Andy Hines

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Andy Hines
Born (1962-03-22) 22 March 1962 (age 61)
NationalityAmerican
OccupationFuturist

Andy Hines (born March 22, 1962) is an American futurist, head of graduate studies in Foresight at the University of Houston, and author of several books on strategic foresight. Hines is a professional futurist, co-creator of the framework foresight method, [1] Assistant Professor and Program Coordinator of the Graduate Program in Foresight at the University of Houston, Principal of foresight consulting firm Hinesight, and former organizational futurist at Kellogg Company and Dow Chemical. He has written extensively on futures studies, strategic foresight, foresight research methods, the role of organizational futurists, and the consumer landscape.

Contents

Professional career

Hines joined Joseph Coates of Coates & Jarratt, Inc as a consulting futurist in 1990. [2] He then spent a decade crafting the role of an organizational futurist with The Kellogg Company as Senior Manager of Global Trends and thereafter at The Dow Chemical Company as Senior Ideation Leader. [3] He returned to foresight consulting as a managing director at Social Technologies (Innovaro) and simultaneously joined the faculty of the University of Houston as a Lecturer for the then Future Studies Graduate Program in 2005. In 2010 he established his own foresight consulting firm, Hinesight, which continues to operate. After the retirement of Peter Bishop in 2013, he was appointed as the current Program Coordinator and now Associate Professor for the Graduate Program in Foresight at the University of Houston, teaching various courses in futures studies and serving as advisor to Foresight students. He is also founding chair, Executive Director, and long-time Board member of the Association of Professional Futurists. [4] He is a member of the World Futures Studies Federation Accreditation Council for Foresight programs that was launched in 2021.

Hines’ published contributions including a regular column called “Hinesight” in the journal Foresight, originate from his specialty in integrating foresight into organizations. [5] He also explored the role of shifting personal values in understanding the consumer landscape, which consequently was the topic of his book Consumershift: How Changing Values Are Reshaping the Consumer Landscape published in 2011. [6] Hines has delivered more than 350 keynotes, presentations, and workshops on futures-related topics for clients in business, government, and non-profits. He designs and facilitates workshops using a variety of foresight methods, including the “framework foresight” method with he developed together with Peter Bishop, [7] for the purposes of innovation, strategy development, new business and product development. The “Framework Foresight” method is captured in the 2nd edition of Thinking about the Future. [8] Among his many clients are The Hershey Company, Library of Congress, Nissan, California Peace Officer Standards and Training (POST), CableLabs, the Lumina Foundation, Clorox, and the MD Anderson Cancer Center. • Associate Professor & Program Coordinator, Graduate Program in Foresight, University of Houston, 2013–Present • Principal, Hinesight, 2010–Present • Fellow, GAO Center for Strategic Foresight, Washington DC, 2018-presetn • Fulbright Fellowship, “Internationalization of Higher Education,” Bureau at Higher Education Commission (OHEC), Thailand Ministry of Education, Bangkok, May 24-June 22, 2019. • Most Significant Futures Work, Methods and Practice, Association of Professional Futurists, 2017 [Let’s Talk about Success: A Proposed Foresight Outcomes Framework for Organizational Futurists] • Director and Managing Director, Innovaro Social Technologies, 2006-2010 • Co-Founder, Chair and Board Member, Association of Professional Futurists, 2001-2010 • Lecturer & Adjunct Faculty, Graduate Program in Futures Studies, University of Houston, 2005–Present • Futurist & Ideation Leader, The Dow Chemical Company, 2000-2005 • North American Trends Program Manager and Global Trends Sr. Manager, The Kellogg Company, 1997-1998, 1998-1999 • Contributing Editor, The Futurist, 1996-1997 • Future Research Analyst and Partner, Coates & Jarratt, Inc., 1990-1996

Education

Selected works

Books

Selected Articles

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Future</span> Time after the present

The future is the time after the past and present. Its arrival is considered inevitable due to the existence of time and the laws of physics. Due to the apparent nature of reality and the unavoidability of the future, everything that currently exists and will exist can be categorized as either permanent, meaning that it will exist forever, or temporary, meaning that it will end. In the Occidental view, which uses a linear conception of time, the future is the portion of the projected timeline that is anticipated to occur. In special relativity, the future is considered absolute future, or the future light cone.

Scenario planning, scenario thinking, scenario analysis, scenario prediction and the scenario method all describe a strategic planning method that some organizations use to make flexible long-term plans. It is in large part an adaptation and generalization of classic methods used by military intelligence.

Futurists are people whose specialty or interest is futurology or the attempt to systematically explore predictions and possibilities about the future and how they can emerge from the present, whether that of human society in particular or of life on Earth in general.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Futures studies</span> Study of postulating possible, probable, and preferable futures

Futures studies, futures research, futurism or futurology is the systematic, interdisciplinary and holistic study of social and technological advancement, and other environmental trends; often for the purpose of exploring how people will live and work in the future. Predictive techniques, such as forecasting, can be applied, but contemporary futures studies scholars emphasize the importance of systematically exploring alternatives. In general, it can be considered as a branch of the social sciences and an extension to the field of history. Futures studies seeks to understand what is likely to continue and what could plausibly change. Part of the discipline thus seeks a systematic and pattern-based understanding of past and present, and to explore the possibility of future events and trends.

Strategic foresight is a planning-oriented discipline related to futures studies. In a business context, a more action-oriented approach has become well known as corporate foresight.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Foresight (futures studies)</span> Term referring to various activities in futurology

In futurology, especially in Europe, the term foresight has become widely used to describe activities such as:

Futures techniques used in the multi-disciplinary field of futurology by futurists in Americas and Australasia, and futurology by futurologists in EU, include a diverse range of forecasting methods, including anticipatory thinking, backcasting, simulation, and visioning. Some of the anticipatory methods include, the delphi method, causal layered analysis, environmental scanning, morphological analysis, and scenario planning.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Association of Professional Futurists</span>

The Association of Professional Futurists (APF) was founded in 2002 to validate the competencies of emerging futurists. As analysts, speakers, managers or consultants, APF's credentialed members cultivate strategic foresight for their organizations and clients. APF represents the professional side of the futures movement, while groups such as the World Futures Studies Federation, the World Future Society or The Millennium Project, represent its academic, popular, and activists expressions, respectively.

Backcasting is a planning method that starts with defining a desirable future and then works backwards to identify policies and programs that will connect that specified future to the present. The fundamentals of the method were outlined by John B. Robinson from the University of Waterloo in 1990. The fundamental question of backcasting asks: "if we want to attain a certain goal, what actions must be taken to get there?"

<span class="mw-page-title-main">University of Houston College of Technology</span>

The University of Houston College of Technology is the second largest among 13 schools and colleges at the University of Houston. It offers 11 undergraduate degrees and 12 graduate degrees throughout four different departments. In Fall of 2017, there were 6,520 students enrolled in the college. The University of Houston has a new building in Sugar Land, Texas, for the College of Technology; programs are being moved there and a couple of programs will solely be offered at that campus.

The following outline is provided as an overview of and topical guide to futures studies:

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Peter C. Bishop</span> American futurist and author

Peter C. Bishop is a professional futurist (futurologist), a retired Associate Professor of Strategic Foresight, and the former Director of the graduate program in Futures Studies at the University of Houston.

Technology scouting is an element of technology management in which

Jewish Futurism is used in three different contexts: religious, artistic and futures studies

Corporate foresight has been conceptualised by strategic foresight practitioners and academics working and/or studying corporations as a set of practices, a set of capabilities and an ability of a firm. It enables firms to detect discontinuous change early, interpret its consequences for the firm, and inform future courses of action to ensure the long-term survival and success of the company.

Foresight: The Journal of Futures Studies, Strategic Thinking and Policy is an international bi-monthly journal published by the Emerald Publishing Group. The name connotes the term "foresight" as it is used in futures studies. Established in 1999, the journal provides a powerful framework and set of techniques that allow for understanding trends and drivers shaping the world, exploring alternative futures, setting priorities and formulating strategies for action. Foresight is a valuable source for futurists and foresight practitioners who should be at the forefront of discovering practical ways to manage 21st century life under growing complexity with a long-term perspective. The journal offers a much-needed forum for sound thinking about the future and socio-technological innovations, and focuses on themes and issues shaping the future, new quantitative and qualitative methods, as well as case studies with novel approaches. The journal is edited by Prof.Dr. Ozcan Saritas since 2009.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Institute for the Future</span> American non-profit thinktank

The Institute for the Future (IFTF) is a Palo Alto, California, US–based not-for-profit think tank. It was established, in 1968, as a spin-off from the RAND Corporation to help organizations plan for the long-term future, a subject known as futures studies.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Puruesh Chaudhary</span>

Puruesh Chaudhary is a futures researcher, development and strategic narrative professional. She has a master's degree in International Negotiation and Policymaking from Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies in Geneva. She is also a Distinguished Fellow at the Institute of Strategic Studies Islamabad. Chaudhary is the founder and president of the non-governmental organization Agahi, a media development and capacity building initiative in Pakistan.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Pero Mićić</span>

Pero Mićić is a German professor for Foresight and Strategy at Steinbeis-Hochschule Berlin, as well as author, public speaker and management consultant. He is the founder and CEO of the FutureManagementGroup AG. Mićić lives in Eltville, Germany.

Customer foresight is a new field of applied research. It aims to understand future consumer preferences and wishes with regard to tomorrow's products and services. It does so by combining customer research and foresight research elements. Customer foresight can be conceived as an interaction with projected future markets through selected customers by understanding their wishes and attitudes, ideas and visions as well as their perception of signals and drivers of change. Even though the concept cannot predict the future, it enables companies to prepare for different future scenarios and thus improves strategy and decision-making processes.

References

  1. Hines, Andy& Bishop, Peter (2013). Framework foresight: Exploring futures the Houston way. Futures, 51, 31–49.
  2. Hines, Andy. (2002). Raising the bar of professionalism in futures studies. Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 69, 551-554.
  3. Hines, Andy. & Gold, Jeff (2015). An organizational futurist role for integrating foresight into corporations. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 101, 99–111.
  4. Hines, Andy. (2004). The history and development of the association of professional futurists. In Slaughter, R. (Ed.). The knowledge base of futures studies (Professional edition CD-ROM). Indooroopilly, Australia: Foresight International.
  5. A series of 13 articles from 199-2002 relating to corporate foresight, such as, “Translating Futures Work,” Hinesight, Foresight, 4(6), 2002.
  6. Hines, Andy. (2011). ConsumerShift: How changing values are reshaping the consumer landscape. Tucson, AZ: No Limit Publishing.
  7. Hines, Andy& Bishop, Peter (2013). Framework foresight: Exploring futures the Houston way. Futures, 51, 31–49.
  8. Hines, Andy & Bishop, Peter. (2015). Thinking about the future: Guidelines for strategic foresight (2nd edition). Houston, TX: Hinesight.
  9. "Most Significant Futures Work".