This is a list of historical rate actions by the United States Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The FOMC controls the supply of credit to banks and the sale of treasury securities.
The Federal Open Market Committee meets every two months during the fiscal year. At scheduled meetings, the FOMC meets and makes any changes it sees as necessary, notably to the federal funds rate and the discount rate. The committee may also take actions with a less firm target, such as an increasing liquidity by the sale of a set amount of Treasury bonds, or affecting the price of currencies both foreign and domestic by selling dollar reserves (such as during the Mexican peso bailout in 1994).
Jerome Powell is the current chairperson of the Federal Reserve and the FOMC.
The Federal Open Market Committee action known as Operation Twist (named for the twist dance craze of the time [1] ) began in 1961. The intent was to flatten the yield curve in order to promote capital inflows and strengthen the dollar. The Fed utilized open market operations to shorten the maturity of public debt in the open market. It performs the 'twist' by selling some of the short term debt (with three years or less to maturity) it purchased as part of the quantitative easing policy back into the market and using the money received from this to buy longer term government debt. Although this action was marginally successful in reducing the spread between long-term maturities and short-term maturities, Vincent Reinhart and others have suggested it did not continue for a sufficient period of time to be effective. [2] Despite being considered a failure since a 1966 near-term analysis by Franco Modigliani and Richard Sutch, [2] [3] the action has subsequently been reexamined and in a 2011 paper economist Eric Swanson of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco has suggested that "Operation Twist" was more effective than originally thought. [1] [3] Swanson suggested similar action as an alternative to quantitative easing by central banks; [1] [3] the FOMC did in fact take an analogous action in 2011. [4]
Inflation in the US was persistent in the 1970s. [5] Year-on-year inflation bottomed at 5% in December 1976 before moving higher once again. Paul Volcker was chosen as Fed Chairman in 1979 in order to deal with the challenge of high inflation. In a rare Saturday press conference on October 6, 1979, [6] Paul Volcker's federal reserve increased the Fed Funds rate from 11% to 12%. [7] The event was known as the "Saturday Night Massacre" because of its effect on US bond prices.
"On November 25, 2008, the Federal Reserve announced that it would purchase up to $600 billion in agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and agency debt. However, these purchases were to have no impact on the balance sheet, and would have been sterilized by Treasury sales by the SOMA desk. On December 1, Chairman Bernanke provided further details in a speech. On December 16 the program was formally approved by the FOMC, however their approval was not required as the SOMA desk was already authorized to acquire Agency debt and MBS as part of their OMOs. On March 18, 2009, the FOMC announced that the program would be expanded by an additional $750 billion in purchases of agency MBS and agency debt and $300 billion in purchases of Treasury securities. These purchases would be unsterilized and this date more appropriately marks the beginning of QE in the US.
In August 2007, the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) target for the federal funds rate was 5.25 percent. Sixteen months later, with the financial crisis in full swing, the FOMC had lowered the target for the federal funds rate to nearly zero, thereby entering the unfamiliar territory of having to conduct monetary policy with the policy interest rate at its effective lower bound. The unusual severity of the recession and ongoing strains in financial markets made the challenges facing monetary policymakers all the greater. [8]
In the height of the financial crisis in 2008, the Federal Open Market Committee decided to lower overnight interest rates to zero to help with easing of money and credit. Over the past five years, the Federal Reserve has acted to support economic growth and foster job creation, and it is important to achieve further progress, particularly in the labor market. Taking due account of the uncertainties and limits of its policy tools, the Federal Reserve will provide additional policy accommodation as needed to promote a stronger economic recovery and sustained improvement in labor market conditions in a context of price stability. [8]
On November 3, 2010, the Fed announced that it would purchase $600 billion of longer dated treasuries, at a rate of $75 billion per month. That program, popularly known as "QE2", concluded in June 2011.
The Federal Open Market Committee concluded its September 21, 2011 Meeting at about 2:15 p.m. EDT by announcing the implementation of Operation Twist. This is a plan to purchase $400 billion of bonds with maturities of 6 to 30 years and to sell bonds with maturities less than 3 years, thereby extending the average maturity of the Fed's own portfolio. [9] This is an attempt to do what Quantitative Easing (QE) tries to do, without printing more money and without expanding the Fed's balance sheet, therefore hopefully avoiding the inflationary pressure associated with QE. [4] This announcement brought a bout of risk aversion in the equity markets and strengthened the US Dollar, whereas QE I had weakened the USD and supported the equity markets. Further, on June 20, 2012, the Federal Open Market Committee announced an extension to the Twist programme by adding additionally $267 billion thereby extending it throughout 2012.
On September 13, 2012, the Federal Reserve announced a third round of quantitative easing (QE3). [10] This new round of quantitative easing provided for an open-ended commitment to purchase $40 billion agency mortgage-backed securities per month until the labor market improves "substantially". Some economists believe that Scott Sumner's blog [11] on nominal income targeting played a role in popularizing the "wonky, once-eccentric policy" of "unlimited QE". [12]
The Federal Open Market Committee voted to expand its quantitative easing program further on December 12, 2012. This round continued to authorize up to $40 billion worth of agency mortgage-backed securities per month and added $45 billion worth of longer-term Treasury securities. [13] The outright Treasury purchases as part of the augmented program continued at a pace comparable to that under "Operation Twist"; however, the Federal Reserve could no longer sell short-dated Treasury securities to buy longer-dated ones since they had insufficient holdings of short-dated Treasuries.
On December 18, 2013, the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee announced they would be tapering back on QE3 at a rate of $10 billion at each meeting. [14] The Federal Reserve ended its monthly asset purchases program (QE3) in October 2014, ten months after it began the tapering process. [15]
On December 16, 2015, the Fed increased its key interest rate, the Federal Funds Rate, for the first time since June 2006. The hike was from the range [0%, 0.25%] to the range [0.25%, 0.5%]. [16]
In an emergency decision the rate was cut by half a percentage point on March 3, 2020, to 1–1.25% in response to the risk that the Coronavirus pandemic in the United States poses to the American economy. It was the first emergency cut since the financial crisis of 2007–08. [17] [18]
In an effort to calm markets and sustain market liquidity, the Federal Reserve announced to buy corporate debt in a series of emergency lending programs on March 23, 2020. [19] By July 2020, it has purchased $3 trillion financial assets, increasing its balance sheet from $4.2 trillion in February to $7 trillion. [20] Since August 2020, it was committed to monthly bond-buying program. By January 2021, its balance sheet stood at $7.3 trillion. It continued to pledge bond purchases in the pace of $120 billion a month to allow the economy to recover from the pandemic over the second half of the year as vaccinations against COVID-19 roll out. [21]
Currently, this only shows meetings, both scheduled and unscheduled "emergency" meetings. The FOMC makes a number of other important pronouncements as well such as during testimony to Congress whose effects are harder to quantify.
Easing |
No change |
Tightening |
Inter-meeting action |
Date | Fed. Funds Rate | Discount Rate | Votes | Notes |
---|---|---|---|---|
September 18, 2024 | 4.75%–5.00% | 5.00% | 11–1 | Michelle Bowman preferred a lower 25-basis-point cut. Official statement |
July 31, 2024 | 5.25%–5.50% | 5.50% | 12–0 | Official statement |
June 12, 2024 | 5.25%–5.50% | 5.50% | 12–0 | Official statement |
May 1, 2024 | 5.25%–5.50% | 5.50% | 12–0 | Official statement |
March 20, 2024 | 5.25%–5.50% | 5.50% | 12–0 | Official statement |
January 31, 2024 | 5.25%–5.50% | 5.50% | 12–0 | Official statement |
December 13, 2023 | 5.25%–5.50% | 5.50% | 12–0 | Official statement |
November 1, 2023 | 5.25%–5.50% | 5.50% | 12–0 | Official statement |
September 20, 2023 | 5.25%–5.50% | 5.50% | 12–0 | Official statement |
July 26, 2023 | 5.25%–5.50% | 5.50% | 11–0 | Official statement |
June 14, 2023 | 5.00%–5.25% | 5.25% | 11–0 | Official statement |
May 3, 2023 | 5.00%–5.25% | 5.25% | 11–0 | Official statement |
March 22, 2023 | 4.75%–5.00% | 5.00% | 11–0 | Official statement |
February 1, 2023 | 4.50%–4.75% | 4.75% | 12–0 | Official statement |
December 14, 2022 | 4.25%–4.50% | 4.50% | 12–0 | Official statement |
November 2, 2022 | 3.75%–4.00% | 4.00% | 12–0 | Official statement |
September 21, 2022 | 3.00%–3.25% | 3.25% | 12–0 | Official statement |
July 27, 2022 | 2.25%–2.50% | 2.50% | 12–0 | Official statement |
June 15, 2022 | 1.50%–1.75% | 1.75% | 8–1 | Announced biggest rate hike since 1994 to continue combat inflation. George dissented, preferring a 50-basis-point upward adjustment to the policy rate. Official statement |
May 4, 2022 | 0.75%–1.00% | 1.00% | 9–0 | Announced biggest rate hike since May 2000 to combat inflation. Official statement |
March 16, 2022 | 0.25%–0.50% | 0.50% | 8–1 | Bullard dissented, preferring a 50-basis-point upward adjustment to the policy rate, reaching a policy rate above 3% in 2022. [23] Official statement |
November 5, 2020 | 0%–0.25% | 0.25% | 10-0 | Official statement |
September 16, 2020 | 0%–0.25% | 0.25% | 8-2 | Kaplan dissented, preferring "the Committee [to] retain greater policy rate flexibility". Kashkari dissented, preferring a stronger message regarding to keep "the current target range until core inflation has reached 2% on a sustained basis". Official statement |
August 27, 2020 | 0%–0.25% | 0.25% | unanimous | No meeting, but announcement of approval of updates to the statement on longer-run goals and monetary policy strategy. Most importantly, the FOMC decided to adjusts its strategy towards an average inflation target of 2% over time, instead of an upper limit of the inflation target at 2%. Official statement |
July 29, 2020 | 0%–0.25% | 0.25% | 10-0 | Official statement |
June 10, 2020 | 0%–0.25% | 0.25% | 10-0 | Official statement |
April 29, 2020 | 0%–0.25% | 0.25% | 10-0 | Official statement |
March 31, 2020 | 0%–0.25% | 0.25% | This was an emergency action in response to the Coronavirus pandemic in the United States. The Federal Reserve announced to open a temporary repurchase agreement facility accessible to foreign and international monetary authorities (FIMA Repo Facility). Official statement | |
March 23, 2020 | 0%–0.25% | 0.25% | 10-0 | This was an emergency action in response to the Coronavirus pandemic in the United States. The FOMC announced to widen its treasury securities and agency mortgage-backed securities purchase operations. Official statement |
March 19, 2020 | 0%–0.25% | 0.25% | This was an emergency action in response to the Coronavirus pandemic in the United States. The Federal Reserve announced the establishment of temporary U.S. dollar liquidity arrangements with other central banks. Official statement | |
March 15, 2020 | 0%–0.25% | 0.25% | 9–1 | This was an emergency unscheduled meeting in response to the Coronavirus pandemic in the United States. Official statement |
March 3, 2020 | 1%–1.25% | 2.75% | 10–0 | This was an emergency unscheduled meeting in response to the Coronavirus pandemic in the United States. Official statement |
October 30, 2019 | 1.50%–1.75% | 2.75% | 8–2 | Official statement |
September 18, 2019 | 1.75%–2.00% | 2.75% | 7–3 | Official statement |
July 31, 2019 | 2.00%–2.25% | 2.75% [24] | 8–2 | President Donald Trump demanded a cut though a bigger one. [25] Official statement |
December 19, 2018 | 2.25%–2.50% | 3.00% | 10–0 | Discount rate minutes |
September 26, 2018 | 2.00%–2.25% | 2.75% | 9–0 | Official statement |
June 13, 2018 | 1.75%–2.00% | 2.50% | 8–0 | Official statement |
March 21, 2018 | 1.50%–1.75% | 2.25% | 8–0 | Official statement |
December 13, 2017 | 1.25%–1.50% | 2.00% | 7–2 | Kashkari and Evans both dissented due to flattening yield curve concerns. Official statement |
June 14, 2017 | 1.00%–1.25% | 1.75% | 8–1 | Official statement |
March 15, 2017 | 0.75%–1.00% | 1.50% | 9–1 | Official statement |
December 14, 2016 | 0.50%–0.75% | 1.25% | 10–0 | Official statement |
December 16, 2015 | 0.25%–0.50% | 1.00% | 10–0 | Official statement |
June 22, 2011 | 0.00%–0.25% | 0.75% | 10–0 | Official statement |
December 16, 2008 | 0.00%–0.25% | 0.50% | 10–0 | Official statement See also: ZIRP |
October 29, 2008 | 1.00% | 1.25% | 10–0 | Official statement |
October 8, 2008 | 1.50% | 1.75% | This was an emergency unscheduled meeting in response to a rapidly weakening economy, made in coordination with several other central banks around the world. Official statement | |
September 16, 2008 | 2.00% | 2.25% | 10-0 | The FOMC left rates unchanged the day after the Bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers. Official Statement |
August 5, 2008 | 2.00% | 2.25% | 10–1 | The Federal Open Market Committee decided today to keep its target for the federal funds rate at 2 percent. Official statement |
April 30, 2008 | 2.00% | 2.25% | 8–2 | The FOMC cut rates by 25 basis points. They drew back on their easing bias somewhat by removing "downside risks to growth remain" from its statement, but left no sign of a future pause to the interest rate cuts. Fisher and Plosser dissented, preferring no change. Official statement |
March 18, 2008 | 2.25% | 2.50% | 8–2 | The FOMC made another unusually large cut, slashing 75 basis points off the federal funds rate in response to turmoil in the markets and the collapse of Bear Stearns. Despite some predicting an even larger 100 basis point cut, the markets rallied in response. Fisher and Plosser dissented, preferring a smaller cut. Official statement |
March 16, 2008 | 3.00% | 3.25% | 10–0 | This was an emergency unscheduled meeting in response to the meltdown at Bear Stearns. The FOMC arranged loan securities for JPMorgan Chase and greased a buyout of Bear Stearns to make certain that Bear's debts would be backed. It also provided for the creation of a fund to swap safe Treasury securities for less secure ones held by banks. It lastly shaved the difference between the discount rate and the federal funds rate from 50 basis points to 25. Official statement |
January 30, 2008 | 3.00% | 3.50% | 9–1 | Fisher dissented, preferring no change. Official statement |
January 22, 2008 | 3.50% | 4.00% | 8–1 | This was an intermeeting rate cut held in response to the January stock downturn, with the results announced Tuesday morning before the U.S. market opened. Poole dissented, saying that emergency action was not required and could wait for the scheduled meeting. Mishkin was absent. Official statement |
December 11, 2007 | 4.25% | 4.75% | 9–1 | Rosengren dissented, preferring a 50 basis point cut. The markets, disappointed with a 25 basis point cut, fell in response; the Fed issued a statement the day after (December 12) pledging an increased money supply to the markets in conjunction with other central banks. Official statement 2007-12-11, Official statement 2007-12-12 |
October 31, 2007 | 4.50% | 5.00% | 9–1 | Hoenig dissented, preferring no change. Official statement |
September 18, 2007 | 4.75% | 5.25% | 10–0 | Official statement |
August 17, 2007 | 5.25% | 5.75% | 10–0 | The subprime mortgage crisis roiled the markets shortly after the Fed's August 7 meeting, causing the board to release a statement on August 10 saying that they were prepared to act in response to the downturn and had increased liquidity. In an unscheduled meeting on August 17 the Fed "temporarily" reduced the spread between the primary credit rate and the federal funds rate to 50 basis points from the 100-point spread established in January 2002. Official statement, 2007-08-07, Official statement, 2007-08-10, Official statement, 2007-08-17. |
August 7, 2007 | 5.25% | 6.25% | 10–0 | Official statement |
June 28, 2007 | 5.25% | 6.25% | 10–0 | Official statement |
May 9, 2007 | 5.25% | 6.25% | 10–0 | Official statement |
March 21, 2007 | 5.25% | 6.25% | 10–0 | Bies recused herself. Official statement |
January 31, 2007 | 5.25% | 6.25% | 11–0 | Official statement |
December 12, 2006 | 5.25% | 6.25% | 10–1 | Lacker dissented, preferring a 25 basis point increase. Official statement |
October 25, 2006 | 5.25% | 6.25% | 10–1 | Lacker dissented, preferring a 25 basis point increase. Official statement |
September 20, 2006 | 5.25% | 6.25% | 10–1 | Lacker dissented, preferring a 25 basis point increase. First vote from Frederic Mishkin after his appointment. Official statement |
August 8, 2006 | 5.25% | 6.25% | 9–1 | The Fed kept rates stable this meeting; they had raised the rates by 25 basis points for seventeen consecutive meetings prior. Lacker dissented, preferring a 25 basis point increase. Official statement |
June 29, 2006 | 5.25% | 6.25% | 10–0 | Mark W. Olson not voting, as his appointment and departure for the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board in July has already been announced. Official statement |
May 10, 2006 | 5.00% | 6.00% | 11–0 | Official statement |
March 28, 2006 | 4.75% | 5.75% | 11–0 | This was Ben Bernanke's first meeting as new chairman, replacing Alan Greenspan. He continued Greenspan's policy of gradual tightening and pledged increased transparency for the Federal Reserve. Official statement |
January 31, 2006 | 4.50% | 5.50% | 10–0 | Official statement |
December 13, 2005 | 4.25% | 5.25% | 10–0 | Official statement |
November 1, 2005 | 4.00% | 5.00% | 10–0 | Official statement |
September 20, 2005 | 3.75% | 4.75% | 9–1 | Olson dissented, preferring no change. Official statement |
August 9, 2005 | 3.50% | 4.50% | 10–0 | Edward Gramlich not voting, as his return to the University of Michigan in September has already been announced. Official statement |
June 30, 2005 | 3.25% | 4.25% | 11–0 | Official statement |
May 3, 2005 | 3.00% | 4.00% | 11–0 | Ben Bernanke not voting, as his appointment and departure for the Council of Economic Advisers to the White House in June has already been announced. Official statement |
March 22, 2005 | 2.75% | 3.75% | 12–0 | Official statement |
February 2, 2005 | 2.50% | 3.50% | 12–0 | Official statement |
December 14, 2004 | 2.25% | 3.25% | 12–0 | The FOMC changed their previous policy on the release of the minutes from each meeting. Previously, the minutes were released only after the next meeting had already finished, rendering them only of historical interest; this was changed to be released three weeks after the date of a policy decision. The minutes thus became available for predicting the FOMC's action in the next meeting. Official statement |
November 10, 2004 | 2.00% | 3.00% | 12–0 | Official statement |
September 21, 2004 | 1.75% | 2.75% | 12–0 | Official statement |
August 10, 2004 | 1.50% | 2.50% | 12–0 | Official statement |
June 30, 2004 | 1.25% | 2.25% | 12–0 | Official statement |
May 4, 2004 | 1.00% | 2.00% | 12–0 | Official statement |
March 16, 2004 | 1.00% | 2.00% | 12–0 | Official statement |
January 28, 2004 | 1.00% | 2.00% | 12–0 | Official statement |
December 9, 2003 | 1.00% | 2.00% | 12–0 | Official statement |
October 28, 2003 | 1.00% | 2.00% | 12–0 | Official statement |
September 16, 2003 | 1.00% | 2.00% | 12–0 | Official statement |
August 12, 2003 | 1.00% | 2.00% | 12–0 | Official statement |
June 25, 2003 | 1.00% | 2.00% | 11–1 | Parry dissented, preferring a 50 basis point cut. Official statement |
May 6, 2003 | 1.25% | 2.25% | 12–0 | Official statement |
March 18, 2003 | 1.25% | 2.25% | 12–0 | Official statement |
January 29, 2003 | 1.25% | 2.25% | 12–0 | Official statement |
January 9, 2003 | 1.25% | 2.25% | No meeting, but new discount window rules introduced in October were implemented. These mandated a discount rate 100 basis points higher than the federal funds rate, effectively hiking it by 150 basis points. Official statement | |
December 10, 2002 | 1.25% | 0.75% | 12–0 | Official statement |
November 6, 2002 | 1.25% | 0.75% | 12–0 | Official statement |
September 24, 2002 | 1.75% | 1.25% | 10-2 | Official statement Governors Edward M. Gramlich and Robert D. McTeer, Jr. voted against the action (in favor of a reduction of the fed funds rate target). |
August 13, 2002 | 1.75% | 1.25% | 12-0 | Official statement |
June 26, 2002 | 1.75% | 1.25% | 10-0 | Official statement |
May 7, 2002 | 1.75% | 1.25% | 10-0 | Official statement |
March 19, 2002 | 1.75% | 1.25% | 10-0 | Official statement |
January 30, 2002 | 1.75% | 1.25% | Official statement | |
December 11, 2001 | 1.75% | 1.25% | Official statement | |
November 6, 2001 | 2.00% | 1.50% | Official statement | |
October 2, 2001 | 2.50% | 2.00% | Official statement | |
September 17, 2001 | 3.00% | 2.50% | Official statement In reaction to the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001 the FOMC held two conference calls on September 13 and September 17. | |
August 21, 2001 | 3.50% | 3.00% | Official statement | |
June 27, 2001 | 3.75% | 3.25% | Official statement | |
May 15, 2001 | 4.00% | 3.50% | Official statement | |
April 18, 2001 | 4.50% | 4.00% | Official statement Conference Call | |
March 20, 2001 | 5.00% | 4.50% | Official statement | |
January 31, 2001 | 5.50% | 5.00% | Official statement | |
January 3, 2001 | 6.00% | 5.75% | Official statement Conference Call | |
December 19, 2000 | 6.50% | 6.00% | Official statement | |
November 15, 2000 | 6.50% | 6.00% | Official statement | |
October 3, 2000 | 6.50% | 6.00% | Official statement | |
August 22, 2000 | 6.50% | 6.00% | Official statement | |
June 28, 2000 | 6.50% | 6.00% | Official statement | |
May 16, 2000 | 6.50% | 6.00% | Official statement | |
March 21, 2000 | 6.00% | 5.50% | Official statement | |
February 2, 2000 | 5.75% | 5.25% | Official statement |
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The 1994 bond market crisis, or Great Bond Massacre, was a sudden drop in bond market prices across the developed world. It began in Japan and the United States (US), and spread through the rest of the world. After the recession of the early 1990s, historically low interest rates in many industrialized nations preceded an unexpectedly volatile year for bond investors, including those that held on to mortgage debts. Over 1994, a rise in rates, along with the relatively quick spread of bond market volatility across international borders, resulted in a mass sell-off of bonds and debt funds as yields rose beyond expectations. This was especially the case for instruments with comparatively longer maturities attached. Some financial observers argued that the plummet in bond prices was triggered by the Federal Reserve's decision to raise rates by 25 basis points in February, in a move to counter inflation. At about $1.5 trillion in lost market value across the globe, the crash has been described as the worst financial event for bond investors since 1927.
Marvin Seth Goodfriend was an American economist. He held the Allan H. Meltzer Professorship in economics at Carnegie Mellon University; he was previously the director of research at the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. Following his 2017 nomination to the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, the White House decided to forgo renominating Goodfriend at the beginning of the new term.
Quantitative tightening (QT) is a contractionary monetary policy tool applied by central banks to decrease the amount of liquidity or money supply in the economy. A central bank implements quantitative tightening by reducing the financial assets it holds on its balance sheet by selling them into the financial markets, which decreases asset prices and raises interest rates. QT is the reverse of quantitative easing, where the central bank prints money and uses it to buy assets in order to raise asset prices and stimulate the economy. QT is rarely used by central banks, and has only been employed after prolonged periods of Greenspan put-type stimulus, where the creation of too much central banking liquidity has led to a risk of uncontrolled inflation.
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