2020 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming

Last updated

2020 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming's at-large district
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  Liz Cheney official 116th Congress portrait (cropped).jpg Lynnette Grey Bull on Jenerational Change (cropped).png
Nominee Liz Cheney Lynnette Grey Bull
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote185,73266,576
Percentage68.6%24.6%
Wyoming House Election Results, 2020.svg
WY House 2020.svg
Cheney:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Grey Bull:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
     No data
U.S. Representative before election

Liz Cheney
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Liz Cheney
Republican

The 2020 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the U.S. representative from Wyoming's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

Contents

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Blake Stanley, rancher [2]

Endorsements

Liz Cheney
Organizations

Results

Results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Cheney 60-70% 70-80% 2020 WY-AL Republican primary.svg
Results by county:
  Cheney
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
Republican primary results [4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Liz Cheney (incumbent) 78,870 73.46
Republican Blake Stanley28,03926.12
Write-in 4540.42
Total votes107,363 100.00

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Carl Beach, international educator [6]
  • Carol Hafner, retired educator and progressive activist [7]

Declined

Endorsements

Lynnette Grey Bull
Federal officials
State officials
Organizations

Results

Results by county: Grey Bull 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 2020 WY-AL Democratic primary.svg
Results by county:
  Grey Bull
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
Democratic primary results [4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Lynnette Grey Bull 14,153 60.03
Democratic Carol Hafner5,17221.94
Democratic Carl Beach4,10717.42
Write-in 1440.61
Total votes23,576 100.00

General election

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [11] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Inside Elections [12] Safe ROctober 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [13] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Politico [14] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Daily Kos [15] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
RCP [16] Safe RNovember 2, 2020

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Liz
Cheney (R)		Lynette
Grey Bull (D)		Undecided
University of Wyoming October 8–28, 2020614 (LV)± 4%58%28%–

Results

Wyoming's at-large congressional district, 2020 [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Liz Cheney (incumbent) 185,732 68.56% +4.98%
Democratic Lynnette Grey Bull66,57624.58%-5.19%
Libertarian Richard Brubaker10,1543.75%+0.31%
Constitution Jeff Haggit7,9052.92%-0.10%
Write-in 5250.19%±0.00%
Total votes270,892 100.0% N/A
Republican hold
By county
County Liz Cheney
Republican 		Lynnette Grey Bull
Democratic 		Richard Brubaker
Libertarian 		Jeff Haggit
Constitution 		Write-inMarginTotal votes
#%#%#%#%#%#%
Albany 8,62947.348,44046.317374.043922.15280.151891.0418,226
Big Horn 4,58781.3372412.841432.541803.1960.113,86368.495,640
Campbell 15,73283.001,7139.047353.886943.66800.4214,01973.9618,954
Carbon 4,64471.361,33720.543134.812043.13100.153,30750.816,508
Converse 5,41880.0878511.602543.752934.33160.244,63368.486,766
Crook 3,44285.073378.331172.891413.4890.223,10576.744,046
Fremont 11,50564.625,22729.367113.993351.88260.156,27835.2617,804
Goshen 4,72276.971,03716.901592.592103.4270.113,68560.076,135
Hot Springs 1,91575.9042416.811054.16763.0130.121,49159.102,523
Johnson 3,71577.3579216.491863.871072.2330.062,92360.864,803
Laramie 27,64161.9913,86331.091,7904.011,1982.691000.2213,77861.9944,592
Lincoln 8,32480.931,42913.892622.552592.52110.116,89567.0410,285
Natrona 24,21470.477,45421.691,6524.819612.80780.2316,76048.7834,359
Niobrara 1,05381.6914511.25312.40584.5020.1690870.441,289
Park 12,37475.912,87417.635113.135053.10360.229,50058.2816,300
Platte 3,58974.4486818.001422.942154.4670.142,72156.444,821
Sheridan 11,58872.313,46021.595783.613732.33270.178,12850.7216,026
Sublette 3,72976.8983717.261282.641493.0770.142,89259.634,850
Sweetwater 11,09768.723,68022.797334.546113.78260.167,41745.9316,147
Teton 5,21036.308,62860.113832.671160.81160.11-3,418-23.8114,353
Uinta 6,78174.461,52116.702692.955225.73140.155,26057.769,107
Washakie 3,06377.7459915.201433.631263.2090.232,46462.543,940
Weston 2,76080.7540211.76722.111805.2740.122,35868.993,418
Totals185,73268.5666,57624.5810,1543.757,9052.925250.19119,15643.99270,892

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Notes

  1. ↑ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

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References

  1. ↑ Rogers, Alex; Byrd, Haley (January 16, 2020). "Liz Cheney won't run for US Senate seat from Wyoming". CNN. Retrieved January 16, 2020.
  2. ↑ Pridgeon, Sarah (August 20, 2020). "The results are in..." The Sundance Times. Retrieved August 21, 2020.
  3. ↑ "2020 Candidates". Maggie's List. Retrieved February 27, 2020.
  4. 1 2 "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming Primary Electionmary.xlsx" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved August 21, 2020.
  5. ↑ Barker, Alexis (June 3, 2020). "Neiman will run against Lindholm". News Letter Journal. Seeking the Democratic nomination are Carl Beach of Saratoga, Carol Hafner of Box Elder, South Dakota, and Lynette Greybull of Fort Washakie.
  6. ↑ Hirst, Greg (August 4, 2020). "RAWLINS NATIVE AND INTERNATIONAL EDUCATOR CARL BEACH VYING FOR DEM NOMINATION TO U.S. HOUSE". Oil City News. Retrieved August 21, 2020.
  7. ↑ Hirst, Greg (August 14, 2020). "U.S. HOUSE DEM CANDIDATE HAFNER RUNNING FOR A GREEN NEW DEAL, V.A. OVERHAUL, LEGAL CANNABIS". Oil City News. Retrieved August 21, 2020.
  8. ↑ Singiser, Steve. "Here's our ultimate Democratic wishlist for Senate in 2020. Who's on yours?". Daily Kos. Retrieved February 19, 2019.
  9. 1 2 3 4 5 "VOTE GREY BULL – DEMOCRAT FOR US CONGRESS – TUESDAY AUGUST 18". Archived from the original on July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 23, 2020.
  10. ↑ "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club.
  11. ↑ "2020 House Race Ratings for November 2, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  12. ↑ "2020 House Ratings". House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  13. ↑ "2020 House race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  14. ↑ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. April 5, 2021.
  15. ↑ "2020 House Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  16. ↑ "Battle for House 2020". RCP . Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  17. ↑ "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming General Election - November 3, 2020" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved November 11, 2020.
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