 3, 2014602± 4%17%36%11% [113] 36%
Suffolk University January 29–February 3, 2014600± 4%19%38%5% [112] 39%
WBUR/MassINC January 16–19, 2014504± 4.4%13%36%12% [114] 39%
Public Policy Polling September 20–23, 2013616± 4%30%40%30%
Public Policy Polling May 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%24%33%43%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Joseph
Avellone (D)
Scott
Brown (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling May 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%29%46%24%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Joseph
Avellone (D)
Mark
Fisher (R)
OtherUndecided
Suffolk University January 29–February 3, 2014600± 4%21.83%19.33%7.17% [115] 51.66%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Joseph
Avellone (D)
Richard
Tisei (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling May 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%29%25%46%
With Berwick
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Donald
Berwick (D)
Charlie
Baker (R)
OtherUndecided
WBUR/MassINC September 2–7, 2014500± 4.4%18%39%10% [116] 33%
WBUR/MassINC August 24–31, 2014700± 3.7%19%37%10% [117] 33%
Boston Globe August 17–19 & 24–26, 2014605± 4%19%44%8% [118] 29%
Boston Globe August 10–12 & 17–19, 2014605± 4%22%40%8% [118] 30%
Boston Globe August 3–5 & 10–12, 2014606± 4%22%37%7% [119] 33%
Boston Globe July 27–29 & August 3–5, 2014605± 4%23%36%7% [119] 34%
Boston Globe July 20–22 & 27–29, 2014601± 4%24%37%8% [120] 30%
Boston Globe July 13–15 & 20–22, 2014625± 3.9%20%41%11% [121] 28%
Boston Globe July 7–8 & 13–15, 2014605± 4%18%42%12% [122] 29%
Boston Globe June 29–July 1 & 7–8, 2014604± 4%17%40%11% [123] 32%
Boston Globe June 22–24 & 29–July 1, 2014601± 4%17%37%11% [113] 35%
WBUR/MassINC June 27–29, 2014502± 4.4%19%31%14% [124] 38%
Boston Globe June 15–17 & 22–24, 2014604± 3.9%19%37%10% [125] 35%
Boston Globe June 8–10 & 15–17, 2014630± 3.9%20%36%7% [119] 36%
Boston Globe June 1–3 & 8–10, 2014697± 3.7%20%36%8% [120] 36%
Suffolk University Archived 2014-07-13 at the Wayback Machine June 4–7, 2014800± 3.5%18.63%29.63%4.76% [126] 47.01%
Boston Globe Archived 2017-05-27 at the Wayback Machine May 29–June 3, 2014602± 4%18%37%11% [113] 35%
WBUR/MassINC May 16–18, 2014504± 4.4%16%35%11% [127] 39%
UMass Amherst March 31–April 6, 2014500± 5.9%29%32%39%
WBUR/MassINC March 14–16, 2014500± 4.4%17%36%7% [128] 40%
Suffolk University January 29–February 3, 2014600± 4%18.5%38.33%5.33% [129] 37.84%
WBUR/MassINC January 16–19, 2014504± 4.4%13%36%12% [114] 40%
Public Policy Polling September 20–23, 2013616± 4%31%38%31%
Public Policy Polling May 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%25%35%41%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Donald
Berwick (D)
Scott
Brown (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling January 29–30, 2013763± 3.6%32%49%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Donald
Berwick (D)
Mark
Fisher (R)
OtherUndecided
WBUR/MassINC June 27–29, 2014502± 4.4%21%14%18% [130] 48%
Suffolk University January 29–February 3, 2014600± 4%21.17%19.17%7.5% [131] 47.33%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Donald
Berwick (D)
Richard
Tisei (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling May 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%28%24%48%
With Capuano
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mike
Capuano (D)
Charlie
Baker (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling September 20–23, 2013616± 4%42%37%21%
UMass Amherst May 30–June 4, 2013500± 5.4%36%24%40%
Public Policy Polling May 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%35%33%32%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mike
Capuano (D)
Scott
Brown (R)
OtherUndecided
UMass Amherst May 30–June 4, 2013500± 5.4%33%45%22%
Public Policy Polling May 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%38%45%17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mike
Capuano (D)
Richard
Tisei (R)
OtherUndecided
UMass Amherst May 30–June 4, 2013500± 5.4%40%20%40%
Public Policy Polling May 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%38%24%39%
With Coakley
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Martha
Coakley (D)
Mark
Fisher (R)
OtherUndecided
WBUR/MassINC June 27–29, 2014502± 4.4%43%13%14% [132] 30%
Suffolk University January 29–February 3, 2014600± 4%48.67%16.33%5% [133] 30%
Purple Strategies Archived 2014-02-02 at the Wayback Machine January 21–23, 2014500± 4.4%50%30%20%
With Cowan
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mo
Cowan (D)
Charlie
Baker (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling May 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%26%33%41%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mo
Cowan (D)
Scott
Brown (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling May 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%31%48%21%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mo
Cowan (D)
Richard
Tisei (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling May 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%30%25%45%
With Galvin
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
William F.
Galvin (D)
Charlie
Baker (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling May 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%37%31%33%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
William F.
Galvin (D)
Scott
Brown (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling May 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%39%43%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
William F.
Galvin (D)
Richard
Tisei (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling May 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%39%24%27%
With Grossman
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Steven
Grossman (D)
Charlie
Baker (R)
OtherUndecided
WBUR/MassINC September 2–7, 2014500± 4.4%28%34%7% [134] 30%
UMass Lowell August 25–31, 20141,624± 2.94%31%33%10% [125] 27%
WBUR/MassINC August 24–31, 2014700± 3.7%29%34%6% [135] 31%
Boston Globe August 17–19 & 24–26, 2014605± 4%33%37%7% [136] 22%
Boston Globe August 10–12 & 17–19, 2014605± 4%32%34%7% [136] 26%
Boston Globe August 3–5 & 10–12, 2014606± 4%29%32%8% [118] 31%
Boston Globe July 27–29 & August 3–5, 2014605± 4%30%31%8% [118] 31%
MassINC July 28–August 3, 2014388± ?39%35%25%
Boston Globe July 20–22 & 27–29, 2014601± 4%29%34%9% [137] 28%
Boston Globe July 13–15 & 20–22, 2014625± 3.9%27%37%10% [138] 26%
Boston Globe July 7–8 & 13–15, 2014605± 4%19%37%9% [111] 25%
Boston Globe June 29–July 1 & 7–8, 2014604± 4%27%36%9% [137] 29%
Boston Globe June 22–24 & 29–July 1, 2014601± 4%26%34%9% [137] 31%
WBUR/MassINC June 27–29, 2014502± 4.4%28%30%11% [139] 30%
Boston Globe June 15–17 & 22–24, 2014604± 3.9%28%31%9% [137] 32%
Boston Globe June 8–10 & 15–17, 2014630± 3.9%27%30%8% [120] 35%
Boston Globe June 1–3 & 8–10, 2014697± 3.7%28%31%8% [120] 33%
Suffolk University Archived 2014-07-13 at the Wayback Machine June 4–7, 2014800± 3.5%24.25%26.5%4.01% [140] 45.25%
Boston Globe Archived 2017-05-27 at the Wayback Machine May 29–June 3, 2014602± 4%26%32%10% [125] 31%
WBUR/MassINC May 16–18, 2014504± 4.4%25%33%8% [141] 34%
WNEU March 31–April 7, 2014477± 5%38%29%13% [142] 20%
UMass Amherst March 31–April 6, 2014500± 5.9%35%29%36%
WBUR/MassINC March 14–16, 2014500± 4.4%24%32%8% [141] 36%
Suffolk University January 29–February 3, 2014600± 4%28.33%33.33%6% [143] 32.33%
Purple Strategies Archived 2014-02-02 at the Wayback Machine January 21–23, 2014500± 4.4%34%35%31%
WBUR/MassINC January 16–19, 2014504± 4.4%23%33%8% [144] 36%
WNEU October 1–7, 2013431± ?%43%30%27%
Public Policy Polling September 20–23, 2013616± 4%38%37%25%
UMass Amherst May 30–June 4, 2013500± 5.4%27%26%47%
Public Policy Polling May 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%32%31%37%
Public Policy Polling June 22–24, 2012902± 3.3%36%34%27%
Public Policy Polling March 16–18, 2012936± 3.2%37%30%33%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Steven
Grossman (D)
Scott
Brown (R)
OtherUndecided
UMass Amherst May 30–June 4, 2013500± 5.4%26%55%19%
Public Policy Polling May 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%34%46%19%
Public Policy Polling January 29–30, 2013763± 3.6%37%48%15%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Steven
Grossman (D)
Mark
Fisher (R)
OtherUndecided
WBUR/MassINC June 27–29, 2014502± 4.4%31%15%17% [145] 38%
Suffolk University January 29–February 3, 2014600± 4%35.33%17.17%6% [146] 41.5%
Purple Strategies Archived 2014-02-02 at the Wayback Machine January 21–23, 2014500± 4.4%35%26%38%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Steven
Grossman (D)
Richard
Tisei (R)
OtherUndecided
UMass Amherst May 30–June 4, 2013500± 5.4%27%26%47%
Public Policy Polling May 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%34%25%41%
Public Policy Polling January 29–30, 2013763± 3.6%37%48%15%
With Kayyem
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Juliette
Kayyem (D)
Charlie
Baker (R)
OtherUndecided
Boston Globe June 1–3 & 8–10, 2014697± 3.7%20%36%8% [120] 36%
Suffolk University Archived 2014-07-13 at the Wayback Machine June 4–7, 2014800± 3.5%20%28%4.51% [147] 47.5%
Boston Globe Archived 2017-05-27 at the Wayback Machine May 29–June 3, 2014602± 4%20%36%9% [137] 36%
WBUR/MassINC May 16–18, 2014504± 4.4%17%36%9% [148] 38%
UMass Amherst March 31–April 6, 2014500± 5.9%32%32%36%
WBUR/MassINC March 14–16, 2014500± 4.4%19%34%8% [141] 39%
Suffolk University January 29–February 3, 2014600± 4%19%36.83%5.67% [143] 38.5%
WBUR/MassINC January 16–19, 2014504± 4.4%15%37%10% [149] 38%
Public Policy Polling September 20–23, 2013616± 4%31%38%31%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Juliette
Kayyem (D)
Mark
Fisher (R)
OtherUndecided
Suffolk University January 29–February 3, 2014600± 4%24.33%19.17%6.83% [150] 49.66%
With Kennedy
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Joseph P.
Kennedy II (D)
Charlie
Baker (R)
OtherUndecided
UMass Amherst May 30–June 4, 2013500± 5.4%48%25%27%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Joseph P.
Kennedy II (D)
Scott
Brown (R)
OtherUndecided
UMass Amherst May 30–June 4, 2013500± 5.4%41%42%17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Joseph P.
Kennedy II (D)
Richard
Tisei (R)
OtherUndecided
UMass Amherst May 30–June 4, 2013500± 5.4%40%33%27%
With Murray
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Tim
Murray (D)
Charlie
Baker (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling June 22–24, 2012902± 3.3%36%37%27%
Public Policy Polling March 16–18, 2012936± 3.2%37%32%31%
With Ortiz
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Carmen
Ortiz (D)
Charlie
Baker (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling May 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%27%35%38%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Carmen
Ortiz (D)
Scott
Brown (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling May 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%31%49%20%
Public Policy Polling January 29–30, 2012763± 3.6%32%49%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Carmen
Ortiz (D)
Richard
Tisei (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling May 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%29%27%44%
With Wolf
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Dan
Wolf (D)
Charlie
Baker (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling September 20–23, 2013616± 4%31%37%31%

Results

Massachusetts gubernatorial election, 2014 [151]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Charlie Baker 1,044,573 48.39% +6.39%
Democratic Martha Coakley 1,004,40846.54%-1.88%
United Independent Evan Falchuk71,8143.33%N/A
Independent Scott Lively 19,3780.90%N/A
Independent Jeff McCormick16,2950.75%N/A
Write-in 1,8580.09%-0.02%
Total votes2,158,326 100.00% N/A
Republican gain from Democratic

Results by county

2014 United States gubernatorial election in Massachusetts (by county) [152]
CountyBaker %Baker #Coakley %Coakley #Others %Others #Total #
Barnstable 53.0%52,25142.1%41,5254.8%4,77998,555
Berkshire 27.9%11,20165.2%26,2077.0%2,80840,216
Bristol 48.8%72,64144.4%66,0456.8%10,186148,872
Dukes 33.8%2,49360.6%4,4775.6%4167,386
Essex 52.3%135,36542.4%109,7765.3%13,818258,959
Franklin 32.8%8,82656.1%15,07711.1%2,98326,886
Hampden 47.0%64,85039.7%54,75113.3%18,315137,916
Hampshire 34.2%19,10355.5%30,98210.3%5,74155,826
Middlesex 44.9%238,75049.7%264,3195.4%28,610531,679
Nantucket 46.1%1,71748.8%1,8175.1%1903,724
Norfolk 52.4%133,32842.4%107,8915.1%13,008254,227
Plymouth 56.6%102,55137.6%68,1415.7%10,374181,066
Suffolk 31.3%57,75463.2%116,6105.5%10,109184,473
Worcester 55.9%143,74337.7%96,7906.4%16,471257,004

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Results by Congressional district

Baker won 6 of the 9 congressional districts, which all elected Democrats.

DistrictBakerCoakleyRepresentative
1st 45%46% Richard Neal
2nd 51%43% Jim McGovern
3rd 52%43% Niki Tsongas
4th 52%43% Joe Kennedy III
5th 43%53% Katherine Clark
6th 55%41% John Tierney
Seth Moulton
7th 25%71% Mike Capuano
8th 52%44% Stephen Lynch
9th 53%42% Bill Keating

See also

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  111. 1 2 Evan Falchuk 1%, Jeff McCormick 8%
  112. 1 2 Evan Falchuk 1%, Scott Lively 1%, Jeff McCormick 3%
  113. 1 2 3 Evan Falchuk 2%, Jeff McCormick 9%
  114. 1 2 Evan Falchuk 2%, Jeff McCormick 8%, Other 2%
  115. Evan Falchuk 1.5%, Scott Lively 1%, Jeff McCormick 4.67%
  116. Evan Falchuk 1%, Scott Lively 3%, Jeff McCormick 2%, Other 4%
  117. Evan Falchuk 2%, Scott Lively 2%, Jeff McCormick 2%, Other 4%
  118. 1 2 3 4 Evan Falchuk 2%, Jeff McCormick 6%
  119. 1 2 3 Evan Falchuk 1%, Jeff McCormick 6%
  120. 1 2 3 4 5 Evan Falchuk 1%, Jeff McCormick 7%
  121. Evan Falchuk 1%, Jeff McCormick 10%
  122. Evan Falchuk 2%, Jeff McCormick 10%
  123. Evan Falchuk 3%, Jeff McCormick 8%
  124. Evan Falchuk 2%, Scott Lively 3%, Jeff McCormick 5%, Other 4%
  125. 1 2 3 Evan Falchuk 2%, Jeff McCormick 8%
  126. Evan Falchuk 1.63%, Scott Lively 0.88%, Jeff McCormick 2.25%
  127. Evan Falchuk 2%, Jeff McCormick 4%, Other 5%
  128. Evan Falchuk 2%, Jeff McCormick 2%, Other 3%
  129. Evan Falchuk 1.33%, Scott Lively 0.67%, Jeff McCormick 3.33%
  130. Evan Falchuk 2%, Scott Lively 4%, Jeff McCormick 9%, Other 3%
  131. Evan Falchuk 1.5%, Scott Lively 1.5%, Jeff McCormick 4.5%
  132. Evan Falchuk 2%, Scott Lively 2%, Jeff McCormick 6%, Other 4%
  133. Evan Falchuk 1.33%, Scott Lively 0.67%, Jeff McCormick 3%
  134. Evan Falchuk 1%, Scott Lively 1%, Jeff McCormick 1%, Other 4%
  135. Evan Falchuk 1%, Scott Lively 1%, Jeff McCormick 1%, Other 3%
  136. 1 2 Evan Falchuk 2%, Jeff McCormick 5%
  137. 1 2 3 4 5 Evan Falchuk 2%, Jeff McCormick 7%
  138. Evan Falchuk 1%, Jeff McCormick 9%
  139. Evan Falchuk 2%, Scott Lively 2%, Jeff McCormick 5%, Other 2%
  140. Evan Falchuk 0.63%, Scott Lively 1.63%, Jeff McCormick 1.75%
  141. 1 2 3 Evan Falchuk 2%, Jeff McCormick 3%, Other 3%
  142. Evan Falchuk 4%, Jeff McCormick 9%
  143. 1 2 Evan Falchuk 1.17%, Scott Lively 1.33%, Jeff McCormick 3.17%
  144. Evan Falchuk 1%, Jeff McCormick 5%, Other 2%
  145. Evan Falchuk 3%, Scott Lively 3%, Jeff McCormick 8%, Other 3%
  146. Evan Falchuk 1.5%, Scott Lively 1.17%, Jeff McCormick 3.33%
  147. Evan Falchuk 1.38%, Scott Lively 1.38%, Jeff McCormick 1.75%
  148. Evan Falchuk 1%, Jeff McCormick 4%, Other 4%
  149. Evan Falchuk 2%, Jeff McCormick 7%, Other 1%
  150. Evan Falchuk 1.17%, Scott Lively 1.83%, Jeff McCormick 3.83%
  151. "PD43+ » Search Elections".
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