Critical community size

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The critical community size (CCS) is the minimum size of a closed population within which a human-to-human, non-zoonotic pathogen can persist indefinitely. [1]

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When the size of the closed population falls below the critical community size level, the low density of infected hosts causes extinction of the pathogen. [2] This epidemiologic phenomenon was first identified during measles outbreaks in the 1950s. [1]

The critical community size depends on:[ citation needed ]

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References

  1. 1 2 Bartlett, M. S. (1960). "The critical community size for measles in the United States". Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A (General). 123 (1): 37–44. doi:10.2307/2343186. JSTOR   2343186.
  2. Haydon, Daniel T; Cleaveland, Sarah; Taylor, Louise H; Laurenson, M Karen (2002). "Identifying reservoirs of infection: a conceptual and practical challenge". Emerging Infectious Diseases. 8 (12): 1468–1473. doi:10.3201/eid0812.010317. PMC   2738515 . PMID   12498665.