International opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election

Last updated

This article lists international opinion polls taken in various countries around the world prior to the United States presidential election of 2016. Clinton was heavily favored in every foreign country where polling occurred, except for Russia.

Contents

Global polls

   Hillary Clinton, Democratic Party
   Donald Trump, Republican Party
Country YouGov/
Handelsblatt ,
April 2016 [1]
Pew Research Center,
June 2016 [2]
WIN/GIA,
August 2016 [3]
ClintonTrumpClintonTrump
Flag of Afghanistan (2013-2021).svg  Afghanistan 61%22%
Flag of Argentina.svg  Argentina Clinton (+30%)51%5%
Flag of Australia (converted).svg  Australia Clinton (+29%)70%11%67%15%
Flag of Austria.svg  Austria 78%9%
Flag of Azerbaijan.svg  Azerbaijan 61%3%
Flag of Bangladesh.svg  Bangladesh 62%8%
Flag of Brazil.svg  Brazil Clinton (+34%)77%11%
Flag of Bulgaria.svg  Bulgaria 51%26%
Flag of Canada (Pantone).svg  Canada Clinton (+17%)60%14%69%12%
Flag of the People's Republic of China.svg  China Clinton (+12%)37%22%53%44%
Flag of Colombia.svg  Colombia 81%6%
Flag of Ecuador.svg  Ecuador 56%6%
Flag of Egypt.svg  Egypt 53%9%
Flag of Finland.svg  Finland 86%7%
Flag of France.svg  France Clinton (+30%)71%9%72%10%
Flag of Germany.svg  Germany Clinton (+36%)79%6%77%8%
Flag of Greece.svg  Greece 15%3%
Flag of Hong Kong.svg  Hong Kong 73%16%
Flag of Hungary.svg  Hungary 44%20%
Flag of India.svg  India Clinton (+29%)28%14%49%27%
Flag of Indonesia.svg  Indonesia Clinton (+32%)
Flag of Iraq.svg  Iraq 56%23%
Flag of Ireland.svg  Ireland 74%12%
Flag of Italy.svg  Italy Clinton (+38%)52%21%73%16%
Flag of Japan.svg  Japan Clinton (+27%)70%9%60%3%
Flag of Jordan.svg  Jordan 66%3%
Flag of South Korea.svg  South Korea Clinton (+37%)82%3%
Flag of Latvia.svg  Latvia 46%22%
Flag of Lebanon.svg  Lebanon 45%22%
Flag of North Macedonia.svg  Macedonia 48%20%
Flag of Mexico.svg  Mexico Clinton (+54%)78%5%
Flag of the Netherlands.svg  Netherlands 76%7%77%8%
Flag of Nigeria.svg  Nigeria 77%19%
Flag of Norway.svg  Norway 73%14%
Flag of Pakistan.svg  Pakistan 51%17%
Flag of Palestine.svg  Palestine 40%18%
Flag of Panama.svg  Panama 65%11%
Flag of Paraguay.svg  Paraguay 74%6%
Flag of Peru.svg  Peru 44%4%
Flag of Portugal.svg  Portugal 85%5%
Flag of Poland.svg  Poland 41%15%
Flag of Russia.svg  Russia Trump (+21%)10%33%
Flag of Saudi Arabia.svg  Saudi Arabia Clinton (+20%)
Flag of Slovenia.svg  Slovenia 52%22%
Flag of South Africa.svg  South Africa Clinton (+24%)59%15%
Flag of Spain.svg  Spain Clinton (+35%)51%8%70%4%
Flag of Sweden.svg  Sweden 83%6%82%7%
Flag of Thailand.svg  Thailand 65%11%
Flag of Turkey.svg  Turkey Clinton (+28%)
Flag of the United Kingdom.svg  United Kingdom Clinton (+34%)66%12%64%15%

Individual country polls

Chile

CADEM conducted a poll in Chile regarding the United States presidential election in late September 2016, right after the first presidential debate. Hillary Clinton had a 68% of favorable evaluation and 29% of negative evaluation, while Donald Trump had 13% of favourable evaluation and 84% of negative. 80% of Chileans thought that Hillary Clinton would be a better president of the United States and only 5% said Donald Trump. [4]

Czech Republic

October 2016: Don't know or do not care 47%, Hillary Clinton 39%, Donald Trump 14%. [5]

November 2016: Donald Trump 57.4%, Hillary Clinton 26.3%, Evan McMullin 7.3%, Gary Johnson 4.7%, Jill Stein 3.2%, Darrell Castle 1.1%. [6]

Israel

In June 2016 poll for Channel 2, 42% of Israelis favored Hillary Clinton and 35% Donald Trump when asked whom they would vote for if they were able to participate in the election. In the same poll, 37% said they believe Trump would be better for Israel, while 36% said Clinton. [7]

In a November 2016 poll by the Rafi Smith Institute, 49% of Israelis favored Hillary Clinton and 32% Donald Trump. [8]

New Zealand

According to poll conducted by Newshub /Reid Research in July 2016, 76% of New Zealanders would vote for Hillary Clinton and 9% for Donald Trump. [9]

See also

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 United States presidential election</span> 58th quadrennial U.S. presidential election

The 2016 United States presidential election was the 58th quadrennial presidential election, held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016. The Republican ticket, businessman Donald Trump and Indiana governor Mike Pence defeated the Democratic ticket of former secretary of state and First Lady of the United States Hillary Clinton and the junior senator from Virginia, Tim Kaine, in what was considered one of the biggest political upsets in American history. It was also the sixth presidential election in which both major party candidates were registered in the same home state; the others have been in 1860, 1904, 1920, 1940, and 1944.

This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the Republican primaries for the 2016 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls were either declared candidates, former candidates, or received media speculation about their possible candidacy. On May 4, 2016, Donald Trump became the sole contender and presumptive nominee.

This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Democratic primaries for the 2016 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates, are former candidates, or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries</span>

This article contains opinion polling by U.S. state for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries. The shading for each poll indicates the candidate(s) which are within one margin of error of the poll's leader.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries</span>

This article contains opinion polling by U.S. state for the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries. For currency and accuracy, please note the specific dates for each polling as listed below. For the significance of the earliest state votes, the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary, see United States presidential primary – Iowa and New Hampshire. To know when any given state votes, see the timeline of primaries and caucuses.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election</span> Research done to predict the outcome of the 2016 presidential election

Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election include the following. The polls listed here provide early data on opinion polling between the Democratic candidate, the Republican candidate, the Libertarian candidate, and the Green candidate. Prior to the parties' conventions, presumptive candidates were included in the polls. State polling is not conducted in all states for the election due to various factors. More polls usually are conducted in states that are considered swing states as more attention is given to the results. For determining a statistical tie, the margin of error provided by the polling source is applied to the result for each candidate.

This page lists nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election. The two major party candidates were chosen at the Democratic National Convention and Republican National Convention in July 2016.

The following is a timeline of major events leading up to, during, and after the 2016 United States presidential election. The election was the 58th quadrennial United States presidential election, held on November 8, 2016. The presidential primaries and caucuses were held between February 1 and June 14, 2016, staggered among the 50 states, Washington, D.C., and U.S. territories. The U.S. Congress certified the electoral result on January 6, 2017, and the new president and vice president were inaugurated on January 20, 2017.

Centre for Voting Opinion & Trends in Election Research, or CVoter, is an Indian international polling agency headquartered in Delhi, India.

The 2016 United States presidential debates were a series of debates held for the presidential election. The Commission on Presidential Debates (CPD), a bipartisan organization formed in 1987, organized three debates among the major presidential candidates. The first of these presidential debates took place on September 26, 2016, and set the record as the most-watched debate in American history, with 84 million viewers. The second debate took place on October 9, and the third took place on October 19. All CPD debates occurred from approximately 9 p.m. to 10:30 p.m. EDT. Only the Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton and the Republican nominee Donald Trump met the criteria for inclusion in the debates, and thus were the only two to appear in the debates sponsored by the Commission on Presidential Debates. The CPD-sponsored vice presidential debate took place on October 4, 2016. Only Democratic nominee Tim Kaine and Republican nominee Mike Pence appeared in it.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary</span>

The 2016 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary was held on Tuesday February 9. As per tradition, it was the first primary and second nominating contest overall to take place in the cycle. Bernie Sanders defeated Hillary Clinton in the primary by a margin of more than 22% in the popular vote. Sanders claimed 15 delegates to Clinton's 9.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 United States presidential election in Wisconsin</span>

The 2016 United States presidential election in Wisconsin was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election. Wisconsin voters chose 10 electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting Republican Party nominee Donald Trump against Democratic Party nominee Hillary Clinton.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 United States presidential election in Utah</span> Election in Utah

The 2016 United States presidential election in Utah was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election which was also held in the other 49 states and in the District of Columbia. Voters were asked to pick 6 electors to be pledged for a candidate in the Electoral College. The two main tickets of the election were the Republican one, consisting of businessman Donald Trump and Indiana Governor Mike Pence, and the Democratic one, consisting of former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Michigan Democratic presidential primary</span> Election

The 2016 Michigan Democratic presidential primary was held on March 8 in the U.S. state of Michigan as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 New York Republican presidential primary</span>

The 2016 New York Republican presidential primary was held on April 19 in the U.S. state of New York as one of the Republican Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

This page lists nationwide public opinion polling among demographics that have been conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election between prospective Democratic and Republican candidates. The two major party candidates were chosen at the Democratic National Convention and Republican National Convention in July 2016. The general election occurred on Tuesday, November 8, 2016.

Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from January 1 to August 31, 2016 and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against a possible Democratic candidate.

This page lists nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election in Florida, contested by Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, Gary Johnson and Jill Stein. The state was won by Donald Trump with 49.02% of the vote against 47.82% for Hillary Clinton.

This article contains opinion polling in New Hampshire for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries. The shading for each poll indicates the candidate(s) which are within one margin of error of the poll's leader.

This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2024 United States presidential election. The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.

References

  1. Dahlgreen, Will (April 17, 2016). "Donald Trump top pick for US President... in Russia". YouGov. Archived from the original on October 9, 2016. Retrieved October 8, 2016.
  2. "Comparative confidence in political leaders and U.S. presidential candidates on their international role". Pew Research Center. June 27, 2016. Retrieved October 8, 2016.
  3. "Global Poll on the American Election" (PDF). WIN/GIA. October 4, 2016. Archived from the original (PDF) on 8 November 2016. Retrieved October 8, 2016.
  4. "Track semanal de opinión pública" (PDF) (in Spanish). CADEM - Plaza Pública. October 3, 2016. Retrieved October 28, 2016.
  5. Čadová, Naděžda (October 25, 2016). "Czech public about United States presidential election and foreign policy of the United States - September 2016". Public Opinion Research Centre. Retrieved November 2, 2016.
  6. "Výrazná většina čtenářů iDNES.cz by do Bílého domu vyslala Trumpa". iDNES.cz. 4 November 2016. Retrieved 5 November 2016.
  7. Rosenberg, David (June 23, 2016). "Do Israelis prefer Trump or Clinton?". Arutz Sheva. Retrieved October 8, 2016.
  8. "Israelis prefer Clinton over Trump, poll suggests". The Times of Israel. 4 November 2016.
  9. Gower, Patrick (August 10, 2016). "Poll: Only 9pct of Kiwis want Trump as President". Newshub. Retrieved October 8, 2016.